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Political Science Research Design Assignment

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
14 views3 pages

Political Science Research Design Assignment

Uploaded by

207896646lxr
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

GV249 Research Design in Political Science: Summative Problem Set

The problem set comprises three parts that are weighted approximately equally. The first part includes con-

ceptual questions and questions about a research article, the second part asks you to develop a research question,

operationalise the variables in the research question and propose valid measurements and hypotheses, and the

third part asks you to conduct data analysis in R, report and interpret your results. The dataset for part III

("BES_summative.RDS”) is available on Moodle. Please submit your answers to the questions in .docx or pdf

format and your complete R code needed to reproduce all numbers and figures included in part III in .R format

online via Moodle. Since this is a summative assignment, if you have any clarification questions, you need to contact

the admin team and they will forward the question (anonymised) to me. I will then reply to everyone. To ensure

anonymous marking, use only your candidate number to identify your work. DO NOT use your

name or student ID anywhere on the submission. Your candidate number can be found in LSE For

You. Please use this year’s candidate number and not last year’s. Do not forget to remove identifying

information from your R code as well. Please keep school closure periods in mind.

Part I: Conceptual Questions - 34 marks

Question 1 - 11 marks

a Illustrate Sartori’s “ladder of abstraction” at the example of the concept “war”. (200 words max, 5 marks)

b Discuss two different possible measures of “war” and make a case for which one may be preferable with

reference to both, validity and reliability. (200 words max, 6 marks)

Question 2 - 10 marks

Read the resesarch paper “Slava Ukraini: Exploring Identity Activism in Support of Ukraine via the Ukraine Flag

Emoji on Twitter” published by Margot A. Hare and Jason J. Jones (available from Moodle) and answer the

following questions:

a How do the authors conceptualise and operationalise Identity Activism (IA)? Evaluate the measure of Identity

Activism that they use in their study in light of how they operationalize the concept. (300 words max, 5 marks)

b According to this study, how did the prevalence of Ukraine-related IA in (formerly) Twitter bios and names

change from January to July 2022? (200 words max, 2 marks)

c What are the methodological strengths and weaknesses of this study? (200 words max, 3 marks)

1
Question 3 - 13 marks

a What is the switching equation? How does it relate potential to observed outcomes? Please explain in your

own words and using appropriate potential outcomes notation (4 marks)

b Read Ansell and Samuels’ "Journal Editors and "Results-Free" Research: A Cautionary Note", as well as

"What is a Registered Report and Why Should You be Writing One for JEPS?" by Arceneaux. In your

own words, what are the costs of the "results-free" approach to reviewing and publishing academic work as

outlined by Ansell and Samuels? Considering Arcenaux’s note and the compulsory readings assigned for week

11, do you agree with Ansell and Samuels’ position? (500 words max, 9 marks)

Part II: Creative Part - 33 marks

a Formulate a causal , empirical research question covering your preferred subfield of Political Science, which

includes two variables, x (the explanatory or treatment variable) and y (the outcome variable). (8 marks)

b Define the theoretical concepts that these variables attempt to measure, operationalise these concepts, and

propose valid measurement instruments for them. (8 marks)

c Formulate a clear, testable hypothesis. (4 marks)

d To test your hypothesis, write down a linear regression model of y on x, and define each term in the regression

model. Use appropriate notation, including subscripts. (6 marks)

e Discuss the methodological difficulties that you anticipate in designing your study. (200 words max, 7 marks)

Part III: Application - 33 marks

Please answer the following questions based on your analysis of the “BES_summative.RDS” dataset, which you

can download from Moodle. The dataset is a subset of the British Election Study 2019, which is a representative

cross-section of British voters interviewed after the 2019 General Election. Please make sure to number your tables

and figures and add the appropriate labels. Round estimates included in tables to two decimal points. In order

to load the dataset into R, you can use the readRDS function after you set the working directory: mydata <-

readRDS(“BES_summative.RDS”).

Exercise 1: 10 marks

a Create a table which summarises how political interest (polinterest) varies by university education (edlevel).

Political interest should be coded on an ordinal scale ranging from 0 (Not at all interested ) - 3 (very interested).

2
Don’t knows should be removed. University education should be recoded as a binary variable, where 1 = went

to university, and 0 = otherwise. Display the means and a meaningful measure of variability (or spread) by

education level. Interpret the results you see in your sample. (4 marks)

b You would like to make an inference about the relationship between university education and political interest

in the population of British voters. Formulate the appropriate null hypothesis and test whether you can reject

the null hypothesis using linear regression. (6 marks)

Exercise 2: 8 marks

a Please recode your Age variable to remove missing values. Recode respondents who are over 90 years old

years old as 90. Create a scatter plot which shows how Facebook use (useF acebook) varies by age (Age). (4

marks)

b Reproduce the same plot, but this time include a linear (OLS) regression line in your plot. Is the association

between age and Facebook use in your sample positive or negative? (4 marks)

Exercise 3: 15 marks

a At the individual level, regress Facebook use on age (use linear regression). Write down the OLS regression

model that you are estimating, and define all terms in the model. Display and interpret the substantive results

of your model. (5 marks)

b What can you say about the relationship between Facebook use and age in the population of British citizens?

(4 marks)

c Calculate by hand: What is the predicted Facebook use for a 27 year old? Display all steps in your calculation.

