Comparing Meteor Data Pipelines: Geminids
Comparing Meteor Data Pipelines: Geminids
1
LTE, Observatoire de Paris, Université PSL, Sorbonne Université, Université de Lille, LNE, CNRS, 61 Avenue de l’Observatoire,
Paris, 75014, France
arXiv:2510.21690v1 [[Link]] 24 Oct 2025
2
Astronomical Institute of the Romanian Academy, 5 - Cutitul de Argint Street, 040557 Bucharest, Romania
3
Space Science and Technology Centre, School of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA 6845, Australia
4
International Centre for Radio Astronomy Research, Curtin University, Perth, WA 6845, Australia
5
Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, Bratislava, Slovakia
6
Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada
7
STELaRLab, Lockheed Martin Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
8
Service Informatique Pythéas (SIP) CNRS – OSU Institut Pythéas – UMS 3470, Marseille, France
9
Université Paris-Saclay, UMR CNRS 8148, GEOPS, Orsay, France
10
Institut de Minéralogie, Physique des Matériaux et Cosmochimie, Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, CNRS, Paris, 75005,
France
11
Laboratoire d’Astrophysique de Marseille, Aix-Marseille University, CNRS, CNES, LAM, Institut Origines, 38 rue Frederic Joliot
Curie, Marseille, 13388, France
ABSTRACT
Context. The number of meteor observation networks has expanded rapidly due to declining hardware costs, enabling both profes-
sional and amateur groups to contribute substantial datasets. However, accurate data reduction remains challenging, as variations in
processing methodologies can significantly influence trajectory reconstructions and orbital interpretations.
Aims. Our goal is to thoroughly compare four professionally produced meteor data reduction pipelines (FRIPON, DFN, WMPL,
AMOS) by reprocessing FRIPON Geminid observations. Others can then use this analysis to compare their data reduction methods.
Methods. We processed a dataset of 584 Geminid fireballs observed by FRIPON between 2016-2023. The single-station astrometric
data is converted into the Global Fireball Exchange (GFE) standard format for uniform processing. We assess variations in trajectory,
velocity, radiant, and orbital element calculations across the pipelines and compare them to previously published Geminid measure-
ments.
Results. The radiant and velocity solutions provided by the four data reduction pipelines are all within the range of previously
published values. However, there are some nuances. Particularly, the radiants estimated by WMPL, DFN, and AMOS are nearly
identical. Whereas FRIPON reports a systematic shift in right ascension (- 0.3◦ ), caused by improper handling of the precession.
Additionally, the FRIPON data reduction pipeline also tends to overestimate the initial velocity (+0.3 km s−1 ) due to the deceleration
model used as the velocity solver. The FRIPON velocity method relies on having a well-constrained deceleration profile; however,
for the Geminids, many are low-deceleration events, leading to an overestimation of the initial velocity. On the other end of the
spectrum, the DFN tends to predict lower velocities, particularly for poorly observed events. However, this velocity shift vanishes for
the DFN when we only consider Geminids with at least three observations or more. The primary difference identified in the analysis
concerns the velocity uncertainties. Despite all four pipelines achieving similar residuals between their trajectories and observations,
their velocity uncertainties vary systematically, with WMPL outputting the smallest values, followed by AMOS, FRIPON, and DFN.
Conclusions. From this Geminid case study, we find that the default FRIPON data reduction methods, while adequate for meteorite-
dropping events, are not optimal for all cases. Specifically, FRIPON tends to overestimate velocities for low-deceleration events due
to the less constrained fit, and the nominal radiants are not correctly output in J2000. Meanwhile, the other data reduction pipelines
(DFN, WMPL, AMOS) produce consistent results, provided that the observational data is sufficiently robust, i.e., more than ∼50 data
points from at least three observers. A key takeaway is the need to re-evaluate how velocity uncertainties are estimated. Our results
show that uncertainty estimates vary systematically across different pipelines, despite generally similar goodness-of-fit statistics. The
increasing availability of impact observations from varying sources (radar, video, photo, seismic, infrasound, satellite, telescopic, etc.)
calls for greater collaboration and transparency in data reduction practices.
