United States

Department of
Agriculture
Foreign
Agricultural
Service
Circular Series
WAP 05-12
May 2012

World Agricultural
Production

European Union Wheat: Dryness and Winterkill Reduce Prospects

Wheat production in the European Union (EU) for 2012/13 is forecast at 132.0 million tons,
down 5.4 million or 4 percent from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 24.9 million
hectares, down 0.7 million or 3 percent from last year, and yield is forecast at 5.3 tons per
hectare, compared to last years 5.36 tons. The EU-27 is the largest wheat producing entity in
the world. France, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Poland are the biggest producers within
the EU, with 2012/13 estimated production at 36.5 million, 22.5 million, 15.6 million, and 8.8
million tons, respectively.
Spains southernmost province of Andaluca has the nations highest concentration of wheat and
almost all of its durum. Fall and winter drought severely limited wheat development in
Andaluca. While significant April rain events benefitted earlier-stage northern crops, it was
likely too late to improve conditions in the south. Dryness was a significant problem during the
planting campaign for wheat last autumn in Romania, Bulgaria, Hungary, and other areas in
southeastern Europe. As a result, the estimated harvested area and yield are down.
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

After a mild start to winter, temperatures suddenly dropped in early February with an event of
unseasonably low temperatures ranging from -20 to -25C in areas of Poland and Germany.
Snow was absent for the entire week-long event in Poland and for about half the week in
Germany. Winterkill is estimated to be higher than normal in areas from eastern France through
the Balkans, and much higher than normal for western Poland. Poland is one of the few
countries where spring wheat might be planted, restoring some wheat area. Winter wheat is
estimated to sustain damage at temperatures of -20 C with no snowcover.
Shifted weather patterns brought rainfall back to much of the EU in April, improving soil
moisture, enabling yield recovery, and encouraging increased summer crop plantings. The
majority of wheat is harvested in July, so increased rainfall during grain-fill would be favorable
for wheat prospects. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.)
European Union Rapeseed: Area and Production Forecast Down from Last Year
Rapeseed production in the
European Union (EU) for
2012/13 is forecast at 18.0
million tons, down 1.1
million or 6 percent from
last year, and down 1.8
million or 9 percent from the
five-year average. Harvested
area is estimated at 6.0
million hectares, down 0.6
million or 10 percent from
last year, and down 0.6
million tons or 10 percent
below the five-year average.
Yield is forecast at 3.00 tons
per hectare, compared to last
years 2.88 tons.
Rapeseed, traditionally the first winter crop planted, needs significant vegetative development
prior to winter. Autumn dryness was a major problem in Romania, Bulgaria, and Hungary,
preventing it from achieving the necessary vegetative growth with some fields failing to emerge.
According to rapeseed experts, fall establishment is the key for rapeseed yields, because if the
plant isnt properly established prior to winter, it is more vulnerable to winterkill and is more
susceptible to spring drought and diseases. Compared to last year, harvested area is estimated to
be down 78 percent in Romania and 36 percent in both Hungary and Bulgaria.
After a mild start to winter, there was an occurrence of lower temperatures that suddenly dropped
to -20 to -25 C in Poland and Germany during early February. Conditions conducive to
winterkill were scattered throughout Europe during this period but were concentrated in Poland
and Germany, where protective snowcover was absent for the entire week-long event in Poland
and for about half the week in Germany. Without snowcover to insulate crops from extremely
low temperatures, damage is expected to be widespread in Poland and areas of Germany.

2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Winterkill is also expected to have damaged rapeseed in eastern France, and was likely aboveaverage in much of central Europe. Rapeseed is estimated to sustain damage at temperatures of 15 C with no snowcover. Spring rapeseed is a fairly small producing crop in the greater EU, but
it could increase significantly in Poland this year. (For more information, contact Bryan Purcell
at 202-690-0138.)
Ukraine Wheat: Forecast Production Down Sharply From Last Year Due Mainly to Fall
Drought
USDA forecasts Ukraine wheat production for 2012/13 at 13.0 million tons, down 9.1 million
tons or 41 percent from last year. The decrease is attributed chiefly to severe fall drought that
hampered emergence and establishment of winter crops throughout Ukraine. Localized frost
further damaged the already weakened plants in parts of southern and eastern Ukraine.
Harvested area is estimated at 5.3
million hectares against 6.7 million
last year. An estimated 25 percent of
the reported planted area was
destroyed due to the combination of
excessive fall dryness and frost
damage.
Analysts from USDAs Foreign
Agricultural Service conducted cropassessment travel throughout the
main wheat production zone in midApril. The team observed that crop
conditions varied significantly from
field to field, depending on the
planting date, crop rotation, and
technology.
Overall conditions,
however, were not good. Satellitederived vegetative indices from late
April are consistent with the poor
conditions observed by the team earlier in the month. Wheat yield is forecast at 2.45 tons per
hectare, 26 percent below last year and 18 percent below the five-year average. Early spring
weather was favorable for the development of winter grains as they broke dormancy and
resumed vegetative growth, but local specialists indicate that even with continued favorable
weather the crops are unlikely to fully compensate for the remarkably poor fall conditions. (For
more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at 202-690-0143.)
Russia Grain: Historical Area Estimates Revised
USDA has revised its series of grain area estimates, beginning with 1990/91, to reflect harvested
area. Previous estimates were based on sown-area data from Rosstat, the State Statistical
Committee of Russia. Although Rosstat does not publish comprehensive data explicitly detailing
the harvested area of individual crops, the official yield data is calculated on the basis of
harvested area. This enables the harvested area to be derived from official production and yield

3
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

data. The average ratio of harvested area to planted area of total grains for Russia is 92 percent,
but the ratio varies considerably for individual districts and grains. Abandonment rates tend to
be higher in the Volga District, for example, because this area is subject to frequent drought.

(For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at 202-690-0143.)

Canada Rapeseed: Seeded Area Forecast at a Record High

Area Mha

USDA estimates 2012/13 Canada canola area at 8.05 million hectares, up 0.58 million or up 8
percent from last year. Statistics
Canadas 2012 March Intentions of
Canada Rapeseed Area Harvested
Principal Field Crop estimates that
farmers will expand planted area by 8
9.0
8.1
percent from last year due to favorable
7.5
8.0
prices.
In Saskatchewan, which
6.5
6.5
7.0
6.4
6.2
produces 50 percent of total
6.0
production, area is likely to expand by
5.0
nearly 10 percent from last year. In
Manitoba, which accounts for 25
4.0
percent of total production, area is
3.0
expected to rebound from last year
2.0
where floods reduced planted area.
1.0
Production is forecast at 15.4 million
0.0
tons, up 1.2 million or 9 percent from
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012f
last year. Yield is forecast at 1.91 tons
Source PSD Online
per hectare up slightly from a year ago.
As of the first week of May, seeding is underway across the western prairies. Localized reports
indicate a surplus of moisture in some areas that delayed seeding, but planting conditions in most
areas are reported as good to excellent. (For more information, contact Arnella Trent at 202-7200881.)

4
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

China Cotton: Area and Production Forecast Down by 9 Percent

China cotton production for 2012/13 is forecast at 30.5 million bales (6.64 million tons), down
3.0 million or 9 percent from last year. The forecast area of 5.0 million hectares is down more
than 9 percent from a year ago and down 1.2 million hectares from its peak of 6.2 million in
2007/08. The forecast yield of 1326 kilograms per hectare is nearly the same as last year and
slightly below the record yield of 1335 kg/ha from 2009/10. Yields have been fairly flat
(between 1300 and 1335 kg/ha) since 2006/07.
Planting-intention reports from several sources all agreed that farmers would reduce cotton area
in 2012/13 by 5 to 10 percent nationally. The provinces with the largest reductions (as much as
20 percent) are located in eastern and central China. Area reductions are expected to be
relatively small in Xinjiang
province, which now accounts for
about one-third of Chinas cotton
area and nearly one-half of cotton
output. Cotton planting started in
mid-April and progressed without
major problems.
Temperatures,
rainfall, and soil moisture levels in
April and early May were generally
favorable for planting, germination
and emergence. Spring sandstorms
in Northwest China and locally
excessive rainfall in parts of eastern
China may have caused minor
damage to the newly planted cotton
crop, but no significant losses were
reported. (For more information,
contact Paulette Sandene at 202690-0133.)
Brazil Soybeans: 2011/12 Harvest Nearly Complete
Brazils 2011/12 soybean production is estimated at 65.0 million tons, down 1.0 million tons
from last month and down 10.5 million or 14 percent from last year. Area is estimated at a
record 25 million hectares, unchanged from last month and up 0.8 million or 3 percent from last
year. Yield is estimated at 2.60 tons per hectare, down 2 percent from last month and down 10
percent from the 5-year average.
Brazils soybean harvest is 97 percent completed. The last states to harvest are Bahia with 85
percent harvest completed and Rio Grande do Sul with 93 percent complete. Soybean
production was lowered by 1 million tons this month due to lower than expected harvest reports
in the states of Bahia and Rio Grande do Sul.

