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Flight Delay Analysis and Definitions

The document introduces a lab focused on analyzing a dataset of domestic flights from New York City airports in 2013, emphasizing the importance of summarizing and processing data. It provides instructions on using R packages like dplyr and ggplot2 for data manipulation and visualization, along with examples of filtering and summarizing flight delays. Additionally, it outlines various analytical questions and statistical functions that can be applied to the dataset.

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Valerie Agnes
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views13 pages

Flight Delay Analysis and Definitions

The document introduces a lab focused on analyzing a dataset of domestic flights from New York City airports in 2013, emphasizing the importance of summarizing and processing data. It provides instructions on using R packages like dplyr and ggplot2 for data manipulation and visualization, along with examples of filtering and summarizing flight delays. Additionally, it outlines various analytical questions and statistical functions that can be applied to the dataset.

Uploaded by

Valerie Agnes
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

25/11/2020 Introduction to data

Introduction to data
Complete all Exercises, and submit answers to Questions on the Coursera platform.

Some define statistics as the field that focuses on turning information into knowledge. The first step in that
process is to summarize and describe the raw information - the data. In this lab we explore flights, specifically
a random sample of domestic flights that departed from the three major New York City airport in 2013. We will
generate simple graphical and numerical summaries of data on these flights and explore delay times. As this is
a large data set, along the way you’ll also learn the indispensable skills of data processing and subsetting.

Getting started
Load packages
In this lab we will explore the data using the dplyr package and visualize it using the ggplot2 package for
data visualization. The data can be found in the companion package for this course, statsr .

Let’s load the packages.

library(statsr)
library(dplyr)
library(ggplot2)

Data
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics ([Link] (BTS) is a statistical agency that is
a part of the Research and Innovative Technology Administration (RITA). As its name implies, BTS collects and
makes available transportation data, such as the flights data we will be working with in this lab.

We begin by loading the nycflights data frame. Type the following in your console to load the data:

data(nycflights)

The data frame containing 32735 flights that shows up in your workspace is a data matrix, with each row
representing an observation and each column representing a variable. R calls this data format a data frame,
which is a term that will be used throughout the labs.

To view the names of the variables, type the command

names(nycflights)

## [1] "year" "month" "day" "dep_time" "dep_delay" "arr_time"


## [7] "arr_delay" "carrier" "tailnum" "flight" "origin" "dest"
## [13] "air_time" "distance" "hour" "minute"

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This returns the names of the variables in this data frame. The codebook (description of the variables) is
included below. This information can also be found in the help file for the data frame which can be accessed by
typing ?nycflights in the console.

year , month , day : Date of departure


dep_time , arr_time : Departure and arrival times, local timezone.
dep_delay , arr_delay : Departure and arrival delays, in minutes. Negative times represent early
departures/arrivals.
carrier : Two letter carrier abbreviation.

9E : Endeavor Air Inc.


AA : American Airlines Inc.
AS : Alaska Airlines Inc.
B6 : JetBlue Airways
DL : Delta Air Lines Inc.
EV : ExpressJet Airlines Inc.
F9 : Frontier Airlines Inc.
FL : AirTran Airways Corporation
HA : Hawaiian Airlines Inc.
MQ : Envoy Air
OO : SkyWest Airlines Inc.
UA : United Air Lines Inc.
US : US Airways Inc.
VX : Virgin America
WN : Southwest Airlines Co.
YV : Mesa Airlines Inc.
tailnum : Plane tail number
flight : Flight number
origin , dest : Airport codes for origin and destination. (Google can help you with what code stands for
which airport.)
air_time : Amount of time spent in the air, in minutes.
distance : Distance flown, in miles.
hour , minute : Time of departure broken in to hour and minutes.

