United States

Department of
Agriculture

Foreign
Agricultural
World Agricultural
Service

Circular Series
Production
WAP 6-23
June 2023

Ukraine Wheat: Favorable Conditions across the Steppe Zone Prompt a Yield Increase

Ukraine wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is forecast at 17.5 million metric tons,
up 6 percent from last month, but down 16 percent from last year and 34 percent from the 5-year
average. Yield is forecast at 4.07 tons per hectare, up 6 percent from last month, 3 percent from
last year, and 2 percent above the 5-year average. Harvested area is forecast at 4.3 million hectares
(mha), unchanged from last month, and down 19 percent from last year and 35 percent from the
5-year average.

From an agricultural perspective Ukraine can be divided into 3 zones: Steppe, Forest Steppe, and
Forest Zone (see small insert in the image). Ukraine wheat production is revised up amid favorable
weather across the Steppe Zone, which accounts for about half of Ukraine’s wheat production.
Yield is higher than the 5-year average despite the numerous challenges the Ukraine’s producers
face as a result of the ongoing conflict. As shown by the satellite-derived VIIRS Normalized

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board

 Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), current vegetation conditions are mostly above average
across most of the winter grains producing areas in the Steppe Zone.

Winter wheat, which accounts for about 97 percent of the total wheat production in Ukraine, is
typically planted between early September and mid-November. Harvest generally occurs from
the end of June until mid-August.

In the early morning of June 6, 2023, an explosion caused the collapse of the Kakhovka Dam
located on the Dnipro River in the Kherson oblast in the Steppe zone. Some of the major crops
grown in the region such as wheat and barley are rain-fed. The reservoir, however, feeds a net of
irrigation systems that are used for the irrigation of vegetables, oilseeds, and rice. Initial
examination of satellite imagery shows a relatively minimal impact of the dam collapse on
agricultural lands in the region. USDA is still evaluating the implications of the event on
agriculture in the region. As discussed in the next paragraph, however, the occupied territories are
currently not reflected in any official statistics used to inform USDA’s forecasts. It is, therefore,
expected that the impact of the dam collapse on USDA’s production numbers for Ukraine will be
negligible.

At present, Ukraine can be divided into areas in conflict and areas not in conflict. As elaborated
by USDA’s POST in Ukraine, due to the ongoing war there is neither official nor reliable
information about the status of Ukraine’s agriculture in the conflict zone. As a result, the area and
production data currently provided by POST, Ukraine’s Ministry of Agriculture (MinAg) and the
State Statistical Service of Ukraine, which inform USDA’s forecasts, do not reflect the whole
country. For the MY 2023/24 season the MinAg planted area information for both the MY 2023/24
winter and spring crops excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia,

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 June 2023

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 Luhansk, and Kherson regions. This is based on an official note included in the daily MinAg
planting reports. MinAg also does not include Crimea. USDA crop production estimates for
Ukraine include estimated output from Crimea. Crimean area and production numbers are
extracted from the agricultural crop reports provided by the Russian Statistical Agency, Rosstat.
(For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Russia Wheat: Production Increase Due to Favorable Weather in the South

Russia wheat production for marketing year 2023/24 is forecast at 85.0 million metric tons (mmt),
up 4 percent from last month, but down 8 percent from last year, and up 7 percent from the 5-year
average. The forecast includes 61.5 mmt of winter wheat and 23.5 mmt of spring wheat. USDA
crop production forecasts for Russia exclude estimated output from Crimea. Total wheat yield is
forecast at 3.09 tons per hectare, up 4 percent from last month, but down 3 percent from last year,
and up 8 percent from the 5-year average. Total harvested area is forecast at 27.5 million hectares
(mha), unchanged from last month and down 5 percent from last year.

Winter wheat typically accounts for about 70 percent of total production, and it is grown primarily
in the European part of Russia. This month, winter wheat production is revised up due to improved
conditions in the Southern District, which accounts for about 43 percent of total wheat production.
Winter wheat across Russia varies in terms of crop development. The crop is at filling, a key yield
formation stage in the more southern districts. Meanwhile, in the Central and the Volga regions, it
is a bit behind at heading or between heading and flowering. European Russia has been getting
mostly above-average precipitation during the months of April and May. This boosted the soil

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 June 2023

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 moisture reserves and provided favorable growing conditions for the winter crops planted in the
region.

Spring wheat, which accounts for about 30 percent of total production, is mainly planted in the
regions bordering Kazakhstan: the Volga, Urals, and Siberia Districts of Russia. Spring wheat
planting typically starts in late April. According to MinAg, as of June 1st, spring wheat has been
planted on an area of 13.2 mha, which is ahead of last year’s pace, when planted area was 11.7
mha during the same time. This season’s planting began under favorable conditions. Dryness and
heat, however, currently threaten the spring crops across the Urals and Siberia. Harvest of spring
wheat will begin in late August.

Area, yield, and production estimates for Russia winter wheat and spring wheat are available on
PSD Online. Select “Downloadable Data Sets” and open the zipped file for “Russia Wheat;
Winter/Spring Area & Production.” (For more information, please contact
[Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 India Wheat: Wheat Estimated at Record Levels

USDA estimates marketing year (MY) 2023/24 India wheat production at a record 113.5 million
metric tons (mmt), up 9 percent from last year. The harvested area is estimated at a record 32.0
million hectares, up 5 percent from last year. Yields are estimated to reach a record of 3.55 metric
tons per hectare despite minor weather events such as heat and hail during the reproductive stage
in February and March. Yield is 3 percent above the 5-year average.

Favorable weather conditions, sufficient soil moisture at planting, and higher minimum support
prices than last year resulted in record planting. The crop progressed from planting to
vegetative/reproductive stages because of ideal weather conditions and adequate reservoir levels.
The heat returned in the northern wheat belt as the crop entered the reproductive stage in late
February. However, temperatures were not as high as last year, and minimal damage occurred.
The India Government’s procurement of wheat is 18 percent higher than MY 2022/23. Farmers
are reporting higher than anticipated yields.

Wheat is grown only in the rabi season. It is planted from early November until January and
harvested from late February until April. (For more information, please contact
[Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Turkey Wheat: Spring Rains Boost Crop Conditions

USDA forecasts Turkey wheat production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 at 19.5 million metric
tons, up 3 percent from last month, 13 percent from last year, and 11 percent above the 5-year
average. Harvested area is estimated at 7.2 million hectares, unchanged from last month, but up 6
percent from last year and 1 percent above the 5-year average. Yield is forecast at a record 2.71
metric tons per hectare, up 3 percent from last month, 7 percent from last year, and 9 percent above
the 5-year average.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 June 2023

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 Turkey’s winter grains experienced historic widespread drought after planting in the Fall 2022,
receiving the lowest cumulative precipitation in 60 years between October 2022 and February
2023. However, spring rains arrived in the second half of March as winter wheat broke dormancy
and have continued to be abundant throughout the spring growing season. Additionally, the arrival
of spring rains followed on the heels of February fertilizer application to wheat, greatly benefiting
plant development.

The satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) time series chart highlights
the overall cropland vegetation response to the improved rainfall, indicating well-above-average
conditions. The NDVI anomaly map also indicates above-average vegetation health in Turkey
croplands, particularly in the major wheat growing regions of Central Anatolia, Marmara, and
Southeast Anatolia, where most of the country’s wheat is grown. With these crop conditions,
industry and government sources expect a substantial production increase over last year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 June 2023

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 The contributions of staff at the USDA-FAS office in Ankara are gratefully acknowledged. (For
more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

European Union Wheat: Favorable Weather Bolsters Bumper Crop Prospects

Wheat production in the European Union (EU) for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 is estimated
at 140.5 million metric tons (mmt), up 1.5 mmt (1 percent) from last month, up 6.2 mmt (5 percent)
from last year, and 6 percent above the 5-year average. Harvested area is estimated at 24.4 million
hectares (mha), unchanged from May, up 0.1 mha from last year, and 2 percent above the 5-year
average. Yield is estimated at 5.75 tons per hectare, 1 percent above last month, and 4 percent
above both last year and the 5-year average.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 June 2023

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 Upward production revisions were made to a number of countries this month. The largest revisions
include an increase in France by 0.6 mmt to 37.2 mmt, a 0.3 mmt increase to Italy, as well as 0.2
mmt increases to Hungary, Spain, and Germany.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 June 2023

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 Conditions during May continued to be favorable across most of Europe for flowering and grainfill
of winter crops. The exception was in Spain and Portugal. Although May rainfall provided limited
relief to long term drought in the Iberian Peninsula, overall conditions remained poor. Satellite-
derived Percent Average Seasonal Greenness (PASG) imagery for the month of May depicts the
positive situation across most of the EU. During May, a blocking high pressure system directed
needed rainfall over southern Europe (but with reports of localized flooding), while northern
Europe dried out, following a wet period in early spring. Extended dryness in northern Europe,
however, could become a concern if the weather pattern does not change. Temperatures were
favorable, with near-average levels almost everywhere in the EU during May, providing normal
growth rates and no early heat damage to crops.

For country-specific area, yield, and production estimates within the European Union (EU), please
go to PSD Online at [Link] and select
“Downloadable Data Sets.” Select the zipped file for “EU Countries Area & Production.”
(For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Mexico Corn: Lowest Summer Planted Area in 5 Years for MY 2022/2023

Mexico’s corn production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is estimated at 26.5 million metric
tons (mmt), down 1.1 mmt from last month (4 percent) and 262,000 mt (1 percent) from MY
2021/22. Harvested area is estimated at 6.9 million hectares (mha), down 300,000 ha from last
month and 193,000 ha (3 percent) from MY 2021/22. Yield is estimated at 3.84 metric tons per
hectare.

Representing about 70 percent of production, the summer corn crop is mostly rainfed. The summer
corn crop was planted from April through August and has completed harvest. The mostly irrigated
minor winter crop was planted from November through February and is now being harvested.

As of April 2023, the Mexico government’s Servicio de Información Agroalimentaria y Pesquera

(SIAP) has reported that 6,989,860 ha of corn was planted for MY 2022/23, with 5,938,302 ha
harvested so far (representing about 84 percent harvested) and 96,248 ha listed as damaged.
Though the winter corn planted area was reported as slightly higher than MY 2021/22, the summer
corn planted area was lower than the previous 5 years due to high input costs. Compared to 2021,
San Luis Potosí and Sonora planted at least 40 percent less summer corn than in 2022. (For more
information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 June 2023

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 Argentina Corn: Production for MY 2022/23 is Down 29 Percent from the Previous Year

Argentina corn production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is estimated at 35.0 million metric
tons, down 5 percent from last month, and down 29 percent from MY 2021/22. Corn yield is
estimated at 5.22 tons per hectare (t/ha), down 5 percent from last month, and down 25 percent
from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 6.7 million hectares, unchanged from last month, and
down 6 percent from last year.

Yield is down month-to-month due to continued heat and dryness during the growing season,
caused by a third consecutive year of La Niña. Harvest for corn is ongoing and, according to the
Bolsa Cereales in Buenos Aires, about 30 percent of the crop has been harvested. As of June 1st,
yield is reported at 4.64 t/ha. Based on previous Bolsa Cereales reports, yield typically drops as
harvest continues since the early planted corn is usually higher yielding than the late-planted corn.
Harvest will continue until early August. (For more information, please contact
[Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Ukraine Corn: Farmers Plant More Despite the Ongoing Conflict

Ukraine corn production for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is forecast at 24.5 million metric tons,
up 11 percent from last month but down 9 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 6.45 tons per
hectare, essentially unchanged from last month, and down 3 percent from last year. Harvested area
is forecast at 3.8 million hectares (mha), up 12 percent from last month, but down 6 percent from
last year.

