NPV Analysis for Project Selection
NPV Analysis for Project Selection
A five-year project has a projected net cash flow of $15,000, $25,000, $30,000, $20,000, and
$15,000 in the next five years. It will cost $50,000 to implement the project. If the required rate of
return is 20 percent, conduct a discounted cash flow calculation to determine the NPV.
Given Data
• Initial Investment (Cost): $50,000
• Required Rate of Return: 20% (0.20)
• Projected Net Cash Flows:
- Year 1: $15,000
- Year 2: $25,000
- Year 3: $30,000
- Year 4: $20,000
- Year 5: $15,000
Formula
NPV = Σ [CFₜ / (1 + r)ᵗ] - C₀
Where:
CFₜ = Cash flow in year t
r = Discount rate (20%)
C₀ = Initial investment
Step 1: Present Value of Cash Flows
Year Cash Flow ($) Discount Factor (1/1.2^t) Present Value ($)
1 $15,000 0.8333 $12,500
2 $25,000 0.6944 $17,360
3 $30,000 0.5787 $17,361
4 $20,000 0.4823 $9,646
5 $15,000 0.4019 $6,029
Step 2: Total Present Value and NPV
Total Present Value of Cash Inflows = $62,896
Initial Investment = $50,000
NPV = 62,896 – 50,000 = $12,896
Interpretation
Since the NPV is positive (+$12,896), the project is financially viable. It will generate a return
above the required 20% rate of return and therefore should be accepted.
4. You work for the 3T company, which expects to earn at least 18 percent on its investments. You
have to choose between two similar projects. The following chart shows the cash information for
each project. Which of the two projects would you fund if the decision is based only on financial
information? Why?
Project Omega
Yea Net Flow ($)
r
0 -225,000
1 -190,000
2 +150,000
3 +190,000
4 +215,000
5 +175,000
6 +197,000
7 +70,000
Project Alpha
Yea Net Flow ($)
r
0 -300,000
1 -50,000
2 +150,000
3 +200,000
4 +250,000
5 +150,000
6 +180,000
7 +90,000
Comparison
Project NPV ($) Decision
Omega 119,765 Acceptable
Alpha 176,560 Better Choice
Both projects have positive NPVs, which means both exceed the required 18% return.
However, Project Alpha yields a higher NPV of $176,560 compared to Omega’s $119,765.
Recommendation:
Fund Project Alpha, as it yields higher financial return and better overall profitability.
6. You are the head of the project selection team at Broken Arrow records. Your team is considering
three different recording projects. Based on past history, Broken Arrow expects at least a rate of
return of 20 percent.
Given the following information for each project, which one should be Broken Arrow’s first
priority? Should Broken Arrow fund any of the other projects? If so, what should be the order of
priority based on return on investment?
Project Data
1. Time Fades Away:
- Investment: $600,000
- Revenue Stream: 0, 600,000, 75,000, 20,000, 15,000, 10,000
2. On the Beach:
- Investment: $400,000
- Revenue Stream: 0, 400,000, 100,000, 25,000, 20,000, 10,000
Analysis Method
Using a discount rate of 20%, the Net Present Value (NPV) for each project is calculated using the
formula:
NPV = Σ [ Cash Flow_t / (1 + r)^t ] – Initial Investment where r = 0.20 (20% discount rate).
2. On the Beach
- NPV = (400,000 / 1.2) + (100,000 / 1.2²) + (25,000 / 1.2³) + (20,000 / 1.2⁴) + (10,000 / 1.2⁵) – 400,000
- NPV ≈ $25,401
- ROI ≈ 6.35%
Recommendation
Only the first two projects should be funded, as they both exceed the 20% required rate of return.
7. The Custom Bike Company has set up a weighted scoring matrix for evaluation of potential
projects. Below are five projects under consideration.
a. Using the scoring matrix in the following chart, which project would you rate highest? Lowest?
b. If the weight for “Strong Sponsor” is changed from 2.0 to 5.0, will the project selection
change? What are the three highest weighted project scores with this new weight?
c. Why is it important that the weights mirror critical strategic factors?
Project Strong Supports Urgency 10% New Competition Fill Market Weighted
Sponsor Strategy Products Gap Total
Project 1 45 25 8 0 2 15 95
Project 2 15 35 8 0 5 3 66
Project 3 30 40 8 9 6 24 117
Project 4 5 0 20 30 6 27 88
Project 5 15 50 40 3 8 0 116
After the adjustment, the ranking changes slightly. Project 3 now has the highest score (117), followed
closely by Project 5 (116), and Project 1 (95).
