Project Risk Management Course Overview
Project Risk Management Course Overview
CHAPTER ONE
Principles of project risk management
THE CONCEPT Types of project risk
OF PROJECT RISK
Risk preference ,risk utility and risk propensity
Risk Breakdown structure
Risk Management processes
CHAPTER TWO CHAPTER THREE
PLAN RISK MANAGEMENT
IDENTIFYING PROJECT RISK
Processes of Project risk Importance of Risk Identification
management Inputs of Risk identification
Benefits of plan risk management Techniques and tools of risk
plan identification
Plan Risk management inputs Outputs of risk identification
Plan risk Management
Tools/techniques
Plan Risk management outputs
CHAPTER FIVE
CHAPTER FOUR
Participant centered
Lectures,
Group discussions
Case studies
Modes of Assessment
Individual Assignment --- 20%
Group Assignment------- 20%
Test ------- 20%
Final Exam --------------40%
CHAPTER ONE
• A project risk is any unexpected event that • [Link] Hazard; Related to injuries caused
can affect your project/the possibility of a loss by tangible objects. E.G Smoking
• Peril, is danger/the cause of loss. Ex. fire • [Link] Hazard is an insured person’s
,wind ,Water, theft et c
attitude about their belongings. It represents
• A hazard is a condition that increases the
possibility /the chance of loss. arise of indifference to loss because the items
• It is any condition or habit, circumstance or are covered. EX.-Accident victims who
situation that makes a peril more likely to exaggerate their injuries. Careless or reckless
occur or a loss more likely to be suffered as a attitudes that can cause peril. Insurance
result of a peril. industry itself causes moral Hazard
• Before deciding to provide coverage ,an • 3 .Legal Hazard, an increase in the possibility
insurer may consider a particular hazard that of loss because of legal action. Ex. Aloss will
make one candidate riskier than most others.
occur due to court actions.
•
Why Projects are Risky
I. Common Characteristics
There are three distinct reasons The definition of projects show most
features of projects
for why projects are risky, which Project is in general a building block of an
we need to understand to manage investment plan.
risk in projects successfully. A project can be described as a
combination of human and material
Common characteristics; resources pooled together in an
organization to achieve a specific objective
Deliberate design; and Project is a one shot, time limited, goal
directed, major undertaking, requiring the
External environment. commitment of varied skills and resources.
It also describes a project as “a
combination of human and non-human
resources pooled together in a temporary
organization to achieve a specific purpose
Characteristics of Projects
A project is a big-work. It is basically a work of Team work: Any project calls for team
one whole thing. This means that while there work-. The team members may be from
may be contribution from many people, it can be different
regarded as one whole thing. And characterized
by:
discipline,
Objective: A project has a fixed set of organization,
objectives. Once the objectives are achieved
the project ceases to exist and even country
Life span: A project can not continue Uniqueness: No two projects are exactly
endlessly. It has to come to an end at some similar even if the plants are exactly
time. identical or are duplicated. The location,
the infrastructure, the agencies and the
people make each project unique.
ii. Deliberate Design
Change: A project sees many changes Projects are conceived, launched and
through out its life. While some of these executed in order to achieve objectives
changes may not have any major impact, closely linked to corporate strategy.
there can be changes which will change the In the competitive environment,
entire course of the project. organisations wish to get and stay in by
High level of sub contracting : A high making significant advances in the
percentage of a work in a project is done products and services.
through contractors. The more complex is a
project, the more will be the extent of However, risk and reward are positively
contracting. Therefore correlated.
uniqueness, Higher-risk means potentially higher
Assumptions and constraints, reward, though clearly there is also
increased possibility of significant loss.
people,
stakeholders and
change
iii. External Environment
Improved Project Success Rates: Identifying Reduced Costs and Delays: Identifying risks
and managing risks increases the likelihood early allows for preemptive actions,
of achieving project objectives on time and reducing the potential for costly setbacks
within budget. and unexpected delays.
Better Decision-Making: By understanding Enhanced Resource Allocation: Recognizing
potential risks, project teams can make risks enables teams to allocate resources
informed decisions and prioritize actions to where they are needed most, improving
mitigate or avoid issues. efficiency and focus.
Increased Stakeholder Confidence: Effective Clearer Communication and Collaboration:
risk management demonstrates proactive Risk management encourages regular
planning, which builds trust with communication and alignment among team
stakeholders and sponsors. members and stakeholders, fostering
transparency and cohesion.
Greater Flexibility and Adaptability: With a risk Objectives of Project Risk Management
management plan, teams are better prepared to
adapt to unforeseen challenges, ensuring that
projects stay on track.