Key words. Methods: data analysis – Methods: observational – Meteorites, meteors, meteoroids
1. Introduction
et al. 1978), but the advent of charge-coupled devices (CCDs) (e.g., ablation, mass loss, fragmentation) requires careful the-
and, more recently, complementary metal–oxide–semiconductor oretical modelling. A meteoroid’s flight through Earth’s atmo-
(CMOS) sensors has revolutionised both the scale and precision sphere involves multiple interacting processes – shock wave
of meteor and fireball surveys (Molau 1999; Koten et al. 2019; generation, aerodynamic heating, ablation and mass loss, frag-
Arlt et al. 2022). mentation, ionisation, and the resulting luminous emission –
Photographic observations generally excel in spatial resolu- each influencing the meteor’s brightness, trajectory, and out-
tion and yield very precise astrometric solutions, making them come. Additionally, the unknown parameters of the meteoroids,
particularly well-suited for recovering meteorites. However, be- such as shape, spin, mass, and composition, further complicate
cause photographic techniques rely on relatively few discrete ex- this issue. Early models often adopted “single-body” ablation, in
posures (e.g., one exposure spanning minutes to hours), they pro- which the mass of a compact object with cross-section S evolves
vide limited time resolution; abrupt changes in meteor bright- under standard drag and ablation equations (Bronshtehn 1983;
ness, detailed velocity variations, or short-duration fragmenta- Ceplecha et al. 1998). This approach remains valuable in many
tion episodes can be difficult to capture. By contrast, video ob- automated or large-scale fireball networks, where a linear or
servations utilise continuous, frame-based recordings, typically straight-line fit to the geometric path is common (e.g., Borovicka
at 25–60 frames per second (or higher), providing near-real-time 1990; Gural 2012). Such simplifications can be sufficient un-
detection and automated data processing. This frame-by-frame der favourable conditions or for specific events. However, re-
approach provides excellent temporal resolution at the cost of cent work has underscored that fragmentation is pervasive and
lower spatial resolution. However, this shortcoming can be mit- can drastically alter a meteoroid’s velocity profile and final mass
igated by employing high-definition sensors or deploying mul- (Ceplecha et al. 1993; Boroviĉka & Kalenda 2003; Borovička
tiple narrow-field cameras to enhance positional accuracy. As et al. 2020, 2022b,a), necessitating more robust dynamical mod-
commercial CCDs and later CMOS sensors matured, sensitive els and careful uncertainty quantification. A primary challenge,
yet affordable camera hardware proliferated in both professional as emphasised by Egal et al. (2017), lies in accurately deriv-
and amateur networks (Jeanne et al. 2019; Koten et al. 2019; Arlt ing the velocity from photographic or video records. Many early
et al. 2022). methods that separate the geometric and velocity fits – such as
Film-based photographic observatories continued into the the straight-line least-squares approach (Borovicka 1990) – may
21st century for bright fireball observations, but as digital sen- underestimate uncertainties when the observations have complex
sors shrank in size, improved in sensitivity, and fell in cost, geometry or when the meteoroid undergoes multiple fragmenta-
analogue film gave way to digital imaging (Spurnỳ et al. 2006; tion episodes. In particular, Egal et al. (2017) highlights that even
Howie et al. 2017a). This digital revolution has spawned large- small systematic biases in frame timing or astrometric precision
scale photographic fireball observation networks that were pre- can lead to errors in the derived deceleration profile, with direct
viously infeasible due to geography or expense (Bland et al. consequences for orbit determination. This issue becomes espe-
2012; Koten et al. 2019; Devillepoix et al. 2020), leading to a cially critical in low-convergence-angle scenarios or when the
significant increase in data collection and meteorite recoveries. event has a protracted, curved path. Advanced pipelines increas-
In the four decades between 1959 and 1999, only five meteorite ingly employ dynamic trajectory solvers that integrate the mete-
falls (Přibram, Lost City, Innisfree, Benešov, Peekskill) were re- oroid’s three-dimensional equations of motion directly into the
covered based on instrumental observations. By comparison, in data-fitting step (Gural 2012; Vida et al. 2020b; Jansen-Sturgeon
2023 alone, meteorites from three distinct falls were recovered et al. 2020). Rather than first inferring a simple geometric path
on three consecutive days: 13 February in France (Zanda et al. and then fitting a velocity separately, these approaches can si-
2023), 14 February in Italy (Barghini et al. 2024), and 15 Febru- multaneously solve for position and velocity at each timestep, of-
ary in Texas1 . ten incorporating Monte Carlo or particle-filter methods to map
A diverse array of meteor and fireball networks now exists uncertainties more fully (Jansen-Sturgeon et al. 2020; Sansom
worldwide, ranging from higher-precision, photographic sys- et al. 2019b).
tems like the DFN (Howie et al. 2017a; Devillepoix et al. 2020) Along similar lines, Egal et al. (2017) stresses that reliably
and the EN (Borovička et al. 2022b), to more modular video computing velocity requires careful propagation of all measure-
approaches like FRIPON (Colas et al. 2020) and the Global Me- ment errors – most critically timing, pointing astrometry, and
teor Network (Vida et al. 2021). Additional examples include the any potential system offsets – to avoid unrealistically low or in-
Spanish Meteor Network (Trigo-Rodríguez et al. 2006), NASA’s consistent uncertainties. These modern methods reflect a broader
All-Sky Fireball Network (Cooke & Moser 2012), the Cameras push toward Bayesian or stochastic approaches that can capture
for all-sky Meteor Surveillance (CAMS) project (Jenniskens the inherent complexity of meteor flight and assign more realis-
et al. 2011), SonotaCo’s collaborative effort in Japan (Sono- tic error bars. While most authors now agree that velocity uncer-
taCo 2009), Polish Fireball Network (Wiśniewski et al. 2017), tainties below ∼ 0.1 km s−1 are necessary to reliably discriminate
and the AMOS initiative in Slovakia (Tóth et al. 2015), as well orbital source regions (Granvik et al. 2018), actual uncertain-
as a growing number of amateur-run networks (e.g., all-sky7; ties in automated or semi-automated networks sometimes exceed
Hankey et al. 2020). Although some focus on near-real-time, this figure due to sensor calibration, partial fragmentation mod-
frame-based video while others opt for longer-exposure, higher- elling, or constraints in processing time. Many networks still rely
resolution imaging, many of the calibration and data-reduction on simplified single-body or straight-line fits in their automated
methods are effectively the same (Koten et al. 2019). Each net- pipelines, principally for operational efficiency.
work’s hardware choices are shaped by its scientific goals and We are collecting more and more data on the meteoroids that
expense limitations. continuously impact our atmosphere (Koten et al. 2019). It is ex-
Building reliable links between observable parameters (e.g., cellent to have increasingly large meteor and fireball datasets.
light curves and velocity profiles) and the internal processes Albeit, we must be cautious. Despite the rapid amelioration of
hardware costs, enabling the development of many more profes-
1
[Link] sional networks and even amateur networks, analysing the col-
el-sauz-tx lected impact data is still complicated and difficult to reduce.
