New Odd Weibull-G Family Dissertation
New Odd Weibull-G Family Dissertation
Tikrit University
By
Researcher …
Acknowledgements
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Supervisor's Certification
I certify that the Dissertation entitled " Parameters Estimation and Properties of
New Odd Weibull-G Family with Application" has been prepared under my
supervision at the Department of Mathematics, College of Computer Science and
Mathematics, University of Tikrit, as a fulfilment of the requirement for the Degree
of Doctor of Philosophy in Mathematics.
Signature:
Name: Mundher Abdullah Khaleel
Scientific rank and certificate Prof. Dr.
Date: / /
Report of Linguistic Evaluation
I certify that the linguistic evaluation of this Dissertation was carried out by me and
it is linguistically acceptable and in expression.
Signature:
Name: Maha Bakir Mohammed
Scientific rank and certificate: Asst. Prof. Dr.
Date: / /
Report of Director of Postgraduate Studies Committee
According to the recommendations presented by the supervisor and the linguistic
evaluator of this Dissertation, I recommend that this Dissertation be forwarded for
discussion.
Signature:
Name: Mundher Abdullah Khaleel
Scientific rank and certificate: Prof. Dr.
Date: / /
Report of the Head of the Department of Mathematics
According to the Recommendations presented by the supervisor and the linguistic
evaluator of this Dissertation and the director of postgraduate studies committee, I
recommend that this Dissertation be forwarded for discussion.
Signature:
Name: Ahmed Maher Salih
Scientific rank and certificate: Teacher Dr.
Date: / /
EXAMINATION COMMITTEE CERTIFICATION
The Council of the college of Computer Science and Mathematics met in its
session ________ held on / / 2025 and decided to award him a degree Doctor of
Philosophy of Science in Mathematics.
Signature:
Name: Asst. Prof. Dr. Mahmood Maher Salih
Computer Science and Mathematics College Dean
ABSTRACT
Abstract
This study aims to introduce a new probability distribution family
known as the " New Odd Weibull-G Family." It is an extension of the
classical Weibull distribution, combining it with hybrid generation
techniques to produce more flexible models that can represent real-world
data, both normal and neutrosophic. This study addresses the
shortcomings of traditional distributions in representing asymmetric data
or data containing a high degree of uncertainty, particularly in
applications of survival analysis, medical data, and financial data.
The study involved the development of two distribution models
within the proposed family: one for normal data, and the second for
neutrosophic data. The basic mathematical properties of the distributions
were derived, such as the probability density function, cumulative
distribution function, reliability function, and moment functions. Model
parameters are estimated using three different methods, including
maximum likelihood and least squares, and the efficiency of each method
was evaluated through Monte Carlo simulation.
The models are applied to real data using the R software, and their
performance is compared with other distributions according to
information criteria such as Akaike information criteria (AIC), and
Bayesian information criteria (BIC). The results demonstrated that the
new distribution outperforms data representation, especially when
uncertainty exists or data are heavily tailed. The study also included tools
to check the degree of uncertainty in the data before modeling to ensure
the reliability of the analysis.
I
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
List of Abbreviations
Abbreviation Meaning
T Truth
F False
I Indeterminacy
AIC Akaike Information criterion
AICC Correct Akaike Information criterion
BIC Bayesian Information criterion
HQIC Hannan and Quinn Information criterion
𝑲𝑺 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistics
𝑰(∗) indicator function
A Anderson-Darling Statistics
W Cramer-Von Mises Statistics
p-value Probability Value Statistics
NOWG New Odd Weibull-G family
𝑸(𝒖) quantile function
𝒒 𝒒
𝑾 (𝒑; 𝒃) Lombart function for (𝒑; 𝒃)
..
III
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
MLE Maximum Likelihood Estimation
OLSE Ordinary Least Squares Estimation
WLSE Weighted Least Squares Estimation
RMSEs Root mean squared errors
𝑻𝜶 True membership function
𝑭𝜶 False membership function
𝑰𝜶 Undefined membership function
𝑿𝑵 Neutrosophic random variable
NeCDF Neutrosophic Cumulative Function
NePDF Neutrosophic density function
NOWIR New Odd Weibull Inverse Rayleigh distribution
Neutrosophic New Odd Weibull Inverse Rayleigh
NeNOWIR
distribution
𝛍̀ 𝖒 𝑵𝒆 Neutrosophic 𝒌𝒕𝒉 moments
𝑺𝑲𝑵𝒆 Neutrosophic skewness
𝑲𝑼𝑵𝒆 Neutrosophic kurtosis
𝝈𝟐𝑵𝒆 Neutrosophic variance
IV
LIST OF FIGURES
List of Figures
No. The Title Page No.
3.1 CDF function of NOWIBX distribution for different
34
parameter values
3.2 pdf function of NOWIBX distribution for different
35
parameter values
3.3 Survival function of NOWIBX distribution for
36
different parameter values
3.4 Hazard function of NOWIBX distribution for different
37
parameter values
3.5 Fitted densities for Data I 61
3.6 Fitted empirical CDF for Data I 61
3.7 Fitted densities for Data II 64
3.8 Fitted empirical CDF for Data II 64
4.1 NeCDF for NeNOWIR distribution 68
4.2 Nepdf for NeNOWIR distribution 69
4.3 survival for NeNOWIR distribution 70
4.4 Hazard for NeNOWIR distribution 71
4.5 (a) 3D plot of Variance, (b) 3D plot of Skewness, (c) 3D
78
plot of Kurtosis
4.6 plot the intervals for data-I used 91
4.7 Histogram of Neutrosophic Components 91
4.8 Neutrosophic parts and sum of Neutrosophic
92
Components
4.9 Fitting pdfs NeNOWIR with histogram data-I 95
4.10 Empirical Fitted CDFs NeNOWIR with histogram
95
data-I
4.11 plot the intervals for data used-II 98
4.12 Histogram of Neutrosophic Components 99
V
LIST OF FIGURES
VI
LIST OF TABLES
List of Tables
No. The Title Page No.
1.1 Comparison between the three tests (KS, W, A) 12
2.1 Some individuals in the T-X method 21
The quantiles for some parameter values of NOWIBX
3.1 41
distribution
Numerical value of 𝝁𝟏 , 𝝁𝟐 , 𝝁𝟑 , 𝝁𝟒 , 𝝈𝟐 , 𝑺𝑲, and 𝑲𝑼 of the
3.2 44
NOWIBX distribution
3.3 Monte Carlo simulations-1 conducted for the NOWIBX 52
3.4 Monte Carlo simulations-2 conducted for the NOWIBX 54
3.5 CDF functions for comparative distributions 58
Information criteria values for comparative distributions
3.6 59
for data I
Evaluate goodness-of-fit statistics for comparative
3.7 59
distributions for data I
parameter estimators by MLE for comparative
3.8 60
distributions for data I
Information criteria values for comparative distributions
3.9 62
for data II
Evaluate goodness-of-fit statistics for comparative
3.10 63
distributions for data II
Parameter estimators by MLE for comparative
3.11 63
distributions for data II
Quantile function values for different intervals for
4.1 74
𝒂𝑵𝒆 , 𝒃𝑵𝒆 and 𝒄𝑵𝒆
Numerical value of 𝝁̀ 𝟏 𝑵𝒆 , 𝝁̀ 𝟐 𝑵𝒆 , 𝝁̀ 𝟑 𝑵𝒆 , 𝝁̀ 𝟒 𝑵𝒆 , 𝝈𝟐𝑵𝒆 , 𝑺𝑲𝑵𝒆 , and
4.2 77
𝑲𝑼𝑵𝒆 of the NeNOWIR distribution
Monte Carlo simulations for statistical method conducted
4.3 84
for NeNOWIR
Monte Carlo simulations for numerical optimization
4.4 86
conducted for NeNOWIR
4.5 Comparative distributions 89
4.6 Data-1 used, Truth, False, and indeterminacy values 90
4.7 Descriptive statistics for the data-I 92
4.8 Estimates of models for data-I 93
4.9 Evaluate statistical metrics for the data-I 93
4.10 parameter estimators by MLE for the data-I 94
4.11 Data used-II, Truth, False, and indeterminacy values 96
4.12 Descriptive statistics for the data-II 99
4.13 Estimates of models for data-II 99
4.14 Evaluate statistical metrics for the data-II 99
4.15 parameter estimators by MLE for the data-II 100
VII
LIST OF THE CONTENTS
VIII
LIST OF THE CONTENTS
Recommendations
5.1 Conclusions 103
5.2 Recommendations 104
--- References 106-112
--- المستخلص ---
IX
INTRODUCTION
1
INTRODUCTION
2
INTRODUCTION
3
INTRODUCTION
4
INTRODUCTION
5
INTRODUCTION
6
INTRODUCTION
Study Aim
This study aims to introduce a new family of distribution and study
some of their statistical properties. This family relies on combining the
Weibull distribution with a hybrid methodology to construct families of
continuous distributions based on finding a hybrid integral bound that
combines two T-X bounds. This proposed family, known as the NOWG,
also derives some of the proposed family’s statistical properties. This
proposed family introduces two new statistical distributions: one is
designed to handle normal data and, other to analyze Neutrosophic data,
with parameters estimated using five different methods. Simulations are
conducted to study the efficiency of these methods, along with practical
applications on real data. The other distribution is designed to handle
7
INTRODUCTION
neutrosophic data, extending its scope by setting upper and lower bounds
for its parameters and random variables. Its statistical properties are
determined and applied to two types of neutrosophic data.
Dissertation structure
The Dissertation consists of five chapters as follows:
1. Chapter One: Introduces some basic definitions and concepts
about compatibility criteria and some statistical measures.
2. Chapter Two: Introduces the new family, which relies on
combining the Weibull distribution with a hybrid methodology,
and derives some basic properties of the proposed family
3. Chapter Three: Introduces a new distribution based on the
proposed family, using Inverse Burr Type X as the underlying
model with derives some statistical properties of this distribution.
Estimates the distribution parameters using three different methods
and Conducts a simulation to study the efficiency of the five
estimation methods and applies the proposed distribution to a set of
real data to test its consistency with normal data and evaluating its
performance experimentally.
4. Chapter Four: Introduces a new distribution based on the
proposed family, using Inverse Rayleigh and Neutrosophic logic.
Estimates the distribution parameters using some different
methods, similar to chapter three, and applies the proposed
distribution to real neutrosophic data.
5. Chapter Five: It includes the most important conclusions reached
by the Dissertation, along with some recommendations for future
studies.
8
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
Chapter One
Some Basic Concepts and related Definitions
9
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
4𝑘 2 + 2𝑘
𝐴𝐼𝐶𝐶 = 𝐴𝐼𝐶 + (1.2)
𝑛−𝑘−1
Where 𝑛 is the sample size.
10
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
where 𝑋𝑖 is the order value for sample, and 𝐹 (𝑋𝑖 ) is theoretical CDF of a
sample.
If 𝐴 is the value of high, it means that the sample does not follow the
assumed distribution. The calculated value is compared to critical values
to obtain the test result.
If the value of W is large, it indicates a poor fit between the data and
assumed distribution.
11
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
extreme statistical value under the null hypothesis 𝐻0 . The basic equation
is [21]:
𝑝 = 𝑃 (𝑇 ≥ 𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑠 |𝐻0 ) (1.9)
where 𝑇 is the statistic used in the test (such as 𝐴, 𝐾𝑆, 𝑊), 𝑇𝑜𝑏𝑠 is the
calculated value from the sample, and 𝐻0 is the null hypothesis (that the
sample follows the assumed distribution).
If the p-value is less than the chosen significance level 𝛼 (usually
0.05), the 𝐻0 is rejected, meaning that the data do not follow the assumed
distribution.
Table (1.1): Comparison between the three tests (𝐾𝑆, W, A)
Test How to measure Main advantage weakness
Maximum difference between
empirical distribution 𝐹𝑛 (𝑥 ) and Simple and easy to Less accurate at
KS
hypothesized theoretical CDF interpret the tail
𝐹 (𝑥 )
Measures cumulative Less common
Addresses some of
W differences equally across the in practical
the problems of KS
range applications
Sensitive to More complex
A Gives more weight to the tails
outliers than KS
12
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
13
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
Another classification:
1. Quantitative (numerical) neutrosophic data; for example: a number
in the interval [2, 5] (we do not know exactly), 47, 52, 67 or 69
(we do not know exactly);
2. Qualitative (categorical) neutrosophic data; for example: blue or
red (we don’t know exactly), white, black or green or yellow (not
knowing exactly).
