Demand Analysis in Economics 101
Demand Analysis in Economics 101
Econ 101
Chapter 5: Demand
Contents
1 What Is Going On? 2
2 Demand Schedules 3
2.1 Another Way of Constructing a Demand Schedule . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
6 Elasticity of Demand 13
6.1 Geometric Interpretation of Elasticity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
6.2 Determinants of the Price Elasticity of Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
6.3 Changes in Elasticity Along a Demand Curve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1
1 What Is Going On?
In this chapter, we will draw a demand curve for a particular good and discuss its properties. A demand
curve is the first important element of a market for goods and services. (The second important element
of a market is the supply curve, which we will get to in a few lectures). Basically, we are very close to
wrapping up our discussion on the consumer side of the market.
There are two important insights I’d like you to keep in mind from consumer theory.
1. When a consumer chooses how much to consume among several goods, her decision process resembles
the following. The consumer keeps buying a good until her relative valuation for that good
is equal to the relative price of that good.
To digest this idea better, let me now focus on the consumption of a single good. Let good 1 be
the good that we are focusing on, and let good 2 be the “composite good” that includes every other
good and service the consumer can buy in the world. Well, to buy those other goods and services,
the consumer will need to use money. Then, let good 2 be the money that the consumer keeps in her
pocket to buy all the other goods and services. We will use the framework we developed in the previous
chapter to analyze this scenario.1
Now, q1 is the amount of good that the consumer buys (denominated in kg’s, lt’s, lb’s. . . ) and let q2
denote the amount of money the consumer “buys” (denominated in TL). Of course, the consumer does
not actually buy money with money, but there is nothing wrong with imagining that the consumer can
go ahead and buy 1 TL by paying 1 TL. Then,
I is the income of the consumer (in TL’s),
p1 is the price of good 1 per unit (in TL/kg, TL/lt. . . )
p2 is the price of good 2 per unit (in TL/TL). By construction, p2 = 1 TL/TL. (“The price of
one lira is one lira.”)
The rest is the same. We can just imitate the analysis we made in Chapter 2 and find the optimal
amount of good 1 for the consumer. Here, the consumer has preferences between bundles, where a
bundle q = (q1 , q2 ) consists of q1 units of the good and q2 TL’s. Given the consumer’s preferences, at
a bundle q, one can still define MRS2,1 (q). This is the answer to the following question:
“Suppose the consumer is endowed with q1 units of the good. If I take away one
unit of the good away from the consumer, how many extra TL’s should I give to
the consumer, so that she is left indifferent?”
If you think a little bit about it, this is a measure of how much the consumer values the marginal good
when she already has q1 units of the good. Let’s give this a name:
Definition 1. The marginal benefit (or marginal valuation) of the consumer for the q-th unit is
how much money the consumer is willing to pay for the last unit of the good at the margin, when she
has q units of the good. This is given by MB(q).
To reiterate what I said before: marginal benefit for the q-th unit ̸= the benefit for the first q units of
the good. The consumer may find her first t-shirt very valuable (i.e., the marginal benefit of the first
t-shirt may be very high), but she may not care about the 100-th t-shirt if she already has 99 t-shirts
(i.e., the marginal benefit of the 100-th t-shirt may be very low).
Now, recall that if we have an interior solution (q1∗ > 0, q2∗ > 0), the optimal bundle q ∗ = (q1∗ , q2∗ )
satisfies:
p1
MRS2,1 (q ∗ ) =
p2
1 Hopefully, this will also convince you on how useful and generalizable this framework is.
2
In this setup where good 2 is money, we can replace MRS2,1 (q ∗ ) with MB(q1∗ ). Moreover, p2 = 1.
Therefore, the quantity of good 1 consumed by the consumer when the price is p1 satisfies:
MB(q1∗ ) = p1
Under the optimal quantity, the marginal benefit is equal to the price!
In my experience, imagining the following process is a good way to think about the optimal quantity.
The consumer starts by buying small quantities of good 1. At this quantity, if the consumer (marginally)
values good 1 more than its price, she buys some more good 1. This will reduce the marginal benefit
of good 1 due to the diminishing marginal rate of substitution. If, at the new bundle, she still values
good 1 more than its price, she again buys some more good 1. The process goes on like this until the
consumer does not want to buy any more good 1. But this is exactly the point where the marginal
benefit is equal to the price.