5
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

This years soybean yields will

be lower than last years record
yields for most states in Brazil,
even though both years occurred
during La Nia events. A severe
La Nia drought this year
reduced yields by more than 30
percent in the southern state of
Paran and by more than 40
percent in Rio Grande do Sul.
(For more information, contact
Curt Reynolds at 202-690-0314.)
Brazil Corn: Record 2011/12 Production Expected
Brazils total corn production for 2011/12 is estimated at a record 67 million tons, up 5 million
from last month and up 9.6 million or 17 percent from last year. Total harvested area for
2011/12 is estimated at 15.7 million hectares, up 0.4 million from last month and up 1.9 million
or 14 percent from last year. Yield is estimated at 4.27 tons per hectare, which is above the 5year average yield of 3.94 tons.
Total corn production was increased by
5 million tons this month due to a
400,000 hectares increase in the secondseason corn area and favorable rains
from mid-March through April. Belowaverage rainfall in the south from
November through February reduced
main-season corn production to
approximately 36 million tons, but
main-season drought losses should be
fully compensated with a record secondseason forecast of approximately 31
million tons, or 46 percent of total
output.
Over 70 percent of the second-season corn crop is in the pollination and grain-filling stages, with
the development most advanced in the states of Paran and Mato Grosso where harvest will
begin soon. Second-season output is expected to reach record levels in Paran and Mato Grosso
with states producing approximately 10.0 and 11.7 million tons, respectively. (For more
information, contact Curt Reynolds at 202-690-0314.)

6
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

World Agricultural Production

U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis
International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
[Link]
Telephone: (202) 720-1157
Fax: (202) 720-1158
This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Services (FAS) global network of
agricultural attachs and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign
source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign
area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Branch, FAS, and
are reviewed by USDAs Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S.
area, yield, and production are from USDAs National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers
within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA
estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-506),
May10, 2012.
Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download
an order form at [Link] or call NTIS at
1-800-363-2068.
The FAS International Production Assessment Branch prepared this report. The next issue of
World Agricultural Production will be released after 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time, June 12, 2012.
Conversion Table
Metric tons to bushels
Wheat, soybeans
Corn, sorghum, rye
Barley
Oats

=
=
=
=

MT * 36.7437
MT * 39.36825
MT * 45.929625
MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton

MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice

MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare
1 kilogram

=
=

2.471044 acres
2.204622 pounds

7
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

For further information, contact:

U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
Office of Global Analysis
International Production Assessment Division
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
Telephone: (202) 720-1157

Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION
Director
Acting Deputy Director
USDA Remote Sensing Advisor
Sr. Analyst/SIA Manager
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead
Sr. Agricultural Economist
Program Analyst
GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator

Derrick Williams III

Paul Provance
Glenn Bethel
Curt Reynolds, PhD
Dath Mita PhD
Paul Provance
Mary Jackson
Justin Jenkins

202-690-0131
202-720-0873
202-720-1280
202-690-0134
202-720-0881
202-720-0873
202-720-0886
202-720-0419

[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION

South America
Europe and North Africa
FSU-12, Russia
Canada, Mexico, Central America
and Caribbean
China, East Asia, Venezuela
South Asia, India, Australia
and New Zealand
Africa, Brazil
Middle East and Southeast Asia
Eastern United States
Western United States

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

Denise McWilliams PhD

Bryan Purcell
Mark Lindeman
Arnella Trent

202-720-0107
202-690-0138
202-690-0143
202-720-0881

[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]

Paulette Sandene
Dath Mita PhD

202-690-0133
202-720-7339

[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]

Curt Reynolds PhD

Michael Shean
Robert Tetrault
Jim Crutchfield

202-690-0134
202-720-7366
202-720-1071
202-690-0135

[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]
[Link]@[Link]

May 2012

Table 01 World Crop Production Summary

Million Metric Tons
Commodity

World
-

Total
Foreign

North
America

North
America

North
America

EU-27
-

Former
Soviet

Former
Soviet

Asia
(WAP)

Asia
(WAP)

Asia
(WAP)

Asia
(WAP)

Asia
(WAP)

South
America

South
America

Selected
Other

Selected
Other

Selected
Other

All
Others

none
-

none
-

United
States

Canada
-

Mexico
-

none
-

Russia
-

Ukraine
-

China
-

India
-

Indonesia

Pakistan

Thailand

Argentina

Brazil
-

Australia

South
Africa

Turkey
-

none
-

---Million metric tons--Wheat

2010/11

651.1

591.1

60.1

23.2

3.7

135.7

41.5

16.8

115.2

80.8

nr

23.9

nr

16.1

5.9

27.9

1.4

17.0

82.0

2011/12 prel.

694.6

640.2

54.4

25.3

3.7

137.4

56.2

22.1

117.9

86.9

nr

24.2

nr

14.5

5.8

29.5

1.9

18.8

96.0

677.6

616.5

61.1

27.0

3.3

132.0

56.0

13.0

120.0

91.0

nr

23.0

nr

12.0

5.0

26.0

1.7

17.5

89.0

2010/11

1,096.6

766.4

330.2

22.3

29.3

140.6

16.4

21.4

183.4

43.4

6.8

3.6

4.3

31.7

60.4

11.8

11.3

10.2

169.6

2011/12 prel.

1,142.4

818.7

323.7

21.9

25.8

146.0

32.8

33.3

198.6

41.9

8.7

3.6

4.4

29.9

69.8

13.2

12.0

11.3

165.5

1,228.0

838.2

389.8

25.4

28.5

147.2

32.1

32.7

200.0

42.9

8.5

3.6

4.6

35.7

70.4

12.6

13.5

10.9

169.8

2010/11

449.3

441.7

7.6

nr

0.1

2.0

0.7

0.1

137.0

96.0

35.5

5.0

20.3

1.1

9.3

0.5

nr

0.5

133.5

2011/12 prel.

463.3

457.4

5.9

nr

0.1

2.0

0.7

0.1

140.5

103.4

36.3

6.5

20.5

1.0

7.7

0.7

nr

0.5

137.6

466.4

460.6

5.8

nr

0.1

1.9

0.7

0.1

141.0

102.5

36.9

6.8

21.1

0.9

8.7

0.7

nr

0.5

138.7

2010/11

2,197.1

1,799.2

397.9

45.4

33.1

278.3

58.6

38.4

435.6

220.2

42.3

32.5

24.5

48.9

75.6

40.2

12.8

27.7

385.2

2011/12 prel.

2,300.4

1,916.4

384.0

47.1

29.6

285.3

89.7

55.6

457.1

232.2

45.0

34.3

24.8

45.4

83.3

43.4

13.9

30.6

399.1

2,372.1

1,915.3

456.8

52.4

31.9

281.1

88.8

45.8

461.0

236.4

45.4

33.4

25.6

48.6

84.1

39.3

15.1

28.9

397.5

2010/11

456.5

356.1

100.4

17.2

0.7

29.1

7.2

11.6

58.1

34.8

9.6

4.8

0.6

54.1

79.2

3.8

1.7

1.9

41.8

2011/12 prel.

437.3

345.9

91.3

18.4

0.9

29.0

12.4

13.2

57.8

35.5

10.1

5.8

0.7

47.3

68.9

4.5

1.3

2.1

38.0

471.5

374.5

97.0

19.8

0.9

27.7

11.2

12.9

56.2

35.7

10.6

5.5

0.7

60.6

81.5

4.9

1.6

2.1

42.5

2012/13 proj.
May
Coarse Grains

2012/13 proj.
May
Rice, Milled

2012/13 proj.
May
Total Grains

2012/13 proj.
May
Oilseeds

2012/13 proj.
May
Cotton
2010/11

116.4

98.3

18.1

nr

0.7

1.2

nr

nr

30.5

26.4

0.0

8.6

0.0

1.4

9.0

4.2

0.1

2.1

14.1

2011/12 prel.

