Risk and Return
1st Term | AY 2025-2026
Prepared by Christian Alec A. Borja
Risk and Return
What Is Risk?
In finance, risk refers to the possibility that the actual
results of an investment or decision may turn out
differently, often less favorably, than what was
originally anticipated. Risk includes the possibility of
losing some or all of an original investment.
What Is a Return?
A return is the gain or loss that an investment
generates over time. It can be expressed nominally as
the change in dollar value of an investment. A return
can also be expressed as a percentage derived from
the ratio of profit to investment.
What Is Risk & Return?
An invested money can render higher profits only if
the investor will accept a higher possibility of losses.
Using this principle, individuals associate low levels of
uncertainty with low potential returns using this
principle and high levels of uncertainty or risk with
high potential returns.
Risk and Return
The return is calculated as Ending Value – Initial
Investment / Initial Investment * 100% = Return
Example: You invest ₱10,000 in a stock. After one
year, your investment grows to ₱11,500.
Return Calculation
The return can be in different forms: capital
appreciation (price increase) and dividends (profit
distribution).
Formula for Expected Return for multiple investment
outcomes: E (R) = √ ∑ (Pi * Ri)
Where: Pi is Probability of Outcome Ri is Expected
Return in that Outcome.
Measuring Risk
Risk is commonly measured using standard deviation
(σ), which shows how much actual returns deviate
from expected returns.
σ = √ ∑ Pi (Ri – E(R)) ²
Risk-Return Trade-Off
The risk-return trade-off implies that the potential for
higher returns generally comes with a higher level of
risk. Low-risk investments, such as government
bonds, typically offer lower but more stable returns,
while high-risk options like stocks and
cryptocurrencies may provide greater returns but
also carry a higher likelihood of substantial losses.