Probability – Extended Notes
Probability Notes (Extended)
1. **Basic Definition**
Probability measures likelihood. 0 = impossible, 1 = certain.
P(E) = favorable / total outcomes.
2. **Mutually Exclusive Events**
Events that cannot happen together.
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B).
3. **Independent Events**
One event does not affect the other.
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B).
4. **Dependent Events**
Outcome of one affects the next.
Example: Drawing cards without replacement.
5. **Conditional Probability**
P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B).
6. **Venn Diagrams**
Used to show overlapping probabilities.
Formula: P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B).
7. **Tree Diagrams**
Show sequences of events. Multiply along branches, add probabilities for outcomes.
8. **Expected Value**
Expected value = Σ(x × P(x)). Helps predict average outcomes.
9. **Experimental Probability**
P(E) = frequency of E / total trials.
More trials → closer to theoretical probability.
10. **Odds and Percentages**
Probability × 100 = percentage chance.