A very useful function for taking a quick peek at your data frame, and viewing its dimensions and data types is
str , which stands for structure.

str(nycflights)

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## tibble [32,735 x 16] (S3: tbl_df/[Link])


## $ year : int [1:32735] 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 ...
## $ month : int [1:32735] 6 5 12 5 7 1 12 8 9 4 ...
## $ day : int [1:32735] 30 7 8 14 21 1 9 13 26 30 ...
## $ dep_time : int [1:32735] 940 1657 859 1841 1102 1817 1259 1920 725 1323 ...
## $ dep_delay: num [1:32735] 15 -3 -1 -4 -3 -3 14 85 -10 62 ...
## $ arr_time : int [1:32735] 1216 2104 1238 2122 1230 2008 1617 2032 1027 1549 ...
## $ arr_delay: num [1:32735] -4 10 11 -34 -8 3 22 71 -8 60 ...
## $ carrier : chr [1:32735] "VX" "DL" "DL" "DL" ...
## $ tailnum : chr [1:32735] "N626VA" "N3760C" "N712TW" "N914DL" ...
## $ flight : int [1:32735] 407 329 422 2391 3652 353 1428 1407 2279 4162 ...
## $ origin : chr [1:32735] "JFK" "JFK" "JFK" "JFK" ...
## $ dest : chr [1:32735] "LAX" "SJU" "LAX" "TPA" ...
## $ air_time : num [1:32735] 313 216 376 135 50 138 240 48 148 110 ...
## $ distance : num [1:32735] 2475 1598 2475 1005 296 ...
## $ hour : num [1:32735] 9 16 8 18 11 18 12 19 7 13 ...
## $ minute : num [1:32735] 40 57 59 41 2 17 59 20 25 23 ...

The nycflights data frame is a massive trove of information. Let’s think about some questions we might want
to answer with these data:

We might want to find out how delayed flights headed to a particular destination tend to be.
We might want to evaluate how departure delays vary over months.
Or we might want to determine which of the three major NYC airports has a better on time percentage
for departing flights.

Seven verbs
The dplyr package offers seven verbs (functions) for basic data manipulation:

filter()
arrange()
select()
distinct()
mutate()
summarise()
sample_n()

We will use some of these functions in this lab, and learn about others in a future lab.

Analysis
Departure delays in flights to Raleigh-Durham (RDU)
We can examine the distribution of departure delays of all flights with a histogram.

ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +


geom_histogram()

## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.

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This function says to plot the dep_delay variable from the nycflights data frame on the x-axis. It also
defines a geom (short for geometric object), which describes the type of plot you will produce.

Histograms are generally a very good way to see the shape of a single distribution, but that shape can change
depending on how the data is split between the different bins. You can easily define the binwidth you want to
use:

ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +


geom_histogram(binwidth = 15)

ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +


geom_histogram(binwidth = 150)

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Exercise: How do these three histograms with the various binwidths compare?

If we want to focus on departure delays of flights headed to RDU only, we need to first filter the data for
flights headed to RDU ( dest == "RDU" ) and then make a histogram of only departure delays of only those
flights.

rdu_flights <- nycflights %>%


filter(dest == "RDU")
ggplot(data = rdu_flights, aes(x = dep_delay)) +
geom_histogram()

## `stat_bin()` using `bins = 30`. Pick better value with `binwidth`.

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Let’s decipher these three lines of code:

Line 1: Take the nycflights data frame, filter for flights headed to RDU, and save the result as a
new data frame called rdu_flights .
== means “if it’s equal to”.
RDU is in quotation marks since it is a character string.
Line 2: Basically the same ggplot call from earlier for making a histogram, except that it uses the data
frame for flights headed to RDU instead of all flights.