C. Importance of Strategic Weighting
Assigning appropriate weights ensures that the evaluation process aligns with the company’s strategic
priorities. If 'Strong Sponsor' is crucial to the success of projects within the organization, increasing its
weight correctly reflects this importance in the scoring model. On the other hand, failing to align weights
with strategic factors can lead to prioritizing projects that are financially attractive but misaligned with
long-term goals. With the original weights, Project 5 ranks the highest and Project 2 ranks the lowest.
When the 'Strong Sponsor' criterion’s weight is increased, Project 3 becomes the top priority. Therefore,
Custom Bike Company should always review its weight allocations to ensure they reflect strategic
importance and organizational success factors.
1. Major Problem
Hector Gaming Company (HGC) is facing a significant lack of centralized project management control and
alignment between strategy and execution. Rapid growth, enthusiastic expansion, and innovation have
outpaced the company’s organizational structure. As a result, project prioritization, resource allocation, and
coordination have become increasingly inconsistent. Without a formal governance framework, the
company is experiencing resource conflicts, duplicated efforts, and misaligned project objectives.
5. Expected Outcomes
• Improved alignment between strategy and project execution.
• Reduced delays and cost overruns.
• Increased employee satisfaction and retention.
• Stronger control over project initiation and resource allocation.
• Sustainable growth and competitive advantage maintained.
Hector Gaming Company must transition from a purely entrepreneurial organization to a strategically
managed, project-based company. Implementing a PMO and PPM process will provide the structure and
governance needed to sustain rapid growth, enhance coordination, and maintain its leadership in the
educational gaming industry.
1. Introduction
The goal of this analysis is to evaluate and rank seven proposed film projects using a structured Project
Priority Evaluation Model. The process integrates both 'must' and 'want' objectives to ensure that projects
align with the company’s strategic mission, creative vision, and financial performance expectations.
Based on the integrated AHP style weighted model, the final film prioritization is:
These selections balance creative excellence, technological innovation, and financial sustainability fully
supporting the company's mission to be the world’s premier entertainment company from a creative,
strategic, and financial standpoint.
Must objectives Must meet if impacts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Meets all safety and Y=yes Y Y N Y Y Y Y
environmental standards N=no
N/A = not applicable
PG or G rating Y=yes Y Y N Y Y Y Y
N=no
N/A = not applicable
No adverse Y=yes Y Y Y Y Y Y Y
effects on other operations N=no
N/A = not applicable
Relative
Single project
Want objectives importance Weighted score
impact definitions
1-100
Win best picture 0 = No potential
70 70 140 - 140 70 140 70
of the year 1=Low 2=High
Win best
0 = No potential
animated feature 60 120 0 - 60 0 60 0
1=Low 2=High
film
Generate
0 = No potential
additional 10 0 20 - 20 10 20 60
1=Low 2=High
merchandise
Raise
0 = No potential
environmental 55 0 0 - 110 0 110 110
1=Low 2=High
concerns
0<18%
Generate profit
70 1 = 18-22% 70 70 - 140 70 70 70
greater than 18%
2=22%andup
0 = No impact
Advance state of
40 1=Some Impact 0 40 - 80 0 80 0
film animation
2 = Great impact
Provide bias for 0 = No potential
10 0 0 - 20 20 10 10
new theme ride 1=Low 2=High
Total weighted score 260 270 - 570 170 490 320
Priority Ranking 5 4 - 1 6 2 3
Project 3 DID NOT meet two of the MUST objectives (meets all safety and environmental standards and
PG/G Rating) due to illegal contents and illicit activities of the film
The purpose of this analysis is to evaluate and rank proposed fund-raising projects based on their
contribution to the class objectives and alignment with the instructor’s ‘must’ and ‘want’ criteria. This case
simulates a project selection process, emphasizing structured decision-making in project management.
2. Evaluation Framework
4. Results Summary
Based on total weighted scores, the ranked results are as follows:
1. Singing for Smiles — 230 points
2. Hoops for Hope — 195 points
3. Hold’em for Hunger — 195 points
4. Build Your Own Box — 170 points
5. Raffle for Life — 160 points
6. Halo for Heroes — 150 points
5. Detailed Justifications
6. Strategic Recommendations
• Focus approval on top-performing projects such as 'Singing for Smiles' and 'Hoops for Hope', which best
combine impact, visibility, and feasibility.
• Encourage projects that blend financial success with educational and community outcomes.
• Retain a balanced portfolio including awareness-driven projects (e.g., 'Build Your Own Box') to support
CSR objectives.