Scribd
Upload
11 views1 page

Introduction to Probabilistic Risk Assessment

The ME/NRE 4803 course on Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) aims to provide a comprehensive introduction to risk estimation methods for complex engineering systems, particularly in nuclear safety. Key topics include probabilistic descriptions, sampling methods, fault/event tree analysis, and risk management. The course emphasizes fundamental concepts and practical applications, with a grading structure of 30% homework and 70% tests.

Uploaded by

sobhan
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
11 views1 page

Introduction to Probabilistic Risk Assessment

The ME/NRE 4803 course on Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) aims to provide a comprehensive introduction to risk estimation methods for complex engineering systems, particularly in nuclear safety. Key topics include probabilistic descriptions, sampling methods, fault/event tree analysis, and risk management. The course emphasizes fundamental concepts and practical applications, with a grading structure of 30% homework and 70% tests.

Uploaded by

sobhan
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

ME/NRE 4803 Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Spring 2012, M-W 4:05-5:25pm

WHY? Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is a systematic method to estimate risks


associated with complex engineering systems to ensure their safety. The PRA technique
quantifies risk and identifies the most significant components for system safety. It is
critical to understand the basics of PRA to satisfy the demand of a complex engineered
technological entity, i.e., nuclear power plant, airliner, etc.

THE COURSE. The main purpose of the proposed course is to provide a comprehensive
introduction to PRA. As shown in Table 1, this course reviews fundamental concepts and
practical aspects of core PRA techniques including basic probabilistic descriptions,
sampling methods, fault/event tree analysis, risk management, and nuclear safety. In
this course, students will spend much of the class time concentrating on fundamentals,
but everyone should be able to develop a good grasp on the underlying ideas and
methods for PRA.

Table 1. ME/NRE4803 Probabilistic Risk Assessment


Catalog Introduction to fundamental methods in probabilistic risk
Description assessments. Topics covered are probabilistic description, sampling
methods, risk assessment, and nuclear power plant safety.
Prerequisites Math 3770 or ISyE3770
Textbook None, Lecture slides will be provided on T-square (www.t-
[Link])
Reference Modarres, M., Risk Analysis in Engineering: Techniques, Tools, and
Trends, CRC Press
Ang, and Tang, Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and
Design, Wiley
Choi, Grandhi, and Canfield, Reliability-based Structural Design,
Springer, London, 2007.
Goals To provide knowledge about risk assessment techniques and to
enhance engineers and scientists' skills in the state-of-the art
commercial software.
Topics Covered 1. Basic probabilistic descriptions
2. Sampling methods
3. Failure modes
4. Elements of risk assessment
5. Probabilistic risk assessment (Levels I, II, and III)
6. Fault tree / event tree analysis
7. Bayesian belief networks
8. Regulation and risk management
9. Risk-informed Decision Making
10. Fundamental concept of nuclear safety
11. Reactor safety studies and accidents
Grading Homework 30%
Tests 70%

For more information:


Seung-Kyum Choi, schoi@[Link]

You might also like