Logical operators: Filtering for certain observations (e.g. flights from a particular airport) is often of interest in
data frames where we might want to examine observations with certain characteristics separately from the rest
of the data. To do so we use the filter function and a series of logical operators. The most commonly used
logical operators for data analysis are as follows:

== means “equal to”


!= means “not equal to”
> or < means “greater than” or “less than”
>= or <= means “greater than or equal to” or “less than or equal to”

We can also obtain numerical summaries for these flights:

rdu_flights %>%
summarise(mean_dd = mean(dep_delay), sd_dd = sd(dep_delay), n = n())

## # A tibble: 1 x 3
## mean_dd sd_dd n
## <dbl> <dbl> <int>
## 1 11.7 35.6 801

Note that in the summarise function we created a list of two elements. The names of these elements are user
defined, like mean_dd , sd_dd , n , and you could customize these names as you like (just don’t use spaces in
your names). Calculating these summary statistics also require that you know the function calls. Note that n()
reports the sample size.

Summary statistics: Some useful function calls for summary statistics for a single numerical variable are as
follows:

mean
median
sd
var
IQR
range
min
max

We can also filter based on multiple criteria. Suppose we are interested in flights headed to San Francisco
(SFO) in February:

sfo_feb_flights <- nycflights %>%


filter(dest == "SFO", month == 2)

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Note that we can separate the conditions using commas if we want flights that are both headed to SFO and in
February. If we are interested in either flights headed to SFO or in February we can use the | instead of the
comma.

Create a new data frame that includes flights headed to SFO in February, and
save this data frame as sfo_feb_flights . How many flights meet these
criteria?
68

1345

2286

3563

32735

# type your code for Question 1 here, and Knit

Make a histogram and calculate appropriate summary statistics for arrival


delays of sfo_feb_flights . Which of the following is false?
The distribution is unimodal.

The distribution is right skewed.

No flight is delayed more than 2 hours.

The distribution has several extreme values on the right side.

More than 50% of flights arrive on time or earlier than scheduled.

# type your code for Question 2 here, and Knit

Another useful functionality is being able to quickly calculate summary statistics for various groups in your data
frame. For example, we can modify the above command using the group_by function to get the same
summary stats for each origin airport:

rdu_flights %>%
group_by(origin) %>%
summarise(mean_dd = mean(dep_delay), sd_dd = sd(dep_delay), n = n())

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

## # A tibble: 3 x 4
## origin mean_dd sd_dd n
## <chr> <dbl> <dbl> <int>
## 1 EWR 13.4 32.1 145
## 2 JFK 15.4 40.3 300
## 3 LGA 7.90 32.2 356

Here, we first grouped the data by origin , and then calculated the summary statistics.

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Calculate the median and interquartile range for arr_delay s of flights in the
sfo_feb_flights data frame, grouped by carrier. Which carrier has the hights
IQR of arrival delays?
American Airlines

JetBlue Airways

Virgin America

Delta and United Airlines

Frontier Airlines

# type your code for Question 3 here, and Knit

Departure delays over months


Which month would you expect to have the highest average delay departing from an NYC airport?

Let’s think about how we would answer this question:

First, calculate monthly averages for departure delays. With the new language we are learning, we need
to
group_by months, then
summarise mean departure delays.
Then, we need to arrange these average delays in desc ending order

nycflights %>%
group_by(month) %>%
summarise(mean_dd = mean(dep_delay)) %>%
arrange(desc(mean_dd))

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

## # A tibble: 12 x 2
## month mean_dd
## <int> <dbl>
## 1 7 20.8
## 2 6 20.4
## 3 12 17.4
## 4 4 14.6
## 5 3 13.5
## 6 5 13.3
## 7 8 12.6
## 8 2 10.7
## 9 1 10.2
## 10 9 6.87
## 11 11 6.10
## 12 10 5.88

Which month has the highest average departure delay from an NYC airport?
January
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March

July

October

December

# type your code for Question 4 here, and Knit

Which month has the highest median departure delay from an NYC airport?
January

March

July

October

December

# type your code for Question 5 here, and Knit

Is the mean or the median a more reliable measure for deciding which month(s)
to avoid flying if you really dislike delayed flights, and why?
Mean would be more reliable as it gives us the true average.

