Understanding Population Geography
Understanding Population Geography
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SOURCES OF POPULATION DATA
The study of population is based on the number of people available in an area at a
particular time i.e. population data. Thus, these numbers change overtime. To
collect and compel population data on an area therefore numerous sources are
available. These methods are however grouped into categories
Static source example (census, sample surveys and enquiries)
Dynamic source (vital registration, record of employment occupation,
migration record)
1. CENSUS
Census is defined as the collection of demography, economic and social data at a
particular time in a given country. It is one of the best known and often used sources
of population data. The term census may also be defined as the complete head to
head count of a population in country at a given time conducted after every 5 years
and others 10 years. During data collection the people who are involve in the
counting are called enumerators. This approach is sub divided into
De facto approach
This approach involves the counting and recording of persons at the places where
are found at the time of the census. This method is used in Britain. The weakness on
this method is that information obtain may be inflated because there is the
possibility of double counting.
De Jure approach
This approach involves the counting and recording of people at their usual place of
residence. This method is used in many countries of the world including Cameroon.
The method has its own weakness in that some people have multiple residence
others are homeless and human mobility make the approach less satisfactory.
Advantages of Census
It makes it possible for the total population to be known in a country.
It helps the government in the social development plans.
It creates temporal employment for these involve.
It helps the country to estimate the working population
Disadvantages of Census
It usually disturbs economic activities.
It is too expensive or costly especially to poor countries. This is because of its
broad nature.
It gives falsify results since information can be manipulated.
Inadequacy as not all information can be recorded
Delaying in the publication of results makes results outdated since it takes
longer time for it to be published.
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On suitability and classification used. This is because different countries use
different method. It may also be as a result of infrequency.
As a result of the expensive nature of census, many countries rely on sampling
techniques
2. SAMPLE SURVEY
Sampling involves taking a portion of full population to represent the whole the
population. In order words is an example where a small proportion is taken to
represent a total population of the whole region.
It may also be considered as a method used to make statistical valid influences when
it is impossible to measure the total in this case information that could be gotten
from the whole population is obtain from a small proportion of population by
posing questions directly to the population or composing an administrating
questionnaire where by the expected should provide answers which will ease the
collection and combination of data.
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4. MIGRATION RECORDS
Migration records provide data for the both internal and external or international
movement but its reliability is questionable because internal movements are difficult
to record. Other sources of population data include. United nation statistical office
and office from the ministry of health.
POPULATION DISTRIBUTION
Population distribution is the description of the manner and way in which people are
spread on the earth surface. It is therefore, an attempt at mapping and representing
the visual spreads of population number on the globe. There are many problems
associated with the concept. This is because the preparation of its data suffers from
subjectivity.
Today the world’s population is excessing 7.8 billion and this population is uneven
distributed some areas are densely populated, others moderately and others sparsely
populated. The portions of the earth which are presently inhabited areas are known
as Ecumene areas while that which uninhabited is called non-Ecumene. In
examining the concept of population of population distribution our focus is placed
on special variation and the explainary fc tors for its variation. The global
population distribution is examined under dense, moderate and sparsely populated
areas.
Densely Populated Areas
These are areas with over 100-200persons/km²
Moderated Populated Areas; these areas with a population of between 10-
50persons/km²
Sparsely Populated Areas; these are areas having very low population density with
less than 10 persons/km²
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CRUDE DENSITY
This is the commonest and most widely used method. It is simply the directly
measurement of the total number of people living per unit area.
CD=
It should be noted here that from crude density, the average population density can
be calculated. Average population density is thus expressed as the sum of the crude
densities of various regions in relation to the number of regions.
Average population density is calculated using the formula
Where EPD =sum of population density of regions, n = number of regions
Nutritional/Agricultural Density
It is the ratio of the number of farmers to the total amount of land suitable for
agriculture or the total number of agricultural populations in a defined area divided
by cultivated land.
ND =
Significance of Nd
It usually gives a better indication of living standards.
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It also indicates the magnitude of land shortage or availability.
It can determine whether it is an intensive or extensive agricultural system
being practiced.
Weaknesses
It is difficult to determine the real size of the cultivated land i.e. its
definition is relative and varies even within the same country.
In some areas, cultivable land is not distinguished.
It is difficult to determine the real size of the population engage in
cultivation of land.
Physiological Density
This is the ratio between the total population and cultivated land area or land
suitable for agricultural purpose. In other words, it is the number of people
per unit of cultivable land
PD =
Comparative Density
This approach was advanced by Vincent a French geographer. It is a type of
physiological density which gives the ration between the total population and
land area weighted according to its productivity e.g. 1km² of cultivated land
is equated to 3km² of grassland
Room density
It is the average number of persons living in a room in given urban area. It is
expressed
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RD= =
This is a very important index in urban areas because it helps urban planners to
determine the average number of people living in a room in a given area.
Importance of RD
It helps in the understanding of congestion in towns, housing conditions in
urban areas and over-crowding.
It reflects changes in housing conditions over space (regional and rural-urban
variation in these conditions) and time.
Weaknesses of RD
T is difficult to measure the actual surface area of storey buildings especially
skyscrapers.
It ignores sizes of rooms which greatly influence density, large rooms reduce
density while small rooms increase
It is only restricted to urban areas.
It is limited to only private house-holds, the size and composition of which
are not taken in to account by measure.
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Creation of job opportunities in depressed rural areas (industrial and
agricultural development) that pulls people to such areas.
Improvement in social welfare facilities in rural areas.
Urban problems such as pollution, noise high crime wave encourage people
to move out from the cities and increasing distance density.
High cost of living in urban areas.
People on retirement prefer to stay in calm and quite rural areas.
The above-mentioned reason has cause population density to be lower in some cities
than the periphery.
The graph shows a gentle slope with population density gradually decreasing in the
urban center and increasing towards the periphery as illustrated by the arrows
0 Distance (km)
Developing Countries
The situation is different in the developing countries. Here, the lapse rate is very
steep showing that population density is higher in the cities and very low in rural
areas. Population concentration is higher in urban areas and decrease rapidly with
increase in distance towards the periphery. The following are reason why population
is higher in urban center and lower densities in rural areas include;
1) Rapid urbanization leading to concentration of people in cities
2) Poor transport modes making it difficult for easy movement
3) Grater economic development in urban areas leading to the creation of
employment opportunities in industries
4) Low technological improvement in rural areas.
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5) Availability of social amenities like education, medical facilities, electricity,
entertainment spots. Which also attracts many people but with great
insufficiency towards the outskirts
6) Higher per capital income and living Standards in urban areas compared
with rural areas
Distance
(km)
The graph shows a concentration of population in the urban area and the future
trend shows that there will be just a little change, i.e. small outward movement to
the periphery. The above represent the degree of spatial change between developed
and less developed Countries and probable changes over time. From the graphs
above, the following differences can be brought out.
