Ghansoli Market Research Report 2023
Ghansoli Market Research Report 2023
Client : XYZ
Sources of Data
Liases Foras conducts primary market survey quarterly to collect the market data using mystery shopping
technique. The data once gets collected go through different round of validation before it gets published. Liases
Foras works closely with NHB, Banks and other HFCs which also acts as the source of validation. Apart from that
Liases Foras also use RERA, registration data for data collection and validation.
The data used in the report primarily depends upon Liases Foras primary market data and data available on RERA
website. Wherever project level data level is available on RERA website, the reports have used RERA data. For
market level trends of absorption ,unsold and price, Liases Foras’s data base have been used.
2
Report outline
3
Aim and Objective of the study
Aim
• The aim of the study is to conduct a market research and assess the feasibility of the ongoing project.
Objective
• To analyze the current dynamics of residential market with respect to supply, sales and product offerings in the
market.
• Assess the prevailing prices in market and its productivity.
• Detailed analysis of the competitive residential projects with respect to supply, sales , product offerings and
pricing.
• Analyzing the retail fabric focusing on supply, demand, lease rental and outright pricing in the market.
4
Section 1
Site Analysis
• The section will analyze the site on the basis of its Location, Connectivity and Urban settings
5
Location Context Subject site is located in Ghansoli, Navi Mumbai.
N Towards Thane
Airoli
Rabale MIDC
Subject Site
Rabale
Upcoming Reliance Corporate Park
NMIA
NMMT Bus Depot
Legend Ghansoli Subject Site
Subject Site
Aurum IT Park
Major Roads
Railway Line Ghansoli Railway Station
Railway Station Millenium Business Park &
Map showing subject site with respect to MMR
Dhirubhai Ambani
Airport
Locations Distance Kopar Kairane Towards Belapur Knowledge City
Subject Site
Residential
Industrial
No Development
Mixed Use Development
Subject site at view point C Subject site at view point B
Map showing subject site and its immediate surrounding
7
Note: Maps shown above are not to scale Source : Liases Foras
Social Infrastructure – Education
There is an abundant presence of well developed education facilities in 2 km radius of subject site.
1 KM
St Jude School 3.2 km 8 min
Subject Site
Lokmanya Tilak International
4.1 km 10 min
School
8
Social Infrastructure – Healthcare
There is an ample presence of reputed Hospitals in 2 km radius of subject site.
N Table below showing distance and travel time of prominent
Hospitals from subject site.
Legend
Subject Site
Hospitals
1 KM
D Mart 2.7 km 8 min
D Mart Ready 4.3 km 11 min
D Mart 4.5 km 12 min
Legend
Subject Site
Malls
Convenience stores
10
Existing Employment Centres
Corporate Parks, IT Parks and MIDC foster the demand for housing in Ghansoli, Koparkhairane and
nearby locations. Thus the development at the subject site is a good investment destination.
Subject Site 1 KM 2 KM
11
[Link]
Section 2
Residential Market dynamics
12
Section 2.1
Catchment dynamics
The section deals with quantitative analysis of residential market dynamics in the delineated
catchment area and understand the market trends.
13
Catchment analysis
• In this section, we engage in quantitative analysis of the
N residential market dynamics in the delineated catchment
area
• The catchment can be identified as a region having
similar geography and demography which can be said to
experience a similar trend in development in the
subsequent years.
• Main infrastructure corridors and roads and natural
boundaries serve to act as the boundaries of the
catchment. The catchment is so selected that it includes
all ongoing projects and prominent projects that would
serve as competitors to the development at the subject
2 KM site.
• The delineated catchment comprises the Ghansoli,
Koparkhairane and Rabale within 2km radius keeping
total supply, price and proximity from the site as
primary criteria.
• These catchment have been delineated keeping proximity
and price as the primary criteria.
Catchment summary
No. of projects 20
Catchment Projects
No. of developers 19
Subject Site
Sales in Last twelve months (Units) 383
Map showing delineated catchment and projects within.
