Hypothesis Testing and Significance Levels
Hypothesis Testing and Significance Levels
A) Equal to for the null and not equal to for the alternative.
B) Less than for the null and greater than for the alternative.
C) Greater than for the null and less than or equal to for the alternative.
10 12 15 20 24 30
Abby Ness is an analyst for a rm that specializes in evaluating rms involved in mineral extraction. Ness
believes that the earnings of copper extracting rms are more volatile than those of bauxite extraction rms.
In order to test this, Ness examines the volatility of returns for 31 copper rms and 25 bauxite rms. The
standard deviation of earnings for copper rms was $2.69, while the standard deviation of earnings for
bauxite rms was $2.92. Ness's Null Hypothesis is σ12 = σ22. Based on the samples, can we reject the null
A) not rejected.
If we fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is false, what type of error has occured?
A) Type II.
B) Type III.
C) Type I.
Question #4 of 97 Question ID: 1204352
Which one of the following best characterizes the alternative hypothesis? The alternative hypothesis is
usually the:
A) hoped-for outcome.
Student's t-Distribution
In order to test if the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30 employees
is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 = 1.2. If you choose a 5% signi cance level
you should:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
B) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not greater than 100.
Student's t-Distribution
A pitching machine is calibrated to deliver a fastball at a speed of 98 miles per hour. Every day, a technician
samples the speed of twenty- ve fastballs in order to determine if the machine needs adjustment. Today, the
sample showed a mean speed of 99 miles per hour with a standard deviation of 1.75 miles per hour. Assume
the population is normally distributed. At a 95% con dence level, what is the t-value in relation to the critical
value?
A manager wants to test whether two normally distributed and independent populations have equal
variances. The appropriate test statistic for this test is a:
A) t-statistic.
B) chi-square statistic.
C) F-statistic.
An analyst wants to determine whether the monthly returns on two stocks over the last year were the same
or not. What test should she use, assuming returns are normally distributed?
A) Chi-square test.
Jo Su believes that there should be a negative relation between returns and systematic risk. She intends to
collect data on returns and systematic risk to test this theory. What is the appropriate alternative hypothesis?
A) Ha: ρ > 0.
B) Ha: ρ < 0.
C) Ha: ρ ≠ 0.
For a test of the equality of the mean returns of two non-independent populations based on a sample, the
numerator of the appropriate test statistic is the:
A) A Type I error is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false.
B) A Type II error is the probability of failing to reject a null hypothesis that is not true.
Joe Bay, CFA, wants to test the hypothesis that the variance of returns on energy stocks is equal to the
variance of returns on transportation stocks. Bay assumes the samples are independent and the returns are
normally distributed. The appropriate test statistic for this hypothesis is:
A) a Chi-square statistic.
B) an F-statistic.
C) a t-statistic.
In order to test whether the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30
employees is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 = 3.4. The null and alternative
hypotheses are:
A hypothesis test has a p-value of 1.96%. An analyst should reject the null hypothesis at a signi cance level
of:
B) Transactions costs.
C) Data errors.
B) If you can disprove the null hypothesis, then you have proven the alternative hypothesis.
C) The probability of a Type I error is equal to the signi cance level of the test.
A) A hypothesized mean of 3, a sample mean of 6, and a standard error of the sampling means of 2
give a sample Z-statistic of 1.5.
B) A Type I error is rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true, and a Type II error is rejecting the
alternative hypothesis when it is true.
C) A hypothesis that the population mean is less than or equal to 5 should be rejected when the critical
Z-statistic is greater than the sample Z-statistic.
A bottler of iced tea wishes to ensure that an average of 16 ounces of tea is in each bottle. In order to
analyze the accuracy of the bottling process, a random sample of 150 bottles is taken. Using a t-distributed
test statistic of -1.09 and a 5% level of signi cance, the bottler should:
A) not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles contain an average 16 ounces of tea.
B) not reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles do not contain an average of 16 ounces of
tea.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that bottles contain an average 16 ounces of tea.
Question #22 of 97 Question ID: 1204363
George Appleton believes that the average return on equity in the amusement industry, µ, is greater than
10%. What is the null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
The variance of 100 daily stock returns for Stock A is 0.0078. The variance of 90 daily stock returns for Stock
B is 0.0083. Using a 5% level of signi cance, the critical value for this test is 1.61. The most appropriate
conclusion regarding whether the variance of Stock A is di erent from the variance of Stock B is that the:
Susan Bellows is comparing the return on equity for two industries. She is convinced that the return on
equity for the discount retail industry (DR) is greater than that of the luxury retail (LR) industry. What are the
hypotheses for a test of her comparison of return on equity?