The curves for the developed world show that there are possible density changes in
the future while those for the developing world shows very little changes in the
Future.
The developed world shows more gentle sloping curves while for those. For the
developing world are steep.
NB: It is worth noting that the dot differences in lapse Rates between western and
eastern hemisphere
THE LORENZ CURVE
This graph shows the percentage of a phenomenon (maybe wealth, pop, land area,
output) enjoyed by each household. It was devised for measuring the concentration
of income. But today, it is used to measure the degree of regularity of distribution of
both societal and spatial kind for a given area. It therefore expresses the inequalities
of distribution (people, food, wealth, political power, personal contentment, medical
care, industry and other socio-economic assets) in any society welfare in a given
society, a complete when equality to achieve with when the ration between
population and assets is proportionally constant and positive e.g. 25% of people
own 25% of all wealth, 50% of people over 50% all wealth unbalanced rations mean
the inequality of social economic possessions. There also exist differences in
societal distribution between developed & developing countries. In looking at these
inequalities the following are considered
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● Spatial population distribution alone about the degree and he tells us nothing
about the list to we an area is suffering demographic, social or economic
problems e.g., a country in which pop clustered may have numerous or fewer
problems than one with even pop spread.
● Human action can directly or indirectly affect the societal distribution for
better or worst politically extreme policies tend to widen the Social &
economic gap within a nation while politically moderate policies tend to
reduce inequalities.
● Unequal distribution should not be equated with such concepts as efficiency,
fairness and equity" This is because a clustered pop is neither efficient nor
inefficient. Conversely, societies such with extreme unequal distribution
could well be highly efficient the e.g., Italy had uneven spread of social and
economic assets but were highly to successful, culturally, scientifically and
politically.
Types of Lorenz Curves
There are two types depending on what they measure.
● Spatial type: This measures population, land use number of industries Land. it
is useful in pop studies because it shows the spatial distribution of pop over
land area.
Societal type: It measures wealth, income, medical care, political power,
food in a given society with the spatial type our focus will be on it uses to in
pop studies.
It is thus an important graphical method used in measuring spatial distribution of
pop.
As a technique in measuring uneven distribution of pop, cumulative percentages of
pop are plotted against cumulative percentages of land area. The cumulative % of
pop are shown on the horizontal axis while Land area on the vertical axis.
● The unit are then arranged starting from the smallest area to the biggest and in
each case, the corresponding pop percentages written beside
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● The cumulative percentages of both land and pop calculated must be sum up
to 100%
● To produce a graph with y-axis for land area and x-axis for pop starting the
numbering from 0-100 in each case.
the theoretical trace line is also known as the 45° line. This is because it lies at 45°
from the origin and create an angle 45°. This line represents a perfectly even
distribution e g at x 20% of the pop live on 20% of the Land area. Also, from this
line 50% of the pop live on 50% of the Land area. In other words, the line shows
equal spread of pop over the land area It can also be considered as Yardstick from
Comparison can be made. It is very simple to interpret and shows an unrealistic
situation as pop can sounds hardly be evenly distributed.
The actual trace line or concave curve is the Lorenz curve. It Illustrates unevenness
or inequality in pop distribution and demonstrates the real or true situation of
population distribution. This actually show’s that some areas are densely populated
and others sparsely populated. Thus, the curve can either be Concave or convex as
shown below
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The greater the convex or concave of the slope the greater the inequality or
unevenness of pop distribution. The graph shows different concentration of
population found at different land areas e.g., the spatial distribution curve shows
that at Z 40% of the pop, live on about 9% of land area while for at Y, 80% of the
pop live on about 40% of land area. Since this shows the true situation of
distribution, from the actual trace line, the unevenness in pop may be explained by a
complex array of physical, socio-economic & historical factors.
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Factors influencing pop Distribution
A number of factors account for the spatial variation in pop and can be grouped
under physical & human factors
A) Physical factors
1. Climatic Conditions: Climate plays a more dominant role in the distribution of
pop. It has a direct and indirect influence. The direct influence on climate is through
temperature, and rainfall. There are some climatic conditions below which mankind
can hardly survive. This explains why the Polar areas with very low temperature are
sparsely populated while hot desert areas with extremely high temperature and low
precipitation are sparsely populated. Climate influence pop indirectly through its’
influences on soil types, vegetation & agriculture areas with reliable rainfall and
moderate temperature such as the humid tropics and the temperate tend to favour
human habitation. Climate is therefore partly responsible for the high human pop to
South-East Asia.
Aridity is also another one of the main restrictions on settlement. In every hot
region's such as desert and semi-desert areas temperature are very high rainfall is
very low and vegetation growth limited consequently the land surface is
permanently dry, resulting to scanty population.
Inspire of the fact that climatic extremes repel pop concentration in some areas
mining and scientific undertaking, in both cold and hot climatic regions have been
attractive man.
2. Relief and attitude. There is an inverse relationship between population
concentration and increase in height. Pop reduces with increase in attitude about
85% of the world’s population live in areas less than 500m of altitude. This is
common in the high latitude areas where rugged mountains and steep slopes are
either sparsely populated or uninhabited. This is because mountainous areas are
characterized with positive environmental condition such as cold weather, steep and
rugged slopes we make stress to settlement and agriculture difficult. Even if
technology and human ingenuity can improve the harsh climatic Conditions of high-
altitude areas for agriculture, they remain conducive for settlement. But however not
all high-altitude areas are sparsely populated high pop concentration are pronounced
in the high altitude of low latitude areas such as Ethiopian highlands on which most
towns are situated on altitude over 2000m e.g., Addis-Ababa situated at an altitude
of 2450m, Buea at about 915m.
3. Oceanicity or continentality: the interior of the continents has space have
consideration influence on pop distribution the interior has sparse pop while the
coastal areas are densely populated. This is because. The interior of continent is
characterized by climatic extremes e.g., summer in the temperate regions’
temperatures are high sometimes exceeding 30% while winter periods are
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characterized by low temperatures (<11°C) at the coast those temperature extremes
are moderate the influence of the ocean. Because ocean temperature are never too
high or too low Coastal pop often concentrate in ports and in commercial sites
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Commercial Activities: Since the Introduction of the money economy the great
trading centers such as local markets, parks, road junctions or railway stations have
become centers for pop concentration.
Historical and Social Activities pop distribution in the past can influence present
and future pop distribution of an area. This is simply to say, that there is a tendency
for pop distribution inertia most present-day distribution are explained in terms of
the past civilization of Asia have contributed to its present-day patterns. Also, Iraq,
the sparse pop may be partly as a result of the past invasions. The sparse pop on of
west and Central Africa may to the effects of slave trade.
To conclude, although attempts have been made to advance reasons for inequalities
in the present day population distribution, the subject remains a complex one.
Among the many factors to advance, the geographical factors appear to be most
Influential. It should be noted that they should not be emphasized at the expense of
non-geographical factors. As such, it is preferable to discuss the distribution in of
the world's pop with focus on a combination of factors rather than by a single factor.
