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Probability and Statistics Exercises

The document contains a series of statistical problems involving discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and hypothesis testing. It includes tasks such as calculating probabilities, constructing diagrams, finding means and medians, and testing for associations between variables. The problems also cover the use of normal distributions, Poisson models, and regression analysis.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views3 pages

Probability and Statistics Exercises

The document contains a series of statistical problems involving discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and hypothesis testing. It includes tasks such as calculating probabilities, constructing diagrams, finding means and medians, and testing for associations between variables. The problems also cover the use of normal distributions, Poisson models, and regression analysis.

Uploaded by

iduluzimunashe5
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

1.

Given that X is a discrete random variable such that X~Geo(0,4), find

a) P(X≤7) [2] b) P(X>8|X>3) [3]

2. A survey on 2 000 students at a certain university has shown that on average one in every 500

students at the university catches a cold in a week. Use a suitable approximation to find the
probability that

a) exactly one student catches a cold in a week, [2]

b) at least three students catch a cold in a month, assuming that the month has exactly 28 days.[3]

3. Below are marks obtained by a group of 36 advanced level students of a certain school in

Mathematics test.

59 53 74 55 90 57

88 68 59 67 82 62

61 77 74 86 60 83

92 58 60 72 57 96

56 67 73 78 66 79

51 60 54 67 80 63

a) Construct a stem and leaf diagram to illustrate the distribution of the marks, such that each
interval has a width of 5 marks. [3]

b) Find the

i) median mark, [1] ii) inter-quartile range. [2]

4. The continuous random variable X has a probability density function given by

𝑓(𝑥) = {2𝑒−𝑘𝑥, 𝑥 ≥ 0

0, 𝑥<0

where k is an integer,

a) Show that k = 2. [2]

b) Find the i) cumulative function of X, [2]

ii) exact value of the median. [2]

5. The random variable X is normally distributed with mean 𝜇 and variance 𝜎

Given that

P(X>65)=0.01 and P(X<20) = 0.02, find 𝜇 and 𝜎. [7]6. The discrete random variable X is distributed as
shown in the table below

X 0 1 2 3 4

Frequency 46 44 20 8 2
a) Calculate the mean value of X. [1]

b) i) Find the frequencies that would correspond to a Poisson model with the same mean.

ii) Test at the 5% level of significance whether the data follows a Poisson distribution with the same

mean. [9]

7. An agriculture class decided to test three new types of fertilizer, X, Y and Z on the bean crop in the

school garden. They applied the fertilisers to 75 beds of bean plants. The yield per bed of beans was

classified as high, medium or low. The results are summarised in the table below.

Yield

Type of fertiliser

X Y Z

High 12 15 3

Medium 8 8 8

Low 5 7 9

Test at the 1% level of significance whether there is association between type of fertiliser and yield.
[11]

8. The random variables, R and S, are normally distributed. Given that R~N(54,36) and S~N(48,25)

a) Find

i) the value of r and s such that P(R≤r) = P(S≥s)=0.484. [7]

ii) P(R≥S) [2]

b) Six independent observations of R are taken. Find the probability that the sum of six observations

is less than 300. [5]

9. The marks x, obtained by a random sample of n students in a test are summarised by

∑(𝑥 − 25) = 144 and ∑(𝑥 − 25) = 3 650

a) Given that 𝑥̅=28.6, i) find the value of n, [2]

ii) ∑ 𝑥 [4]

iii) unbiased estimate of the population variance [2]

b) Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the population mean [3]

c) Given that the sample came from a Normal population with mean 𝜇 =30 and unknown variance,

test at the 5% level of significance the hypothesis that the mean is less than 30. [5]

10. Marks X, and Y obtained by each of ten candidates in Mathematics are given in the table below.

X is the mark for paper 1 and Y is the mark for paper 2.


X 86 93 73 66 88 96 80 70 95 63

Y 71 76 61 52 75 94 71 60 85 55

a) Show the information on a scatter diagram. [3]

b) Find the equation of the regression line Y on X in the form y=mx+c. [3]

c) Fit the regression line on the graph. [2]

d) Use the graph to estimate the paper 2 mark for a candidate who has a paper 1 mark of 75. [2]e) i)
Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient. [3]

ii) Comment on the value in i) [1

Common questions

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First, calculate the mean of the data assuming a Poisson distribution. Then use the formula for the expected frequency under a Poisson model with this mean for each observed data point. With these expected frequencies, perform a Chi-squared test to compare observed and expected frequencies. The null hypothesis is that the data follows a Poisson distribution with the specified mean. Reject the null hypothesis if the calculated Chi-squared statistic exceeds the critical value at the 5% significance level .

To find the median, m, set the cumulative distribution function (CDF) such that F(m) = 0.5. Given f(x) = 2e^{-kx}, integrate it from 0 to m to find the CDF. For f(x) = 2e^{-2x}, the CDF is F(x) = 1 - e^{-2x}. Set 1 - e^{-2m} = 0.5 and solve for m, yielding m = -ln(0.5)/2 = ln(2)/2 .

A 99% confidence interval is calculated by taking the sample mean and adding and subtracting the margin of error. The margin of error is the product of the standard deviation of the sample mean (sample standard deviation divided by the square root of n) and the Z value corresponding to 99% confidence. The formula is x̄ ± Z * (s/√n) where Z ≈ 2.576 for 99% confidence .

To ensure that the function is a valid probability density function, it must integrate to 1 over its entire range. Therefore, we solve the integral ∫_{0}^{∞} 2e^{-kx} dx = 1. Calculating this gives (2/k) [e^{-kx}]_{0}^{∞} = 1. As e^{-kx} approaches 0 when x approaches infinity, substituting the limits gives 2/k * 1 = 1, leading to k = 2 .

The Chi-square test of independence assesses whether there is a significant association between two categorical variables by comparing the observed frequency counts with frequencies expected under the hypothesis of independence. The test assumes random sampling, all expected frequencies are at least 5, and that observations are independent. The null hypothesis states that the variables are independent, and a significant test result leads to rejecting this hypothesis .

Firstly, set up the null hypothesis, H0: μ = 30, and alternative hypothesis, H1: μ < 30. Calculate the test statistic using (sample mean - hypothesized mean) / (sample standard deviation/√n). Determine the critical value from the Z or t distribution table for α = 0.05. If the test statistic is less than the critical value, reject H0, suggesting the sample mean is significantly less than 30 .

In regression analysis, the relationship between two variables is quantified by fitting a line (regression line) described by y = mx + c, where m is the slope and c is the y-intercept. By determining this relationship from known data, you can substitute an x-value into this equation to predict or estimate missing y-values, effectively estimating the dependent variable based on the independent one .

The product moment correlation coefficient quantifies the degree and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. It ranges from -1 to 1, where values close to 1 or -1 indicate a strong positive or negative linear relationship, respectively, while values near 0 suggest a weak linear relationship. A high positive correlation indicates that as one variable increases, the other tends to increase proportionally .

The significance level, often denoted α, represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true (Type I error). It is the threshold for p-values below which the null hypothesis will be rejected. In a Z-test, if the test statistic falls into the rejection region beyond the critical value of Z corresponding to α, then the null hypothesis is rejected .

A Chi-squared test of independence can be used to test the association between the type of fertilizer and the yield level. The null hypothesis in this context would be: "There is no association between the type of fertilizer used and the yield level" .

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