(2 marks)

d Calculate by hand: What is the predicted Facebook use for a 16 year old? Display all steps in your calculation.

Is there anything we need to keep in mind when estimating Facebook use among 16 year olds based on the

BES 2019 sample? (4 marks)

Common questions

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The 'switching equation' in research refers to the formulaic representation distinguishing between potential outcomes (what could occur under different conditions) and observed outcomes (what actually happens). It is expressed as Y = D*Y1 + (1-D)*Y0, where Y is the outcome, Y1 is the potential outcome if the treatment is received, Y0 is the outcome without treatment, and D is the indicator variable for treatment receipt. This equation assists in understanding causal effects by illustrating how the observed outcome is a result of the potential outcomes dependent on treatment assignment, clarifying the causal mechanism at work and how treatment selection might influence observed results .

Sartori’s 'ladder of abstraction' suggests varying levels of specificity in conceptualizing 'war,' ranging from specific conflicts to general military engagements. One measure of 'war' might include criteria such as the number of battle-related deaths exceeding a certain threshold, which provides specificity and strong reliability. However, this may overlook smaller conflicts that do not meet the death count but are significant. Another measure could be the involvement of organized armed forces, which ensures inclusivity and validity, though it might include non-traditional conflicts. Both measures face limitations: the first is exclusive, possibly neglecting significant events, while the second could include too broad a range of hostilities, affecting reliability .

Using Facebook use as a proxy for social engagement in studies like the BES 2019 can be problematic, particularly for younger age groups. The primary concern is that younger individuals might prefer other platforms over Facebook, leading to underrepresentation of their social engagement. Furthermore, age-related differences in Facebook usage habits, as indicated by the negative association between age and Facebook use found in the dataset, suggest that measures could be skewed if age is not properly accounted for. Consequently, alternative measures that account for the diversity of social media platforms used by younger demographics might provide a more accurate picture of social engagement .

The study by Hare and Jones demonstrates several methodological strengths, including the innovative use of social media data to capture real-time expressions of Identity Activism, which provides a timely and relevant dataset. However, it also faces weaknesses such as potential biases in self-reported data on social media, as users might selectively display support based on social desirability rather than genuine engagement. Additionally, the reliance on the visibility of symbols like emojis might overlook more nuanced expressions of activism not captured in the dataset, possibly affecting the study's comprehensiveness and generalizability .

When formulating a linear regression model in social science for hypothesis testing, several challenges may arise. Multicollinearity can occur if the explanatory variables are highly correlated, confounding the interpretation of individual predictor effects. Additionally, measurement error in variables can bias coefficient estimates, compromising validity. Residuals exhibiting non-normal distributions or heteroscedasticity can complicate statistical inference. Endogeneity, wherein explanatory variables correlate with error terms, poses a critical threat, potentially leading to biased estimates. Researchers must also contend with omitted variable bias, where missing relevant predictors distort results .

The dataset analysis suggests that individuals with university education tend to have higher political interest than those without. This can be tested using a linear regression model where political interest is the dependent variable and university education, recoded as binary, is the independent variable. The null hypothesis states that there is no difference in political interest based on university education. Upon conducting the linear regression, a statistically significant positive coefficient for university education would allow us to reject the null hypothesis, supporting the idea that higher education correlates with greater political interest .

When analyzing the BES 2019 dataset, careful consideration must be given to the representativeness of the sample, as it reflects British voters post-2019 General Election. Handling missing data and applying appropriate methods to recode variables, like age constraints, are crucial to preserve data integrity. It is vital to account for potential biases, such as overrepresentation or underrepresentation of certain demographics, which may skew results. Statistical assumptions of regression models, like linearity and homoscedasticity, must be verified to ensure the validity of inferences. Finally, context-specific nuances, such as the political climate during data collection, should be integrated into the analysis .

Hare and Jones conceptualize Identity Activism (IA) as the visible support for Ukrainian identity and solidarity among Twitter users, particularly through the use of the Ukraine flag emoji in Twitter bios and names. They operationalize IA by quantifying the presence of this emoji as an indicator of support. The measure's validity is based on its direct connection to visible support for Ukraine, reflecting the conceptual definition of IA. However, reliability may be compromised as individuals might update their Twitter bios frequently, leading to variability in the measure over time .

In establishing a causal empirical research question, variables should be clearly defined and operationalized to ensure validity and reliability. The explanatory variable, X, should be defined in precise terms relevant to the specific context, such as 'government spending' operationalized as 'annual percentage increase in healthcare budget.' The outcome variable, Y, such as 'public health outcomes,' could be operationalized through measurable indicators like 'life expectancy.' Validity is maintained by ensuring these operational definitions accurately reflect the theoretical constructs, while reliability is ensured by selecting measurements that consistently yield similar results under the same conditions .

The 'results-free' approach, as discussed by Ansell and Samuels, incurs several costs in research publishing. Key among these is the potential for research delays and increased publication bias, as studies might be disregarded or published based on surprising outcomes rather than robust methodologies. This can undermine the accumulation of knowledge by promoting sensationalism over substance. Arcenaux further argues that a focus on positive results might skew research priorities, leading to gaps in areas where null or negative findings are valuable. The scientific community might be adversely affected as this could limit the diversity of published research and discourage methodological rigor .

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