According to the Ministry of Agriculture’s operational planting progress data, planting is almost
complete. As of June 1st, 3.9 mha have been planted. Despite the numerous challenges the conflict
imposed on farmers, the current corn planted area is higher by 8 percent relative to the initially
intended acreage of 3.6 mha. Abandonment for corn is overall low (typically less than 2 percent).
USDA’s assumption is that areas that have been planted are likely to be harvested, so normal
abandonment is expected. Yield is essentially unchanged month-to-month. The critical time for
yield development occurs during July and early August, when crop reaches the key silking and
grain-fill stages. Harvest begins in early September.

In the early morning of June 6, 2023, an explosion caused the collapse of the Kakhovka dam
located on the Dnipro River in the Kherson Oblast in the Steppe Zone. USDA is still evaluating
the implications of the dam collapse on agriculture in the region. As discussed in the next
paragraph, the occupied territories are currently not reflected in any official statistics used to
inform USDA’s forecasts. Furthermore, corn production in Kherson is minimal and amounts for

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 June 2023

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 only 1 percent of the total Ukraine corn production. It is, therefore, expected that the impact of the
dam collapse on USDA’s corn production numbers for Ukraine will be negligible.

At present, Ukraine can be divided into areas in conflict and areas not in conflict. As elaborated
by USDA’s POST in Ukraine, due to the ongoing war there is no official and reliable information
about the status of Ukraine’s agriculture in the conflict zone. As a result, area and production data
currently provided by POST, Ukraine’s Ministry of Agriculture (MinAg) and the State Statistical
Service of Ukraine, which inform USDA’s forecasts, do not reflect the whole country. For the MY
2023/24 season the MinAg planted area information for both the MY 2023/24 winter and spring
crops excludes the temporarily occupied territory of the Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Luhansk and
Kherson regions. This is based on an official note included in the daily MinAg planting reports.
MinAg also does not include Crimea. USDA crop production estimates for Ukraine include
estimated output from Crimea. Crimean area and production numbers are extracted from the
agricultural crop reports provided by the Russian Statistical Agency, Rosstat. (For more
information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Brazil Corn: Bumper Crop Revised Upward for MY 2022/23

Brazil total corn production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is estimated at a record 132.0 million
metric tons (mmt), up 2.0 mmt (2 percent) from last month, and larger than the MY 2021/22 crop
by 16.0 mmt (14 percent). Total harvested area, for all three corn crops, is unchanged from last
month at 22.7 million hectares (mha), up 0.9 mha (4 percent) from the previous year. Yield is
estimated at a record of 5.81 tons per hectare, 2 percent higher than last month and 9 percent above
the previous year’s crop.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 June 2023

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 The first-season crop (22 percent of total production) continues to be harvested with 83 percent of
the corn collected, slightly under the last two years at this point in time. Reported production is
estimated at 27.0 mmt on an area of 4.4 mha according to the Brazilian government’s Companhia
Nacional de Abastecimento (CONAB).

The second-season crop (77 percent of total production) is now beginning harvest for the earlier
planted crop. About 34 percent of the crop is in mature stages and 48 percent in grain-filling stages.
Rainfall has petered out in the center-west and the drier weather helps the maturing corn, although
some rain is still necessary for the later planted crop. Rainfall in late May for the southeastern
states (Paraná, São Paulo, and Mato Grosso do Sul) broke the dry spell during the month of May
and was critical as the crop was mostly in sensitive reproductive stages. The satellite-derived
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) displays better crop conditions compared to last
year in the center-west states. The Instituto Mato-Grossense de Economia Agropecuária (IMEA)
reports a bumper crop in the state of Mato Grosso of almost 49 mmt (roughly half of safrinha
production). The second corn crop will be harvested from June to September. (For more
information, please contact [Link]-Pauletti@[Link].)

China Cotton: Production Forecast Down on Lower-Than-Normal Temperatures

USDA forecasts China’s marketing year (MY) 2023/24 cotton production at 27.0 million 480-
pound bales (5.88 million metric tons), down 2 percent or half a million bales from last month,
down 3.7 million bales or 12 percent from last year and down 5 percent from the 5-year average
of 28.5 million bales. Harvested area is forecast at 2.9 million hectares (mha), down 2 percent from
last month, down 6 percent from last year, and down 10 percent from the 5-year average of 3.24
mha. Planted area is forecast lower than expected due to lower expected area in Xinjiang. Yield is
forecast close to the long-term trend value at 2,027 kilograms per hectare (kg/ha), slightly down
from last month, down 6 percent from last year’s record yield of 2,156 kg/ha, but 6 percent above
the 5-year average of 1,921 kg/ha.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 June 2023

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 Yields are projected down based on the unfavorable cold and cloudy May weather in Xinjiang,
which likely reduced the benefit of early planting and crop establishment. However, potential
yields at the national level are expected near the long-term trend due to the increasing quantity of
cotton produced in Xinjiang province, where yield is nearly twice that realized elsewhere in the
country. Approximately 90 percent of total China cotton is now produced in Xinjiang province.

The typical China cotton growing season is April to October. In Xinjiang, where most of the cotton
is produced, planting starts in April and ends in mid-May. While in the Yellow River and Yangtze
River basins, planting begins in late April and extends through May. Thus far, the start of MY
2023/24 season is characterized by favorable soil moisture conditions and good irrigation water
availability. However, the major concern is lower-than-expected cool temperatures that prevailed
in April and May in Xinjiang. The cold weather conditions likely resulted in delayed planting and
slow crop establishment, and in some regions, may have resulted in significant replanting as well.
Cotton is sensitive to cool temperatures, which affect yield potential.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 June 2023

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 Xinjiang cotton farmers continue to be encouraged by the government’s maintenance of a target
price-based cotton subsidy. On March 26, 2020, China’s National Development and Reform
Commission (NDRC) published that the target price-based subsidy will continue through 2023.
The projected year-to-year cotton national area decline is due to anticipated decreases in both
Xinjiang and in Eastern China (the Yangtze and Yellow River basins). Xinjiang’s yields were
extraordinarily high in MY 2022/23, and much of China’s projected decline in production is driven
by the expected decline in Xinjiang’s potential yields and the modest reduction in planted area.
(For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

India Cotton: Production Revised Up due to Higher Arrivals in MY 2022/23

USDA estimates marketing year (MY) 2022/23 cotton production for India at 25.0 million 480-
pound bales, up 2 percent from MY 2021/22. The harvested area is estimated at 13.0 million
hectares, unchanged from last month and up 5 percent from the previous year. Yields are expected
to reach 419 kilograms per hectare, down 2 percent from MY 2021/22.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 June 2023

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 Market arrivals have been slow since the market opened on October 1. Because of these slow
arrivals, there has been significant uncertainty regarding the level of India’s production this year.
Trade sources estimated that farmers held back 30 percent to 40 percent of their crop in anticipation
of higher prices. Recently, cotton seed arrivals in late May were five times the normal for May,
indicating that farmers' hopes for higher prices may have faded. Recent photos of warehouses
indicate large arrivals of cotton. This is likely due to the southwest monsoon approaching. Farmers
plant the new crop after the monsoon has started.

Cotton is grown mostly in the kharif season from May to October and harvesting can continue into
February. (For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Argentina Soybeans: MY 2022/23 Production Down 43 Percent from the Previous Year

Argentina soybean production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is estimated at 25.0 million metric
tons (mmt), down 7 percent from last month, and down 43 percent from MY 2021/22. Soybean
yield is estimated at 1.67 tons per hectare (t/ha), down 7 percent from last month, and down 40
percent from MY 2021/22. Harvested area is estimated at 15.0 million hectares, unchanged from
last month, and down 6 percent from MY 2021/22.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 June 2023

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 Yield is down month-to-month because of dry and hot conditions throughout the growing season
caused by the third consecutive year of La Niña. Harvest is ongoing and yield is below average.
As of June 1st, the Bolsa Cereales in Buenos Aires reported that harvest was 87 percent complete,
and country-level yield was at 1.50 t/ha. Additionally, reports published by the Argentina Ministry
of Agriculture dropped soybean production month-to month. Harvest will continue until early
June. (For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 19 June 2023

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 Brazil Soybeans: Larger Area Boosts Production for MY 2022/23

Brazil soybean production for marketing year (MY) 2022/23 is estimated at a 156.0 million metric
tons (mmt), higher by 1.0 mmt (1 percent) from last month, and higher by 25.5 mmt (20 percent)
from MY 2021/22. Harvested area is estimated at a 43.9 million hectares (mha), 0.2 mha (less than
1 percent) higher from last month and up 2.3 mha (6 percent) from the previous season. The yield
remains unchanged from last month at 3.55 tons per hectare (t/ha), up 13 percent from the previous
year.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 20 June 2023

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 The soybean harvest approaches completion nationally with over 99 percent harvested at the end
of May. Harvest reports indicate month-to-month yield increases for the center-west states, the
largest gains being in Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul. State reporting from the Federação
da Agricultura e Pecuária do Mato Grosso do Sul (FAMASUL) reports a 1.6 mmt rise in
production from their initial estimate.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 21 June 2023

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 The bumper crop this season was achieved through a combination of several factors: improved
seed varieties, crop management practices, and exceptionally favorable weather almost
everywhere. Records yields were achieved in several states. The one exception was the state of
Rio Grande do Sul where yield was reduced by almost 40 percent from initial expectations due to
dry conditions in western regions of the state. Nevertheless, the overall yield for the state was
roughly 60 percent above the previous year because northeastern regions in Rio Grande do Sul
achieved higher yields. (For more information, please contact [Link]-Pauletti@[Link].)

European Union Rapeseed: Favorable Weather Raises Crop Expectations

European Union (EU) rapeseed production for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 is forecast at 21.0
million metric tons (mmt), up 0.5 mmt or 2 percent above last month, and 1.5 mmt or 7 percent

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 June 2023

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 above last year. Total EU rapeseed production is forecast up 21 percent from the 5-year average.
Harvested area is estimated at 6.1 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last month, up 2 percent
from last year, and 8 percent above the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at 3.46 tons per hectare
(t/ha), up 2 percent from last month, 5 percent above last year, and 12 percent above the 5-year
average.

Long-term favorable weather, with both rain and sun across the rapeseed belt of northern Europe
and also in central and southeast Europe, has pushed yield potential higher. After a wet early
spring, dryness in May facilitated reproduction and early podfill. A bumper crop is currently
expected; however, there are concerns that the short-term dryness trend in France and other areas
of northern Europe could continue and become more entrenched. If this occurs, smaller pods and
seeds would lower yield.

Production was revised up in both France and Romania, each by 0.25 mmt to account for the
beneficial spring weather. France is forecast to be the EU’s largest rapeseed producer in MY
2023/24, with 4.8 mmt. Germany is the second-largest producer, with production unchanged this
month, with harvest forecast at 4.5 mmt. Romania, not a traditional rapeseed producer prior to 10
years ago, is forecast to harvest a record crop of 2.2 mmt in MY 2023/24. Romania’s production
is fourth highest in the EU, behind Poland’s forecast crop of 3.4 mmt. Harvest of rapeseed occurs
in late June and July.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 23 June 2023

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 For country-specific area, yield, and production estimates within the European Union (EU), please
go to PSD Online at [Link] and select
“Downloadable Data Sets.” Select the zipped file for “EU Countries Area & Production.”
(For more information, please contact [Link]@[Link].)

Malaysia Palm Oil: Production Reduced Due to Extended Wetness in MY 2022/23

USDA estimates marketing year (MY) 2022/23 Malaysia palm oil production at 18.6 million
metric tons, down 2 percent from last month, but up 2 percent from MY 2021/22. Harvested area
is estimated at 5.50 million hectares, unchanged from last month, but up 1 percent from the
previous year. Yield is estimated at 3.38 tons per hectare, down 2 percent from last month, but up
2 percent from previous year.

Malaysia palm oil monthly production was off to a good start, benefiting from favorable weather
and an improved migrant laborer situation. USDA begins its MY 2022/2023 for Malaysia palm oil
in October 2022. By February 2023, the aggregated monthly crude palm oil (CPO) production was
up 8 percent from last year, according to Malaysia Palm Oil Board (MPOB) estimates. In March
and April, however, the MPOB reported that CPO was down from last year’s monthly output totals
by 9 and 18 percent, respectively. Although observed rainfall since December has been higher-
than-average, the significant monthly CPO declines in March and April were attributed to extended
heavy rains that impeded harvest operations and logistics, most notably in Peninsular Malaysia’s
main producing palm oil states of Johor, Pahang, and Perak. Collectively these three states produce
over 40 percent of Malaysia total palm oil.

