Mastering Profitable Trading with LOB
Mastering Profitable Trading with LOB
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Bookmap™ Masterclass
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Profitable Trading with
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All rights reserved.
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This presentation and video material is protected by International copyright laws.
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No part of this publication and video material may be reproduced, distributed, or transmitted in any form or by
any means, including photocopying, recording, or other electronic or mechanical methods, without the prior
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written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical reviews and
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certain other noncommercial uses permitted by copyright law. For permission requests, write to the publisher,
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addressed “Attention: Permissions Coordinator,” at the address below.
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TTW Trading Services Ltd.
Doulton Trading Estate
Doulton Road
Unit 10 -11
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Rowley Regis
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West Midlands
B65 8JG
England
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[Link]
education@[Link]
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 2
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General Trading Risk Disclaimer
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Futures, stocks and options trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. The valuation of futures, stocks and
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options may fluctuate, and, as a result, clients may lose more than their original investment. The impact of seasonal and geopolitical events is
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already factored into market prices. The highly leveraged nature of futures trading means that small market movements will have a great impact
on your trading account and this can work against you, leading to large losses or can work for you, leading to large gains.
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If the market moves against you, you may sustain a total loss greater than the amount you deposited into your account. You are responsible for
all the risks and financial resources you use and for the chosen trading system. You should not engage in trading unless you fully understand
the nature of the transactions you are entering into and the extent of your exposure to loss. If you do not fully understand these risks you must
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seek independent advice from your financial advisor.
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All trading strategies are used at your own risk.
Any content on “TTW Trading Services Ltd.” should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. It is
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your responsibility to confirm and decide which trades to make. Trade only with risk capital; that is, trade with money that, if lost, will not
adversely impact your lifestyle and your ability to meet your financial obligations. Past results are no indication of future performance. In no
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event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express or implied promise or guarantee.
“TTW Trading Services Ltd.” is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using any of our trading strategies. Loss-limiting strategies
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such as stop loss orders may not be effective because market conditions or technological issues may make it impossible to execute such
orders. Likewise, strategies using combinations of options and/or futures positions such as “spread” or “straddle” trades may be just as risky as
simple long and short positions. Information provided in this correspondence is intended solely for informational purposes and is obtained from
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sources believed to be reliable. Information is in no way guaranteed. No guarantee of any kind is implied or possible where projections of future
conditions are attempted.
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Few Words About me
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Walter Lesičar
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• Trading Futures since more then 10 years
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• Order Flow and Order Book
[Link]
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• wtl@[Link]
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• Y: ttwtrader
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Goal of the Seminar
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We will use the visualization of the limit order
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book to show that profitable and sustainable
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trading with liquid instruments in liquid
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markets is possible in the long term.
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Goal of the Seminar
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• How do modern markets operate?
• Who is playing the game?
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• What are their motivations?
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• How do they act and interact?
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• How does all this affect liquidity and volatility?
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• How do I profit from this knowledge?
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Syllabus
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Auction
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Practice
LOB
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Liquidity
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Absorption
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Book Flipping
Bookmap™
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Exhaustion Spoofing /Layering
Oganization and Data Quote Stuffing
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Practice
Presentation Stop Runs
Sweep
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Practice
Strategies
Data Feed
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Practice
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Volume Imbalance
POC
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1. Test 1 [Link] Pattern
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2. Part 1 – Auction 1. Execution Summary
3. Limit Order Book (LOB) [Link]
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4. Part 2 - Market Mechanic [Link] Indicators Part 3
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1. Basic Terminology 1. VWAP
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5. Part 3 – Market Mechanic [Link] Part 4
1. Liquidity 1. Advanced Analysis Tools
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6. Part 4 - Market Mechanic [Link] 8 - Data Feed
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1. Market Terminology [Link] 9 – Option Expiration
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7. Part 5 – Order Book [Link] 10 - Trading Advice
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1. Visualization [Link] 2
8. Part 6 – Strategies
1. Strategies Part 1
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Liquidity, Sweep Trades, Pullback
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9. Strategies Part 2
1. Correlations
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Documentation
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• All documentation, presentation, replay files and any additional
material can be downloaded from our Dropbox file.
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• DropBox
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• [Link]
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• Video recordings via VIMEO
• Live Education Room via [Link]
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• Announcement in [Link] „Signal Room“
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• Skype for direct contact
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This Seminar is designed for
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• Short Term Trader : Retail -, discretionary Trader
• Professional Trader
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• Prop. Trader
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• Institutional Trader
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Respect
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We all are from different countries. We all have different
background and knowledge in trading.
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For most of us English is not our native language.