(This process is just a product of our imagination. In this model, the consumer buys the quantity
at once: the process does not move sequentially. It is not an incremental process. But this is a
useful visualization. Moreover, there is nothing wrong with thinking that the consumer “imagines”
this process as well.)
Another point: please note the crucial role played by the diminishing marginal rate of substitution in
this argument. It ensures that as the consumer buys one more unit of a good, her valuation for the
next unit of the same good is lower. This gives the decision process a certain regularity. We also
believe that this is a reasonable assumption for many goods: most consumers really value the first unit
of a good a lot, whereas they do not value 100th unit that much.
2. If the price of an ordinary good increases, the consumer buys it less. A reminder: all goods
we will consider from now on will be ordinary goods.
As you recall from Chapter 2, diminishing marginal rate of substitution also plays a very crucial role in
this argument. Why? Diminishing marginal rate of substitution ensures that substitution effect works
in the “proper” way. That is, it ensures that the substitution effect is such that: if p1 increases, q1∗
decreases. And as you also recall from Chapter 2, for a good to be an ordinary good, the substitution
effect must dominate.2
Now, go back and check the heuristic we developed in the point above. What happens if the price of
a good increases? The consumer stops buying the good earlier. Therefore, once we check the quantity
consumed by the consumer, we will realize that it is lower. This is consistent with everything we said
so far!
2 Demand Schedules
Let us now focus on a single good. Fix the income of the consumer and prices of other goods, and consider
an ordinary good 1. We will study the possible prices of good (P ) and the quantities of good 1 consumer
buys at these prices (q1∗ ). That is, we will study the demand of the consumer for good 1 at various prices.
Based on the things I reiterated above, let me now construct a demand schedule. It is basically an excel
sheet of possible prices P and quantities demanded at these prices q1∗ . I construct this by going to the
consumer and asking the following question repeatedly:
“If the price of good 1 per unit is P , what is the quantity you demand q1∗ ?”
(This is a hypothetical exercise. I ask this question for different values of P and record the answer on an
excel sheet. I am not worried about the consumer lying to me. In real life, we can construct this excel
sheet by looking at the data. Suppose, over time, the price of good 1 varies. We can record the amount the
consumer buys at different prices. This would construct a demand schedule.)
2 Good
1 may be a normal good, in which case the substitution and income effects works in the same direction. Or, good 1
may be an inferior good but not a Giffen good, in which case substitution effect is stronger than income effect.
3
To fix ideas, suppose good 1 is the cups of tea the consumer drinks per day. Let P be the price of a cup of
tea for every cup of tea the consumer drinks. Let q1∗ denote the number of cups of tea the consumer drinks
per day.
I may go ahead and ask: “If the price of tea is 7 liras per cup, how many cups of tea would you consume
a day?” Suppose the consumer says: “Zero. I am not willing to buy even a single cup of tea if it was
7 liras.”
What does it mean? Based on the process I described in Section 1, what the consumer says means the
following. “The value of the first cup of tea is less than 7 liras.”
I then ask: “What if the price is 6 liras per cup?” Suppose the consumer says: “I am willing to buy
one cup of tea.”
What does it mean? Based on the process I described in Section 1, what the consumer says means the
following. “The valuation of the first cup of tea I consume is more than 6 liras. The valuation of the
second cup is less than 6 liras.” (This is because the consumer stops before buying the second cup.)
I then ask: “What if the price is 5 liras per cup?” Suppose the consumer says: “I am still willing to
buy one cup of tea.”
What does it mean? Based on the process I described in Section 1, what the consumer says means the
following. “The valuation of the second cup is less than 5 liras.”
I then ask: “What if the price is 4 liras per cup?” Suppose the consumer says: “I am willing to buy
two cups of tea.”
What does it mean? Based on the process I described in Section 1, what the consumer says means the
following. “The valuation of the second cup of tea I consume is more than 4 liras. The valuation of
the third cup is less than 4 liras.” (This is because the consumer stops before buying the third cup.)
