Exam Guide: Statistics & Mechanics Topics
Exam Guide: Statistics & Mechanics Topics
Instructions
• Use black ink or ball-point pen.
• If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
• Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name, centre number and candidate
number.
• Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly
labelled.
• You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without working
may not gain full credit.
• Answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
• A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
• The total mark for this part of the examination is 100. There are 11 questions.
• The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
• Try to answer every question.
• Check your answers if you have time at the end.
Answer ALL questions.
SECTION A: STATISTICS
1. An electrical engineer makes components for computer systems. She claims that the
components last longer than 500 hours on 52% of occasions.
(b) Write down two conditions under which the normal approximation may be used as an
approximation to the binomial distribution.
(2)
A random sample of 250 components was taken and 120 lasted longer than 500 hours.
(c) Assuming the engineer’s claim to be correct, use a normal approximation to find the
probability that 120 or fewer components last longer than 500 hours.
(3)
Given that P(A ∩ B) = 0.2, that events A and C are mutually exclusive and that events B and
C are statistically independent,
2
3. The daily mean air temperature, t °C, is recorded in Perth for the month of October.
f 2 6 11 7 5
(b) Use your calculator to find estimates for the mean and standard deviation of the
temperatures.
(2)
(c) Give two reasons why a histogram could be used to display this data.
(2)
(d) Use linear interpolation to find the 10th to 90th interpercentile range.
(3)
A meteorologist believes that there is a positive correlation between the daily mean air
temperature and the number of hours of sunshine. She takes a random sample of 8 days from
the data set above and finds that the product moment correlation coefficient is 0.612.
(e) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test at the 5% level of significance, whether or not the
product moment correlation coefficient for the population is greater than zero.
(3)
3
4. An industrial chemical process produces an amount of a substance, q grams, dependent on the
temperature, t °C applied. The table below shows the outcomes of five experiments.
t 10 20 32 41 57
q 160 700 2000 3300 6400
A chemist believes that the relationship between the variables can be modelled by an
equation of the form q = ktn, where k and n are constants to be determined. The data are
coded using x = log t and y = log q. The product moment correlation coefficient between
x and y is found to be 0.9998.
(a) State with a reason whether this value supports the suggested model.
(1)
(b) Given that the equation of the regression line of y on x is y = 0.0761 + 2.1317x, find the
value of k and the value of n.
(3)
(c) Explain, giving a reason, whether it would be sensible to use this model to predict the
amount of substance produced when t = 85 °C.
(1)
5. The weights of cats in a particular town are normally distributed. A cat that weighs between
3.5 kg and 4.6 kg is said to be of ‘standard’ weight.
Given that 2.5% of cats weigh less than 3.416 kg and 5% of cats weigh greater than 4.858 kg,
(b) Find the probability that at least 10 of these cats are of standard weight.
(2)
In a second town, the weights of cats are also normally distributed with standard deviation
0.51 kg. A random sample of 12 cats was taken and the sample mean was 4.73 kg.
(c) Test, at the 10% level of significance, whether or not the mean weight of all the cats in
the town is different from 4.5 kg. State your hypotheses clearly.
(4)
4
6. Jemima plays two games of tennis. The probability that she wins the first game is 0.62. If she
wins the first game, the probability that she wins the second is 0.75. If she loses the first
game, the probability that she wins the second is 0.45.
Find the probability that she wins both games given that she wins the second game.
5
SECTION B: MECHANICS
7. At time t seconds, where t > 0, a particle P moves such that its velocity, v m s−1, is given by
v = (2 − 6t 2)i − t j.
Find the distance of the particle from O when t = 3 seconds, giving your answer to
3 significant figures.
8. An arrow is fired from horizontal ground with an initial speed of 100 m s–1 at an angle of 30°
above the horizontal.
(a) the time taken for the arrow to hit the ground,
(3)
6
9. [In this question i and j are the unit vectors due east and north respectively.]
A cyclist makes a journey between two points A and B. At time t = 0 s the cyclist is moving
due east at 2 m s−1. The cyclist is modelled as a particle. Relative to A, the position vector of
the cyclist at time t seconds is r metres.
Given that the acceleration of the cyclist is constant and equal to 0.2i − 0.8j m s−2, find
After 10 seconds the cyclist stops accelerating and travels due east at a constant speed of
5 m s−1.
7
10.
Figure 1
Two particles P and Q, of masses 3 kg and 2 kg respectively, are attached to the ends of a
light inextensible string. P lies on a rough horizontal table. The string passes over a small
smooth pulley fixed on the edge of the table. Q hangs freely below the pulley, as shown in
Figure 1.
The coefficient of friction between P and the table is μ. The particles are released from rest
with the string taut. Immediately after release, P accelerates at a rate of 0.5 m s−2.
(a) Find the tension in the string immediately after the particles begin to move.
(3)
(c) Assuming that P remains on the table, calculate how long it takes P to come to rest.
(6)
(d) State how you have used the information that the string is inextensible in your
calculations.
(1)
8
11.
Figure 2
A uniform rod AB of length l m and mass m kg rests with one end touching a rough vertical
wall at B. The rod is kept horizontal by a light inextensible string AC where C lies on the wall
directly above B.
5
The plane ABC is perpendicular to the wall and ∠BAC is α, where tan α = .