Also, we may have: -univariate neutrosophic data, i.e. neutrosophic
data that consists of observations on a neutrosophic single attribute; - and
multivariable neutrosophic data, i.e. neutrosophic data that consists of
observations on two or more attributes.
As a particular cases we mention the bivariate neutrosophic data, and
trivariate neutrosophic data.
14
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
15
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
16
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
17
CHAPTER ONE SOME BASIC CONCEPTS & RELATED DEFINITIONS
outcomes. That is, the true random variable with a real value, which is
defined as follows [25]:
𝑋: Ω → ℝ (1.11)
The neutrosophic random variable is defined as follows:
𝑋𝑁𝑒 : Ω → ℝ(I) (1.12)
Therefore, the form of the random variable 𝑋𝑁𝑒 = 𝑋 + 𝐼, where 𝑋𝑁𝑒 is
the neutrosophic random variable and 𝐼 is the uncertainty value.
1.2.18 The Probability Function and The Cumulative Distribution
Function of The Neutrosophic Random Variable
Suppose the neutrosophic random variable is 𝑋𝑁𝑒 = 𝑋 + 𝐼, then the
cumulative function (CDF) of the neutrosophic random variable,
abbreviated as NeCDF, can be found as 𝐹𝑋 (𝑥) = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 𝑥), that is [25]:
𝐹𝑋𝑁𝑒 = 𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 − 𝐼 ) (1.13)
𝑓𝑋𝑁𝑒 = 𝑓𝑋 (𝑥 − 𝐼 ) (1.14)
Since
𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 ) = 𝑃 (𝑋𝑁𝑒 ≤ 𝑥 )
𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 ) = 𝑃 (𝑋 + 𝐼 ≤ 𝑥 )
𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 ) = 𝑃 (𝑋 ≤ 𝑥 − 𝐼 )
The neutrosophic PDF, abbreviated as NePDF, can also be found by
deriving equation (1.13) with respect to 𝑋 as follows:
𝜕𝐹𝑋𝑁𝑒 (𝑥 ) 𝜕𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 − 𝐼 ) 𝜕 (𝑥 − 𝐼 )
= .
𝜕𝑥 𝜕𝑥 𝜕𝑥
𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 ) = 𝑓𝑋 (𝑥 − 𝐼 )
𝐹𝑋 (𝑥 ) = 𝑓𝑋𝑁𝑒
18
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
Chapter Two
A New Odd Weibull-G Family with Some of its
Properties
2.1 Introduction
Developing new probability distributions is essential in statistical
modeling, especially when dealing with real-world data that exhibit
variations in skewness, Kurtoses, and tail behavior. This chapter
introduces a new family of continuous distributions known as New Odd
Weibull-G (NOWG) family, which combines the Weibull distribution
with a hybrid methodology to enhance its flexibility and applicability. By
applying the hybrid transformation, the proposed family provides
expanded shape and scale properties, allowing it to better adapt to diverse
datasets.
19
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝑅(𝑥)
where the range of 𝑡 ∈ [0,1], 𝓊(𝑡) is the pdf of the beta distribution, and
𝑅 (𝑥 ) is the CDF of any random variable.
𝒲(𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))
20
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
21
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝜃
𝓊(𝑥 ) = 𝜅𝜃𝑥 𝜃−1𝑒 −𝜅𝑥 (2.5)
The CDF function is derived as follows for NOWG family by
substituting equations (2.3) and (2.5) into (2.1):
− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = ∫ 𝜅𝜃𝑡 𝜃−1𝑒 −𝜅𝑡 𝑑𝑡 (2.6)
0
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
or
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)] (2.7)
To get the pdf function for NOWG family equation (2.6) is derived,
then the pdf has the form:
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙) × 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
.[ − log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))] (2.8)
1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
𝜃−1
. [−𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙). log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))]
2.3 Some Properties of NOWG Family
2.3.1 Proposition: Lehmann Type II–Based CDF Transformation
Property for the NOWG Family
Proposition 2.3.1
Let 𝑋 be any arbitrary random variable with CDF 𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙) and pdf
𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙). Let 𝑇 ∈ (𝑎, 𝑏) be a random variable with a pdf 𝓊(𝑡).
Furthermore, let our suggested connection function using CDF and pdf be
as follows:
𝒲(𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)) = − 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)]𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
22
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
Proof: By employing the Lehmman II as the Transformed (T),
where The Lehmann Type II transformation (often written as Lehmann II
or Lehmann alternative of type II) is a way of generating new
distributions from an existing baseline distribution 𝐹 (𝑥 ) by raising its
survival function to a positive power 𝜆 > 0. Given a baseline CDF 𝐹 (𝑥 )
and survival function 𝐹̅ (𝑥 ) = 1 − 𝐹 (𝑥 ):
𝐹𝑇 (𝑥 ) = 1 − [1 − 𝐹 (𝑥 )]𝜆
where 𝜆 > 0.
This transformation is called Lehmann Type II because it modifies
the upper tail by stretching or compressing it through the parameter 𝜆,
and the NOWG family as the Transformer (𝑋), we obtain:
− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = ∫ 𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑡, 𝜙)𝜒𝜙 𝑑𝑡
0
where
𝑅(𝑡,𝜙)
𝜒=[ − log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑡, 𝜙))]
1−𝑅(𝑡,𝜙)
23
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
when 𝑥 → 0, then
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
=1−1= 0
when 𝑥 → ∞, then
𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) ]𝜃
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[− 𝑙𝑜𝑔[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)]
=1−0= 1
The equation (2.7) is obtained by taking the derivative of
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) respect to 𝑥, resulting in the probability density
function of the NOWG family of distributions.
It is enough to demonstrate that:
∞
∫ 𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) 𝑑𝑥 = 1
0
∞
∫ 𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)𝜒𝜙 𝑑𝑥
0
𝜃
Let ℎ = 𝑒 −𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
when 𝑥 = 0 then ℎ = 1, and 𝑥 = ∞ then ℎ = 0
𝜕ℎ
= 𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)𝜒𝜙
𝜕𝑥
1−𝜃
𝜕ℎ[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
𝑑𝑥 = 𝑅(𝑥,𝜙) 𝜃
𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑥,𝜙)[1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)−log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]𝑒 −𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
1
∫ 𝑑ℎ = [ℎ]10 = 1 − 0 = 1
0
Therefore
24
CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙)
𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 𝜅𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙) [ − log(1 − 𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙))]
1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)
𝜃−1
. [−𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙). log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))]
𝜃
. 𝑒 −𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
is a pdf function for NOWG family.
To get:
𝜃
𝑒 −𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
∞
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1) 𝑖 𝑖𝜃
=∑ 𝜅 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)𝑖𝜃 (log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)))
𝑖!
𝑖=0
𝑗 [𝑠(𝑖𝜃+1)−𝑗]
where 𝑑𝑖𝜃,𝑗 = 𝑗 −1 ∑𝑠=1 for 𝑗 ≥ 0 and 𝑑𝑖𝜃,0 = 1
𝑠+1
Then the final form for CDF of the NOWG family is:
𝑀𝐻𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 1 − 𝐻𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙) 𝑗+2𝑖𝜃 (2.9)
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1)+𝑗
where 𝐻 = ∑∞
𝑖,𝑗=0 𝑑𝑖𝜃,𝑗 𝜅 𝑖
𝑖!
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝜃 𝑡
𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙 )𝑡 = (1 − 𝑒 −𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
) (2.10)
𝜃 𝑡
−𝜅[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
Since 0 < (1 − 𝑒 ) < 1 we uses the
In the same way, the expansion of the CDF function is found through
the following steps:
𝜃
𝑒 −𝜅𝑞[−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙).log(1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙))]
∞
(−1)𝑙(𝜃+1) 𝑙𝜃
=∑ 𝜅 𝑙 𝑞𝑙 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)𝑙𝜃 (log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)))
𝑖!
𝑙=0
𝑙𝜃
Also, by using logarithm expansion of (log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))) by the
form:
∞
𝑙𝜃 𝑢+𝑙𝜃
(𝑙𝑜𝑔(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))) = ∑ (−1)𝑢 𝑑𝑙𝜃,𝑢 (𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))
𝑢=0
[𝑠(𝑙𝜃+1)−𝑢]
where 𝑑𝑖𝜃,𝑢 = 𝑢−1 ∑𝑢𝑠=1 for 𝑢 ≥ 0 and 𝑑𝑙𝜃,0 = 1
𝑠+1
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙)
∞
(−1)𝑖+2𝜃−1
=∑ 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)𝜃(𝑖+1)(log(1
𝑖! [1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)]
𝑖=0
𝜃(𝑖+1)−1
− 𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙))) 𝜅 𝑖+1𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)
∞
(−1)𝑖+2𝜃−1
−∑ 𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙)𝜃(𝑖+1)−1(log(1
𝑖!
𝑖=0
𝜃(𝑖+1)
− 𝑅(𝑥, 𝜙))) 𝜅 𝑖+1𝜃 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)
𝜃(𝑖+1)
By expanding (log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))) using form:
∞
𝜃(𝑖+1) 𝑗+𝜃(𝑖+1)
(log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))) = ∑(−1)𝑗 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1),𝑗 (𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))
𝑗=0
𝜃(𝑖+1)
Also expansion (log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))) by form:
𝜃(𝑖+1)−1
(log(1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)))
∞
𝑙+𝜃(𝑖+1)−1
= ∑(−1)𝑙 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑙 (𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙))
𝑙=0
1
And using an expansion for to get a form:
1−𝑅(𝑥,𝜙)
∞
1
= ∑ 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙) 𝑧
1 − 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)
𝑧=0
Finally, we get the expanded pdf for the NOWG Family in the form:
𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) = 𝑁𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)𝑙+2𝜃(𝑖+1)−1 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)
(2.12)
−𝐵𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙)𝑙+2𝜃(𝑖+1)𝑟(𝑥, 𝜙)
where
∞
(−1)𝑖+2𝜃+𝑙−1
𝑁= ∑ 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑙 𝜅 𝑖+1𝜃
𝑖!
𝑖,𝑙,𝑧=0
And
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
∞
(−1)𝑖+2𝜃+𝑗−1
𝐵= ∑ 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1),𝑗 𝜅 𝑖+1𝜃
𝑖!
