Special Topics in Civil Engineering
Northern Border University
New Risk Management Approach
Unique Conditions Are Related
Past Conditions Present Conditions Future Conditions
100% 100% 100%
Event
Natural Laws = Natural Laws = Natural Laws
Unique initial Unique final
conditions conditions
Time (dt)
Unique Final Conditions are Set by Initial
Conditions
Expert Plan
• Detailed schedule from beginning to end
• Expertise used in areas where there is
insufficient information
• Risk that cannot be controlled [requirements]
Lack of Lack of
Expertise Expertise
Info Info Deliverables
[metrics]
Risk
Mitigation
Plan
Risk
Mitigation
Plan
Milestones [metrics]
5
Traditional Risk Management Model
Decision-Making as a Source of Risk
Lack of Information Unrealistic Expectations Decision Making Risks
Risk is when people inexactly perceive the initial conditions.
When decision making goes down, risk goes down.
Risk is decreased through the following:
• Finding the expert who can precisely identify the initial conditions.
• Allowing the expert to identify if client’s expectations can be done.
• Reducing attempts to manage the event by using experts and
preplanning.
• Allowing the expert to have control over their own event.
The New Risk Management Model
The New Risk Management Model will have to meet the following
conditions:
• Decision making must be reduced.
• Unrealistic expectations must be corrected by the service experts
• Experts should be given authority and responsibility to control and
manage risks
(the contractor should have control to identify the risk, document it, and to reduce
its impact)
New Risk Management Model
Utilize expertise
Detailed pre-planning
Transparency
Accountability
Practical Framework of New Risk Management
Schedule & Milestones Table
Project Deviations Table
Performance Table
New Risk Management Model
Weekly Risk Report Pages
• Setup
• Risk Mitigation Plan
• Risk Sheet
• Cost modifications
• Time modifications [milestone schedule]
• Performance metrics
Project Setup Page
Main Points
• Includes basic project information.
• Project start date, completion date and awarded
cost, should be the initial project dates and cost.
• Contact Information should include all critical
members of the project for client and vendor.
SOW
Main Points
• Identifies SOW
• Major Deliverables
18
Progress Report
Main Points
• Weekly update on progress of project
• Identify anything stakeholders need to be aware
of
19
Milestone Schedule
Main Points
• Schedule should be for non-technical users.
• “Actual Schedule” and “Initial Schedule” should
be the same unless a deviation has occurred.
• Any deviation from the initial schedule should
have a Risk Sr. # to explain deviation
Risks Page
Main Points
• Only risks that actually occur should be recorded on this page.
• Risks that have not yet occurred should be documented on the
RMP page.
• Client Satisfaction should be approved by the POC for the client.
21
Risk and Deviations
Report Page
Main Points
• Summary of project performance.
• Current completion date and budget
is calculated from initial project info
on the project setup tab and
deviation documented on risks tab. 23