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Overview of Artificial Intelligence History

The document provides an introduction to Artificial Intelligence (AI), covering its history, foundational concepts, and the evolution of AI technologies from its inception post-World War II to the present. It discusses key milestones, including the Turing Test, cognitive modeling, and the development of expert systems, as well as the rise of deep learning and big data. Additionally, it addresses the current state of AI, highlighting advancements, publication trends, and the associated risks and benefits of AI technologies.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
7 views30 pages

Overview of Artificial Intelligence History

The document provides an introduction to Artificial Intelligence (AI), covering its history, foundational concepts, and the evolution of AI technologies from its inception post-World War II to the present. It discusses key milestones, including the Turing Test, cognitive modeling, and the development of expert systems, as well as the rise of deep learning and big data. Additionally, it addresses the current state of AI, highlighting advancements, publication trends, and the associated risks and benefits of AI technologies.

Uploaded by

jason9308
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Introduction to

Artificial Intelligence

Chapter 1
Introduction

Wei-Ta Chu (朱威達)

1
What is AI?
• AI started in earnest soon after World War II, and the name itself was coined in
1956.

thought process

behavior

2
Acting Humanly: The Turing Test
• A computer passes the Turing test if a human interrogator (訊問者), after
posing some written questions, cannot tell whether the written responses come
from a person or from a computer.
• The computer needs
• Natural language processing
• Knowledge representation
• Automated reasoning
• Machine learning
• Computer vision
• Robotics

3
Thinking Humanly: Cognitive Modeling
• We must have some way of determining how humans think
• Through introspection (反思)
• Through psychological experiments
• Through brain imaging
• Cognitive science brings together computer models from AI and experimental
techniques from psychology to construct precise and testable theories of the
human mind.

4
Thinking Rationally: Law of Thought
• By 1965, programs existed that could, in principle, solve any solvable problem
described in logical notation. The so-called logicist tradition within artificial
intelligence hopes to build on such programs to create intelligent systems.
• Two main obstacles
• It’s not easy to take informal knowledge and state it in the formal terms
required by logical notation.
• There is a big difference between solving a problem “in principle” and
solving it in practice. Even problems with just a few hundred facts can
exhaust the computational resources.

5
Acting Rationally: Rational Agent
• A rational agent is one that acts so as to achieve the best outcome or, when
there is uncertainty, the best expected outcome.
• Two advantages
• It is more general than the “laws of thought” approach because correct
inference is just one of several possible mechanisms for achieving
rationality.
• It is more amenable (經得起檢驗) to scientific development than other
approaches based on human behavior or human thought.

6
Foundations of AI
• Philosophy
• Can formal rules be used to draw valid conclusions?
• How does the mind arise from a physical brain?
• What does knowledge come from?
• How does knowledge lead to action?
• Mathematics
• What are the formal rules to draw valid conclusions?
• What can be computed?
• How do we reason with uncertain information?

7
Foundations of AI
• Economics
• How should we make decisions so as to maximize payoff?
• How should we do this when others may not go along?
• How should we do this when the payoff may be far in the future?
• Neuroscience
• How do brains process information?

8
Foundations of AI
• Psychology
• How do humans and animals think and act?
• Computer Engineering
• How can we build an efficient computer?
• Control theory and cybernetics
• How can artifacts operate under their own control?
• Linguistics
• How does language relate to thoughts?

9
History of AI
• One quick way to summarize AI history – by the ones who won Turing Award
• Marvin Minsky (1969) and John McCarthy (1971) defined the
foundations of the field based on representation and reasoning
• Allen Newell and Herbert Simon (1975) for symbolic models
• Ed Feigenbaum and Raj Reddy (1994) for developing expert systems
• Judea Pearl (2011) for developing probabilistic reasoning techniques
• Yoshua Bengio, Geoffrey Hinton, and Yann LeCun (2019) for making
deep learning

10
History of AI
• The inception (開端) of artificial intelligence (1943–1956)
• Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts (1943) proposed a model of artificial
neuron. They showed that any computable function could be computed by
some network of connected neurons, and logical connectives could be
implemented.
• Donald Hebb (1949) demonstrated a simple updating rule for modifying
the connection strengths between neurons.
• Marvin Minsky and Dean Edmonds built the first neural network
computer in 1950.
• Alan Turing gave lectures on the topic as early as 1947.