12
13
(a) Show that the tension in the string is mg N.
10
(4)
(b) Calculate the coefficient of friction between the rod and the wall.
(6)
9
BLANK PAGE
10
Exam-style practice: Paper 3, Section A: Statistics
1 a Use the cumulative binomial distribution tables, with n = 40 and p = 0.52. Then
P( X 22) = 1 − P( X 21) = 1 − 0.5867 = 0.4133 (4 s.f.).
b In order for the normal approximation to be used as an approximation to the binomial distribution
the two conditions are: (i) n is large (>50); and (ii) p is close to 0.5.
c The two conditions for the normal approximation to be a valid approximation are satisfied.
= np = 250 0.52 = 130 and = np(1 − p) = 130 0.48 = 62.4 = 7.90 (3 s.f.). Therefore
B(250,0.52) N (130,7 92 ) so that P( B 120) P( N 120.5) = 0.1146 (4 s.f.).
d If the engineer’s claim is true, then the observed result had a less than 12% chance of occurring.
This would mean that there would be insufficient evidence to reject her claim with a two-tailed
hypothesis test at the 10% level. Though it does provide some doubt as to the validity of her claim.
2 a Since A and C are mutually exclusive, P( A C) = 0 and their intersection need not be represented
on the Venn diagram. Since B and C are independent,
P( B C) = P( B) P(C) = 0.55 0.26 = 0.143 . Using the remaining information in the question
allows for the other regions to be labelled. Therefore the completed Venn diagram should be:
b P( A) P( B) = 0.4 0.55 = 0.22 0.2 = P( A B) and so the events are not independent.
P( A B ') 0.2 0.2
c P( A | B ') = = = = 0.444 (3 s.f.)
P( B ') 0.2 + 0.117 + 0.133 0.45
P(C ( A B) ') P(C ) 0.26
d P(C | ( A B) ') = = = = 0.325
P(( A B) ') 1 − P( A B) 0.8
3 a The variable t is continuous, since it can take any value between 12 and 26 (in degrees Celsius).
c Temperature is continuous and the data were given in a grouped frequency table.
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31
3 d The 10th percentile is = 3.1th value. Using linear interpolation:
10
e Since the meteorologist believes that there is positive correlation, the hypotheses are
H0 : = 0
H1 : 0
The sample size is 8, and so the critical value (for a one-tailed test) is 0.6215.
Since r = 0.612 < 0.6215, there is not sufficient evidence to reject H 0 , and so there is not
sufficient evidence, at the 5% significance level, to say that there is a positive correlation between
the daily mean air temperature and the number of hours of sunshine.
4 a The value of 0.9998 is very close to 1, indicating that the plot of x against y is very close to being a
linear relationship, and so the data should be well-modelled by an equation of the form q = kt n .
c It would not be sensible to use the model to predict the amount of substance produced when
t = 85 C , since this is considerably outside the range of the provided data (extrapolation).
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5 a P(Z a) = 0.025 a = −1.96 and P(Z a) = 0.05 a = 1.645 . Therefore, for the given
3.416 − 4.858 −
distribution, = −1.96 and = 1.645 . Rearranging these equations:
3.416 − 4.858 −
= −1.96 3.416 − = −1.96 and = 1.645 4.858 − = 1.645 .
Now subtract the second equation from the first to obtain:
4.858 − − (3.416 − ) = 1.645 − (−1.96 ) 1.442 = 3.605 = 0.4 and so, using the first
equation, 3.416 − = −1.96 0.4 = 3.416 + 0.784 = 4.2 . Using these values within the normal
distribution, P(3.5 X 4.6) = P(4.6) − P(3.5) = 0.84134 − 0.04006 = 0.8013 (4 s.f.) of the cats
will be of the standard weight.
c Assume the mean is 4.5kg and standard deviation is 0.51. Then the sample X should be normally
0.512
distributed with X ~ N 4.5, . The hypothesis test should determine whether it is
12
statistically significant, at the 10% level, that the mean is not 4.5kg. Therefore the test should be 2-
tailed with
H 0 : = 4.5
H1 : 4.5
The critical region therefore consists of values greater than a where P( X a) = 0.05 and so
a = 4.742 (4 s.f.) and values less than b where P( X b) = 0.05 and so b = 4.258 (4 s.f.).
Since the observed mean is 4.73 and 4.73 < a = 4.742, there is not enough evidence, at the 10%
significance level, to reject H 0 i.e. there is not sufficient evidence to say, at the 10% level, that the
mean weight of all cats in the town is different from 4.5kg.
6 It is first worth displaying the information in a tree diagram. Let J denote the event that Jemima wins
a game of tennis and J ' be the event that Jemima loses a game of tennis. Since Jemima either wins or
loses each game of tennis, P( J ) + P( J ') = 1 . This allows for the other probabilities on the tree
diagram to be filled in. Therefore the completed tree diagram should be:
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Exam-style practice: Paper 3, Section B: Mechanics
7 r = v dt
= (2 − 6t 2 )i − tj dt
6 t2
= 2t − t 3 i − j + c
3 2
1
At t = 1 s, r = 5i m 5i = ( 2 − 2 ) i − j+ c
2
1
c = 5i + j
2
r = ( 2t − 2t 3 + 5) i + 1 (1 − t 2 ) j
2
When t = 3 s,
r = ( 6 − 54 + 5 ) i + 1 (1 − 9 ) j
2
r = −43i − 4 j
s = r = 432 + 42 = 43.185...
