Advanced Probability Theory Revision Guide
Advanced Probability Theory Revision Guide
Find (i) P (A n B)
(ii) P B A
1
(b) Two events A and B are neither independent non- mutually exclusive. Given
1 1 1
that P(B) = 3 , P(A) = 2 and P(A n B1) = 3 .
7. (a) Two mutually exclusive events A and B such that 𝑃(𝐴) = 2⁄5 and 𝑃(𝐵) = 3⁄7
find 𝑃 (𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)′
(b) Two independent events M and N are such that 𝑃(𝑀) = 0.5 and 𝑃(𝑁) = 0.7 find
𝑃 (𝑀 ∪ 𝑁)
(c) A box contains 4 red and 7 black pens. Two pens are picked at random one after
another without replacement. Find the probability that;
(i) Both pens are red (ii) the pens are of different colours
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS
8. (a) The time in seconds for phone calls made by twelve customers at a public
telephone booth were recorded as follows;
110, 132, 101, 91, 89, 122, 115, 106, 109, 112, 105, 106
Find the; (i) median time (ii) mean time
(b) The data below represents the lengths of leaves in centimeters. 4.4, 6.2, 9.4,
12.6, 10.0, 8.8, 3.8 and 13.6 Find the;
(i) Mean length (ii) Standard deviation
9. The heights in (cm) of senior five students in a certain School were recorded as in
the frequency table below;
Height / cm Frequency,
f
149 – 152 5
153 – 156 17
157 – 160 20
161 – 164 25
165 – 168 15
169 – 172 6
173 – 176 2
10. The table below shows the monks scored by 50 students in mathematics
Marks 25 – 34 35 – 44 45 – 54 55 – 64 65 - 74 75 – 84 85 – 94
Frequency 3 7 16 14 6 3 1
11. A random sample of 120 broad bean seeds was collected. Each seed was weighed to
the nearest 0.01g and the results were summarized in the table below;
Weight /g Number of beans
1.10 – 1.29 7
1.30 – 1.49 24
1.50 – 1.69 33
1.70 – 1.89 32
1.90 – 2.09 14
2.10 –2.29 8
2.30 – 2.49 1
2.50 – 2.69 1
Calculate an estimate for the mean and standard deviation of the weight of these
broad bean seeds. Give your answer to 3 decimal places.
12. The table below shows marks scored by some students in a tests
Marks No. of students
10 - < 15 2
15 - < 20 8
20 - < 30 17
30 - < 35 26
35 - < 40 24
40 - < 50 16
50 - < 60 6
60 - < 65 1
(c) Find the number of students who passed given that the pass mark was 37
13. Below are points scored by 50 teams in a certain football league in Italy;
45 31 46 25 57 39 42 55 20 37
40 59 11 38 34 22 62 33 48 43
57 37 43 51 29 14 35 66 45 32
44 42 46 54 65 17 35 53 27 47
38 22 33 39 45 32 43 41 57 45
(a) Make a grouped frequency distribution table for the data above; starting with
the interval 10 – 19 and all classes should have the same range.
(b) Draw a Histogram to illustrate the data and use it to estimate the mode
(c) Calculate the median
CORRELATION
14. The table below shows the scores of time employees in interview (x) and job
performance (y)
X 57 35 56 57 66 79 81 84 52
Y 66 51 63 34 47 70 84 84 53
15. The following table gives the grades given to six candidates of 2012 in external and
internal mocks of a certain school. (Grade A = 6 points)
Internal E C B F D A B O
mock
External O B C O C C B F
mock
(i) Calculate the rank correlation coefficient and comment on your results
16. The tabulated values are of marks of ten students in physics and economics.
Subjects 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Physics A B C E B F D A O A
Economics C D C A O E D A F B
School A B C D E F G H
Judge 1 40 80 77 56 68 77 72 77
Judge 2 52 78 80 54 62 73 52 80
(a) Draw a scatter diagram for the scores of the two judges and comment on it
(b) Calculate the rank correlation coefficient and comment on your results.