Kyra Mosby, M.D., has a patient who is complaining of severe abdominal pain. Based on an examination and
the results from laboratory tests, Mosby states the following diagnosis hypothesis: Ho: Appendicitis, HA: Not
Appendicitis. Dr. Mosby removes the patient's appendix and the patient still complains of pain. Subsequent
tests show that the gall bladder was causing the problem. By taking out the patient's appendix, Dr. Mosby:
B) is correct.
C) made a Type I error.
For a test of the equality of the means of two normally distributed independent populations, the appropriate
B) F-distribution.
C) t-distribution.
A goal of an "innocent until proven guilty" justice system is to place a higher priority on:
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type I error is the probability
of:
Brandee Sho eld is the public relations manager for Night Train Express, a local sports team. Sho eld is
trying to sell advertising spots and wants to know if she can say with 90% con dence that average home
game attendance is greater than 3,000. Attendance is approximately normally distributed. A sample of the
attendance at 15 home games results in a mean of 3,150 and a standard deviation of 450. Which of the
following statements is most accurate?
C) With an unknown population variance and a small sample size, no statistic is available to test
Sho eld's hypothesis.
Student's t-Distribution
In a two-tailed hypothesis test, Jack Olson observes a t-statistic of -1.38 based on a sample of 20 observations
where the population mean is zero. If you choose a 5% signi cance level, you should:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not signi cantly di erent from
zero.
B) fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is not signi cantly di erent from zero.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is signi cantly di erent from zero.
Ron Jacobi, manager with the Toulee Department of Natural Resources, is responsible for setting catch-and-
release limits for Lake Norby, a large and popular shing lake. He takes a sample to determine whether the
mean length of Northern Pike in the lake exceeds 18 inches. If the sample t-statistic indicates that the mean
length of the sh is signi cantly greater than 18 inches, when the population mean is actually 17.8 inches,
the t-test resulted in:
The alternative is H1 : µ ≠ 5
A) 8.00.
B) 4.00.
C) 4.12.
A test of a hypothesis that the means of two normally distributed populations are equal based on two
B) is a paired-comparisons test.
A researcher is testing the hypothesis that a population mean is equal to zero. From a sample with 64
observations, the researcher calculates a sample mean of -2.5 and a sample standard deviation of 8.0. At
which levels of signi cance should the researcher reject the hypothesis?
Which of the following statements least accurately describes the procedure for testing a hypothesis?
A) Develop a hypothesis, compute the test statistic, and make a decision.
B) Select the level of signi cance, formulate the decision rule, and make a decision.
C) Compute the sample value of the test statistic, set up a rejection (critical) region, and make a
decision.
In the process of hypothesis testing, what is the proper order for these steps?
A) Collect the sample and calculate the sample statistics. State the hypotheses. Specify the level of
signi cance. Make a decision.
B) Specify the level of signi cance. State the hypotheses. Make a decision. Collect the sample and
calculate the sample statistics.
C) State the hypotheses. Specify the level of signi cance. Collect the sample and calculate the test
statistics. Make a decision.
The test of the equality of the variances of two normally distributed populations requires the use of a test
statistic that is:
A) Chi-squared distributed.
B) z-distributed.
C) F-distributed.
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than 15%. What is null
intervals and hypothesis tests. During their discussion each of them made the following statement:
McKeeler: A con dence interval for a two-tailed hypothesis test is calculated as adding and
subtracting the product of the standard error and the critical value from the sample statistic. For
example, for a level of con dence of 68%, there is a 32% probability that the true population
parameter is contained in the interval.
Hu: A 99% con dence interval uses a critical value associated with a given distribution at the 1%
level of signi cance. A hypothesis test would compare a calculated test statistic to that critical
value. As such, the con dence interval is the range for the test statistic within which a researcher
would not reject the null hypothesis for a two-tailed hypothesis test about the value of the
population mean of the random variable.
Maria Hu man is the Vice President of Human Resources for a large regional car rental company. Last year,
she hired Graham Brickley as Manager of Employee Retention. Part of the compensation package was the
chance to earn one of the following two bonuses: if Brickley can reduce turnover to less than 30%, he will
receive a 25% bonus. If he can reduce turnover to less than 25%, he will receive a 50% bonus (using a
signi cance level of 10%). The population of turnover rates is normally distributed. The population standard
deviation of turnover rates is 1.5%. A recent sample of 100 branch o ces resulted in an average turnover
A) For the 50% bonus level, the critical value is -1.65 and Hu man should give Brickley a 50% bonus.