Improved Quality of Deliverables: Managing risks The objectives of risk
helps in identifying potential quality issues,
enabling the team to uphold standards and
management are
deliver high-quality outcomes To decrease the probability and impact of
Strategic Advantage: Companies that manage events adverse to the project.
risks effectively gain a competitive edge by To increase the likelihood of achieving
consistently delivering projects that align with objectives;
their strategic goals. Improve the identification of opportunities
Enhanced Learning and Continuous and threats;
Improvement: Each project’s risk analysis
contributes to a knowledge base, improving risk Establish a reliable basis for decision making
responses in future projects and planning; improve controls; effectively
It May be a legal requirement depending upon allocate and use resources for risk treatment;
the industry or sector
In general • Overall project risk can also be
Project Risk Management aims to positive or negative. Management of
exploit or enhance positive risks
(opportunities) while avoiding or overall project risk aims to keep
mitigating negative risks(threats). project risk exposure within an
Unmanaged threats may result in issues acceptable range by reducing drivers
or problems such as delay, cost
overruns, performance shortfall, or loss of negative variation, promoting
of reputation. drivers of positive variation, and
Opportunities that are captured can maximizing the probability of
lead to benefits such as reduced time achieving overall project objectives.
and cost, improved performance, or
reputation.
Principles of Project Risk Management 1. Strive to achieve excellence in the practice
of risk management
According to PMI’s Standards for risk management
2019, there are seven specific core principles that It is about reaching the appropriate
underlie the process of risk management level of organizational process maturity
• Strive to achieve excellence in the practice of risk and the optimal level of performance.
management Excellence can be achieved by
Align risk management with organizational strategy
Increase the predictability of outcomes,
•
and governance practices
both qualitatively and quantitatively.
a)Balancing the benefits to be obtained with the
• Focus on the most impactful risks associated cost and
• Balance realization of value against overall risks b)Tailoring the risk management
• Foster a culture that embraces risk management processes to the characteristics
• Navigate complexity using risk management to of the organization and its
enable successful outcomes projects.
• Continuously improve risk management Process excellence in risk management is
competencies itself a risk management strategy.
• 2. Align risk management with [Link] on the most impactful risks
organizational strategy and governance
practices Identify the risks that directly
influence goals and objectives.
• Project risk management in organizations
Depends on the characteristics of the
is developed and evolved in coexistence organization, its environment, internal
with other organizational processes, such maturity, culture, and strategy.
as strategy and governance. Organizations develop and improve by
• Adjustments become necessary as the refining the processes for risk
organization evolves. prioritization.
4. Balance realization of value against overall 5. Foster a culture that embraces risk
risks management
specific risks that affect particular aspects the risk that has potential effect on the project's
overall success, taking into account the broader
or components of the project. are isolated context, objectives, and stakeholder expectations
events that could hinder a particular Examples:
activity, task, or deliverable but might not Budget Overrun: If a series of costs exceed the
necessarily impact the entire project. budget across various parts of the project, it
could threaten the project’s overall financial
Examples viability.
Delayed Delivery of Materials: If a key Stakeholder Misalignment: If stakeholders have
supplier is late, it can affect the whole conflicting expectations and this isn’t resolved, it
could undermine the project's objectives.
project if not managed quickly. Regulatory Changes: New laws or regulations
Team Member Illness: A team member’s that impact the project as a whole may require a
absence might delay their specific tasks but complete redesign or could make the project
infeasible, affecting overall completion.
can be covered with backup resources.
Based on nature of risks we can categorize risks as follow
Common Types of business Risks(in some In most cases, risk management seeks
cases projects) to optimize the risk-reward ratio within
A business risk is a future possibility that may
prevent you from achieving a business goal. the bounds of the risk tolerance of your
The risks facing a typical business are broad
business.
and include things that you can control such Example : The risk-reward ratio
as your strategy and things beyond your measures how much your potential
control such as the global economy.
reward is, for every dollar you risk. For
There is a strong relationship between risk
and reward. It's generally impossible to example: If you have a risk-reward ratio
achieve business gains without taking on at of 1:3, it means you're risking $1 to
least some risk. Therefore, the purpose of risk potentially make $3. If you have a risk-
management is not to completely eliminate
risk. reward ratio of 1:5, it means you're
risking $1 to potentially make $5
The following are common types of business risk.
• The risk that your • The possibility that conditions in the economy
will increase your costs or reduce your sales.
competition will gain
3 Operational risk:
advantages over you that •
prevent you from reaching • The potential of failures related to the day-to-
day operations of an organization such as a
your goals. For example, customer service process. It is the result of
competitors that have a insufficient or failed processes. However,
operational processes that are considered to be
fundamentally cheaper cost complete and successful also generate risk.
17. Resource risk: The chance that you will fail to meet
business goals due to a lack of resources such as financing or
19. Seasonal risk: A business with revenue that's
the labor of skilled workers.
concentrated in a single season such as plant disease, rainfall
18. Political risk: The potential for political events and
.
outcomes to impede your business.
[Link] Risks
[Link] Risks
QUESTION? END OF THE
CHAPTER