𝑖,𝑗=0
[𝑠(𝜃(𝑖+1)−1+1)−𝑙]
where 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑙 = 𝑙−1 ∑𝑙𝑠=1 for 𝑙 ≥ 0 and 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,0 =
𝑠+1
𝑗 [𝑙(𝑖𝜃(𝑖+1)+1)−𝑗]
1, and 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1),𝑗 = 𝑗 −1 ∑𝑙=1 for 𝑗 ≥ 0 and 𝑑𝜃(𝑖+1),0 = 1
𝑙+1
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
𝛽 𝜉−𝛽
1−𝑍 = 1− =
𝜉 𝜉
Substituting into the equation (∗), we get:
𝜉−𝛽
𝑙𝑜𝑔 ( )=𝜉
𝜉
𝜉−𝛽
= 𝑒𝜉
𝜉
𝜉−𝛽
𝑒 −𝜉 =1
𝜉
𝑥−𝑝
[From Theorem (the solution (𝑠) of the equation 𝑒 𝑎𝑥 . = 𝑏 are
𝑥−𝑞
1 𝑞
𝑥 = 𝑝 + . 𝑊− 𝑏𝑒 −𝑎𝑝 (𝑎𝑏𝑒 −𝑎𝑝 𝑇), 𝑊 (𝑝; 𝑏) = 𝑝 + 𝑊− 𝑏𝑒 −𝑝 (𝑏𝑒 −𝑝 𝑇),
𝑎
𝑇 = 𝑝 − 𝑞)]
Where from the above Theorem rut 𝑎 = −1, 𝑝 = 𝛽, 𝑞 = 0, 𝑏 = 1,
we have:
𝜃 = 𝛽 + 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 )
𝛽
= 𝛽 + 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 )
𝑍
𝛽
𝑍=
𝛽 + 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 )
Hence we get:
𝛽
𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜙) =
𝛽 + 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 )
𝛽
𝑄𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥,𝜅,𝜃,𝜙) = (2.13)
𝛽 + 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 )
1
log(1−𝑢) 𝜃
Where 𝛽 = − (− ) , and 𝑊−1(𝛽𝑒 −𝛽 ) is the lower Lombart
𝜅
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
Substituting 𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝑤, 𝑚, 𝜂)𝑡 and 𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) for the NOWG
Family into the previous equation, we get:
∞
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CHAPTER TWO A NEW ODD WEIBULL-G FAMILY WITH SOME OF ITS PROPERTIES
Substituting 𝑚𝑁𝑂𝑊 (𝑥, 𝜅, 𝜃, 𝜙) for the NOWG family into the previous
equation, we get:
𝑦
𝑐
− 𝑀𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜂)𝑘+2𝑖𝑚+2𝑚 𝑟(𝑥, 𝜂)) 𝑑𝑥]
Finally, we get:
𝑤
∞ 𝑅 (𝑥, 𝜂 )
log [∑𝑐𝑣=0(−1)𝑣 (𝑣𝑐 )𝑁𝑀 ∫0 𝑑𝑥]
𝑟(𝑥, 𝜂)−𝑐 (2.19)
𝐼𝑐 (𝑥 )𝐻𝑊𝐺 =
1−𝑐
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Chapter Three
3.1 Introduction
In this chapter, the Burr type X distribution is represented as a mixture
with the New odd Weibull family, called New Odd Weibull Inverse Burr
Type X (NOWIBX) distribution to demonstrate its usefulness in
modeling statistical patterns in extreme values recorded in non-stationary
streams of media events. The basic functions of the new distribution are
presented in addition to several statistical and mathematical properties of
the hybrid distribution as well as estimating the model parameters by five
methods and conduct a Monte Carlo simulations for the five methods.
Finally, these results are illustrated through an example of matching the
hybrid distribution with data representing the values of Bladder cancer
and survival times of a group of 46 patients (in years) treated with
chemotherapy alone and knowing the results of the improvement of this
expansion through comparison with some other distributions using some
statistical metrics.
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾−1
2 −3 − 𝑥 2 −
(3.2)
𝑔(𝑥, 𝛼, 𝛾) = 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 )
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Figure (3.1). CDF function of NOWIBX distribution for different parameter values
To find the pdf function for the NOWIBX distribution, equation (3.3)
is derived or equations (3.1) and (3.2) are substituted into equation (2.8)
to obtain the equation in the form:
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾−1
2 −3 − 𝑥 2 −
𝑥2 )
𝛿𝜃 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒
𝑓 (𝑥 ) = 𝛾 𝛾 1−𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
[− (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ) 𝑙𝑜𝑔 (1 −𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
𝛼2 𝛾
− (3.4)
1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) 𝛾
𝛼2
− 2
. − log (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 )
𝛼2 𝛾
−
(1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 )
[ ]
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
.𝑒
Figure (3.2). pdf function of NOWIBX distribution for different parameter values
35
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ] (3.6)
𝑆(𝑥 )𝑁𝑂𝑊𝐼𝐵𝑋 = 𝑒
Using programming in the R software, the survival function is drawn
for the NOWIBX distribution for different parameter values, as shown in
Figure (3.3).
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛾
𝛼2
− 2
𝛾−1 1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) 𝛾
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛼2
2 −3 − 2 − 2 − 2
𝛿𝜃 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 𝑥 (1−𝑒 𝑥 ) 𝛾 −log(1−𝑒 𝑥 )
𝛼2
− 2
(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) (3.8)
[ ]
ℎ(𝑥 ) = 𝛾 𝛾 1−𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) )𝑙𝑜𝑔(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
Figure (3.4). Hazard function of NOWIBX distribution for different parameter values
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Figure 2 shows the pdf of the NOWIBX distribution for the same set
of different parameters. The graph shows that the shape of the curve is
clearly affected by the parameters, as it can be symmetrical or skewed,
sometimes with sharp or flat peaks. These variations in the shape of the
pdf indicate the distribution's ability to represent data with different
characteristics, such as positive or negative skewness and high or low
centering, which gives it an advantage in practical applications.
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
𝑒
∞
(−1)𝑖(1+𝜃) 𝑖
=∑ 𝛿 [(1
𝑖!
𝑖=0
𝛾 𝛾 𝑖𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 −
− (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) ]
𝛼2
𝛾 𝑖𝜃
−
By using logarithm expansion for (𝑙𝑜𝑔 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) ) by the form:
𝑖𝜃
𝛼2 𝛾
− 2
(log [1 − 1 + (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ])
∞ 𝑗+𝑖𝜃
𝛼2 𝛾
−
= ∑(−1)𝑗 𝐷𝑖𝜃,𝑗 (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) )
𝑗=0
𝑗 𝑚(𝑖𝜃+1)−𝑗
where 𝐷𝑖𝜃,𝑗 = 𝑗 −1 ∑𝑚=1 𝐷𝑖𝜃,𝑗−𝑚 , 𝑗 ≥ 1, 𝐷𝑖𝜃,0 = 1
𝑚+1
∞ 𝛾 𝑗+2𝑖𝜃
(−1)𝑖(1+𝜃)+𝑗 𝑖
𝛼2
− 2
∴ 𝐹 (𝑥 ) = 1 − ∑ 𝐷𝑖𝜃,𝑗 𝛿 (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) )
𝑖!
𝑖,𝑗=0
𝛼2
𝛾 𝑗+2𝑖𝜃
−
Now by binomial series expansion for (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) )
we get:
𝑗+2𝑖𝜃 ∞
𝛼2 𝛾 𝑗 + 2𝑖𝜃 𝛼2 𝑘𝛾
− 𝑘 − 2
(1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) ) = ∑ (−1) ( ) (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 )
𝑘
𝑘=0
𝛼2
𝑘𝛾
−
Again by using binomial series expansion for (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) we get:
∞
𝛼2 𝑘𝛾 𝑘𝛾 −𝑝−𝛼22
−
(1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) = ∑ (−1 )𝑝 ( )𝑒 𝑥
𝑝
𝑝=0
Finally, the CDF of NOWIBX distribution have the form:
𝛼2
−𝑝− (3.9)
𝐹 (𝑥 ) = 1 − Ω𝑒 𝑥2
(−1)𝑖(1+𝜃)+𝑗+𝑘+𝑝
where Ω = ∑∞
𝑖,𝑗,𝑘,𝑝=0 𝐷𝑖𝜃,𝑗 (𝑗+2𝑖𝜃
𝑘
) (𝑘𝛾
𝑝
) 𝛿𝑖
𝑖!
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
( )
By using binomial series expansion, get the form:
𝑠
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
1−𝑒
( )
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
∞ − 2 − 2
−𝛿𝑙[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
𝑠
= ∑(−1)𝑙 ( ) 𝑒
𝑙
𝑙=0
By same steps used for the CDFs, we get:
𝛼2
𝑠( −𝑞− (3.10)
𝐹 𝑥 ) = 𝛫𝑒 𝑥2
(−1)𝑙+𝑣+𝑢(1+𝑙𝜃)+𝑠+𝑞 𝑑 𝑣+2𝑢𝜃𝑙
where Κ = ∑∞
𝑙,𝑢,𝑣,𝑠,𝑞=0 ( 𝑙 )( 𝑠 ) (𝑠𝛾𝑞
) 𝛿 𝑢 𝑙𝑢 𝐷𝑢𝜃𝑙,𝑣 ,
𝑢!
𝑗 𝑚(𝑢𝜃𝑙+1)−𝑣
and 𝐷𝑢𝜃𝑙,𝑣 = 𝑣 −1 ∑𝑚=1 𝐷𝑢𝜃𝑙,𝑣−𝑚 , 𝑗 ≥ 1, 𝐷𝑢𝜃𝑙,0 = 1
𝑚+1
To expand the pdf of NOWIBX distribution it is done and has
following form:
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾(ℎ+𝑠)−1
2 −3 − 𝑥 2 −
𝑓 (𝑥 ) = Θ2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 )
(3.11)
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
2 −3 −(𝑤+𝛾+1)𝑥 2 − 2
− Β 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 )
where
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1)+𝜃−1+𝑧+𝑠+ℎ
Θ = ∑∞
𝑖,𝑧,𝑠,ℎ=0 𝛿 𝑖+1𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧 (𝑧𝑠)(ℎ1) 𝜃
𝑖!
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1)+𝜃−1+𝑧+𝑠+𝑤
Β = ∑∞
𝑖,𝑧,𝑠,𝑤=0 𝛿 𝑖+1𝐷𝛾,𝑤 𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧 (𝑧𝑠) 𝜃
𝑖!
𝑐(𝛾+1)−𝑤
𝐷𝛾,𝑤 = 𝑤 −1 ∑𝑙𝐶=1 𝐷𝛾,𝑤−𝑐 , 𝛾 ≥ 1, 𝐷𝛾,0 = 1
𝑐+1
40
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝑚(𝜃(𝑖+1))−𝑧
𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧 = 𝑧 −1 ∑𝑙𝑚=1 𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧−𝑚 , 𝑧 ≥ 1, 𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,0 =
𝑧+1
1
𝛼2
𝑥= − 1
√ 𝜌 𝛾 (3.12)
log (1 − [1 − ] )
𝜌 − 𝑊−1 −𝜌 exp[𝜌])
(
1
log(1−𝑢) 𝜃
where 𝜌 = − (− ) , and 𝑊−1 (𝜌𝑒 −𝜌 ) is lower Lombart
𝛿
function for 𝜌𝑒 −𝜌 .
The following table represents the quantile function values for
different values of parameters.
Table (3.1) displays the values of the quantile function for different
sets of parameters. These values represent the points that divide the
distribution into equally likely parts. The key observation is that changing
the parameters leads to a marked difference in the quantile values for the
same ratio. Some sets produce very small quantiles, while others produce
very large values. This reflects the distribution's sensitivity to shape
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
3.3.3 Moments
The 𝑟 𝑡ℎ moment of NOWIBX distribution can be finding from
equation (2.14) and (3.11) we get a form:
∞
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾(ℎ+𝑠)−1
𝑟 2 −3 − 𝑥 2 −
𝑥2 )
μ𝑟 = ∫ 𝑥 [Θ2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒
0
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
2 −3 −(𝑤+𝛾+1)𝑥 2 −
𝑥2 )
− Β2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 ] 𝑑𝑥
∞ 𝛾(ℎ+𝑠)−1
𝛼2 𝛼2
2 𝑟−3 − 𝑥 2 − 2
= Θ ∫ 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) 𝑑𝑥
0
∞
𝛼2 𝛼2 𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
2 𝑟−3 −(𝑤+𝛾+1)𝑥 2 −
𝑥2 )
− Β∫ 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑑𝑥
0
1
By using the change of variable, 𝑡 = 𝛼2
, 0 < 𝑡 < 1, we obtain:
−
1−𝑒 𝑥2
1 𝑟
1
(ℎ+𝑠)−1 1 2
μ 𝑟 = Θ ∫ (𝛼 2 𝛾 ) 𝑡 (− [ln ( − 1)] + 1) 𝑑𝑡
0 𝑡
𝑟
1
1 1 2
𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
−Β ∫ (𝛼 2𝛾)𝑡 (− [ln ( − 1)] + (𝑤 + 𝛾 + 1)) 𝑑𝑡
0 𝑡
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝑟 𝑖
1 1 2
𝑟 (ℎ+𝑠)−1
μ𝑟 = Θ𝛼 𝛾 ∑ ( ) (−1) ∫ (𝛼 2 𝛾)𝑡
2 𝑟
[ln ( − 1)] 𝑑𝑡
𝑖 0 𝑡
𝑖=0
𝑟
𝑟
− Β𝛼 2 𝛾 ∑ ( 𝑗 ) (−1)𝑟 (𝑤 + 𝛾
𝑗=0
𝑗
1 1 2
𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
+ 1)𝑟−𝑗 ∫ (𝛼 2 𝛾)𝑡 [ln ( − 1)] 𝑑𝑡
0 𝑡
1
Now by using − 1 = 𝑒 −𝑘 , 0 < 𝑘 < ∞, we obtain
𝑡
𝑟 ∞
𝑟 𝑖
μ𝑟 = Θ𝛼 𝛾 ∑ ( ) (−1)𝑟 ∫ (𝑒 −𝑘 + 1)(ℎ+𝑟)−1𝑢2𝑒 𝑢 𝑑𝑢
2
𝑖 0
𝑖=0
𝑟 ∞
2
𝑟 𝑟( 𝑟−𝑗 −𝑘
𝑗
𝛾(𝑟+1)−1 2 𝑢
( )
−Β𝛼 𝛾 ∑ ( 𝑗 ) −1 𝑤 + 𝛾 + 1) (
∫ 𝑒 +1 ) 𝑢 𝑒 𝑑𝑢
𝑗=0 0
𝑟
𝑟
μ𝑟 = Θ𝛼 2𝛾 ∑ ( ) (−1)𝑟 𝐸𝑞 (𝑔(𝑋))
𝑖
𝑖=0
𝑟
(3.13)
𝑟
−Β𝛼 2 𝛾 ∑ ( 𝑗 ) (−1)𝑟 (𝑤 + 𝛾 + 1)𝑟−𝑗 𝐸𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋))
𝑗=0
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
where
𝑟 𝑟
ℋ = 𝑐𝑜𝑣 (Θ𝛼 2 𝛾 ∑𝑟𝑖=0 ( ) (−1)𝑟 𝐸𝑞 (𝑔(𝑋) ), Β𝛼 2 𝛾 ∑𝑟𝑗=0 ( 𝑗 ) (−1)𝑟 (𝑤 +
𝑖
𝛾 + 1)𝑟−𝑗 𝐸𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋)))
2
𝑣𝑎𝑟 (𝐸̂𝑞 (𝑔(𝑋))) = 𝐸𝑞 (𝑔 (𝑋) − 𝐸𝑞 (𝑔(𝑋)) ),
2
and (𝐸̂𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋))) = 𝐸𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋) − 𝐸𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋)) )
Table (3.2) represents the values of the first, second, third, and fourth
moments, in addition to the values of skewness and kurtoses for different
values of parameters.