123.0

107.5

15.6

nr

1.2

1.6

nr

nr

33.5

26.5

0.0

10.6

0.0

1.2

9.1

4.7

0.1

3.3

15.7

116.7

99.7

17.0

nr

1.0

1.5

nr

nr

30.5

25.0

0.0

10.0

0.0

1.1

8.0

4.5

0.1

2.8

15.2

2012/13 proj.
May

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

218.34

221.68

221.25

2.98

3.13

3.06

651.14

694.64

677.56

-17.07

-2.46

United States

19.27

18.50

19.90

3.12

2.94

3.07

60.06

54.41

61.11

6.69

12.30

Total Foreign

199.07

203.18

201.35

2.97

3.15

3.06

591.08

640.22

616.46

-23.77

-3.71

24.26

24.20

24.25

4.75

4.87

4.95

115.18

117.92

120.00

2.08

1.76

World

none
China
South Asia
28.46

29.40

29.80

2.84

2.95

3.05

80.80

86.87

91.00

4.13

4.75

Pakistan

9.03

8.90

8.66

2.65

2.72

2.66

23.90

24.20

23.00

-1.20

-4.96

Afghanistan

2.30

2.10

2.35

1.61

1.19

1.62

3.70

2.50

3.80

1.30

52.00

21.75

24.90

25.50

1.91

2.26

2.20

41.51

56.23

56.00

-0.23

-0.41

6.28

6.66

5.30

2.68

3.32

2.45

16.84

22.12

13.00

-9.12

-41.24

14.26

13.85

13.50

0.68

1.64

1.11

9.64

22.73

15.00

-7.73

-34.01

1.40

1.40

1.40

4.64

4.50

4.50

6.50

6.30

6.30

0.00

0.00

26.11

25.61

24.90

5.20

5.36

5.30

135.70

137.38

132.00

-5.38

-3.92

France

5.43

5.43

5.05

7.04

6.63

7.23

38.21

36.02

36.50

0.48

1.34

Germany

3.23

3.25

3.18

7.37

7.01

7.08

23.78

22.78

22.50

-0.28

-1.24

United Kingdom

1.94

1.97

1.98

7.67

7.75

7.88

14.88

15.26

15.60

0.34

2.25

Poland

2.41

2.30

2.26

3.87

4.02

3.89

9.30

9.26

8.80

-0.46

-4.93

Spain

1.94

1.99

2.03

2.99

3.46

2.71

5.78

6.90

5.50

-1.40

-20.29

Italy

1.81

1.63

1.85

3.59

3.75

3.70

6.49

6.12

6.85

0.73

11.85

Denmark

0.77

0.74

0.62

6.61

6.59

6.94

5.06

4.84

4.30

-0.54

-11.18

Hungary

1.01

0.98

1.08

3.76

4.18

3.24

3.80

4.10

3.50

-0.60

-14.63

Romania

2.15

1.96

1.70

2.69

3.72

3.29

5.78

7.30

5.60

-1.70

-23.29

Bulgaria

1.13

1.04

1.00

3.62

4.09

3.70

4.09

4.27

3.70

-0.57

-13.25

8.27

8.55

9.50

2.80

2.96

2.84

23.17

25.26

27.00

1.74

6.89

13.65

14.10

13.50

2.04

2.09

1.93

27.89

29.50

26.00

-3.50

-11.86

Turkey

8.00

7.70

7.80

2.13

2.44

2.24

17.00

18.80

17.50

-1.30

-6.91

Iran

7.04

6.80

7.00

2.14

1.99

2.00

15.03

13.50

14.00

0.50

3.70

Syria

1.35

1.60

1.70

2.67

2.41

2.47

3.60

3.85

4.20

0.35

9.09

Egypt

1.26

1.28

1.35

5.71

6.56

6.30

7.20

8.40

8.50

0.10

1.19

Morocco

2.85

3.04

3.02

1.71

1.91

1.06

4.89

5.80

3.20

-2.60

-44.83

India

Former Soviet Union - 12

Russia
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan
EU-27

Canada
Australia
Middle East

North Africa

Argentina
Others

4.60

5.00

4.00

3.50

2.90

3.00

16.10

14.50

12.00

-2.50

-17.24

18.21

18.10

17.82

2.33

2.45

2.47

42.44

44.35

43.96

-0.40

-0.90

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

303.15

311.63

319.42

3.62

3.67

3.84

1,096.61

1,142.44

1,228.04

85.60

7.49

United States

36.52

36.96

39.89

9.04

8.76

9.77

330.24

323.70

389.82

66.12

20.43

Total Foreign

266.63

274.67

279.53

2.87

2.98

3.00

766.38

818.74

838.22

19.48

2.38

34.58

35.57

36.22

5.30

5.58

5.52

183.40

198.63

200.01

1.38

0.69

14.86

16.74

17.04

4.06

4.17

4.13

60.38

69.83

70.43

0.60

0.86

5.56

5.92

6.08

5.69

5.06

5.86

31.66

29.91

35.65

5.74

19.20

World

none
China
South America
Brazil
Argentina

30.31

29.88

30.30

4.64

4.88

4.86

140.59

145.96

147.20

1.24

0.85

France

3.76

3.75

3.62

7.22

7.19

8.17

27.16

26.96

29.52

2.56

9.48

Germany

3.29

3.24

3.36

6.16

5.90

5.92

20.26

19.14

19.90

0.76

3.95

Poland

6.01

5.48

5.53

2.95

3.10

3.13

17.74

16.99

17.33

0.34

2.01

Spain

3.93

3.80

3.77

3.29

3.73

3.25

12.92

14.17

12.24

-1.93

-13.62

Italy

1.38

1.39

1.47

7.42

7.73

7.47

10.24

10.77

10.96

0.19

1.79

Hungary

1.56

1.65

1.57

5.46

5.85

5.34

8.54

9.64

8.41

-1.23

-12.71

United Kingdom

1.07

1.11

1.11

5.65

5.65

5.77

6.07

6.25

6.41

0.15

2.45

Romania

3.03

3.23

3.44

3.45

3.84

3.40

10.47

12.39

11.68

-0.72

-5.79

Russia

9.78

14.33

14.65

1.68

2.29

2.19

16.42

32.80

32.10

-0.70

-2.12

Ukraine

7.64

7.97

8.85

2.81

4.18

3.70

21.44

33.34

32.73

-0.61

-1.83

Kazakhstan

1.94

1.86

1.95

1.02

1.83

1.43

1.97

3.40

2.78

-0.62

-18.33

78.81

79.67

79.29

1.40

1.31

1.37

110.57

104.24

108.87

4.63

4.44

16.25

16.50

16.60

1.43

1.44

1.45

23.25

23.80

24.01

0.21

0.88

South Africa

3.73

4.05

4.05

3.03

2.96

3.32

11.32

11.98

13.45

1.47

12.26

Ethiopia

5.19

5.47

5.34

2.02

2.09

2.05

10.47

11.44

10.93

-0.51

-4.42

Egypt

1.06

0.91

0.96

7.13

7.21

7.15

7.56

6.56

6.86

0.30

4.57

27.43

26.78

27.17

1.58

1.57

1.58

43.37

41.93

42.85

0.92

2.19

Indonesia

2.85

3.08

3.15

2.39

2.82

2.70

6.80

8.70

8.50

-0.20

-2.30

Philippines

2.63

2.59

2.59

2.76

2.76

2.79

7.27

7.14

7.20

0.06

0.85

Thailand

1.03

1.04

1.08

4.14

4.18

4.21

4.25

4.35

4.55

0.20

4.60

Mexico

9.29

7.92

9.08

3.15

3.26

3.14

29.26

25.80

28.48

2.68

10.37

Canada

4.67

4.75

5.49

4.77

4.61

4.62

22.26

21.87

25.35

3.48

15.93

Australia

5.38

5.79

5.59

2.19

2.29

2.25

11.76

13.23

12.58

-0.65

-4.91

Turkey

4.17

3.99

4.14

2.44

2.83

2.64

10.19

11.28

10.93

-0.35

-3.10

Others

25.70

26.82

26.88

2.52

2.47

2.53

64.79

66.34

68.02

1.68

2.54

EU-27

Former Soviet Union - 12

Africa
Nigeria

India
Southeast Asia

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

162.59

168.90

174.45

5.10

5.15

5.42

829.12

870.45

945.78

75.33

8.65

United States

32.96

33.99

36.06

9.59

9.24

10.42

316.17

313.92

375.68

61.77

19.68

Total Foreign

129.63

134.92

138.40

3.96

4.13

4.12

512.95

556.54

570.10

13.57

2.44

32.50

33.40

34.00

5.45

5.74

5.68

177.25

191.75

193.00

1.25

0.65

13.80

15.70

15.80

4.16

4.27

4.24

57.40

67.00

67.00

0.00

0.00

3.50

3.60

3.40

6.74

5.97

7.35

23.60

21.50

25.00

3.50

16.28

Mexico

7.00

6.00

7.00

3.00

3.17

3.00

21.01

19.00

21.00

2.00

10.53

EU-27

7.99

8.75

9.10

7.00

7.39

6.93

55.93

64.64

63.10

-1.54

-2.38

France

1.53

1.56

1.65

9.00

9.67

9.27

13.79

15.08

15.30

0.22

1.43

Italy

0.92

0.97

0.99

9.45

9.51

9.39

8.65

9.22

9.30

0.08

0.87

Hungary

1.07

1.20

1.10

6.55

6.75

6.36

7.00

8.10

7.00

-1.10

-13.58

Romania

2.25

2.55

2.79

3.87

4.12

3.60

8.70

10.50

10.03

-0.47

-4.48

Poland

0.30

0.34

0.37

5.72

6.32

6.30

1.72

2.13

2.30

0.17

7.98

India

8.60

8.60

8.90

2.53

2.48

2.47

21.73

21.30

22.00

0.70

3.29

Canada

1.20

1.20

1.40

9.74

8.92

9.00

11.71

10.70

12.60

1.90

17.76

Indonesia

2.85

3.08

3.15

2.39

2.82

2.70

6.80

8.70

8.50

-0.20

-2.30

Ukraine

2.65

3.54

4.50

4.50

6.44

5.33

11.92

22.84

24.00

1.16

5.09

Serbia

1.23

1.26

1.30

5.53

5.00

5.38

6.80

6.30

7.00

0.70

11.11

Egypt

0.85

0.70

0.75

7.65

7.86

7.73

6.50

5.50

5.80

0.30

5.45

Philippines

2.63

2.59

2.59

2.76

2.76

2.79

7.27

7.14

7.20

0.06

0.85

Vietnam

1.08

1.10

1.15

4.30

4.50

4.61

4.65

4.95

5.30

0.35

7.07

Thailand

1.00

1.01

1.05

4.20

4.26

4.29

4.20

4.30

4.50

0.20

4.65

Russia

1.02

1.55

1.70

3.01

4.31

4.12

3.08

6.68

7.00

0.32

4.79

South Africa

2.86

3.20

3.20

3.82

3.59

4.06

10.92

11.50

13.00

1.50

13.04

Nigeria

5.00

5.15

5.20

1.76

1.80

1.81

8.80

9.25

9.41

0.16

1.73

Ethiopia

1.96

2.15

2.10

2.49

2.51

2.48

4.90

5.40

5.20

-0.20

-3.70

Zimbabwe

World

none
China
South America
Brazil
Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa

