Understanding Index Numbers in Economics
Understanding Index Numbers in Economics
INTRODUCTION
Over the years, index numbers have become increasingly important forthe
administrationhowindicatorsof the changing economic activity or ofbusiness; de
fact, its use has become theprocedureof wider acceptance.
This type of number can also be defined as avaluerelative with a base of 100% or
a multiple of 100% such as 10 and 100, which allows measuring how much a variable has changed
with time.
We calculate an index number by finding the quotient of the current value divided by a base value.
Then we multiply the resulting number by 100 to express the index as a percentage.
This final value is the relative percentage. The index number for the base point in time.
it's always 100.
1. Indices ofprices
2. Quantity indices
3. Index ofvaluesat some point earlier in time (base period) and usually the
current period.
When only one is understoodproductor merchandise the index is called index
simple as a corporation that consists of a group of elements is called
of composite number. Index numbers provide a way to measure such changes.
The price index compares price levels from one period to another. The index of
prices atconsumer(CPI) measures the global price changes of a variety ofgoods
ofconsumptionand ofservices, and it is used to define the costof life.
The quantity index measures how much the number or amount of a variable changes.
the weather.
The value index measures changes in the total monetary value; that is, it measures the
changes in the value in pesos of a variable, combines the changes inpriceand amount for
present an index with moreinformation.
Index numbers are useful when you want to compare variables or magnitudes that are
measurements in different units. For example, with index numbers we can compare the
costs ofnutritionor other services in a city over a year with those of the year
previous, or theproductionof rice in one year in one area of the country with the other area.
Many governments are concerned with developing index numbers in order to predict
economic or industrial conditions, such as: price indices, production indices,
salaries, of the consumer,to be able topurchasing power, cost of living, etc.
Several causes may arise that can lead to problems with index numbers, the
which can we mention some of them:
Simple
2. Compounds, which in turn are classified into:
o Without weighing
o Weighted
5.1 Simple Indices
They refer to a single magnitude orconcept, and therefore, provide us with the
variation that that magnitude has undergone in two different periods. The usual way to express a
simple index is:
I = mtX 100
mo
where mt it is the magnitude in the period t, and moit is the magnitude in the base period.
If what we want is to measure the evolution over time of a complex magnitude, or set
of simple magnitudes, such as, for example, the price of fruits, in this case it will not be possible
use a simple index, since we would have different prices for each of the varieties
what presents this type offoods(oranges, apples, pears, etc).
There are different ways or criteria to obtain the composite index. A first
classification consists of distinguishing between unweighted composite indices and indices
weighted compounds.
They are the ones who try to measure the evolution of a complex magnitude, but where the different
simple magnitudes that intervene all have the same importance.
Although weighted composite indexes can be obtained for all kinds of variables, the
the most important are those that measure variations in prices.
Among the most commonly used weighted composite indices are those that
refer to price variations. The most important are those of Laspeyres, Paasche and
Fisher.
The common feature of these indices and most price indices is that they use
values as weighting coefficients; that is, data that can be expressed as
product of a price by a quantity.
The main disadvantage of a lightweight index is that it does not give greater importance or weight to
price change of a commonly used product compared to one that is used infrequently. A
change in the price ofproductsslowlymovementcan distort because
I complete an index. For this reason, it is not common practice to use a simple non-heavy index in
analysisimportant.
We often have to assign greater importance to the changes that occur in some
variables que a los que se presentan en otras cuando calculamos un índice. Esta ponderación
allows us to include more information, apart from the change in prices over time, it allows us
improve the accuracy of the estimation. The problem is deciding how much weight to assign to each
one of the variables in thesample.
The general formula for calculating a heavy aggregate price index is:
P (P1Q/Q0) x 100
7.1MethodLaspeyres
This method uses the amounts consumed during the base period. It is the most used,
due to requiring quantity measures from only one period. As each number
index depends on the same base prices and quantities, the administration can compare the
index of one period directly with the index of another.
One advantage of this method is the comparability of one index to another. The use of the same
the amount of base period allows us to make direct comparisons. Another advantage is
that many commonly used quantity measures are not tabulated every year. The main one
A disadvantage is that it does not take into account changes in consumption patterns.
One of the main disadvantages is the need to tabulate quantity measures for each
examined period. Each value of a Paasche price index is the result of both
changes in price as well as in the quantity consumed corresponding to the base period. As
the quantity measures used for an index period are generally different from the
measures of quantity from another period of the index, it is impossible to attribute the difference between the
two indices only to price changes. Consequently, it is difficult to compare indices of
different periods with the Paasche method.
When we have more than one product (or activity), we first find the price quotient.
Actual between the base price for each product and we multiply each quotient obtained by 100.
Then we add the resulting relative percentages and divide the result by the number.
of products.
Using the unweighted average method of relatives, we calculate the average of the quotients.
of the prices for each product. With the method of unweighted aggregates, we calculated the
quotient of the sums of the prices of each product.