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Let‘s help each other with respect to grow and to become
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profitable trader. TW
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Test 1
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Bookmap™
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Test
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• Please answer fast and intuitively
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• Where will the price move next?
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• Price rises (up)
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• Price declines (down)
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• Price goes sideways
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Bookmap™
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Part 1 - Auction
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Auction
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Practice
LOB
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Liquidity
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Absorption
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Book Flipping
Bookmap™
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Exhaustion Spoofing /Layering
Oganization and Data Quote Stuffing
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Practice
Presentation Stop Runs
Sweep
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Practice
Strategies
Data Feed
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Practice
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Volume Imbalance
POC
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„Limit Order Book“ or LOB is the standardised „Bookkeeping“ for
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every traded transaction
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LOB Characteristics
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• LOB (Limit Order Book) is standardised (!) for all traded instruments worldwide
• LOB Answers Questions:
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• How much was traded?
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• When was it traded?
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• At which price was it traded?
• Was the price accepted by the traders?
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• Which side wants to buy?
• Which side wants to sell?
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• Are there aggressive buyers or sellers?
• „Thin“ Liquidity (illiquid markets)
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• „Thick“ Liquidity (liquid markets)
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Structure of a LOB
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• Price
• Bid, Ask
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• Best Bid and Offer (BBO)
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• Traded Volume
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• Aka Current Trades against inside bids and offers
• Refresh time to be defined
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• Snapshot or Delta Volume
• Pulling and Stacking of limit orders
• Statistics TW
• Volume Profile shows total number of contracts traded at each level. It shows also
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Session VWAP and POC.
• Acts as Volume Profile tool
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• Quotes Center shows the number of contracts refreshed for each specific price
level.
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Compare Bookmap
to a DOM
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Price
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Compare Bookmap
to a DOM
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Depth of Bid
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Depth of Bid
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Compare Bookmap
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Depth of Ask
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Depth of Ask
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Compare Bookmap
to a DOM Best Bid & Offer
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Best Bid & Offer
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Compare Bookmap
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Traded Market
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Volume
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Volume
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Compare Bookmap
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Snapshot /Delta
Column
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Group Excercise: Auction
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Goals
• Understanding the Auction
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• Understanding the Organisation of the LOB
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• Understanding LOB terminology
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• Understanding Your role as Trader
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• Understanding what moves the Price
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Auction Rules
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• Open Outcry (Pit Trading)
• Auctioneer aka. Matching Machine
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• Auctioneer is the Market Maker
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• Bank, Broker sells and buys back Future-Contracts (not in a Webinar)
• We will practise a simple auktion
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• Everyone get $2000 to start ($100, $20, $10)
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•
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Participants trade only Market Order
No short selling at the beginning
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• Duration about 10 – 15 min.
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Discussion
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• Your Feeling
• Did you get what you want?
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• Why are we allowed to trade?
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What are you trading?
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• Trading is a Zero-Sum-Game!
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• > 98% Retail Trader are losing
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LOB Terms – Limit Order
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A limit order sits in the order book until it is:
• either executed against a matching market order or it is canceled
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• A limit order may be executed very quickly if it corresponds to the Best-
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Bid-Offer (BBO) price
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• A limit order may take a long time if the market price moves away from
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the requested price
• the requested price is too far from the bid/ask.
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• can be canceled at any time
• Typically, a limit order waits for a match
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LOB Terms – Market Order
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• A market order is an order to buy/sell a certain quantity of the asset at the best
available price in the book.
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• Traders can put a market order that, for a buy (resp. sell) order,
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• The first share(s) will be traded at the ask (resp. bid) price
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• The remaining one(s) will be traded some ticks upper (resp. lower) in order
to fill the order size.
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• The ask (resp. bid) price is then modified accordingly.
• When either the bid or ask queue is depleted by market orders or cancelations
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the price is updated up or down to the next level of the order book.
• Typically a market order consumes the cheapest limit orders immediate
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execution (if the book is filled enough)
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LOB Terms – Cancellation
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• Traders can put a cancellation of x orders in a given
queue reduces the queue size by x
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• When either the bid or ask queue is depleted by market
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orders and cancelations, the price moves up or down to
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the next level of the order book.
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LOB Dynamics
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Actual trades come in two forms
• Trader can put a limit order and wait that this order matches another one
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• execution time is uncertain
• Trader can put a market order that consumes the cheapest limit orders in the book
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• immediate execution (if the book is filled enough)
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• price per instrument instead depends on the order size
• For a buy (resp. sell) order, the first instrument will be traded at the ask (resp. bid) price while
the last one will be traded some ticks upper (resp. lower) in order to fill the order size. The
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ask (resp. bid) price is then modified accordingly.