1.35

1.60

0.98

0.74

0.88

0.92

1.00

1.40

0.90

-0.50

-35.71

Turkey

0.49

0.45

0.50

7.35

8.00

8.00

3.60

3.60

4.00

0.40

11.11

Others

30.06

30.29

30.64

2.13

2.08

2.11

63.89

63.09

64.59

1.50

2.37

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

47.57

49.85

51.13

2.58

2.68

2.65

122.85

133.70

135.39

1.68

1.26

United States

1.00

0.91

1.17

3.93

3.74

3.71

3.93

3.39

4.35

0.96

28.36

Total Foreign

46.57

48.94

49.96

2.55

2.66

2.62

118.93

130.31

131.03

0.72

0.55

World

none
Russia

4.97

7.70

7.90

1.68

2.20

2.09

8.35

16.94

16.50

-0.44

-2.57

EU-27

12.46

11.96

12.40

4.29

4.31

4.32

53.44

51.51

53.60

2.09

4.06

Germany

1.64

1.60

1.65

6.29

5.47

5.52

10.33

8.73

9.10

0.37

4.19

France

1.58

1.56

1.70

6.39

5.69

6.41

10.10

8.85

10.90

2.05

23.16

Spain

2.87

2.70

2.74

2.84

3.09

2.60

8.16

8.33

7.13

-1.20

-14.42

United Kingdom

0.92

0.97

0.96

5.70

5.68

5.83

5.25

5.49

5.60

0.11

1.93

Denmark

0.59

0.60

0.70

5.04

5.43

5.29

2.99

3.26

3.70

0.44

13.36

Poland

1.12

1.02

1.02

3.16

3.27

3.39

3.53

3.34

3.45

0.11

3.42

Czech Republic

0.39

0.37

0.37

4.08

4.98

4.51

1.58

1.85

1.67

-0.18

-9.83

Finland

0.41

0.41

0.45

3.28

3.71

3.78

1.34

1.52

1.70

0.18

11.77

Sweden

0.32

0.32

0.35

3.86

4.29

4.57

1.23

1.39

1.60

0.21

15.11

Italy

0.27

0.25

0.30

3.47

3.64

3.56

0.94

0.90

1.05

0.15

16.67

Hungary

0.29

0.26

0.27

3.37

3.79

3.15

0.97

0.99

0.85

-0.14

-14.05

Austria

0.17

0.15

0.15

4.60

5.61

5.50

0.78

0.86

0.83

-0.03

-3.96

Ukraine

4.32

3.68

3.60

1.97

2.47

2.08

8.48

9.10

7.50

-1.60

-17.56

Canada

2.39

2.37

2.80

3.19

3.28

3.21

7.61

7.76

9.00

1.24

15.98

Australia

3.74

4.00

3.80

2.18

2.13

2.11

8.15

8.50

8.00

-0.50

-5.88

Turkey

3.35

3.20

3.30

1.76

2.19

1.89

5.90

7.00

6.25

-0.75

-10.71

China

0.58

0.65

0.68

3.40

3.85

3.82

1.97

2.50

2.60

0.10

4.00

Iran

1.58

1.60

1.68

2.03

1.81

2.03

3.21

2.90

3.40

0.50

17.24

Morocco

1.92

2.03

1.85

1.34

1.16

0.59

2.57

2.34

1.10

-1.24

-52.99

Kazakhstan

1.58

1.55

1.60

0.83

1.67

1.25

1.31

2.59

2.00

-0.59

-22.87

Ethiopia

1.05

1.01

1.02

1.46

1.57

1.55

1.53

1.59

1.58

-0.01

-0.75

Belarus

0.69

0.65

0.65

2.85

2.77

3.08

1.97

1.80

2.00

0.20

11.11

India

0.62

0.78

0.77

2.18

2.13

2.14

1.35

1.66

1.65

-0.01

-0.60

Argentina

0.75

1.05

1.40

3.93

3.81

3.86

2.95

4.00

5.40

1.40

35.00

Mexico

0.31

0.21

0.21

2.52

2.67

2.67

0.78

0.56

0.56

0.00

0.00

Iraq

1.25

1.13

0.60

0.92

0.88

0.83

1.15

1.00

0.50

-0.50

-50.00

Algeria

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.50

1.35

1.60

1.50

1.35

1.60

0.25

18.52

Others

4.02

4.37

4.70

1.67

1.65

1.66

6.72

7.21

7.79

0.58

8.02

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

World

9.91

10.69

10.75

2.00

2.17

2.16

19.85

23.22

23.21

-0.01

-0.05

United States

0.51

0.38

0.47

2.31

2.05

2.34

1.18

0.78

1.09

0.31

39.79

Total Foreign

9.40

10.31

10.28

1.99

2.18

2.15

18.68

22.44

22.12

-0.32

-1.43

Russia

2.24

2.93

3.00

1.44

1.82

1.67

3.22

5.33

5.00

-0.33

-6.26

Canada

0.91

1.03

1.10

2.74

2.91

2.95

2.48

3.00

3.25

0.25

8.33

EU-27

2.74

2.69

2.60

2.72

2.93

3.00

7.45

7.88

7.80

-0.08

-0.96

Poland

0.54

0.55

0.50

2.47

2.46

2.64

1.34

1.35

1.32

-0.03

-2.44

Finland

0.28

0.32

0.32

2.91

3.42

3.44

0.81

1.10

1.10

0.00

-0.18

Spain

0.54

0.49

0.44

1.89

2.20

2.00

1.02

1.08

0.88

-0.20

-18.26

Germany

0.14

0.14

0.14

4.24

4.38

4.44

0.60

0.63

0.60

-0.03

-4.31

Sweden

0.17

0.18

0.18

3.37

3.84

3.89

0.56

0.70

0.70

0.00

0.29

United Kingdom

0.12

0.11

0.12

5.52

5.62

5.50

0.69

0.61

0.66

0.05

7.67

France

0.10

0.08

0.11

4.57

4.19

4.64

0.45

0.35

0.51

0.16

44.89

Italy

0.13

0.11

0.12

2.22

2.43

2.38

0.29

0.27

0.30

0.03

10.49

Denmark

0.05

0.05

0.05

5.83

4.80

4.80

0.27

0.24

0.24

0.00

0.00

Romania

0.19

0.18

0.18

1.71

1.94

1.81

0.33

0.35

0.33

-0.03

-7.14

Czech Republic

0.05

0.05

0.05

2.65

3.73

3.33

0.14

0.17

0.15

-0.02

-10.71

Hungary

0.05

0.05

0.06

2.41

2.45

2.36

0.12

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

Austria

0.03

0.03

0.03

3.63

4.40

4.40

0.10

0.11

0.11

0.00

0.00

Ireland

0.02

0.02

0.02

7.63

7.25

7.25

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.00

0.00

Lithuania

0.07

0.07

0.07

1.34

2.00

2.00

0.09

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

Australia

0.83

1.00

1.00

1.37

1.65

1.65

1.14

1.65

1.65

0.00

0.00

Ukraine

0.31

0.29

0.30

1.47

1.90

1.83

0.46

0.55

0.55

0.00

0.00

China

0.20

0.20

0.20

2.69

3.00

2.90

0.53

0.60

0.58

-0.02

-3.33

Belarus

0.18

0.28

0.20

2.40

2.91

3.00

0.44

0.80

0.60

-0.20

-25.00

Brazil

0.15

0.15

0.15

2.46

2.40

2.40

0.38

0.37

0.37

0.00

0.00

Argentina

0.29

0.22

0.20

2.32

1.57

2.00

0.66

0.35

0.40

0.06

15.94

Chile

0.11

0.10

0.11

5.32

5.00

5.33

0.56

0.50

0.56

0.06

12.00

Norway

0.08

0.07

0.07

3.93

3.10

3.10

0.30

0.22

0.22

0.00

0.00

Turkey

0.09

0.10

0.10

2.34

2.21

2.21

0.20

0.21

0.21

0.00

0.00

Kazakhstan

0.17

0.15

0.15

0.77

1.78

1.33

0.13

0.26

0.20

-0.06

-22.48

Serbia

0.07

0.07

0.07

1.85

1.85

1.85

0.12

0.12

0.12

0.00

0.00

Others

1.04

1.04

1.04

0.58

0.58

0.59

0.61

0.61

0.61

0.00

0.16

none

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

World

5.19

5.12

5.28

2.29

2.50

2.53

11.85

12.82

13.35

0.53

4.14

United States

0.11

0.10

0.11

1.77

1.64

1.73

0.19

0.16

0.18

0.02

13.04

Total Foreign

5.08

5.03

5.18

2.30

2.52

2.54

11.66

12.66

13.17

0.51

4.03
7.20

none
2.66

2.27

2.30

3.02

3.05

3.22

8.01

6.90

7.40

0.50

Poland

1.40

1.07

1.07

2.34

2.40

2.40

3.27

2.57

2.58

0.01

0.35

Germany

0.63

0.61

0.67

4.63

4.11

4.66

2.90

2.52

3.10

0.58

22.97

Spain

0.14

0.15

0.15

2.02

2.46

2.23

0.28

0.37

0.34

-0.03

-8.17

Lithuania

0.08

0.05

0.05

2.54

1.67

2.50

0.21

0.09

0.13

0.04

49.43

Latvia

0.06

0.04

0.04

2.75

2.50

2.76

0.16

0.10

0.11

0.01

10.53

France

0.03

0.03

0.03

5.21

4.57

5.00

0.15

0.13

0.15

0.02

13.28

Denmark

0.05

0.06

0.03

4.90

5.07