It is not the same as assigning some products more weight than others. The averaging method
of relatives converts each element to ascalerelative in which the elements are
represented as a percentage rather than as a quantity. Due to this, each of
The elements of the compound are measured with respect to a base of 100.
With the weighted average methods of relatives, there are several ways to determine a value.
heavy. As in the Laspeyres method, we can use the base value we found
multiplying the base amount by the base price. The use of the base value will produce exactly
the same result as if we were calculating the index using the Laspeyres method.
We use the Laspeyres method when quantity data is obtained more easily.
If we want to calculate a weighted average index of relatives using base values, the
the equation to be used would be:
We can also use index numbers to describe changes in quantities and values.
A value index measures general changes in the total value of a variable. Like the value
is determined both by the price and by thequality, a value index really measures the
combined effects of price and quantity changes.
The main disadvantage of a value index is that it makes no distinction between the effects
of component states.
There are several problems in the construction of an index number, of which we can
mention the following:
Almost all indices are built to answer a certain particular question. The
the elements included in the compound depend on the question at hand.
The selected weights should represent the relative importance of the different
elements. Unfortunately, what is appropriate in one period may become
inappropriate in a very short period.
The factors related to an index tend to change over time, in particular, the
appropriate weights. Unless the weights are changed according to the circumstances, the
the index is becoming increasingly unreliable.
Quality changes
The index numbers do not reflect the changes in the quality of the products they measure. If the
quality has really changed, so the index overestimates or underestimates changes in the
price levels.
CONCLUSION
Index numbers are also called simple index numbers or simple relatives, these
they usually have a duration of the period to be calculated of one year, although it can be a
quarter, one month, or another unit of time. When a time series includes information from
More than two years, there are three ways to calculate simple relatives: 1) Fixed base relatives. 2)
Relatives in link and 3) Relatives in chain.
Composite index numbers can be calculated either with the original data or the
simple relatives.
From a theoretical point of view, it is desirable that the index numbers forgroupsof articles
have the properties that fulfilled the relations (index numbers for a single article).
Any index number that has such or suchpropertyit is said to satisfy the associated criterion
with her. For example, the index numbers that have the property ofinvestmenttemporal itself
will state that it meets the criterion of temporary investment.
No index number is known that meets all the criteria, although in many cases it
satisfy approximately. The ideal Fisher index, which in particular meets the criterion of
temporal investment and factor investment is better than any other useful index number
regarding satisfying the properties considered important (hence the label ideal).
It can be noted that index numbers are useful for accountants, as numbers
Indices are a kind of barometers of changes in business, they are also important.
to forecast future economic activity.
They are often used in time series analysis, the historical study of trends and
the variations that an economy may have; all this with the aim that the leaders of
businesses and even countries can keep pace with the changing
economic conditions and in this way have better information for a good
decision making.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
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BOOKS OFTEXTUSED
EDITION: 2ND
AÑO: 1992
2. STATISTICS
AUTOR: MURRIA-SPIEGEL
EDITING: 3RD
larissa_kiss@[Link]
DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS
Statistics I
Los números índice
Index
1. Introduction
2. The index numbers
3. Conclusions
4. Bibliography
1. Introduction
Good Year
Table 1
Simple relative average indices
As its name indicates, this type of index consists of averaging the price relatives or
quantities. To calculate a simple average index of relative prices, we must follow the
next steps:
a. We obtain the price relative by dividing the price of the good in a given period by
its price in the base period.
b. We obtain the sums of the relatives of the years and divide each one by the number
ofgoodstogether. The simple average is, in fact, an arithmetic mean of
relatives.
a. Multiply the price of each good in each year by the quantity of that good in the year.
base.
b. Obtain the sum of theproductscalculated in step a)
c. Divide the total of each year by the total of the base year.
We can verify what was explained in the following table that takes the same data from table 1.
a. Test ofinvestmentof time.- The base date used for an index number does not
will affect.
b. Tests ofinvestmentof de facto.- If the numbers are constructed from prices, quantities and
valuestotals (P, Q and V), then to calculate any time:
It must be equal to
Exercises
1) A certain index number has the followingvalues(No. Index 1)
No. Index 1
It is decided to introduce a new base,
1996 = 100, and recalculating the indices of the
previous years, if the indexes meet the
Año 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996
time investment test, which ones
sonthe valuesreviewed?
% 105 110 123 128 128 154 165
a. Yes, it meets the test since the
Base date will not affect the index number.
b. 1996 will be the base, so it will be 100%, to recalculatethe valuesfrom the years
previously, the values of index 1 will need to be divided for the base, and thus the
updated number.
No. Index 2
2)
% 64 67 75 78 78 93 100
The following table gives us the product
gross national product of a country (GNP), in billions of dollars for various years and also the
Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the same years. Adjust the national product.
gross at a consumer price level, to eliminate the element of inflation for the
gross national product.
P.N.B.
204.3 338.0 339.9 426.6 488.6 622.3
A.P.I.