Demographic Consequences
● There would be the possibility of a rapid pop increase in the future do the
children grow into childbearing age and become reproductive.
Social - Consequence
● Youthful population often leads to pressure on social facilities like education
and health Infrastructure. These structures will experience over-crowding.
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● A high dependency ration on the working age group This normally lowers the
living standard of the working class because large proportion of their income
is use to take care of the social needs of the dependents.
Economic Consequence.
● High youthful pop means an increase in future labour demand. This may lead
to high rates of unemployment.
● An increase in government expenditure on the provision of services needed
by the young the young. The consequences are largely positive however in
many countries, measures have been put in place to reduce the effects.
● Introduction of family planning programs.
● Child spacing.
● Encouragement of emigration.
The aged
This age group is made up of people from 65 years and above. In this group,
females constitute the majority (windows and are biologically non-reproductive and
economically largely non-productive. But the old men who make a minority may be
reproductive and usually more productive. Like the young this group is also referred
to as the dependent age group. As the population evolves especially in advanced
countries, the proportion of the aged to the total population tends to increase
because of better medical facilities and increase life expectancy. The proportion is
still small in most developing countries given that medical facilities are poor and
expectancy is low.
● High Dependency Ration: It shows number of people (children & the aged) in
the total pop that depend on the working class (adults) this number depends
on the economic situation and the level of development of the Individual
country. Thus, financial burden of the working pop Increased because a lot of
money has to be spent on the medication of the old and in their general body
maintenance
Social Consequences
Increase Expenditure on social security the increase in the number of old people due
to a long-life expectancy means an increase in government expenditure on social
security system for the old. Government expenditure on services like the Provision
of free housing, medication and other specialized services for the elderly will
increase.
● Possible inflow of immigrant this leads to financial drains in the given
country. This is mainly as a result of shortage in labour due ageing
population. In some country’s immigration laws are relaxed in order to
encourage the inflow of migrants. Since immigrants are usually less law
abiding, crime wave rises and, in some cases, racial discrimination develops.
● Change in demand and production pattern. An ageing population will
probably lead to a change in the production patterns. This is because there
will be an increase in the demand for goods needed by the old.
MALES 7
FEMALES
6
5
4
3
0 1
2 2 1 1 5 0 0 5 119 1 2 2
Structure of an Age-sex Pyramid
The pyramids reveal a number of features of a pop. Age pyramids are generally
wider at the bottom than on the top, i.e., narrow top is a result of increase mortality
with increasing age. Again, the pyramid is wider for males than for females
reflexing variation in the sex ration at birth.
Furthermore, the upper portion of the pyramid favours the female reflecting
differences on mortality and life expectancy between males and females with
females having greater life expectancies. Finally, pop pyramids over a period of
time can reveal changing pop Composition.
Types of Pyramids
Progressive | Expansive pyramids this pyramid displays a broad base and narrow
top. This broad base and narrow top shows high birth and high death rates and this
situation is typical of less developed countries where social, economic, and cultural
and Religious Conditions lead to high fertility but poor living conditions, bad diets
and little medical aid lead to high levels of mortality. Here, children account for 45 -
55% of the total pop the aged only about 4-8%% adult age group is about 30%.
MALE FEMALE
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Stationary / Static Pyramid. This type shows an unchanging pattern of fertility,
mortality and migration rates over long period of time. It produces a regularly
tapering (shape as shown below)
MALE FEMALE
An Intermediate pyramid This type may vary in character and is most common in
countries that are passing through stages of development such countries may have
had a progressive Structure in future may have a regressive structure. Their shapes
reflect pop and historical events of Individual countries like wars, disasters,
migration and socio-cultural factors that affect fertility & mortality rates.
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MALE FEMALE
Progressive becomes narrow at the base. The pyramid may also have an excess of
females over males because naturally mortality in every age group is bias against
males’ reasons environment and socio-economic also give rise to the imbalance sex
ration. This also means that the female section of the pyramid will have a greater
bulge at the top than the male section.
Changes in mortality: in the case where death rate is declining as a result of birth
control there will be a slow pop growth. This often takes over long time and would
lead to an increasing proportion of the ages and a declining proportion of children
this situation is illustrated in the regressive age-sex pyramid with a widening apex
showing a higher proportion of the old age resulting from an increase life
expectancy due improve medical care.
Migration: Migration over long distances is both age and sex selective get. A
country experiencing a net inflow of adult migrant will have a slide bulge in the age
sex pyramid. Also, regions experiencing emigration will have a slide indentation on
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the section of male adults in the long run. Also, massive influx of young adults into
an area results in increased growth rates. This assumes that the population will
increase naturally since adult migrants are often of the reproductive age group
whereas; areas experiencing massive emigration suffer a drastic reduction in the
active age group. The shape of the age and sex pyramid will show an Indentation at
the middle section however, the indentation is greater for male than for female
because males are most mobile especially over long distances.
Non-Demographic factors
Famine: Famine reduces pop growth through increase deaths and emigration
children and the aged are often affected in the short run as they will die first Famine
provokes emigration of people to other areas of better opportunities hence reducing
the size infants and the aged of the Pyramids who are fragile are left behind
constituted a bulk of the pop. The shape of the pyramid will show a broader base, a
narrow middle section and a broad top. How-ever in the long run with the return of
more favorable and stable conditions the massive return of the adult pop will result
in a pyramid with a broad middle a narrow base due to declining births and a narrow
top due to short life expectancy.
War directly / indirectly reduces pop the short-term effect is that deaths increase
dominantly for the adult males since they make up the bulk of the arm forces. Birth
rates also stagnate or reduce due to instability It will also immediately provoke
emigration in the long run, the end of war may excite a baby boom which will
produce a progressive age-sex pyramid.
Epidemics/pandemics: The widespread of disease go a long way to reduce pop
especially in poor countries. Where medical care is inadequate
Improved medical services vaccination against deadly diseases, availability of
medical practitioners, and a better healthcare system has the immediate effects of
reducing mortality. Improve medical care will lead to increase life expectancy in the
long run: Increasing the proportion of the aged pop.
Natural Hazards like earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslides and man-made
hazard like fire disasters generally reduce pop. Thus, apart from death which is a
short-term effect it also provokes a large scale of emigration in affected areas and it
is not age selective.
Dependency Ratio: it shows the number of people (children and the aged in the
total pop that depend on the working class (adults). This number depends on the
economic situation and the level of development of the Individual country. Thus,
the financial burden of the working pop is increased because a lot of money has to
spent on the medication of the old and in their general body maintenance
DR is calculated as
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Assumption of Dependency Ratio
Generally, dependency ration assumes that every member of the society is a
consumer but only some are producers
Adults from 20-64 years are producers while children less than 16 years or 20 years
and the aged are the dependent pop or burden of the adults.