Mean would be more reliable as the distribution of delays is symmetric.

Median would be more reliable as the distribution of delays is skewed.

Median would be more reliable as the distribution of delays is symmetric.

Both give us useful information.

We can also visualize the distributions of departure delays across months using side-by-side box plots:

ggplot(nycflights, aes(x = factor(month), y = dep_delay)) +


geom_boxplot()

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There is some new syntax here: We want departure delays on the y-axis and the months on the x-axis to
produce side-by-side box plots. Side-by-side box plots require a categorical variable on the x-axis, however in
the data frame month is stored as a numerical variable (numbers 1 - 12). Therefore we can force R to treat
this variable as categorical, what R calls a factor, variable with factor(month) .

On time departure rate for NYC airports


Suppose you will be flying out of NYC and want to know which of the three major NYC airports has the best on
time departure rate of departing flights. Suppose also that for you a flight that is delayed for less than 5
minutes is basically “on time”. You consider any flight delayed for 5 minutes of more to be “delayed”.

In order to determine which airport has the best on time departure rate, we need to

first classify each flight as “on time” or “delayed”,


then group flights by origin airport,
then calculate on time departure rates for each origin airport,
and finally arrange the airports in descending order for on time departure percentage.

Let’s start with classifying each flight as “on time” or “delayed” by creating a new variable with the mutate
function.

nycflights <- nycflights %>%


mutate(dep_type = ifelse(dep_delay < 5, "on time", "delayed"))

The first argument in the mutate function is the name of the new variable we want to create, in this case
dep_type . Then if dep_delay < 5 we classify the flight as "on time" and "delayed" if not, i.e. if the flight is
delayed for 5 or more minutes.

Note that we are also overwriting the nycflights data frame with the new version of this data frame that
includes the new dep_type variable.

We can handle all the remaining steps in one code chunk:

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nycflights %>%
group_by(origin) %>%
summarise(ot_dep_rate = sum(dep_type == "on time") / n()) %>%
arrange(desc(ot_dep_rate))

## `summarise()` ungrouping output (override with `.groups` argument)

## # A tibble: 3 x 2
## origin ot_dep_rate
## <chr> <dbl>
## 1 LGA 0.728
## 2 JFK 0.694
## 3 EWR 0.637

The summarise step is telling R to count up how many records of the currently found group are on
time - sum(dep_type == “on time”) - and divide that result by the total number of elements in the
currently found group - n() - to get a proportion, then to store the answer in a new variable called
ot_dep_rate.

If you were selecting an airport simply based on on time departure percentage,


which NYC airport would you choose to fly out of?
EWR

JFK

LGA

# type your code for Question 7 here, and Knit

We can also visualize the distribution of on on time departure rate across the three airports using a segmented
bar plot.

ggplot(data = nycflights, aes(x = origin, fill = dep_type)) +


geom_bar()

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Mutate the data frame so that it includes a new variable that contains the
average speed, avg_speed traveled by the plane for each flight (in mph). What
is the tail number of the plane with the fastest avg_speed ? Hint: Average speed
can be calculated as distance divided by number of hours of travel, and note
that air_time is given in minutes. If you just want to show the avg_speed and
tailnum and none of the other variables, use the select function at the end of
your pipe to select just these two variables with select(avg_speed, tailnum) .
You can Google this tail number to find out more about the aircraft.
N666DN

N755US

N779JB

N947UW

N959UW

# type your code for Question 8 here, and Knit

Make a scatterplot of avg_speed vs. distance . Which of the following is true


about the relationship between average speed and distance.
As distance increases the average speed of flights decreases.

The relationship is linear.

There is an overall postive association between distance and average


speed.

There are no outliers.

The distribution of distances are uniform over 0 to 5000 miles.

