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Probability and Statistics Tutorial 2

This document is a tutorial for a Probability and Statistics course at the Indian Institute of Technology Bhilai, dated August 14, 2025. It includes five problems covering topics such as card probabilities, class assignments, event independence, operational systems, and a chess championship scenario. Each problem requires the application of probability concepts to derive specific outcomes or probabilities.

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5 views2 pages

Probability and Statistics Tutorial 2

This document is a tutorial for a Probability and Statistics course at the Indian Institute of Technology Bhilai, dated August 14, 2025. It includes five problems covering topics such as card probabilities, class assignments, event independence, operational systems, and a chess championship scenario. Each problem requires the application of probability concepts to derive specific outcomes or probabilities.

Uploaded by

jsmrkrohan555
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Indian Institute of Technology Bhilai

MAL403/IC105: Probability and Statistics


Tutorial 2

August 14, 2025

1. Draw the top 7 cards from a well-shuffled standard 52-card deck. Find the probability that
the 7 cards include exactly 3 aces.

2. 90 students, including Joe and Jane, are to be split into three classes of equal size, and this is
to be done at random. What is the probability that Joe and Jane end up in the same class?

3. Let A and B be events such that A ⊂ B. Can A and B be independent?

4. An electrical system consists of identical components that are operational with probability p
independently of other components. The components are connected in three subsystems, as
shown in the Figure 1. The system is operational if there is a path that starts at point A,
ends at point B, and consists of operational components. This is the same as requiring that
all three subsystems are operational. What are the probabilities that the three subsystems,
as well as the entire system, are operational?

Figure 1: A system of identical components that consists of the three subsystems 1, 2, and 3. The system is
operational if there is a path that starts at point A, ends at point B, and consists of operational components.

5. The Chess Problem. This year’s Belmont chess champion is to be selected by the following
procedure.
Bo and Ci, the leading challengers, first play a two-game match. If one of them wins both
games, he gets to play a two-game second round with Al, the current champion. Al retains his
championship unless a second round is required and the challenger beats Al in both games.
If Al wins the initial game of the second round, no more games are played.
Furthermore, we know the following:
The probability that Bo will beat Ci in any particular game is 0.6.
The probability that Al will beat Bo in any particular game is 0.5.
The probability that Al will beat Ci in any particular game is 0.7.
Assume no tie games are possible and all games are independent.
(a) Determine the apriori probabilities that
i. the second round will be required.
ii. Bo will win the first round.
iii. Al will retain his championship this year.
(b) Given that the second round is required, determine the conditional probabilities that
i. Bo is the surviving challenger.
ii. Al retains his championship.
(c) Given that the second round was required and that it comprised only one game, what is
the conditional probability that it was Bo who won the first round?

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