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Random Variables & Probability Distributions

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Random Variables & Probability Distributions

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cc.tugade21
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© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Chapter 3.

Random Variables and Probability Distributions

3.1 Concept of a Random Variable


A random variable is a function that associates a real number with each element in the sample
space.

Example 3.1: Two balls are drawn in succession without replacement from an urn containing
4 red balls and 3 black balls. The possible outcomes and the values y of the random variable Y,
where Y is the number of red balls, are

Example 3.2: A stockroom clerk returns three safety helmets at random to three steel mill
employees who had previously checked them. If Smith, Jones, and Brown, in that order, receive
one of the three hats, list the sample points for the possible orders of returning the helmets, and
find the value m of the random variable M that represents the number of correct matches.

Example 3.3: Consider the simple condition in which components are arriving from the
production line and they are stipulated to be defective or not defective. Define the random
variable X by

Example 3.4. An overseas shipment of 5 foreign automobiles contains 2 that have slight paint
blemishes. If an agency receives 3 of these automobiles at random, list the elements of the
sample space S, using the letters B and N for blemished and non-blemished, respectively; then
to each sample point assign a value x of the random variable X representing the number of
automobiles with paint blemishes purchased by the agency.

If a sample space contains a finite number of possibilities or an unending sequence with as


many elements as there are whole numbers, it is called a discrete sample space.

If a sample space contains an infinite number of possibilities equal to the number of points on
a line segment, it is called a continuous sample space.

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3.2 Discrete Probability Distributions

Example 3.5: A shipment of 20 similar laptop computers to a retail outlet contains 3 that are
defective. If a school makes a random purchase of 2 of these computers, find the probability
distribution for the number of defectives.

Example 3.6: If a car agency sells 50% of its inventory of a certain foreign car equipped with
side airbags, find a formula for the probability distribution of the number of cars with
side airbags among the next 4 cars sold by the agency.

Example 3.7 Let W be a random variable giving the number of heads minus the number of
tails in three tosses of a coin. List the elements of the sample space S for the three tosses of
the coin and to each sample point assign a value w of W.

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Example 3.8: Find the cumulative distribution function of the random variable X in Example
3.6. Using F(x), verify that f(2) = 3/8.

Example 3.9: Determine the value c so that each of the follow ing functions can serve as a
probability distribution of the discrete random variable X:
(a) f(x)=c(x2 +4), for x =0,1,2,3;
(b) f(x)=c 2 x 3 3−x , for x =0,1,2.

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3.3 Continuous Probability Distributions

Example 3.10: Suppose that the error in the reaction temperature, in ◦C, for a controlled
laboratory experiment is a continuous random variable X having the probability density
function

(a) Verify that f(x) is a density function.


(b) Find P (0 < X ≤ 1)

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Example 3.11: For the density function of Example 3.10, find F(x), and use it to evaluate P(0
< X ≤ 1).

Example 3.12: The Department of Energy (DOE) puts projects out on bid and generally
estimates what a reasonable bid should be. Call the estimate b. The DOE has determined that
the density function of the winning (low) bid is

Find F(y) and use it to determine the probability that the winning bid is less than the DOE’s
preliminary estimate b.

Example 3.13: The shelf life, in days, for bottles of a certain prescribed medicine is a
random variable having the density function

Find the probability that a bottle of this medicine will have a shell life of
(a)at least200days;
(b)anywherefrom80to120days.

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Exercise # 3.1
.1 A shipment of 7 television sets contains 2 defective sets. A hotel makes a random purchase
of 3 of the sets. If x is the number of defective sets purchased by the hotel, find the
probability distribution of X. Express the results graphically as a probability histogram.
2. An investment firm offers its customers municipal bonds that mature after varying
numbers of years. Given that the cumulative distribution function of T, the number of years
to maturity for a randomly selected bond, is

find

3 The probability distribution of X, the number of imperfections per 10 meters of a synthetic


fabric in continuous rolls of uniform width, is given by

Construct the cumulative distribution function of X.