At t = 3 s, P is 43.2 m from O (3 s.f.).
s = ut + 1 at 2
2
0 = 50t − 4.9t 2
4.9t 2 = 50t
The solution t = 0 corresponds to the time the arrow is fired and can therefore be ignored.
50
t = = 10.204...
4.9
The arrow reaches the ground after 10.2 s (3 s.f.).
b At maximum height, vy = 0
R ( ) : uy = 50 ms−1, vy = 0 m, a = g = − 9.8 ms−2, s = ?
v 2 = u 2 + 2as
0 = 502 − 19.6s
19.6s = 2500
2500
s= = 127.55...
19.6
The maximum height reached by the arrow is 128 m (3s.f.).
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8 c At t = 3 s,
R ( → ) : vx = u x = 50 3 ms−1 since horizontal speed remains constant.
R ( ) : uy = 50 ms−1, t = 3 s, a = g = − 9.8 ms−2, vy = ?
v = u + at
v y = 50 − (3 9.8) = 20.6
The speed at t = 3 s is given by:
v 2 = vx2 + v y2
( ) + ( 20.6 )
2 2
v 2 = 50 3
b s= r
s = 302 + 402 = 50
After 10 s, the cyclist is 50 m from A.
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9 d First, work out the position vector of B from A:
r = ( 5t − 20 ) i − 40 j
Cyclist reaches B when t = 12 + 30 = 42 s
r = ( ( 5 42 ) − 20 ) i − 40 j
r = 190i − 40 j
Let θ be the acute angle between the horizontal and B (as
shown in the diagram).
40
Then tan =
190
= 11.888...
To the nearest degree, the bearing of B from A
is 90 +12 = 102o.
b Considering P:
Resolving vertically R = 3g
Resolving horizontally and using Newton’s second law
of motion with a = 0.5 ms−2 and m = 3 kg:
T − R = 3 0.5
3 g = T − 1.5
18.6 − 1.5
= = 0.58163...
3 9.8
The coefficient of friction is 0.582 (3 s.f.), as required.
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10 c Consider P before string breaks: u = 0 ms−1, t = 2 s, a = 0.5 ms−2, v = ?
v = u + at
v = 0 + ( 0.5 2 ) = 1
After string breaks, the only force acting on P is a frictional force of magnitude F = R = 3 g
Using Newton’s Second Law for P,
F = ma
3 g = 3a
a = g
a = 9.8 0.58163...
= 5.7
The acceleration is in the opposite direction to the motion of P, hence
u = 1 ms−1, v = 0 ms−1, a = −0.5 ms−2, t = ?
v = u + at
0 = 1 − 5.7t
1
t= = 0.17543...
5.7
P takes 0.175 s (3 s.f.) to come to rest.
d The information that the string is inextensible has been used in assuming that the tension is the
same in all parts of the string and that the acceleration of P and Q are identical while they are
connected.
11 a The rod is in equilibrium so resultant force and moment are both zero.
tan = 125 sin = 135 and cos = 12
13
Taking moments about B:
l
mg = (T sin ) l
2
mg
T=
2sin
mg 13mg
T= = as required.
2 13
5
10
b Resolving horizontally:
R = T cos
13mg 12 6mg
R= =
10 13 5
Resolving vertically:
T sin + R = mg
13mg 5 6mg
+ = mg
10 13 5
6 1
= 1−
5 2
5
=
12
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5
The coefficient of friction between the rod and the wall is .
12
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Pearson Edexcel Level 3
GCE Mathematics
Advanced Level
Paper 3: Statistics & Mechanics
Practice Set 2 Paper Reference(s)
Time: 2 hours 9MA0/03
You must have:
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables, calculator
Candidates may use any calculator permitted by Pearson regulations. Calculators must not
have the facility for algebraic manipulation, differentiation and integration, or have
retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
Use black ink or ball-point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly
labelled.
Answer the questions in the spaces provided – there may be more space than you need.
You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without
working may not gain full credit.
Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
There are 11 questions in this paper. The total is 100.
For each question are shown in brackets – use this as a guide as to how much time to
spend on each question.
Advice
Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
Check your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your new answer and any
working underneath.
1
SECTION A: STATISTICS
Answer ALL questions.
1. An engineer believes that there is a relationship between the CO2 emissions and fuel
consumption for cars.
A random sample of 40 different car models (old and new) was taken and the CO2 emission
figures, e grams per kilometre, and fuel consumption, f miles per gallon, were recorded, as shown
in Figure 1. The engineer calculates the product moment correlation coefficient for the 40
cars and obtains r = −0.803.
Figure 1
(b) State, with a reason, whether a linear regression model based on these data is reliable or not
for a car when the fuel consumption is 60 mpg.
(1)
(c) For the linear regression model e = 198 − 1.71 × f write down the explanatory variable.
(1)
(e) Test at 1% significance level whether or not the product moment correlation coefficient for
CO2 emissions and fuel consumption is less than zero. State your hypotheses clearly.
