Chernobyl Accident: Exposures & Effects
Chernobyl Accident: Exposures & Effects
INTRODUCTION
The accident of 26 April 1986 at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, located in Ukraine about 20 km
south of the border with Belarus, was the most severe ever to have occurred in the nuclear industry. The impact
of the accident on the workers and local residents has indeed been both serious and enormous. The accident
caused the deaths within a few days or weeks of 30 power plant employees and firemen (including 28 deaths that
were due to radiation exposure). Later on, about 240,000 workers (“liquidators”) were called upon in 1986 and
1987 to take part in major mitigation activities at the reactor and within the 30-km zone surrounding the reactor.
Residual mitigation activities continued until 1990; all together, about 600,000 persons received the special
status of “liquidator”.
In addition, massive releases of radioactive materials into the atmosphere brought about the evacuation
of about 116,000 people from areas surrounding the reactor during 1986, and the relocation, after 1986, of about
220,000 people from what are at this time three independent republics of the former Soviet Union: Belarus, the
Russian Federation, and Ukraine). Vast territories of those three republics were contaminated, and trace
deposition of released radionuclides was measurable in all countries of the northern hemisphere. The radiation
exposures of members of the public resulting from the Chernobyl accident were due initially to 131I and short-
lived radionuclides and subsequently to radiocaesiums (134Cs and 137Cs) from both external irradiation and the
consumption of foods contaminated with these radionuclides.
The United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR) considered
the initial radiological consequences of that accident in its 1988 Report (1). In that Report, the short-term effects
and treatment of radiation injuries of workers and firefighters who were present at the site at the time of the
accident were reviewed in the Appendix to Annex G, “Early effects in man of high doses of radiation”, and the
average individual and collective doses to the population of the northern hemisphere were evaluated in Annex D,
“Exposures from the Chernobyl accident” (1). The UNSCEAR Committee now is preparing its 2000 Report,
which will include an Annex on the radiation impact of the Chernobyl accident. The two main objectives of that
document are (a) to review in greater detail the exposures of those most closely involved in the accident and the
residents of the local areas most affected by the residual contamination and (b) to consider the health
consequences that are or could be associated with these radiation exposures. Although the UNSCEAR document
is still in draft form, it has been deemed useful to take the opportunity of the IRPA Congress to present its current
contents and conclusions to the radiation protection community. It should be kept in mind, however, that changes
may be made by the UNSCEAR Committee during its next meeting and that, in particular, numerical estimates
provided in this paper may differ from those that will actually be published in the UNSCEAR Report.
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Russian Federation. The Kaluga-Tula-Orel area is located in the Russian Federation, about 500 km to the north-
east of the reactor. All together, territories from the former Soviet Union with an area of about 150,000 km2 were
contaminated. About six million people reside in those territories. A large number of radiation measurements
(film badges, TLDs, whole-body counts, thyroid counts, etc.) were made to evaluate the radiation exposures of
the population groups that are considered. Information on the contamination levels and radiation doses in other
countries is presented only if it is related to epidemiological studies conducted in those countries.
Research on possible health effects is focused on, but not limited to, the investigation of leukaemia
among workers involved in the accident and of thyroid cancer among children. Other health effects that are
considered are the non-cancer somatic disorders (e.g., thyroid abnormalities and immunological effects), the
reproductive effects, and the psychological effects. Of particular interest are the epidemiological studies that
have been undertaken among the populations of Belarus, the Russian Federation, and Ukraine that were most
affected by the accident to investigate whether dose-effect relationships can be obtained, notably with respect to
the induction of thyroid cancer resulting from internal irradiation by 131I in young children and to the induction of
leukaemia among workers resulting from external irradiation at low dose rates.