Johor experienced the highest recorded 4-day rainfall from February 28 to March 3, 2023, since
record keeping began in 1991. This rain event led to all districts in Johor to become flooded as

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 24 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 dams had to release water to keep from overflowing, according to local reports. March CPO
monthly output in Johor, Pahang and Perak was down 25 percent, 19 percent, and 16 percent,
respectively from last year. Continued heavy rains into April compounded the issue, where April’s
monthly CPO for Johor, Pahang and Perak was down 30 percent, 27 percent, and 26 percent,
respectively from last year.

According to the MPOB, aggregated monthly crude palm oil output from October 2022 to April
2023 is 22 percent below the 5-year average. (For more information, please contact
[Link]@[Link].)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 25 June 2023

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 World Agricultural Production
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Global Market Analysis
International Production Assessment Division (IPAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
[Link]
Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of
agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign
source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign
area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and
are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area,
yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within
the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates
released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-584), June 9, 2023.

The FAS International Production Assessment Division prepared this report. The next issue of
World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, July 12, 2023.

Conversion Table

Metric tons to bushels

Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437

Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825
Barley = MT * 45.929625
Oats = MT * 68.894438

Metric tons to 480-lb bales

Cotton = MT * 4.592917

Metric tons to hundredweight

Rice = MT * 22.04622

Area & weight

1 hectare = 2.471044 acres
1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 26 June 2023

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 For further information, contact:
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service
Global Market Analysis
International Production Assessment Division
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051

Telephone: (202) 720-1662 Fax: (202) 720-1158

GENERAL INFORMATION

Senior Director Ronald Frantz 202-720-4056 [Link]@[Link]

Director Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [Link]@[Link]
Administrative Assistant Vacant
USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Vacant
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [Link]@[Link]
Sr. Analyst/ Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [Link]@[Link]
Archives Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [Link]@[Link]
GIS Mapping/Imagery Analyst Lisa Colson 202-720-6652 [Link]@[Link]
WAP Coordinators Ifeoma Collins 202-720-0240 [Link]@[Link]
Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [Link]@[Link]

COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION

South America, Argentina, Venezuela, Katie McGaughey 202-720-9210 [Link]@[Link]

and Colombia
Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [Link]@[Link]
and North Africa
Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Moldova, Iliana Mladenova, Ph.D. 202-690-2315 [Link]@[Link]
and Belarus
South Asia, Sri Lanka Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [Link]@[Link]
Bangladesh, India, and Nepal
East Asia, China, and Japan Dath Mita, Ph.D. 202-720-7339 [Link]@[Link]
Sub-Saharan Africa, Curt Reynolds, Ph.D. 202-690-0134 [Link]@[Link]
Nigeria and South Africa
S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [Link]@[Link]
Cambodia and Vietnam
Central America, Mexico, Ifeoma Collins 202-720-0240 [Link]@[Link]
and Western United States
Australia, New Zealand, Pakistan Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [Link]@[Link]
Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands
Middle East, Central Asia, Afghanistan Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [Link]@[Link]
Iraq, Iran, and Syria
Canada, Caribbean, Aaron Mulhollen 202-690-0131 [Link]@[Link]
Eastern United States
Brazil Sunita Yadav-Pauletti, Ph.D. [Link]-pauletti@[Link]

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 27 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)
database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply
and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

World Agricultural Production

Current: [Link]
Archive: [Link]
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) publishes a monthly report on crop acreage, yield and production in major
countries worldwide. Sources include reporting from FAS’s worldwide offices, official statistics of foreign
governments, and analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. The reports reflect official USDA estimates
released in the monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).

World Markets and Trade

Current: [Link]
Archive:
[Link]
rvice&locale=en
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) publishes monthly and quarterly reports which include data on U.S. and
global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in
oilseeds, grains, cotton, livestock and poultry. The reports reflect official USDA estimates released in the monthly
World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE).

Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN)

[Link]
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides timely reports on foreign markets through the Global
Agriculture Information Network (GAIN) database. An average of 2,000 reports are added each year, with reports
going back to 1995. GAIN reports are compiled by FAS’ global market intelligence network, which includes FAS
foreign service officers and locally engaged staff in over 90 overseas offices world-wide. They provide on-the-ground
intelligence, insight, and analysis on nearly 200 countries, delivering information on foreign agricultural markets, crop
conditions, and agro-political dynamics of interest to U.S. agriculture. GAIN reports contain assessments of
commodity and trade issues made by USDA staff and are not necessarily statements of official U.S. government
policy.
Production, Supply and Distribution (PS&D) Online
[Link]
PSD Online is the public repository for USDA’s Official Production, Supply and Distribution forecast data and reports
for key agricultural commodities. PSD Online data are reviewed and updated monthly by an interagency committee
chaired by USDA’s World Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB). The committee consist of representatives from
Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), the Economic Research Service (ERS), the Farm Service Agency (FSA), and the
Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS).

EU Countries and Russia Wheat: Area and Production Estimates

[Link] (click on PSD Datasets)
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides country-level area and production estimates for the nations of
the European Union. For Russia, country-level area and production estimates are provided for Winter and Spring
wheat. These datasets are reviewed and updated monthly by an interagency committee chaired by USDA’s World
Agricultural Outlook Board (WAOB) and can be downloaded through PSD datasets on PSD Online.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 28 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 FAS Reports and Databases:

International Production Assessment (IPAD)

[Link]
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) maintains a dynamic global crop production portal with key information
including World Agricultural Production (WAP) briefs, Commodity Intelligence Reports (CIR), geospatial
applications, crop production maps at a subnational level and crop calendars for the top-20 producing countries.
Additionally, Crop Explorer ([Link] displays rainfall, temperature,
evapotranspiration, soil moisture, snow cover, and vegetation conditions in charts and maps.

USDA and NASA Global Agricultural Monitoring (GLAM)

[Link]
The USDA and NASA Global Agricultural Monitoring (GLAM) system provides near real-time and science quality
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from
the satellites Terra and Aqua. The public can view and retrieve MODIS 8-day composited, global NDVI satellite
imagery and time series data. GLAM was developed by NASA’s Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies
(GIMMS) group for USDA’s Foreign Agricultural Service.

Global Agricultural and Disaster Assessment System (GADAS)

[Link]
USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) provides the Global Agricultural and Disaster Assessment System
(GADAS), a web-based Geographic Information System (GIS) tool which integrates a vast array of highly detailed
earth observation data streams, particularly targeted towards agricultural and disaster assessment analysis. GADAS is
an interactive website which provides analysts with a wide variety of routine geospatial products (maps, charts, tables)
they require for comprehensive situational investigations and recurring assessments.

Export Sales Reporting

[Link]
USDA’s Export Sales Reporting Program monitors U.S. agricultural export sales on a daily and weekly basis. Export
sales reporting provides a constant stream of up-to-date market information for 40 U.S. agricultural commodities sold
abroad. The weekly U.S. Export Sales report is the most currently available source of U.S. exports sales data. The data
is used to analyze overall levels of export demand, determine where markets exit, and assess the relative position of
U.S. commodities in foreign markets.

Global Agricultural Trade System (GATS)

[Link]
The Global Agricultural Trade System (GATS) is a searchable database containing monthly U.S. Census Bureau trade
data organized by agricultural commodity and agricultural related product groups. Trade data is searchable by partner
countries and partner groups. Historical U.S. agricultural trade data is available back to 1967. In addition, U.N. trade
statistics (UN Comtrade) may be queried through GATS. UN trade data is available for nearly 200 countries or areas,
dating from the inception of the Harmonized System (HS) of trade codes in 1989 to present. The database is
continuously updated. U.S. trade data is updated monthly according to the U.S. Census Bureau’s reporting system.
UN Comtrade data are updated in GATS after nationally submitted data to the UN are standardized by the UN
Statistical Division and added to the UN Comtrade database.

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):
[Link]
Economic Research Service:
[Link]
National Agricultural Statistics Service:
[Link]

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 29 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 01 World Crop Production Summary
Million Metric Tons
World Total North North North Former Former Europea Asia Asia Asia Asia Asia South South Selected Selected Selected All
- Foreign America America America Soviet Soviet n (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) (WAP) America America Other Other Other Others
Commodity
none none United Canada Mexico Russia Ukraine none China India Indo- Paki- Thai- Argen- Brazil Aus- South Turkey none
- - States - - - - - - - nesia stan land tina - tralia Africa - -

---Million metric tons---

Wheat
2021/22 780.2 735.4 44.8 22.4 3.3 75.2 33.0 nr 136.9 109.6 0.0 27.5 0.0 22.2 7.7 36.2 2.3 16.0 243.2
2022/23 prel. 788.5 743.6 44.9 33.8 3.6 92.0 20.9 nr 137.7 104.0 0.0 26.4 0.0 12.6 10.6 39.0 2.1 17.3 243.7
2023/24 proj.
May 789.8 744.6 45.2 37.0 3.3 81.5 16.5 nr 140.0 110.0 0.0 26.8 0.0 19.5 10.0 29.0 2.0 19.0 250.0
Jun 800.2 754.9 45.3 37.0 3.3 85.0 17.5 nr 140.0 113.5 0.0 26.8 0.0 19.5 10.0 29.0 2.0 19.5 251.8

Coarse Grains
2021/22 1,505.0 1,107.3 397.7 25.1 32.8 38.5 53.5 nr 280.9 51.4 12.7 11.0 5.4 59.2 120.6 19.2 16.6 11.6 368.8
2022/23 prel. 1,443.1 1,084.6 358.5 30.5 32.4 44.1 34.1 nr 285.5 54.5 12.9 9.9 5.3 43.7 136.6 18.7 17.4 14.8 344.3
2023/24 proj.
May 1,509.5 1,107.5 402.0 28.3 33.2 42.2 28.7 nr 288.3 53.3 13.1 11.0 5.5 62.6 134.3 13.7 17.4 16.8 359.1
Jun 1,513.3 1,111.3 402.0 28.3 33.2 42.3 31.7 nr 288.3 52.9 13.1 11.0 5.6 62.6 134.3 13.7 17.4 17.0 359.9

Rice, Milled
2021/22 514.0 507.9 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 129.5 34.4 9.3 19.9 0.8 7.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 155.7
2022/23 prel. 512.5 507.4 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 nr 145.9 136.0 34.0 5.5 20.2 0.8 6.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 156.5
2023/24 proj.
May 520.5 514.4 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 133.0 34.5 9.0 20.5 0.8 6.8 0.5 0.0 0.6 158.9
Jun 520.5 514.4 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.0 nr 149.0 134.0 34.5 9.0 19.7 0.8 6.8 0.5 0.0 0.6 158.7

Total Grains
2021/22 2,799.2 2,350.6 448.6 47.5 36.2 114.4 86.6 nr 566.8 290.4 47.1 47.8 25.2 82.1 135.7 56.0 18.9 28.1 767.8
2022/23 prel. 2,744.1 2,335.6 408.5 64.4 36.1 136.7 55.0 nr 569.2 294.5 46.9 41.8 25.5 57.0 154.0 58.0 19.5 32.6 744.5
2023/24 proj.
May 2,819.8 2,366.5 453.3 65.3 36.7 124.3 45.2 nr 577.3 296.3 47.6 46.9 26.0 82.9 151.1 43.2 19.4 36.4 768.0
Jun 2,834.0 2,380.5 453.5 65.3 36.7 127.9 49.2 nr 577.3 300.4 47.6 46.9 25.3 82.9 151.1 43.2 19.4 37.1 770.3