(3)
(Total 7 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
2
2. A mechanic carried out a survey on the defects of cars he was servicing. He found that the
probability of a car needing a new tyre is 0.33 and that a car needing a new tyre has a probability
of 0.7 of needing tracking. A car not needing a new tyre has a probability of 0.04 of needing
tracking.
(b) Find the probability that a randomly chosen car has exactly one of the two defects, needing
a new tyre or needing tracking.
(2)
The mechanic also finds that cars need new brake pads with probability 0.35 and that this is
independent of needing new tyres or tracking. A car is chosen at random.
(c) Find the probability that the car has at least one of these three defects.
(2)
3
3. The summary statistics and histogram (Figure 2) are an extract from statistical software output
for the distribution of the daily mean pressure for Beijing, May to August (inclusive) 2015.
Figure 2
Standard
Variable N Mean Q1 Q2 Q3
deviation
Daily Mean
123 1006 4.4 1003 1006 1010
Pressure
(a) Explain why it is reasonable to model the daily mean pressure for Beijing, during May to
August using a normal distribution.
(1)
The distribution for the daily mean pressure for Beijing, May to August 2015, X, can be modelled
by a normal distribution.
(b) Based on the statistical output and the information in the table above, what is the chance of
poor or bad weather in Beijing during May to August?
(2)
4
(c) Although very unlikely, based on the model in part a, give a reason why we cannot say there
is no chance of a hurricane in Beijing during May to August.
(1)
The distribution for daily mean pressure for Jacksonville during May to August can also be
considered normally distributed with mean 1017 hPa and standard deviation 3.26 hPa. A student
claims that you can depend on better weather in Jacksonville than in Beijing during May to
August.
(d) State, giving reasons, whether the information in this question supports this claim.
(4)
(Total 8 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
5
4. To investigate if there is a correlation between daily mean pressure (hPa) and daily mean wind
speed (kn) the location Hurn 2015 was randomly selected from:
The statistical software output for these data is shown in Figure 3 below.
Figure 3
Correlation coefficient.
Daily mean winds and Daily mean pressure = −0.477 p-value < 0.001.
Regression summary output for daily mean wind speed versus daily mean pressure.
6
(c) Give an interpretation of the correlation between the two variables.
(1)
(d) Test at 5% significance level whether or not the product moment correlation coefficient for
the population is less than zero. State your hypotheses clearly.
(3)
(e) Write down the regression model for daily mean wind speed versus daily mean pressure.
(2)
(g) The regression model (equation of regression) was used to predict the daily mean wind
speed of 11.15 knots for a daily mean pressure of 995 hPa. Comment on the accuracy of this
prediction.
(1)
____________________________________________________________________________
(b) Explain, showing your working, whether or not E and F are statistically independent. Give
reasons for your answer.
(2)
The events E and G are mutually exclusive and the events F and G are independent.
(c) Draw a Venn diagram to illustrate the events E, F and G, giving the probabilities for each
region.
(5)
6. In a town, 54% of the residents are female and 46% are male. A random sample of 200 residents
is chosen from the town. Using a suitable approximation, find the probability that more than half
the sample are female.
(Total 6 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
7
SECTION B: MECHANICS
7. Two identical 5 m light see-saws are joined at their ends. Robert, who weighs 80 kg, stands on
top of the joint. The distance between Robert and each of the pivots is 2 m. Poppy and Quentin
stand on the two remaining ends of the see-saws, as shown in Figure 4. Poppy weighs p kg and
Quentin weighs q kg. The system is in equilibrium.
Figure 4
8
8. Figure 5 shows an object of 3 kg sitting on a plane inclined at an angle θ to the horizontal. The
coefficient of friction between the object and the plane is . The system is in limiting equilibrium.
Figure 5
(a) Draw a diagram showing all the forces acting on the object. Describe the origin of each force
using words.
(3)
(c) Hence, determine whether or not the object slips if = 0.3 and θ = 30°.
(4)
(d) As θ approaches 90, state whether an object of any mass could remain in equilibrium.
Explain your answer.
(2)
(Total 15 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
9. A projectile is launched at 8 m s−1 from the origin at a 60° angle to the horizontal. Find the length
of time for which the particle is at least 2 m above its launch point.
____________________________________________________________________________
9
10. A 0.5 kg particle experiences two forces, A = (2i – j) N and B = I N. Initially, the particle is at
rest and has position vector (3i + 4j) m.
(b) Explain why the particle never returns to its starting point.
(2)
(c) Describe a physical situation which this mathematical model could represent and give
physical meanings to A and B.
(2)
(Total 13 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
cos 2t
11. The position, r, of a planet orbiting a star at time t is given by r .
sin 2t
(c) Sketch the trajectory of the particle and draw arrows showing its velocity and acceleration
when t = 0.
(2)
(Total 6 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
10
A level Statistics & Mechanics: Practice Set 2 mark scheme
Pearson
Progression Step
G1 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(7 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
G2 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a B1 2.5 3rd
Draw and use tree
diagrams with
three branches
and/or three
levels.
(2)
(2)
(8 marks)
Notes
(2)
(1)
(4)
(8 marks)
Notes
a
Do not accept symmetrical with no discription of the shape.
d
B2 for Suggests better weather in Jacksonville but less consistent.
Pearson
Progression Step
G4 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(1)
(1)
c As daily mean pressure increases (rises) daily mean wind speed B1 3.2 5th
decreases (falls) in Hurn May to October in 2015.
