Operations Management Practice Questions
Operations Management Practice Questions
To determine the optimal point to purchase stocks, one must calculate the expected value for purchasing on each possible day (Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday). As per the decision tree, the likelihood of buying at the lowest price is highest when buying at the end of Tuesday if Tuesday's close is at $9 (lower than Monday's price) since probability pathways suggest that the price could be lower by Wednesday. Thus, it indicates that purchasing at the end of Tuesday when the price drops to $9 offers the best potential for a minimized cost according to expected value calculations .
Decision trees for stock purchase timing and Eric Wong's project both highlight the importance of calculated risk-taking and potential payoff evaluation. For stocks, optimal timing depends on maximizing expected utilities from probabilistic outcomes. Eric Wong's tree involves assessing conditional continuities in engagement based on sequential successes amid varied property characteristics, probabilities, and costs. Common insights include the necessity of adapting to decision stages, aligning resource commitments to probability-weighted outcomes and ensuring choices align with long-term strategy over immediate return prospects .
The expected value of each facility size must first be calculated based on the demand scenarios. For a small facility, the expected value is $10M, for a medium, it is $9.3M, and for a large facility, it is $4.8M. The EVPI is calculated by finding the difference between the expected value with perfect information and the expected value of the best decision under uncertainty, which is the medium facility. If choosing with certainty, we’d choose facilities to match demand directly, getting an expected payoff of $12M, thus the EVPI is $12M - $9.3M = $2.7M .
The linear programming model can be set up to minimize the cost function, C = 0.75A + 0.15B, subject to: 600A + 900B >= 1800 (calories), 600A + 900B <= 3600 (calories), 400A + 100B >= 400 (protein), 200A + 700B <= 1400 (starch), and A <= 2 (pounds). The output will optimize based on the feasible region defined by these constraints, providing the diet plan with the least cost that meets these nutritional requirements .
A reduction in Dry Room hours from 40 to 20 due to a strike could notably hinder production capabilities, limiting output. The manufacturer must assess the shadow price from the sensitivity report to understand the cost of this constraint relaxation. If the maximum willingness to pay to prevent the strike is high, it underscores critical reliance on Dry Room capacity. Economic viability calculations will require contrasting this maximum with potential earnings loss. A full halt (0 hours) raises this to the maximum willingness to preserve core operations continuity, quantified by projected revenue gains or losses over alternatives like outsourcing .
Optimal product mix should consider earnings potential per product line against resource availability (clay, enamel) and differing kiln requirements for Primrose method 1 and 2. Dual methods allow balancing production output of Primrose without exceeding resource limits and maintaining complementary resource allocation between other product lines for maximum combined profitability. Sensitivity analysis would show shifts in optimal strategy induced by changes in availability or cost of crucial resources (e.g., additional clay availability), informing tactical decisions like adjusting mix ratios or resource acquisition .
Eric Wong should consider the probability of selling each property, the cost associated with trying to sell them, and the conditions placed by the client. Property A must be sold first with a cost of $80,000 and a 0.7 probability of sale. Selling Property A gives Eric the option to proceed with selling Property B or C. Property B has a lower cost $20,000 and higher sale probability 0.6 compared to Property C with a cost of $40,000 and 0.5 probability. The decision tree constructed should show the expected monetary value of following different paths based on these probabilities and costs. Eric should calculate the expected value for each scenario and choose the one with the highest expected value beyond costs. The decision to accept should be based on whether the expected benefit outweighs the costs and conditional restrictions of the proposal .
The All-Colorful Company must align its production strategy to match demand across four quarters while maintaining inventory and minimizing costs. Linear programming can allocate production hours between regular time, overtime, and subcontracting while ensuring inventory levels remain feasible. Demand planning involves setting equations such that production plus initial inventories meet demand minus final inventory requirements, while respecting production capacity constraints. Cost minimization involves trading off between cheaper regular and relatively expensive overtime/subcontracting options, considering cost implications of holding excess inventory .
The constraint that Product C must make up at least 40% of the total production introduces a forced skew in the product mix. This impacts resource allocation as it demands a minimum production commitment regardless of market price or demand, potentially consuming resources unproductively if A or B are more profitable. This strategic constraint shapes the linear programming model's feasible region, influencing resource optimization efforts and balancing revenue against production costs. It underlines importance of C's market price adjustments to ensure compliance remains economically justified .
Company XYZ's optimal production plan should prioritize products such that constraints are satisfied while maximizing revenue. Sensitivity analysis can identify which resource constraints (e.g., labor, steel, copper) are binding and how changes in product prices affect profitability. A drop in Product B price to $2 makes it potentially noncompetitive, implying a shift towards products with higher profit margins, like A if its price is favorable. A price increase to $7 for Product A would increase A's profit contribution, incentivizing increased production if resource allocations allow higher production outputs without breaching constraints .