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Portfolio Optimization Practice Sheet

The document is a practice sheet for a financial mathematics course focusing on portfolio optimization, covering various scenarios and calculations related to expected returns, risks, and portfolio construction. It includes exercises on expected returns for stocks, risk comparison of portfolios, minimum variance portfolios, and the capital market line. Additionally, it addresses concepts such as short sales, covariance matrices, and the security market line.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
18 views2 pages

Portfolio Optimization Practice Sheet

The document is a practice sheet for a financial mathematics course focusing on portfolio optimization, covering various scenarios and calculations related to expected returns, risks, and portfolio construction. It includes exercises on expected returns for stocks, risk comparison of portfolios, minimum variance portfolios, and the capital market line. Additionally, it addresses concepts such as short sales, covariance matrices, and the security market line.

Uploaded by

heyaditya0101
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

MTL732: Financial Mathematics

Practice Sheet: Portfolio Optimization; Answers and Hints


1. Suppose there are three financial market scenarios Ω = {w1 , w2 , w3 } with different probabilities of occurrence. Consider the
following table showing the returns on two different stocks in these three scenarios
scenario prob return k1 % return k2 %
w1 0·2 −10 −30
w2 0·5 0 20
w3 0·3 20 15
(a) What is the expected returns on the stocks?
(b) Suppose 60% of the available fund is invested in stock 1 and the remaining is invested in stock 2, then what is the
expected return of the portfolio?
(c) Compute the weights if the expected return on a portfolio is 20%.
Ans: 1%, 19%; 8.2%; (5%, 95%)
2. Consider the following data
scenario prob return k1 % return k2 %
w1 0·4 −10 20
w2 0·2 0 20
w3 0·4 20 10
Suppose a portfolio comprises of 40% of total investment in stock 1 and 60% in stock 2. Compare the risk of the portfolio
with the risks of its individual components. What will be the risk situation if a portfolio is designed with investment of 80%
in stock 1 and the remaining in stock 2.
Ans: σ12 = 0.0184, σ22 = 0.0024, σV2 = 0.000736; σV2 = 0.009824
3. Prove that if short sales are not allowed then the risk of the portfolio can not exceed the greater of the risks of the individual
components of the portfolio.
4. Let a portfolio be designed with investment of 50% in stock 1 and the remaining 50% in stock 2. Further let short sale be
allowed in stock 1 and all the other data being the same as in Q 1. Does the conclusion of Q 3 hold?
Ans: No. σV2 = 0.0196 > σ12 , σ22
5. Suppose the portfolios are constructed using three securities a1 , a2 , a3 with expected returns, µ1 = 20%, µ2 = 13%, µ3 = 4%,
standard deviations of returns, σ1 = 25%, σ2 = 28%, σ3 = 20%, and the correlation between returns, ρ12 = 0 · 3, ρ13 = 0 · 15
and ρ23 = 0 · 4. Among all the attainable portfolios, find the one with minimum variance. What are the weights of the three
securities in this portfolio? Also compute the expected return and standard deviation of this portfolio.
eT C −1
Ans: wT = eT C −1 e
= (0.314, 0.148, 0.538); µ = mT w = 0.173, σ = (wT Cw)0.5 .
6. Among all attainable portfolios with expected return 20% constructed using the data provided in Exercise 5, find the portfolio
with minimum variance. Compute the weights of individual assets in this portfolio.
Ans: w = (0.672, −0.246, 0.574).
7. Consider the following data
µ σ
asset 1 10% 5%
asset 2 8% 2%
For each correlation coefficient ρ = −1, −0 · 5, 0, 0 · 5, 1, what is the combination of the two assets that yields the minimum
standard deviation and what is the minimum value of the standard deviation?
−σ2
Hint: ρ = 1 ⇒ w1 = σ1 −σ2 , w2 = σ1
σ1 −σ2 . ρ = −1 ⇒ w1 = σ2
σ1 +σ2 , w2 = σ1
σ1 +σ2 .
σ12 −ρ12 σ1 σ2
−1 < ρ < 1 ⇒ w1 = 1 − w2 , w2 = σ12 +σ22 −2ρ12 σ1 σ2
.

