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1.292 Probability and Random Processes Exercise 1.6 1. Suppose that the life time of a certain kind of radioactive Materig which follow Weibull distribution with parameters. (in ey, a=6.25x10-? fB=05 (a) Determine the mean life of a radio active material. (b) Calculate its variance. Ans: (a) 512 years, () 1319759 Yen 2. If the random ‘variable follows exponential distribution with prove that ¥ = X? follows a weibull distribution with parameters » oy = 1 4-1 ewt i [um 2(SJeho, 1.12 Normal Distribution The Normal Distribution was first described by De Moive in 1933 as the int form of Binorzial Distribution as the number of trials becomes infinite. This covery came into limelight after its discovery by both Laplace and Cau ie century later. So this distribution is also called Gaussian distribution. 1.12.1 Definition A continuous random variable X with probability density function. -aesey? —0o<2r<00 f(z) = ae —00 0 is said to follow normal distribution. Here the parameters are o and 4, where mean = pz and S.D =o. Notes: The normal distribution is denoted by X ~ N(y,0) or X ~ N(u,0") 1.12.2 Characteristics of Normal Distribution and Normal pro> ability curve (@) The Curve is bell shaped and symmetrical about the line x = }1. i). Mean, Median and Mode of the distribution coincide.Random Variables 1.233 (iii) As # increases numerically, F(x) decreases rapidly, the maximum proba- 1. given by [p(t)]ying = bility occurring at the point x [ a n o (iv) Since f() is non - negative, the curve will not g0 below the (v) z-axis is an asymptote to the curve. (vi) wre = 0 (7 =0,1,2,3,..,) and far = 1.3.5... (2r ~ 1) 92, (r =0,1,2,. 1.12.3 Moment Generating Function of Normal Distribution By definition Mx(t) = Efe'*] oo Put z dz = odz 1 @ > | etter). 2 co 8 1 =e / en Ble-09? 027] "00 °0 2 sett oP 1 feteovtas 00 Von Put 2-ot=y dz=dy seme or Pe ‘Vin fF au ~001.234 Probability and Random Processes . ’ - 2 ote. z= edu = a 2 Put 57? u atv? = du=dtv2 woe 2 fee et vel dtV2 4 sh 2 noth feta one 2 Oo [Jew 3 1 Mx(t) = ete 1.12.4 Moments of Normal distribution Prove that all odd order moments of a Normal distribution N(y1, 07) about is mean are zero and its even order moments about the mean are given by the recu- rence relation. ) Han = 0?(2n — 1)pan-2- Proof: Odd order moments about mean are given by pana = f (@- eP'se Ms 2 °° fe = pen). en de co — - [wore Foo dzis an odd function of z. a2nt le e integrand = i. i h 7 a order moments about mean are given by . pon = | (e— WPLodr oS 7 1 ag ale f (o2)"" -6°F ode avin : a 2n va ae 7 | 2" .eF de an J, . 2n fi 2". e"Fdz |." the integrand is an even function of z}. ao aProbability and Random Processes — on gn =F hos ‘Changing n to (n — 1), we get en : gn-1¢g2n-2 T Han-2 = FR 3, In + Loi n—-4 = fon = Han—2° 0? (2n — 1) 1.12.5 Mean and Variance of Normal Distribution using M.G.F Mx(é) = onthe awxi=[$ ax(o)| - te n+ o*} . = [Pu +0] =H [ween =] E[X?] = [= Ix (€ - cE d a [e" oF ut oto] a = ao (wt ot)? + euttee ©] t=0 ee Oe ELX?] a we +02 Variance (X) = E[X?] — [E[X]]? =p +0? = [uP = 0? Var (X) = 0? 1.12.6 Median and Mode of Normal distribution Median of normal distribution M Mis the median of X if J f(x)de = f f(x)de = 4 0° MRandom Variables 1.237 oV2n fp 1 Gag? Pq hha ; i 7 dx + i pee Bee da On wae 5 a) i Now, since the normal curve is symmetrical about z = 1, and oo : 2 0° 1 ] 1 -S#dc=1, wehave / es ovr oV2n 2 te i Using this in (1), we get : j= 02 dr = [ avon M =». i.e., Median = | Mode of normal distribution mm variable X is defined as the value of x for which Mode of a continuous randot He)is maximum, ie., f(z) = 0, £"(@) <0. For the normal distribution, aoe 09