4.84

0.26

0.29

0.15

-0.14

-48.98

Czech Republic

0.03

0.03

0.03

3.93

4.68

4.17

0.12

0.12

0.13

0.01

6.84

Austria

0.05

0.05

0.05

3.50

4.39

4.35

0.16

0.20

0.20

0.00

-0.99

Sweden

0.03

0.03

0.03

4.72

5.08

5.20

0.12

0.13

0.13

0.00

-1.52

Hungary

0.04

0.03

0.04

2.08

2.30

2.20

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.00

1.32

Slovakia

0.02

0.01

0.01

2.12

3.31

3.31

0.04

0.04

0.04

0.00

0.00

Finland

0.03

0.03

0.02

2.72

2.80

3.00

0.07

0.07

0.06

-0.01

-14.29

United Kingdom

0.01

0.01

0.01

6.20

7.00

7.00

0.03

0.04

0.04

0.00

0.00

Romania

0.02

0.01

0.02

2.12

3.31

2.71

0.04

0.04

0.05

0.00

6.98

Greece

0.02

0.02

0.02

1.83

1.83

1.83

0.03

0.03

0.03

0.00

0.00

Portugal

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.90

0.86

0.95

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.00

11.11

Russia

1.38

1.52

1.55

1.19

1.95

1.94

1.64

2.97

3.00

0.03

1.04

Belarus

0.35

0.58

0.60

2.09

2.61

2.50

0.74

1.50

1.50

0.00

0.00

Ukraine

0.28

0.29

0.30

1.66

1.93

1.50

0.46

0.55

0.45

-0.10

-18.18

Canada

0.10

0.08

0.11

2.44

2.47

2.41

0.23

0.20

0.27

0.07

35.90

Turkey

0.14

0.14

0.14

2.60

2.50

2.50

0.37

0.35

0.35

0.00

0.00

Argentina

0.02

0.04

0.03

1.67

1.43

1.60

0.04

0.05

0.04

-0.01

-20.00

Kazakhstan

0.05

0.03

0.05

0.82

1.12

1.00

0.04

0.03

0.05

0.02

78.57

Australia

0.04

0.04

0.04

0.57

0.57

0.57

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.00

0.00

Switzerland

0.00

0.00

0.00

6.67

6.67

6.67

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.00

0.00

Others

0.06

0.06

0.06

1.50

1.21

1.21

0.09

0.08

0.08

0.00

0.00

EU-27

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

38.87

38.08

39.58

1.61

1.43

1.56

62.40

54.51

61.70

7.19

13.20

United States

1.95

1.59

2.08

4.51

3.43

4.08

8.78

5.45

8.51

3.06

56.21

Total Foreign

36.92

36.49

37.49

1.45

1.34

1.42

53.62

49.06

53.19

4.13

8.42

Nigeria

5.40

5.50

5.55

1.25

1.25

1.24

6.75

6.85

6.90

0.05

0.73

Sudan

6.20

5.60

5.60

0.74

0.37

0.68

4.61

2.09

3.80

1.71

81.91

Ethiopia

1.78

1.87

1.80

1.95

2.02

1.97

3.47

3.78

3.55

-0.23

-6.11

Burkina

1.62

1.62

1.62

1.20

0.99

1.11

1.95

1.60

1.80

0.20

12.50

Tanzania

0.62

0.88

0.90

1.29

0.90

0.82

0.80

0.79

0.74

-0.05

-6.09

Niger

1.50

1.50

1.50

0.87

0.47

0.67

1.30

0.70

1.00

0.30

42.86

Uganda

0.31

0.31

0.31

1.61

1.61

1.61

0.50

0.50

0.50

0.00

0.00

Mozambique

0.62

0.62

0.62

0.62

0.66

0.66

0.38

0.41

0.41

0.00

0.00

Ghana

0.34

0.34

0.34

1.06

0.96

0.96

0.36

0.33

0.33

0.00

0.00

South Africa

0.07

0.05

0.05

2.25

2.50

2.50

0.16

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

India

7.06

6.60

7.00

0.99

0.92

0.96

7.00

6.10

6.70

0.60

9.84

Pakistan

0.24

0.24

0.24

0.60

0.60

0.60

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.00

0.00

Argentina

1.00

1.00

1.05

4.40

4.00

4.57

4.40

4.00

4.80

0.80

20.00

Brazil

0.82

0.80

1.00

2.83

2.75

2.80

2.31

2.20

2.80

0.60

27.27

Mexico

1.92

1.64

1.80

3.84

3.75

3.78

7.36

6.13

6.80

0.68

11.02

China

0.55

0.58

0.60

4.48

4.48

4.42

2.46

2.60

2.65

0.05

1.92

Australia

0.67

0.65

0.65

3.07

4.11

3.88

2.07

2.65

2.50

-0.15

-5.66

Egypt

0.16

0.16

0.16

5.63

5.63

5.63

0.90

0.90

0.90

0.00

0.00

EU-27

0.11

0.11

0.10

5.53

6.04

6.00

0.63

0.67

0.60

-0.07

-10.45

France

0.05

0.04

0.04

5.50

6.32

6.95

0.29

0.28

0.29

0.01

2.52

Italy

0.04

0.04

0.03

6.88

7.12

6.85

0.28

0.30

0.23

-0.07

-22.07

Others

5.93

6.44

6.61

1.03

1.01

0.93

6.08

6.50

6.15

-0.36

-5.46

World

none
Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

South America

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions
Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

157.70

158.87

159.78

4.25

4.35

4.35

449.30

463.31

466.45

3.14

0.68

United States

1.46

1.06

1.03

7.54

7.92

8.10

7.59

5.87

5.83

-0.04

-0.73

Total Foreign

156.24

157.81

158.75

4.22

4.32

4.33

441.71

457.44

460.62

3.18

0.70

China

29.87

30.00

30.15

6.55

6.69

6.68

137.00

140.50

141.00

0.50

0.36

Japan

1.63

1.58

1.55

6.51

6.66

6.52

7.72

7.65

7.36

-0.29

-3.77

Korea, South

0.89

0.85

0.85

6.51

6.58

6.69

4.30

4.22

4.20

-0.02

-0.57

Korea, North

0.58

0.57

0.57

4.24

4.32

4.32

1.60

1.60

1.60

0.00

0.00

India

42.86

44.10

44.00

3.36

3.52

3.49

95.98

103.40

102.50

-0.90

-0.87

Bangladesh

11.70

11.80

11.80

4.06

4.34

4.34

31.70

34.10

34.10

0.00

0.00

2.10

2.75

2.80

3.57

3.55

3.64

5.00

6.50

6.80

0.30

4.62

World

none
East Asia

South Asia

Pakistan
Southeast Asia

12.08

12.10

12.15

4.67

4.72

4.78

35.50

36.30

36.90

0.60

1.65

Vietnam

7.61

7.60

7.60

5.55

5.57

5.58

26.37

26.46

26.50

0.05

0.17

Thailand

10.67

11.00

11.12

2.88

2.82

2.87

20.26

20.46

21.05

0.59

2.88

Burma

7.00

6.50

6.50

2.35

2.60

2.64

10.53

10.82

11.00

0.18

1.70

Philippines

4.53

4.56

4.60

3.69

3.70

3.73

10.54

10.64

10.80

0.16

1.51

Cambodia

2.78

2.77

2.85

2.38

2.41

2.47

4.23

4.27

4.50

0.23

5.44

Laos

0.87

0.82

0.88

2.54

2.79

2.78

1.39

1.44

1.53

0.09

6.10

Malaysia

0.67

0.68

0.68

3.76

3.85

3.86

1.64

1.69

1.70

0.01

0.59

Brazil

2.83

2.50

2.75

4.83

4.52

4.64

9.30

7.68

8.67

0.99

12.83

Peru

0.39

0.34

0.40

7.28

7.10

7.25

1.94

1.67

2.00

0.34

20.11

Nigeria

2.15

2.17

2.25

1.93

1.98

2.01

2.62

2.71

2.85

0.14

5.20

Madagascar

1.34

1.34

1.34

3.57

3.36

3.21

3.06

2.88

2.75

-0.13

-4.44

EU-27

0.48

0.48

0.47

6.13

5.85

5.84

2.05

1.95

1.89

-0.07

-3.38

Italy

0.25

0.25

0.24

6.40

5.82

6.06

1.11

1.01

1.01

0.00

0.40

Spain

0.12

0.12

0.12

6.36

6.39

5.82

0.54

0.55

0.49

-0.06

-11.01

Egypt

0.45

0.70

0.60

9.98

8.80

9.18

3.10

4.25

3.80

-0.45

-10.59

Iran

0.56

0.56

0.56

4.06

4.19

4.19

1.51

1.55

1.55

0.00

0.00

12.20

12.05

12.30

3.02

3.09

3.14

24.38

24.71

25.57

0.87

3.51

Indonesia

South America

Sub-Saharan Africa

Others

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process

Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions
Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