8. Compute the minimum risk portfolio for the following rate return (%) data:
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June
asset 1 12 10 5 7 15 12
asset 2 7 12 10 10 12 15
Also compute the expected return for the optimal portfolio.
Hint: µ1 = 10.167%, µ2 = 11%. Find the two standard deviations and covariance (by formulas only) and write variance-
covariance matrix C. Use same formulas as in Q7 to compute w and thereafter mu, σ of portfolio.
9. Consider three risky assets with the covariance matrix and expected returns (all data in %) as follows.

variance - covariance matrix(C) return(M)


10 4 0 5
4 12 6 6
0 6 10 1

Find two portfolios yielding the minimum variance. Also, determine the expected returns from these two portfolios. Using
the two fund theorem, construct the portfolio giving the return of 2 · 8% with minimum risk.
∑3 ∑3
Hint: Solve j=1 σij vj = 1, i = 1, 2, 3. Normalize the solution vector v to get w. Then solve the system j=1 σij vj =
mi , i = 1, 2, 3. Normalize this to get say w1 . Then compute µ = mT w, µ1 = mT w1 . And compute σ = (wT Cw)0.5 , σ1 =
((w1 )T Cw1 )0.5 , to get two portfolios (σ, µ) and (σ1 , µ1 ) on efficient frontier. After that use two fund theorem.
10. Suppose an investor is interested in constructing a portfolio with one risk-free asset a1 , with risk-free return 6%, and three
risky assets a2 , a3 , a4 with expected returns 10%, 12%, 18%, respectively. Given the covariance matrix of the three assets
(data in %) as  
4 20 40
C =  20 10 70  ,
40 70 14
what is the optimum portfolio for the investor? What is the expected return of this portfolio?
C −1 (m−µrf e)
Hint: Use m = (0.1, 0.12, 0.18)T and wM = eT C −1 (m−µrf e)
. Then find µM = mT wM , σM = (wM
T
CwM )0.5 . Find CML.

11. Consider the data of two risky assets a1 , a2 with µ1 = 12 · 5%, µ2 = 10 · 5%, σ1 = 14 · 9%, σ2 = 14%, ρ = 0 · 33.
(a) Is it advisable to diversify the investment? If so then what composition of the assets will minimize the risk?
(b) What is the minimum value of the risk?
(c) If the risk-free rate of return is 5% then derive the equation of the capital market line?
eT C −1
Hint: Find matrix C. Compute w = eT C −1 e
, σ = (wT Cw)0.5 . For part (c), proceed as in Q10.

12. Given the following information about the one risk-free asset and three risky assets, find the expected return and standard
deviation of the market portfolio. Also determine the equation of the capital market line.

µrf = 5%, µ1 = 14%, µ2 = 8%, µ3 = 20% ;


σ1 = 6%, σ2 = 3%, σ3 = 15% ; σ12 = 0 · 5, σ13 = 0 · 2, σ23 = 0 · 4.

C −1 (m−µrf e)
Hint: Find C. Compute wM = eT C −1 (m−µrf e)
. Then find µM = mT wM and σM = (wM
T
CwM )0.5 . Then substitute them in
CML to get final equation.

13. Assume that the following assets are correctly priced according to the security market line. Derive the security market line.
What is the expected return on an asset with β = 2?

µ1 = 6%, β1 = 0 · 5; µ2 = 12%, β2 = 1 · 5.

Sol: µrf = 0.03, µM = 0.09; Write equation of SML. Use it to get, µasset = 0.15.