4. Consider the density function

5. Three cards are drawn in succession from a deck without replacement. Find the
probability distribution for the number of spades.

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Common questions

Powered by AI

To construct the probability distribution for the number of automobiles with paint blemishes (represented by random variable X) out of a shipment of 5 automobiles (2 blemished, 3 non-blemished), received 3 at a time, first list all elements of the sample space with the configurations for 3 cars received. Use B for blemished and N for non-blemished to create these configurations. Then, count instances corresponding to each possible value of X and calculate the probability of each configuration by considering the combinations involved. This results in a discrete probability distribution function for X .

A probability distribution of a discrete random variable, like the number of defective television sets purchased from a shipment, can be graphically represented using a probability histogram. Determine the probability of purchasing x defective sets (e.g., 0, 1, 2) by considering all combinations and probabilities of purchasing different numbers of defective sets. Then, use these probabilities to draw a bar for each possible value of x, with the height of the bar corresponding to the probability for that value. This visual representation allows for intuitive understanding of the distribution .

Verifying that a function is a density function ensures it correctly describes probabilities for a continuous random variable. A valid probability density function must satisfy: it is non-negative (f(x) ≥ 0 for all x) and the integral over the entire space is 1. These criteria ensure that the probabilities calculated using the density function are valid, allowing for the calculation of probabilities for intervals of random variables through integration, such as finding P(0 < X ≤ 1) using the integral of the PDF over [0,1].

A random variable is a function that assigns a numerical value to each outcome in a sample space. In the example of drawing two balls in succession without replacement from an urn containing 4 red and 3 black balls, the random variable Y represents the number of red balls drawn. Each outcome corresponds to a specific value of Y, illustrating how a random variable quantifies outcomes in probabilistic terms .

A continuous sample space contains an infinite number of points, typically equal to the number of points on a line. This allows for probabilities to be defined over intervals rather than individual outcomes. Continuous probability distributions are described using probability density functions (PDFs), where the probability of the random variable falling within a certain interval is the integral of the PDF over that interval. This contrasts with discrete sample spaces where probabilities are assigned to specific outcomes .

A discrete probability distribution consists of a list of the possible outcomes for a discrete random variable and the probabilities associated with them. In the context of a school purchasing 2 laptops from a shipment of 20, of which 3 are defective, the probability distribution for the number of defective laptops can be calculated by considering all combinations of drawing defective and non-defective laptops and employing combinations to calculate the probability of each scenario. This provides a probability mass function for the random variable representing the number of defective laptops .

In the helmet example, the random variable M represents the number of correct matches when returning helmets to Smith, Jones, and Brown. The sample space consists of all possible permutations of helmet assignments, and each permutation corresponds to a different value of M. By listing and examining each permutation, we determine how many helmets were returned to the original owner, thereby calculating the probability distribution of M .

To determine if a function can serve as a probability distribution for a discrete random variable, we need to verify two main conditions: the function must take non-negative values (i.e., f(x) ≥ 0 for all x) and the sum of the probabilities must equal 1. For instance, for the function f(x)=c(x^2 + 4) defined for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, the constant c must be chosen such that \( \sum_{x=0}^{3} c(x^2+4) = 1 \). Solving this equation will provide the value of c needed for f(x) to be a valid probability distribution .

The cumulative distribution function (CDF) F(y) provides the probability that a random variable Y takes on a value less than or equal to y. In the context of DOE project bids, F(y) can be used to determine the probability that the winning bid is less than the preliminary estimate b by evaluating F(b). This assessment helps compare bids with expectations and make informed decisions based on the calculated probability .

The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable X, denoted as F(x), is used to determine the probability that X takes a value less than or equal to x. To verify a specific probability value using the CDF, compute F(x) for the range of interest and check if it matches the given probability. For example, in verifying that f(2) = 3/8 for a particular random variable, we need to use the cumulative distribution function up to and including the point x=2 and confirm the calculated probability equals 3/8 .

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