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Table 1. Estimated inventories and releases of some of the radionuclides involved in the Chernobyl accident on
26 April 1986 (12, 22-28).
Noble gases
85
Kr 10.7 a 33 33
133
Xe 5.25 d 6 500 6 500
Volatile elements
132
Te 3.26 d 4 200 1 040
131
I 8.04 d 3 200 1 760
133
I 20.8 h 4 800 910
134
Cs 2.06 a 170 54
137
Cs 30.0 a 260 85
Intermediate
90
Sr 29.1 a 220 10
103
Ru 39.3 d 3 800 >168
106
Ru 368 d 850 >73
There were only a few measurements of the aerodynamic size of the radioactive particles released
during the first days of the accident. A crude analysis of air samples, taken at 400-600 m above the ground in the
vicinity of the Chernobyl power plant on 27 April 1986, indicated that large radioactive particles, varying in size
from several to tens of micrometers, were found, together with an abundance of smaller particles (29). In a
carefully designed experiment, aerosol samples taken on 14 and 16 May 1986 with a device installed on an
aircraft that flew above the damaged reactor were analysed by spectrometry (30, 31). The activity distribution of
the particle sizes was found to be well represented as the superposition of two log-normal functions: one with an
activity median aerodynamic diameter (AMAD) ranging from 0.3 to 1.5 µm and a geometric standard deviation
(GSD) of 1.6-1.8, and another with an AMAD of more than 10 µm. The larger particles contained about 80%-
90% of the activity of non-volatile radionuclides such as 95Zr, 95Nb, 140La, 141Ce, 144Ce, and transuranium
radionuclides embedded in the uranium matrix of the fuel (32).
The radionuclides released in the accident deposited with greatest density in the regions surrounding the
reactor in the European part of the former Soviet Union. Caesium-137 was chosen as reference radionuclide for
the ground contamination because of its substantial contribution to the lifetime effective dose, its long
radioactive half-life and its ease of measurement. As shown in Table 2, there was also appreciable 137Cs
contamination in other European coubtries.
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Table 2. Contaminated areas in European countries following the Chernobyl accident (33)
Sweden 12 000 - - -
Finland 11 500 - - -
Austria 8 600 - - -
Norway 5 200 - - -
Bulgaria 4 800 - - -
Switzerland 1 300 - - -
Greece 1 200 - - -
Slovenia 300 - - -
Italy 300 - - -
Moldova 60 - - -
RADIATION EXPOSURES
The highest doses were received by the approximately 600 emergency workers who were on the site of
the Chernobyl power plant during the night of the accident. The most important exposures were due to external
irradiation (relatively uniform whole-body gamma irradiation and beta irradiation of extensive body surfaces), as
the intake of radionuclides through inhalation was relatively small (except in two cases). Acute radiation
sickness was confirmed for 134 of those emergency workers. Forty-one of these patients received whole-body
doses from external irradiation of less than 2.1 Gy. Ninety-three patients received higher doses and had more
severe acute radiation sickness: 50 persons with doses between 2.2 and 4.1 Gy, 22 between 4.2 and 6.4 Gy, and
21 between 6.5 and 16 Gy . The skin doses from beta exposures evaluated for eight patients with acute radiation
sickness ranged from 10 to 30 Gy
About 600,000 persons (civilian and military) have received special certificates confirming their status
as liquidators (recovery operation workers), according to laws promulgated in Belarus, the Russian Federation,
and Ukraine. Of those, about 240,000 were military servicemen. The principal tasks carried out by the recovery
operation workers included decontamination of the reactor block, reactor site, and roads, as well as construction
of the sarcophagus and of a town for reactor personnel. These tasks were completed by 1990. A registry of
recovery operation workers was established in 1986. This registry includes estimates of doses from external
irradiation, which was the predominant pathway of exposure for the recovery operation workers. The registry
data show that the average recorded doses decreased from year to year, being about 0.17 Sv in 1986, 0.13 Sv in
1987, 0.03 Sv in 1988, and 0.015 Sv in 1989. It is, however, difficult to assess the validity of the results that have
been reported for a variety of reasons, including (a) the fact that different dosimeters were used by different
organizations without any intercalibration; (b) the high number of recorded doses very close to the dose limit;
and (c) the high number of rounded values such as 0.1, 0.2, or 0.5 Sv. Nevertheless, it seems reasonable to
assume that the average effective dose from external gamma irradiation to recovery operation workers in the
years 1986-1987 was about 0.1 Sv. The distribution of the external doses received by emergency workers and
various categories of liquidators is shown in Table 3.
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Table 3. Distribution of the external doses received by emergency workers and liquidators (34).