Oilseeds
2021/22 610.5 479.1 131.4 20.1 0.9 23.1 24.3 nr 62.1 43.2 14.3 3.4 1.0 49.7 135.5 8.7 3.2 3.4 86.5
2022/23 prel. 627.4 501.5 125.9 25.6 0.9 26.3 18.8 nr 68.5 41.7 14.8 2.3 1.0 31.1 161.5 10.0 3.7 4.0 91.2
2023/24 proj.
May 671.2 538.4 132.8 26.9 0.8 26.1 19.6 nr 67.7 42.4 14.9 3.1 1.0 53.7 168.5 7.1 3.8 3.3 99.4
Jun 671.4 538.2 133.2 26.9 0.8 26.1 19.6 nr 67.2 42.4 14.9 3.3 1.0 53.7 168.5 6.7 3.8 3.3 99.8

Cotton
2021/22 115.8 98.3 17.5 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 26.8 24.4 0.0 6.0 0.0 1.5 11.7 5.9 0.1 3.8 15.2
2022/23 prel. 116.3 101.8 14.5 0.0 1.6 0.0 0.0 1.6 30.7 25.0 0.0 3.9 0.0 1.2 13.2 5.5 0.1 4.9 14.2
2023/24 proj.
May 115.7 100.2 15.5 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 27.5 25.5 0.0 5.3 0.0 1.3 13.3 5.8 0.1 3.5 15.2
Jun 116.7 100.2 16.5 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 27.0 25.5 0.0 5.9 0.0 1.3 13.3 5.8 0.1 3.5 15.1

1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 30 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 221.88 220.60 221.38 221.88 3.52 3.57 3.57 3.61 780.25 788.50 789.76 800.19 10.42 1.32 11.69 1.48
United States 15.03 14.36 15.01 15.01 2.98 3.13 3.01 3.02 44.80 44.90 45.16 45.32 0.16 0.36 0.42 0.93
Total Foreign 206.85 206.24 206.37 206.87 3.56 3.61 3.61 3.65 735.44 743.60 744.61 754.87 10.26 1.38 11.27 1.52
none
European Union 24.28 24.35 24.43 24.43 5.69 5.52 5.69 5.75 138.24 134.34 139.00 140.50 1.50 1.08 6.16 4.58
United Kingdom 1.79 1.81 1.83 1.83 7.81 8.59 8.47 8.58 13.99 15.54 15.50 15.70 0.20 1.29 0.16 1.03
Serbia 0.60 0.63 0.63 0.63 5.75 4.93 5.30 5.71 3.44 3.11 3.34 3.60 0.26 7.78 0.49 15.76
China 23.57 23.52 23.60 23.60 5.81 5.86 5.93 5.93 136.95 137.72 140.00 140.00 0.00 0.00 2.28 1.65
South Asia
India 31.13 30.46 31.50 32.00 3.52 3.41 3.49 3.55 109.59 104.00 110.00 113.50 3.50 3.18 9.50 9.13
Pakistan 9.17 9.00 9.00 9.00 3.00 2.93 2.98 2.98 27.46 26.40 26.81 26.81 0.00 0.00 0.41 1.55
Afghanistan 2.05 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.45 2.05 2.18 2.18 5.02 4.50 4.80 4.80 0.00 0.00 0.30 6.67
Nepal 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.72 2.90 2.92 2.92 2.92 2.08 2.10 2.10 2.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 27.63 29.00 27.50 27.50 2.72 3.17 2.96 3.09 75.16 92.00 81.50 85.00 3.50 4.29 -7.00 -7.61
Russia Winter 15.22 16.30 15.00 15.00 3.43 4.17 3.87 4.10 52.19 68.00 58.00 61.50 3.50 6.03 -6.50 -9.56
Russia Spring 12.41 12.70 12.50 12.50 1.85 1.89 1.88 1.88 22.96 24.00 23.50 23.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 -2.08
Ukraine 7.41 5.30 4.30 4.30 4.45 3.94 3.84 4.07 33.01 20.90 16.50 17.50 1.00 6.06 -3.40 -16.27
Kazakhstan 12.72 12.81 12.50 12.50 0.93 1.28 1.12 1.12 11.81 16.40 14.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 -2.40 -14.65
Uzbekistan 1.24 1.40 1.40 1.40 4.83 4.42 4.64 4.64 5.99 6.19 6.50 6.50 0.00 0.00 0.31 4.99
Belarus 0.65 0.68 0.68 0.68 3.54 3.48 3.38 3.38 2.30 2.35 2.30 2.30 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -2.13
Canada 9.20 10.08 10.60 10.60 2.44 3.35 3.49 3.49 22.42 33.82 37.00 37.00 0.00 0.00 3.18 9.39
South America
Argentina 6.55 5.50 6.50 6.50 3.38 2.28 3.00 3.00 22.15 12.55 19.50 19.50 0.00 0.00 6.95 55.38
Brazil 2.74 3.09 3.30 3.30 2.81 3.43 3.03 3.03 7.70 10.60 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 -0.60 -5.66
Australia 12.73 13.00 12.50 12.50 2.85 3.00 2.32 2.32 36.24 39.00 29.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 -25.64
Africa
Egypt 1.40 1.45 1.35 1.35 6.43 6.41 6.42 6.42 9.00 9.30 8.67 8.67 0.00 0.00 -0.63 -6.77
Morocco 2.86 2.50 2.55 2.55 2.64 1.08 1.49 1.49 7.54 2.70 3.80 3.80 0.00 0.00 1.10 40.74
Algeria 2.08 2.08 2.08 2.08 1.20 1.78 1.30 1.30 2.50 3.70 2.70 2.70 0.00 0.00 -1.00 -27.03
Ethiopia 1.95 2.30 2.50 2.50 2.83 3.04 3.00 3.00 5.52 7.00 7.50 7.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 7.14
Middle East
Turkey 7.05 6.80 7.20 7.20 2.27 2.54 2.64 2.71 16.00 17.25 19.00 19.50 0.50 2.63 2.25 13.04
Iran 6.00 6.20 6.20 6.20 2.00 2.13 2.34 2.34 12.00 13.20 14.50 14.50 0.00 0.00 1.30 9.85
Iraq 2.00 2.00 2.20 2.20 1.75 1.50 1.91 1.91 3.50 3.00 4.20 4.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 40.00
Syria 1.57 1.50 1.20 1.20 1.25 1.40 2.33 2.00 1.95 2.10 2.80 2.40 -0.40 -14.29 0.30 14.29
Mexico 0.55 0.59 0.55 0.55 6.00 6.07 6.00 6.00 3.28 3.57 3.30 3.30 0.00 0.00 -0.27 -7.61
Others 7.24 7.29 7.35 7.35 2.85 2.78 2.76 2.79 20.61 20.24 20.29 20.49 0.20 0.99 0.25 1.22

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 31 June 2023
Global Market Analysis
 Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 345.20 336.33 337.94 338.65 4.36 4.29 4.47 4.47 1,504.97 1,443.08 1,509.53 1,513.29 3.77 0.25 70.21 4.87
United States 38.34 35.39 37.59 37.59 10.37 10.13 10.69 10.69 397.71 358.47 402.01 402.01 0.00 0.00 43.55 12.15
Total Foreign 306.86 300.94 300.34 301.06 3.61 3.60 3.69 3.69 1,107.26 1,084.62 1,107.51 1,111.28 3.77 0.34 26.66 2.46
none
China 45.77 45.52 45.44 45.44 6.14 6.27 6.35 6.35 280.85 285.50 288.30 288.30 0.00 0.00 2.80 0.98
European Union 27.74 26.76 26.73 26.73 5.58 5.00 5.48 5.49 154.77 133.84 146.40 146.65 0.25 0.17 12.81 9.57
United Kingdom 1.43 1.34 1.32 1.32 5.88 6.44 6.29 6.29 8.41 8.64 8.33 8.33 0.00 0.00 -0.31 -3.61
South America
Brazil 23.37 24.40 24.77 24.77 5.16 5.60 5.42 5.42 120.62 136.60 134.33 134.33 0.00 0.00 -2.28 -1.67
Argentina 9.84 9.48 9.38 9.38 6.01 4.61 6.67 6.67 59.16 43.71 62.58 62.58 0.00 0.00 18.87 43.18
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 14.01 13.60 13.55 13.55 2.75 3.25 3.11 3.12 38.54 44.13 42.15 42.25 0.10 0.24 -1.88 -4.26
Ukraine 8.66 6.23 5.52 5.92 6.18 5.47 5.20 5.35 53.51 34.06 28.67 31.67 3.00 10.46 -2.39 -7.00
Kazakhstan 2.63 2.63 2.55 2.55 1.43 1.79 1.72 1.72 3.76 4.71 4.39 4.39 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -6.81
Belarus 0.99 1.03 1.05 1.05 3.05 3.11 3.09 3.09 3.00 3.20 3.23 3.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.94
Africa
Nigeria 13.70 13.50 13.40 13.40 1.56 1.59 1.54 1.54 21.40 21.51 20.70 20.70 0.00 0.00 -0.81 -3.75
South Africa 3.19 3.18 3.20 3.20 5.22 5.48 5.43 5.43 16.64 17.44 17.37 17.37 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.37
Tanzania 5.74 5.30 5.30 5.30 1.47 1.36 1.36 1.36 8.45 7.23 7.23 7.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burkina Faso 4.20 4.24 4.20 4.20 1.00 1.16 1.13 1.13 4.20 4.92 4.75 4.75 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -3.49
Ethiopia 5.60 5.64 5.65 5.65 3.10 3.19 3.24 3.24 17.37 17.95 18.30 18.30 0.00 0.00 0.35 1.95
Egypt 1.16 1.16 1.18 1.18 7.13 7.13 7.15 7.15 8.30 8.30 8.46 8.46 0.00 0.00 0.16 1.93
Mali 5.16 4.80 4.80 4.80 1.23 1.49 1.42 1.42 6.34 7.15 6.80 6.80 0.00 0.00 -0.35 -4.87
India 23.35 23.80 23.84 23.84 2.20 2.29 2.24 2.22 51.39 54.53 53.30 52.89 -0.41 -0.77 -1.64 -3.01
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.00 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.28 12.70 12.90 13.10 13.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.55
Philippines 2.56 2.50 2.57 2.57 3.26 3.32 3.27 3.27 8.34 8.30 8.40 8.40 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.20
Vietnam 0.90 0.87 0.83 0.83 4.92 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.45 4.30 4.20 4.20 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -2.33
Thailand 1.23 1.21 1.23 1.28 4.36 4.35 4.44 4.35 5.35 5.25 5.45 5.55 0.10 1.83 0.30 5.71
Mexico 8.88 8.66 9.04 9.04 3.69 3.74 3.68 3.68 32.79 32.35 33.24 33.24 0.00 0.00 0.89 2.75
Canada 5.91 5.74 5.22 5.22 4.25 5.32 5.43 5.43 25.12 30.54 28.35 28.35 0.00 0.00 -2.19 -7.17
Australia 6.69 5.74 5.58 5.58 2.87 3.25 2.46 2.46 19.22 18.67 13.74 13.74 0.00 0.00 -4.93 -26.38
Middle East
Turkey 4.46 4.55 4.56 4.56 2.60 3.25 3.68 3.73 11.58 14.77 16.77 16.97 0.20 1.19 2.20 14.89
Iran 1.91 1.86 1.86 1.86 2.16 2.38 2.48 2.38 4.12 4.42 4.62 4.42 -0.20 -4.33 0.00 -0.02
Others 73.87 73.28 73.61 73.88 1.72 1.63 1.69 1.69 126.90 119.72 124.37 125.09 0.73 0.58 5.38 4.49

World and Selected Countries and Regions; Coarse Grain includes: Barley, Corn, Millet, Mixed Grains, Oats, Rye and Sorghum