Unsold Stock as on Nov-22 (Units) 1,522
Months Inventory 48
Weighted Average Saleable Price (INR PSF) 10,581
LTM 18-19 (Q2) 174 34% 778 -13% 240 10,930 3% 54 1.52%
LTM 19-20 (Q2) 348 100% 815 5% 495 10,809 -1% 28 2.49%
LTM 20-21 (Q2) 162 -53% 803 -1% 54 10,340 -4% 59 1.40%
LTM 21-22 (Q2) 245 51% 590 -27% 0 10,034 -3% 29 2.45%
LTM 22-23 (Q2) 383 56% 1,522 158% 815 10,201 2% 48 1.68%
* Base price
15
Market Overview: Price Range Analysis
Sales in Last
Saleable Rate Range % of total Unsold as on % of total Marketable Months Efficiency
Twelve Months
(INR PSF)* Sales Sept-22 (Units) unsold Supply Inventory Percentile
(Units)
Rs 7,001 - Rs 7,500 1 0% 16 1% 17 192 1%
Rs 7,501 - Rs 8,000 19 5% 9 1% 28 6 24%
Rs 8,001 - Rs 8,500 24 6% 41 3% 65 21 27%
Rs 8,501 - Rs 9,000 27 7% 425 28% 452 189 29%
Rs 9,001 - Rs 9,500 34 9% 91 6% 125 32 37%
Rs 9,501 - Rs 10,000 81 21% 97 6% 178 14 94%
Rs 10,001 - Rs 10,500 76 20% 27 2% 103 4 100%
Rs 10,501 - Rs 11,000 55 14% 545 36% 600 119 58%
Rs 11,001 - Rs 11,500 21 5% 216 14% 237 123 22%
Rs 11,501 - Rs 12,000 14 4% 0 0% 14 0 21%
Rs 12,501 - Rs 13,000 31 8% 55 4% 86 21 35%
Grand Total 383 100% 1,522 100%
* Base price
16
Market Overview: New Supply Analysis
.
Chart showing new supply over the years Prominent new supply LTM 22-23 (Q2)
No. of Units Project Name Supply
0 200 400 600 800 1000 Alliance Icon 75
LTM 17-18 LTM 18-19 LTM 19-20 LTM 20-21 LTM 21-22 LTM 22-23
02628
Total New Supply = 54 Units Prominent new supply in LTM 19-20 (Q2)
Top 10 projects in terms of Annual sales Projects having highest unsold stock as Top performing developers in terms of
in LTM Sept-2022 on Sept-22 Value of stock sold in LTM Sept-2022
*Note : As per data shared by the developer, the unsold units are 130. 18
Construction stage wise absorption trend
19
Section 2.2
Product Assessment
Assessment of product performance, detail analysis based on carpet area and ticket
size.
Note: Ticket size mentioned is the base ticket size and does not include car parking, floor rise, club
house, additional charges & government taxes.
20
Product assessment
21
Product Shift in new supply
Graph showing product share over the years in terms of new supply
New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply
0 240 495 54 0 815
units units units units units units
1000
900
800 815
700
600
500 495
400
300
240
200
100
54
0 0 0
LTM 17-18 (Q2) LTM 18-19 (Q2) LTM 19-20 (Q2) LTM 20-21 (Q2) LTM 21-22 (Q2) LTM 22-23 (Q2)
1 BHK 2 BHK 3 BHK Total
22
Product Shift in sales
Graph showing product share over the years in terms of annual sales
New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply New Supply
0 240 495 54 0 815
units units units units units units
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400 383
348
300
245
200 174 162
100 130
0
LTM 17-18 (Q2) LTM 18-19 (Q2) LTM 19-20 (Q2) LTM 20-21 (Q2) LTM 21-22 (Q2) LTM 22-23 (Q2)
1BHK 1RK 2 1/2 BHK 2BHK 3 1/2 BHK 3BHK 4 1/2 BHK Total
23
1 BHK Product Assessment
450 - 500 44 12
500-600 11 11
Grand Total 89 12 101
24
1 BHK Product Assessment
Carpet Size Range (sq. ft.) Project name Sales in LTM (Units)
Neelsiddhi anexo 15
400 - 450
Goldcrest residency 9
Mahavir sapphire 23
450 - 500 Shakti aura 13
Q residency 12
500-600 Yashraj Heights 11
25
2 BHK Product Assessment
500-600 15 7% 8 1% 23 6 16%
600-700 104 47% 162 21% 266 19 100%
700-800 97 44% 571 74% 668 71 88%
800-900 4 2% 35 5% 39 105 4%
Total 220 100% 776 100%
Carpet Size Range (sq. ft.) Project name Sales in LTM (Units)
500 - 600 Neelsiddhi anexo 12
Q Residency 59
600 - 700 Mahavir sapphire 14
Mannat 13
Grand plaza 26
700-800 Infinity tower 23
Satyam and Gami plot no.8 11
27
3 BHK Product Assessment
Satyam and Gami plot no.8 (12 units) Grand Plaza (19 units)
28
3 BHK Product Assessment
29
4 / 4.5 BHK Product Assessment
Q residency
Top performing projects in LTM Sept-2022 are:
Carpet Size Range (sq. ft.) Project name Sales in LTM (Units)
1,400 – 1,500 Q residency 1
30
Product Assessment: Summary
Top performing
Typology Product Top performing In sync with
base ticket Product type Carpet size
preference type Carpet Size range the market
size*
600-700 1cr. – 1.25 cr.