Interpret the
or PPMC as a
measure of
As daily mean pressure decreases (falls) daily mean wind speed
correlation.
increases (rises) in Hurn May to October in 2015.
(1)
(3)
e Daily mean wind speed = 180 − 0.170 × daily mean pressure. B2 1.1b 4th
Use the principles
of bivariate data
analysis in the
context of the
large data set.
(2)
f The regression model suggests for every hPa increase in daily B1 3.2 4th
mean pressure the daily mean wind speed decreases by 0.1694
Use the principles
knots.
of bivariate data
or analysis in the
context of the
The regression model suggests for every hPa decrease in daily
large data set.
mean pressure the daily mean wind speed increases by 0.1694
knots.
(1)
(1)
(10 marks)
Notes
e
B1 y = 180.0 − 0.1694x unless x and y are defined.
Pearson
Progression Step
G5 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(2)
(2)
c B1 2.5 3rd
Understand and
use Venn
diagrams for
multiple events.
(5)
(2)
(11 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
G6 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(6 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
G7 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
3qg A1 2.2a
Force on Bob due to Quentin is (N)
2
3 M1 2.2a
Total force on Bob is p q g (N)
2
3 M1 3.1b
Forces are equal so p q g = 80g
2
(8 marks)
Pearson
Progression Step
G8 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a 3rd
Draw force
diagrams.
(3)
(6)
(4)
(2)
(15 marks)
Pearson
Progression Step
G9 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
Solve y = 2 M1 1.1a
(8 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
G10 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
1 2 M1 1.1a
s s0 at
2
1 M1 1.1b
3i 4 j 6i 2 j t 2
2
x = 3 + 3 t2 A1 1.1b
y = 4 – t2 A1 1.1b
(9)
(2)
c Anything resonable. For example, a ball in a river with wind. B1 3.5 3rd
Descriptions of A and B. B1 3.5 Understand
assumptions
For example, A is force due to water.
common in
For example, B is force due to wind. mathematical
modelling.
(2)
(13 marks)
Notes
b
Accept any valid argument (For example, equivalent argument for y)
Pearson
Progression Step
G11 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(3)
b cos 2t 8th
a 4 4r B1 2.2a
sin 2t Solve general
kinematics
problems in a
range of contexts
using vectors.
(1)
c 8th
Solve general
kinematics
problems in a
range of contexts
using vectors.
(2)
(6 marks)
Notes
c
B1 for correct velocity direction
B1 for correct acceleration direction
Instructions
Use black ink or ball-point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly
labelled.
Answer the questions in the spaces provided – there may be more space than you need.
You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without
working may not gain full credit.
Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
There are 12 questions in this paper. The total is 100.
For each question are shown in brackets – use this as a guide as to how much time to
spend on each question.
Advice
Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
Check your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your new answer and any
working underneath.
1
SECTION A: STATISTICS
1. The distributions for the heights for a sample of females and males at a UK university can be
modelled using normal distributions with mean 165 cm, standard deviation 9 cm and mean
178 cm, standard deviation 10 cm respectively.
A female’s height of 177 cm and a male’s height of 190 cm are both 12 cm above their means.
2. The table shows some data collected on the temperature, in °C, of a cup of coffee, c, and the time,
t in minutes, after which it was made.
t 0 2 4 5 7 11 13 17 25
c 81.9 75.9 70.1 65.1 60.9 51.9 50.8 45.1 39.2
(a) Given that the data can be modelled by an equation of the form c = abt where a and b are
constants, find the values of a and b.
(3)
(c) Explain why this model is not reliable for estimating the temperature of the coffee after an
hour.
(1)
(Total 5 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
2
3. The table below shows the number of gold, silver and bronze medals won by two teams in an
athletics competition.
The events G, S and B are that a medal is gold, silver or bronze respectively. Let A be the event
that team A won a medal and C team C won a medal. A medal winner is selected at random. Find
(a) P(G),
(2)
(c) Explain, showing your working, whether or not events S and A are statistically independent.
Give reasons for your answer.
(2)
(d) Determine whether or not events B and C are mutually exclusive. Give a reason for your
answer.
(2)
(e) Given that 30% of the gold medal winners are female, 60% of the silver medal winners are
female and 40% of the bronze medal winners are female, find the probability that a randomly
selected medal winner is female.
(2)
(Total 10 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
4. A certain type of cabbage has a mass M which is normally distributed with mean 900 g and
standard deviation 100 g.
10% of the cabbages are too light and 10% are too heavy to be packaged and sold at a fixed price.
(b) Find the minimum and maximum weights of the cabbages that are packaged.
(3)
(Total 4 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
3
5. The data and scatter diagram (Figure 1) show the weight of chickens, x kilograms, and the average
weight, y grams, of eggs laid by a random sample of 10 chickens.
Weight of
2.9 1.9 1.6 2.7 3.1 2.2 2.7 1.9 1.7 2.6
chickens (kg)
Average weight
58 56 55 66 47 63 49 56 53 53
of eggs (g)
Figure 1
The product moment correlation coefficient for the average weight of eggs and weight of
chickens is −0.136.
(a) Test for evidence of a negative population product moment correlation coefficient at the
2.5% significance level. Interpret this result in context.