Table (3.2): Numerical value of 𝜇1 , 𝜇2 , 𝜇3 , 𝜇4 , 𝜎 2 , 𝑆𝐾, and 𝐾𝑈 of the NOWIBX
distribution
𝛿 𝜃 𝛼 𝛾 𝜇1 𝜇2 𝜇3 𝜇4 𝜎2 𝑆𝐾 𝐾𝑈
1.1 0.46171 0.23710 0.13734 0.09147 0.02393 1.18955 1.62715
1.5 0.3
1.2 0.43477 0.20746 0.10979 0.06532 0.01844 1.16181 1.51773
1.2
1.3 0.55229 0.34287 0.24576 0.07654 0.03784 1.22410 0.65108
1.3 0.4
1.4 0.52724 0.30855 0.20460 0.15889 0.03056 1.19378 1.66893
1.5 0.55073 0.31642 0.18976 0.11885 0.01312 1.06609 1.18704
1.5 0.5
1.6 0.53464 0.29728 0.17196 0.10353 0.01144 1.06094 1.17149
2.2
1.7 0.63551 0.41628 0.28095 0.19529 0.01240 1.04602 1.12693
1.7 0.6
1.8 0.61997 0.39543 0.25937 0.17488 0.01106 1.04305 1.11838
Table (3.2) presents the numerical values of the first four moments,
as well as the skewness and kurtosis values for different sets of
parameters. It is clear that the mean, standard deviation, and upper
44
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
∞ 𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
𝛼2 𝛼2
𝑝−3 −(𝑤+𝛾+1+𝑝)𝑥 2 −
−Β𝛫2𝛼 2 𝛾 ∫ 𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) 𝑑𝑥
0
45
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝑝
𝑝
𝜏𝑝,𝑠 = Θ𝛫𝛼 2𝛾 ∑ ( ) (−1)𝑝 (𝑝 + 1)𝑝−𝑖 𝐸𝑞 (𝑔(𝑋))
𝑖
𝑖=0
𝑝
(3.18)
𝑝
−Β𝛫𝛼 2𝛾 ∑ ( 𝑗 ) (−1)𝑝 (𝑤 + 𝛾 + 𝑝 + 1)𝑝−𝑗 𝐸𝑞 (𝑘 (𝑋))
𝑗=0
∞
𝛼2 𝛾(ℎ+𝑠)−1 𝛾 (ℎ + 𝑠) − 1 −𝑝𝛼22
−
(1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) = ∑ (−1 )𝑝 ( )𝑒 𝑥
𝑝
𝑝=0
𝛾(𝑠+1)−1 ∞
𝛼2 𝛾(𝑠 + 1) − 1 −𝑞𝛼22
−
(1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) = ∑(−1 )𝑞 ( )𝑒 𝑥
𝑞
𝑞=0
Then we get:
𝛼2 𝛼2
−3 −(𝑝+1)𝑥 2 −3 −(𝑤+𝛾+𝑞+1)𝑥 2 (3.19)
𝑓 (𝑥 ) = 𝐴𝑥 𝑒 − 𝐵𝑥 𝑒
where
𝐴=
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1)+𝜃−1+𝑧+𝑠+ℎ+𝑝
∑∞
𝑖,𝑧,𝑠,ℎ,𝑝=0 𝛿 𝑖+1𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧 (𝑧𝑠)(ℎ1) (𝛾(ℎ+𝑠)−1
𝑝
) 𝜃2𝛼 2𝛾
𝑖!
And
𝐵=
(−1)𝑖(𝜃+1)+𝜃−1+𝑧+𝑠+𝑤+𝑞
∑∞
𝑖,𝑧,𝑠,𝑤,𝑞=0 𝛿 𝑖+1𝐷𝛾,𝑤 𝐷𝜃(𝑖+1)−1,𝑧 (𝑧𝑠) (𝛾(𝑠+1)−1
𝑞
) 𝜃2𝛼 2𝛾
𝑖!
By substituting equation (3.19) we get:
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
∞ 𝑐
1 𝛼2 𝛼2
−3 −(𝑝+1)𝑥 2 −3 −(𝑤+𝛾+𝑞+1)𝑥 2
𝐼𝑐 (𝑥 )𝐻𝑊𝐼𝐵𝑋 = 𝑙𝑜𝑔 ∫ (𝐴𝑥 𝑒 − 𝐵𝑥 𝑒 ) 𝑑𝑥
1−𝑐
0
3𝑐−1
1 𝛼−3𝑐−1 (−1)𝑘+1 (𝑘𝑐 )𝐴.𝐻Γ(
)
𝐼𝑐 (𝑥 )𝐻𝑊𝐼𝐵𝑋 = log [∑𝑐𝑘=0 2
3𝑐−1 ] (3.20)
1−𝑐 2[𝑘(𝑝−𝑤−𝛾−𝑞)+𝑐(𝑤+𝛾+𝑞−1)] 2
3.4 Estimation
3.4.1 Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)
The parameters of the NOWIBX distribution are determined using the
maximum likelihood estimation approach. The log-likelihood function for
a random sample 𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑛 is obtained. The distribution adheres to the
pdf of the NOWIBX distribution [44].
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝐿( Φ, 𝑥 ) = ∏ 𝑓(𝑥, 𝛿, 𝜃, 𝛼, 𝛾)
𝑖=1
𝛼2 𝛾
−
𝑛 𝛾−1 1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 )
𝛼2 𝛼2
2 −3 − 𝑥 2 −
𝐿( Φ, 𝑥𝑖 ) = ∏ 𝛿𝜃 2𝛼 𝛾𝑥 𝑒 (1 − 𝑒 2
𝑥 )
𝛼2 𝛾
𝑖=1 −
(1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 )
[
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝛼2 𝛾 −𝛿[−(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥 ) ]
−
− log (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) 𝑒
]
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃−1
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 −
. [− (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ) 𝑙𝑜𝑔 (1 −𝑒 𝑥2 ) ]
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿 ∑𝑛𝑖=1 [[− (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ) log (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ]]
the parameters 𝛿, 𝜃, 𝛼, and γ, in that order. The only way to solve it was
48
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
2
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
−𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 ) ) log(1−𝑒 )
1
𝜑(∅) = ∑𝑛𝑖=1 1 − 𝑒 [ ] − (3.24)
𝑛+1
[ ]
where ∅ = (𝛿, 𝜃, 𝛼, 𝛾)
By partially deriving the above equation for the 𝛿, 𝜃, 𝛼, 𝛾 parameters,
we get:
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
𝑛 −𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 ) ) log(1−𝑒 )
𝜕𝜑 1
= 2∑ 1 −𝑒 [ ] −
𝜕𝛿 𝑛+1
𝑖=1
[ ]
𝛼2
𝛾
𝛼2
𝛾 𝜃 (3.25)
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
−𝛿 − 1− 1−𝑒 log 1−𝑒
𝜕 −𝑒 [ ( ( ) ) ( ) ]
( )
𝜕𝛿
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
𝑛 −𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 ) ) log(1−𝑒 )
𝜕𝜑 1
= 2∑ 1 −𝑒 [ ] − (3.26)
𝜕𝜃 𝑛+1
𝑖=1
[ ]
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
−𝛿 − 1− 1−𝑒 log 1−𝑒
𝜕 −𝑒 [ ( ( ) ) ( ) ]
( )
𝜕𝜃
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
𝑛 −𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 ) ) log(1−𝑒 )
𝜕𝜑 1
= 2∑ 1 −𝑒 [ ] −
𝜕𝛼 𝑛+1
𝑖=1
[ ]
𝛼2
𝛾
𝛼2
𝛾 𝜃 (3.27)
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
−𝛿 − 1− 1−𝑒 log 1−𝑒
𝜕 −𝑒 [ ( ( ) ) ( ) ]
( )
𝜕𝛼
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
𝑛 −𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 ) ) log(1−𝑒 )
𝜕𝜑 1
= 2∑ 1 −𝑒 [ ] −
𝜕𝛾 𝑛+1
𝑖=1
[ ]
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃 (3.28)
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
𝑥𝑖 𝑥𝑖
−𝛿 − 1− 1−𝑒 log 1−𝑒
𝜕 −𝑒 [ ( ( ) ) ( ) ]
( )
𝜕𝛾
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
𝑛
(𝑛 + 1)2 (𝑛 + 2)
𝜔 (∅) = ∑ 1
𝑖(𝑛 − 𝑖 + 1)
𝑖=1
[
2 (3.30)
𝛾 𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2 𝛼2
− 2 − 2
−𝛿 −(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥𝑖 ) ) log(1−𝑒 𝑥𝑖 )
𝑖
−𝑒 [ ] −
𝑛+1
]
In the same way as MLE and OLSE, the above equation is derived for
the NOWIBX distribution parameters and equalized to zero to obtain
parameter estimates using the WLSE method.
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
∑ 𝑁 ̂
λ
𝑏𝑖𝑎𝑠(λ̂) = 𝑖=1 𝑖 − λ (3.31)
𝑁
2
∑𝑁 ̂
̂ √ 𝑖=1(λ𝑖 − λ) (3.32)
𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸(λ) =
𝑁
The results indicate the consistency of all estimators presented in
Tables. (3.3) and (3,4). As the sample size increases, the average
parameter estimations converge towards the true parameter values.
Furthermore, the MSEs decrease in magnitude as the sample size grows.
