BPCL CRISIL AAA Rating Update 2024
BPCL CRISIL AAA Rating Update 2024
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities Rated Rs.105000 Crore (Enhanced from Rs.85000 Crore)
Long Term Rating CRISIL AAA/Stable (Reaffirmed)
Short Term Rating CRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
Detailed Rationale
CRISIL Ratings has assigned its ‘CRISIL AAA/Stable’ rating to the Rs.1440 crore non-convertible debentures of Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd
(BPCL) while reaffirming its ‘CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL A1+’ ratings on the bank loan facilities and existing debt instruments. Also, the rating on Rs
1000 crore of NCDs is withdrawn (see 'Annexure - Details of Rating Withdrawn') on receipt of redemption confirmation from debenture trustee. The
rating withdrawal is in line with the policy of CRISIL Ratings.
The ratings continue to reflect BPCL’s established market position in the oil refining and marketing sector in India, its branding initiatives and strong
operating efficiency. The ratings also factor in the company's strategic importance to the Government of India (GoI) and expectation of continued
support from it. These strengths are partially offset by exposure to project implementation risk and inherent volatility in operating profitability owing
to fluctuations in input prices.
Operating performance of BPCL had improved sharply in fiscal 2024, with operating margin of ~7% on the back of lower crude oil procurement price
and no corresponding change in the prices of key petroleum products – high-speed diesel and motor spirit - resulting in healthy marketing margins.
While gross refining margin (GRM) remained healthy at $14.1 per bbl (barrel) in fiscal 2024, it has normalised to $7.86 per bbl in the first quarter of
fiscal 2025, led by moderation in diesel cracks as well as lower discounts on crude imported from Russia relative to the previous fiscal. GRM for the
year is expected at $7-9 per bbl.
Financial risk profile improved in fiscal 2024 with healthy accretion to networth and lower debt levels given moderate operating cashflows; adjusted
gearing (excluding lease liabilities) stood at 0.73 time as on March 31, 2024 and is likely to remain less than 1 time going forward.
Amongst the planned capital expenditure (capex) plans of the company, a significant investment of Rs 49,000 crore is towards setting up an
ethylene cracker plant and brownfield expansion of the Bina (Madhya Pradesh) refinery, wherein capacity is to increase from 7.8 MMTPA to 11
MMTPA, which would primarily cater to the feed requirements of petrochemical plants. The main output from this facility will be polypropylene, which
will be sold majorly in the domestic market. This project which is expected to be completed by fiscal 2029 will be funded in a debt: equity mix of
63:37. While the company has an established track record in the oil refining space, timely implementation of this schedule within the budgeted time
and cost as well as the return on these investments would be a key monitorable.
Analytical Approach
CRISIL Ratings has combined the business and financial risk profiles of BPCL and its subsidiaries and joint ventures (JVs) - the subsidiaries have
been fully consolidated and the JVs have been proportionately consolidated. CRISIL Ratings believes these entities are strategically important to,
and have considerable operational linkages with, BPCL. The ratings also factor in government support.
Please refer Annexure - List of entities consolidated, which captures the list of entities considered and their analytical treatment of consolidation.
Established market position in the oil refining and marketing sector and branding initiatives support revenue growth
BPCL accounts for nearly 14% of the country's refining capacity and holds ~20% share in the domestic petroleum products market. The company
commands a higher retail market share in key products such as motor spirit and high-speed diesel. The market position is underpinned by the
company's entrenched marketing and distribution infrastructure with 22,011 retail outlets as of June 2024. BPCL also has an active domestic LPG
distributor base of 6,255 crore as of June 2024 and has undertaken aggressive branding and marketing exercises.
Weaknesses:
Moderate financial risk profile
The balance sheet position of BPCL has improved in fiscal 2024, led by a one-off steep rise seen in operating profit. This led to outstanding debt
(excluding lease liabilities) reducing to Rs 45,485 crore as on March 31, 2024 (against Rs 69,376 crore as on March 31, 2023) due to lower working
capital borrowings and repayment/prepayment of long-term debt. Overall gearing thus improved to 0.73 times as on March 31, 2024 from 1.7
timesin the previous fiscal. Gearing is expected to remain at less than 1 time going forward. The company has sizeable capex plans over the
medium term, wherein its implementation within the budgeted time and costs as well as the returns earned on the added capacities would be close
monitorables.