18. Below are marks scored by 8 students A, B, C, D, E, F, G, H I Mathematics,
Economics and Geography in the end of term examination
A B C D E F G H
Mathematics 52 75 41 60 81 31 65 52
Economics 50 60 35 65 66 45 69 48
Geography 35 40 60 54 63 40 55 72
Calculate the rank correlation coefficients between the performances of the students
in;
(i) Mathematics and Economics
(ii) Geography and Mathematics
19. A random variable X has a probability distribution given in the table below
X 1 2 5 10
f(x) 0.5 P 0.12 Q
Given that X can take on the given values and that E(X) = 2.5, find the values of p
and q.
(b) The random variable X has a probability density function given by;
𝑘2𝑥 ; 𝑥 = 0, 1, 2, 3
𝑓(𝑥) = {
0 ; 𝑒𝑙𝑠𝑒𝑤ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒
Find; (i) the value of the constant k (ii) E(X)
21. (a) A discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution function;
X 1 2 3 4 5
P(X = x) K 2k 3k 4k 5k
𝑥
; 𝑥 = 1, 2, 3, … . . , 𝑛
𝑓(𝑥) = {𝑘
0 ; 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒
Given that the expectation E(X) = 3, find the values of n and k.
22. A random variable X has probability density function given by
P(X = 0) =0.1, P(X = 1) = 0.3, P(X = 2) = 0.4 and P(X = 3) = 0.2. Find the;
(i) Expectation of X (ii) Variance of X (iii) Standard deviation and
(ii) E (3x + 2)
23. (a) The table gives the probability distribution function of a variable X
X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
P(X = x) C 2C 2C 3C C2 2C2 7C + C
2
Find the; (i) value of C (ii) P(𝑥 ≥ 5) (iii) Mean and variance of X
INDEX NUMBERS
27. (a) The table below shows prices of items in 1999 and 2000
Calculate the price relative of each item using 1999 as the base year
(b). The prices of items in 2012 and 2013 are given the table below
Prices Quantities
Item 2011 2012 2011 2012
Soya beans 400 500 1.0 1.2
Salt 200 200 0.5 0.5
Sugar 1000 1200 1.4 1.4
G. nuts 1000 1400 2.0 2.5
(b).The cost of servicing a car depends on 3 items. These together with their price
relative in 2005 using 2003 as the base year and their weights as listed below
Item Price Relative Weights
Materials 115 2
Labour 110 5
Head gear M 3
29. The price relatives for five commodities A, B, C, D and E are shown in the table
below, with their respective weights
Commodity A B C D E
Price Relative 145 125 130 N 120
Weight 2 3 4 5 1
(a) Calculate the actual prices of each items in May to the nearest shilling
(b) Taking the price of baking flour as the base, calculate the index numbers for
the month of January
(c) Taking January as the base, calculate the index numbers for march
31. The expenses of a house hold (in thousands of Uganda shillings) for the first month
of three successive years (2000 – 2002) were as follows
(a) Taking the year 2000 as the base year, find the price relatives for the year 2001
and 2002
(b) Using weights of 4, 1, 2 and 3 for food, fuel, transport and others respectively,
calculate the weighted aggregate index for 2001 and 2002
32. The price in shillings of commodities A, B and C in 2001 and 2010, are given in the
table below
Commodity 2001 2010
A 18,500 27,750
B 15,000 21,000
C 10,000 13,000
BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION
33. (a) Find the probability of obtaining exactly three 4’s if an ordinary die is tossed 5
times
(b). A coin is biased so that a head is twice as likely to occur as a tail. If the
coin is tossed 15 times, determine the probability of getting;
(i) Exactly 12 heads (ii) At least 14 heads (iii) At most 2 tails
34. 2
(a) The probability that Junior wins a Lotto game is ⁄3. He plays 8 games. What is
the probability that he wins;
(i) Exactly 8 games (ii) At least 7 games (iii) At most 5 games
(b). The probability that a patient recovers from a disease is 0.4. If 15 patients are
known to have contracted the disease, what is the probability that;
(i) At least 10 will survive (ii) Between 3 and 8 inclusive survive (iii) At most 5
survive
35. (a) Of the people who stay in Janda village, 80% are known to have malaria, if 12
people awaiting to see the doctor, what is the most likely number of them to have
malaria?