...
I then ask: “What if the price is 0 liras per cup?” (i.e., what if tea was free?) Suppose the consumer
says: “I am willing to buy five cups of tea.”
What does it mean? Based on the process I described in Section 1, what the consumer says means the
following. “The valuation of the fifth cup of tea I consume is more than 0 liras. The valuation of the
sixth cup is less than 0 liras.” (This is because the consumer stops before consuming the sixth cup.)
Based on this survey, I can construct a demand schedule (an excel sheet). It looks like this:
P q1∗
(price per unit) (no. of units bought)
7 0
6 1
5 1
4 2
3 3
2 3
1 4
0 5
To reiterate:
The demand schedule of a consumer for a good is a relation between the possible prices of the
good and the quantities the consumer would like to consume at these prices.
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2.1 Another Way of Constructing a Demand Schedule
The demand schedule is simply an excel sheet. I can easily rearrange the columns of this excel sheet. This
would correspond to asking the following question repeatedly:
“If I want you demand q1∗ units of good 1, what should the maximum price P of good 1 per unit
be?”
(Once again, this is a hypothetical exercise. I am not worried about the consumer lying to me. In real life,
this is coming from data.)
I am not doing much indeed, just reordering the columns. It now looks like this.
q1∗ P
(no. of units bought) (price per unit)
1 6
2 4
3 3
4 1
5 0
Even though I am not doing much, the interpretation of the table now differs. If you are following closely,
what I am doing corresponds to the following procedure.
I go ahead and ask: “If I want you to consume one cup of tea per day, what is the price I should charge
per cup of tea?” The consumer says: “Six liras. I am not willing to consume even one cup of coffee if
the price exceeds six liras.”
What does it mean? “My valuation of the first cup of tea is six liras.”/“The marginal benefit of the
first cup of tea is six liras.”
I then ask: “If I want you to consume two cups of tea per day, what is the price I should charge per
cup of tea?” The consumer says: “Four liras. I am not willing to consume the second cup of tea if the
price per cup of tea exceeds four liras.”
What does it mean? “My valuation of the second cup of tea is four liras.”/“The marginal benefit of
the second cup of tea is four liras.”
...
I then ask: “If I want you to consume five cups of tea per day, what is the price I should charge per
cup of tea?” The consumer says: “Zero liras. I am not willing to consume the fifth cup of tea unless
tea is free.”
What does it mean? “My valuation of the fifth cup of tea is zero liras.”/“The marginal benefit of the
fifth cup of tea is zero liras.”
To reiterate:
The demand schedule of a consumer for a good is a relation between the quantities of the good
and the marginal benefit that the consumer gets from consuming the last unit of the quantity.
5
As a convention, I will put the price (P ) in the y-axis and the quantity (q1∗ ) in the x-axis. NOTE THAT THIS
IS A DIFFERENT GRAPH THAN THOSE WE WERE USING EARLIER. The previous one was showing
the constrained optimization problem the consumer faces, for a given P . This one shows the outcome of the
optimization problem for different values of P .
We end up with a graph looking like this:
pi (TL/cups)
6
5
4
3
2
1
qi∗ (cups/day)
1 2 3 4 5
Let me just re-emphasize one thing. Because a demand curve contains the same information as in a demand
schedule, it also has two interpretations.
1. (From P to q1∗ ) It shows, at each price, the quantity demanded by consumer.
2. (From q1∗ to P ) It shows, at each quantity q, the marginal benefit of consumer for the q-th unit of the
good.
It is important to keep both interpretations in mind, as there are cases when either is useful.
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Regardless of what the market is, as long as we have a clear definition of it, we can obtain the market
demand curve. To obtain the market demand curve, we add up the individual demands of every consumer
in the market. That is, at every single price, we add up the individual demands of the consumers at the said
price. The total we obtain is the quantity demanded by the consumers in the market. We will denote
this quantity by Q. Figure 1 is a representative figure where we add up the individual demand curves of two
consumers. For more than two consumers, the process is the same.