ADVANTAGES OF DR
From its’ comparisons can easily be made between region i.e., between the
developed and developing countries
It can determine which regions are economically advanced.
It helps the government in her socio-economic planning policies.
Demographic characteristics of a country can also be known by calculating the
dependency ratio.
Weakness
It may be misleading because many people stay on at school even after the youthful
age and in to adult age.
Both developed and developing countries many people may still be working after 65
yrs. This makes Statistics questionable.
In some countries, the proportion of adults unemployed is too high and is dependent
on other adults.
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These four variables explain all variation in fertility with the importance of each
determinant depending on the cultural, economic, health and social factors within a
population. Many Africa societies, babies are breast feed until the age of two during
these periods, women are expected to abstained from sexual intercourse which
increase spacing between birth.
Generally, birth rates in developed countries are always low. In the developing
countries birth rates are high. However, birth rate or fertility rate is a function of
several factors like age, sex, educational level and socio-cultural differences.
Demographic structure
These involves the age and sex structure of a given population age structure is the
classification of population into age and sex regions with dominant of adults will
turn to have high birth rate because it is the economically active and biologically
reproductive age group of population. The high birth rate may result in a positive
natural increase. Areas dominated by children and the aged persons will experience
a fall in birth rate.
Sex structure
It also influences birthrate in the sense that areas where there is excess females over
males, birthrate are high and may also result to population increase as compared to
areas that have shortage of women.
Education
In the advanced countries, the level of education is high. The smaller will be the
average size of the family which education comes with knowledge of birth control,
greater social awareness and the wider choice of action. This factor may be linked
with a class since it is often the case that knowledge correlates with social standard.
The lower the class are on the average, less educated and have larger family than the
middle class who may be more aware of material and financial burdens of large
families with education, women are more aware of their right and participate in
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decision making. In family planning, then in illiterate societies open opportunities
for both male and female without bias as regards to sex. These implies that women
study for such opportunity and in doing they delay the birth to an extend that some
women even get married at the age of menopause
Religion
Many of the world’s religion like the Muslims and the Roman Catholics encourage
large families. In other to safeguard the continuation of their beliefs, thus they are
against abortion and the use of contraceptive. Therefore, in areas where this religion
is dominant will have a considerable high birthrate and vice versa.
Social customs
In some area’s polygamy is practice this act greatly to the level of fertility for
instance in India most people are average age for girls to marry is 16 and may
Health and Diet
The poorest and the most under nourish people of the world tend to have the highest
birth rate. The reasons for this is not clear but sociologists believe correlation exist
between diet and sexual appetite. Unfortunately, high birth rate often leads to
poverty which maintains malnutrition and thus a vicious circle of poverty. It is also
noticed that countries with high level of fertility also have levels of mortality. These
suggest that parent in this region deliberately have many children in other to ensure
that some children will reach adulthood
War
war has natural limit on population growth emphases should be placed on these
factors because war reduce population only 4 a generation and soon after wards
there is an increase in birth rate (baby boom)
Government policy
Government policies increase birth rates and consequently population growth e.g.
the Chinese government recently adopted the anti-natalist policy to help stabilize the
population of the country.
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Factors Influencing Mortality Rate
Improved medical care (level of economic development)
Regions with good medical services tend to have low death rate such is the case
of most economically advanced country. Also, the more economically developed
countries have higher doctors to patient ratio than the less economically
developed countries
Age sex structure
Countries were the age structure is top heavy (made up of the old) than the young
will generally have high death rate. Also, regions dominated by men over women
turn to have high death rate
Natural disasters
Areas vulnerable to environmental disasters are often associated with high death
rate than areas free of such hazards.
Occupation
Certain occupations are more dangerous and therefore lead to high death rates
because they are vulnerable to high accidents. These include jobs like mining;
building and construction. Other occupations may not lead to physical deterioration
but to mental string. These include jobs that carry high levels of responsibility such
as banking, management accountancy.
Social class
The poorer section of the population usually has high death rates than richer
Class. This is because they are less privileged. Also, there maybe a high standard
houses and unsanitary condition their purchasing power may not permit them to
provide a balance diet and adequate medical treatment for themselves and their
family. In general, the highest mortality is found among the poor.
Place of residence
This simply explains the difference between urban and rural areas. In the developed
world, death rate is critical in the urban areas than rural areas because more of the
population is habited in urban areas but otherwise in the developing countries rural
areas suffers high death rate to urban areas. This explains that there is improvement
of medical facilities and living condition is also high in town.
Level of economic development
With the level of economic development regions with developed economic will
likely enjoy high living standard low rate of death due to increase in medical
facilities.
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POPULATION GROWTH MODELS
These are models, theories or concept that explains the variation in growth rate of
population from one place to another.
4) Matured stage
This stage is characterized by very low birth rate and low death rate giving raise to
slow population growth. This stage also corresponds to stage 4 of Rostow’s model.
5) Low declining stage
Population declines. However, there is a rare occurrence of this stage, but it can
occur during war or in the event of an outbreak of epidemic
Stage 5 of Rostow’s model is equivalent to stage 5 of DTM. It is characterized by
rapid expansion of tertiary sector and welfare facilities.
Application of the Theory
The DTM largely reflect the situation of developed countries though some stages of
the model particularly stage 1-3 can be applicable in most developing countries such
as Argentina, China, Cameroon, Brazil are in stage 3. But a majority of developing
countries are still in stage 2. In the developing countries fertility and mortality
remain high. Developing countries are still pre-dominantly rural birth control
measures are either not used or inadequately used. Death rate has dropped in most
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developing countries more than what happen in the developed counties. This sudden
drop has been experienced even in some least economically developed countries.
Developing countries benefited from medical technology and facilities already
developed in the developing countries. The developed countries have experienced
all the 4 stages of demographic transition model (DTM) and some has extended to
stage 5.
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The exploitation of natural resources
Measures birth and death rate has begun to fall even though not at a fast rate. The
country can thus be described as the one that has reach stage 3 of the Demographic
transition model. It must be noted that Cameroon may develop her own
development part which may enable her to go through a transition less similar to
that which was experienced in the western nation.
CHAPTER FIVE:
POPULATION CHANGE OVER SPACE
(MIGRATION)
INTRODUCTION:
A definition of migration is possible and has been attempted, although in
practice the effect is sometimes made more complex by the variety of
movement involved, the direction and volume, the scale at which they take
place, duration, selectivity and difficulties over sources for their study .A
general distinction is usually made between mobility (which is a very general
term use to describe all kinds of spatial movement).Both temporal and
permanent over various distances and migration (which is more restricted in
meaning are refer to as permanent or semi-permanent change of residence
with a complete readjustment of the community.
In other migration refers to the movement or displacement of people from
geographical area to another at a particular time. It is common practice to
refer to all population movement as migration.
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Ethnic groups; some examples are more migratory than others e.g., Fulani’s
are more migratory than the Bantus.