Table (3.3) : Monte Carlo simulations-1 conducted for the NOWIBX
𝜹 =𝟏 , 𝜽 =𝟏. 𝟑, 𝜶 =𝟏. 𝟕, 𝜸 = 𝟏. 𝟒
N Est. Ess. Par. MLE OLSE WLSE ADE RTADE
𝛿̂ 0.84851 1.29930 1.23168 0.94696 1.29166
𝜃̂ 1.24517 1.01519 1.08886 1.13436 0.94703
Mean
𝛼̂ 2.25033 1.91147 1.94887 2.31510 1.92138
𝛾̂ 1.38846 1.35122 1.33243 1.37331 1.37025
𝛿̂ 0.20155 0.80347 0.58634 0.77941 0.74152
𝜃̂ 2.58999 0.58985 0.87494 1.78335 0.55112
MSE
𝛼̂ 0.93015 0.40443 0.40086 1.09267 0.39930
𝛾̂ 0.20769 0.16801 0.12084 0.23189 0.16411
30
𝛿̂ 0.44894 0.89636 0.76573 0.88284 0.86111
𝜃̂ 1.60934 0.76802 0.93538 1.33542 0.74237
RMSE
𝛼̂ 0.96444 0.63595 0.63313 1.04530 0.63190
𝛾̂ 0.45573 0.40990 0.34762 0.48155 0.40511
𝛿̂ 0.15148 0.29930 0.23168 0.05303 0.29166
𝜃̂ 0.05482 0.28480 0.21113 0.16563 0.35296
Bias
𝛼̂ 0.55033 0.21147 0.24887 0.61510 0.22138
𝛾̂ 0.01153 0.04877 0.06756 0.02668 0.02974
𝛿̂ 0.96710 1.10466 1.06691 1.19665 1.04953
𝜃̂ 1.49976 1.01804 1.17710 1.20604 1.17942
Mean
𝛼̂ 2.03668 1.97248 1.93637 1.87302 1.89220
𝛾̂ 1.39320 1.30122 1.33059 1.33028 1.382113
𝛿̂ 0.19043 0.21288 0.19437 0.30065 0.12793
𝜃̂ 2.32695 0.48608 0.69203 0.60688 0.62783
MSE
60 𝛼̂ 0.75296 0.28997 0.29208 0.29954 0.23421
𝛾̂ 0.16475 0.07159 0.08587 0.08191 0.10748
𝛿̂ 0.43638 0.46139 0.44088 0.54831 0.35768
𝜃̂ 1.52543 0.69719 0.83188 0.77902 0.79235
RMSE
𝛼̂ 0.86773 0.53849 0.54044 0.54730 0.48395
𝛾̂ 0.40589 0.26756 0.29304 0.28620 0.32785
Bias 𝛿̂ 0.03289 0.10466 0.06691 0.19665 0.04953
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
54
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
55
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Table 3.3 displays the results of the first Monte Carlo simulation of
the NOWIBX distribution at the true values of the parameters 𝛿 = 1, 𝜃 =
1.3, 𝛼 = 1.7, and 𝛾 = 1.4 using five estimation methods: MLE, OLSE,
WLSE, ADE, and RTADE, and for different levels of sample size (N).
The outputs include the estimated parameter means, MSE, RMSE, and
56
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Bias. It can be seen that increasing the sample size generally reduces the
MSE and RMSE values for all methods, reflecting improved estimation
accuracy with more data. The bias also approaches zero at large 𝑁,
indicating the consistency of these estimates. It appears that some
methods, such as WLSE and OLSE, achieve lower MSE than MLE in
many cases, especially at small and medium 𝑁, demonstrating their
relative efficiency in these conditions. The estimated mean values
gradually approach the true values as 𝑁 increases, a behavior expected in
consistent estimations.
Table 3.4 presents the same type of analysis but for different true
values of the parameters 𝛿 = 1.1, 𝜃 = 1.5, 𝛼 = 1.7, and 𝛾 = 0.8. The
results confirm the general trend, with MSE and RMSE decreasing as N
increases, and convergence to the true values gradually improves.
However, we note that some parameters, particularly δ and θ, exhibit
larger differences between methods at small sample sizes. MLE may
exhibit greater bias than OLSE or WLSE, while the latter maintains
relative stability. Furthermore, there are instances at small N values
where differences in MSE and RMSE between methods are evident,
indicating that the choice of estimation method becomes important at this
stage. The general trend in both tables reflects that the efficiency of the
methods improves with increasing sample size, and that WLSE and
OLSE often perform similarly to, or even better than, MLE at small
sample sizes.
3.6 Application
In order to show the efficacy of the NOWIBX distribution in
accurately fitting data, we provide a real-world example using two data
sets. The objective is to highlight the benefits of NOWIBX and the
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
degree to which it aligns with the data. Table (3.5) presents a comparative
analysis of NOWIBX and various distributions for the utilized data.
𝛾 𝜃
𝛼2
[0,1] Truncated Nadarajah-Haghighi Inverse 1−
−
1+𝛿(1−(1−𝑒 𝑥2 ) )
Burr X ([0,1]NHIBX)
1−𝑒 ( )
𝜃
1 − 𝑒1−(1−𝛿)
θ
Kumaraswamy Inverse Burr X (KuIBX) 𝛾 δ
𝛼2
−
(New) 1 − (1 − (1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥2 ) ) )
θ
Exponential Generalized Inverse Burr X 𝛾 δ
𝛼2
− 2
(EGIBX) (New) (1 − ( 1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 ) ) )
𝛾
Log Gamma Inverse Burr X (LGamIBX) 𝛼2
− 2
1 − Γ (−𝛿 log ((1 −𝑒 𝑥 ) ) , 𝜃)
𝛾
Beta Inverse Burr X (BeIBX) 𝛼2
2 − 2
𝑝𝛼 𝛾(1 − (1 −𝑒 𝑥 ) , δ, θ)
𝛾
𝛼2
Inverse Burr X (IBX) − 2
1 − (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 )
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
data has undergone recent analysis in numerous studies [47]. The dataset
contains the following values:
0.08 2.09 3.48 4.87 6.94 8.66 13.11 23.63 0.20 2.23
3.52 4.98 6.97 9.02 13.29 0.40 2.26 3.57 5.06 7.09
9.22 13.80 25.74 0.50 2.46 3.64 5.09 7.26 9.47 14.24
25.82 0.51 2.54 3.70 5.17 7.28 9.74 14.76 26.31 0.81
2.62 3.82 5.32 7.32 10.06 14.77 32.15 2.64 3.88 5.32
7.39 10.34 14.83 34.26 0.90 2.69 4.18 5.34 7.59 10.66
15.96 36.66 1.05 2.69 4.23 5.41 7.62 10.75 16.62 43.01
1.19 2.75 4.26 5.41 7.63 17.12 46.12 1.26 2.83 4.33
5.49 7.66 11.25 17.14 79.05 1.35 2.87 5.62 7.87 11.64
17.36 1.40 3.02 4.34 5.71 7.93 11.79 18.10 1.46 4.40
5.85 8.26 11.98 19.13 1.76 3.25 4.50 6.25 8.37 12.02
2.02 3.31 4.51 6.54 8.53 12.03 20.28 2.02 3.36 6.76
12.07 21.73 2.07 3.36 6.93 8.65 12.63 22.69
128 9.37 10.51 6.39 7.42 5.46 0.08 79.05 78.97 3.25 15.2 0.93
Table (3.6): Information criteria values for comparative distributions for data I
Dist. -L AIC CAIC BIC HQIC
NOWIBX 412.1536 832.3073 832.6325 843.7154 836.9424
[0,1]NHIBX 461.7729 931.5616 931.8868 942.9697 936.1968
KuIBX 415.2403 838.4805 838.8057 849.8886 843.1157
EGIBX 447.3125 902.625 902.9502 914.0331 907.2602
LGamIBX 425.1468 858.2937 858.6189 869.7018 862.9288
BeIBX 424.5922 857.1844 857.5096 868.5925 861.8196
IBX 505.1199 1014.24 1014.336 1019.944 1016.557
Table (3.7): Evaluate goodness-of-fit statistics for comparative distributions for data I
Dist. W A 𝑲𝑺 p-value
NOWIBX 0.06721345 0.4552835 0.05229047 0.8752071
[0,1]NHIBX 0.7652793 4.72932 0.3145878 1.986578e-11
KuIBX 0.1180385 0.8011623 0.06114451 0.724887
EGIBX 0.8020442 4.875024 0.1513152 0.005694233
LGamIBX 38.55569 250.3297 0.9999987 0
BeIBX 0.3241705 2.080104 0.1003474 0.1518128
IBX 2.12294 12.00713 0.3543045 2.209344e-14
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Table (3.8): parameter estimators by MLE for comparative distributions for data I
Dist. 𝜹 𝜽 𝜶 𝜸
NOWIBX 3.260230462 4.601609001 0.008892513 0.082594196
[0,1]NHIBX 0.08993546 0.99653341 0.29647638 0.61361551
KuIBX 22.545247752 26.350177927 0.005094885 0.135104612
EGIBX 0.16824563 33.86453268 0.02153313 2.11511660
LGamIBX 27.358862809 3.095337355 0.008749932 0.680536116
BeIBX 37.645205597 18.100188640 0.005253935 0.081712914
IBX - - 0.3501005 0.1769828
Results from Table (3.6) show that, in terms of the fit criteria (AIC,
BIC, HQIC, CAIC), the NOWIBX distribution recorded the lowest values
compared to the other distributions, reflecting its clear superiority in
representing the data. It was followed in terms of performance by the
BeIBX and LGamIBX distributions, but by a significant margin, while
the IBX distribution recorded the highest values, indicating its poor fit.
Results from Table (3.7): The 𝐾𝑆 test gave the NOWIBX distribution
a very small value (0.052) with a high p-value (0.875), indicating no
significant differences between the theoretical distribution and the data, a
strong indicator of the goodness of fit. In contrast, some distributions,
such as [0,1]NHIBX and EGIBX, showed very low p-values, indicating
their failure to fit. Distributions such as KuIBX and BeIBX, on the other
hand, produced acceptable results but were less accurate than NOWIBX.
The results from Table (3.8) show that the NOWIBX distribution is
estimated to have 𝛿 = 3.26, 𝜃 = 4.60, 𝛼 ≈ 0.0089, and 𝛾 ≈ 0.0826.
These values reflect a high degree of shape flexibility, allowing it to
represent a skewed, heavy-tailed distribution. The remaining distributions
exhibited significant differences in parameter estimates, especially
KuIBX and LGamIBX, which have very large shape values, which may
limit their practical flexibility in this case.
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
In Figure (3.5), the NOWIBX curve appears to follow the shape of the
data represented by the gray histogram more accurately than the other
models, especially in the first part where most of the values are
concentrated. The remaining models either underestimate the peak or
overestimate the distribution in the tail. In Figure (3.6), the NOWIBX
curve roughly matches the empirical cumulative function (dashed black
line), indicating that the distribution captures the behavior of the data
across all ranges. The other distributions deviate from the empirical
model, especially at large values.
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
45 1.34 1.25 0.84 1.19 0.95 0.05 4.03 3.99 0.94 -0.45 0.19
Table (3.9): Information criteria values for comparative distributions for data II
Dist. -L AIC CAIC BIC HQIC
NOWIBX 58.2242 124.4484 125.4484 131.6751 127.1424
[0,1]NHIBX 64.62518 137.2504 138.2504 144.477 139.9444
KuIBX 59.77862 127.5572 128.5572 134.7839 130.2513
EGIBX 84.1579 176.3158 177.3158 183.5424 179.0098
LGamIBX 60.84979 129.6996 130.6996 136.9262 132.3936
BeIBX 61.83997 131.6799 132.6799 138.9066 134.374
IBX 72.14705 148.2941 148.5798 151.9074 149.6411
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
Table (3.10): Evaluate goodness-of-fit statistics for comparative distributions for data
II
Dist. W A 𝑲𝑺 p-value
NOWIBX 0.05396241 0.3980271 0.08529341 0.871218
[0,1]NHIBX 0.1329864 0.9634076 0.1924543 0.06197589
KuIBX 0.07235006 0.5343113 0.1026565 0.691647
EGIBX 0.5826623 3.393419 0.3264961 8.996611e-05
LGamIBX 15.18441 89.70491 0.9985948 0
BeIBX 0.1056582 0.7546332 0.1126633 0.5784162
IBX 0.3059827 1.941572 0.2253925 0.01722965
Table (3.11): parameter estimators by MLE for comparative distributions for data II
Dist. 𝜹 𝜽 𝜶 𝜸
NOWIBX 7.3109037 2.9884617 0.0074122 0.0864386
[0,1]NHIBX 14.554068575 2.602689186 0.120772617 0.004792009
KuIBX 9.474044085 9.572313591 0.008266733 0.155861632
EGIBX 2.09102739 0.25800972 0.27219926 0.05589438
LGamIBX 15.817747271 1.109489996 0.006555005 1.485922500
BeIBX 10.97833848 6.27498851 0.01318763 0.12937126
IBX - - 0.1344021 0.2715192
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CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
64
CHAPTER THREE A NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE BURR TYPE X, PROPERTIES WITH APPLICATION
65
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Chapter Four
4.1 Introduction
This chapter proposes a continuous probability distribution called the
New Odd Weibull Inverse Rayleigh distribution (NOWIR) with three
parameters. Then this distribution is expanded to deal with Neutrosophic
logic. Suppose the Neutrosophic random variable and neutrosophic
parameters are taken based on the direct neutrosophic method, which
consists of integrating the inverse Rayleigh distribution with the New
Odd Weibull family NOWG to create the New Odd Weibull Inverse
Rayleigh distribution (NOWIR) and introduce it into neutrosophic logic.