(b) In a group of University ladies, the expected number of ladies who wear glasses
is 2 and variance is 1.6. Find the probability that;
(i) Sketch f(x) (ii) Determine the value of k (iii) Find the cumulative
distribution function of X (iv) find, correct to two decimal places the
median, m of X
49. (a) If an express train reduced its speed from 96kmh -1 to 24 kmh-1 in 0.8
km, for how long were the brakes applied; and how much longer would it take
to come to rest
(b) A train moves 3.6 km from rest to rest in 3 minutes. The greatest speed
being 90kmh-1 and the acceleration and retardation being uniform, find the
distance travelled at full speed
50. (a) A car starts from rest with a constant acceleration of 2.5 ms-2. It
attains a velocity of 30 ms-1 after t seconds. Find the; (i) value of t (ii)
distance moved by the car
(b) A bus accelerates uniformly from rest. At the same a passenger who is
100m behind the bus runs at a constant speed and just catches up with the
bus after 1 minute. Find the; (i) acceleration of the bus (ii) speed of the
passenger
51. (a) A car travels along a straight road between two towns, Kampala and
Entebbe (K and E). The car starts from rest at K and accelerates at 2.5 ms -2
until it reaches a speed of 40 ms-1. It then travels at this speed for a
distance of 3120m and then decelerates at 4 ms-2 to come to rest at E
(i) Sketch a velocity – time graph for the motion of the car
(ii) Determine; the total time taken for the car to move from K to E,
distance from K to E and the average speed of the car
(b). the table below shows the velocity of a particle during the course of its
motion
Time/s 0 5 10 20 30 60
Velocity(ms-1) 0 10 20 20 20 0
52. (a) The resultant of the forces F1 = 3i + (a - c)j, F2 = (2a + 3c)j and F3 = 4i +
6j acting on a particle is 10i +12j. Find the; (i) value of a and c (ii)
magnitude of F2
(b) A particle of mass 2 kg moves under the action of three forces F1, F2 and
F3. At a time, t, 𝐹1 = (1⁄4 𝑡 − 1)𝑖 + (𝑡 − 3)𝑗𝑁, 𝐹2 = (1⁄2 𝑡 + 2)𝑖 + (1⁄2 𝑡 −
4)𝑗𝑁 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝐹3 = (1⁄4 𝑡 − 4)𝑖 + (3⁄2 𝑡 + 1)𝑗𝑁. Find the acceleration of the
particle when t = 2 seconds
(c) Four forces, bi + (b+1)j, 3i +2bj, 5i – 6j and -2i -3j act on a particle. The
resultant of the forces makes an angle of 45 0 with the horizontal. Find the
value of b. hence find the magnitude of the resultant force
(d) Forces F1 = (ai +bj) N and F2 = (2i – 3j) N acting in the same direction on
a body of mass 2.5 kg cause it to accelerate at (4i +5j) ms -2. Find the
constants a and b. Hence determine the resultant force
53. (a) A particle of unit mass is acted on by three forces with the following
magnitudes and directions √3 N due North, 3N in the direction of S300E,
2√3 N in the direction S600W. (i) Find the magnitude and direction of the
resultant force
(ii) If an additional force now acts on the particle, so that it has an
acceleration of 3 ms-2 due East. Calculate the magnitude of the extra force
(b). Forces of magnitude 10N, 14N, 12N and 8N act on a particle in the
directions of N500E, S800E, S200W and N500W respectively
(i) Magnitude of the resultant force acting on the particle
(ii) Direction of the resultant force
54. (a) PQRS is a square. Forces of magnitude 60N, 40N, 180N and 40N act
along the lines PQ, QR, RP and SQ respectively in each case the direction of
the forces being given by the order of the letters. Given that SR is
horizontal, determine;
(i) the magnitude of the resultant force
(ii) the inclination of the resultant to SR