Socio economic movement (groups); Given that the rich migrates more than
the poor that is the movement is the function of cape.
GRAVITY MODEL
This theory was borrowed from physic which is the Newton’s universal laws of
gravitation. This theory was use to explain what happened when there is movement
in geographical space such movement over space is called spatial interaction. It
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usually involves the movement of people, goods, ideas, messages and services
between places within a transport system for a given period of time. The gravity
model is to predict the amount of population interaction between two towns.
According to the model in the interaction between two objects is proposition to their
mass and inversely proportional to their respective distance. Consequently, the
general formulation of spatial population can be adapted to reflect the basic
assumption to form elementary formulation of the gravity model. This model is
based on the premise that migration is some form of function with distance. It
ensures the extent to interaction predict approximately the actual movement,
suggesting that the movement between two centers will be proportional to the
product of their population and inversely proportional to the square of the distance
separating them. This is to say that expected movement between two towns may be
obtained by multiplying the population of town X by that of town Y and dividing
the product by the square of the distance separating them. It is express using the
formula
Iij =
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THE THEORY OF INTERVENING OPPORTUNITIES BY S.A STOUFFER
The theory was proposed in 1940. The theory states that “the volume of migration
over a given distance is directly proportional to the number of opportunities at a
point of destination but inversely proportional to the number of opportunities
between the points of departure and that of destination”. This model attempts to
translate the distance factor into social as well as economic terms. He argues that the
number of migrants over a distance is directly related to the number of opportunities
at that distance and inversely related to the number of opportunities which exist at
the place of departure. Such opportunities could be employment, social facilities
such as hospitals, pipe borne water, schools, electricity.
This model is expressed mathematically in the following formula
Nij =
Where, Nij = the number of competing migrants between town I and j.
Oj = the number of opportunities at j
Oij = number of intervening opportunities between town I and j
Weakness of the Stouffer Model
The model does not explain the causes of migration nor take in to account other
significant variables affecting the volume of migration and interaction between
competing places. The model of transportation is not given.
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between two regions this meant that the supply most be backed by the ability to pay
for it e.g., interaction takes place between develop countries by the buying of raw
materials from the developing countries in exchange for finish or manufactured
good. A residential zone is complementary to an industrial zone because the first is
supplying workers while the second is supplying jobs. It also takes place between a
town and it surrounding country side with the country side supplying food stuff in
exchange for good such as dresses, agricultural input. Thus, for complementarity to
occur there must be a supply and demand between the interaction towns
b) Intervening opportunities
The theory of intervening opportunities states that the volume of migration is
directly proportional to the number of intervening opportunities at the point of
destination but inversely proportional to the number of intervening opportunities
between the point of departure and destination intervening opportunities reduces the
volume of migration spatial interaction between the area of departure or destination
(spatial interaction) A potential buyer will not be willing to go very far from his area
of origin if he can obtain what he want close to his area. Thus, interaction will occur
between the most easily reached regions, if a migrant has to move from place A-C
in search for a job and discovers that between A and C jobs are found at B he is v
likely to end at B. The presents of jobs in B will therefor reduce the volume of
migration between A and C thus, the higher the intervening opportunities the lower
the volume of migration between regions.
c) Transferability
For special interaction to take place the good or services must be transferable goods
can’t be only moved physically but economically. This is an important
consideration if the cost of moving a good or services may be too high then
interaction will not take place. Person or information been transferred most be
supported by transport infrastructures implying the origin and destination must be
linked caused to over-come this must be higher than the benefit of related
interaction even if there is complementally and no alternative opportunity. Transport
infrastructures must be present to support an interaction between A and B.
Apart from these 3 basis factors, the volume of spatial intervention depends on the
number of other factors.
d) Cost Factor
Various types of cost may affect the amount of special intervening between places
such cost may include; Monetary cost, cost of energy, cost of convenience, cost of
time and social cost. But among these the most important is monetary cost which
include;
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i) Transport Cost
The higher the transport cost the higher the amount of interaction given that fewer
people will be prepared to pay the high transport cost. Transport cost depends on the
physical distance under normal circumstances; transport over long distances is
higher than over short distances. As a result, special interaction turns to be higher
over short distances than over long distances. Apart from physical distance transport
cost also depends on the nature of Terrain Rugged and Swampy Regions are
more costly.
Another monetary cost that affects the amount of special interaction include Cost of
feeding, lodging at destination, cost of preparing for journey, cost of catering
for family left behind until return.
As a result of this cost in movement, economy distance has become important in
migration and special intervention than mere physical distance since cost is very
vital in movement, human population are often very sensitive to changes in cost
thus the greater the cost of movement between places the fewer will be the number
that will afford to pay hence, reducing the volume of interaction between them.
e) Distance
The volume of migration is inversely related to distance. i.e. the volume of
migration between 2 regions related with change in distance. This means migration
volume is greater over short distance than long distances. Some reasons for these
inverse relationships may include higher transport cost for longer distance greater
risk, lack of information. It should be noted that the inverse relationship is not
always true in all cases e.g., A situation were 2 regions complement each other, the
volume of migration may even be greater over long distance
TYPES OF MIGRATION
None of the many criteria for classifying migration advanced already is perfect. This
is because each type of migration over lapse and interrelates with other types. The
diversity of migration in terms of duration direction distance volume and motive
also makes a task of classification difficult. Despite this shortcoming, the most and
commonly used way for classifying migration is distance. These brings out 2
distinct but broad types of migration i.e., Internal and external or international
migration.
Describe and attempt to explain the various type of internal migration.
With reference to specific example discuss the causes and consequences of
international migration.
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I) Internal Migration
This is concerned with the movement of people within a country or political unit.
Here therefore, the movement does not cross national boundaries.
Characteristics of Internal Migration
-Unlike internal migration, it is more difficult to access the significant of internal
migratory movement and to trace them accurately except in countries which keep
accurate record of such movement.
- Internal movements are usually free from some contains such as custom barriers
and restrictive emigration or emigration laws.
-It involves movement over shorter distance than long distance hence lower cost.
-The volume of migration and the amount of special interaction is higher than
international migration.
Types of Internal Migration
1) Rural-urban migration
It is simply the movement of people away from the country side (Rural areas) to
towns (urban areas) of countries. This movement is generally the most important
form of inter migration especially in countries experiencing industrialization and
technology programs. The intensity of rural exodus which is reached alarming
proportion in the 20th century in developing countries and is still very pronounced in
these areas due to the growth of transport media which have facilitated the
movement.
CAUSES OF RURAL URBAN MIGRATION
A) Push Factor
These are factors which are present in rural areas. And trigger or force people
out of them
Rural people pressure
This often exist when there are so many people settled on small land area
resulting in overcrowding this might be brought about by high natural change
as a result of fertile soils for agriculture Leading to high people densities.