B) For the 50% bonus level, the test statistic is -5.33 and Hu man should give Brickley a 50% bonus.
What kind of test is being used for the following hypothesis and what would a z-statistic of 1.68 tell us about
a hypothesis with the appropriate test and a level of signi cance of 5%, respectively?
H0: B ≤ 0
HA: B > 0
An analyst is testing the hypothesis that the mean excess return from a trading strategy is less than or equal
to zero. The analyst reports that this hypothesis test produces a p-value of 0.034. This result most likely
suggests that the:
B) best estimate of the mean excess return produced by the strategy is 3.4%.
C) smallest signi cance level at which the null hypothesis can be rejected is 6.8%.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or
greater than $54,000 per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test statistic given a sample of 75
newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of $57,000 and a standard deviation of
$1,300?
A) 19.99.
B) 2.31.
C) -19.99.
Robert Patterson, an options trader, believes that the return on options trading is higher on Mondays than
on other days. In order to test his theory, he formulates a null hypothesis. Which of the following would be
an appropriate null hypothesis? Returns on Mondays are:
Brandon Ratli is investigating whether the mean of abnormal returns earned by portfolio managers with an
MBA degree signi cantly di ers from mean abnormal returns earned by managers without an MBA. Ratli 's
null hypothesis is that the means are equal. If Ratli 's critical t-value is 1.98 and his computed t-statistic is
2.05, he should:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are equal.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are not equal.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population means are equal.
Which of the following is the correct sequence of events for testing a hypothesis?
A) State the hypothesis, select the level of signi cance, compute the test statistic, formulate the
decision rule, and make a decision.
B) State the hypothesis, select the level of signi cance, formulate the decision rule, compute the test
statistic, and make a decision.
C) State the hypothesis, formulate the decision rule, select the level of signi cance, compute the test
statistic, and make a decision.
Which of the following statements regarding Type I and Type II errors is most accurate?
C) A Type I error is failing to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false.
A Type I error:
Student's t-Distribution
In order to test whether the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30
employees is taken and the sample value of the computed test statistic, tn-1 = 3.4. If you choose a 5%
B) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
C) fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is less than or equal to 100.
Which of the following statements about parametric and nonparametric tests is least accurate?
The use of the F-distributed test statistic, F = s12 / s22, to compare the variances of two populations does NOT
A) A result may be statistically signi cant, but may not be economically meaningful.
B) If a result is statistically signi cant and economically meaningful, the relationship will continue into
the future.
Brian Ci believes that the average return on equity in the airline industry, µ, is less than 5%. What are the
appropriate null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypotheses to test this belief?
James Ambercrombie believes that the average return on equity in the utility industry, µ, is greater than 10%.
What is null (H0) and alternative (Ha) hypothesis for his study?
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or
greater than $57,000 per year. Assuming a normal distribution, what is the test statistic given a sample of
115 newly acquired CFA charterholders with a mean starting salary of $65,000 and a standard deviation of
$4,500?
A) 1.78.
B) 19.06.
C) -19.06.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or
greater than $62,500 per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 125 newly acquired CFA
charterholders with a mean starting salary of $65,000 and a standard deviation of $2,600?
A) -10.75.
B) 0.96.
C) 10.75.
Normal 5.60 75 z z z
Normal n/a 18 t t t
Which set of test statistic choices (One, Two, or Three) matches the correct test statistic to the
A) One.
B) Two.
C) Three.
Critical values from Student's t-distribution for a two-tailed test at a 5% signi cance level:
df
28 2.048
29 2.045
30 2.042
A researcher wants to test a hypothesis that two variables have a population correlation coe cient equal to
zero. For a sample size of 30, the appropriate critical value for this test is plus-or-minus:
A) 2.045
B) 2.042
C) 2.048
In order to test if the mean IQ of employees in an organization is greater than 100, a sample of 30 employees
is taken. The sample value of the computed z-statistic = 3.4. The appropriate decision at a 5% signi cance
level is to:
A) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is equal to 100.
B) reject the null hypotheses and conclude that the population mean is greater than 100.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not equal to 100.