• Trader can put a cancellation of x orders in a given queue reduces the queue size by x
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• When either the bid or ask queue is depleted by market orders and cancelations, the price moves
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Trading Advice
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• You never trade alone!
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• If no one wants to trade with you, you won‘t be trading
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anything.
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• Trading always needs two parties.
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• Cui Bono! (To Whom is it a benefit?)
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Price Time regulates each Volume
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Price is simply the Volume measures the
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auction‘s mean of Time degree of success of
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advertising opportunity each auction.
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Basic Terminology
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Market Maker
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• Provides Liquidity
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• Without Liquidity no Trading
• Quoting:
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• MM provides a bid-price with corresponding bid-volume
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• MM provides a ask-price with corresponding ask-volume
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• Clearing:
• MM decides on a price (p) to keep unsatisfied orders as small as possible
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• Satisfied orders are cleared
• Facilitating Trading at any time and price
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Market Maker & Other Traders
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• Market Maker are called: Liquidity Providers
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• Other traders are called : Liquidity Takers
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Aggressors & Passive Trader
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• Aggressors are active traders who consume liquidity from the
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market
• Aggressors buys always at market!
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• Algorithmic Trading Programs too (Sweeping!)
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• Market Order are „active“ Order
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• Passive Traders provide Liquidity
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• Limit Order are „passive“ Order
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• Transaktions matches always at Best-Bid-Offer!
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Informed vs. Uninformed Trader
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• Informed traders posses information about the future price of
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an asset
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• News, company numbers, better market access, etc
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• Uninformed traders has no access to information
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• Lack of news, lack of knowledge about traded asset,
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random trading, market ignorance
• Information is hard to measure
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Matching Engine - Auktioneer
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• Enables electronic trading based on defined, fixed rules
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• Matches two parties, which want to trade
• Matching Engine is always (!) fair
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• Following matching algorithms are used by the CME Group:
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• First In First Out (FIFO)
• FIFO with Lead Market Maker
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• Pro Rata
• Configurable
• Threshold pro Rata
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• Threshold pro Rata with LMM
• Allocation and Ending
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• Quelle: [Link]
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Current Price trading on Best Offer
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Last trade is current price
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Price Moves – Transacts on Best Bid
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Aggressor hits the bid with a sell market order
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Liquidity on Best Bid is consumed
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BEST
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OFFER
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BEST
BID TW
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BEST
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OFFER
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BEST
BIDTW
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Bookmap™
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Part 3 – Market Mechanic
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Liquidity
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Auction
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Practice
LOB
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Liquidity
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Absorption
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Book Flipping
Bookmap™
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Exhaustion Spoofing /Layering
Oganization and Data Quote Stuffing
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Practice
Presentation Stop Runs
Sweep
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Practice
Strategies
Data Feed
TW Correlations
Practice
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Volume Imbalance
POC
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Liquidity Provides
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• Liquidity is the „blood“ of all markets!
• Without liquidity no trading!
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• Markets need sufficient liquidity to attract active and passive buyers
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• Market support buyers on the offer by providing liquidity
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• Market seeks buyers or sellers for distribution in price zones
• Market uses liquidity to pressure the price down
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• Liquidity aka Volume attracts the price (magnet)
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• Liquidity is easy to manipulate – see Order Book Pulling, Stacking
• Liquidity quickly vanishes from the market
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Conclusions
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• Market always seeks liquidity – liquidity acts like magnet!
• Liquidity is reliable if it is firm and stays firm
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• Long Term Liquidity
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• Stacking in LOB
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• Liquidity is weak
• Short Term Liquidity – might appear only seconds in the LOB
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• Pulling in LOB
• Liquidity need to be taken by an equal amount of volume = absorption
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• Liquidity act like a Catapult (Support)
• Book flipping, Spoofing, Long- , Short Term Liquidity
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• Liquidity is „thin“ and „thick“ – depends on market type
• „Thin“ markets: FDAX, Forex, CL, 6E, NQ, YM etc
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Liquidity Absorps Market Volume
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Absorption
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Liquidity Volume
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Limit Order Market Order
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• Whenever market volume and limit volume collide, volume or
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Liquidity Absorps Market Volume
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Volume
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Market Order
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Absorption
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Limit Order
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Seeking new
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buyers!
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Large Volume
Cluster
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Oil Inventories Keine
No Liquidity!
Liquidität!
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Liquidity: Group Discussion
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• What is liquidity?
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• Who provides liquidity?
ad
• How does liquidity manipulate the price?
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• How is liquidity manipulating traders?
TW
• When is Liquidity reliable?