This situation often result in scarcity of land for cultivation is settlement
hence, many people do not have agriculture land to work on and so they
move out to towns
i) Mechanization of agriculture
Most rural areas in both the developed and developing countries have been
experiencing agricultural mechanization in the developed countries; it has
been intensified since the First World War. After independence for most
developing countries, mechanization of agriculture involved the use of
machines like, plough, tractors, sprayers, combined harvesters to do farm
work. Formerly done manually have levied to a drastic reduction in the did
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for agricultural laborers. These result in high rate of unemployment; these
situations trigger off rural exodus
The harsh condition of a rural area can also be a push factor especially these
situated on mountainous regions Bamileke and Kom of Cameroon.
Furthermore, from crops cultivation to live stock farming that need more
agricultural land equally demonstrate the same effect as well as
-Traditional land tenure displaces people to move to urban areas.
-Rural over population
ii) Absolute Poverty
In some rural societies, people may stay for many months without money to meet
up with their basic needs. This may result partly from the high unemployment, the
dependence on newly subsistence agriculture where very little or nothing is sold.
This triggers off or force people to move out of towns which have lack of or limited
social amenities.
B) PULL FACTORS
These constitute the seduction amenities present in urban areas and attract
people from rural areas.
- Availability of employment
Urban areas offer better employment opportunities than the rural areas because
economic growth has occurred predominantly in urban areas leading to the
creation of many jobs’ opportunities with better working conditions and higher
paid thus many rural dwellers are attracted to move into these towns with the
hopes of picking up jobs
- High incomes and living standard
People in urban areas have higher and purchasing power than the rural population
because none agricultural employments in urban areas as in industries, transport,
commercial activities are more paid than the purely agricultural economies of rural
areas thus the living standard in urban areas are higher this therefore attracts the
rural population.
Urban areas offer exceptional social amenities such as schools of higher learning,
stores and public utilities such as water, electricity an entertainment like night clubs,
videos club and TV programs all these facilities attract a quite number of rural
populations.
- Improvement in transport.
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CONSEQUENCES OF RURAL URBAN MIGRATION
Whether migration takes place over short or long distance or whether it involves
few hundreds of several millions of people. It ends up in all causes by transferring
both the place of origin the area of destination way of life either positively or
negatively thus the effects are classified under economic, social and demographic
factors both at the place of departure and the place of destination.
i) Positive consequence
Financial support from urban areas promotes socio economic development because
those whom migrate are able to work and carry out investment like creating small
and medium size industries, making financial contribution for the development of
water project, electricity and road for the development of water project, electricity
and road project in rural areas. Money from urban areas has therefore contributed to
the socio-economic development of rural areas.
Migrants returning from urban areas may help to spend new ideas, techniques and
innovation that will contribute in the socio-economic development of rural
environment and broadening the knowledge of rural people.
Fall in labour force; There will be a change in labour force and a fall in
agricultural production the rural areas are unquestionable penalized in that they lose
their most active men and women who are the most enterprising because when they
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move out of the various attractions in towns the work of agriculture is left in the
hands of old men and women and children whose labour is insufficient to improve
on it and even to maintain it good condition as a result of these there will be a drop
in agricultural productivity.
Positive Effects
URBAN-RURAL MIGRATION
It involves the movement of people from urban areas to rural areas. It is not
as wide spread as rural urban migration but more prominent in the developed
countries than in developing countries who’s the reverse movement is more
common.
A) PUSH FACTORS
i) Retirement
Majority of old people prefer to move in to rural areas after they retire
from their jobs in other to enjoy quietness, calmness and eye are closer to
the nature. They also prefer rural areas because their small pension can
sustain them as the cost of living is generally low
-urban problem
B) PUSH FACTOR
- Agricultural attraction
- Industrial development
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- Abundant and cheap land
CONSEQUENCES
A) Urban Areas
-De-population of urban area
-movement reduces the problem of congestion
-it helps reduce the rate of unemployment
B) Rural Areas
- Rural areas gain more labour from urban areas changing cost of living in rural
areas as the changing number eventually exceed great pressure on the land on the
resources of rural environment.
The movements are usually from towns to low of socio -economic development to
those of high levels.
PUSH FACTORS
Movement away from departure town may triggered off by the inability to
ensure a job (unemployment) absolute poverty, low wages and poor working
conditions
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- Improvement in transport links between the departure and receiving
towns, good roads, tarred roads, rail ways and air transport facilities make
movement easy journey shorter and cheaper movement has also been
encourage by inter urban transport bases.
- Over population in some towns resulting in resource scarcity,
unemployment, overcrowding and amenities like schools and hospitals may
also trigger a lot of out movement to other towns.
- Increasing cost of living in terms of cost of feeding, housing (rents) social
bills have also contributed to the displacement of people from one town to
another.
ii) Push factors
Availability of a wide range of job opportunities some towns are more
developed economically than others possessing many industries,
commercial activities, a well-developed transport network. All these
provide employment opportunities.
- Higher incomes, better working conditions and high standard of living are
also some economic pull factors which attract migrants from one town to
another.
Social push factors
- Limited social amenities and services like education and medical facilities,
electricity, pipe borne
- Water, good housing may also trigger off out movement from departure
towns.
Pull Factors
Economic pull factor
- Availability of a wide range of job opportunities, some towns are more
developed economically than others possessing many industries,
commercial activities as well as developed transport network. All these
provides employment opportunities
- Higher income, better writing conditions and high living standard are also
some economic pull factors which attracts migrants from one town to
another.
i) Social pull factors
- Availability of a variety and better amenities in one town such as better
medical and educational facilities, pipe borne water may act as a pull factor
to migrants from other towns.
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CONSEQUENCES OF INTER URBAN MIGRATION
- Decrease population at departure town but change it at the leaving town.
- Overcrowding (congestion in receiving towns).
- Changing cost of living.
- Economic progress in the economically more developed town.
CONSEQUENCES
The inner cities are often left with a higher proportion of low-income families,
handicapped people, the elderly, single-parent families, the unemployed, recent
immigrants, people with few skills and limited qualifications.
The suburbs attract people of middle age, married with a growing family,
possessing higher skills and qualification, earning higher salaries and capable of
buying their own homes and cars.
A lot of development in the outer city often leads to destruction of the natural
beauty of the countryside. It should be noted however that the process of
gentrification in the inner cities of most developed countries in recent years has led
to the re-urbanization of these areas.
RURAL-RURAL MIGRATION
This involves the movement of people from one rural area or village to another.
CAUSES OF RURAL- RURAL MIGRATION
Migrations from one rural area to another are triggered by Push-Pull factors.
i. Rural population pressure: This is an important push factor which
contributes to the out migration of people from a rural area. This is
because the high population density on the land limits cultivable land area
and thus people who are unable to secure land for agriculture or settlement
are forced to move out. On the other hand, rural areas with abundant land
with low population density or low population pressure attract or pull
migrants from other rural areas.