World Total

--

--

--

--

--

--

456.47

437.26

471.48

34.22

7.83

Total Foreign

--

--

--

--

--

--

356.10

345.94

374.51

28.57

8.26

Oilseed, Copra

--

--

--

--

--

--

6.02

5.54

5.66

0.12

2.15

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

--

--

--

--

--

--

12.55

13.28

13.79

0.52

3.89

213.77

216.93

220.43

2.05

1.93

2.05

437.91

418.45

452.03

33.59

8.03

37.18

35.09

35.65

2.70

2.60

2.72

100.38

91.32

96.97

5.65

6.19

176.59

181.84

184.78

1.91

1.80

1.92

337.53

327.13

355.07

27.94

8.54

51.84

52.14

55.87

2.81

2.39

2.77

145.89

124.72

154.86

30.14

24.17

Brazil

25.75

26.58

27.93

3.07

2.59

2.92

79.16

68.78

81.43

12.65

18.39

Argentina

20.91

20.47

22.55

2.59

2.31

2.69

54.06

47.31

60.61

13.31

28.13

Paraguay

3.03

2.82

3.02

2.83

1.51

2.65

8.59

4.26

8.00

3.75

87.95

Bolivia

1.14

1.21

1.24

1.97

2.00

2.06

2.25

2.42

2.55

0.13

5.37

China

26.55

25.85

25.18

2.19

2.24

2.23

58.10

57.78

56.20

-1.58

-2.73

South Asia

38.50

39.72

39.51

1.01

1.03

1.03

39.06

40.83

40.79

-0.04

-0.09

34.45

35.21

35.12

0.99

0.99

1.00

34.03

34.77

34.99

0.22

0.63

3.73

4.18

4.06

1.28

1.39

1.36

4.77

5.79

5.54

-0.26

-4.42
-4.46

none
Major OilSeeds
United States
none
Foreign Oilseeds
South America

India
Pakistan
EU-27

11.40

11.64

11.11

2.55

2.49

2.50

29.12

29.01

27.72

-1.29

France

2.21

2.33

2.32

2.98

3.15

3.11

6.59

7.34

7.22

-0.12

-1.68

Germany

1.51

1.36

1.28

3.84

2.89

3.52

5.80

3.92

4.51

0.58

14.84

Poland

0.86

0.84

0.76

2.63

2.29

2.18

2.25

1.91

1.66

-0.25

-13.09

Romania

1.44

1.43

1.21

1.70

1.87

1.74

2.45

2.67

2.11

-0.56

-20.97

Hungary

0.80

0.85

0.78

2.05

2.33

2.17

1.64

1.97

1.70

-0.28

-14.00

United Kingdom

0.64

0.71

0.73

3.47

3.91

3.68

2.23

2.76

2.69

-0.07

-2.57

18.40

20.97

20.62

1.23

1.41

1.36

22.65

29.64

28.04

-1.60

-5.41

Russia

7.20

9.22

8.95

1.01

1.35

1.25

7.24

12.43

11.20

-1.23

-9.87

Ukraine

7.30

7.75

7.75

1.58

1.70

1.66

11.55

13.20

12.90

-0.30

-2.27

Uzbekistan

1.30

1.34

1.30

1.23

1.23

1.24

1.60

1.65

1.61

-0.04

-2.42

8.03

9.03

9.69

2.14

2.04

2.04

17.19

18.43

19.77

1.33

7.24

12.53

13.02

13.18

0.94

0.86

0.89

11.73

11.19

11.78

0.59

5.24

2.10

2.01

1.99

1.05

1.06

1.08

2.21

2.14

2.14

0.00

0.00

4.03

4.11

4.15

1.27

1.32

1.33

5.10

5.45

5.52

0.07

1.28

1.23

1.22

1.22

1.56

1.55

1.55

1.91

1.90

1.90

0.00

0.00

Australia

2.75

2.47

2.64

1.38

1.82

1.86

3.81

4.50

4.92

0.42

9.38

Others

2.56

2.89

2.83

1.91

1.93

1.94

4.90

5.57

5.47

-0.10

-1.81

Former Soviet Union - 12

Canada
Africa
Nigeria
Southeast Asia
Indonesia

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)
Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

102.90

102.37

106.52

2.57

2.31

2.55

264.69

236.87

271.42

34.55

United States

31.00

29.80

29.53

2.92

2.79

2.95

90.61

83.17

87.23

4.05

4.87

Total Foreign

71.90

72.57

76.99

2.42

2.12

2.39

174.09

153.70

184.20

30.50

19.84

Brazil

24.20

25.00

26.50

3.12

2.60

2.94

75.50

65.00

78.00

13.00

20.00

Argentina

18.30

17.80

19.70

2.68

2.39

2.79

49.00

42.50

55.00

12.50

29.41

Paraguay

2.87

2.60

2.85

2.92

1.54

2.74

8.37

4.00

7.80

3.80

95.00

Bolivia

1.00

1.05

1.07

2.10

2.10

2.15

2.10

2.20

2.30

0.10

4.55

Uruguay

0.87

0.90

0.95

1.79

1.78

2.00

1.55

1.60

1.90

0.30

18.75

China

8.52

7.65

7.50

1.77

1.76

1.75

15.10

13.50

13.10

-0.40

-2.96

Korea, South

0.07

0.08

0.08

1.48

1.65

1.68

0.11

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

Korea, North

0.14

0.14

0.15

1.19

1.25

1.24

0.16

0.18

0.18

0.01

2.86

Japan

0.14

0.14

0.14

1.62

1.63

1.63

0.22

0.22

0.22

0.00

0.00

India

9.30

10.27

10.80

1.05

1.07

1.06

9.80

11.00

11.40

0.40

3.64

Canada

1.48

1.54

1.60

2.94

2.75

2.69

4.35

4.25

4.30

0.05

1.27

Ukraine

1.04

1.10

1.30

1.62

2.00

2.08

1.68

2.20

2.70

0.50

22.73

Russia

1.04

1.18

1.20

1.18

1.48

1.50

1.22

1.75

1.80

0.05

2.92

Indonesia

0.47

0.47

0.47

1.38

1.38

1.38

0.65

0.64

0.64

0.00

0.00

Vietnam

0.17

0.20

0.23

1.46

1.50

1.52

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.05

16.67

Thailand

0.12

0.12

0.12

1.50

1.50

1.50

0.18

0.18

0.18

0.00

0.00

Burma

0.17

0.17

0.17

1.21

1.21

1.21

0.20

0.20

0.20

0.00

0.00

EU-27

0.37

0.42

0.40

2.82

2.67

2.75

1.04

1.12

1.10

-0.02

-1.52

Italy

0.16

0.21

0.18

3.45

3.00

3.26

0.55

0.63

0.60

-0.03

-4.76

France

0.05

0.04

0.04

2.71

2.93

2.88

0.14

0.12

0.12

-0.01

-6.50

South Africa

0.42

0.47

0.50

1.70

1.50

1.70

0.71

0.71

0.85

0.14

19.72

Nigeria

0.44

0.44

0.44

1.02

1.02

1.02

0.45

0.45

0.45

0.00

0.00

Uganda

0.15

0.15

0.15

1.10

1.10

1.10

0.17

0.17

0.17

0.00

0.00

Serbia

0.15

0.17

0.17

2.41

2.52

2.52

0.35

0.42

0.42

0.00

0.00

Mexico

0.11

0.13

0.13

1.50

1.50

1.50

0.17

0.20

0.20

0.00

0.00

Iran

0.08

0.08

0.08

2.14

2.44

2.44

0.16

0.20

0.20

0.00

0.00

Others

0.31

0.31

0.32

1.94

1.93

1.96

0.60

0.61

0.62

0.02

2.48

World

14.59

none
South America

East Asia

Former Soviet Union - 12

Southeast Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

32.66

34.83

33.12

1.33

1.34

1.34

43.50

46.61

44.49

-2.12

-4.54

United States

4.33

3.83

4.25

1.28

1.27

1.28

5.53

4.87

5.43

0.56

11.45

Total Foreign

28.33

31.00

28.87

1.34

1.35

1.35

37.97

41.74

39.06

-2.68

-6.41

5.15

5.50

5.00

2.32

2.39

2.39

11.95

13.13

11.95

-1.18

-8.99

11.14

12.20

11.00

0.97

0.93

0.96

10.80

11.30

10.60

-0.70

-6.19

2.90

3.20

3.10

1.30

1.44

1.42

3.76

4.62

4.40

-0.22

-4.68

Uzbekistan

1.30

1.34

1.30

1.23

1.23

1.24

1.60

1.65

1.61

-0.04

-2.42

Turkmenistan

0.64

0.58

0.58

1.07

0.96

0.96

0.69

0.55

0.55

0.00

0.00

Tajikistan

0.16

0.20

0.20

0.99

1.08

1.08

0.16

0.22

0.22

-0.01

-2.26

Kazakhstan

0.14

0.14

0.13

1.20

1.04

1.04

0.16

0.15

0.14

-0.01

-7.53

Brazil

1.40

1.40

1.25

2.39

2.42

2.44

3.35

3.39

3.05

-0.34

-9.89

Argentina

0.61

0.53

0.50

0.73

0.67

0.72

0.44

0.36

0.36

0.01

1.41

Turkey

0.32

0.48

0.42

2.16

2.19

2.14

0.69

1.05

0.90

-0.15

-14.29

Syria

0.13

0.15

0.13

2.75

2.73

2.72

0.34

0.41

0.34

-0.07

-17.07

Iran

0.12

0.14

0.12

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.12

0.14

0.12

-0.02

-11.11

Australia

0.59

0.58

0.55

2.20

2.41

2.73

1.30

1.40

1.50

0.10

7.14

EU-27

0.31

0.35

0.36

1.30

1.56

1.46

0.40

0.55

0.52

-0.03

-6.17

Greece

0.24

0.29

0.29

1.33

1.58

1.49

0.32

0.45

0.43

-0.03

-5.56

Spain

0.06

0.07

0.07

1.19

1.49

1.34

0.08

0.10

0.09

-0.01

-9.00

Burkina

0.40

0.40

0.40

0.45

0.48

0.48

0.18

0.19

0.19

0.00

0.00

Mali

0.26

0.48

0.48

0.52

0.47

0.47

0.13

0.23

0.23

0.00

0.00

Cameroon

0.14

0.18

0.18

0.98

0.93

0.93

0.14

0.16

0.16

0.00

0.00

Sudan

0.04

0.15

0.13

1.21

1.03

1.13

0.05

0.15

0.14

-0.01

-8.44

Zimbabwe

0.40

0.47

0.45

0.48

0.42

0.42

0.19

0.20

0.19

-0.01

-4.52

Nigeria

0.41

0.33

0.30

0.50

0.43

0.47

0.21

0.14

0.14

0.00

0.00

Benin

0.18

0.20

0.20

0.55

0.62

0.66

0.10

0.12

0.13

0.01

6.45

Uganda

0.10

0.10

0.13

1.09

1.49

1.05

0.11

0.15

0.13

-0.02

-12.08

Egypt

0.16

0.21

0.21

1.14

1.14

1.14

0.18

0.24

0.24

0.00

0.00

Mexico

0.12

0.19

0.19

2.15

2.14

2.14

0.25

0.41

0.41

0.00

0.00

Burma

0.30

0.30

0.30

0.63

0.63

0.63

0.19

0.19

0.19

0.00

0.00

Others

0.93

1.21

1.29

0.52

0.54

0.51

0.48

0.65

0.66

0.01

1.07

World

none
China
South Asia
India
Pakistan
Former Soviet Union - 12

South America

Middle East

Sub-Saharan Africa

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

21.44

20.92

21.43

1.67

1.70

1.72

35.88

35.46

36.76

1.30

3.67

United States

0.51

0.44

0.56

3.71

3.71

3.79

1.89

1.65

2.14

0.49

29.71

Total Foreign

20.93

20.47

20.87

1.62

1.65

1.66

34.00

33.81

34.62

0.81

2.40

4.53

4.65

4.70

3.46

3.44

3.40

15.64

16.00

16.00

0.00

0.00

India

6.00

5.30

5.60

0.98

1.04

1.04

5.85

5.50

5.80

0.30

5.45

Pakistan

0.11

0.11

0.11

0.90

0.90

0.90

0.10

0.10

0.10

0.00

0.00

7.80

7.79

7.80

0.97

0.89

0.93

7.57

6.96

7.29

0.33

4.78

Nigeria

1.25

1.25

1.25

1.24

1.24

1.24

1.55

1.55

1.55

0.00

0.00

Senegal

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.29

0.70

1.00

1.29

0.70

1.00

0.30

42.86

Chad

0.35

0.35

0.35

1.32

1.32

1.32

0.47

0.47

0.47

0.00

0.00

Ghana

0.47

0.47

0.47

0.94

0.94

0.94

0.44

0.44

0.44

0.00

0.00

Sudan

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.00

0.00

Congo (Kinshasa)