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 32 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 207.29 201.19 203.03 203.74 5.88 5.72 6.01 6.00 1,218.70 1,150.73 1,219.63 1,222.77 3.14 0.26 72.04 6.26
United States 34.53 32.05 34.03 34.03 11.09 10.88 11.39 11.39 382.89 348.75 387.75 387.75 0.00 0.00 39.00 11.18
Total Foreign 172.76 169.14 168.99 169.71 4.84 4.74 4.92 4.92 835.81 801.98 831.88 835.02 3.14 0.38 33.04 4.12
none
China 43.32 43.07 43.00 43.00 6.29 6.44 6.51 6.51 272.55 277.20 280.00 280.00 0.00 0.00 2.80 1.01
South America
Brazil 21.80 22.70 22.90 22.90 5.32 5.81 5.63 5.63 116.00 132.00 129.00 129.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 -2.27
Argentina 7.10 6.70 7.00 7.00 6.97 5.22 7.71 7.71 49.50 35.00 54.00 54.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 54.29
Bolivia 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 2.60 2.64 2.70 2.70 1.13 1.15 1.18 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.17
European Union 9.23 8.87 8.65 8.65 7.73 5.97 7.43 7.43 71.37 52.97 64.30 64.30 0.00 0.00 11.33 21.38
Africa
South Africa 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 5.38 5.67 5.60 5.60 16.14 17.00 16.80 16.80 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -1.18
Nigeria 6.00 5.80 5.70 5.70 2.12 2.20 2.11 2.11 12.75 12.74 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 -0.74 -5.77
Ethiopia 2.53 2.55 2.56 2.56 3.72 4.00 4.06 4.06 9.40 10.20 10.40 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.96
Egypt 0.93 0.93 0.95 0.95 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00 7.44 7.44 7.60 7.60 0.00 0.00 0.16 2.15
Tanzania 4.40 4.00 4.00 4.00 1.60 1.48 1.48 1.48 7.04 5.90 5.90 5.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Malawi 1.75 1.75 1.70 1.70 2.62 2.12 2.00 2.00 4.58 3.72 3.40 3.40 0.00 0.00 -0.32 -8.53
Zambia 1.41 1.37 1.15 1.42 2.57 1.94 2.35 2.30 3.62 2.65 2.70 3.26 0.56 20.85 0.61 22.95
Kenya 2.17 1.90 2.00 2.00 1.52 1.53 1.60 1.60 3.30 2.90 3.20 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.30 10.34
Uganda 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.55 2.80 2.80 2.80 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 1.95 1.90 1.80 1.80 1.39 0.76 0.83 0.83 2.72 1.45 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.23
Former Soviet Union - 12
Ukraine 5.49 4.05 3.40 3.80 7.68 6.67 6.47 6.45 42.13 27.00 22.00 24.50 2.50 11.36 -2.50 -9.26
Russia 2.90 2.64 2.80 2.80 5.25 6.00 5.82 5.82 15.23 15.83 16.30 16.30 0.00 0.00 0.47 2.96
South Asia
India 9.96 10.10 10.00 10.00 3.39 3.56 3.43 3.43 33.73 36.00 34.30 34.30 0.00 0.00 -1.70 -4.72
Pakistan 1.65 1.60 1.65 1.65 6.43 5.83 6.36 6.36 10.64 9.33 10.50 10.50 0.00 0.00 1.17 12.53
Nepal 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.82 2.72 2.72 2.72 2.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 3.90 3.95 4.00 4.00 3.26 3.27 3.28 3.28 12.70 12.90 13.10 13.10 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.55
Philippines 2.56 2.50 2.57 2.57 3.26 3.32 3.27 3.27 8.34 8.30 8.40 8.40 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.20
Vietnam 0.90 0.87 0.83 0.83 4.92 4.97 5.06 5.06 4.45 4.30 4.20 4.20 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -2.33
Thailand 1.20 1.18 1.20 1.25 4.42 4.41 4.50 4.40 5.30 5.20 5.40 5.50 0.10 1.85 0.30 5.77
Mexico 7.09 6.90 7.25 7.25 3.77 3.84 3.78 3.78 26.76 26.50 27.40 27.40 0.00 0.00 0.90 3.40
Canada 1.46 1.44 1.40 1.40 9.99 10.07 10.21 10.21 14.61 14.54 14.30 14.30 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -1.64
Turkey 0.54 0.53 0.64 0.64 12.04 12.83 12.81 12.81 6.50 6.80 8.20 8.20 0.00 0.00 1.40 20.59
Others 27.01 26.34 26.34 26.34 2.68 2.56 2.67 2.67 72.38 67.44 70.28 70.26 -0.02 -0.03 2.83 4.19

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 33 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 49.82 47.22 46.47 46.47 2.92 3.22 3.17 3.18 145.40 151.99 147.37 147.98 0.61 0.41 -4.01 -2.64
United States 0.81 0.99 0.97 0.97 3.25 3.85 4.10 4.10 2.62 3.80 3.98 3.98 0.00 0.00 0.19 4.95
Total Foreign 49.01 46.24 45.50 45.50 2.91 3.21 3.15 3.16 142.78 148.20 143.39 144.00 0.61 0.43 -4.20 -2.83
none
European Union 10.30 10.42 10.40 10.40 5.05 4.97 5.06 5.08 52.05 51.79 52.60 52.85 0.25 0.48 1.06 2.05
United Kingdom 1.15 1.10 1.09 1.09 6.05 6.69 6.59 6.59 6.96 7.39 7.15 7.15 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -3.18
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 7.69 7.75 7.50 7.50 2.28 2.77 2.60 2.61 17.51 21.50 19.50 19.60 0.10 0.51 -1.90 -8.84
Ukraine 2.68 1.85 1.80 1.80 3.70 3.34 3.28 3.56 9.92 6.18 5.90 6.40 0.50 8.47 0.22 3.56
Kazakhstan 2.16 2.18 2.10 2.10 1.10 1.51 1.43 1.43 2.37 3.29 3.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 -0.29 -8.73
Belarus 0.35 0.40 0.40 0.40 2.86 2.75 2.75 2.75 1.00 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Azerbaijan 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.38 3.07 2.93 2.93 2.93 1.15 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 3.01 2.64 2.60 2.60 2.32 3.79 3.77 3.77 6.98 9.99 9.80 9.80 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -1.87
Australia 5.10 4.10 4.00 4.00 2.81 3.44 2.50 2.50 14.34 14.10 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 -4.10 -29.08
Middle East
Turkey 3.70 3.80 3.70 3.70 1.22 1.95 2.16 2.22 4.50 7.40 8.00 8.20 0.20 2.50 0.80 10.81
Iran 1.70 1.65 1.65 1.65 1.59 1.82 1.94 1.82 2.70 3.00 3.20 3.00 -0.20 -6.25 0.00 0.00
Iraq 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 1.17 1.13 1.25 1.33 0.70 0.68 0.75 0.80 0.05 6.67 0.12 17.65
Syria 1.44 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.18 0.78 1.11 1.22 0.25 0.70 1.00 1.10 0.10 10.00 0.40 57.14
Africa
Ethiopia 0.96 0.97 0.98 0.98 2.45 2.47 2.46 2.46 2.35 2.40 2.40 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morocco 1.49 1.10 1.20 1.20 1.87 0.64 0.92 0.92 2.78 0.70 1.10 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.40 57.14
Algeria 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.93 1.56 1.00 1.00 0.95 1.60 1.03 1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.58 -35.94
Tunisia 0.28 0.30 0.20 0.20 1.54 1.53 0.85 0.85 0.43 0.46 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.29 -63.04
South Africa 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 3.52 2.99 3.41 3.41 0.33 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.07 24.17
South America
Argentina 1.34 1.57 1.20 1.20 3.96 2.88 3.75 3.75 5.30 4.50 4.50 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uruguay 0.22 0.21 0.19 0.19 4.11 4.25 4.16 4.16 0.92 0.90 0.79 0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -11.93
Brazil 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.13 3.79 3.92 3.96 3.96 0.43 0.48 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.70
India 0.59 0.45 0.74 0.74 2.80 3.02 2.86 2.30 1.66 1.37 2.10 1.69 -0.41 -19.52 0.32 23.36
China 0.51 0.51 0.50 0.50 3.92 3.92 4.00 4.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.35 0.31 0.33 0.33 3.11 2.95 2.92 2.92 1.09 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.05 5.56
Afghanistan 0.04 0.08 0.08 0.08 1.63 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.07 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 1.75 1.74 1.73 1.73 2.32 2.46 2.48 2.49 4.05 4.27 4.27 4.29 0.02 0.47 0.03 0.59

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 34 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 9.63 9.47 9.16 9.16 2.36 2.71 2.54 2.54 22.73 25.62 23.30 23.30 0.00 0.00 -2.33 -9.07
United States 0.26 0.36 0.36 0.36 2.20 2.33 2.39 2.39 0.58 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.06
Total Foreign 9.36 9.11 8.79 8.79 2.37 2.72 2.55 2.55 22.15 24.79 22.43 22.43 0.00 0.00 -2.36 -9.52
none
European Union 2.54 2.37 2.40 2.40 2.95 3.22 3.08 3.08 7.52 7.63 7.40 7.40 0.00 0.00 -0.23 -3.03
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 2.17 2.13 2.10 2.10 1.72 2.11 1.95 1.95 3.73 4.50 4.10 4.10 0.00 0.00 -0.40 -8.89
Ukraine 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.15 2.61 2.60 2.33 2.33 0.48 0.39 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -10.26
Belarus 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 2.33 2.42 2.26 2.26 0.35 0.38 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -6.67
Kazakhstan 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.90 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.18 0.23 0.22 0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.93
Canada 1.21 1.40 1.03 1.03 2.39 3.73 3.56 3.56 2.90 5.23 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 -1.58 -30.16
South America
Argentina 0.35 0.28 0.29 0.29 2.07 2.30 2.14 2.14 0.73 0.65 0.61 0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -5.43
Brazil 0.50 0.50 0.51 0.51 2.27 2.38 2.39 2.39 1.14 1.19 1.22 1.22 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.52
Chile 0.12 0.07 0.10 0.10 4.70 4.38 4.74 4.74 0.58 0.32 0.45 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.14 42.86
Uruguay 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 2.21 2.40 2.24 2.24 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56
Oceania
Australia 0.84 0.80 0.85 0.85 2.06 2.00 1.76 1.76 1.74 1.60 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -6.25
New Zealand 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 6.25 5.67 5.67 5.67 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
China 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.48 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Africa
Algeria 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Morocco 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.33 0.40 0.31 0.31 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -33.33
South Africa 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.64 1.04 1.50 1.50 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 60.71
Other Europe
United Kingdom 0.20 0.17 0.17 0.17 5.62 5.79 5.45 5.45 1.12 1.01 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -10.63
Norway 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 4.29 4.29 4.29 4.29 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Serbia 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.11 2.80 3.00 3.00 0.06 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.02 42.86
Albania 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 2.20 2.20 2.27 2.27 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.03
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 2.82 4.00 3.43 3.43 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -45.45
Turkey 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 2.38 2.38 2.38 2.38 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 2.02 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -10.00
Others 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 1.66 1.66 1.68 1.68 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -6.93

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 35 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 4.03 3.66 3.66 3.66 3.10 3.31 3.28 3.28 12.51 12.11 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 -0.12 -0.98
United States 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.12 2.09 2.26 2.20 2.20 0.25 0.31 0.27 0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -14.74
Total Foreign 3.92 3.53 3.54 3.54 3.13 3.35 3.31 3.31 12.26 11.80 11.73 11.73 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.62
none
European Union 1.93 1.76 1.83 1.83 4.15 4.28 4.23 4.23 8.01 7.54 7.75 7.75 0.00 0.00 0.21 2.84
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 0.99 0.88 0.88 0.88 1.73 2.27 2.17 2.17 1.72 2.00 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -5.00
Belarus 0.33 0.30 0.31 0.31 2.46 2.50 2.52 2.52 0.80 0.75 0.78 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.00
Ukraine 0.18 0.10 0.08 0.08 3.43 2.85 2.88 2.88 0.60 0.29 0.23 0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.06 -19.30
Kazakhstan 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.91 1.76 1.33 1.33 0.04 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -33.33
Turkey 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 2.87 2.91 2.91 2.91 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 0.12 0.15 0.12 0.12 3.21 3.42 3.26 3.26 0.37 0.52 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -27.88
South America
Chile 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 -0.01 -100.00
Argentina 0.12 0.09 0.09 0.09 1.88 1.84 1.83 1.83 0.23 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.13
Other Europe
Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Switzerland 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.50 5.50 5.50 5.50 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Serbia 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 3.80 3.00 3.33 3.33 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.11
Australia 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2.18 2.18 2.20 2.20 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.04