Article number, page 2 of 22
P.M. Shober et al.: Comparing the data reduction pipelines of FRIPON, DFN, WMPL, and AMOS: Geminids Case Study
We are using this data to better understand the meteoroid en- estimated to weigh 500 grams or more, by modelling the im-
vironment in near-Earth space, the source regions of meteorites, pact via photometric and dynamic methods (Anghel et al. 2021;
and the physical and orbital evolution of small-body populations. Jeanne et al. 2019). To date, the global expansion of the consor-
Thus, we must be transparent about our data-reduction methods, tium has aided in the recovery of five meteorites, marking signif-
as slight variations or systematic errors in data reduction can sig- icant strides in the field of meteorite retrieval and interplanetary
nificantly alter how we interpret the results and their implications study (Gardiol et al. 2021; McMullan et al. 2023; Antier 2023;
for our understanding of small bodies in the solar system. This Barghini et al. 2024; Egal et al. 2025). The data reduction pro-
is especially important as many networks, particularly video- cess within FRIPON is described in detail in Jeanne et al. (2019),
based, are increasingly fully automated in their data acquisition, Jeanne (2020), and Colas et al. (2020). The processed data col-
processing, and reduction (Molau 2001; Gural & Segon 2009; lected by the FRIPON project is publicly available2 .
Brown et al. 2010a; Gural 2011; Weryk et al. 2013; Suk & Šim- FRIPON estimates the internal error of each camera
berová 2017; Koten et al. 2019; Colas et al. 2020; Peña-Asensio (σi ≃ 0.75 arcmin; Colas et al. 2020) by fitting a reference plane
et al. 2021; Vida et al. 2021). through all picks. A local comparison (100 px box) between
In today’s modern research environment, we must be in- measured and HIPPARCOS positions gives the systematic term
creasingly adept at sharing our code so that others may test and si (Bessell 2000). The straight–line trajectory T is obtained by
scrutinise it. The first clear example was the observation and re- minimising
covery of the Winchcombe meteorite fall in the UK in Febru-
ary 2021. This carbonaceous meteorite fall was observed by five
ncam X
ni
different camera systems and six networks in total. Due to the X ϵi j (T )2
extraordinary nature of the fall and observations, it was neces- S (T ) = , (1)
i=1 j=1
σ2i + ni s2i
sary for the first time to combine and coordinate the observa-
tions and pipelines of several fireball networks. This collabo-
ration led to the development of the Global Fireball Exchange where ϵi j (T ) is the residual between the j-th measure taken by
(GFE) format, a universal method of sharing the detailed single- the i-th camera and the candidate trajectory T , si is its system-
station observations of a fireball event (Rowe 2021). Networks atic error, σi is the internal random error of the i-th camera, and
then implemented this format so that they could all communicate ni is the number of images acquired by that camera. FRIPON
and process the data in coordination, leading to the recovery of uses this method to characterise the systematic errors of our cam-
the meteorite and its complete characterisation (King et al. 2022; eras (e.g., a misaligned lens); however, this approach doesn’t ad-
McMullan et al. 2023). dress errors such as the camera’s location. To address these er-
This work aims to assess these cross-network variations rors, FRIPON computes an initial estimate of the trajectory and
and promote best practices for ensuring consistent, reliable re- compares the residuals with the expected random and systematic
sults across different pipelines. We compare four established, errors. If they are larger than expected for a specific camera, they
professionally developed fireball data-reduction pipelines, all iteratively decrease its weight during the calculation of the tra-
tested against actual FRIPON network observations. Our cross- jectory. The final systematic error is usually on the order of 0.3
evaluation highlights differences in calibration strategies, trajec- arcmin, which ends the iterative process.
tory modelling approaches, and orbital solutions, offering in- The entry speed is recovered based on the single–body
sights for more convergent standards in future multi-network drag/ablation model of Bronshtehn (1983) and Stulov et al.
meteor research. (1995). Methods such as Gritsevich (2009) reformulate these
The paper is organised as follows: Section 2 introduces the without assuming any parameters, enabling a dimensionless co-
four contributing networks and their pipelines. Section 3 outlines efficient approach. The FRIPON pipeline employs the method
the data sets and processing methods, while Section 4 compares described by Jeanne et al. (2019). Although similar to Gritse-
the derived trajectories and orbital elements. We discuss implica- vich (2009), it uses a different set of equations that do not make
tions for multi-network validation in Section 5, and finally, Sec- use of the dimensionless parameters:
tion 6 explores strategies for improving meteor data reduction
and future collaborative efforts.
dV h i
= − 21 A ρatm V 2 exp B(1−µ)
2A (V 2
− V 2
e ) ,
dt (2)
2. Networks and software used h i
m = exp 2A B
(V 2 − Ve2 ) .