Relying on the extended (direct) neutrosophic distribution method to
generate the neutrosophic distribution, which is called NeNOWIR for
short, each parameter of the NOWIR distribution was modified to include
the elements of certainty T, uncertainty I, and failure F, to obtain a more
flexible distribution in modeling the original data, the transformation of
this distribution is divided into neutrosophic vectors and a data set is
created using the simulation method. Some statistical and mathematical
properties of the new distribution according to neutrosophic logic, are
also presented in addition to estimating the parameters using the
maximum potential method. Finally, regarding the practical aspect, the
NeNOWIR distribution was applied to two types of neutrosophic real
data: the first was the 30-day COVID-19 data for the Netherlands, and the
second type of data was represented by interval estimates mortality rates
of infants and children under five years of age and compared the results
with six other distributions using some precision criteria.
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
where that 𝑎, 𝑏, and 𝑐 are shape parameters for the new distribution
with values greater than or equal to zero.
4.3 Neutrosophic New Odd Weibull Inverse Rayleigh
distribution
Consider the neutrosophic New Odd Inverse Rayleigh random
variable, denoted as 𝑋𝑁𝑒 , which can be expressed as 𝑋𝑁𝑒 = 𝑑 + 𝑡𝐼, where
𝑑 represents the determined component and 𝑡𝐼 represents the
indeterminate part. The values of 𝑡𝐼 lie within the interval [𝑋𝐿 , 𝑋𝑈 ], where
𝑋𝐿 and 𝑋𝑈 are the bottom and higher values of the random variable.
Similarly, the values of 𝑡𝐼 are within the interval [𝐼𝐿 , 𝐼𝑈 ]. It is important to
observe that the neutrosophic New Odd Weibull Inverse Rayleigh
distribution (NeNOWIR) becomes the classical New Odd Weibull
Inverse Rayleigh distribution when the lower bound (𝑋𝐿 ) is equal to the
upper bound (𝑋𝑈 ). The Neutrosophic cumulative density (NeCDF) of
67
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
By using equation (4.11), we can determine the Nepdf function for the
NeNOWIR distribution in the following manner:
2𝑐
− 𝑁𝑒 𝑐 𝑐
𝑒 𝑥𝑁𝑒
2 − 𝑁𝑒2 − 𝑁𝑒2
2𝑎𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 𝑐𝑁𝑒 [ 𝑥
−𝑒 𝑁𝑒 𝑥
𝑙𝑜𝑔(1−𝑒 𝑁𝑒 )]
𝑐
− 𝑁𝑒2
𝑥
1−𝑒 𝑁𝑒
𝑓𝑁𝑒 (𝑥𝑁𝑒 ) = 𝑐 𝑐 1−𝑏𝑁𝑒
− 𝑁𝑒2 − 𝑁𝑒2
3
𝑥𝑁𝑒 [−(𝑒 𝑥 𝑁𝑒 ).𝑙𝑜𝑔(1−𝑒 𝑥 𝑁𝑒 )] (4.6)
𝑐 𝑐 𝑏𝑁𝑒
− 𝑁𝑒2 − 𝑁𝑒2
𝑥 𝑥
(−𝑎𝑁𝑒 [−(𝑒 𝑁𝑒 ).𝑙𝑜𝑔(1−𝑒 𝑁𝑒 )] )
.𝑒
68
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Figure (4.2) displays many graphs of the Npdf for the NeNOWIR
distribution with different intervals 𝑎𝑁𝑒 , 𝑏𝑁𝑒 , and 𝑐𝑁𝑒 .
69
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
flatter, while larger values concentrate the density around a specific value
and produce thinner tails. This observation is important for understanding
how the model handles data with high or low dispersion.
70
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Figure (4.6) exhibits multiple graphs illustrating the hazard for the
NeNOWIR distribution, each corresponding to a distinct interval
𝑎𝑁𝑒 , 𝑏𝑁𝑒 , and 𝑐𝑁𝑒 .
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
produce different patterns: some start at a low rate and then increase,
while others exhibit a near-constant or even decreasing pattern. This
reflects the model's flexibility in representing multiple types of hazard
behavior, whether increasing, decreasing, or complex.
(−1)𝑖𝑁𝑒+𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑗𝑁𝑒
where 𝜓 = ∑∞
𝑖𝑁𝑒 ,𝑗𝑁𝑒 =0 𝑑𝑖𝑏𝑁𝑒 ,𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑎𝑁𝑒 𝑖𝑁𝑒
𝑖𝑁𝑒 !
𝑑𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 , ,0 =1
72
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝑐
−(𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑧𝑁𝑒 ) 𝑁𝑒2
𝐷𝑒 𝑥 𝑁𝑒
𝑓𝑁𝑒 (𝑥𝑁𝑒 ) = 3
𝑥𝑁𝑒
𝑐
(4.10)
−(𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +1) 𝑁𝑒2
𝑀𝑒 𝑥 𝑁𝑒
− 3
𝑥𝑁𝑒
where
(−1)𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑖𝑁𝑒 +𝑧𝑁𝑒−1
𝐷 = ∑∞
𝑖𝑁𝑒 ,𝑘𝑁𝑒 ,𝑧𝑁𝑒 =0 𝑑𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑏𝑁𝑒 −1,𝑘𝑁𝑒 2𝑐𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒
𝑖𝑁𝑒 !𝑎𝑁𝑒 −(𝑖𝑁𝑒+1)
and
∞
(−1)𝑖𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑗𝑁𝑒 −1
𝑀= ∑ 𝑑𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑏𝑁𝑒 ,𝑗𝑁𝑒 2𝑐𝑁𝑒 𝑎𝑁𝑒 𝑖𝑁𝑒 +1𝑏𝑁𝑒
𝑖𝑁𝑒 !
𝑖𝑁𝑒 ,𝑗𝑁𝑒 =0
where
𝑡𝑁𝑒 (−1)𝛽𝑁𝑒+𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝜃𝑁𝑒+𝑢𝑁𝑒
Ψ = ∑∞
𝜃𝑁𝑒 ,𝛽𝑁𝑒 ,𝑢𝑁𝑒 =0 (𝜃 ) 𝜃𝑁𝑒 𝛽𝑁𝑒 𝑎𝑁𝑒 𝛽𝑁𝑒 𝑑𝛽𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 ,𝑢𝑁𝑒
𝑁𝑒 𝛽𝑁𝑒 !
𝑑𝛽𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 ,0 = 1
4.5.3 Neutrosophic Quantile Function
The Quantile function is the mathematical operation that reverses the
effect of the NeCDF described in Equation (4.11). This tool is utilized to
compute the median, skewness, and kurtosis for distributions that exhibit
73
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
The table shows that increasing the value of 𝑢𝑁𝑒 from 0.1 to 0.9
results in a shift in the quantile values from low to high ranges, reflecting
the cumulative nature of the distribution. For example, in the first set, at
𝑢𝑁𝑒 = 0.1, the quantiles are in the range [0.6698, 1.3560], while at
74
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝑢𝑁𝑒 = 0.9, they reach the range [2.5634, 3.4203], indicating a clear
widening of the values with increasing probability. It also appears that
varying initial values of the parameters directly affect the widening of the
intervals; some sets yield wider ranges at higher 𝑢𝑁𝑒 values, an indication
of increased dispersion in the tail of the distribution. Furthermore, the
differences between intervals at the same value of 𝑢𝑁𝑒 demonstrate the
sensitivity of the quantile function to parameter changes, reflecting the
flexibility of the NeNOWIR distribution in representing data with
different patterns of centering and spread.
𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑧𝑁𝑒 ) √𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +𝑧𝑁𝑒 )
𝑥𝑁𝑒 2 = , then 𝑥𝑁𝑒 = 1
𝒱 𝒱2
𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +1) √𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 +2𝑏𝑁𝑒 +1)
𝑥𝑁𝑒 2 = , then 𝑥𝑁𝑒 = 1 ,
𝒰 𝒰2
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝔪 ∞
𝐷 [𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 𝑧𝑁𝑒 )] 2 −1 𝔪
μ̀ 𝔪 𝑁𝑒 =− ∫ 𝒱 − 2 𝑒 −𝒱 𝑑𝒱
2
0
𝔪 ∞
𝑀[𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 1)] 2 −1 𝔪
+ ∫ 𝒰 − 2 𝑒 −𝒰 𝑑𝒱
2
0
𝔪
Γ (1 − )
μ̀ 𝔪 𝑁𝑒 = 2 [𝑀𝑊 𝔪
2
−1
𝔪
− 𝐷𝑇 2 −1] (4.14)
2
where 𝑊 = 𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 1), and 𝑇 = 𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +
2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 1)
The variance of the NeNOWIR is given by:
1 π 1 1 2
2 −2 −2 (4.15)
𝜎𝑁𝑒 = [𝑀 − 𝐷 ] − [𝑀𝑊 − 𝐷𝑇 ]
2 4
The Neutrosophic skewness (𝑆𝐾𝑁𝑒 ) and Neutrosophic kurtosis (𝐾𝑈𝑁𝑒 )
of NeNOWIR distribution are defined by [45], [41]:
1 1
−√π [𝑀𝑊 2 − 𝐷𝑇 2]
𝑆𝐾𝑁𝑒 = 3 (4.16)
𝑀−𝐷 2
( )
2
Γ(−1)[𝑀𝑊 − 𝐷𝑇]
𝐾𝑈𝑁𝑒 = −3 (4.17)
(𝑀 − 𝐷 )2
4
Table (4.2) displays a collection of values for the intervals of
moments, variance, skewness, and kurtosis by cases:
1. Case 1: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.1, 2.1], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.2, 1.6], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.1,1.1].
2. Case 2: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.1, 2.1], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.2, 1.6], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.2,1.2]
3. Case 3: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.1, 2.1], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.4, 1.8], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.3,1.3]
4. Case 4: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.1, 2.1], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.4, 1.8], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.4,1.4]
5. Case 5: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.3, 2.3], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.2, 1.6], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.5,1.5]
6. Case 6: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.3, 2.3], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.2, 1.6], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.6,1.6]
7. Case 7: 𝑎𝑁𝑒 = [1.3, 2.3], 𝑏𝑁𝑒 = [1.4, 1.8], 𝑐𝑁𝑒 = [0.7,1.7]
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table 4.2 displays the numerical values of the first four moments of
the NeNOWIR distribution across eight different cases of the
neutrosophic parameter intervals. It can be seen that the median values
and first moments increase almost steadily from case 1 to 8, reflecting a
shift in the distribution toward larger values as the parameters are
adjusted toward higher ranges, indicating an expected increase in the
mean of the distribution.
Regarding the variance, there is a clear variation between cases, with
values remaining within a moderate range in most cases. However,
notable deviations appear in some scenarios, such as case 6, which
witnessed a significant increase in one of the variance limits (up to
1.11201), reflecting the possibility of highly dispersed data at those
parameters.
The skewness coefficient shows positive values in all cases, indicating
a rightward skew of the distribution. However, its intensity varies, as we
77
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
see relative stability in most cases, while clear jumps appear, as in case 6
(a maximum value of 13.2457), indicating a very long tail in that case.
The kurtosis coefficient reflects the degree of "sharpness" of the peak
or thickness of the tails in the distribution. Most values fall within a
moderate range, but there are extreme cases, such as case 6 (85.6802),
which indicates the presence of very heavy tails. These results reflect that
the NeNOWIR distribution is sensitive to parameter variations, especially
in the variance and upper moments. This gives it great flexibility in
representing data with different dispersion, skewness, and kurtosis
characteristics, which is important when choosing parameters to fine-tune
the fit of the distribution to real data.