(3)
(b) Explain why even if the population product moment correlation coefficient between two
variables is close to zero there may still be a relationship between them.
(2)
(Total 5 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
4
6. (a) State the conditions under which the normal distribution may be used as an appoximation to
the binomial distribution X ~ B(n, p).
(2)
(b) Write down the mean and variance of the normal approximation to X in terms of n and p.
(2)
A manufacturer claims that more than 55% of its batteries last for at least 15 hours of continuous
use.
(c) Write down a reason why the manufacturer should not justify their claim by testing all the
batteries they produce.
(1)
To test the manufacturer’s claim, a random sample of 300 batteries were tested.
(d) State the hypotheses for a one-tailed test of the manufacturer’s claim.
(1)
(e) Given that 184 of the 300 batteries lasted for at least 15 hours of continuous use a normal
approximation to test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not the manufacturer’s
claim is justified.
(7)
(Total 13 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
7. The mean body temperature for women is normally distributed with mean 36.73 °C with variance
0.1482 (°C)2. Kay has a temperature of 38.1 °C.
(a) Calculate the probability of a woman having a temperature greater than 38.1 °C.
(2)
(b) Advise whether should Kay get medical advice. Give a reason for your advice.
(1)
(Total 3 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
5
8. To investigate if there is a correlation between daily mean temperature (C) and daily mean
pressure (hPa) the location Hurn 2015 was randomly selected from:
(b) The product moment correlation coefficient between daily mean temperature and daily mean
pressure for these data is −0.258 with a p-value of 0.001. Use a 5% significance level to test
whether or not there is evidence of a correlation between the daily mean temperature and
daily mean pressure.
(3)
(c) The scatter diagram in Figure 2 shows daily mean temperature versus daily mean pressure,
by season, for Hurn 2015. Give two interpretations on the split of the data between summer
and autumn.
(2)
Figure 2
(Total 6 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________
6
SECTION B: MECHANICS
8 6 2
9. At time t seconds, a 2 kg particle experiences a force F N, where F t t
4 12
10. An archer shoots an arrow at 10 m s−1 from the origin and hits a target at (10, −5) m. The initial
velocity of the arrow is at an angle θ above the horizontal. The arrow is modelled as a particle
moving freely under gravity.
7
11. Figure 3 shows a 5000 kg bus hanging 12 m over the edge of a cliff with 1000 kg of gold at the
front. The gold sits on a wheeled cart. A group of n people, each weighing 70 kg, stands at the
other end. The bus is 20 m long.
Figure 3
(a) Write down the total clockwise moment about the cliff edge in terms of n.
(7)
(b) Find the smallest number of people needed to stop the bus falling over the cliff.
(2)
(c) One person needs to walk to the end of the bus to retrieve the gold. Find the smallest number
of people needed to stop the bus falling over the cliff in this situation, including the one
retrieving the gold.
(4)
(Total 13 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
12. A car travels along a long, straight road for one hour, starting from rest. After t hours, its
acceleration is a km h−2, where a = 180 − 360t.
(b) Find the range of times during which the car is breaking the speed limit. Give your answer
in minutes.
(4)
(c) Find the average speed of the car over the whole journey.
(5)
(Total 11 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
8
A level Statistics & Mechanics: Practice et 3 mark scheme
Pearson
Progression Step
H1 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(4 marks)
Pearson
Progression Step
H2 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(3)
b b is the proportional rate at which the temperature changes per A1 3.2a 6th
minute.
Understand
exponential
models in
bivariate data.
(1)
(1)
(5 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H3 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a 29 21 50 M1 1.1b 2nd
=
29 21 17 23 18 17 125 Calculate
probabilities from
= 0.4 A1 1.1b relative frequency
tables and real
data.
(2)
(2)
c 17 40 64 M1 2.1 4th
P(S A) = = 0.136 ≠ P(S) × P(A) = =0.163…
125 125 125 Understand and
use the definition
So, S and A are not statistically independent. A1 2.4 of independence
in probability
calculations.
(2)
(2)
e 15 24 14 53 M1 3.1b 5th
=
125 125 Calculate
conditional
= 0.424 A1 1.1b probabilities
using formulae.
(2)
(10 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H4 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(1)
(3)
(4 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H5 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(3)
(2)
(5 marks)
Notes
(13 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H7 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(2)
(1)
(3 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H8 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a A statistic that is calculated from sample data in order to test a B1 1.2 5th
hypothesis about a population.
Understand the
language of
hypothesis
testing.
(1)
b H0 : 𝜌 = 0, H1 : 𝜌 ≠ 0 B1 2.5 6th
p-value < 0.05 M1 Carry out a
hypothesis test for
There is evidence to reject H0 1.1b
zero correlation.
There is evidence (at 5% level) of a correlation between the A1 2.2b
daily mean temperature and daily mean pressure.
(3)
(2)
(6 marks)
Notes
F Understand
a M1 1.1b
general
2 kinematics
4 3 A1 1.1b problems with
t t 2 (m s−2) vectors.