14. If the following two assets are correctly priced according to the security market line, what is the return of the market portfolio?
What is the risk-free return?
µ1 = 9 · 5%, β1 = 0 · 8; µ2 = 13 · 5%, β2 = 1 · 3.

Hint: same approach as in Q13.


15. Let the expected rate of return on the market portfolio be 23% risk free return be 7%. Also let the standard deviation be
32% and let us assume that the market is efficient.
(a) What is the evaluation of capital market line?
(b) If Rs 300 is invested in the risk free asset, and Rs 700 in the market portfolio then what is the expected return at the
end of the year?
(c) If an investor has Rs 1000 to invest and he/she desires a return of 39%, then what should be his/her portfolio.
Sol: µ = 0.07 + 0.5σ; 18.2%; Borrow, 1000 more and invest 2000 in market portfolio.

Common questions

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Without short sales, portfolio weights are non-negative, limiting the combination effects of component risks. As a result, the portfolio variance, considering diversification and covariance effects, cannot exceed the maximum variance of the individual stocks given no negative leverage can reduce portfolio benefits achieved through diversification .

The CML is derived from the Efficient Frontier portfolio mixed with the risk-free asset. Calculate using wM = C^-1(m - µrf e) / (e^T C^-1(m - µrf e)), where C is the covariance matrix, µrf is the risk-free return, and m the expected returns vector. The CML equation is linearly expressed with slope μM−μrf/σM, connecting risk-free return and tangency portfolio returns .

To find the expected returns of the stocks under given market scenarios, calculate the weighted average of returns for each scenario. For stock 1 with return k1: Expected return = (0.2 * -10) + (0.5 * 0) + (0.3 * 20) = 0%. For stock 2 with return k2: Expected return = (0.2 * -30) + (0.5 * 20) + (0.3 * 15) = 8.5%. Thus, the expected returns are 0% and 8.5% respectively .

For a minimum variance portfolio, the weights are derived based on the inverse of the variance-covariance matrix. Formulated as w = C^-1 * e / (e^T * C^-1 * e), where C represents the covariance matrix, and e is a unit vector. Given the securities' covariance, weights calculated are (0.314, 0.148, 0.538) leading to minimized portfolio variance .

Diversification is advisable as it enables risk minimization through non-perfect correlation between assets. Optimal weights balance risk-adjusted returns, reducing a portfolio's overall volatility below individual asset volatilities. A portfolio combination, especially if assets hold different return expectations and standard deviations, lowers unsystematic risk through offsetting moves .

The expected return of the portfolio is a weighted average of the expected returns of the two stocks. Given the stocks' expected returns are 0% for stock 1 and 8.5% for stock 2, the portfolio's expected return = (0.6 * 0) + (0.4 * 8.5) = 3.4% .

When investment in stock 1 increases from 40% to 80%, the portfolio's risk increases. Initially, at 40% stock 1, the portfolio variance is 0.000736. When increased to 80% in stock 1, portfolio variance increases to 0.009824, reflecting increased risk due to greater exposure to the higher variance stock .

Expected return according to the SML is calculated by the equation μasset = μrf + β(μM − μrf). For an asset with β = 2, substituting μrf = 0.03, and μM = 0.09 gives μasset = 0.03 + 2 * (0.09 - 0.03) = 0.15 or 15% .

Asset correlation critically impacts risk reduction through diversification. Zero or negative correlations advantageous as they offer greater risk mitigation due to opposing asset movements. The minimum standard deviation occurs with optimal weights adjusted by the correlation degree. E.g., at ρ = 1, weights reflect absolute difference between asset volatilities, while at ρ = -1, assets offer maximum diversification benefits .

An investor should adjust assets proportionally between risk-free and risky assets using the target expected return equation. If an expected return is above risk-free, the investor borrows at the risk-free rate to leverage risky portfolio exposure. E.g., an investor targeting a 39% return should leverage Rs 1000 by borrowing to invest Rs 2000 entirely in the market portfolio .

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