A Type II error:
Given a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 10% and a standard deviation of 14%, what is a
95% con dence interval for the return next year?
A) -17.44% to 37.44%.
B) -4.00% to 24.00%.
C) -17.00% to 38.00%.
A test of the population variance is equal to a hypothesized value requires the use of a test statistic that is:
A) Chi-squared distributed.
B) F-distributed.
C) t-distributed.
Which of the following statements about hypothesis testing is most accurate? A Type II error is the
probability of:
A researcher is testing whether the average age of employees in a large rm is statistically di erent from 35
years (either above or below). A sample is drawn of 250 employees and the researcher determines that the
appropriate critical value for the test statistic is 1.96. The value of the computed test statistic is 4.35. Given
this information, which of the following statements is least accurate? The test:
C) indicates that the researcher is 95% con dent that the average employee age is di erent than 35
years.
If a two-tailed hypothesis test has a 5% probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the null is true, it is
most likely that the:
A) In the case of a test of the di erence in means of two independent samples, we use a t-distributed
test statistic.
B) In a test of the population mean, if the population variance is unknown, we should use a t-
distributed test statistic.
C) In a test of the population mean, if the population variance is unknown and the sample is small, we
should use a z-distributed test statistic.
from 7 at the 5% level of signi cance. Which of the following statements is least accurate?:
A) The mean observation is signi cantly di erent from 7, because the calculated Z-statistic is less than
the critical Z-statistic.
An analyst conducts a two-tailed test to determine if mean earnings estimates are signi cantly di erent from
reported earnings. The sample size is greater than 25 and the computed test statistic is 1.25. Using a 5%
A) The analyst should reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings estimates are
signi cantly di erent from reported earnings.
B) To test the null hypothesis, the analyst must determine the exact sample size and calculate the
degrees of freedom for the test.
C) The analyst should fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the earnings estimates are not
signi cantly di erent from reported earnings.
Roy Fisher, CFA, wants to determine whether there is a signi cant di erence, at the 5% signi cance level,
between the mean monthly return on Stock GHI and the mean monthly return on Stock JKL. Fisher assumes
the variances of the two stocks' returns are equal. Using the last 12 months of returns on each stock, Fisher
calculates a t-statistic of 2.0 for a test of equality of means. Based on this result, Fisher's test:
A) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are equal.
C) rejects the null hypothesis, and Fisher can conclude that the means are not equal.
For a two-tailed test of hypothesis involving a z-distributed test statistic and a 5% level of signi cance, a
A) can reject the null hypothesis at both the 5% and 1% signi cance levels.
B) can reject the null hypothesis at the 5% signi cance level but cannot reject at the 1% signi cance
level.
C) cannot reject the null hypothesis at either the 5% or 1% signi cance levels.
Question #73 of 97 Question ID: 1204412
df 0.050 0.025
df 0.10 0.05
16 1.746 2.120
17 1.740 2.110
18 1.734 2.101
19 1.729 2.093
Simone Mak is a television network advertising executive. One of her responsibilities is selling commercial
spots for a successful weekly sitcom. If the average share of viewers for this season exceeds 8.5%, she can
raise the advertising rates by 50% for the next season. The population of viewer shares is normally
distributed. A sample of the past 18 episodes results in a mean share of 9.6% with a standard deviation of
10.0%. If Mak is willing to make a Type 1 error with a 5% probability, which of the following statements is
most accurate?
A) With an unknown population variance and a small sample size, Mak cannot test a hypothesis based
on her sample data.
B) Mak cannot charge a higher rate next season for advertising spots based on this sample.
C) The null hypothesis Mak needs to test is that the mean share of viewers is greater than 8.5%.
John Jenkins, CFA, is performing a study on the behavior of the mean P/E ratio for a sample of small-cap
companies. Which of the following statements is most accurate?
A) One minus the con dence level of the test represents the probability of making a Type II error.
B) The signi cance level of the test represents the probability of making a Type I error.
C) A Type I error represents the failure to reject the null hypothesis when it is, in truth, false.
In a two-tailed test of a hypothesis concerning whether a population mean is zero, Jack Olson computes a t-
statistic of 2.7 based on a sample of 20 observations where the distribution is normal. If a 5% signi cance
A) fail to reject the null hypothesis that the population mean is not signi cantly di erent from zero.
B) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is not signi cantly di erent from
zero.
C) reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the population mean is signi cantly di erent from zero.