2.1. FRIPON
Initiated in 2015, FRIPON is a pioneering French-led project with a deceleration parameter A = cd S e /Me and an ablation pa-
dedicated to the detailed observation of fireballs and the recov- rameter B = ch S e /(HMe ), where cd is the drag coefficient, ch
ery of meteorites. This collaborative effort now spans 15 coun- the heat–transfer coefficient, H the enthalpy of destruction, ρatm
tries on four continents, incorporating over 220 cameras cover- the atmospheric gas density (NRLMSISE-00 model; Lyytinen &
ing approximately 2 million km 2 . Using all-sky CCD cameras Gritsevich 2016), m the normalised meteoroid mass, Me the pre-
that record at 30 frames per second, FRIPON achieves high- entry mass, s the normalised cross-sectional area, S e the pre-
time-resolution data capture. The network has a detection limit entry cross-sectional area, and µ the shape-change coefficient.
of about zero magnitude, making it tuned for fireball observation Fitting the projected picks on the straight line (Jeanne et al.
and meteorite recovery. Extended exposures are taken every 10 2019) yields the parameters Ve , A, and B and their joint confi-
minutes to enhance astrometry and photometry, achieving effec- dence region. The estimated Ve value represents the velocity at
tive signal-to-noise ratios up to magnitude 6 in optimal condi- the top of the atmosphere, within FRIPON this is arbitrarily de-
tions(Anghel et al. 2019; Jeanne et al. 2019; Jeanne 2020; Colas fined as 10 km above the first measured point.
et al. 2020). The automated system of FRIPON enables swift
2
mobilisation for meteorite recovery efforts, focusing on objects [Link]
Pipeline Designed For Trajectory Solver Velocity Solver Outlier Removal? Sources
FRIPON Lower- Straight-line least squares Fits physically based Yes †
resolution (Borovicka 1990) single-body differential
video, fireballs equations that model
meteor deceleration and
ablation, rewritten into
two independent equations
by Jeanne et al. (2019)
following the method of
Turchak & Gritsevich
(2014); Gritsevich (2009).
DFN Higher- Straight-line least squares Meteoroid initial states No ‡
resolution (Borovicka 1990) (Me and Ve ) are esti-
photo, fireballs mated using an Extended
Kalman Filter on straight
line triangulated positions
(measurements). This
updates estimates of po-
sition, mass, and velocity
throughout the trajectory,
while modelling uncer-
tainties.
WMPL Higher- Monte Carlo trajectory A linear “lag” fit is Outlier weighting is §
resolution solver: initial geometry performed on the early applied on a per-
video, meteors via IP/LoS, followed by 25–80% of the meteor’s measurement basis
noise injection (based path (where deceleration (with lower weights for
on measured angular is minimal). The best observations with poor
residuals) and global fit, i.e., the one with the perspective)
minimisation of a timing smallest standard devia-
cost function tion, provides the initial
velocity estimate.
AMOS Lower- Intersecting planes and Exponential fit of decel- Yes ¶
resolution Straight-line least squares erated meteors along the
video, meteors, methods (Ceplecha 1987; length of trajectory, other-
spectroscopy Borovicka 1990) wise linear fit.
Notes. “Higher-resolution” implies pixel scale ∼1 arcminute; “lower-resolution” implies pixel scale ∼10 arcminutes.
†
Jeanne et al. (2019), Jeanne (2020), Colas et al. (2020)
‡
Howie et al. (2017a), Sansom et al. (2015), Devillepoix et al. (2020)
§
Vida et al. (2018), Vida et al. (2020b)
¶
Duris et al. (2018), Tóth (in prep.)
DFN solves a single long–exposure DSLR frame that contains tioned studies, providing a comprehensive comparison across
∼ 103 reference stars (Howie et al. 2017a); WMPL/RMS derives multiple methodologies. This table displays a general consis-
solutions from 88◦ ×48◦ HD video with typically 50–200 stars tency of the radiant and velocity estimates obtained from the dif-
per stack (Vida et al. 2021); whereas low-resolution FRIPON ferent pipelines with prior recorded data. Although the pipeline
cameras must integrate a dedicated 5-s exposure and merge a results are generally congruent with the established records,
few dozen detections from many epochs to reach a ≳ 100-star there are discernible, albeit minor, systematic variations at-
solution (Jeanne et al. 2019). AMOS performs all-sky video as- tributed to each pipeline. To visualise all pairwise differences
trometry based on the procedure of Borovicka et al. (1995) with between pipelines, we provide compact ∆–matrix histograms
typically 100–300 stars. Porting these four very different astrom- in Appendix A for radiants (Figs. A.1, A.2), geocentric speed
etry strategies into a single cross-network astrometric pipeline (Fig. A.3), and orbital elements (Figs. A.4–A.8).
would be a major software project and is beyond the scope of
the present work; instead, we rely on the published FRIPON so-
lutions (median ≃ 1 arc-min residuals; Jeanne et al. 2019) as a 4.1. Velocities
common, quality-controlled baseline for the trajectory and orbit
Previous velocity estimates for the Geminids meteor shower,
comparison that follows.