rap f(z) = dite = p)f'(x) + F(z) Peay = GW = Sp x ee <0hability sind Random Processes is maximum ate . Mode = j1 12.7. Standard Normal Distribution Standard normal distribution: If X is # random variable Following normal dig X =H jg called the standard noma, bution with parameter jr and 7 then Z = —G is given by variate and the p.d.f of the standard variate Zi - Fee 0 Pe Bo) =P so 150 =,” 150 a sto — 500 =P|zZ> a [ T60 2 0.05 ey 500) a ate plos= < 21500 0.5 — 0.05 = 0.45. the value is approximately 1.645. P ao — 500 fen 0| Solution Given p = 1,0 =2 [Link] Piix-a)< 3[x>] X-1_0-1 a | _ Pik
-3]\ 984 Pohabitity and Random Processes po
=Po
80) = 0.05Random Voriables 1.235 Jj so - p(z< a) =01 su Let SoH, 7 P(Z@<2Ay=01 . PWS Z<-2) = 04 f.. _ SUH so- ‘Also p(x > Sar) =0.05 + Let “ "zy P(Z > Zz) = 0.05 =05-P(0< Z < 23) = 0.05 ie, + P(O
| 1.256 Probability and Random Processes Solved Problem 1.224 arks obtained by the students in Maths, pj. istributed about mean 50, 52, 48 and S.p 1 et a bility of securing a total mark of (i) 180 or walby In an examination the m Chemistry are normally di spectively. Find the probill 90 or below. 8, (4 Solution Let X.Y; Z be the marks of respective subjects. The total marks T= X+Y+Z p= E(T) = 2(X+¥ +2) = E{X]+ ElY] + £[Z] = 50 +52 +48 = 150 = Var (X + ¥ + Z) = Var (X) + Var (Y) + Var (Z) = 225 + 144 + 256 = 625 Var (T) «By additive property, T is a normal variate with pp = 150; 0? = 625, ie,¢=2 To find a > P(T > 180) =P [ B27 30 - [222] = P(Z > 1.2) =0.5— PIKE Z $14) =0.5— 0.3849 = 0.1151 * Gi) oe T —150 _ 90-150 PIT < 90) =P |95 = 95- : = P[Z < -2.4)=0.5- P[0< Z< 24] = 0.5 — 0.4918 = 0.0082. @ T —150 _ 180— 122) Solved Problem 1.225 : th inde The skulls are classified as A,B and C according to the length bread as under 75, between 75 and 80, and above 80 respectively. Find the nee standard deviation, assuming the distribution is normal in which #1 is 58% 38% and C is 4%. Also given that isRandom Variables 1.257 t 1 f(-#) j= /e dx then (0.20) = 0, LO Qn [ and ii 5 a *y pe the random variable denoting the length and breadth index. Xe = yet n= pand S.D =o Let mem oz, Z2 oe P(X < 75) = 0.58 [> < Bee) = 0.58 o o 75 — ie,s P(B<%)=0.58 — where Z) = —> H => P(0< Z< Z) = 0.08 (4) Also.’ P(Z > 80) = 0.04 P [= > s=4] =0.04 o o 80= P(Z > Zz) =0.04 | Z,y=—— B > P(0
2 Gi). X < 20 Gi) O< X S12 (iv) Find @ when P(X > a) = 0.24 (v) Find b and.c when P(b< X
c) = 0.25 Solution Given p = 12,0 =4 @ Pox > 20) = [=5™ ad 4 2 4 =P(Z>2) =05-P(0
a) =0.24 =12a-12) 9, 7 Z| = 0.24 P [2 — 2) =0.24 => P(Z>2Z)=0.24 Also P(Z > 2) =0.5- P(0
2) = 0.5 — 0.24 = 0.26 rom the tables Zi = 0-71 (approx) o-¥ son > a=1484 > (y Given P(< X <0) = 0.50 and P(X > ce) = 0.25 p-12_ X-12 £512) Z) = 0.25 Now P(Z> 2) =05-P(0
Z, = 0.67 from the tables : c—¥ = 0.07 > c= 14.68 From (1) and (2) P(Z < Z <0) = 0.25 “s = -0.67 > b=9.32 c= 14.68, b = 9.32 “Wed Problem 1.227 hay, 64 ‘Ormal distributi tle a pala 31% Of the items are under 45 and 8% are over 64. Find = ‘ard deviation of the distribution. a1.260 Probability and Random Processes Solution Let mean be jt and standard deviation X-1 Z= Here 31% of the items are under 45. i.e, oe < 45] = 0.31 p(z<5 < S=1) = 0.31 ofthe ordinate at Z = “854 is 0.31 and i ordinate upto mean is 0.5-0.31=0.19,. ing to this area is 0.5. (from Normal tables) The area