11
History of AI
• The birth of artificial intelligence (1955-56)
• John McCarthy convinced Minsky, Claude Shannon, and Nathaniel
Rochester to help him bring together U.S. researchers interested in
automata theory, neural nets, and the study of intelligence. They organized
a two-month workshop at Dartmouth in the summer of 1956.

Founding fathers of AI.


Courtesy of [Link]

12
History of AI
• The birth of artificial intelligence (1955-56)
• Automatic computers
• How can a computer be programmed to use a language
• Neuron nets
• Theory of the size of a calculation
• Self-improvement
• Abstractions
• Randomness and creativity
• The proposers: Claude E. Shannon, Marvin L. Minsky, Nathaniel Rochester,
John McCarthy

13
History of AI
• Early enthusiasm, great expectations (1952–1969)
• Newell and Simon’s early success was followed up with the General
Problem Solver (GPS). GPS was probably the first program to embody
the “thinking humanly” approach.
• Newell and Simon (1976) formulated the physical symbol system
hypothesis -- any system (human or machine) exhibiting intelligence must
operate by manipulating data structures composed of symbols.

14
History of AI
• Early enthusiasm, great expectations (1952–1969)
• At IBM, Nathaniel Rochester and his colleagues produced some of the
first AI programs.
• Herbert Gelernter (1959) constructed the Geometry Theorem Prover,
which was able to prove theorems.
• Starting in 1952, Arthur Samuel wrote a series of programs for checkers
(西洋棋) that eventually learned to play at a strong amateur level.

15
History of AI
• Early enthusiasm, great expectations (1952–1969)
• In 1958, McCarthy defined the high-level language Lisp, which was to
become the dominant AI programming language for the next 30 years. He
described the Advice Taker, a hypothetical program that can be seen as the
first complete AI system.
• Minsky supervised a series of students who chose limited problems that
appeared to require intelligence to solve. These limited domains became
known as microworlds.
• Early work building on the neural networks of McCulloch and Pitts also
flourished.

16
History of AI
• Early enthusiasm, great expectations (1952–1969)
• The most famous microworld is blocks world

17
History of AI
• A dose of reality (1966–1973)
• AI researchers’ overconfidence was due to the promising performance of
early AI systems on simple examples.
• A typical story occurred in early machine translation efforts. The famous
retranslation of “the spirit is willing but the flesh is weak” (心有餘而力不
足) as “the vodka is good but the meat is rotten” illustrates the difficulties.
• Scalability: A program can find a solution in principle does not mean that
the program contains any of the mechanisms needed to find it in practice.
• Some fundamental limitations on the basic structures being used to
generate intelligent behavior.

18
History of AI
• Expert systems (1969–1986)
• Previous methods are weak methods, which don’t scale up to large or
difficult problems.
• The alternative to weak methods is to use more powerful, domain-specific
knowledge that allows larger reasoning steps and can more easily handle
typically occurring cases in narrow areas of expertise.
• The DENDRAL program (Buchanan et al., 1969) was developed to solve
the problem of inferring molecular structure from the information
provided by a mass spectrometer.

19
History of AI
• Expert systems (1969–1986)
• Feigenbaum and others at Stanford developed MYCIN to diagnose blood
infections. With about 450 rules, MYCIN was able to perform as well as
some experts, and considerably better than junior doctors.
• The importance of domain knowledge was also apparent in the area of
understanding natural language.

20
History of AI
• Expert systems (1969–1986)
• The AI industry boomed from a few million dollars in 1980 to billions of
dollars in 1988, including companies building expert systems, vision
systems, robots, and software and hardware specialized for these purposes.
• Soon after that came a period called the “AI Winter,” in which many
companies fell by the wayside as they failed to deliver on extravagant
promises.

