Understanding Climate Change Impacts
Understanding Climate Change Impacts
• Climate change means a long-term shift in temperature and weather patterns that
may be natural such as through variations in the solar cycle or a result of
anthropogenic activities such as carbon emission.
• Since the 1800s i.e. rapid industrialization, human activities, primarily the
combustion of fossil fuels like coal, oil, and gas have been the primary cause of
climate change.
• It refers to the broad range of changes that are happening on our planet such as
rising global warming, rise of sea levels, shrinking mountain glaciers, accelerating ice
melt in Greenland, Antarctica and the Arctic and shifts in flower/plat blooming times.
• The levels of greenhouse gases rose to a new height in 2019. The amount of carbon
dioxide was 148% of preindustrial levels.
• While sea ice, the Greenland ice sheet, and glaciers have decreased over the same
time period and permafrost temperatures have climbed, the Arctic has warmed at
least twice as fast as the global average.
• Between 2020 and 2030, the world’s production of fossil fuels must drop by around
6% in order to maintain a 1.5°C trajectory.
FACTORS SOURCES
Natural factors Change in the Sun’s intensity
Volcanic eruptions
Natural processes within the climate system such as changes in ocean current
circulation.
Anthropogenic Emission of Carbon dioxide (CO2) due to burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and
factors gas. (Industries/transport)
(produced by Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions from buildings have increased over the
humans) past few years as a result of rising energy demand for heating and cooling, rising air
conditioner ownership, and increased electricity use for lighting, appliances, and
connected devices.
A percent of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions is caused by deforestation,
along with agriculture and other changes in land use.
Forests absorb carbon dioxide, hence cutting or destroying forests reduces nature’s
capacity to absorb emissions.
Emission of Methane (CH4) and Nitrous oxide (N2O) from agriculture.
Emissions through land use changes such as urbanization, desertification etc.
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Sea Level Rise
• According to NASA, the global sea level has risen since 1880.
• It is caused due to addition of water from melting land ice and the expansion of
seawater as it warms.
• Consequences:
small island states like Maldives and Sunderbans region in India are threatened.
Coastal areas will be flooded in places like the Netherlands, Bangladesh and
Indonesia etc necessitating the need for evacuation of large populations.
It will increase climate refugees, those who will have to leave their native places
and migrate to other countries for shelter.
Disease Burden
• Diseases are likely to spread.
• Global warming will directly affect human health by increasing cases of heat-related
mortality, dehydration, spread of infectious diseases, malnutrition and damage to
public health infrastructure.
Ocean Acidification
• About one-third of the carbon dioxide emitted by human activity has already been
taken up by the oceans.
• As carbon dioxide dissolves in seawater, carbonic acid is formed, which has the effect
of acidifying the ocean, measured as a change in pH, potentially highly detrimental
effects for a substantial number of species.
• Oxygen Depletion
From 1961 to 2003, global ocean temperature has risen by 0.10 oC
The warming has affected the amount of oxygen dissolved in the oceans, which
will decline, with adverse consequences for ocean life.
Effect of Fishers
• Sea level rise will lower fish production and damage the livelihood of communities
dependent on fisheries.
• Some tropical fish stocks may face regional extinction, including shellfish.
• Some others may move towards higher altitudes.
Biodiversity Loss
• Climate change has been estimated to be a major driver of biodiversity loss in cool
coniferous forests, savannas, Mediterranean-climate systems, tropical forests, in the
Arctic tundra, and in coral reefs.
• Impact on Wild Species:
The warming of the ocean will cause changes in the species migration or areas
that they inhabit.
Many terrestrial, freshwater and marine species have shifted their geographic
ranges, seasonal activities, migration patterns, abundance and species
interactions in response to climate change.
Warming will increase photosynthetic activity leading to faster growth of plants
and trees. Initially, yields will be more, but too much heat will kill the crops.
Coral Bleaching
• Coral bleaching is when unicellular organisms that help make up the coral begin to
die off and leave the coral giving it a white appearance. These unicellular organisms
are important for the coral to feed and get the proper nutrition that is necessary to
survive.
