Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
SUMMARY SLIDE - NOTES
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Global Vision
The idea of Cause & Effect is at the heart of Lean Six Sigma...
Taking on the “glasses” of Six Sigma means we are taking
on the vision of Deterministic Reasoning...
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 1 Deterministic Reasoning and Global Business Vision
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Cause & Effect Relationships
Deterministic – the source or cause of something can be determined.
Reasoning – has to do with human reasoning
Y f(X)
Inputs
Outputs
Process
Effect Cause
Yield Defects
Design
Product Process
Material
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 2 Uncovering Fundamental Cause & Effect Relationships
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Nature of Problems
Y f(X)
Inputs
Outcome
Process
Dependent Variable Independent Variable
Effect Cause
Symptom Problem
Answers Questions
Monitor the “Y” and Control the “X’s”...
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 3 Consequential Symptoms & the Nature of Problems
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
The Foundation of Six Sigma
Output Effect Effect Input
Behavior Behavior
Symptom Symptom
Product Product
Y Answer Answer X
Yield Yield
Monitor Monitor
❑ Y is a dependent variable
❑ X is an independent variable
❑ Variables have scale
❑ Scale is made relative to standards
❑ Standards can be quantified
❑ Quantities are stated in numerical form
❑ Data can be interrogated with statistics
❑ Statistics provides insight and direction
❑ Direction is the highway to beneficial change
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 4 Consequential Symptoms & the Nature of Problems
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Application in Determinism
Y = f (X)
36 36
10 26 36 Deterministic
Example
3 7 11 15 36
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 36
The Hierarchy of Causation...
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 5 Application and Implications of Determinism - A
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
The Perpetual Chain of Causation
B = f(S) Business = f(Satisfaction)
S = f(V) Satisfaction = f(Variation)
V = f(,) Variation =f(Mean, StDev)
= f( X1, X2, ....Xn)
= f( X1, X2, ....Xn)
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 6 Application and Implications of Determinism - B
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Accounting for the Error Term
Y = f (X) + e
4.824494039 4.8
2.632160231 2.192330808 4.8
1.78113 0.85103 0.7292 1.46313 4.8
0.809 0.972 0.396 0.455 0.475 .0254 0.542 0.921 4.8
Y = f (X) + e
(MFSS) (DFSS) (PFSS --- e=0)
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 7 Application and Implications of Determinism - C
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Real Data
Error is the difference between
the IS and OUGHT conditions...
Review the video so you can grasp this simulation...
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 8 Advanced Understanding of Scientific
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
Accounting for the Error Term
Y = f (X) + e
We need to
Airbag Deployment CNC Machining Robotic Assembly Space Shuttle Launch
watch our
processes and
identify the
variables
involved...
Any process will have variables driving the data...
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 9 Scientific Determinism and Basic Pragmatism
Blended Training
Deterministic Reasoning
BREAKTHROUGH VISION
The Data of Determinism
Deterministic Relationship Non-Deterministic Relationship
Basic Scatter Plot
w/o Relationship
12
10
0
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
The left Scatter Plot shows a relationship between the
variables, however, the right plot shows no relationship.
© 2022 Dr. Mikel J. Harry, Ltd. - Prepared by: MICOMA Enterprises – 2022 10 Analytic Perspectives of Scientific Determinism