Let me make one more modification. The demand curves we have so far have a lot of kinks. This is fine
as long as you know how they are derived. But in the future, we will give some equations of the demand
curves and conduct some mathematical analysis. Giving the equation for a curve with so many kinks is
very difficult! To circumvent this problem, I will draw “smoother” individual demand curves. Of course, the
market demand curve (which is merely an addition of individual demand curves) will be smooth as well. So
it will look like Fig. 2.
From now on, we will draw “smooth” demand curves. There are at least three ways to defend smooth
demand curves.
1. As discussed above, it is easier to write down equations for smooth curves.
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2. You can imagine us having finer and finer increments in quantities and prices. Instead of asking for the
quantity demanded at each lira, we ask for quantity demanded at each kuruş. We may also have finer
increments in quantities: instead of asking in terms of kilograms, we may ask in terms of miligrams
etc. Because the increments are finer, the jumps in the demand curve will also be smaller. It will look
much more like a smooth curve!
3. You may imagine a smooth curve as an “approximation” to a curve with kinks. As long as we under-
stand what happens in the benchmark case (i.e., the case with smooth curves), the general insights
will go through.
From now on, we will draw a demand curve for a market as a smooth one. Figure 3 illustrates a representative
demand curve. We will use the letter D to label a demand curve, which stands for “Demand”.
D(emand)
Q
8
1. (From P to Q) It shows, at each price, the total quantity demanded by the consumers in the market.
2. (From Q to P ) It shows, at each quantity Q, the marginal benefit of the marginal consumer.
This can sometimes be confusing. By the marginal consumer, I mean the following. At the quantity Q
and price P , there is a consumer who is at the edge of buying the last unit of the good or dropping her
consumption by one unit. If the price increases a tiny bit, this consumer would reduce her consumption
by a tiny bit. P , therefore, is exactly this consumer’s valuation for that last unit of good.
Perhaps it is easier to understand through the following example (which is not a general example, but
it is illustrating). Consider a good that a consumer buys at most one unit of. For instance, the Econ
101 textbook. Consider the demand for Econ 101 textbooks in Meteksan bookstore in a semester. This
is a downward-sloping curve: if the price P is lower, more students will but the textbook, resulting in
a higher Q. For the sake of the argument, let P = 150 liras and Q = 147 textbooks be on this curve.
This has two meanings: (i) when the price of textbook is 150 liras, Meteksan will sell 147 textbooks.
(ii) If we order the students by their valuation of the textbook, the 147th student has a valuation of
150 liras. Why? At any price higher than 150 liras, Meteksan sells less than 147 textbooks, which
means this particular student stops buying the textbook.
9
P
D0
D
Q Q0 Q
Figure 4: An outward shift in the demand curve. Some resources also call this a “shift upwards” or a “shift
in the northeastern direction”.
10
P
D
0
D
Q0 Q Q
Figure 5: An inward shift in the demand curve. Some resources also call this a “shift downwards” or a “shift
in the southwestern direction”.
11
11/2/2020 [Link] Packaged Goods/Our Insights/Rapidly forecasting demand and adapt…
[Link] Packaged Goods/Our Insights/Rapidly forecasting demand and adapting commerc… 1/1
Figure 6: The pandemic caused an outward shift in the demand curves of some goods and services, and an
inward shift in others. Source: McKinsey.
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will increase, and the demand curve will shift outwards. If there is a lot of immigration towards a city, the
demand for houses will increase, and the demand curve will shift outwards.
Similarly, the characteristics of the population may change over time. If the population gets older, the
demand for adult diapers will increase, causing an outward shift in the demand curve. If the population gets
younger, the demand for K-Pop albums will increase, causing an outward shift in the demand curve.
6 Elasticity of Demand
For our next exercise, we will fix a market demand curve (we will not shift it!) and study its properties.
Perhaps the most important information a demand curve is the responsiveness of quantity demanded to the
price. If the price increases a little bit, we know that the quantity demanded will decrease (this is the law
of demand.) But how much will it change? By a little, or a lot? How will it compare the change in price?
To answer these questions, we will introduce the notion of elasticity of demand.
Informally: elasticity of demand (to be more precise, own price elasticity of demand) is a measure
of responsiveness of quantity demanded to changes in price.