• This effect can be seen on the Great Barrier Reef in Australia.
Tropical Cyclones
• More Severe Storms
• In many areas, destructive storms have increased in intensity and frequency.
• More moisture evaporates as temperatures rise, aggravating extremely heavy rains
and flooding and resulting in more severe storms.
• Warm ocean surface waters are the primary source of cyclones, hurricanes, and
typhoons.
• Cyclones are known differently around the world. For e.g. they are known as
cyclones in the Indian Ocean, Hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, Typhoon in Western
Pacific and the South China Sea and Willy-willy in the Western Australia.
• Cyclones that hit the Indian States (2020-2022)
Cyclone Jawad Odisha & Andhra Pradesh
Cyclone Gulaab AP & Odisha
Cyclone Tauktae Gujarat, Maharashtra & Karnataka
Cyclone Yaas West Bengal & Odisha
Cyclone Nisarga Maharashtra
Cyclone Amphan Odisha & West Bengal
Cyclone Kyarr Western India, & Somalia
Cyclone Maha Gujarat
Cyclone Vayu Gujarat, Maldives, Pakistan & Oman
Cyclone Fani Odisha, West Bengal, AP
Cyclone Bulbul West Bengal
Cyclone Asani Odisha, AP
Cyclone SItrang Meghalaya, Tripura, Mizoram
GLOBAL WARMING:
• “Global warming is a gradual increase in the earth’s temperature generally due to
the greenhouse effect caused by increased levels of carbon dioxide, CFCs, and
other pollutants.”
Greenhouse Gases
• Greenhouse gases are gases that trap heat in the atmosphere.
• Water vapour, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and
ozone are the primary greenhouse gases in the Earth's atmosphere.
• Role of Greenhouse Gases:
Greenhouse gases in the atmosphere absorb a significant portion of the infrared
radiation emitted by the Earth's surface, preventing it from escaping the Earth's
system.
Without greenhouse gases, the average temperature of the Earth's surface
would be around -18°C rather than the current average of 15°C a temperature
suitable for living things to survive.
However, any rise in such gases would result in more heat-trapping, increasing
the earth's temperature, as represented in global warming.
• Human Role:
The concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has risen significantly
over the last two centuries, owing primarily to human-caused carbon dioxide
emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels and deforestation.
This increase has exacerbated the natural greenhouse effect by trapping more of
the Earth's energy.
The Earth's surface temperature rises as a result of this change.
Natural Causes:
• Volcanoes
Volcanoes are one of the largest natural contributors to global warming. The ash and
smoke emitted during volcanic eruptions goes out into the atmosphere and affects
the climate.
• Water Vapour
Water vapour is a kind of greenhouse gas. Due to the increase in the earth’s
temperature, more water gets evaporated from the water bodies and stays in the
atmosphere adding to global warming.
• Melting Permafrost
Permafrost is frozen soil that has environmental gases trapped in it for several years
and is present below Earth’s surface. It is present in glaciers. As the permafrost
melts, it releases the gases back into the atmosphere, increasing Earth’s
temperature.
• Forest Blazes
Forest blazes or forest fires emit a large amount of carbon-containing smoke. These
gases are released into the atmosphere and increase the earth’s temperature
resulting in global warming.
• Black Carbon or Soot
Black carbon (BC) is a solid particle or aerosol (though not a gas) that contributes to
warming of the atmosphere.
Soot is a form of particulate air pollutant, produced from incomplete combustion.
Black carbon warms the earth by absorbing heat in the atmosphere .and by reducing
albedo (the ability to reflect sunlight) .
Black carbon stays in the atmosphere for only several days to weeks.
• Brown Carbon
Brown carbon is a unidentified component of organic aerosol.
Biomass burning (possibly domestic wood burning) is a major source of brown
carbon
Ozone layer
• The ozone layer is the common term for the high concentration of ozone that is
found in the stratosphere between 15 and 30km above the earth’s surface
• The ozone layer absorbs 97 to 99 percent of the Sun’s medium-frequency ultraviolet
radiation which otherwise would potentially damage exposed life forms near the
surface.