as shown in the top six rows of Table 2, report a 1.5 km s−1
Several methods have been developed to identify meteor range of nominal median values for vg . Typically, the video ob-
showers and assess orbital similarity. The earliest was the D-
criterion introduced by Southworth & Hawkins (1963), which servations report the slowest speeds (33.5-33.8 km s−1 ; Sono-
calculates orbital similarity based on the orientation (i, ω, Ω), taCo 2009; Jenniskens et al. 2016), linked to previous find-
perihelion (q), and shape (e) of the orbits. Improvements to ings that video observations tend to underestimate Geminids ve-
this approach have been proposed by Drummond (1981), Jopek locities (Hajduková Jr et al. 2017). Photographic observations
(1993), and Jopek et al. (2008). Jenniskens (2008), on the other of the Geminids tend to be slightly faster (34.6 km s−1 ; Jopek
hand, proposed a criterion rooted in dynamical arguments, which et al. 2003); however, the IAU Meteor Data Center (MDC)
evaluates the likelihood of a meteoroid stream’s association with only lists one study that uses 51 older, legacy Harvard photo-
a parent body by considering how orbital evolution due to secu- graphic plate observations (1940s-1950s), along with five Me-
lar perturbations aligns the orbits over time. teorite Observation and Recovery Project (MORP) observations
(1971-1985), and 223 photographic observations by the Dutch
In this study, we applied a distance function, DN , based on
Meteor Society (1972-96). More recent photographic EN ob-
four geocentric quantities directly linked to observational data,
servations of Geminid fireballs report slightly lower speeds
as proposed by Valsecchi et al. (1999). Unlike conventional or-
(∼34.1 km s−1 ;Borovička et al. 2022b; Henych et al. 2024). Fi-
bital similarity criteria, which rely on comparing derived orbital
nally, radar observations of the Geminids have the highest veloc-
elements, the DN method operates in a multidimensional space
ities (34.5-35.0 km s−1 ; Jopek et al. 2003; Brown et al. 2010b).
defined by the independently measured physical quantities. It in-
corporates components of the geocentric velocity at the Earth en- The four tested pipelines provide an estimate of the velocity
counter and introduces two near-invariant variables that account in the lower range of previously published values. The maximum
for the effects of secular perturbations on meteoroid orbits. This velocity difference is 1.4 km s−1 (35.0 km s−1 from Brown et al.
focus on directly observable quantities offers a more robust ap- (2008) and 33.6 km s−1 from DFN - this work). However, the
proach to identifying meteor showers, minimising reliance on lowest nominal velocity of the shower is by SonotaCo (2009),
derived parameters that can be subject to larger uncertainties. with a given velocity of 33.5 km s−1 . The AMOS and WMPL
To ensure reliability, a threshold of DN < 0.1 was chosen, as data reduction pipelines yield very similar median geocentric ve-
Shober & Vaubaillon (2024) demonstrated that this value main- locities (∼33.8 km s−1 ), while the DFN’s median value is slightly
tains a false-positive rate < 2.5% for EN meteor showers. Con- less (33.6 km s−1 ) and FRIPON is more (34.0 km s−1 ). While
sequently, assuming similar statistics, more than 97.5% of the relatively minor, such differences could be crucial for accurate
meteors identified here should be confidently classified as Gem- stream modelling and impact the interpretation of expected ac-
inids. tivity. As seen in Fig. 1, where pre-luminous deceleration correc-
tions are applied to all v∞ estimates, the deviations between the
estimated v∞ values of the four pipelines persist. In other words,
4. Results the velocity deviations are not explained by pre-luminous decel-
eration and likely stem from the triangulation or velocity solver
The Geminid meteor shower, known for its robust and consistent used (Table 1). Assuming an asteroidal composition observed by
activity in mid-December originating from 3200 Phaethon, has a FRIPON-like system, the median estimated pre-luminous de-
been extensively monitored by the FRIPON network from 2016 celeration is only 25 m s−1 (Fig. 2). The corresponding pairwise
to 2023. Here, we have compiled and analysed observations of distributions of ∆vg are provided in Appendix A (Fig. A.3).
584 FRIPON-observed Geminid fireballs. This dataset provides
a substantial basis for evaluating the efficacy and consistency of
four distinct meteor data reduction pipelines (FRIPON, DFN, 4.2. Radiants
AMOS, and WMPL) while also providing a new analysis of
the Geminid meteor shower. Furthermore, the results can also Fig. 3 showcases the calculated radiant distributions, which align
be compared against historically established values for the radi- closely with those recorded in earlier studies, such as those by
ant, velocity, and orbital elements of the Geminids estimated by Jopek et al. (2003) (MORP, Dutch Meteor Society, Harvard) and
five separate studies completed over the last 20 years and docu- Jenniskens et al. (2016). Very slight deviations are observed, par-
mented by the IAU Meteor Data Center9 . ticularly in the right ascension values. The nominal right ascen-
Table 2 summarises the resulting median values from the sion values reported by the four other previous studies (A, C, D,
four pipelines alongside established values from the aforemen- E in Table 2) are notably smaller than any of the distributions
produced here by the four different pipelines, providing strong
9
[Link] evidence that this difference is real for the FRIPON Geminid
Article number, page 6 of 22
P.M. Shober et al.: Comparing the data reduction pipelines of FRIPON, DFN, WMPL, and AMOS: Geminids Case Study
Table 2: Summary table for the nominal median measurements of the Geminid meteor shower.
Activity RA σRA Dec σDec vg σvg a q e Peri Node Inc N Ref Obs
annual 112.9 — 32.3 — 34.6 — 1.38 0.141 0.898 324.2 261.6 23.5 51 A photo.
annual 113.8 — 32.3 — 34.6 — 1.40 0.14 0.897 324.4 262.2 23.9 279 B photo.