A bit more formally: (own price) elasticity of demand is a measure of percentage change in quantity
demanded in response to a percentage change in the price.
Most formally: (own price) elasticity of demand is the rate at which the percentage change in quantity
demanded changes in response to a percentage change in the price of the good resulting from a “small”
change in the price of the good.
So we are looking for an answer to the following question: “If the price of a good increases by one percent,
by what percent the quantity demanded will decrease?”
Here is some notation to get us going:
P : the price of the good at which we would like to find the elasticity.
Q: the quantity demanded at the price P .
∆P : the change in price.
∆Q: change in quantity demanded in response to change in the price.
Therefore, Q + ∆Q is the quantity demanded at price P + ∆P . Note that when ∆P > 0, we have
∆Q < 0 (by the law of demand).
The figure below illustrates:
TL/unit
P + ∆P
∆P
P
∆Q
units
Q + ∆Q Q
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Percentage change in price is
∆P
100
P
Percentage change in quantity demanded is
∆Q
100
Q
The measure of the responsiveness of quantity demanded to a change in price is simply the ratio of these
two:
percentage change in quantity demanded
(own price) elasticity of demand =
percentage change in price
∆Q
Q 100
= ∆P
100
P
P ∆Q
=
Q ∆P
Let me make one more modification to this formula. I want to ensure that I consider “small” changes in
price. Therefore, I will consider small ∆P ’s (which implies small ∆Q’s as well).
Definition 3. (Own price) elasticity of demand at price P , denoted ϵ(P ), for a good is therefore
defined as:
P ∆Q
ϵ(P ) = lim
∆P →0 Q ∆P
A couple of notes:
By the law of demand, ϵ(P ) is always negative. This is because P and Q are positive, and ∆P and
∆Q have the opposite sign.
However, when we talk about about whether an elasticity is large or small, we typically talk about its
absolute value. A large absolute value of an elasticity means that quantity demanded is more responsive
to changes in price. A small absolute value means that the quantity demanded is less responsive to
changes in price.
Indeed, we classify elasticities based on their absolute value as follows.
If then we say
|ϵ| . . . demand is. . .
<1 inelastic
>1 elastic
=1 unit elastic
= 0 perfectly inelastic
=∞ perfectly elastic
What is the interpretation of this number? An elasticity of ϵ(P ) = −3 means that if the price increases
by one percent, the quantity demanded will decrease by approximately three percent. Similarly, if the
price decreases by one percent, the quantity demanded will increase by approximately three percent.
This is extremely useful information for business owners. If you are operating a hot dog stand, you
want to know the own price elasticity of demand for your hot dogs. Why? Because it tells you how
many customers you will gain if you cut your prices a little bit. Of course, it also tells you how many
customers you will lose if you increase your prices a little bit. If you care about maximizing your
revenue (quantity demanded times price), you should follow this rule of thumb:
“When the absolute value of own price elasticity is less than one, increase the price. When
the absolute value of own price elasticity is larger than one, decrease the price.”
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This is because if |ϵ(P )| = 3, a one percent reduction in price leads to a three percent increase in
quantity demanded. You can sell much more hot dogs by cutting your price, and the net effect on
revenue is positive! You should reduce your price. On the other hand, if |ϵ(P )| = 0.2, a one percent
increase in price leads to a 0.2 percent reduction in quantity demanded. You can charge a higher price
for your hot dogs, and it is true that the quantity demanded is lower, but it is lower by a small amount!
You should charge a higher price for your hot dogs.
Let me just repeat the rule of thumb using the terminology.
“If you want to increase your revenue: When the demand is inelastic, increase the price.
When demand is elastic, decrease the price.”
You can go one step further and calculate approximately how much you need to increase (or decrease)
your price. Suppose you are selling your hot dogs at 9TL per hot dog, and you are selling 50 hot dogs
per day. Suppose you hire an economist to study the market you operate in. The economist runs some
calculations and tells you that the own price elasticity of hot dogs at the price of 9TL is -5.
Given this information, if you want to sell 60 hot dogs per day instead of 50, what should be the price
approximately be?