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ii. Infertile soil for Agriculture. This is also responsible for out migration
from some rural areas (push). Given that agriculture is the mainstay of the
rural areas, infertile soils limit agricultural activities and therefore forces
people out of rural areas to those with fertile soils good for agricultural
activities. These fertile soils act as a pull factor.
iii. Overpopulation. Out migration from one rural area may also be triggered
by overpopulation. Rural overpopulation results from rapid population
growth, which outstrips resources. This is often indicated by the existence
of high unemployment, landless people, low incomes and living standards
and possibly malnutrition and famine. When this happens, many people
are forced to out of such rural areas to those with abundant land and more
resources
iv. Intertribal wars: This often results mainly from land disputes and have
been responsible for massive out movements from the affected rural areas
to peaceful villages. They are popular in the North West Province of
Cameroon. For instance, the Bambili-Babanki, Balikumbat- Bafanji wars
were as a result of land disputes.
v. Natural disasters: These may include floods, volcanic eruptions; toxic
gas explosions which may also cause out form one rural area to another.
These caused massive movements out of these villages to neighboring
ones not affected by the disaster. Peace in other villages acts as a pull
factor for people in such troubled areas.
INTER-REGIONAL MIGRATION
This is the movement of people from one region to another. This could be between
regions within the same country or between countries.
These movements can be traced in countries of both the developed and developing
world. Some examples include: In Cameroon examples include movements from the
western highlands towards the coast, drifts from Far North and Adamawa to towns
of the center and Littoral provinces (North-South movements)
CAUSES OFINTER-REGIONALMIGRATION
A. PHYSICAL FACTORS
a. PUSH FACTORS: Such factors are related to climate, relief, soils, and natural
disasters. Regions with harsh climatic conditions like much cold or excessive heat,
too wet or dry (drought) makes life difficult and forces people out of such areas e,g.
the harsh climate of the Swedish Lapland, far North Russia, middle belt of Nigeria
etc. forces people to move out to other parts of the country with favorable
conditions.
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Out migration is also triggered by difficult (rugged) relief and poor (infertile) soils
which makes human activities like agriculture, road construction etc. difficult and
livelihood precarious. These can therefore act as strong push factors e.g., the rugged
relief and poor soils of the Adamawa high plateau of Cameroon encourages out
migration to the southern region; the infertile soils of most Sahel regions of Africa,
Western Jutland (Denmark) etc. have also been responsible for the out movement of
people to other parts of the country. Natural disasters (hazards) such as drought
(Sahel countries), earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, tidal waves as in
Bangladesh and India, Hurricanes etc. often lead to loss of life, destruction of
property and makes life difficult and insecure. They therefore cause the forceful
movement of people out of such disaster areas to other regions.
b. PULL FACTORS
These are related to the positive aspects of the already discussed push factors. Thus,
regions with favorable/equable climate, good relief, fertile soils and absence of
natural disasters are attractive to migrants and many would like to move to such
areas e.g., the climatic conditions of the south coast of England, the Mediterranean
coast of France and Spain, the coastal regions of Cameroon etc. attract many
migrants from other parts of the country. The fertile volcanic soils at the foot of
mount Cameroon have also attracted many people from the grass fields for
agricultural endeavors.
B. ECONOMIC FACTORS
PUSH FACTORS
Unemployment (limited opportunities in some parts of the country or in
depressed regions). This indicates that poverty characterizes such regions and
people cannot meet up with their basic needs leading to low living standards.
Limited or no industries to provide employment avenues. Many people are
therefore urged to move out.
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Population pressure on land (as in the Bamelike regions of Cameroon) also
forces people out of their area of origin to other regions as there is limited
land for agriculture and other activities.
b. PULL FACTORS
The economic pull factors include: The availability of a variety of employment
opportunities, higher incomes/wages, better prospects in agriculture and industry,
lower cost of living and higher living standards, lower land rents etc. For instance,
the growth of a variety of modern industries like car manufacturing, electrical
engineering, service industries [Link] the South East of Britain has attracted
increasing number of migrants from the North. Also, the variety of job opportunities
provided in industries, commercial activities, transport, various plantations etc. in
the coastal region of Cameroon attracts many migrants from other parts of
Cameroon into this region.
Another possible pull factor is the existence of rich mineral deposits which attracts
rapid inflow of population e.g., the influx of migrants into the Shaba province of the
Democratic Republic of Congo, the copper belt of Zambia etc. has been partly as a
result of the presence of copper.
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C. SOCIAL FACTORS
a. PUSH FACTORS
The lack or insufficiency of social or public amenities in the departure area such as
educational facilities (schools), medical facilities health centers, hospitals etc.
electricity, pipe bore water supply, housing facilities account for the movement of
people out of their origins to other places.
b. PULL FACTORS
On the other hand, the availability of these amenities in the receiving areas are
attractive to migrants and thus encourage movements into such areas e.g. the
availability of such amenities in the coastal towns of Cameroon have encouraged a
lot of in migration from other regions of the country where such amenities are
inadequate or absent
D. POLITICAL FACTORS
a) Push Factor
Some people migrate when they disagree with the political ideology of the
government in power. Such people may face persecution or threats of arrest and will
be forced to escape either to seek refuge in a region of a neighboring country or to
another part of the country e.g., during the UPC crisis in the 1950s and 1960s many
Bamelike migrated from the Western highlands towards the coastal region of
Cameron because they supported the party's ideology against the government.
b) Pull Factor
The existence of peace and freedom in particular regions or countries may act as a
pull to many migrants given that their life and property is safe in such areas. Good
governance often provides fertile ground for peace and progress and limits political
agitation and therefore attracts migrants/investments.
RELIGIONS FACTORS
a) Push Factors
An important religious push factor is religious persecution or intolerance. This often
forces the religious group concerned to migrate to other areas where their religion
can be practiced.
Religious Conflicts: Conflicts between Moslems and Christians, anti-Jewish
practice in most European countries especially Germany, the past Jihad or Holy
wars have also been responsible for the rampant out migration or emigration of
people to other places.
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b. PULL Factors
On the other hand, religious freedom or religious toleration will act as pull factor
and would encourage or attract migrants into such areas.
It should however be note that various migrants would perceive the realities at a
destination in different ways. An area of natural beauty can be viewed by one
migrant as attractive, but to the other who cannot find employment in it, he
considers it a depressed region. Thus, causes must be qualified. It has however been
established that the greater the contrast between regions, the greater the volume of
interregional movements.
AREA OF DESTINATION
There would be an increase in total population and population growth rate. This
may result in overpopulation and population pressure on resources.
It may lead to an increase in fertility, especially when migrants are poorer and less
skilled or educated. In some places however, it is unlikely to increase fertility as
more educated people are involved and favor smaller families.
Distorted age-sex structure given that mostly young adult males may dominate due
to the age and sex selective effects of migration.
There would be a reduction in dependency ratios given that most migrants are active
and productive.
AT THE DESTINATION
AT THE DESTINATION
Provision of valuable labour force given that the most productive age and sex
group has migrated out.
