Section 9.x.
x Renewal Process enter value
Time between failures (Xi)
Normal Failure Distribution Exponential Failure
or Central Limit Theorem applies Distribution
MTBF Std. Dev. Time t MTBF Time t HPP
5 1 12 E[N(t)] 10 50 E[N(t)]
j Pr{Tj > t} Pr{N(t) = j 1.963 Pr{Tj > t} Pr{N(t) = j 5
0 R(t) = 1.27987E-12 R(t) = 6.738E-03
1 1.2799E-12 0.07865 0.006738 3.369E-02 ###
2 0.0786496 0.87972 0.040428 8.422E-02 ###
3 0.95836774 0.04160 0.124652 1.404E-01 ###
4 0.99996833 0.00003 0.265026 1.755E-01 ###
5 1 0.00000 0.440493 1.755E-01 ###
6 1 0.00000 0.615961 1.462E-01 ###
7 1 0.00000 0.762183 1.044E-01 ###
8 1 0.00000 0.866628 6.528E-02 ###
9 1 0.00000 0.931906 3.627E-02 ###
10 1 0.00000 0.968172 1.813E-02 ###
11 1 0.00000 0.986305 8.242E-03 ###
12 1 0.00000 0.994547 3.434E-03 ###
13 1 0.00000 0.997981 1.321E-03 ###
14 1 0.00000 0.999302 4.717E-04 ###
15 1 0.00000 0.999774 1.572E-04 ###
16 1 0.00000 0.999931 4.914E-05 ###
17 1 0.00000 0.999980 1.445E-05 ###
18 1 0.00000 0.999995 4.015E-06 ###
19 1 0.00000 0.999999 1.056E-06 ###
20 1 0.00000 1.000000 2.641E-07 ###
21 1 0.00000 1.000000 6.289E-08 ###
22 1 0.00000 1.000000 1.429E-08 ###
23 1 0.00000 1.000000 3.107E-09 ###
24 1 0.00000 1.000000 6.473E-10 ###
25 1 1.000000 1.295E-10
Quiz #3
MSC 565 09/20/2025
fall 2003
Section 9.3.2 Minimal repair
Intensity Function Power law process
b 2
a 0.001 rho(t) = a b t^b
ab 0.00200
Time 1 Time 2 Interval Time 1 to Time 2
time - t 6 7 1
rho(t) 0.012 0.014
Instanteneous MTBF 83.333333 71.42857
Expected number of failures 0.036 0.049 0.013 prob 1 fail prob 2 fail
R(t) 0.96464 0.95218 0.98708 0.012832 0.0000834
enter value
Quiz #3
MSC 565 09/20/2025
fall 2003
NHPP
n
2
prob n fail
8.34E-05
Quiz 3
MSC 565 09/20/2025
fall 2003
Section 9.5 Reliability under Preventive Maintenance enter value
Maintenance
Interval 100 Maintenance Induced Failure Probability 0.005
Weibull b q Normal m σ Lognormal
value 2 1000 value 1000 400 value
n time R(t) Rm(t) R(t) Rm(t)
1 100 0.99005 0.98510 0.98778 0.98284
2 200 0.96079 0.97042 0.97725 0.96597
3 300 0.91393 0.95596 0.95994 0.94939
4 400 0.85214 0.94172 0.93319 0.93309
5 500 0.77880 0.92769 0.89435 0.91708
6 600 0.69768 0.91386 0.84134 0.90134
7 700 0.61263 0.90025 0.77337 0.88587
8 800 0.52729 0.88683 0.69146 0.87066
9 900 0.44486 0.87362 0.59871 0.85572
10 1000 0.36788 0.86060 0.50000 0.84103
11 1100 0.29820 0.84778 0.40129 0.82660
12 1200 0.23693 0.83514 0.30854 0.81241
13 1300 0.18452 0.82270 0.22663 0.79847
14 1400 0.14086 0.81044 0.15866 0.78476
15 1500 0.10540 0.79837 0.10565 0.77129
16 1600 0.07730 0.78647 0.06681 0.75806
17 1700 0.05558 0.77475 0.04006 0.74505
18 1800 0.03916 0.76321 0.02275 0.73226
19 1900 0.02705 0.75184 0.01222 0.71969
20 2000 0.01832 0.74063 0.00621 0.70734
21 2100 0.01216 0.72960 0.00298 0.69520