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 36 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 40.75 40.30 41.45 41.44 1.53 1.42 1.50 1.50 62.28 57.23 62.18 62.17 -0.01 -0.02 4.94 8.63
United States 2.63 1.85 2.10 2.10 4.33 2.58 4.35 4.35 11.38 4.77 9.14 9.14 0.00 0.00 4.37 91.70
Total Foreign 38.12 38.45 39.35 39.34 1.34 1.36 1.35 1.35 50.91 52.46 53.04 53.03 -0.01 -0.02 0.57 1.08
none
Africa
Nigeria 5.70 5.70 5.70 5.70 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 6.73 6.74 6.70 6.70 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.62
Ethiopia 1.65 1.66 1.66 1.66 2.70 2.53 2.65 2.65 4.45 4.20 4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.20 4.76
Sudan 6.92 7.00 7.50 7.50 0.51 0.75 0.67 0.67 3.53 5.25 5.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -4.73
Burkina Faso 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 0.87 1.06 1.00 1.00 1.64 2.01 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -5.66
Mali 1.55 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.81 1.05 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.58 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 -0.08 -5.18
Niger 3.52 3.70 3.70 3.70 0.34 0.32 0.51 0.51 1.21 1.20 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.70 58.33
Cameroon 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tanzania 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.08 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Egypt 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 1.32 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.33 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ghana 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 1.05 1.49 1.13 1.13 0.32 0.46 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -24.41
Mozambique 0.25 0.15 0.25 0.25 0.64 1.04 0.64 0.64 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.58
South Africa 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2.78 3.00 3.75 3.75 0.10 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.05 42.86
Mexico 1.40 1.40 1.42 1.42 3.47 3.46 3.38 3.38 4.84 4.85 4.80 4.80 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -1.03
South America
Argentina 0.93 0.85 0.80 0.80 3.68 4.00 4.13 4.13 3.40 3.40 3.30 3.30 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -2.94
Brazil 0.95 1.07 1.23 1.23 3.20 2.72 2.93 2.93 3.04 2.92 3.60 3.60 0.00 0.00 0.68 23.29
South Asia
India 3.80 3.75 4.10 4.10 1.09 1.07 1.07 1.07 4.15 4.00 4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.40 10.00
Pakistan 0.08 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.83 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.06 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
China 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 4.76 4.76 4.76 4.76 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Australia 0.62 0.70 0.60 0.60 4.26 3.57 3.00 3.00 2.65 2.50 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.00 -0.70 -28.00
European Union 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.15 5.41 4.27 5.00 5.00 0.80 0.55 0.75 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.20 36.12
Others 5.57 5.61 5.51 5.49 1.12 1.11 1.09 1.09 6.22 6.22 6.02 6.01 -0.01 -0.17 -0.22 -3.49

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 37 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 165.51 165.27 166.38 166.08 4.64 4.63 4.67 4.68 513.95 512.53 520.52 520.49 -0.03 -0.01 7.97 1.55
United States 1.01 0.88 1.03 1.03 8.64 8.28 8.50 8.50 6.08 5.09 6.12 6.12 0.00 0.00 1.03 20.17
Total Foreign 164.50 164.39 165.35 165.05 4.61 4.61 4.65 4.66 507.87 507.43 514.41 514.37 -0.03 -0.01 6.94 1.37
none
East Asia
China 29.92 29.45 29.85 29.85 7.11 7.08 7.13 7.13 148.99 145.95 149.00 149.00 0.00 0.00 3.05 2.09
Japan 1.52 1.50 1.48 1.48 6.90 6.86 6.91 6.91 7.64 7.48 7.45 7.45 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -0.40
Korea, South 0.73 0.73 0.70 0.70 7.12 6.88 6.77 6.77 3.88 3.76 3.57 3.57 0.00 0.00 -0.19 -5.13
Korea, North 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 4.18 4.18 4.18 4.18 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South Asia
India 46.28 47.70 47.00 47.00 4.20 4.28 4.25 4.28 129.47 136.00 133.00 134.00 1.00 0.75 -2.00 -1.47
Bangladesh 11.62 11.60 11.85 11.85 4.63 4.70 4.68 4.68 35.85 36.35 37.00 37.00 0.00 0.00 0.65 1.79
Pakistan 3.54 3.00 3.50 3.50 3.95 2.75 3.86 3.86 9.32 5.50 9.00 9.00 0.00 0.00 3.50 63.64
Nepal 1.48 1.45 1.45 1.45 3.47 3.79 3.79 3.79 3.42 3.65 3.65 3.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sri Lanka 1.13 1.09 1.10 1.10 3.56 3.76 4.09 4.09 2.73 2.78 3.06 3.06 0.00 0.00 0.28 9.95
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 11.60 11.55 11.60 11.60 4.67 4.64 4.68 4.68 34.40 34.00 34.45 34.45 0.00 0.00 0.45 1.32
Vietnam 7.19 7.17 7.16 7.16 5.96 6.03 6.03 6.03 26.77 27.00 27.00 27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thailand 10.70 10.85 10.90 10.60 2.81 2.82 2.85 2.82 19.88 20.20 20.50 19.70 -0.80 -3.90 -0.50 -2.48
Burma 7.00 6.80 7.00 7.00 2.77 2.71 2.79 2.79 12.40 11.80 12.50 12.50 0.00 0.00 0.70 5.93
Philippines 4.80 4.85 4.80 4.80 4.15 4.12 4.17 4.17 12.54 12.60 12.60 12.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cambodia 3.27 3.31 3.37 3.37 2.89 2.94 3.03 2.92 5.77 5.93 6.22 6.00 -0.22 -3.57 0.07 1.13
Laos 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.96 3.28 3.26 3.26 3.26 1.95 1.95 1.96 1.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.51
Malaysia 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.66 3.97 3.99 4.08 4.08 1.68 1.70 1.75 1.75 0.00 0.00 0.05 2.94
South America
Brazil 1.62 1.47 1.40 1.40 6.67 6.80 7.14 7.14 7.34 6.80 6.80 6.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Peru 0.42 0.42 0.43 0.43 8.37 8.55 8.52 8.52 2.43 2.48 2.50 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.64
Africa
Egypt 0.50 0.60 0.63 0.63 8.41 8.70 8.70 8.70 2.90 3.60 3.78 3.78 0.00 0.00 0.18 5.00
Madagascar 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.60 2.74 2.75 2.75 2.75 2.81 2.82 2.82 2.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nigeria 3.65 3.50 3.50 3.50 2.29 2.43 2.37 2.37 5.26 5.36 5.23 5.23 0.00 0.00 -0.13 -2.35
European Union 0.40 0.33 0.35 0.35 6.64 6.32 6.51 6.51 1.73 1.34 1.46 1.46 0.00 0.00 0.12 9.28
Iran 0.56 0.57 0.57 0.57 5.14 5.32 5.26 5.26 1.90 2.00 1.98 1.98 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -1.00
Others 12.88 12.75 13.00 13.01 3.00 2.98 3.01 3.00 25.46 25.02 25.76 25.75 -0.01 -0.04 0.73 2.92

Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process. Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process.

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 38 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World Total -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 610.48 627.40 671.23 671.38 0.15 0.02 43.98 7.01
Total Foreign -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 479.13 501.47 538.38 538.17 -0.21 -0.04 36.70 7.32
Oilseed, Copra -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.36
Oilseed, Palm Kernel -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 19.13 20.02 20.50 20.30 -0.20 -0.98 0.27 1.36
none
Major OilSeeds 260.51 264.72 270.53 270.84 2.25 2.27 2.38 2.38 585.28 601.34 644.68 645.03 0.35 0.05 43.69 7.26
United States 41.06 39.99 40.63 40.91 3.20 3.15 3.27 3.26 131.35 125.93 132.85 133.20 0.35 0.27 7.28 5.78
none
Foreign Oilseeds 219.45 224.73 229.90 229.92 2.07 2.12 2.23 2.23 453.93 475.42 511.83 511.83 -0.01 0.00 36.41 7.66
South America 68.95 70.37 73.73 73.73 2.86 2.94 3.25 3.25 197.08 206.95 239.61 239.61 0.00 0.00 32.66 15.78
Brazil 43.46 45.79 47.51 47.51 3.11 3.52 3.54 3.54 135.33 161.34 168.35 168.35 0.00 0.00 7.02 4.35
Argentina 18.77 18.00 19.16 19.16 2.65 1.73 2.80 2.80 49.67 31.11 53.74 53.74 0.00 0.00 22.62 72.71
Paraguay 3.51 3.56 3.65 3.65 1.23 2.52 2.78 2.78 4.31 8.97 10.14 10.14 0.00 0.00 1.18 13.10
Bolivia 1.69 1.57 1.63 1.63 2.25 2.10 2.13 2.13 3.80 3.30 3.48 3.48 0.00 0.00 0.18 5.37
Uruguay 1.38 1.31 1.64 1.64 2.63 1.44 2.15 2.15 3.62 1.88 3.53 3.53 0.00 0.00 1.65 87.77
China 24.02 26.26 26.53 26.37 2.58 2.61 2.55 2.55 62.07 68.51 67.68 67.17 -0.51 -0.75 -1.34 -1.96
South Asia 41.80 42.83 43.21 43.41 1.11 1.03 1.06 1.06 46.59 44.27 45.66 45.92 0.26 0.57 1.65 3.73
India 38.48 39.48 39.87 39.87 1.10 1.03 1.04 1.04 42.19 40.67 41.34 41.34 0.00 0.00 0.67 1.65
Pakistan 2.59 2.43 2.42 2.62 1.31 0.96 1.28 1.28 3.38 2.34 3.09 3.35 0.26 8.42 1.00 42.79
European Union 11.09 12.55 12.66 12.71 2.80 2.54 2.81 2.85 31.04 31.90 35.58 36.19 0.62 1.73 4.29 13.45
United Kingdom 0.31 0.36 0.41 0.41 3.20 3.74 3.50 3.50 0.98 1.36 1.44 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.07 5.44
Former Soviet Union - 12 27.74 26.97 28.02 28.02 1.89 1.87 1.82 1.82 52.46 50.34 50.99 51.04 0.05 0.10 0.70 1.40
Russia 14.23 14.74 15.00 15.00 1.62 1.78 1.74 1.74 23.11 26.25 26.10 26.10 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -0.57
Ukraine 9.58 8.10 8.85 8.85 2.54 2.32 2.21 2.21 24.32 18.80 19.55 19.60 0.05 0.26 0.80 4.26
Uzbekistan 1.08 1.09 1.05 1.05 1.11 1.27 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.38 1.26 1.26 0.00 0.00 -0.12 -8.54
Canada 11.06 10.76 11.04 11.04 1.81 2.38 2.44 2.44 20.05 25.63 26.89 26.89 0.00 0.00 1.26 4.91
Africa 24.35 23.64 24.02 23.95 0.98 1.04 1.05 1.06 23.74 24.65 25.34 25.33 -0.01 -0.04 0.67 2.73
Nigeria 4.97 4.87 4.92 4.92 1.11 1.17 1.16 1.16 5.50 5.68 5.70 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.28
South Africa 1.66 1.76 1.85 1.85 1.91 2.08 2.04 2.04 3.17 3.65 3.78 3.78 0.00 0.00 0.12 3.34
Tanzania 1.24 1.35 1.35 1.35 0.98 0.93 0.93 0.93 1.21 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southeast Asia 3.12 3.08 3.05 3.05 1.36 1.36 1.39 1.39 4.23 4.18 4.23 4.23 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.12
Burma 1.95 1.94 1.95 1.95 1.16 1.18 1.24 1.24 2.25 2.28 2.41 2.41 0.00 0.00 0.13 5.47
Indonesia 0.90 0.87 0.84 0.84 1.55 1.52 1.49 1.49 1.39 1.32 1.26 1.26 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -4.92
Australia 3.94 4.65 4.21 4.21 2.20 2.16 1.69 1.60 8.68 10.05 7.13 6.73 -0.40 -5.61 -3.32 -33.03
Turkey 1.32 1.48 1.24 1.24 2.55 2.69 2.68 2.68 3.37 3.98 3.34 3.34 0.00 0.00 -0.64 -16.13
Others 1.76 1.78 1.79 1.79 2.06 2.02 2.22 2.21 3.63 3.60 3.97 3.95 -0.02 -0.43 0.35 9.80