Adjusted
a 100
100 165 166 209 239 305
for
1980
3. Conclusions
4. Bibliography
INTRODUCTION
OBJECTIVES
In the last month of July, some warehouses made a 15% discount on the
June prices for youth clothing items. A pair of pants cost in June
14,40 €. ¿Qué descuento hay que aplicarle? ¿Cuál es su precio de venta en julio?
And therefore, the applied discount is x = 2.16 €. The final purchase price is 14.40 -
2.16 = 12.24 €.
The percentage is perhaps the most notable example of a function of direct proportionality.
frequency is present in everyday life.
Change the value of the original price using the arrows or enter
directly in the box the desired value and press ENTER. Changing the value
from the percentage you can solve problems in which you receive a discount
different.
July sales
Article Original price Discount Final price
pants 14.40 2.16 12,24
shirt 9.00
jacket 34,80
pants 19,20
polo 13,20
Just before implementing the new prices, the department head decides to increase
the percentage of the discount to be applied to the items at 20% instead of 15%. Calculate them.
amounts of the discounts with that new percentage as well as the new final prices
and write the results in the following table. Use the previous scene to verify
the results by modifying the percentage value.
July sales
Article Original price Discount Final price
pants 14.40
shirt 9.00
jacket 34,80
pants 19,20
polo 13.20
At the end of July, the warehouse decides to apply a new discount of another 20%.
about the current prices in that month. Calculate the prices that should be applied to the
previous articles in the month of August.
August sales
Price Discount on Price on Discount on
Article Final price
original july July August
pants 14.40
shirt 9.00
jacket 34.80
pants 19,20
polo 13.20
5. In the school championship, the school's football team played 40 matches of the
who won 25, tied 10, and lost 5 matches. What percentage do they represent?
won, drawn and lost matches?
The problem is very similar to the previous ones. The rule of three needs to be set up.
now in the following way:
Calculate the solution in your notebook and check it in the next scene.
You have to put the discounted price and the indicated discount in the scene.
the problem.
When making any purchase, the supplier adds to the price of the item you buy.
a tax called value-added tax (or simply VAT) that
subsequently delivered to the Treasury. The value of that tax is a percentage of the
purchase amount. Depending on what you acquire, the percentage to apply is
different. For example, if you buy a television or a video game for the computer, you must
apply a 16% of the purchase amount; if you buy a book, the rate that is applied
it is 7%.
Let's look at a concrete case: if you buy a computer whose list price is
720 €, to calculate the VAT amount you must apply a rate of 16%. Therefore, the
the amount of the tax will be
720*16/100 = 115.20 €
which, when added to the catalog price, results in a final price of 835.20 €.
The resulting amount of the tax is added to its price, and thus the price is obtained.
of purchase.
8. Calculate the VAT amount and the final price of the following products knowing
its price and the type of VAT to be applied. Write the [Link] the attached table:
Amount of
Product Price without VAT Type of VAT Final price
VAT
A light bulb 0.75 € 16%
A book 13.80 € 7%
Electricity consumption 18,36 € 16%
Bread bar 0,31 € 2%
A pen 7.20 16%
You have to show the price without VAT and the VAT rate that
indicate the problem.
9. If the retail price of a product is €63.00 and is subject to
a 16% VAT. What is its price before applying the tax? Check it.
result in the previous scene.
Simple interest.
Financial institutions (banks, savings banks) provide their clients with an amount
annual money that is proportional to the money they have saved or deposited in
they. This amount of money is called interest and is measured as a percentage.
Let's see an example:
Isabel has saved €3,000.00 in the neighborhood savings bank, which gives her a
2.5% annual for this money. What interest does your capital produce at the end of the year?
in 3 years?
That the interest rate is 2.5% means that for every 100 € that Isabel has in
the savings box, it gives you €2.50 a year. For the €3,000 it will give you 2.5%, this
es:
In three years it will produce three times that amount, that is,
10. Calculate the interest produced by €4200 deposited at a 6.25% interest rate.
in 5 years.
11. Enrique places a capital in a bank that gives him an interest of 3.75%
annual. When the second year ends, he checks that he has 222 € in his
account. How much money had been deposited at the beginning of the period?
This does not mean that any consumer product (food, gasoline,
electricity, housing) has increased that percentage. The CPI is obtained as a
average of the price variation in the previous month.
The CPI is a very important index, as it is often used as a basis for the
increases in workers' salaries each year.
12. The government anticipated at the end of 1998 that the Consumer Price Index
from the year 1999 would rise by 1.8% and in that percentage the salary of all increased.
employees. Luisa's parents, Pedro and José Alberto, are employees and in
In 1998 they had a salary of 185,000 pesetas, 210,000 pesetas, and 225,000.
monthly pesetas respectively. What will the salary increase be and the salary
in 1999 of the three? And if the government had anticipated that the CPI would rise a
2.1%, what would the new salaries have been in 1999?