The doses received by the members of the general public resulted from the radionuclide releases from
the damaged reactor, which led to the ground contamination of large areas. Iodine-131 was the main contributor
to the thyroid doses, received mainly via internal irradiation within a few weeks after the accident, while 137Cs
was, and is, the main contributor to the doses to organs and tissues other than the thyroid, from either internal or
external irradiation, which will continue to be received, at low dose rates, during several decades.
Within a few weeks after the accident, more than 100,000 persons were evacuated from the most
contaminated areas of Ukraine and of Belarus. The thyroid doses received by the evacuees varied according to
their age, place of residence, and date of evacuation. For example, for the residents of Pripyat, who were
evacuated essentially within 48 h after the accident, the population-weighted average thyroid dose is estimated to
be 0.17 Gy, and to range from 0.07 Gy for adults to 2 Gy for infants. For the entire population of evacuees, the
population-weighted average thyroid dose is estimated to be 0.47 Gy. Doses to organs and tissues other than the
thyroid were, on average, much smaller (Table 4).
Table 4. Summary of estimated thyroid and effective doses to populations of areas evacuated in 1986.
Thyroid doses also have been estimated for the approximately 6 million residents of the contaminated
areas who were not evacuated. In each of the three Republics, thyroid doses exceeding 1 Gy have been
estimated for the most exposed infants. For residents of a given locality, thyroid doses to adults were smaller
than those to infants by a factor of about 10. The average thyroid dose was about 0.2 Gy; the variability of the
thyroid dose was about two orders of magnitude, both above and below the average.
Following the first few weeks after the accident when 131I was the main contributor to the radiation
exposures, doses were delivered at much lower dose rates by radionuclides with much longer half-lives. Since
1987, the doses received by the populations from the contaminated areas have resulted essentially from external
exposure from 134Cs and 137Cs deposited on the ground and internal exposure due to contamination of foodstuffs
by 134Cs and 137Cs. Other, usually minor, contributions to the long-term radiation exposures include the
consumption of foodstuffs contaminated with 90Sr and the inhalation of aerosols containing 239Pu. Both external
irradiation and internal irradiation due to 134Cs and 137Cs result in relatively uniform doses in all organs and
tissues of the body. The average effective doses from 134Cs and 137Cs that were received during the first ten years
after the accident by the residents of contaminated areas are estimated to be about 0.01 Sv (Table 5).
Table 5. Summary of estimated average effective doses (excluding thyroid doses) to populations of areas
contaminated by the Chernobyl accident (1986-1995).
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Belarus 5 3 8
Russian Federation 4 2.5 6.5
Ukraine 5 6 11
HEALTH EFFECTS
The papers available to date regarding the estimation of health effects resulting from the Chernobyl
accident have in many instances suffered from methodological weaknesses that make them difficult to interpret.
The weaknesses include inadequate diagnoses and classification of diseases, selection of inadequate control or
reference groups (in particular, control groups with a different level of disease ascertainment than the exposed
groups), inadequate estimation of radiation doses or lack of individual data, and failure to take screening and
increased medical surveillance into consideration. The interpretation of the studies is complicated, and particular
attention must be paid to the design and performance of epidemiological studies.
Apart from the substantial increase in thyroid cancer after childhood exposure, there is no evidence of a
major public health impact related to the ionizing radiation 14 years after the Chernobyl accident. No increases
in overall cancer incidence or mortality that could be associated with radiation exposure have been observed.
The risk of leukaemia, one of the most sensitive indicators of radiation exposure, has not been found to be
elevated even in the accident recovery operation workers or in children. There is no scientific proof of an
increase in other non-malignant disorders, somatic or mental, that are related to ionizing radiation.
The large number of thyroid cancers in individuals exposed in childhood, particularly in the severely
contaminated areas of the three affected countries, and the short induction period are considerably different from
previous experience in other accidents or exposure situations. Other factors, e.g. iodine deficiency and screening,
are most certainly influencing the risk. Few studies have addressed these problems, but those that have still find
a significant influence of radiation after taking confounding influences into consideration. The most recent
findings indicate that the thyroid cancer risk for those older than 10 years at the time of the accident is levelling
off, while the increase continues for those younger than 4-5 years in 1986.