0.48

0.48

0.48

0.78

0.78

0.78

0.37

0.37

0.37

0.00

0.00

Burkina

0.35

0.35

0.35

1.01

1.01

1.01

0.35

0.35

0.35

0.00

0.00

Guinea

0.21

0.21

0.21

1.24

1.24

1.24

0.26

0.26

0.26

0.00

0.00

Cameroon

0.31

0.31

0.31

0.77

0.77

0.77

0.24

0.24

0.24

0.00

0.00

Mali

0.25

0.25

0.25

1.10

1.10

1.10

0.28

0.28

0.28

0.00

0.00

Malawi

0.22

0.22

0.22

1.20

1.20

1.20

0.27

0.27

0.27

0.00

0.00

Cote d'Ivoire

0.15

0.15

0.15

1.00

1.00

1.00

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.00

0.00

Uganda

0.21

0.21

0.21

0.70

0.70

0.70

0.15

0.15

0.15

0.00

0.00

Central African Republic

0.13

0.13

0.13

1.12

1.12

1.12

0.14

0.14

0.14

0.00

0.00

Benin

0.16

0.16

0.16

0.81

0.81

0.81

0.13

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

Mozambique

0.29

0.29

0.29

0.38

0.38

0.38

0.11

0.11

0.11

0.00

0.00

Niger

0.26

0.26

0.26

0.42

0.42

0.42

0.11

0.11

0.11

0.00

0.00

South Africa

0.06

0.05

0.06

2.09

1.93

2.18

0.12

0.09

0.12

0.03

37.93

Indonesia

0.75

0.75

0.75

1.67

1.67

1.67

1.25

1.25

1.25

0.00

0.00

Burma

0.83

0.85

0.85

1.38

1.53

1.53

1.14

1.30

1.30

0.00

0.00

Vietnam

0.21

0.24

0.25

2.10

2.21

2.20

0.44

0.53

0.55

0.02

3.77

Thailand

0.07

0.07

0.07

1.77

1.77

1.77

0.12

0.12

0.12

0.00

0.00

Argentina

0.27

0.33

0.35

3.58

3.23

3.57

0.95

1.05

1.25

0.20

19.05

Brazil

0.09

0.10

0.10

2.67

2.95

2.60

0.23

0.30

0.26

-0.04

-11.86

Egypt

0.06

0.06

0.06

3.17

3.17

3.17

0.19

0.19

0.19

0.00

0.00

Mexico

0.05

0.05

0.05

1.56

1.56

1.56

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

Others

0.19

0.19

0.19

2.39

2.39

2.37

0.46

0.45

0.45

-0.01

-1.33

World

none
China
South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Southeast Asia

South America

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

23.21

25.70

26.19

1.43

1.52

1.49

33.29

39.10

38.93

-0.17

-0.44

United States

0.76

0.59

0.70

1.64

1.57

1.62

1.24

0.93

1.12

0.20

21.41

Total Foreign

22.45

25.11

25.50

1.43

1.52

1.48

32.04

38.18

37.81

-0.37

-0.97

Russia

5.55

7.20

7.00

0.96

1.34

1.21

5.35

9.63

8.50

-1.13

-11.71

Ukraine

5.40

5.80

6.00

1.56

1.64

1.58

8.40

9.50

9.50

0.00

0.00

Moldova

0.25

0.25

0.25

1.51

1.60

1.60

0.38

0.40

0.40

0.00

0.00

Kazakhstan

0.74

0.95

0.95

0.44

0.43

0.43

0.33

0.41

0.41

0.00

0.00

Argentina

1.74

1.82

2.00

2.11

1.87

2.00

3.67

3.40

4.00

0.60

17.65

Uruguay

0.00

0.01

0.03

1.33

1.50

1.60

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.03

166.67

Bolivia

13.64

World

none
Former Soviet Union - 12

South America

0.14

0.16

0.17

1.07

1.38

1.47

0.15

0.22

0.25

0.03

China

0.98

0.95

0.98

2.34

2.26

2.19

2.30

2.15

2.15

0.00

0.00

EU-27

3.74

4.24

4.35

1.85

1.94

1.86

6.92

8.22

8.10

-0.12

-1.40

France

0.70

0.74

0.75

2.36

2.55

2.48

1.64

1.89

1.85

-0.04

-1.86

Hungary

0.50

0.57

0.59

1.98

2.38

2.23

0.99

1.37

1.31

-0.06

-4.02

Spain

0.70

0.86

0.87

1.27

1.26

1.15

0.89

1.08

1.00

-0.08

-7.75

Italy

0.10

0.12

0.11

2.11

2.32

2.32

0.21

0.27

0.26

-0.01

-5.11

Slovakia

0.08

0.09

0.10

1.81

2.20

2.07

0.15

0.19

0.20

0.01

5.35

India

0.76

0.74

0.72

0.63

0.64

0.68

0.48

0.47

0.49

0.02

4.26

Pakistan

0.45

0.50

0.47

1.52

1.50

1.49

0.69

0.75

0.70

-0.05

-6.67

Turkey

0.49

0.49

0.53

2.06

1.89

2.00

1.00

0.93

1.05

0.13

13.51

South Africa

0.64

0.45

0.50

1.34

1.14

1.25

0.86

0.52

0.63

0.11

21.36

Burma

0.91

0.92

0.92

0.70

0.76

0.76

0.64

0.70

0.70

0.00

0.00

Serbia

0.17

0.18

0.18

2.35

2.37

2.37

0.40

0.42

0.42

0.00

0.00

Canada

0.05

0.01

0.04

1.33

1.43

1.51

0.07

0.02

0.07

0.05

225.00

Australia

0.03

0.04

0.04

1.52

1.37

1.50

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.01

25.00

Others

0.40

0.42

0.37

0.92

0.96

0.94

0.37

0.40

0.35

-0.05

-11.34

South Asia

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.
May

From last month

From last year

MMT

MMT

Percent

Percent

33.57

33.11

33.16

1.80

1.82

1.82

60.55

60.41

60.43

0.02

0.04

United States

0.58

0.42

0.61

1.92

1.65

1.72

1.11

0.70

1.05

0.35

49.93

Total Foreign

32.99

32.69

32.55

1.80

1.83

1.82

59.44

59.71

59.38

-0.33

-0.55

World

none
6.99

6.64

6.00

2.97

2.88

3.00

20.76

19.13

18.00

-1.13

-5.90

Germany

1.49

1.33

1.25

3.87

2.91

3.55

5.75

3.87

4.45

0.58

14.99

France

1.47

1.55

1.54

3.29

3.44

3.42

4.82

5.33

5.25

-0.08

-1.50

United Kingdom

0.64

0.71

0.73

3.47

3.91

3.68

2.23

2.76

2.69

-0.07

-2.57

Poland

0.85

0.83

0.76

2.63

2.29

2.19

2.24

1.90

1.65

-0.25

-13.16

Czech Republic

0.37

0.37

0.37

2.82

2.89

2.78

1.04

1.08

1.03

-0.05

-4.36

Denmark

0.17

0.15

0.10

3.46

3.41

3.50

0.58

0.51

0.35

-0.16

-31.10

Hungary

0.26

0.23

0.15

2.15

2.26

2.00

0.56

0.53

0.30

-0.23

-43.07

Romania

0.58

0.38

0.09

1.81

1.96

1.88

1.05

0.75

0.16

-0.59

-78.67

Slovakia

0.16

0.15

0.15

1.96

2.22

2.00

0.32

0.34

0.29

-0.05

-14.45

Sweden

0.11

0.10

0.12

2.56

2.67

2.42

0.28

0.27

0.29

0.02

8.61

Lithuania

0.20

0.20

0.20

2.10

2.10

2.10

0.42

0.42

0.42

0.00

0.00

Latvia

0.09

0.09

0.09

2.31

2.28

2.28

0.22

0.21

0.21

0.00

0.00

Austria

0.05

0.05

0.06

3.15

3.38

3.18

0.17

0.18

0.18

0.00

-2.23

Finland

0.16

0.09

0.10

1.29

1.29

1.30

0.21

0.12

0.13

0.01

11.11

Estonia

0.10

0.09

0.09

1.34

1.52

1.52

0.13

0.14

0.14

0.00

0.00

7.37

7.10

7.00

1.78

1.83

1.86

13.10

13.00

13.00

0.00

0.00

India

7.25

6.70

7.00

0.98

0.97

0.96

7.10

6.50

6.70

0.20

3.08

Pakistan

0.27

0.37

0.38

0.85

0.89

0.89

0.23

0.33

0.34

0.01

3.03

Bangladesh

0.30

0.31

0.31

0.75

0.74

0.74

0.23

0.23

0.23

0.00

0.00

Canada

6.50

7.47

8.05

1.97

1.90

1.91

12.77

14.17

15.40

1.24

8.72

Australia

2.09

1.80

2.00

1.14

1.63

1.63

2.38

2.94

3.25

0.31

10.54

Ukraine

0.86

0.85

0.45

1.70

1.76

1.56

1.47

1.50

0.70

-0.80

-53.33

Russia

0.61

0.84

0.75

1.09

1.25

1.20

0.67

1.05

0.90

-0.15

-14.29

Belarus

0.31

0.30

0.30

1.22

1.33

1.33

0.37

0.40

0.40

0.00

0.00

Paraguay

0.06

0.07

0.08

1.59

1.43

1.45

0.10

0.10

0.12

0.02

16.00

Others

0.37

0.24

0.23

0.68

1.54

1.49

0.25

0.37

0.35

-0.02

-5.43

EU-27

China
South Asia

Former Soviet Union - 12

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Change in Production

Production
(Million metric tons)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.