Greater economic development and increase productivity in the agricultural
and industrial sectors as migrants are skilled and productive so no money is
spent on their training.
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Results in an increase in the market potential and purchasing power.
Surplus labour often results in unemployment problems, which would likely
further create an informal sector in the economy.
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assistance housing facilities to immigrants. These policies have been responsible for
the high rate of immigration into these countries.
Political factors
Past and present-day international migrations have been triggered off by political
factors. This often results in voluntary or involuntary movement
Push factors
War- this has been responsible for massive movement across boarders into countries
in the past and present-day. When there is war in the country, many people escape
for safety movement taking into account the distance into the neighboring peaceful
country. Other political events which led to massive international migration include
civil wars, the establishment fascism and Jewish policies in the 1930s in Germany.
Political instability resulting in wide spread wars on the African continent has led to
lot of cross boarder movement.
Forced international migration can also be triggered off because some people in the
country may disagree with the ideology of the government that is the oppose the
ideal of the government in power such people may be persecuted and always
threaten with arrested and detention and even killing many of such people have been
force to seek refuge in other countries. In some countries the minority grove is
bound to suffer. They are often marginalized persecuted and in some case are being
killed by the majority.
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It is cause mainly by the negative situation. This negative condition includes
political, environmental religious
Political factors
Wars; has been responsible for a large-scale movement and thus created great floods
of refugees. The first and second world war in the first half of the 20 th century
provoked a massive shifting of people with some permanent and temporal
Doctorial government
Natural disaster
Religious persecution/ conflict
Economic factors
Refugees are be force to work in other countries so as to help improve on their
economic activity
Crop failure cause by drought
UNDER POPULATION
This is when the population is too small to utilizes its’ resources fully or where the
resources and development could support a larger population than the current one
without lowering the living standard or increase unemployment
Indicators
Economically backward regions
The presence of vast untapped resources given the low technology to exploit
them.
Low per capital income and low living standards owing to the fact that the
resources are unexploited.
Low socio-economic development
This is because in regions with few people, it is uneconomical to provide good
communication network, health and education.
Possible inflow of migrants with foreign technology to exploit from which the home
country of the migrants is the main beneficiary.
Economically advanced country
Luxurious average living standard given the high per capital income
Wasteful usage of resources if not controlled
They will exist a small population rate to utilizes resources
High rate of immigration
Measurement of under population
Finding the per capital income
Investing the level of employment
Existence of diminishing returns
Checking the life expectancy
Measuring population density
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THEORY OF POPULATION GROWTH
The Malthusian theory
Thomas Robert Malthus was the leading and strong supporter of the idea of
reduction in population growth he published his view. He was anxious about the
constant tendency for population to increase more rapidly than the amount of food
supply. He believed that there was finite population size in relation to food supply
and decline in the standard of living, unemployment, famine and disease. He
pointed out that population is growing at a geometric rate and turns to double ever
25 years while food production increase at an arithmetic rate 1,2,3, 4,…….10.
Malthus suggested that when the ceiling or optimum population has reached and
there is any further growth in population private or preventive checks will set in and
reduce the growth.
Private or preventive checks
These are ways of reducing population growth voluntarily by man and this include;
Voluntary limitation of families (natural family planning)
Abstinence from sex still marriage
Encouragement of delay or late marriages
Celibacy
Chastity
Positive checks
These are checks impose by the environment and geared towards reducing
population size involuntarily.
Famine which often results in starvation leading to increase in death rate diseases,
wars, poverty, pest, plaques and epidemics, natural disasters all of which help to
raise death rate and lead to low life expectancy.
Weakness of the Theory
1. The improvements in the means of transport (roads, railway, air and water)
allowed for more efficient trade between regions. It made it possible and very
easy for food to be transported from areas of surpluses to areas of deficiency -
thus supporting the increasing population. Due to this, Britain and other countries
could easily import large quantities of food from other countries such that food
was above population.
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pesticides and insecticides, improved seeds etc. which greatly increased
agricultural output, thus supporting the increasing population. Also,
improvements in technology made it possible for land which was formerly
considered wasteland to become highly productive. There was the opening of new
farmlands through land reclamation, irrigation and deforestation.
3. New sources of food supply were also discovered in the seas and oceans. The
exploitation of fish resources here contributed to increase food resources (source
of protein).
4. Also,new mineral resources were discovered in regions hardly known during the
time of Malthus. These were being exploited, processed and utilized by man.
5. The Industrial Revolution helped to transform agricultural, mineral and other raw
materials to usable products, which could sustain the growing population without
a fall in living standards.
6. Theopening up of the New World (USA, Australia, New Zealand) and colonies
not only increased agricultural output but also provided an outlet for excess
population in the form of emigration - thus reducing the population pressure on
food resources in Europe.
8. High-density housing and cities have been built to solve the problem of shelter.
9. Criticsof Malthus claimed that his model was oversimplified. To some extent his
argument about starvation due to population growth was illogical. This is because
his principles were based on the potential than the actual population growth and
production.
10. Malthus did not foresee the effects of external influences on the population
like wars, natural disasters (earthquakes, floods, volcanic eruptions, drought etc.)
which often result in drastic reduction in the populations of the affected areas.
These help to retard population increase and thus the population does not grow as
Malthus predicted. For instance, the first and second world wars drastically
reduced world population. Application of the Theory
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Application
Despite the weaknesses levied on Malthus theory. It is still applicable in
many parts of the world today. In many parts of the world, economic
progress has begun to slow down, population has continued to rise and
once again warnings of future disasters are being heeded. Many regions are
already over populated and millions of people especially in S.E. Asia and
parts of Latin America are now under conditions similar to those predicted
by Malthus. In retrospect, it seems that the changes Malthus failed to
forecast did not refute his arguments but merely postponed the inevitable.
Today, the world is facing some harsh ecological facts. Man is pressing
hard on his environment and the imbalance between the world's population
and the material resources are becoming greater unless radical action is
taken. The social, economic and political problems now being experienced
will grow to gigantic proportions i.e. they will reach an extent that man can
no longer control. Cameroon, like most other countries of the world today
is experiencing an increase in the cost of living and many families find it
hard to feed themselves. Thus, there is a starvation and low living standard
leading to low life expectancy. These are conditions similar to those
predicted by Malthus.
Similarly, the scarcity of resources, particularly land for agriculture, has led
to an increase in land conflicts. This has often resulted in inter-tribal wars
leading to the loss of lives. Transport costs have continued to increase
making it difficult for food to be transported from areas of surpluses to
areas of deficiency.
The outbreak of epidemics and pandemics such as HIV/AIDS, cholera,
meningitis and other diseases that take away lives are all positive checks.
Malthus predicted that they must set in to control the rapid rate of
population expansion. The high rates of unemployment experienced in
Cameroon and other social difficulties are all conditions predicted by
Malthus.
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