Liquidity: Superior
BPCL, a Maharatna company, enjoys strong financial flexibility, driven by support from GoI and access to low-cost funds from domestic and
overseas markets. As of March 2024, the company’s cash and equivalents (including oil bonds) increased to around Rs 10,636 crore against Rs
6,860 crore as of March 2023. Healthy cash accrual and available liquidity should be sufficient to meet scheduled debt repayment obligations of Rs
11,000-13,000 crore each in fiscals 2025 and 2026.
The oil and gas sector has a significant impact on the environment due to the high carbon emissions released from the refineries and petrochemical
plants. In line with this, BPCL has been continuously focusing on mitigating its environmental and social risks to ensure minimal impact.
There is growing importance of ESG among investors and lenders. BPCL’s continued commitment to ESG principles will play a key role in
enhancing stakeholder confidence and ensure ease of raising capital from markets where ESG compliance is a key factor.
Outlook: Stable
CRISIL Ratings believes BPCL will continue to benefit from the management control and majority ownership of GoI.
For the first quarter ended June 30, 2024, BPCL reported net profit of Rs 3,015 crore on revenue of Rs 1,13,095 crore as against Rs 4,224 crore
and Rs 1,12,985 crore, respectively, for the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.
CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The
complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument
when details on such features are available.
For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit [Link]. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk
with queries on specific instruments.
##Yet to be placed
^Facilities sanctioned in Million USD, Considering exchange rate of USD 1 = Rs 84
Name Of Date Of Coupon Maturity Issue Size (Rs. Complexity Rating Outstanding
ISIN
Instrument Allotment Rate (%) Date Crore) Levels with Outlook
Non-Convertible 11-Mar-
INE029A08057 11-Mar-19 8.02% 1000.00 Simple Withdrawn
Debenture 24
Mozambique LNG 1 Company Pte Ltd 10.00 Financial investment Financial linkages
Moz LNG1 Financing Company Ltd 10.00 Financial investment Financial linkages
Outstanding
Instrument Type Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Amount
CRISIL A1+
CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+ CRISIL
/ CRISIL
Fund Based Facilities LT/ST 77655.0 / CRISIL 28-02-24 / CRISIL 01-03-23 / CRISIL 05-09-22 / CRISIL 08-12-21 AAA/Watch
AAA/Watch
AAA/Stable AAA/Stable AAA/Stable AAA/Stable Developing
Developing
CRISIL A1+
CRISIL A1+
/ CRISIL
-- -- -- 06-06-22 / CRISIL 14-06-21 --
AAA/Watch
AAA/Stable
Developing
Non-Fund Based
ST 27345.0 CRISIL A1+ 28-02-24 CRISIL A1+ 01-03-23 CRISIL A1+ 05-09-22 CRISIL A1+ 08-12-21 CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+
Facilities
Commercial Paper ST 10000.0 CRISIL A1+ 28-02-24 CRISIL A1+ 01-03-23 CRISIL A1+ 05-09-22 CRISIL A1+ 08-12-21 CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+
CRISIL CRISIL
Non Convertible CRISIL CRISIL CRISIL CRISIL
LT 9000.0 28-02-24 01-03-23 05-09-22 08-12-21 AAA/Watch AAA/Watch
Debentures AAA/Stable AAA/Stable AAA/Stable AAA/Stable
Developing Developing
CRISIL
CRISIL
-- -- -- 05-07-22 09-09-21 AAA/Watch --
AAA/Stable
Developing
CRISIL
CRISIL
-- -- -- 06-06-22 14-06-21 AAA/Watch --
AAA/Stable
Developing
CRISIL CRISIL
-- -- -- 08-03-22 AAA/Watch 12-01-21 AAA/Watch --
Developing Developing
Short Term Bank Facility^ 2100 Punjab National Bank CRISIL A1+
Short Term Bank Facility^ 6300 State Bank of India CRISIL A1+
Term Loan 1355 State Bank of India CRISIL AAA/Stable
^Facilities sanctioned in Million USD, Considering exchange rate of USD 1 = Rs 84
Criteria Details
Poulomi Roy
Manager
CRISIL Ratings Limited
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