1st Preference 2 BHK 2 BHK 642 Yes
700-800 1.25 cr. – 1.5cr.
2nd
1 BHK 450-500 40lacs – 80lacs 1 BHK 435 Yes
Preference
3rd 800 - 900 1.25 cr. – 1.5cr 3.5 BHK 1,111 Yes
3 BHK
Preference 2cr. – 2.5 cr 4.5 BHK 1,312 Risky
1,000-1,100
* Ticket sizes mentioned above are base ticket sizes and doesn’t include carpark, club house and other charges
[Link]
Section 2.3
Competitive Projects Assessment
• The section will analyze the offerings of the key competitive projects in terms of their sales,
supply and prices. It will also analyze their units size and ticket size.
32
Competitive projects overview
33
Competitive projects overview of Apartments
Seawoods Residences
L&T Realty Mar-19 Dec-27 Rs. 15,035 1,183 449 38% 734 0.8%
(Phase - I)
Today Global
Today Global Mar-19 Dec-24 Rs. 7,103 674 390 58% 284 1.3%
Anandam
34
Supply
Total supply
Project Name 1 BHK 2 BHK 3 BHK 4 BHK Others
of units
Seawoods Residences
39% 55% 6% 1183
(Phase - I)
Today Global
34% 55% 11% 674
Anandam
35
Sales
Total
Sold Units Sold
Project Name 1 BHK 2 BHK 3BHK 4 BHK Others supply of
% Units
units
Arihant Advika 9% 6% 15% 51 345
Today Global
21% 31% 6% 58% 390 674
Anandam
36
Product assessment for Unit types
Others 3 1% 37 1% 40 148 2%
37
Product Assessment of Unit types on basis of Carpet area
Carpet size analysis for 2BHK in Annual Sales
Last twelve Marketable
Carpet Unsold as on Months
months sales Sold % Unsold % supply Efficiency %
area range Nov-2022 inventory
(Units) (Units)
600-700 99 56% 302 26% 401 37 100%
700-800 40 22% 474 41% 514 142 39%
800-900 39 22% 389 33% 428 120 38%
Grand Total 178 100% 1,165 100% 1,343 79
38
Product Assessment of Unit types on basis of Saleable size and Ticket price
Base ticket size range analysis for 2BHK in Annual Sales
39
Product Summary recommendation
Based on top performing products in the competitive projects.
40
Section 2.4
Price Derivation
Based on the analysis on product and price assessment from catchment, competitive
projects, we would recommend the launch price.
The launch price on the site has been determined using grading of competitive projects.
Premium Discounting method: This method benchmarks the project with nearby comparable
projects and the final price is derived based on the premium/discount achieved by comparing the
projects.
41
Assessment of launch price at Site
Table showing reasoning of comparable projects
1.8 km 2km
Connectivity to nearest railway
1.2km Not in better proximity to station than Not in better proximity to station
station
subject site than subject site
Proximity to proposed metro Not in close proximity to proposed Not in close proximity to proposed
In Close proxomity
stations metro stations metro stations
Proximity to developed IT parks In Close proximity Not in close proximity Not in close proximity
42
Assessment of launch price at Site
43
Product viability .
Catchment offerings Product offering by XYZ in R6 & R7
In sync with
Typology Product Top performing Carpet size market
Product type
preference type Carpet Size range range
1st 600-700
2 BHK 2 BHK 642 Yes
Preference 700-800
2nd
1 BHK 450-500 1 BHK 435 Yes
Preference
3.5 BHK 1,111 Yes
4.5 BHK 1,312 Risky
44