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Machine Downtime Analysis and Calculations

The document presents examples on how to calculate the sample size needed to determine the percentage of inactive machines within certain levels of confidence and precision. It explains how to calculate the proportion of inactive machines from the results of an initial sample, and then how to determine the number of additional samples needed to reach the required levels. It also presents the formulas used to calculate the type error, the standard deviation, and the sample size.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
3 views3 pages

Machine Downtime Analysis and Calculations

The document presents examples on how to calculate the sample size needed to determine the percentage of inactive machines within certain levels of confidence and precision. It explains how to calculate the proportion of inactive machines from the results of an initial sample, and then how to determine the number of additional samples needed to reach the required levels. It also presents the formulas used to calculate the type error, the standard deviation, and the sample size.

Translated by

ScribdTranslations
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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EXAMPLES:

1. It is required to determine the percentage of inactivity of some machines. Suppose that


wants a confidence level of 95.45% and a precision of ±5%.
The first sampling gave us the following results:
Active machines 140
Inactive machines 60
200
SOLUTION
60
So: = 200= 0.30

In this case N can be calculated knowing that Z = 2, S = 0.05 and P = 0.30

212 (−0.30 ) (
40.70 ) 2.80
= 2( = = = 3533
0.050.30 ) (
0.00250.30 ) 0.00075

We would still need 3533 readings.

2. Assuming that the final results of the study are as follows:


Active machines 2640
Inactive machines 1160
3800

SOLUTION
1160
So: = 3800 = 0.30526
We now calculate the precision of the study.
z 2 ( 1− ) 212 (−0.30526 )
=√ = √ = ±0.04896 : = ±4.89%
3800 (0.30526 )
What is even less than the requested precision.

2. Once the previous points have been determined, the following formulas are applied:
p ( 1− ) z 2 ( 1− )
= =√ = 2( )

Where:
Percentage type error.
= Acceptable tolerance limit expressed as a decimal.
P = Probability of the presence of the element or proportion of the activity of interest
expressed as a decimal.
Nc = Z = confidence level.
N = Number of observations or sample size.
s = Desired accuracy.
3. It is assumed that the downtime of a machine is 30%; it is desired to know the number of
necessary observations to know this time with a tolerance of 5% and a
accuracy of 95.45%.
Suppose that after the first 200 observations, it has been observed 70 times a
dead time; under these conditions, determine if the established tolerance has been achieved and,
in case it has not been obtained, calculate the number of necessary observations.

SOLUTION

0.05
= = = 0.025
2
p ( 1− ) 0.301( -0.30 )
= = = 336
2 0.0252

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