Figure (4.5) presents 3D shapes of moments, skewness, and kurtosis.
(a)
78
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
(b)
(c)
Figure (4.5). (a) 3D plot of Variance, (b) 3D plot of Skewness, (c) 3D plot of
Kurtosis
79
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝔪
𝑛 Γ (1 − )
𝑦𝑁𝑒 ∞
μ̀ 𝑁𝑒𝑥 (𝑦𝑁𝑒 ) = ∑ [ 2 [𝑀𝑊 𝔪 𝔪
2 −1 − 𝐷𝑇 2 −1 ]] (4.18)
𝑁𝑒
𝑛=0 𝑛! 2
where 𝑊 = 𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 𝑧𝑁𝑒 ), and 𝑇 = 𝑐𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +
2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 1)
80
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝛿𝑁𝑒
∑𝛾𝑤𝑁𝑒
𝑁𝑒 =0
(−1)𝑤𝑁 +1 (𝑤𝛾𝑁𝑒 ) D. M Ψ 2 −1 ℳ
𝑁𝑒
log [ ]
2 (4.20)
𝐼̀𝛿𝑁𝑒 (𝑥 )𝑁𝑒 =
1 − 𝛿𝑁𝑒
where Ψ = 𝑐𝑁𝑒 [𝑤𝑁𝑒 (2𝑖𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 𝑧𝑁𝑒 − 2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 − 1) + 𝛾𝑁𝑒 (𝑘𝑁𝑒 +
𝛿𝑁𝑒
2𝑗𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 2𝑏𝑁𝑒 + 1)], ℳ = 𝛤 (1 − )
2
81
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
∞
1
𝑇̀𝛿𝑁𝑒 (𝑥 )𝑁𝑒 = (1 − ∫ [𝑓𝑁𝑒 (𝑥𝑁𝑒 , 𝑎𝑁𝑒 , 𝑏𝑁𝑒 , 𝑐𝑁𝑒 )]𝛿𝑁𝑒 𝑑𝑥𝑁𝑒 )
𝛿𝑁𝑒 − 1
0
4.5 Estimation
The NeNOWIR distribution parameters are computed using the
maximum likelihood estimation method. We calculate the log-likelihood
function for a random sample of data points 𝑥𝑁𝑒 1, 𝑥𝑁𝑒 2 , … , 𝑥𝑁𝑒 𝑚 . The
distribution adheres to the Nepdf of the NeNOWIR distribution.
𝑚
𝑐𝑁𝑒 𝑐 𝑏𝑁𝑒
− − 𝑁𝑒2
𝑥𝑁𝑒 𝑖 2 𝑥𝑁𝑒 𝑖
(−𝑎𝑁𝑒 [−(𝑒 ).𝑙𝑜𝑔(1−𝑒 )] )
.𝑒
where 𝜃𝑁𝑒 are the parameters of distribution. Then the normal log-
likelihood function L is obtained as:
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
−3 ∑ log 𝑥𝑁𝑒 𝑖
𝑖=1
4.6 Simulation
Simulation plays a vital role in signal processing, advanced analysis,
and air temperature regulation. Simulation is used in signal processing to
gain insight into ultrasound data. Extreme analysis, especially in
meteorology, uses simulation techniques to evaluate extreme estimates.
Simulation helps researchers understand the processes and characteristics
of their disciplines.
The effectiveness of the NeNOWIR distribution estimators is
evaluated using five statistical methods, which are: MLE, OLS, WLSE,
ADE, and RTADE, and seven numerical optimization methods: Nelder-
Mead, BFGS, CG, L-BFGS-B, SANN, Newton-Raphson, and Powell
83
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table (4.3) : Monte Carlo simulations for statistical method conducted for
NeNOWIR
𝒂𝑵𝒆 = [𝟑, 𝟒], 𝒃𝑵𝒆 = [𝟏. 𝟓,𝟏. 𝟗], 𝒄𝑵𝒆 = [𝟒,𝟓]
Ess.
N Est. MLE OLSE WLSE ADE RTADE
Par.
[3.99178, [4.73862, [4.32817, [4.43993, [13.66783
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
5.1434] 5.70737] 5.37399] 5.58633] , 16.7248]
[1.48804, [0.63429, [0.93179, [1.05760, [-24.1302,
Mean 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.96946] 0.97873] 1.28977] 1.44993] -19.7191]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[4.15725, [4.03414, [4.03280, [4.13927, [0.47706,
5.10668] 4.87072] 4.90882] 5.04556] 0.610528]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[11.7349, [36.8207, [22.3517, [21.2578, [156.297,
20.5909] 42.3600] 31.2535] 32.8308] 213.8753]
[0.91061, [5.33052, [2.45857, [2.11033, [538.685,
MSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.61547] 5.97056] 3.61799 3.13139] 785.7043]
[1.36546, [2.28251, [1.87948, [1.76287, [12.44346
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
1.74361] 2.92973] 2.39856] 2.21794] , 19.2605]
50 [3.42563, [6.06801, [4.72776, [4.61062, [12.5019,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
4.53772] 6.50846] 5.59048] 5.72982] 14.62448]
[0.95426, [2.30879, [1.56798, [1.45269, [23.2096,
RMSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.27101] 2.44347] 1.90210] 1.76957] 28.0304]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[1.16853, [1.51079, [1.37094, [1.32773, [3.52752,
1.32045] 1.71164] 1.54873] 1.48927] 4.39614]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[0.99178, [1.70737, [1.32817, [1.43993, [10.6678,
1.14341] 1.73862] 1.37399] 1.58633] 12.724]
[0.01195, [0.86570, [0.56820, [0.44239, [21.2191,
Bias 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.06946] 0.92126] 0.61022] 0.45006] 26.0302]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.10668, [0.12927, [0.03280, [0.04556, [3.52293,
0.15725] 0.03414] 0.09117] 0.13927] 4.38947]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[3.33712, [3.57895, [3.44462, [3.50998, [14.0189,
4.59250] 4.85510] 4.73443] 4.82528] 17.3222]
100 Mean [1.51818, [1.15062, [1.29953, [1.33616, [-24.9924,
𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.91500] 1.43785] 1.60820] 1.65285] -20.2258]
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[4.02112, [3.9245, [3.96565, [4.01959, [0.42871,
5.06446] 4.90217] 4.97987] 5.04276] 0.56363]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[3.61256, [8.42918, [5.68920, [5.46567, [150.439,
7.32700] 16.4321] 11.5266] 10.9631] 207.4267]
[0.35229, [1.26409, [0.67892, [0.62771, [532.420,
MSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.70861] 2.17868] 1.24940] 1.17736] 785.5484]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.62821, [1.15557, [0.8294, [0.76376, [12.7704,
0.91991] 1.68417] 1.25063] 1.17656] 19.71894]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[1.90067, [2.90330, [2.3852, [2.33787, [12.2653,
2.70684] 4.05366] 3.3950] 3.31106] 14.4023]
[0.59354, [1.12431, [0.82397, [0.79228, [23.0742,
RMSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.84179] 1.47603] 1.11776] 1.08506] 28.02764]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.79260, [1.07497, [1.11776, [0.87393, [3.57357,
0.95911] 1.29775] 1.11831] 1.08469] 4.4406]
[0.33712, [0.57895, [0.44462, [0.50998, [11.0189,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
0.59250] 0.85510] 0.73443] 0.82528] 13.32226]
[0.01818, [0.34937, [0.20046, [0.16383, [21.7258,
Bias 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.01500] 0.46214] 0.29179] 0.24714] 26.8924]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.02112, [0.07548, [0.03434, [0.01959, [3.57128,
0.06446] 0.09782] 0.03434] 0.04276] 4.43636]
[3.23308, [3.50905, [3.34529, [3.37150, [14.2598,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
4.38253] 4.52252] 4.42505] 4.48210] 18.02245]
[1.51730, [1.23002, [1.36650, [1.38582, [-20.5737,
Mean 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.92175] 1.61482] 1.75160] 1.77652] -26.0029]
[4.0229, [3.99274, [4.00503, [4.02867, [0.41548,
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
5.05377] 4.92003] 4.98370] 5.02388] 0.54070]
[2.25304, [5.71300, [3.40012, [3.27350, [144.753,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
4.20977] 9.61719] 6.23139] 5.93608] 205.894]
[0.22752, [0.78095, [0.39749, [0.39397, [524.658,
MSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.38801] 1.2037] 0.67004] 0.62702] 797.8639]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.41647, [0.80277, [0.55771, [0.52553, [12.8601,
0.61431] 1.20738] 0.83127] 0.78372] 19.91161]
150 [1.50101, [2.39018, [1.84394, [1.80928, [12.0313,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
2.05177] 3.10116] 2.49627] 2.43640] 14.34903]
[0.47699, [0.88371, [0.63047, [0.62767, [22.9054,
RMSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.62290] 1.09713] 0.81856] 0.79184] 28.24649]
[0.64534, [0.89597, [0.74680, [0.72493, [3.58610,
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
0.78378] 1.09881] 0.91174] 0.88527] 4.46224]
[0.23308, [0.50905, [0.34529, [0.37150, [11.2598,
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
0.38253] 0.52252] 0.42505] 0.48210] 14.02245]
[0.01730, [0.26997, [0.13349, [0.11417, [22.0737,
Bias 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.02175] 0.28517] 0.14839] 0.12347] 27.90290]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.02293, [0.00725, [0.00503, [0.02867, [3.58451,
0.05377] 0.07996] 0.01629] 0.02388] 4.4592]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[3.17876, [3.27579, [3.19610, [3.23282, [14.2322,
4.33415] 4.52640] 4.43945] 4.46910] 14.2322]
[1.50093, [1.33239, [1.41553, [1.42216, [-20.533, -
Mean 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
1.90880] 1.64576] 1.75297] 1.77296] 26.1419]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[4.01770, [3.95167, [3.97905, [4.00374, [0.401127
5.05346] 4.98833] 5.02742] 5.05069] 90.5302]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[1.46962, [3.58738, [2.14730, [2.07787, [129.945,
200 3.07630] 7.00424] 4.6317] 4.4173] 207.956]
[0.14308, [0.43656, [0.22788, [0.22701, [493.358,
MSE 𝑏̂𝑁𝑒
0.28597] 0.87513] 0.48156] 0.45897] 804.2771]
𝑐̂𝑁𝑒
[0.29702, [0.58842, [0.39471, [0.37334, [12.9606,
0.45567] 0.87715] 0.61731] 0.58668] 20.002]
𝑎̂𝑁𝑒
[1.21228, [1.89404, [1.46536, [1.44148, [11.3993,
RMSE 1.75394] 2.64655] 2.15214] 2.10173] 14.4207]
𝑏̂𝑁𝑒 [0.37826, [0.66073, [0.47736, [0.47645, [22.2116,
85
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table (4.4) : Monte Carlo simulations for numerical optimization conducted for
NeNOWIR
𝒂𝑵𝒆 = [𝟐, 𝟐. 𝟓] 𝒃𝑵𝒆 = [𝟏. 𝟓, 𝟐] 𝒄𝑵𝒆 = [𝟑, 𝟑. 𝟓]
N Est. Nelder- L-BFGS- Newton-
[Link]. Mead
BFGS CG
B
SANN
Raphson
Powell
86
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
87
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
OLSE, WLSE, ADE, and RTADE) with four sample sizes (50, 100, 150,
and 200). Means, bias, mean square error (MSE), and root mean square
error (RMSE) were evaluated. Increasing sample size reduces MSE and
RMSE values for all estimation methods, reflecting improved accuracy of
estimates as the sample size increases. Bias values also decrease with
increasing sample size, indicating that the estimated means converge
toward the true values of the parameters. The MLE method often exhibits
stable performance with relatively low bias and error magnitudes, while
the RTADE method tends to produce highly skewed values at small
sample sizes, especially for parameters b and c, making it less reliable in
these cases.