From last month

May

MMT

Percent

From last year

MMT

Percent

Oilseed, Copra
Philippines

2.80

2.30

2.30

0.00

0.00

Indonesia

1.46

1.48

1.60

0.12

8.11

India

0.74

0.74

0.74

0.00

0.00

Vietnam

0.24

0.24

0.24

0.00

0.00

Mexico

0.23

0.23

0.23

0.00

0.00

Papua New Guinea

0.13

0.13

0.13

0.00

0.00

Thailand

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

Sri Lanka

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

Mozambique

0.05

0.05

0.05

0.00

0.00

Cote d'Ivoire

0.05

0.05

0.05

0.00

0.00

6.02

5.54

5.66

0.12

2.17

World
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
Indonesia

6.20

6.70

7.10

0.40

5.97

Malaysia

4.52

4.68

4.75

0.07

1.50

Nigeria

0.67

0.67

0.67

0.00

0.00

Thailand

0.26

0.31

0.34

0.03

9.68

Papua New Guinea

0.14

0.14

0.14

0.00

0.00

Colombia

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.00

0.00

Cote d'Ivoire

0.08

0.08

0.08

0.00

0.00

Brazil

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

Cameroon

0.07

0.07

0.07

0.00

0.00

Congo (Kinshasa)

0.06

0.06

0.06

0.00

0.00

12.55

13.28

13.79

0.51

3.84

World
Oil, Palm
Indonesia

23.60

25.40

27.00

1.60

6.30

Malaysia

18.21

18.70

19.00

0.30

1.60

Thailand

1.29

1.55

1.70

0.15

9.68

Colombia

0.78

0.89

0.90

0.02

2.27

Nigeria

0.85

0.85

0.85

0.00

0.00

Papua New Guinea

0.50

0.51

0.53

0.02

3.92

Ecuador

0.46

0.50

0.51

0.01

2.00

Cote d'Ivoire

0.30

0.30

0.30

0.00

0.00

Brazil

0.27

0.28

0.28

0.00

0.00

Honduras

0.25

0.25

0.25

0.00

0.00

47.95

50.67

52.77

2.10

4.14

World

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

Area
(Million hectares)

Country / Region
2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Yield
(Kilograms per hectare)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

Change in Production

Production
(Million 480 lb. bales)

2012/13 Proj.
May

2010/11

Prel.
2011/12

2012/13 Proj.

From last month

May

MBales

Percent

From last year

MBales

Percent

33.33

35.83

33.88

760

748

750

116.40

123.04

116.69

-6.35

United States

4.33

3.83

4.25

910

886

871

18.10

15.57

17.00

1.43

9.16

Total Foreign

29.00

32.00

29.64

738

731

732

98.30

107.47

99.69

-7.78

-7.24

World

-5.16

none
5.15

5.50

5.00

1,289

1,326

1,328

30.50

33.50

30.50

-3.00

-8.96

14.03

15.49

14.20

546

524

540

35.19

37.27

35.18

-2.09

-5.60

11.14

12.20

11.00

516

473

495

26.40

26.50

25.00

-1.50

-5.66

2.80

3.20

3.10

672

721

702

8.64

10.60

10.00

-0.60

-5.66

2.29

2.34

2.29

650

631

636

6.83

6.78

6.69

-0.09

-1.33

Uzbekistan

1.30

1.34

1.30

687

682

687

4.10

4.20

4.10

-0.10

-2.38

Turkmenistan

0.64

0.58

0.60

595

530

544

1.75

1.40

1.50

0.10

7.14

Tajikistan

0.16

0.20

0.20

550

603

599

0.41

0.57

0.55

-0.02

-2.65

Kazakhstan

0.13

0.14

0.13

700

575

586

0.42

0.37

0.35

-0.02

-5.41

3.29

4.00

4.04

296

305

302

4.47

5.60

5.61

0.01

0.21

Burkina

0.40

0.40

0.40

354

381

381

0.65

0.70

0.70

0.00

0.00

Mali

0.26

0.48

0.48

398

363

363

0.48

0.80

0.80

0.00

0.00

Zimbabwe

0.40

0.47

0.45

272

243

242

0.50

0.53

0.50

-0.03

-4.76

Benin

0.18

0.20

0.20

363

408

435

0.30

0.38

0.40

0.03

6.67

Cote d'Ivoire

0.20

0.25

0.27

370

392

383

0.34

0.45

0.48

0.03

5.56

Cameroon

0.14

0.18

0.18

428

404

404

0.28

0.33

0.33

0.00

0.00

Nigeria

0.41

0.33

0.30

252

218

236

0.48

0.33

0.33

0.00

0.00

Sudan

0.04

0.15

0.13

518

435

479

0.10

0.30

0.28

-0.03

-8.33

China
South Asia
India
Pakistan
Former Soviet Union - 12

Sub-Saharan Africa

2.17

2.14

1.90

1,098

1,105

1,118

10.92

10.88

9.75

-1.13

-10.39

Brazil

1.40

1.40

1.20

1,400

1,415

1,452

9.00

9.10

8.00

-1.10

-12.09

Argentina

0.61

0.53

0.50

486

472

490

1.35

1.15

1.13

-0.03

-2.17

Paraguay

0.03

0.07

0.06

399

280

308

0.06

0.09

0.09

-0.01

-5.56

Middle East

0.61

0.81

0.69

1,190

1,262

1,259

3.32

4.72

4.00

-0.72

-15.21

Iran

0.12

0.14

0.12

635

645

635

0.35

0.40

0.35

-0.05

-12.50

Syria

0.13

0.15

0.13

1,280

1,306

1,306

0.74

0.90

0.75

-0.15

-16.67

Turkey

0.32

0.48

0.40

1,436

1,474

1,497

2.11

3.25

2.75

-0.50

-15.38

Australia

0.54

0.58

0.50

1,681

1,764

1,960

4.20

4.70

4.50

-0.20

-4.26

EU-27

0.30

0.35

0.33

854

994

963

1.16

1.62

1.46

-0.16

-9.65

Greece

0.23

0.29

0.26

890

1,016

1,005

0.94

1.33

1.20

-0.13

-9.77

Spain

0.06

0.07

0.07

715

897

800

0.21

0.28

0.25

-0.03

-9.42

Egypt

0.16

0.22

0.16

772

737

773

0.56

0.75

0.55

-0.20

-26.17

Mexico

0.11

0.19

0.16

1,436

1,410

1,395

0.73

1.24

1.03

-0.22

-17.54

Others

0.37

0.37

0.37

248

251

250

0.42

0.43

0.43

0.00

-0.23

South America

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

May 2012

TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the differences between the May projection and the final Estimate.
Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.2 percent. Chances are
9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.4 percent. The average difference
between the May projection and the final estimate is 15.8 million tons, ranging from 1.7 million to 35.0 million
tons. The May projection has been below the estimate 18 times and above 13 times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
COMMODITY AND
REGION

Root mean
square error

Difference between forecast and final estimate

90 percent
confidence
interval
Average

Percent

Smallest

Largest

Years
Below
Above
final
final

---Million metric tons---

WHEAT
World

3.2

5.4

15.8

1.7

35.0

18

13

U.S.

6.9

11.7

3.2

0.0

9.8

15

16

Foreign

3.4

5.7

14.6

1.6

32.9

17

14

3.7

6.2

25.0

1.1

75.3

14

17

14.1

23.9

19.9

0.9

70.3

16

15

2.9

5.0

14.4

0.3

42.8

12

19

World

2.6

4.4

7.3

0.0

21.8

19

12

U.S.

7.3

12.3

0.3

0.0

1.0

17

14

Foreign

2.6

4.5

7.3

0.4

22.0

19

12

World

NA

NA

16.6

10.8

23.1

U.S.

9.3

15.7

4.3

0.0

12.0

15

16

Foreign

NA

NA

12.8

10.3

16.9

COARSE GRAINS 2/
World
U.S.
Foreign
RICE (Milled)

SOYBEANS

---Million 480-lb. bales---

COTTON
World
U.S.
Foreign

6.4

10.9

4.3

0.1

16.7

19

12

11.4

19.4

1.6

0.1

5.5

15

16

6.6

11.2

3.5

0.3

12.2

18

13

-------Million bushels-------

UNITED STATES
CORN

15.1

25.6

695

2379

13

18

SORGHUM

20.4

34.6

91

228

13

17

BARLEY

15.3

26.0

30

206

11

20

OATS

26.9

45.7

36

231

23

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2009/10. Final is defined as the first November estimates following the
marketing year.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
May 2012

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA

Office of Global Analysis

Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA

May 2012