22 2200 0.00791 0.71873 0.00135 0.68327
23 2300 0.00504 0.70802 0.00058 0.67154
24 2400 0.00315 0.69747 0.00023 0.66001
25 2500 0.00193 0.68707 0.00009 0.64868
Quiz 3
MSC 565 09/20/2025
fall 2003
m s
1000 1
R(t) Rm(t)
0.989349 0.98440
0.94624 0.96905
0.8857 0.95393
0.820243 0.93905
0.755891 0.92441
0.695263 0.90999
0.639332 0.89579
0.588288 0.88182
0.541955 0.86807
0.5 0.85453
0.462034 0.84120
0.427665 0.82808
0.39652 0.81516
0.368257 0.80245
0.342568 0.78993
0.319176 0.77761
0.297838 0.76548
0.278338 0.75354
0.260484 0.74179
0.244109 0.73022
0.229063 0.71883
0.215215 0.70761
0.202448 0.69658
0.190659 0.68571
0.179757 0.67502
Section 9.6 State-Dependent Systems with Repair
Two active redundant components with identical CFR with repair enter value
Failure Rate l 0.5 MTTF
Repair Rate r 2 7
Intermediate values
radical x1 -0.149219
3.2015621 x2 -3.350781
time P1(t) P2(t) P3(t) R(t)
1 0.6417938 0.2581 0.1001061 0.899894
2 0.5451306 0.231371 0.2234988 0.776501
3 0.469295 0.199615 0.3310896 0.66891
4 0.4042321 0.171956 0.423812 0.576188
5 0.3481973 0.14812 0.5036828 0.496317
6 0.2999304 0.127588 0.5724821 0.427518
7 0.2583542 0.109901 0.6317444 0.368256
8 0.2225413 0.094667 0.6827918 0.317208
9 0.1916927 0.081544 0.726763 0.273237
10 0.1651204 0.070241 0.764639 0.235361
11 0.1422315 0.060504 0.7972646 0.202735
12 0.1225154 0.052117 0.8253677 0.174632
13 0.1055324 0.044892 0.8495751 0.150425
14 0.0909035 0.03867 0.870427 0.129573
15 0.0783025 0.033309 0.8883883 0.111612
16 0.0674483 0.028692 0.9038599 0.09614
17 0.0580986 0.024715 0.9171868 0.082813
18 0.050045 0.021289 0.9286663 0.071334
19 0.0431078 0.018338 0.9385545 0.061445
20 0.0371322 0.015796 0.9470721 0.052928
Section 9.6 State-Dependent Systems with Repair
Two identical CFR components with one in standby and with repair
Primary Failure Rate l1 0.0005
Standby Failure rate l2 0.002
Repair Rate r 0.1
Intermediate values
k1 0.1025 x1 -9.757026E-06 MTTF
k2 0.000001 x2 -0.102490243 102500
time P1(t) P2(t) P4(t) R(t)
1000 0.98555 0.00483 0.00962 0.99038
2000 0.97598 0.00478 0.01923 0.98077
3000 0.96651 0.00474 0.02875 0.97125
4000 0.95712 0.00469 0.03818 0.96182
5000 0.94783 0.00465 0.04752 0.95248
6000 0.93863 0.00460 0.05677 0.94323
7000 0.92951 0.00456 0.06593 0.93407
8000 0.92049 0.00451 0.07500 0.92500
9000 0.91155 0.00447 0.08398 0.91602
10000 0.90270 0.00443 0.09288 0.90712
11000 0.89393 0.00438 0.10168 0.89832
12000 0.88525 0.00434 0.11041 0.88959
13000 0.87666 0.00430 0.11904 0.88096
14000 0.86815 0.00426 0.12760 0.87240
15000 0.85972 0.00421 0.13607 0.86393
16000 0.85137 0.00417 0.14446 0.85554
17000 0.84310 0.00413 0.15276 0.84724
18000 0.83492 0.00409 0.16099 0.83901
19000 0.82681 0.00405 0.16914 0.83086
20000 0.81878 0.00401 0.17720 0.82280
enter value