2 6
(3)
Integrate v M1 1.1a
2 1 A1 1.1b
3
r t 3 4 t 4 c (m)
1 1
3 2
c = 0 because initially at origin. A1 2.4
(6)
(3)
(12 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H11 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
= 560ng (N m) A1 1.1b
(7)
(2)
c New moment from gold and extra person is 1070 × 12 × g (N) M1 3.1a 5th
Solve equilibrium
New total moment = (22840 − 560n)g (N m) M1 1.1b
problems
involving
n = 40.78… A1 3.2a
horizontal bars.
42 people (including the extra) A1 2.4
(4)
(13 marks)
Pearson
Progression Step
H10 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
1 A1 1.1b
t
cos
tan 1 A1 2.1
2
1 legitimately obtained
(11)
(3)
(14 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
H12 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(2)
(4)
(5)
(11 marks)
Notes
Instructions
Use black ink or ball-point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly
labelled.
Answer the questions in the spaces provided – there may be more space than you need.
You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without
working may not gain full credit.
Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
There are 11 questions in this paper. The total is 100.
For each question are shown in brackets – use this as a guide as to how much time to
spend on each question.
Advice
Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
Check your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your new answer and any
working underneath.
1
SECTION A: STATISTICS
1. The number of bacteria, n thousand per cm3, in a sample of liquid is measured over a period of
time, t, in hours. The data is shown in the table.
t 3.9 5.5 6.8 8.5 10.6 11.5 13.3 14.7 16.5 17.8
n 10.1 13.1 14.6 20.7 27.9 31.5 40 49.9 64.7 75.6
(a) Given that the data can be modelled by an equation of the form n = abt where a and b are
constants, find the values of a and b.
(3)
(c) Explain why this model is not reliable for estimating the number of bacteria after 24 hours.
(1)
(Total 5 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
2
2. In a factory, three machinists, Amy, Brad and Ceri, are used to sew shirts.
It is known that 5% of the shirts sewn by Amy are faulty, 2% of the shirts sewn by Brad are faulty
and 3% of the shirts sewn by Ceri are faulty.
(a) Draw a tree diagram to illustrate all the possible outcomes and associated probabilities.
(3)
(b) Calculate the probability that the shirt is sewn by Brad and is not faulty.
(2)
(d) Given that the shirt is faulty, find the probability that it was not sewn by Ceri.
(3)
(Total 10 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________________
3. The heights of a population of men are normally distributed with mean μ cm and standard deviation
σ cm. It is known that 20% of the men are taller than 180 cm and 5% are shorter than 170 cm.
(a) Sketch a diagram to show the distribution of heights represented by this information.
(3)
(c) Three men are selected at random, find the probability that they are all taller than 175 cm.
(2)
(Total 12 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
3
4. The data and scatter diagram in Figure 1 show the population, p, in millions, of a country taken
t years since their first census.
t 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
p 238.4 252.1 251.3 279 318.7 361.1 439.2 548.2 683.3 846.4 1028.7
Figure 1
(a) Give a reason why the data is coded using the changes of variable x = t and y = log10 p.
(1)
(b) The product moment correlation coefficient for the coded data is r = 0.9735. Comment on r
for this model.
(2)
(c) With reference to your answer to part (b), state whether a model in the form p = abt, where
a and b are constants, is a good fit for this data.
(2)
(Total 5 marks)
____________________________________________________________________________________
4
2
5. A group of students were surveyed by a principal and were found to always hand in assignments
3
3
on time. When questioned about their assignments said they always start their assignments on
5
the day they are issued and, of those who always start their assignments on the day they are issued,
11
hand them in on time.
20
(i) always start their assignments on the day they are issued and hand them in on time,
(2)
(ii) does not always hand in assignments on time and does not start their assignments on the
day they are issued.
(4)
(c) Determine whether or not always starting assignments on the day they are issued and handing
them in on time are statistically independent. Give reasons for your answer.
(2)
(Total 11 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
5
6. A researcher wishes to investigate if there is a positive correlation between the number of vehicles
and the number of road fatalities in European countries.
He selects a random sample of 10 European countries and records the number of vehicles, v per
1000 people, and the number of road fatalities, r per 100 000 population, for a particular year.
These are shown in the table and scatter diagrams in Figure 2.
Country v r
Austria 578 5.4
Belgium 559 6.7
France 578 5.1
Germany 572 4.3
Greece 624 9.1
Ireland 513 4.1
Italy 679 6.1
Luxembourg 739 8.7
Spain 593 3.7
UK 519 2.9
6
Figure 2
(b) The product moment correlaton coefficient for v and r is 0.714. Use this value to test for
positive correlation at the 5% significance level. Interpret your result in context.
(3)
(c) The researcher wishes to predict the number of road fatalities for a country with 650 vehicles
per 1000 people. Write down the regression model he should use.
(1)
(d) State the dependent variable for the regression model in part (c).
(1)
(e) Monaco has 899 vehicles per 1000 people. Explain why the model stated in part (c) is not
reliable for estimating the number of road fatalities in Monaco.
(1)
(Total 7 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________________
7
SECTION B: MECHANICS
7. An object has three different forces F1 N, F2 N and F3 N acting on its centre of mass.
1 3
F1 = and F2 = . The object is in equilibrium.
2 4
Find F3.
(Total 3 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
8. A 0.1 kg inflatable ball floats on the surface of the sea. The current from the water underneath
2 3
the ball exerts a force C = N and the wind exerts a force of W = N on the ball.
1 2
1
Initially, the ball is at the origin and has velocity N m s−1.
