Assessment Review: Probabilistic Methods
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ScribdTranslationsAssessment Review: Probabilistic Methods
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ScribdTranslations7/4/24 Unit 2 - Stage 3 - Analysis and Application - Assessment Questionnaire: Review of the attempt
Homepage / Courses/ PROBABILISTIC METHODS - (104561A_1701)
Intermediate momentUnit 2 - Stage 3 - Analysis and Application - Question...
Started on Sunday, April 7, 2024, 5:01 PM
FinalState
Completed on Sunday, April 7, 2024, 5:40 PM
38 minutes 32 seconds
employee
Points 3/10
Score 53 out of 175 (30%)
Comment - The responses given to the test evidence inaccuracies and shortcomings in demonstrating achievement.
of the expected learning outcome. It is advisable to revisit it in greater depth and
analysis of the learning resources provided and the feedback on the activities of
learning, so that it reaches the expected level of performance.
Question1
Finished
Score 0 out of 1
What is the necessary condition for a queuing system to operate correctly?
Select one:
It is necessary to have a number of servers greater than required by the service demand.
The usage factor must be less than 1.
The waiting time should not be greater than the service time.
The waiting line must be kept short at all times.
Question2
Finalized
Score 0 out of 1
Si en un modelo de línea de espera con cantidades infinitas se tiene una TASA DE LLEGADA de 15,8, una TASA DE SERVICIO de 2,9 y 6
SERVERS, what is the expected number of distributors in the Ls system?
Select one:
8.07878474
8.019635464
1.96447675
12.95024034
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7/4/24 Unit 2 - Stage 3 - Analysis and Application - Evaluation Questionnaire: Attempt Review
Question3
Completed
Score 1 out of 1
What do probabilistic forecasting models consider?
Select one:
That the variable to be predicted is known in advance.
That the variable to be predicted is a random variable.
That the variable to predict does not follow a probability distribution.
That the variable to be predicted has a unique and determined value.
Question4
Completed
Score 0 out of 1
What is the correct formula to determine Ws, the projected infinite amount using an exponential smoothing model?
simple with a trend?
Select one:
Ls
Ws =
λef
λ
ef
Ws = Lq + μ
Lq
Ws = λef
Ws= ( −1)Lq
λ
Question5
Completed
Score 0 out of 1
What model could a manufacturing company implement to predict the demand for its products?
Select one:
A probabilistic forecasting model.
A model of polynomial time series.
A linear regression model.
A multinomial logistic regression model.
The provided link is not translatable text. 2/4
July 4, 2024, 5:40 PM Unit 2 - Stage 3 - Analysis and Application - Evaluation Questionnaire: Review of the Attempt
Question6
Completed
Score 0 out of 1
What are the main drawbacks of using the simple exponential smoothing forecasting model?
Select one:
It is extremely accurate for time series with high variability.
It is not very accurate for time series with a lot of variability.
It is too sensitive to the smoothing factor.
It does not consider the relevance of the smoothing factor.
Question7
Completed
Score 0 out of 1
What is the way to calculate the waiting time W in the system when working with a system with finite quantities?
Select one:
Ls
Ws = λef
λef
Ws = Lq + μ
λef
Ws =
Lq
Ws = P0 ⋅ P 2 (1 − ( C)P
N− C+ 1
− ( N −+C 1) ( C)
P
N−C
) >
Question8
Completed
Score 1 out of 1
What is the function of the simple exponential smoothing model in probabilistic methods?
Select one:
Manage human resources to ensure the availability of suitable personnel at the right time.
Make a prediction about the demand for products or services in the short term.
Plan the production of products or services taking into account the expected demand.
Manage inventories to prevent them from running out or accumulating excessively.
Link provided does not contain translatable text. 3/4
7/4/24 Unit 2 - Stage 3 - Analysis and Application - Evaluation Questionnaire: Review of the Attempt
Question9
Completed
Score 1 out of 1
What is an advantage of probabilistic forecasting models compared to deterministic models?
Select one:
One cannot have a clear idea of the uncertainty related to the prediction.
They are not as accurate as deterministic models.
They offer no advantage over deterministic models.
They provide a probability distribution of the variable to be forecasted.
Question10
Completed
Score 0 out of 1
What is the equation used to determine the first smoothing in an exponential smoothing forecast model?
simple with a trend?
Select one:
At = A(t-1)
At= T(t+1)-A(t+1)
At= aDt+(1-a)(At-1+Tt-1)
At = aD(t-1)
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