Let’s express this in our notation. We have:
P =9
Q = 50
ϵ(P ) = −5
Q + ∆Q = 60
First, note that ∆Q = 60 − 50 = 10. Then, using the formula for elasticity,
P ∆Q 9 10
ϵ(P ) ≈ =⇒ −5 ≈
Q ∆P 50 ∆P
1 9
=⇒ ∆P ≈ 10 = −0.36
−5 50
Therefore, if you reduce your price by 0.36 TL (i.e., sell you hot dogs at 9 − 0.36 = 8.64TL per hot
dog), you will approximately sell 60 hot dogs per day! P + ∆P = 9 − 0.36 = 8.64.
Intuitively, you want to increase quantity demanded from 50 to 60, which is a 20 percent increase. Be-
cause the quantity demanded is five times as responsive to price changes, only a four percent reduction
in price is sufficient. This corresponds to a reduction of 0.36TL in price.
P 1
ϵ(P ) =
Q slope of demand curve at P
What does it mean, geometrically?
If the demand curve is steeper, the absolute value of its slope is higher. Thus, the absolute value of
elasticity is lower. The demand is more inelastic!
If the demand curve is flatter, the absolute value of its slope is lower. Thus, the absolute value of
elasticity is higher. The demand is more elastic!
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P
P
P1
D2
D1
Q Q1 Q2 Q
Figure 7: Two demand curves, D1 and D2 , pass through the same point at price P . Because D1 is steeper
than D2 at this point, it is more inelastic (less elastic) than D2 at price P .
Indeed, you can compare the elasticities of two demand curves that pass through the same point just by
looking at them. The steeper one is more inelastic. For instance, consider Fig. 7. Here, D1 (the red demand
curve) pass through the same point as D2 (the dark red demand curve). Let s1 denote the slope of the red
demand curve at P , and let s2 denote the slope of the dark red demand curve at P . Because the red demand
curve is steeper, |s1 | > |s2 |.
For the red curve, the own price elasticity of demand at price P is:
P 1
ϵ1 (P ) =
Q s1
and for the dark red curve, the own price elasticity of demand at price P is:
P 1
ϵ2 (P ) =
Q s2
16
If the demand is perfectly inelastic, the slope of demand curve is infinity: it is a vertical line. In this
case, no matter what the price is, the quantity demanded is the same. (No responsiveness at all.)
17
Figure 8: (Absolute values of) own price elasticities of some goods. Source: [Link]
com/2019/05/[Link]
ela
stic
3
lastic
te
ine
uni
Now, combine what you see in this figure with the rule of thumb for the revenue maximization we derived
before. If P > 3, demand is elastic: decrease the price. If P < 3, demand is inelastic: increase the price. It
therefore turns out that the price that maximizes revenue is P = 3. At this price, Q = 6 units are sold and
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the total revenue is 3 × 6 = 18.4
Now, this analysis assumes that the seller is interested in maximizing the revenue. Most of the time, the sellers
are interested in maximizing profit (revenue minus costs), not profit. We will get to profit maximization in
the next lecture.
∆Qi
· 100
Qi
ϵi,j = lim .
∆Pj →0 ∆Pj
· 100
Pj
If good i is a substitute for good j (at the current prices and income level), then the cross price elasticity
of good i with respect to good j is positive, i.e.,
ϵi,j > 0 .
If good i is a complement for good j (at the current prices and income level), then the cross price
elasticity of good i with respect to good j is negative, i.e.,
ϵi,j < 0 .
∆Q
· 100
Q
ϵI = lim .
∆I→0 ∆I
· 100
I
If the good is an inferior good (at the current prices and income level), then the income elasticity of
the good is negative, i.e.,
ϵI < 0 .
4 You could have found this answer by writing down the revenue as P · Q = P · (12 − 2P ) and finding the P that maximizes
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If the good is a normal good (at the current prices and income level), then the income elasticity of
the good is positive, i.e.,
ϵI > 0 .
If a normal good is a luxury good, then the income elasticity of the good is greater than 1, i.e.,
ϵI > 1 .
If a normal good is necessity good, then the income elasticity of the good is less than 1, i.e.,
0 < ϵI < 1 .
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