Which one of the following is the most appropriate set of hypotheses to use when a researcher is trying to
demonstrate that a return is greater than the risk-free rate? The null hypothesis is framed as a:
A) greater than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a less than or equal to
statement.
B) less than or equal to statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a greater than
statement.
C) less than statement and the alternative hypothesis is framed as a greater than or equal to
statement.
A researcher determines that the mean annual return over the last 10 years for an investment strategy was
greater than that of an index portfolio of equal risk with a statistical signi cance level of 1%. To determine
whether the abnormal portfolio returns to the strategy are economically meaningful, it would be most
Based on a sample correlation coe cient of −0.525 from a sample size of 19, an analyst calculates a t-
−−−−
−0.525√19−2
statistic of −−−−−−−−−− = −2.5433. The analyst can reject the hypothesis that the population
2
√1−(−0.525)
Joe Sutton is evaluating the e ects of the 1987 market decline on the volume of trading. Speci cally, he
wants to test whether the decline a ected trading volume. He selected a sample of 500 companies and
collected data on the total annual volume for one year prior to the decline and for one year following the
decline. What is the set of hypotheses that Sutton is testing?
Which of the following statements about the variance of a normally distributed population is least accurate?
C) A test of whether the variance of a normally distributed population is equal to some value σ 2, the
0
Student's t-Distribution
Ken Wallace is interested in testing whether the average price to earnings (P/E) of rms in the retail industry
is 25. Using a t-distributed test statistic and a 5% level of signi cance, the critical values for a sample of 41
rms is (are):
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or
greater than $58,500 per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 175 newly acquired CFA
charterholders with a mean starting salary of $67,000 and a standard deviation of $5,200?
A) 1.63.
B) -1.63.
C) 21.62.
In order to test if Stock A is more volatile than Stock B, prices of both stocks are observed to construct the
sample variance of the two stocks. The appropriate test statistics to carry out the test is the:
A) F test.
B) t test.
C) Chi-square test.
If the null hypothesis is innocence, then the statement "It is better that the guilty go free, than the innocent
Which of the following statements about parametric and nonparametric tests is least accurate?
B) The test of the mean of the di erences is used when performing a paired comparison.
C) The test of the di erence in means is used when you are comparing means from two independent
samples.
A) Ha: ρ < 0.
B) Ha: ρ > 0.
C) Ha: ρ ≠ 0.
An analyst has calculated the sample variances for two random samples from independent normally
distributed populations. The test statistic for the hypothesis that the true population variances are equal is
a(n):
A) F-statistic.
B) t-statistic.
An analyst is testing to see if the mean of a population is less than 133. A random sample of 50 observations
had a mean of 130. Assume a standard deviation of 5. The test is to be made at the 1% level of signi cance.
The analyst should:
An analyst conducts a two-tailed z-test to determine if small cap returns are signi cantly di erent from 10%.
The sample size was 200. The computed z-statistic is 2.3. Using a 5% level of signi cance, which statement is
most accurate?
A) Reject the null hypothesis and conclude that small cap returns are signi cantly di erent from 10%.
C) Fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude that small cap returns are close enough to 10% that
we cannot say they are signi cantly di erent from 10%.
Which of the following statements about testing a hypothesis using a Z-test is least accurate?
A) If the calculated Z-statistic lies outside the critical Z-statistic range, the null hypothesis can be
rejected.
B) The calculated Z-statistic determines the appropriate signi cance level to use.
C) The con dence interval for a two-tailed test of a population mean at the 5% level of signi cance is
that the sample mean falls between ±1.96 σ/√n of the null hypothesis value.
A test of whether a mutual fund's performance rank in one period provides information about the fund's
A) parametric test.
B) nonparametric test.
C) mean-rank test.
To test a hypothesis that the population correlation coe cient of two variables is equal to zero, an analyst
collects a sample of 24 observations and calculates a sample correlation coe cient of 0.37. Can the analyst
test this hypothesis using only these two inputs?
A) Yes.
B) No, because the sample standard deviations of the two variables are also required.
C) No, because the sample means of the two variables are also required.
A survey is taken to determine whether the average starting salaries of CFA charterholders is equal to or
greater than $59,000 per year. What is the test statistic given a sample of 135 newly acquired CFA
charterholders with a mean starting salary of $64,000 and a standard deviation of $5,500?
A) 10.56.
B) -10.56.
C) 0.91.
Jill Woodall believes that the average return on equity in the retail industry, µ, is less than 15%. What are the