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# type your code for Question 9 here, and Knit

Suppose you define a flight to be “on time” if it gets to the destination on time or
earlier than expected, regardless of any departure delays. Mutate the data frame
to create a new variable called arr_type with levels "on time" and
"delayed" based on this definition. Then, determine the on time arrival
percentage based on whether the flight departed on time or not. What proportion
of flights that were "delayed" departing arrive "on time" ? [NUMERIC INPUT]

# type your code for Question 10 here, and Knit

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Common questions

Powered by AI

Transforming flight data with functions like filter, arrange, and mutate allows stakeholders to identify key trends and causal relationships, such as delay patterns across different times, carriers, and airports. By evaluating these metrics, strategic decisions can be made to allocate resources more effectively, optimize flight scheduling, and implement policies to mitigate delay impacts, ultimately leading to improved efficiency and customer satisfaction in the aviation sector .

Graphical representation, such as histograms and box plots, transforms complex data patterns into visually interpretable formats, making it easier to identify trends, outliers, and correlations. This visual clarity enables stakeholders without technical expertise to understand and engage with insights, fostering data-driven discussions and decisions. Visualizations also make communicating findings more compelling and accessible, supporting strategic initiatives within organizations .

Destination-based delay analysis highlights operational inefficiencies and potential areas for improvement in customer service. If certain routes consistently have higher delays, as revealed through grouped summaries and graphs, airlines might focus on optimizing those specific operations, adjusting schedules, or re-evaluating resource allocation, thus aligning more closely with customer satisfaction and reliability objectives .

The dplyr package offers a set of verbs that simplify data manipulation, allowing for operations such as filtering, arranging, and summarizing data efficiently. It is especially useful in handling large data sets, like the NYC flights data set, by providing intuitive and readable functions to perform complex operations. The ggplot2 package complements this by enabling the visualization of data, allowing patterns and relationships within the data to be visually analyzed, such as delay distributions and average speed trends. Together, these packages allow for comprehensive data analysis by both manipulating and visualizing data .

Categorizing flights based on departure and arrival punctuality separately helps isolate different operational challenges. A flight might depart late but still arrive on time, suggesting inefficiencies at the departure airport rather than during the flight. By analyzing these separate categories, policies can be tailored to address specific problems, like improving ground operations or air traffic control measures, leading to more targeted and effective solutions .

By calculating monthly averages for departure delays and using functions like group_by and summarise, we can quantify how delays vary with the season. For instance, July tends to have higher average delays, potentially due to high travel demand in summer. Visualizing these trends with plots can reveal patterns such as increased delays during peak travel seasons, which can aid in better planning and resource management in the aviation industry .

The IQR provides a measure of the spread of data points. By calculating the IQR for arrival delays per carrier, airlines with high variability in delays can be identified, indicating inconsistencies in their operations. Addressing such variability can improve predictability and reliability for passengers, thus enhancing the carrier's reputation and competitiveness .

The median is often more reliable when the data distribution is skewed, as it is less affected by extreme values or outliers than the mean. Since flight delays often have a skewed distribution with several significant outliers (very long delays), the median provides a better measure of central tendency. This reliability could influence scheduling decisions by focusing on typical rather than average delays, possibly resulting in more accurate scheduling and passenger satisfaction .

Analyzing on-time departure rates using functions like mutate and summarise can provide insights into airport performance. For example, LaGuardia (LGA) has the highest on-time departure rate, making it preferable for travelers valuing punctuality over JFK and Newark (EWR). This analysis can direct passengers towards more reliable airports, thereby improving their travel experience and potentially influencing airport operations to enhance timeliness .

Understanding average flight speeds, which can be calculated using the mutate function to create the avg_speed variable, offers insight into aircraft performance and fuel efficiency. Higher average speeds might indicate faster, more efficient routes, potentially leading airlines to prefer these paths. Conversely, it could also identify excessively fast flights requiring scheduling adjustments to ensure compliance with safety and environmental standards .

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