2002-2006 112.8 — 32.1 — 35.0 — 1.416 0.136 0.904 324.6 261.3 24.0 4384 C radar
2007-2008 112.8 — 32.3 — 33.5 — — — — — — — 2510 D video
2002-2008 112.5 — 32.1 — 34.5 — 1.35 0.1373 0.898 324.95 261.0 23.2 10381 E radar
2010-2013 113.5 — 32.3 — 33.8 — 1.31 0.145 0.889 324.3 261.7 22.9 5103 F video
2016-2023 113.6 0.73 32.3 0.44 34.0 0.41 1.32 0.144 0.891 324.3 262.3 23.2 584 FRIPON video
2016-2023 113.9 0.74 32.3 0.48 33.6 0.60 1.29 0.147 0.886 324.2 262.3 22.6 584 DFN video
2016-2023 113.9 0.75 32.3 0.51 33.8 0.56 1.30 0.145 0.888 324.3 262.3 22.9 584 AMOS video
2016-2023 113.9 0.75 32.3 0.42 33.8 0.47 1.30 0.145 0.888 324.3 262.3 22.8 584 WMPL video
Notes. The table compares values from previous studies and the 2016-2023 FRIPON observations processed through four separate data reduction
pipelines. Radiant and orbital information is provided using the same nomenclature as the IAU-MDC, and units are given in au, degrees, and
km s−1 . The letter next to the reference indicates the radiant in Fig. 3. The last four rows are based on the same 584 Geminid fireballs observed by
the FRIPON network, where the σ values represent the estimated standard deviation for the distribution of Geminids, rather than an uncertainty
of an individual measurement.
A D
(Jopek et al. 2003) (Harvard meteors) (SonotaCo 2009)
B E
(Jopek et al. 2003) (MORP, Dutch Meteor Society, Harvard) (Brown et al. 2010b)
C F
(Brown et al. 2008) (Jenniskens et al. 2016)
Fig. 3: Calculated geocentric radiant distribution for the Geminid meteor showers based on FRIPON observations between 2016-
2023. The six black points with crosses indicate radiants identified from previous studies of the Geminids (A: Jopek et al. 2003, B:
Brown et al. 2008, C: SonotaCo 2009, D: Brown et al. 2010b, E: Jenniskens et al. 2016). Nominal values for the four pipelines and
previous results can also be found in Table 2.
around its mean. Positive skew indicates a longer tail to the right mean radiant for each pipeline. These offsets are 0.45◦ , 0.47◦ ,
(higher values), while negative skew indicates a longer tail to 0.45◦ , and 0.48◦ for FRIPON, DFN, WMPL, and AMOS, re-
the left (lower values). Symmetric distributions exhibit skewness spectively. For reference, Moorhead et al. (2021) found a me-
near zero. dian offset of 0.38◦ ) for 1279 Geminids observed by GMN and
All four pipelines produce similar radiant distributions and Kresák & Porubcan (1970) found a 0.49◦ ) value based on 82
ranges, with standard deviations for RA all concentrating around observations.
0.74◦ and Dec ranging from 0.43◦ to 0.51◦ . The 3 σ PCA spread All four pipelines deliver similar radiant precision; how-
is found to be generally around (2.2◦ × 1.3◦ ). Regarding skew- ever, the DFN pipeline’s 95% confidence region is the small-
ness, all pipelines show similar moderate negative skew in RA est (Table 3). The median σRA and σDec cluster tightly around
and Dec, indicating a slight asymmetry with a bias toward lower 0.02–0.11 ◦ . Fig. 5 compares 1-σ radiant uncertainties against
RA and Dec values. The RA skew values range between −1.0 to the cross-track RMS. DFN is the only pipeline whose uncertain-
−0.8, and Dec skew with a larger diversity from −3.03 to −0.20. ties scale strongly with the RMS (Spearman ρ ≈0.7), meanwhile,
Dec skewness is more pronounced for AMOS (−3.0), primarily the other pipelines show only weak correlations (ρ <0.2). This
due to a small number of outliers. occurs because, for this FRIPON comparison only, we supplied
Additionally, in accordance with several previous works, we the DFN pipeline with a single, fixed measurement noise value
have also calculated the median absolute angular offset from the for every pick; when the residuals exceed this assumption, the
Article number, page 8 of 22
P.M. Shober et al.: Comparing the data reduction pipelines of FRIPON, DFN, WMPL, and AMOS: Geminids Case Study
5.1. Outliers
by ∼1 km, and centroiding that streak shifts each pick slightly and not systematic. Vida et al. (2020b) demonstrated that sys-
backwards along the path when picking the middle. This should tematic biases are also present due to the limitations of measure-
account for the observed 0.25 km s−1 shift relative to EN. In ments (e.g., estimating the initial speed on a segment of the tra-
contrast, the much larger MDC discrepancy most likely reflects jectory after some deceleration has already occurred); thus, the
legacy calibration issues in the Harvard plates rather than a gen- problem cannot be collapsed to a one-dimensional consideration
uine physical difference. of simply inflating the uncertainties. The same effect was also
More notably, as illustrated in Fig. 6, although all four data recently noticed by Barghini et al. (2025), who defined an esti-
reduction pipelines provide generally similar spatial residual mator R (with R ≃ 1 for realistic uncertainties and R > 1 when
root-mean-square (RMS) values for trajectory fits, there is a clear uncertainties are underestimated) and measured R = 1.19 ± 0.05
systematic trend in their estimated velocity uncertainties. The for FRIPON but R = 3.10 ± 0.02 for GMN and CAMS, indi-
variation in velocity uncertainty outcomes is striking, with the cating that the latter two databases publish velocity/radiant er-
WMPL pipeline yielding the lowest uncertainties, followed by rors that are too small near the parabolic limit. This follows the
AMOS, FRIPON, and DFN, which reports the highest uncer- long-noted link between surplus hyperbolic orbits and underes-
tainty estimates. This discrepancy is not due to poor model fits, timated errors (e.g., Hajdukova et al. 2024), and implies that,
as the RMS values for spatial residuals are comparable across while not the smallest, FRIPON’s uncertainties are the most rep-
all four pipelines at a population scale. Instead, the differences resentative of the actual scatter in these observations. Between
arise from varying methodologies in how each pipeline propa- the four pipelines studied here, the results of Barghini et al.