21
History of AI
• The return of neural networks (1986–present)
• In the mid-1980s at least four different groups reinvented the back-
propagation learning algorithm first found in 1969 by Bryson and Ho.
• These so-called connectionist models of intelligent systems were seen by
some as direct competitors both to the symbolic models promoted by
Newell and Simon and to the logicist approach of McCarthy and others
(Smolensky, 1988).

22
History of AI
• Probabilistic reasoning and machine learning (1987–present)
• Approaches incorporating probability rather than Boolean logic, machine
learning rather than hand-coding, and experimental results rather than
philosophical claims.
• Shared benchmark problem sets became the norm for demonstrating
progress.
• In the 1980s, approaches using hidden Markov models came to
dominate the area of speech recognition. They are based on a rigorous
math theory. They are generated by a process of training on a large corpus
of real speech data.

23
History of AI
• Probabilistic reasoning and machine learning (1987–present)
• Note that there was no scientific claim that humans use HMMs to
recognize speech.
• In 1988 Judea Pearl’s development of Bayesian networks yielded a
rigorous and efficient formalism for representing uncertain knowledge as
well as practical algorithms for probabilistic reasoning.
• In 1988 Rich Sutton’s work connecting reinforcement learning to the
theory of Markov decision processes developed in the field of operations
research.

24
History of AI
• Big data (2001–present)
• Remarkable advances in computing power and the creation of WWW
have facilitated the creation of very large data sets – big data. This has
led to the development of learning algorithms specially designed to take
advantage of very large data sets.
• The availability of tens of millions of images in the ImageNet database
sparked a revolution in the field of computer vision.
• Big data was a crucial factor in the 2011 victory of IBM’s Watson system
over human champions in the Jeopardy! Quiz game.

25
History of AI
• Deep learning (2011–present)
• The term deep learning refers to machine learning using multiple layers of
simple, adjustable computing elements. Convolutional neural networks
are found some success in hand-written digit recognition in the 1990s.
• In the 2012 ImageNet competition, a deep learning system created in
Geoffrey Hinton’s group showed a dramatic improvement over previous
systems. Since then, deep learning systems have exceeded human
performance on some vision tasks.
• AlphaGo

26
History of AI
• 「把AI的進展寫成一個迷人的故事」 -- 李開復
• 「如果你想用一本書認識AI,就是這本了」 -- <鋼鐵人馬斯克>作者
• 「…她緊急而清楚描述了人工智能的巨大潛力和危險…」-- Geoffrey
Hinton

27
The State of the Art
• Publications: AI papers increased 20-fold between 2010 and 2019.
• Sentiment: About 70% of news articles on AI are neutral, but articles with
positive tone increased from 12% in 2016 to 30% in 2018.
• Students: Course enrollment increased 5-fold in the U.S. and 16-fold
internationally from a 2010 baseline.
• Diversity: AI Professors worldwide are about 80% male, and 20% female.
• Conferences: Attendance at NeurIPS increased 800% since 2012.
• Industry: AI startups in the U.S. increased 20-fold to over 800.
• Internationalization: China publishes more paper per year than the U.S. and
about as many as all of Europe.

28
The State of the Art
• Vision: Error rates for object detection improved from 28% in 2010 to 2% in
2017. Accuracy on open-ended VQA improved from 55% to 68% since 2015.
• Speed: Training time for the image recognition task dropped by a factor of 100
in just the past two years.
• Language: Accuracy on question answering, as measured by F1 score on the
Stanford Question Answering Dataset, increased from 60 to 95 from 2015 to
2019.
• Human benchmarks: By 2019, AI systems had reportedly met or exceeded
human-level performance in chess, Go, poker, Pac-Man, Jeopardy!, ImageNet
object detection, speech recognition in a limited domain, …

29
Risks and Benefits of AI
• Benefits: the potential for AI and robotics to free humanity from repetitive
work and to dramatically increase the production of goods and services could
presage (預示) an era of peace and plenty.
• Risks:
• Lethal (致命的) autonomous weapons
• Surveillance and persuasion
• Biased decision making
• Impact on employment
• Safety-critical applications
• Cybersecurity

30

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