lying to the left of area lying to the right of the The value of Z, correspondit <—S =< Su Oty 7 s 45 - Hence Z = —— #05 q 8% of the items are above 64. ie, P[X < 64] = 0.08 p(2< e aon) = 0.08 ‘Area to the left of the ordinate at Z = S4=# upto the mean is 0.5-0.0 the value of Z corresponding to this area is 1.4. Hence Z = S47 # = 14 o From equations (1) and (2) . * =p + 0.50 = —45 —p- 140 = —64 Solving for jz and c, we get : =50 and o=10Random Variables 1.261 erciso 17 ation with mean 15. tion with mean 15.00 and $.D 3.5, iti normal popula a .5, it is known that 647 a tions exceed 16.25, What is the total no of observations in the pop- ulation: [Ans: 647) ‘an imteligence test is administered to 1,000 children. The average score is, 2 igmdSD=24 ( Find the number of children exceeding the score 60. Gi Find the number of children with score lying between 20 and 40. (As- sume the normal distribution). [Ans: (i) 227, (ii) 289] = 10, find P(15 < x < 40). [Ans: 0.6687] 4, The normal distribution 1 = 20 and S.D 4, The average seasonal rainfall in a place is 16 inches with S.D of 4 inches. Matis the probability that in a year the rainfall in that place will be be- tween 20 and 24 inches ? [Ans: 0.1359] 5, Ina distribution exactly normal, 7% of items are under 35 and 89% are under 63, What are the mean and S.D of the distribution. [Ans: Mean = 20.29, S.D = 10.33] 6. Inacertain examination the percentage of passes and distributions were 46 and 9 respectively. Estimate the average marks obtained by the candidates, the minimum pass and distinction marks being 40 and 75 respectively (As- sume the distribution of marks to be normal). [Ans: Mean = 36.4; $.D = 28.2] 1. The mini ae saan height is to be prescribed for eligibility to government ser- at 60% of the young men will have a fair chance to coming UP to the : with iar The weights of the young men are normally distributed .6" and 8. 2.55”. Determine the minimum specifications. [Ans: 59.9”] Boece1.262 Probability and Random Processes 8. The monthly income of a group of 10,000 persons are found to distributed with mean Rs. 750 and S.D Rs. 50. Show that ony group, about 95% has income exceeding Rs. 668 and only 5% hia hy exceeding Rs. 832. What is the lowest income among the riches, iron, (AMER “9 ‘The mean 1.Q. of a large number of children of the age 14 was 100 ang 16. Assuming the distribution was normal, find. Sp (a) What % of children has I.Q under 80. (b) Between what limits the 1.Q’s of the middle 40% of the children jn (c) What % of the children are within the range 41 + 1.96. ‘. [Ans: (a) 10.56%, (b) 91.6, 1084, () 995 10. Assume the mean heights of soldiers to be 68.22 inches with a variance g 10.8(inches)?. How many soldiers in a regiment of 1,000 would you expt to be over 6 feet tall. [Ans: 129 11. The height measurements of 600 adult males are arranged in an ascenting ” order and it is observed that 180" and 450" entries are 64.2" and 618" respectively. Assuming that the sample of height is drawn from a nom population, estimate the mean and S.D of the population. [Ans: 67.78",3] 12. Given X is normally distributed. P[X < 45] = 0.31 and P[X > 64]= 0.08. Find the mean and S.D [Ans: 50,10) 13. A company finds that the time taken by one of its engineers to compltt a repair job has a normal distribution with mean 40 minutes and sD: minutes. State what proportion of jobs take: (i) Less than 35 minutes. More than 48 minutes. [Ans: (9 0.159, Gi) 008 2)
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