1
8
9. Figure 3 shows Alice, who weighs 50 kg, sitting on the right-hand end of a light see-saw. Bob,
who weighs 80 kg, stands on the opposite side at a distance x m from the end. The length of the
see-saw is 4 m and it pivots about its centre.
Figure 3
(a) Draw a diagram showing the forces acting on the see-saw due to the two people. Label the
value of each force in newtons.
(2)
(b) Write down the total clockwise moment about the centre in terms of x.
(5)
(d) Given that Bob remains on the opposite side to Alice, describe with inequalities the range of
x for which the see-saw tilts towards Alice.
(2)
9
10. A ball is launched from the origin with speed 1 m s−1. Its velocity vector makes an angle above
the horizontal. It travels over flat ground and is modelled as a particle moving freely under
gravity, as shown in Figure 4.
Figure 4
(a) Find the horizontal and vertical displacements of the particle at time t seconds. You should
give your answer in terms of θ and t.
(4)
sin 2θ
(b) Show that the horizontal distance travelled by the particle before it hits the ground is .
10
(5)
(c) Find the value θ for which the horizontal distance travelled is a maximum.
(2)
10
11. Figure 5 shows a cylindrical object with mass 8 kg resting on two cylindrical bars of equal radius.
The lines connecting the centre of each of the bars to the centre of the object make an angle of
40° to the vertical.
Figure 5
(a) Draw a diagram showing all the forces acting on the object. Describe each of the forces using
words.
(2)
(b) Calculate the magnitude of the force on each of the bars due to the cylindrical object.
(7)
(Total 9 marks)
_____________________________________________________________________________
11
BLANK PAGE
12
A level Statistics & Mechanics: Practice Set 4 mark scheme
Pearson
Progression Step
I1 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(3)
(1)
(1)
(5 marks)
Notes
a B1 2.5 3rd
B1 1.1b Draw and use tree
diagrams with
B1 1.1b three branches
and/or three
levels.
Let F ~ faulty
(3)
Pearson
Progression Step
I3 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a B1 1.2 5th
Understand the
basic features of
the normal
distribution
including
parameters, shape
bell shaped and notation.
170, 180 on axis B1 1.1b
(3)
(7)
c M1 1.1b 5th
P(All three are taller than 175 cm) = 0.656…3
Understand
A1 1.1b informally the link
= 0.282… (using calculator) awrt 0.282 to probability
distributions.
(2)
(12 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
I4 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(1)
(2)
(2)
(5 marks)
Notes
c
B0 for just stating the model is a good fit with no reason.
Pearson
Progression Step
I5 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a B1 2.5 2nd
B1 1.1b Draw and use
simple tree
B1 1.1b diagrams with two
branches and two
levels.
(3)
(2)
b ii 3 11 2 2 M1 3.1b 5th
x
5 20 5 3 Understand and
calculate
conditional
probabilities in the
context of tree
diagrams.
101 A1 1.1b
x or 0.841…
120
2 101 M1 1.1b
P(T'' D') = 1
5 120
19 A1 1.1b
or 0.0633… (accept awrt 0.0633)
300
(4)
c 33 2 3 2 M1 2.1 4th
P(T D) = ≠ P(T) × P(D) =
100 3 5 5 Understand and
use the definition
So, T and D are not statistically independent. A1 2.4 of independence
in probability
calculations.
(2)
(11 marks)
Notes
b ii Alternative solution
P(T'' D') = 1 − P(T D)
2 3 33
P(T D) =
3 5 100
281
=
300
281 19
P(T'' D') = 1 − =
300 300
a A critical value is the point (or points) on the scale of the test B1 1.2 5th
statistic beyond which we reject the null hypothesis.
Understand the
language of
hypothesis
testing.
(1)
e Outside the range of the data used in the model. B1 3.5b 4th
or Understand the
concepts of
This would require extrapolation.
interpolation and
extrapolation.
(1)
(7 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
I7 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
= 560ng (N m) A1 1.1b
(7)
(2)
c New moment from gold and extra person is 1070 × 12 × g (N) M1 3.1a 5th
Solve equilibrium
New total moment = (22840 − 560n)g (N m) M1 1.1b
problems
involving
n = 40.78… A1 3.2a
horizontal bars.
42 people (including the extra) A1 2.4
(4)
(13 marks)
Pearson
Progression Step
I8 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
(2)
(3)
c 1 2 M1 1.1a 5th
s ut at
2
Use the equations
1 1 50 2 M1 1.1b of motion to solve
t t problems in
1 2 10 familiar contexts.
x = t + 25t2 A1 1.1b
y = t − 5t2 A1 1.1b
(4)
(5)
(14 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
I9 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a Figure 1 4th
Calculate
moments.
a 1 6th
Use of s ut at 2 M1 1.1a
2 Resolve velocity
into horizontal
Initial velocity is cos , sin A1 3.4
and vertical
components.
x t cos A1 1.1b
y t sin 5t 2 B1 1.1b
(4)
sin
t = 0 is initial position so t M1 2.4
5
(5)
(2)
(1)
(12 marks)
Notes
Pearson
Progression Step
I11 Scheme Marks AOs
and Progress
descriptor
a 3rd
Draw force
diagrams.
(2)
(7)
(9 marks)