World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel) Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and
rapeseed)

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 39 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 131.01 134.79 139.78 139.82 2.75 2.74 2.94 2.94 359.91 369.57 410.59 410.70 0.12 0.03 41.13 11.13
United States 34.93 34.94 35.09 35.09 3.48 3.33 3.50 3.50 121.53 116.38 122.74 122.74 0.00 0.00 6.37 5.47
Total Foreign 96.08 99.85 104.69 104.74 2.48 2.54 2.75 2.75 238.38 253.20 287.84 287.96 0.12 0.04 34.76 13.73
none
South America
Brazil 41.60 43.90 45.60 45.60 3.14 3.55 3.57 3.57 130.50 156.00 163.00 163.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 4.49
Argentina 15.90 15.00 16.40 16.40 2.76 1.67 2.93 2.93 43.90 25.00 48.00 48.00 0.00 0.00 23.00 92.00
Paraguay 3.42 3.45 3.55 3.55 1.22 2.55 2.82 2.82 4.18 8.80 10.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 1.20 13.64
Bolivia 1.55 1.43 1.50 1.50 2.32 2.17 2.20 2.20 3.60 3.10 3.30 3.30 0.00 0.00 0.20 6.45
Uruguay 1.16 0.90 1.28 1.28 2.80 1.33 2.27 2.27 3.23 1.20 2.90 2.90 0.00 0.00 1.70 141.67
East Asia
China 8.42 10.24 10.45 10.45 1.95 1.98 1.96 1.96 16.40 20.28 20.50 20.50 0.00 0.00 0.22 1.08
Korea, South 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 2.06 2.03 1.93 1.93 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77
Korea, North 0.17 0.16 0.16 0.16 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Japan 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 1.63 1.58 1.63 1.63 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.30
India 12.15 12.00 12.50 12.50 0.98 1.00 0.96 0.96 11.89 12.04 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.32
Canada 2.08 2.12 2.20 2.20 2.99 3.09 2.95 2.95 6.22 6.54 6.50 6.50 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -0.66
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 2.99 3.36 3.40 3.40 1.59 1.79 1.74 1.74 4.76 6.00 5.90 5.90 0.00 0.00 -0.10 -1.60
Ukraine 1.44 1.70 2.00 2.00 2.64 2.41 2.30 2.30 3.80 4.10 4.60 4.60 0.00 0.00 0.50 12.20
European Union 1.01 1.13 1.10 1.15 2.82 2.26 2.82 2.80 2.83 2.55 3.10 3.22 0.12 3.71 0.66 25.88
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.32 1.21 1.18 1.17 1.17 0.43 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -3.85
Vietnam 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.61 1.60 1.61 1.61 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 -6.25
Thailand 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burma 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.85
Serbia 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 2.28 1.70 3.09 3.09 0.54 0.40 0.73 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.33 81.70
Mexico 0.18 0.12 0.15 0.15 1.57 1.52 1.57 1.57 0.29 0.18 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.06 34.29
Africa
South Africa 0.93 1.15 1.20 1.20 2.41 2.40 2.33 2.33 2.23 2.76 2.80 2.80 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.63
Nigeria 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.93 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.12 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zambia 0.30 0.38 0.38 0.38 1.35 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.41 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Middle East
Iran 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.07 2.29 2.27 2.36 2.36 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -2.94
Turkey 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 3.91 4.14 4.12 4.12 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -3.45
Others 0.47 0.51 0.52 0.52 2.04 2.01 2.04 2.04 0.96 1.02 1.06 1.06 0.00 0.00 0.05 4.42

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 40 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 31.93 31.17 30.99 31.35 1.31 1.36 1.36 1.36 41.68 42.45 42.28 42.67 0.39 0.93 0.22 0.53
United States 4.16 2.96 3.53 3.81 1.16 1.35 1.24 1.24 4.83 4.01 4.39 4.74 0.35 8.07 0.74 18.35
Total Foreign 27.78 28.22 27.46 27.54 1.33 1.36 1.38 1.38 36.85 38.44 37.89 37.93 0.04 0.10 -0.51 -1.33
none
South Asia
India 12.37 13.00 12.40 12.40 0.84 0.82 0.87 0.87 10.36 10.61 10.83 10.83 0.00 0.00 0.21 2.00
Pakistan 2.00 1.80 1.80 2.00 1.30 0.94 1.28 1.28 2.60 1.69 2.30 2.56 0.26 11.32 0.87 51.33
China 3.10 3.10 2.95 2.90 3.39 3.88 3.65 3.65 10.50 12.03 10.78 10.58 -0.20 -1.82 -1.45 -12.05
Former Soviet Union - 12
Uzbekistan 1.06 1.07 1.03 1.03 1.07 1.24 1.18 1.18 1.14 1.33 1.21 1.21 0.00 0.00 -0.12 -8.86
Turkmenistan 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tajikistan 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.09 1.11 1.15 1.15 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.72
Kazakhstan 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.84 1.05 0.94 0.94 0.09 0.13 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -13.74
South America
Brazil 1.60 1.63 1.63 1.63 2.43 2.69 2.70 2.70 3.89 4.38 4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.39
Argentina 0.48 0.40 0.41 0.41 0.68 1.06 1.17 1.17 0.33 0.43 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.06 13.18
Middle East
Turkey 0.45 0.56 0.43 0.43 2.76 2.88 2.69 2.69 1.24 1.60 1.14 1.14 0.00 0.00 -0.46 -28.56
Syria 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iran 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.18 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.12 -0.02 -12.59 -0.02 -12.59
Australia 0.64 0.68 0.65 0.65 2.77 2.42 2.68 2.68 1.76 1.65 1.74 1.74 0.00 0.00 0.09 5.45
European Union 0.32 0.31 0.29 0.29 1.66 1.70 1.64 1.64 0.53 0.53 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -8.76
Africa
Burkina Faso 0.60 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.45 0.35 0.42 0.42 0.27 0.21 0.26 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.04 19.16
Mali 0.72 0.60 0.70 0.70 0.56 0.35 0.51 0.50 0.40 0.21 0.35 0.35 0.00 -0.28 0.15 69.71
Cameroon 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 1.39 1.29 1.30 1.30 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cote d'Ivoire 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.60 0.29 0.52 0.52 0.28 0.12 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.08 70.59
Benin 0.64 0.57 0.64 0.64 0.73 0.64 0.72 0.72 0.47 0.36 0.46 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.10 27.20
Tanzania 0.24 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.46 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.11 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Egypt 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.15 1.00 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.09 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.98
Nigeria 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Uganda 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.49 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.33 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sudan 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.15 0.20 0.17 0.17 2.71 2.70 2.56 2.56 0.42 0.54 0.44 0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.11 -19.44
Burma 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.81 0.76 1.25 1.25 0.13 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.08 70.18
Others 0.70 0.62 0.71 0.64 0.74 0.82 0.72 0.78 0.52 0.50 0.51 0.50 -0.01 -1.58 -0.01 -1.39

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 41 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 30.64 29.26 29.64 29.64 1.69 1.69 1.70 1.70 51.85 49.54 50.44 50.44 0.00 0.00 0.90 1.82
United States 0.62 0.56 0.60 0.60 4.63 4.50 4.74 4.74 2.89 2.53 2.85 2.85 0.00 0.00 0.32 12.79
Total Foreign 30.01 28.69 29.04 29.04 1.63 1.64 1.64 1.64 48.96 47.01 47.59 47.59 0.00 0.00 0.58 1.23
none
China 4.81 4.80 4.82 4.82 3.81 3.81 3.80 3.80 18.31 18.30 18.30 18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Africa
Nigeria 3.50 3.40 3.45 3.45 1.21 1.26 1.25 1.25 4.23 4.28 4.30 4.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.37
Sudan 3.94 3.00 3.00 3.00 0.60 0.83 0.83 0.83 2.36 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Senegal 1.21 1.23 1.23 1.23 1.38 1.23 1.40 1.40 1.68 1.50 1.72 1.72 0.00 0.00 0.21 14.18
Cameroon 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ghana 0.34 0.37 0.37 0.37 1.48 1.65 1.62 1.62 0.50 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -1.80
Chad 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 1.06 1.10 1.09 1.09 0.80 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
Malawi 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Congo (Kinshasa) 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Niger 0.92 0.97 0.92 0.92 0.56 0.69 0.65 0.65 0.52 0.67 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -10.58
Mali 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.78 1.04 1.00 1.00 0.35 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -4.06
Uganda 0.33 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.59 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.19 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Burkina Faso 0.58 0.63 0.64 0.64 0.83 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.48 0.56 0.58 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.86
Guinea 0.79 0.90 0.90 0.90 1.15 1.14 1.11 1.11 0.91 1.03 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.03 -2.44
Egypt 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Central African Republic 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.15 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South Africa 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 1.51 2.33 2.00 2.00 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mozambique 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Cote d'Ivoire 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.42 1.47 1.45 1.45 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.23
Benin 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 1.05 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.18 0.16 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.71
South Asia
India 5.71 5.20 5.50 5.50 1.52 1.21 1.20 1.20 8.70 6.30 6.60 6.60 0.00 0.00 0.30 4.76
Pakistan 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.94 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Southeast Asia
Indonesia 0.55 0.54 0.52 0.52 1.76 1.72 1.69 1.69 0.96 0.93 0.88 0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -5.38
Burma 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.51 1.55 1.59 1.59 1.60 1.65 1.70 1.70 0.00 0.00 0.05 3.03
Vietnam 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.15 2.58 2.58 2.60 2.60 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -2.50
Thailand 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 1.67 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
South America
Argentina 0.41 0.38 0.38 0.38 3.29 3.03 3.47 3.47 1.34 1.15 1.32 1.32 0.00 0.00 0.17 14.78
Brazil 0.22 0.22 0.24 0.24 4.09 4.05 3.79 3.79 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 1.63 1.87 1.74 1.74 0.10 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -8.91
Others 1.77 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.17 1.17 1.17 1.17 2.07 2.12 2.12 2.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.09