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Long Term High Liquidity
ic
rv
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• High liquidity remains in the book
g
• Defines the auction
in
ad
• Digested by the auction participants
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• Channeling between longer term liquidity
• Act as magnet
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• Market can trade there – seeking high liquidity!
,T
• Understand context of the area
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 68
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Long Term High Liquidity
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Long Term High Liquidity
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Long Term High Liquidity
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 73
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Short Term High Liquidity
es
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• Short Term High liquidity briefly in the book
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• Creates large auction imbalances
g
• New info for auction participants
in
• Skews the auction – Repels price
ad
• Price reacts to supply and demand imbalance
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• Understand context of the area
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• Near areas of longer term liquidity
• Relationships to swings in microstructure
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 74
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Long Term High Liquidity
ic
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Short Term
Short Term
High Liq.
TW High Liq.
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Long Term High Liquidity
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Short Term
High Liq.
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Short Term
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High Liq.
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Short Term
High Liq.
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Liquidity - Path of Least Resistance
es
ic
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Clearly visible in Bookmap
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•
• BID or ASK side support the price move in one direction
g
Real time evidence which way the market will go
in
•
ad
• Valid until resistance or support shows up
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Bookmap™
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Part 4 - Market Mechanic
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Market Terminology
20
20
d
Syllabus
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Auction
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Practice
LOB
ic
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Liquidity
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Absorption
g
Book Flipping
Bookmap™
in
Exhaustion Spoofing /Layering
Oganization and Data Quote Stuffing
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Practice
Presentation Stop Runs
Sweep
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Practice
Strategies
Data Feed
TW Correlations
Practice
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Volume Imbalance
POC
12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 81
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Active and Passive Indicators
es
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Trading Indicators Confirmation Indicators
g
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• Liquidity • Order Book Imbalance
ad
• Absorption • Pulling / Stacking
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• Spoofing
• Exhaustion
TW • Channeling
• Sweeping
• Book Flipping
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• IceBerg
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 82
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Absorption
es
ic
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• Absorption indicates the presence of one or more market makers
who are sufficiently capitalized to consume all orders at a certain
g
price.
in
ad
• Absorption meets firm resistance when the limit page of the order
Tr
book is "recharged" or "stacked" with new volume until the entire
aggressor volume is consumed.
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• Absorption always happens at price levels with equivalent liquidity.
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 83
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Liquidity Absorps Market Volume
es
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Absorption
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Liquidity Volume
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Limit Order Market Order
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• Whenever market volume and limit volume collide, volume or
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 84
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Liquidity Absorps Market Volume
es
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Volume
g
in
Market Order
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Absorption
Tr
TW Liquidity
Limit Order
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es
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• Market is changing his mind
• Traders has reached their target (Bussines Done)
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in
• Distribution and Accumulation takes place
ad
• Covering or Flatten open positions
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• Can happen over more then one price level (!)
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• Adding or opening new positions
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 86
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Absorption Example
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High Liquidity in order book on bid, resting for several hours
ic
It is far away from current best bid
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 87
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Sweep of Book
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Longer term liquidity resting on bid is now 1 Tick away from best bid
ic
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Another large 50 lot sell order hits the bid
es
High liquidity is 1 tick away from best bid
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Sweep of Price Level
es
Now High liquidity is 1 on the best bid
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Aggressive Trade is absorbed
es
High liquidity absorbs remainder of 50 lot order
ic
Price does NOT sweep the level, and 80 contracts still remain at best bid
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Another large 50 lot order hits the bid
es
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Aggressive trade is absorbed, price stops
es
Entire 50 lot order is absorbed by limit orders
ic
30 contracts still remain at best bid
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 93
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Aggressive buyer enters the market
es
Spread is 3 ticks
ic
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Aggressive buyer lift the offer with 1 contract
es
Limit buy orders on bid stops the sell momentum to downside
ic
Price shifts to best offer and moves 3 tick higher
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Absorption: Advanced Concepts
es
Strategies: V-Bottom reversal, Pullback Setup
ic
Phenomena: Stop runs, trapped volume, Book Flipping
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„Energy“ absorbed
es
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Absorption: Application
es
ic
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• Absorption is not ALWAYS a reversal or trading signal!!
g
in
• It is important what happens next:
ad
• Short Retracement
Tr
• Retracement up to next Liquidity Level
• Break Through TW
• Liquidity act as Support, Resistance
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 103
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Absorption: Pattern
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es
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Absorption – „short“ Retracement Absorption – Retracement Absorption – Break Through
Indicates strenght in the price Short Covering Massive Sell Off
movement
Small short covering
TWLiquidity above or below Liquidity = Covering
,T
Price seeks Liquidity Price seeks final Support
NO Liquidity above or below (Liquidity) or Resistance
Liquidity acts as Resitance or (Liquidity)
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Absorption: Pattern
es
ic
rv
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g
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Absorption – Reversal Absorption – Continuation
ad
Firm Liquidity on Limit Site Liquidity was absorbed
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LOB – Market Order are absorbed LOB reading – Market Order
indicates the strenght of current
LOB reading
TW market
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Exhaustion
es
ic
rv
Se
• Exhaustion is a depletion of market orders on the last ticks or
g
in
price.
ad
• We observe decreasing volumes.