Table 4.4 focuses on the effect of seven numerical optimization
algorithms (Powell, Newton-Raphson, SANN, L-BFGS-B, CG, BFGS,
and Nelder-Mead) on estimating distribution parameters. The results are
also presented for the same metrics in Table 4.3. With the same sample
sizes, it is observed that gradient-based algorithms such as BFGS and L-
BFGS-B achieve more stable estimates with relatively low MSE and
RMSE values, especially at large sample sizes. Algorithms such as
SANN exhibit greater performance variability, especially at small
samples, reflecting the sensitivity of these methods to the number of
observations. Bias generally decreases significantly with increasing
sample size for all algorithms, indicating that most optimization methods
are capable of approaching the true values when sufficient data are
available.
4.7 Application
We demonstrate a pragmatic implementation that utilizes two
separate sources of data. The efficacy of the NeNOWIR distribution in
accurately fitting data is demonstrated. The application showcases the
benefits of NeNOWIR and its outstanding compatibility with the data.
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
𝑐 𝑎𝑁𝑒 𝑏𝑁𝑒
Neotrosophic Kumaraswamy Inverse Rayleigh − 𝑁𝑒
2
1− 𝑥
(1 − (𝑒 𝑁𝑒 ) )
distribution (New)
𝑐
− 𝑁𝑒
2
1 − Γ (−𝑏𝑁𝑒 log (1 − 𝑥
𝑒 𝑁𝑒 ) , 𝑎
Neotrosophic Log Gamma Inverse Rayleigh (New) 𝑁𝑒 )
𝑐 𝑏𝑁𝑒
−𝑎𝑁𝑒 − 𝑁𝑒
2
Neotrosophic [0,1]Truncated Exponentiated Exponential (1 − 𝑒 𝑥 𝑁𝑒 )
The Dataset-I
This data set covers COVID-19 statistics specific to the
Netherlands over a 30-day period, spanning from March 31st to April
30th, 2020. This dataset comprises crude mortality rates obtained from
[49]:
(14.918, 15.66390) (10.056, 11.18880) (12.274, 12.88770) (10.289, 10.80345)
(10.832, 11.37360) (7.099,7.45395) (5.928, 6.22440) (13.211, 13.87155)
(7.968, 8.36640) (7.584, 7.96320) (5.555, 5.83275) (6.027,6.32835)
(4.097, 4.30185) (3.611, 3.79155) (4.960, 5.20800) (7.498, 7.87290)
(6.940, 7.28700) (5.307,5.57235) (5.048, 5.30040) (2.857, 2.99985)
(2.254, 2.36670) (5.431, 5.70255) (4.462, 4.68510) (3.883,4.07715)
(3.461, 3.63405) (3.647, 3.82935) (1.974, 2.07270) (1.273, 1.33665)
(1.416, 1.48680) (4.235,4.44675)
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CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table 4.6 presents the actual data for the crude death rates from
COVID-19 in the Netherlands over a 30-day period, with the three
neutrosophic values: the true value (T), the error value (F), and the
indeterminacy value (I). The table shows that the true component is the
highest on average (6.36), while negative values dominate the error and
indeterminacy components, reflecting the presence of noise in the data,
but this does not negate the strength of the main signal represented by the
true component. The extreme values also reveal significant variability,
with some T values reaching as high as 15.29, while some F values are as
positive as 5.24, while I values mostly remain negative. To theoretically
90
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
evaluate these results, the data are plotted against the original data periods
and the distribution of the neutrosophic components for analysis.
91
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
The following table shows the descriptive statistics for the first
data sample, such as the mean, variance, standard deviation, maximum
and minimum values, as well as the range, skewness, and kurtosis.
[-0.18,-0.24]
[6.14 ,6.46]
[5.79 ,6.11]
[2.72 ,2.85]
[1.27 ,1.34]
[3.51,3.71]
[5.37,5.64]
[0.64,0.68]
[0.79, 0.8]
30
1
92
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table (4.8) Information criteria values for comparative neutrosophic distributions for
data-I
Dist. -L AIC CAIC BIC HQIC
[77.11592, 7 [160.2318, 1 [161.1549, 1 [164.4354, 1 [161.5766, 1
NENOWIR
8.8053] 63.610] 64.5337] 67.8142] 64.9554]
[82.05125, 8 [170.1025, 1 [171.0256, 1 [174.061, 17 [171.4473, 1
NeBEIR
3.6459] 73.291] 74.215] 7.4955] 74.6366]
[82.2612, 83. [170.5225, 1 [171.4456, 1 [174.7261, 1 [171.8672, 1
NeKuIR
85946] 73.718] 74.642] 77.9225] 75.0637]
[81.09271, 8 [168.1854, 1 [169.1085, 1 [172.389, 17 [169.5302, 1
NeEGIR
2.6858] 71.371] 72.2948] 5.5753] 72.7164]
[78.3050, 79. [162.6102, 1 [163.5332, 1 [166.8137, 1 [163.9549, 1
NeLGamIR
88524] 65.770] 66.6936] 69.9741] 67.1152]
Ne[0,1] [79.7998, 81. [165.5996, 1 [166.5227, 1 [169.8032, 1 [166.9444, 1
TEEIR 39258] 68.785] 69.7082] 72.9888] 70.1299]
[83.1178, 84. [168.2357, 1 [168.3785, 1 [169.6369, 1 [168.6839, 1
NeIR
74257] 71.485] 71.628] 72.8863] 71.9334]
93
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
94
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
95
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
The Dataset-II
Confidence intervals for the mortality rates of infants aged less than
five years [50]:
[31.53, 31.81] [29.33, 30.08] [27.23, 28.67] [25.09, 26.34]
[24.20, 24.88] [22.00, 23.50] [20.66, 22.09] [19.74, 20.59]
[18.57, 20.03] [18.04, 18.77] [16.89, 17.89] [15.92, 16.21]
[14.51, 15.92] [13.92, 14.71] [12.73, 14.32] [12.20, 13.35]
[11.18, 12.68 ] [10.21, 11.75] [10.12, 11.03] [9.12, 10.69]
[8.47, 9.42] [8.59, 9.28] [7.65, 9.03] [7.77, 8.59]
[7.23, 7.98] [6.81, 8.06]
96
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
Table 4.11 represents the data for Dataset-II, which are confidence
intervals for under-five mortality rates. These intervals were transformed
into three neutrosophic components: the true value (T), the false value
(F), and the indeterminacy value (I). The results show that the true
component, T, maintains the highest values compared to the other two
components, with an average of 16.30, reaching a maximum value of
31.67 in the first grade, while its lowest value was 7.44. This reflects that
the data exhibit a strong central signal that represents the core of the
observed phenomenon, namely the true mortality rate. In contrast, the
false component, F, often records negative values, with an average of
approximately -1.49, indicating a limited amount of negative variance or
errors in measurements or estimates, with the exception of one positive
case (0.74) in the eighth grade, which may reflect a slight difference in
estimation or data recording. The third component, the uncertainty value
(I), records a large negative mean (-13.81) and a minimum value of -
30.25, indicating that a significant portion of the data is affected by
ambiguity, perhaps due to overlaps in the statistical limits of confidence
intervals or sample size limitations. Statistical values attached to the
table, such as the standard deviation, confirm the presence of significant
variation among observations. The standard deviation for the true
component is 7.33 and for uncertainty is 7.46, indicating that the data are
97
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
not completely homogeneous and that there is variation across age groups
or time periods in mortality rates. These results, taken as a whole, reflect
that the data, while strong in representing the general trend, contain a
significant degree of ambiguity and a limited amount of deviations that
should be taken into account when modeling or interpreting. To further
describe the results of this table, the data are plotted as shown in the
figures [Link] following figures show the data used, the nature of its
analysis, and the parts of its analysis.
98
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
The following table shows the descriptive statistics for the first
data sample, such as the mean, variance, standard deviation, maximum
and minimum values, as well as the range, skewness, and kurtosis.
99
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
[15.76, 16.76]
[14.21, 15.32]
[15.22, 16.26]
[31.53, 31.81]
[23.83, 24.72]
[-0.96, -0.93]
[7.27, 7.37]
[7.87, 8.27]
[6.81, 7.98]
[1.43, 1.45]
0.56
26
100
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
101
CHAPTER FOUR NEUTROSOPHIC NEW ODD WEIBULL INVERSE RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION
102
CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Chapter Five
5.1 Conclusions
In this Dissertation, we propose a new and more flexible
distribution family based on the Weibull distribution, which is a hybrid
distribution family for the T-X method with a hybrid composition method
that combines two T-X methods called NOWG. The parsimonious,
flexible, and efficient nature of the new proposal keeps its most attractive
feature. Throughout the work, distributional properties are developed
mathematically and then verified through rigorous simulations. The
analysis is conducted using several techniques.
The distribution of NOWIBX was the focus of this study. The
basic distribution functions were derived, as well as some mathematical
properties of the distribution were proven. Three conventional estimation
techniques were also used to derive the unknown parameters of the
NOWIBX distribution. In terms of the efficiency of estimating simulation
values, the OLSE technique performs better than other methods,
according to the results presented in the simulation section. Based on the
actual data examples, we can see that the NOWIBX distribution
outperforms all compared distributions in terms of data fit, followed by
KuIBX and BeIBX in terms of fit, but the NOWIBX distribution still
significantly outperforms the others large amount in terms of results.
Finally, we demonstrated that the NOWIBX distribution works better
when modeling and fitting data from the fields of medicine, economics,
industry, etc.
This Dissertation presents a new probabilistic model, the
NeNOWIR distribution with a random variable and three neutrosophic
103
CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.2 Recommendations
The study recommends the following:
1. New sub-distributions of the New Odd Weibull-G (NOWG) family
should be developed using different underlying distributions as
inputs (such as Burr, Gamma, or Lindley) to enhance the family's
flexibility in representing data from multiple domains.
2. Propose applying the proposed family to other data types not
covered in the study, such as highly volatile financial data, extreme
weather data, and medical genomics data, to validate its
effectiveness across broader domains.
104
CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
105
REFERENCES
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112
المستخلص
املستخلص
تهدف هذه األطروحة إلى تقديم عائلة توزيع احتمالي جديدة تُعرف باسم "عائلة ويبل-
جي االحادية الجديدة ) ،" (New Odd Weibull-G Familyوتُعد امتدادًا لتوزيع ويبل
الكالسيكي عبر دمجه بأساليب توليد هجينة إلنتاج نماذج أكثر مرونة وقدرة على تمثيل البيانات
الحقيقية ،سواء العادية أو النتروسوفكية .جاءت هذه الدراسة استجابةً لقصور التوزيعات التقليدية
في تمثيل البيانات غير المتماث لة أو التي تحتوي على درجة عالية من عدم اليقين ،خاصة في
تطبيقات تحليل البقاء والبيانات الطبية والمالية.
تضمنت الدراسة تطوير نموذجي توزيع ضمن العائلة المقترحة :أحدهما للتعامل مع
البيانات العادية ،والثاني للتعامل مع البيانات النتروسوفكية .جرى اشتقاق الخصائص الرياضية
األساسية للتوزيع مثل دالة الكثافة االحتمالية ،دالة التوزيع التراكمي ،دالة البقاء ،والدوال العزوم.
كما تم تقدير معلمات النماذج باستخدام خمس طرق مختلفة ،بينها اإلمكان األعظم والمربعات
الصغرى ،وتقييم كفاءة كل طريقة من خالل محاكاة مونت كارلو.
طُبّقت النماذج على بيانات حقيقية باستخدام برنامج ،Rوقورنت أدائها بتوزيعات أخرى
وفقًا لمعايير معلوماتية مثل معيار معلوماتية أكايكي ( )AICومعيار معلوماتية بيز (.)BIC
أظهرت النتائج تفوق التوزيع الجديد على تمثيل البيانات ،خاصةً عند وجود عدم يقين أو بيانات
ذات ذيل كثيف .كما تضمنت الدراسة أدوات للتحقق من درجة عدم اليقين في البيانات قبل
النمذجة لضمان موثوقية التحليل.
مجهورية العراق
وزارة التعلمي العايل والبحث العلمي
جامعة تكريت
لكية علوم احلاسوب والرايضيات
قسم الرايضيات
ادلراسات العليا
من الطالب
1447هـ 2025م