Understanding National Income and GDP
Understanding National Income and GDP
Introductory
Macroeconomics
Road ahead
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GDP is more than a number — it’s the starting point of every macroeconomic decision.
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MEASURING OUTPUT
• Suppose there is a two-firm Steel company (firm 1) Car company (firm 2)
company for the whole economy:
• Steel Company (Firm 1)
Revenue (R) Rs. 100 Revenue (R) Rs. 200
• Car Company (Firm 2)
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GROSS DOMESTIC
PRODUCT (GDP)
1. A Monetary Measure:
3. Nonproduction transaction –
financial transaction
– secondhand sales
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2) Income method
3) Expenditure method
What is spent on making a product is income to those who helped make it.
GDP = Sum of value added at each Farmer sells cotton 100 – 100
stage of production within the domestic Spinner makes
territory of a country. 150 100 50
thread
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140998
1269564 1486874 1560709 1683938
Manufacturing 1367258 5 1903850
Financial, Real Estate and Professional Services 1399529 1465064 1530879 1680031 1867407 2073714 2294787
Public Administration, Defence and Other Services 889203 956385 1025982 1069646 1110794 1203115 1276797
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An important identity:
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Consumption (C)
Definition: The value of all goods and
services bought by households, including:
• Durable goods
last a long time.
Examples: cars, home appliances
• Nondurable goods
last a short time.
Examples: food, clothing
• Services
are intangible items purchased by
consumers.
Examples: dry cleaning, air travel
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0
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2019Q4
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Investment (I)
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
1400000
• Includes:
800000
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2019Q4
change in the value of all firms’ GFCF
inventories
Source: Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
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400000
350000
150000
represent spending on goods and
100000
services. 50000
0
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2019Q4
GFCE
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900000
NX = exports – imports
800000
700000
200000
2011Q1
2011Q2
2011Q3
2011Q4
2012Q1
2012Q2
2012Q3
2012Q4
2013Q1
2013Q2
2013Q3
2013Q4
2014Q1
2014Q2
2014Q3
2014Q4
2015Q1
2015Q2
2015Q3
2015Q4
2016Q1
2016Q2
2016Q3
2016Q4
2017Q1
2017Q2
2017Q3
2017Q4
2018Q1
2018Q2
2018Q3
2018Q4
2019Q1
2019Q2
2019Q3
2019Q4
Export of goods & Services Import of goods & Services
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Few Concepts
Stocks vs. Flows Investment vs. capital
• A stock is a quantity measured at a point in time. Note: Investment is spending on new capital.
• A flow is a quantity measured per unit of time. During 2018: investment = $2 trillion
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GNP – GDP = factor payments from abroad minus factor payments to abroad
• Examples of factor payments: wages, profits, rent, interest and dividends on assets
In your country, which would you want to be bigger: GDP or GNP? Why?
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GNPMP
- NET FACTOR
INCOME FROM
ABROAD GNPFC
NNPMP
GDPMP
INCOME FROM
- NET FACTOR
INCOME FROM
- NET FACTOR
ABROAD
ABROAD
NNPFC
NDPMP GDPFC
NDPFC
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Question 1: What components of GDP (if any) would each of the following transactions affect? Explain.
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Question 2: One day Boris the barber collects $400 for haircuts. Over this day, his
equipment depreciates in value by $50. Of the remaining $350, Boris sends $30 to
the government in sales taxes, takes home $220 in wages, and retains $100 in his
business to add new equipment in the future. From the $220 that Boris takes home,
he pays $70 in income taxes. Based on this information, compute Boris’ contribution
to the following measure of income:
c. National Income
d. Personal Income
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Solution
a. GDP equals the dollar amount Boris collects, which is $400.
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real income: incomes measured in physical terms, that is, in terms of the quantities of
goods and services.
nominal income: income measured in terms of current rupee values.
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Pizzas Books
Quantity Price Quantity Price Real incomes with
Year 0 30 100 4 500 two goods (1 and 2)
Year 1 30 85 5 615
• real GDP
⋇ Sum of quantitates of final goods ⨯ constant (not current) prices
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Real GDP
Year Quantity Price Nominal GDP
(in 2009 price)
2008 10 Rs. 20,000 Rs. 200,000 Rs. 240,000
2009 12 Rs. 24,000 Rs. 288,000 Rs. 288,000
2010 13 Rs. 26,000 Rs. 338,000 Rs. 312,000
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4500000
4000000
3500000
RUPEES CRORE
3000000
2500000
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
QUARTER
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GDP Deflator
,
• In our example – the GDP deflator is = ∗ 100 = 102.27
,
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Nominal
Real GDP GDP Inflation
GDP
(INR) Deflator Rate
(INR)
2015 46,200 46,200 -- NA
2016 51,400 50,000 -- --
2017 58,300 52,000 -- --
• Use your previous answers to compute the GDP deflator in each year.
• Use the GDP deflator to compute the inflation rate from 2015 to 2016 and from 2016 to 2017
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• Over time, relative prices change, so the base year should be updated
periodically.
• In essence, chain-weighted real GDP updates the base year every year, so it
is more accurate than constant-price GDP.
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Factor Market
• HHs sell
• Firms buy
Households Firms
• Sell resources • Buy resources
• Buy products • Sell products
Goods Market
• Firms sell
• HHs buy
Private Savings
Financial Markets
Public Savings
Taxes
Households Government Firms
Investments
Governments
Purchases
Consumption Revenue
Goods and Services
Expenditure
Markets
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• GDP does not account for the black market nor does
it recognize the non-monetary economy (e.g.,
housework, volunteering, etc.).
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Simon Kuznets
Nobel Prize Winner in Economics (1971)
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source: NASA
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