Tr
• Exhaustion is a price level of last seller in a downtrend and a
TW
price of last buyer in case of an uptrend.
,T
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Exhaustion Example
es
ic
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Sweep of Book
es
Down to low liquidity area of 8-10 contracts per price levels on bid
ic
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5 lots trade hits the bid
es
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Another 5 lots hits the bid
es
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5 lots trade on the bid
es
Best bid now shows low liquidity of 8 contracts
ic
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Lack of trading activity
es
Best offer drops and narrows the spread
ic
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Price exhausts on bid – no trading activity
es
Sellers dry up
ic
Buyers lift the offer as 5 lot enters the market
rv
Se
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Price exhausts on bid – no trading activity
es
Market buy orders transact on the best offer
ic
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Sweeping
es
ic
rv
Se
• Trading through 1 or more price levels very fast
g
in
• Big aggressive market orders
ad
Tr
• Leaving unfinished auctions (Low Volume Nodes – LVN)
TW
• Fast and powerful refusal of prices
• Speed of price action is important
,T
20
• [Stop running]
20
12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 123
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Sweeping or Big Moves
es
ic
rv
Se
• Fast and powerful moves are initiated (ignited) by algos at
g
exogeneous events like sudden political or economical issues.
in
ad
• Prices then sweeps through a range of prices leaving an order
vacuum in it‘s wake as time goes on.
Tr
• New orders come into the void
TW
• Large market orders arrive so fast that the queue does not have
time to equilibrate between their arrivals.
,T
• Market making programs see the orders and they seek to execute
20
12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 124
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es
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Quota Center
traded contracts=0
TW
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es
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Matching Engine
starts to poll
No
g
in
„Polling“
ad
Sweep
Tr
TW
,T
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Current Price trading on Best Offer
es
ic
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Se
g
in
ad
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20
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Aggressive 50 lot sell order hits the Bid
es
ic
rv
Se
g
in
ad
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All liquidity taken – 15 lots trade
es
50 lot order is now 35 lots
ic
Aggressive sell order hits bid againat next price level, spread widens
rv
1 Tick
Se
g
in
ad
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 131
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All liquidity taken – 18 lots trade
es
50 lot order is now 17 lots
ic
Aggressive sell order hits bid again at next price level, spread widens 2 Tick
rv
Se
g
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ad
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 132
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17 of 22 lots trade – 5 lots remain on Best Bid
es
50 lot order is now completely filled – Best Bid remains on current level
ic
2 levels of the order book are quickly swept, vacuum between BBO
rv
Se
g
in
ad
Tr
VACUUM
TW
,T
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Sweeping – advanced concepts
es
Strategies: Momentum, Pullback setup, Rejection
ic
Phenomena: Book Flipping, Icebergs, Ignition
rv
Se
g
in
ad
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TW
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es
Trading Advice
ic
rv
Se
Never trade in the direction of a Sweep!
g
in
Avoid the „Pavlovian Reflex“!
ad
Tr
A sweep must be traded AGAINST it‘s direction –
TW
at the near end of the move.
,T
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 135
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 137
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 138
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 139
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 141
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 143
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Stop Runs – Stop Losses
es
ic
rv
Se
• Stop runs are bottom or top formations that shoot beyond an
g
in
absorption level to trigger stops in the immediate area of the
ad
absorption or breakout.
Tr
• Stop Runs triggers stops which are immediately executed at market
TW
• This triggers a fast counter movement, which is intendent.
,T
• It is a Slingshot Move
20
12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 144
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es
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12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 146
d
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Active and Passive Indicators
es
ic
rv
Se
Trading Indicators Confirmation Indicators
g
in
• Liquidity • Order Book Imbalance
ad
• Absorption • Pulling / Stacking
Tr
• Spoofing
• Exhaustion
TW • Channeling
• Sweeping
• Book Flipping
,T
• IceBerg
20
12 December 2019 © 2019, TTW Trading Services Ltd. based on Bookmap™ 7.1.0 147