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 42 June 2023
Global Market Analysis
 Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 28.64 27.70 28.32 28.21 1.99 1.87 1.92 1.91 56.95 51.66 54.32 54.01 -0.31 -0.57 2.35 4.54
United States 0.50 0.65 0.53 0.53 1.71 1.96 1.98 1.98 0.86 1.28 1.04 1.04 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -18.57
Total Foreign 28.13 27.05 27.80 27.69 1.99 1.86 1.92 1.91 56.09 50.39 53.28 52.97 -0.31 -0.58 2.58 5.13
none
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 9.61 9.11 9.50 9.50 1.62 1.78 1.74 1.74 15.57 16.25 16.50 16.50 0.00 0.00 0.25 1.51
Ukraine 7.10 5.20 5.70 5.70 2.46 2.15 2.07 2.07 17.50 11.20 11.80 11.80 0.00 0.00 0.60 5.36
Kazakhstan 0.94 1.09 1.15 1.15 1.10 1.20 1.22 1.22 1.03 1.30 1.40 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.10 7.36
European Union 4.37 5.18 5.20 5.20 2.35 1.79 2.21 2.21 10.29 9.29 11.50 11.50 0.00 0.00 2.21 23.83
South America
Argentina 1.96 2.20 1.95 1.95 2.07 2.05 2.00 2.00 4.05 4.50 3.90 3.90 0.00 0.00 -0.60 -13.33
Uruguay 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 1.62 1.64 1.62 1.62 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -8.70
Bolivia 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13 1.39 1.40 1.35 1.35 0.20 0.20 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -11.62
Brazil 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1.03 1.56 1.55 1.55 0.04 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.56
Paraguay 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.55 1.56 1.50 1.50 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -10.00
China 0.70 0.85 0.96 0.85 3.06 2.79 2.81 2.81 2.15 2.37 2.70 2.39 -0.31 -11.48 0.02 0.80
South Asia
India 0.27 0.28 0.27 0.27 0.52 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.14 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -2.33
Pakistan 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.10 1.38 1.35 1.35 1.35 0.14 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -8.78
Middle East
Turkey 0.76 0.79 0.70 0.70 2.30 2.41 2.50 2.50 1.75 1.90 1.75 1.75 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -7.89
Iran 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 1.00 1.02 1.05 1.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 -2.27
Israel 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00
Africa
Egypt 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 2.38 2.53 2.50 2.50 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 31.58
Morocco 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 1.25 1.11 1.27 1.27 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 40.00
South Africa 0.67 0.56 0.60 0.60 1.26 1.43 1.46 1.46 0.85 0.80 0.88 0.88 0.00 0.00 0.08 9.38
Burma 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 2.03 2.21 2.24 2.24 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19
Australia 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 1.58 1.48 1.24 1.24 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -29.73
Others 0.63 0.66 0.66 0.66 2.59 2.07 2.28 2.28 1.64 1.36 1.50 1.50 0.00 0.00 0.13 9.68

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 43 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Metric tons per hectare) (Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
World 38.29 41.81 41.81 41.81 1.96 2.11 2.08 2.09 74.89 88.13 87.06 87.21 0.15 0.17 -0.91 -1.04
United States 0.85 0.88 0.89 0.89 1.46 1.98 2.06 2.06 1.24 1.74 1.83 1.83 0.00 0.00 0.09 5.22
Total Foreign 37.44 40.92 40.92 40.92 1.97 2.11 2.08 2.09 73.65 86.38 85.23 85.38 0.15 0.18 -1.01 -1.16
none
European Union 5.39 5.94 6.07 6.07 3.23 3.29 3.38 3.46 17.39 19.54 20.50 21.00 0.50 2.44 1.46 7.49
United Kingdom 0.31 0.36 0.41 0.41 3.20 3.74 3.50 3.50 0.98 1.36 1.44 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.07 5.44
Switzerland 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 3.14 3.14 3.14 3.14 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Canada 8.95 8.60 8.80 8.80 1.54 2.21 2.31 2.31 13.75 19.00 20.30 20.30 0.00 0.00 1.30 6.84
China 6.99 7.27 7.35 7.35 2.10 2.14 2.10 2.10 14.71 15.53 15.40 15.40 0.00 0.00 -0.13 -0.84
South Asia
India 7.99 9.00 9.20 9.20 1.39 1.28 1.27 1.27 11.10 11.50 11.70 11.70 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.74
Pakistan 0.33 0.39 0.39 0.39 1.49 1.00 1.38 1.38 0.49 0.39 0.54 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.15 38.46
Bangladesh 0.61 0.81 0.80 0.80 1.35 1.30 1.29 1.29 0.82 1.05 1.03 1.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -1.90
Former Soviet Union - 12
Russia 1.62 2.27 2.10 2.10 1.71 1.76 1.76 1.76 2.78 4.00 3.70 3.70 0.00 0.00 -0.30 -7.50
Ukraine 1.04 1.20 1.15 1.15 2.91 2.92 2.74 2.78 3.02 3.50 3.15 3.20 0.05 1.59 -0.30 -8.57
Belarus 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.34 1.59 1.69 1.67 1.67 0.50 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.82
Kazakhstan 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 1.24 1.48 1.38 1.38 0.15 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -4.76
Australia 3.25 3.90 3.50 3.50 2.10 2.13 1.51 1.40 6.82 8.30 5.30 4.90 -0.40 -7.55 -3.40 -40.96
South America
Chile 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 3.86 3.79 3.82 3.82 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.02 16.00
Paraguay 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 1.45 1.51 1.50 1.50 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -7.35
Ethiopia 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Others 0.41 0.61 0.56 0.56 2.03 1.93 1.98 1.98 0.83 1.17 1.11 1.11 0.00 0.00 -0.06 -5.04

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 44 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production

Production Change in Production

(Million metric tons)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent

Oilseed, Copra
Philippines 2.60 2.60 2.70 2.70 0.00 0.00 0.10 3.85
Indonesia 1.68 1.68 1.69 1.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.60
India 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Vietnam 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Papua New Guinea 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thailand 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sri Lanka 0.11 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mexico 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Solomon Islands 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00
Cote d'Ivoire 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
World 6.07 6.03 6.05 6.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.33

Oilseed, Palm Kernel

Indonesia 11.20 11.80 12.00 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 1.69
Malaysia 4.45 4.65 4.90 4.70 -0.20 -4.08 0.05 1.08
Nigeria 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Thailand 0.83 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Colombia 0.31 0.32 0.34 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.25
Guatemala 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Papua New Guinea 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.88
Honduras 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brazil 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.67
Cameroon 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
World 19.13 20.02 20.50 20.30 -0.20 -0.98 0.28 1.40

Oil, Palm
Indonesia 42.00 46.00 47.00 47.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 2.17
Malaysia 18.15 18.60 19.30 19.00 -0.30 -1.55 0.40 2.15
Thailand 3.38 3.42 3.45 3.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.88
Colombia 1.75 1.77 1.80 1.80 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.69
Nigeria 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Guatemala 0.88 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.10
Papua New Guinea 0.72 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 2.56
Cote d'Ivoire 0.58 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Honduras 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Brazil 0.55 0.57 0.59 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.75
World 72.95 77.74 79.56 79.26 -0.30 -0.38 1.52 1.96

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 45 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

Area Yield Production Change in Production

(Million hectares) (Kilograms per hectare) (Million 480 lb. bales)
Country / Region
Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. Prel. 2023/24 Proj. From last month From last year
2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun 2021/22 2022/23 May Jun MBales Percent MBales Percent
World 32.49 31.72 31.54 31.91 776 798 799 797 115.78 116.32 115.69 116.72 1.03 0.89 0.41 0.35
United States 4.16 2.96 3.52 3.81 918 1,065 958 943 17.52 14.47 15.50 16.50 1.00 6.45 2.03 14.04
Total Foreign 28.33 28.77 28.02 28.10 755 771 779 777 98.26 101.85 100.19 100.22 0.03 0.03 -1.63 -1.60
none
South Asia
India 12.37 13.00 12.40 12.40 429 419 448 448 24.40 25.00 25.50 25.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 2.00
Pakistan 2.00 1.80 1.80 2.00 653 472 641 642 6.00 3.90 5.30 5.90 0.60 11.32 2.00 51.28
China 3.10 3.10 2.95 2.90 1,882 2,156 2,030 2,027 26.80 30.70 27.50 27.00 -0.50 -1.82 -3.70 -12.05
South America
Brazil 1.60 1.63 1.63 1.63 1,595 1,763 1,770 1,770 11.72 13.20 13.25 13.25 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.38
Argentina 0.48 0.40 0.41 0.41 680 626 690 690 1.50 1.15 1.30 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.15 13.04
Paraguay 0.02 0.04 0.03 0.03 527 877 806 806 0.05 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.04 -29.08
Africa
Burkina Faso 0.60 0.62 0.61 0.61 351 273 330 330 0.96 0.78 0.93 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.15 19.35
Mali 0.72 0.60 0.70 0.70 432 269 389 389 1.43 0.74 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.52 70.07
Cote d'Ivoire 0.47 0.41 0.39 0.39 486 236 424 424 1.05 0.45 0.76 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.32 70.79
Benin 0.64 0.57 0.64 0.64 483 418 476 476 1.42 1.10 1.40 1.40 0.00 0.00 0.30 27.27
Egypt 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.15 717 661 660 660 0.28 0.43 0.46 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.03 7.06
Cameroon 0.23 0.23 0.23 0.23 606 563 568 568 0.64 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tanzania 0.24 0.35 0.35 0.35 231 218 218 218 0.26 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nigeria 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 282 282 282 282 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zimbabwe 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.24 191 195 195 195 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ethiopia 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 637 637 637 637 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Former Soviet Union - 12
Uzbekistan 1.06 1.07 1.03 1.03 596 692 655 655 2.90 3.40 3.10 3.10 0.00 0.00 -0.30 -8.82
Turkmenistan 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 356 356 356 356 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tajikistan 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 608 615 640 640 0.48 0.48 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.17
Kazakhstan 0.11 0.13 0.12 0.12 467 584 526 526 0.24 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -13.43
Middle East
Turkey 0.45 0.56 0.43 0.43 1,839 1,922 1,793 1,793 3.80 4.90 3.50 3.50 0.00 0.00 -1.40 -28.57
Syria 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 1,132 1,132 1,132 1,132 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iran 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 871 871 871 762 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.35 -0.05 -12.50 -0.05 -12.50
Australia 0.64 0.68 0.65 0.65 2,006 1,751 1,943 1,943 5.85 5.50 5.80 5.80 0.00 0.00 0.30 5.45
Mexico 0.15 0.20 0.17 0.17 1,725 1,720 1,633 1,633 1.22 1.58 1.28 1.28 0.00 0.00 -0.31 -19.30
Burma 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 660 653 660 660 0.48 0.45 0.47 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 4.44
Others 1.77 1.66 1.74 1.67 561 583 541 561 4.56 4.45 4.33 4.31 -0.02 -0.46 -0.14 -3.04

World and Selected Countries and Regions

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 46 June 2023

Global Market Analysis
 TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the June projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an
example, the "root mean square error" means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or
below the final estimate by more than 3.0 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 5.0 percent. The average difference between the June projection and the final estimate is 16.0 million tons,
ranging from 0.4 million to 32.2 million tons. The June projection has been below the estimate 26 times and above 16
times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
Difference between forecast and final estimate
90 percent
COMMODITY AND Root mean
confidence Years
REGION square error
interval Below Above
Average Smallest Largest final final

Percent ---Million metric tons---

WHEAT
World 3.0 5.0 16.0 0.4 32.2 26 16

U.S. 6.1 10.3 2.7 0.0 8.4 23 19

Foreign 3.1 5.3 14.9 1.1 31.9 25 16

COARSE GRAINS 2/
World 3.6 6.0 27.1 0.6 103.3 23 19

U.S. 13.3 22.4 20.0 0.5 103.8 22 20

Foreign 2.7 4.6 14.6 0.4 45.6 21 20

RICE (Milled)
World 2.3 3.9 7.0 0.3 21.8 27 15

7.5 12.6 0.4 0.0 1.1 22 20

U.S.
Foreign 2.4 4.0 6.9 0.4 21.9 26 15

SOYBEANS
World NA NA 13.2 0.1 36.2 7 12

U.S. 9.0 15.1 4.9 0.0 16.2 22 20

Foreign NA NA 10.0 0.2 37.0 6 12

COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---

World 5.9 9.9 4.1 0.0 16.4 22 19

U.S. 11.5 19.3 1.6 0.1 5.7 20 22

Foreign 5.9 9.9 3.2 0.2 12.4 22 19

UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------

CORN 15.7 26.4 779 8 4,010 21 21

SORGHUM 25.0 42.0 85 0 228 21 20

BARLEY 14.8 25.0 26 1 206 16 26

OATS 23.8 40.0 28 1 231 8 34

1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2022/23 for grains, soybeans, and cotton. Final for grains, soybeans, and
cotton is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2021/22,
and for 2022/23 the last month’s estimate.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
June 2023 Global Market Analysis, FAS, USDA

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 47 June 2023

Global Market Analysis