gates and estimates uncertainties. (2024) do not necessarily imply that the FRIPON pipeline’s un-
A factor contributing to differences in reported velocity un- certainties are the most representative; however, they are less un-
certainties is the treatment of astrometric precision in each derestimated than the WMPL estimates, according to this recent
pipeline. The DFN pipeline is the only method that takes work.
astrometric uncertainties into account and propagates them This highlights a broader issue in the field: a clear disconnect
through to velocity models. These uncertainties are calculated between networks regarding how velocity uncertainties should
for DFN images within DFN image reduction. FRIPON does be assessed. Achieving consensus on uncertainty propagation
not output astrometric uncertainties, though Jeanne et al. (2019) and how various factors should be accounted for, such as system-
notes that FRIPON’s lens calibration routinely achieves ∼ 2 atics, timing, astrometric precision, and deceleration modelling,
arcmin (1σ) residuals on astrometric measurements. As the is essential for the standardised and reliable understanding of the
DFN pipeline explicitly requires them (it requires columns meteoroid populations in near-Earth space.
err_minus_altitude, err_plus_altitude, , err_minus_azimuth,
err_plus_azimuth defined as optional in the astrometric stan-
5.4. Advice for future meteor data creation and
dard of [Link] to run FRIPON
recommendations
data through the DFN pipeline, we had to set default uncer-
tainties for all observation points. We manually added values Based on our work, we have provided a handful of recommen-
of 2 arcmin in azimuth and 4 arcmin in elevation to all obser- dations:
vations. Including astrometric uncertainties has contributed to
the systematically higher velocity uncertainties for the DFN re- 1. Be able to output/input observations in the GFE10 format so
sults (Figure 6). However, a more likely factor is the way the that data can easily be shared, tested, and combined.
EKS method is set up to handle the uncertainties while using a 2. Include per-event quality metadata in GFE (e.g., station in-
single-body model. As fragmentation is not explicitly modelled formation, picks, convergence angle, min range, cross-track
by the DFN pipeline, any abrupt deceleration manifests as extra RMS, long-track RMS, frame rate, exposure, lens model,
process noise and is absorbed into the covariance matrix. Af- clock source, etc.).
terwards, the filter steps down the main-body mass and velocity 3. Share the single-station GFE files via Zenodo or some other
(Sansom et al. 2015), resulting in increased overall uncertainties. file-sharing service.
It is designed to ‘trust’ the observations over the model. When 4. All data processing pipelines should be publicly available on
combined with the noisier data of FRIPON, an artificially in- GitHub, Gitlab, etc., with clear documentation.
flated covariance matrix is triggered, explaining the apparent bi- 5. Each network should clearly document the assumed celes-
modal distribution in Figure (6). The lower σv cloud represents tial reference frame (e.g., “J2000 equatorial coordinates” or
those in ‘single body’ mode, while the higher ones are using the “no-atmosphere topocentric horizontal coordinates”), detail-
‘fragmenting’ covariance matrix. The same two clusters appear ing the reference epoch and refraction correction; all calcu-
within DFN data, confirming that the uncertainty distribution is lations (or final outputs) should be transformed to that frame
an intrinsic consequence of the EKS. Given these two factors, the within arcsecond precision.
larger uncertainties presented here and the large cluster around 6. Confirm that each observatory’s time stamps, particularly
300-500 m s−1 are a result of the low spatial resolution of the data shutter-opening times or frame mid-exposure times, are ac-
and the high sampling rate of FRIPON observations, which the curately and consistently converted to UTC, with verified
EKS is not optimised to handle. While similarly high velocity leap seconds and known latencies/delays.
uncertainties are estimated by the DFN pipeline for DFN obser- 7. Propagate per-pick astrometry and timing errors through the
vations, they typically constitute a minority subset. trajectory and velocity fits, and report per-event 1σ uncer-
The accuracy of uncertainties has also been studied in Vida tainties and the propagation method (especially for auto-
et al. (2020b), where it was found that a factor of 2-4 under- mated point-picking).
estimation occurs in the radiant uncertainty when 1-σ errors 8. Specify the spectral sensitivity of the instrument and docu-
are used during the Monte Carlo procedure. This suggests that ment the bandpass of the star catalog used for photometric
higher measurement errors should be introduced in the Monte calibration and measurements.