There is a tendency to attribute increases in cancer rates (other than thyroid) over time to the Chernobyl
accident, but it should be noted that increases were also observed before the accident in the affected areas, even
for chronic lymphatic leukaemia, which is a malignancy not associated with radiation (35). Moreover, a general
increase in mortality has been reported in recent years in most areas of the former USSR, and this must also be
taken into account in interpreting the results of the present Chernobyl-related studies. Because of these and other
uncertainties, there is a need for well-designed, sound analytical studies, especially of recovery operation
workers from Belarus, the Russian Federation, Ukraine, and the Baltic countries, in which particular attention is
given to individual dose reconstruction and the effect of screening and other possible confounding factors.
Increases of a number of non-specific detrimental health effects other than cancer in accident recovery
workers have been reported, e.g. increased suicide rates and deaths due to violent causes. It is difficult to
interpret these findings without reference to a known baseline or background incidence. The exposed
populations undergo much more intensive and active health follow-up than the general population. As a result,
using the general population as a comparison group, as has been done so far in most studies, is thus inadequate.
Adding iodine to the diet of populations living in iodine-deficient areas and screening the high-risk
groups could limit the radiological consequences. Most data suggest that the youngest age group, i.e. those who
were less than five years old at the time of the accident, continues to have an increased risk of developing
thyroid cancer and should be closely monitored. In spite of the fact that many childhood thyroid cancers are
presented at an more advanced stage in terms of local aggressiveness and distant metastases, than in adulthood,,
they have a good prognosis. Continued follow-up is necessary to allow planning public health actions, to gain a
better understanding of influencing factors, to predict the outcomes of any future accidents, and to ensure
adequate radiation protection measures.
Present knowledge of the late effects of protracted exposure to ionizing radiation is limited, since the
dose-response assessments rely heavily on high-dose exposure studies and animal experiments; extrapolations
are needed, which involves uncertainty. The Chernobyl accident could, however, shed light on the late effects of
protracted exposure, but given the low doses received by the majority of exposed individuals, any increase in
cancer incidence or mortality will most certainly be difficult to detect in epidemiological studies. The main goal
is to differentiate the effects of the ionizing radiation and effects that arise from many other causes in exposed
populations.
Apart from the radiation-associated thyroid cancers among those exposed in childhood, the only group
that received doses high enough to possibly incur statistically detectable increased risks are the recovery
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operation workers. Among the recovery operation workers there is a particular group of approximately 100
individuals who survived relatively high doses of radiation in the immediate, acute phase of the accident and are
presently experiencing health impairments as sequelae of their original injuries. Studies of these populations will
probably contribute to the scientific knowledge on the late effects of ionizing radiation. Many of these
individuals receive annual medical examinations, providing a sound basis for future studies of this cohort. It is,
however, notable that no increased risk of leukaemia, an entity known to appear within 2-3 years after exposure,
has been identified more than 10 years after the accident.
The future challenge is to provide reliable individual dose estimates for the subjects enrolled in
epidemiological studies and to predict the effects of doses accumulated over protracted time (days to weeks for
thyroid exposures of children, minutes to months for bone-marrow exposures of emergency and recovery
operation workers, and months to years for whole-body exposures of those living in contaminated areas). In
doing this, many difficulties must be taken into consideration, such as (a) the role played by different
radionuclides, and especially the short-lived radioiodines; (b) the accuracy of direct thyroid measurements; (c)
the relationship between ground contamination and thyroid doses; and (d) the reliability of the recorded or
reconstructed doses for the emergency and recovery operation workers.
Finally, it should be emphasized that although those exposed as children and the emergency and
recovery operation workers are at increased risk of radiation-induced effects, the vast majority of the population
need not live in fear of dire health consequences from the Chernobyl accident. For the most part, they were
exposed to radiation levels comparable to or a few times higher than the natural background levels, and future
exposures are diminishing as the deposited radionuclides decay. Lives have been disrupted by the Chernobyl
accident, but from the radiological point of view and based on the assessments of this document, generally
positive prospects for the future health of most individuals should prevail.
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