STAT 443: Sampling Theory Assignment
STAT 443: Sampling Theory Assignment
Using simple random sampling without replacement, we list all combinations of 4 items from 5, which results in 5 possible samples: (160, 220, 850, 510), (160, 220, 850, 110), (160, 220, 510, 110), (160, 850, 510, 110), (220, 850, 510, 110). The probability of selecting any specific sample is 1 divided by the total number of samples, which is 5C4 = 5. So, each sample has a probability of 0.20 or 20%.
The variance of estimated totals, Var(ˆYt), is verified by calculating it as the expected variance of the estimated totals from samples, E [Var(ˆys)]. Similar to variance of sample means, this involves calculating the total estimates' variance within each sample and taking the average across all samples to show the equivalency. Such verification ensures the predictive validity of estimation procedures grounded in simple random sampling.
Variance of sample means, Var(¯y), represents the variability of the means of all possible samples. It is demostrated by showing Var(¯y) equals the expected value of the variances of the sample means, E [Var(¯ys)], by calculating the variance within each sample and averaging these variances across all samples. This confirms theoretically that the observed variance among sample means can predict the true population variance if sampling is random and unbiased.
The population total is found by summing all the elements of the population. Total = 160 + 220 + 850 + 510 + 110 = 1,850. The population mean is this total divided by the number of elements, which is 5. Mean = 1,850 / 5 = 370. The population variance is calculated by finding the average of the squared differences from the Mean. Variance = [(160 - 370)^2 + (220 - 370)^2 + (850 - 370)^2 + (510 - 370)^2 + (110 - 370)^2] / 5 = 74,080/5 = 14,816.
For each of the 5 samples, calculate the sample mean and total. For example, (160, 220, 850, 510): mean = (160 + 220 + 850 + 510) / 4 = 435, total = 1640. Compute the overall sample mean by averaging the means of all samples, and the overall sample total by averaging the totals. Then compare with the actual population mean of 370 and the total of 1,850. The sample estimates will vary but should be unbiased, providing an average close to the actual mean and total.