Carlo procedure to ensure accurate uncertainty estimation. How-
10
ever, this analysis assumed that all sources of errors are random [Link]
9. Document any idiosyncrasies of the instrument that will help then DFN. These inconsistencies primarily reflect contrasting
understand and reproduce the results. treatments of astrometric weighting, timing precision, and sys-
10. If a group is starting a meteor or fireball network, it is highly tematic effects rather than deficiencies in any single solver. Re-
recommended to use WMPL11 to process your data. It is well liable orbital uncertainties are crucial for modelling meteoroid
written, publicly available, and well-documented. streams and linking meteors to their parent bodies; achieving
a consensus on uncertainty propagation is key for the commu-
nity to address. Future work should focus on standardised ap-
6. How to test your pipeline vs ours? proaches to specifying astrometric uncertainty, modelling pre-
All FRIPON single-station observation files used in this study, luminous deceleration, and automating outlier handling, thereby
along with a summary table of the triangulation results for each improving consistency and interpretability across diverse meteor
data reduction pipeline, are available on Zenodo12 . networks.
For access to pipelines compared in this paper, WMPL As meteor and fireball networks become more numerous due
is open-source software13 . The DFN, FRIPON, and AMOS to the decreasing cost of precise sensors, along with the in-
pipelines are currently being refactored to remove network- creased ubiquity of other observations from seismic, infrasound,
specific dependencies and improve documentation, with the aim radar, weather radar, telescopic, and satellite observations, we
of making them publicly available. In the interim, please contact believe that this study represents the first step toward improv-
the authors. ing collaboration between different networks and data sources.
In this comparison, it is also vital to note that the per–station By combining more sensors and integrating increasingly diverse
astrometry in the shared GFE files was only computed by the data reduction methods, we anticipate that future studies will
FRIPON pipeline. These GFE files, with FRIPON reduced as- enable a more comprehensive understanding of meteoroid pop-
trometry, were then used by the DFN, WMPL, and AMOS. Our ulations and their dynamics. In future work, we plan to con-
cross-pipeline differences, therefore, reflect trajectory/velocity duct similar analyses for meteorite-dropping fireballs and pre-
modelling and uncertainty propagation rather than astromet- impact telescopic detections, such as the 2023 CX1 data, as hav-
ric/timing calibration. ing an external and independent estimate of the orbit would be
extremely beneficial to the work.
Acknowledgements. This project received funding from the European Union’s
7. Conclusions Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-
Curie grant agreement No945298 ParisRegionFP (P.M.S.), and the grant agree-
By reprocessing 584 FRIPON-observed Geminid fireballs with ment No. 101150536 (S.A.) The Global Fireball Observatory and data pipeline
four independent data reduction pipelines (FRIPON, DFN, is enabled by the support of the Australian Research Council (DP230100301,
WMPL, and AMOS), we found that all achieve results simi- LE170100106). FRIPON was initiated by funding from ANR (grant N.13-BS05-
0009-03), carried by the Paris Observatory, Muséum National d’Histoire Na-
lar to previous studies; however, with some differences in ve- turelle, Paris-Saclay University and Institut Pythéas (LAM-CEREGE). VigieCiel
locity and radiant coordinates. The per–station astrometric solu- was part of the 65 Millions d’Observateurs project, carried by the Muséum Na-
tions produced by FRIPON were used by the DFN, WMPL, and tional d’Histoire Naturelle and funded by the French Investissements d’Avenir
AMOS; therefore, the cross-pipeline differences we discuss do program. FRIPON data are hosted and processed at Institut Pythéas SIP (Service
not arise from astrometric processing. FRIPON retrieved veloci- Informatique Pythéas), and a mirror is hosted at LTE (Le Laboratoire Temps
Espace / Paris Observatory). This project was partially funded by the Excellent
ties around 0.2-0.4 km s−1 faster than DFN, WMPL, and AMOS. Grant of Comenius University no. UK/3055/2024 (Flux of primitive and differ-
This overestimation is due to the deceleration-based model entiated material to Earth). This work was also supported by the Slovak Grant
(Bronshtehn 1983) it uses to estimate velocities, which are not Agency for Science (grant VEGA 1/0218/22), and by the Slovak Research and
accurate when deceleration is minimal. The DFN, WMPL, and Development Agency grants APVV-23-0323 and VV-MVP-24-0232. The au-
thors would also like to thank Simon Jeanne for his communication and help in
AMOS each employ more advanced velocity solvers, which pro- interpreting some of the results. Also, we would like to thank the anonymous
duce similar results as long as the observations do not contain reviewer whose thorough analysis and recommendations greatly improved the
significant noise. Otherwise, when only 2 cameras have observed manuscript.
the fireball, or there are fewer than 50 data points, the DFN
tends to estimate slightly lower velocities relative to WMPL and
AMOS. Concerning the radiant, FRIPON solutions are systemat- References
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Fig. A.1: ∆RA histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.2: ∆Dec histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.3: ∆vg histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.4: ∆a histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.5: ∆e histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.6: ∆i histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.7: ∆ω histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.
Fig. A.8: ∆Ω histograms (column – row) for all pairwise combinations of FRIPON, WMPL, DFN, and AMOS. The solid vertical
line denotes zero, the dashed vertical line indicates the median, and the grey region encompasses the 95% confidence region. ∆ is
the median value, and the ± indicates half of the 95% region.