Ozone Depletion
• Ozone layer depletion is the gradual thinning of the earth’s ozone layer in the upper
atmosphere caused due to the release of chemical compounds containing gaseous
bromine or chlorine from industries or other human activities.
How Ozone Depletion Occurs?
• When chlorine and bromine atoms come into contact with ozone in the
stratosphere, they destroy ozone molecules.
• Some compounds release chlorine or bromine when they are exposed to intense UV
light in the stratosphere.
• These compounds contribute to ozone depletion, and are called ozone-depleting
substances (ODS)ODS that release chlorine include chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs),
hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), carbon tetrachloride, and methyl chloroform.
• ODS that release bromine include halons and methyl bromide.
• The ODS are emitted at the Earth’s surface, they are eventually carried into the
stratosphere in a process that can take as long as two to five years.
• Also the natural processes, such as large volcanic eruptions, can have an indirect
effect on ozone levels, with the production of tiny particles called Aerosols.
• These aerosols increase chlorine’s effectiveness at destroying ozone.
• This severe depletion creates the so-called “ozone hole”.
EFFECTS
Effects on Human Health
• UV causes non-melanoma skin cancer and plays a major role in malignant melanoma
development. In addition, UV causes cataracts, a clouding of the eye’s lens. Difficulty
in breathing. Suppressed immune system. Can lead to DNA mutation.
Effects on Plants
• UV radiation affects the physiological and developmental processes of plants.
• plant growth can be directly affected by UV radiation
• Mutations may occur.
Effects on Marine Ecosystems
• UV radiation has been found to cause damage to early developmental stages of fish,
shrimp, crab, amphibians, and other marine animals. The most severe effects are
decreased reproductive capacity and impaired larval development. Small increases in
UV exposure could result in population reductions for small marine organisms with
implications for the whole marine food chain
OZONE PROTECTION
ACID RAIN
• Acid rain is also known as acid deposition.
• It is a term used to describe the phenomenon where rainfall becomes acidic due to
elevated levels of hydrogen ions.
• Normally, water has a neutral pH level between 6.5 and 8.5, but acid rain has a lower
pH, typically ranging from 4 to 5.
• Emissions of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxide cause acid rain.
• They react with water molecules in the atmosphere to form acids.
• It can have harmful effects on plants, aquatic animals, and infrastructure.
2. Human Activities
a) Emissions from power plants: Power plants that burn fossil fuels, such as coal
and oil, release significant amounts of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides into
the air. These emissions are a major contributor to acid rain.
b) Industrial emissions: Industrial processes, such as manufacturing and chemical
production, release pollutants into the atmosphere. These pollutants can react
with water vapor and contribute to the formation of acid rain.
c) Vehicle emissions: Vehicles that run on gasoline or diesel produce nitrogen
oxides and sulphur dioxide as by-products of combustion. These emissions can
contribute to the formation of acid rain.
d) Agricultural practices: The use of fertilizers and pesticides in agriculture can
release ammonia and other compounds that react with atmospheric pollutants
to form acids. Agricultural emissions can contribute to the formation of acid rain.
EFFECTS OF ACID RAIN
The effects of acid rain can be detrimental to the environment and human health.
1. Environmental Effects
a) Damage to forests and vegetation: Acid rain can damage trees and plants by
leaching essential nutrients from the soil, weakening their roots, and inhibiting
their growth. This can lead to the decline of forests and the loss of biodiversity.
b) Acidification of lakes, rivers, and streams: Acid rain can acidify bodies of water,
making them more acidic than normal. This can harm aquatic life, such as fish
and amphibians, and disrupt entire ecosystems.
c) Harm to aquatic life and ecosystems: Acid rain affects aquatic life by altering the
pH levels of water bodies. Acidic water can harm fish, insects, and other
organisms that rely on a specific pH range for survival. This disruption can have
cascading effects throughout the food chain.
DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE
• Corrosion of buildings and statues:
Acid rain can corrode buildings, statues, and other structures made of stone, metal,
or concrete. This corrosion weakens the structures over time, leading to costly
repairs or irreversible damage.
• Deterioration of metals and paints:
Acid rain can accelerate the deterioration of metals and paints, leading to rusting,
discoloration, and a shortened lifespan of infrastructure and vehicles.
• Damage to cultural heritage sites:
Many cultural heritage sites, such as historic buildings and monuments, are
vulnerable to acid rain. The erosion caused by acid rain can result in the loss of
invaluable historical and cultural artefacts.
MITIGATION STRATEGIES
Meaning of Mitigation:
• Climate change mitigation means avoiding and reducing emissions of heat-trapping
greenhouse gases into the atmosphere to prevent the planet from warming to more
extreme temperatures.
• Climate change adaptation means altering our behaviour, systems, and—in some
cases—ways of life to protect our families, our economies, and the environment in
which we live from the impacts of climate change.
Carbon Sink
• A carbon sink is a natural or human-made reservoir that gathers and retains carbon-
containing compounds for an extended period, thereby reducing CO2 levels in the
atmosphere.
• The two primary global carbon sinks are vegetation and the ocean.
• Since the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, which promotes the utilization of
CO2 sinks as a form of carbon offset, there has been a heightened public awareness
of their significance.
• Green carbon is carbon that is removed by photosynthesis and stored in the plants
and soil of natural ecosystems, and it is an important component of the global
carbon cycle.
• Many plants and most crops have short lives and release a significant amount of
carbon at the end of each season, whereas forest biomass accumulates carbon over
decades and centuries.
• Furthermore, forests can store a significant amount of CO2 in relatively short periods
of time, typically several decades.
• Afforestation and reforestation are two strategies for increasing biological carbon
sequestration.
• Carbon Credit:
A carbon credit is a permit that authorizes the holder to release a specific
quantity of CO2 or other greenhouse gases. Each credit permits the emission of
one metric ton of CO2 or its equivalent in other greenhouse gases.
Entities with emissions allowances are permitted to emit up to a defined limit,
which is progressively reduced over time. Simultaneously, companies have the
option to sell any unused credits to other companies in need.
• Carbon Offsetting:
A carbon offset broadly refers to a reduction in GHG emissions – or an increase
in carbon storage (e.g., through land restoration or the planting of trees) – that is
used to compensate for emissions that occur elsewhere.
A carbon offset credit is a transferrable instrument certified by governments or
independent certification bodies to represent an emission reduction of one
metric tonne of CO2, or an equivalent amount of other GHGs (see Text Box,
below).
An Illustration
In the short term, Business A1 is unable to reduce 100 tonnes of CO2 emissions.
There is a project somewhere else in the world that could easily save 100 tonnes,
but it requires funding.
For example, a community in India could switch from carbon-intensive kerosene
to solar panels as an energy source, but they cannot afford the solar panels.
By purchasing carbon offsets, you provide financial assistance to subsidise the
cost of installing solar panels on housing, resulting in a saving of 100 tonnes of
CO2.
As a result, Business A1 has reduced global net CO2 emissions by 100 tonnes.
• Carbon Tax:
It is a form of Pollution Tax.
It levies a fee on the production, distribution or use of fossil fuels based on how
much carbon their combustion emits.
It is a cost-effective tool to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the atmosphere.
It is a kind of a Pigouvian tax ( tax on negative externalities). It is based on the
‘polluter pay’ principle.
The ultimate goal of a carbon tax is to reduce and eventually eliminate the use of
fossil fuels.
• The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, signed in 1992 and
enacted in 1994, aims to achieve the “stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas
concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic intervention
with the climate system.”
• The Kyoto Protocol (KP), adopted at the 3rd COP in 1997, is an international
agreement designed to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions by a minimum of 5%
compared to 1990 levels by 2012.
• This agreement targeted a range of greenhouse gases, including CO2, CH4, N2O,
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), Perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and Sulfur Hexafluoride (SF6),
for reduction..