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Voting Method Design for Parabola Peaks

The document outlines a class activity focused on designing a voting method for a mayoral election in Parabola Peaks, emphasizing fairness criteria and various voting methods. It includes exercises on applying the chosen voting method, analyzing fairness criteria, and evaluating the Last-Place Elimination with Dictator Backup (LED) method. Additionally, it discusses the Top-Two IRV voting method and its implications on election outcomes and strategic voting.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
32 views6 pages

Voting Method Design for Parabola Peaks

The document outlines a class activity focused on designing a voting method for a mayoral election in Parabola Peaks, emphasizing fairness criteria and various voting methods. It includes exercises on applying the chosen voting method, analyzing fairness criteria, and evaluating the Last-Place Elimination with Dictator Backup (LED) method. Additionally, it discusses the Top-Two IRV voting method and its implications on election outcomes and strategic voting.

Uploaded by

johnce1981
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Class Activity 3

The Limits of Fairness

Exercise 1: Designing a Voting Method

Your group has been tasked with running an election for the small town of Parabola Peaks, which
has 3,875 eligible voters. Four candidates are running for mayor: Avery Angleton, Brock Basewell,
Carmen Cubrick, and Darcy Delta.

1. Choose Criteria: Select two fairness criteria that you believe are most important for this
election. You may use any criteria we have discussed so far, or create your own. Explain why
you prioritized these criteria in the context of the mayoral election in Parabola Peaks.

2. Carefully Design a Voting Method: Based on the criteria you selected, create a voting
method for this election. Your method should clearly describe:

• Which type of ballot will be used: single-choice, ranked-choice, or approval.


• How the winner will be determined from the votes.

Be sure your method satisfies the criteria you chose in part (a).

3. Apply Your Method: After designing your voting method, use it to determine a winner
based on the provided preference schedules. Turn to the next page for the data.
Preference Schedule for Ranked Ballots

The table below shows the ranked preferences of voters in Parabola Peaks. Use this schedule to
test your voting method.

Number of Voters 1100 125 400 100 1000 350 800


1st Choice A A B C C D D
2nd Choice B D A A B A C
3rd Choice C C D D D B B
4th Choice D B C B A C A

Preference Schedule for Approval Ballots

The table below shows voter approvals for each candidate. Use this schedule if your method relies
on approval voting.

Candidates 275 300 700 10 40 110 300 300 250 690 450 450
A ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ – – – – – –
B – ✓ ✓ – – – ✓ ✓ ✓ – – –
C – – ✓ ✓ ✓ – – ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ –
D – – – – ✓ ✓ – – ✓ – ✓ ✓
Exercise 2: Should the Least Liked Win?

Consider the following fairness criterion:

If a majority of voters rank candidate X last, then candidate X should not be the winner
of the election.

For each of the four voting methods (Plurality, IRV, Borda Count, Pairwise Comparison), determine
whether the method satisfies this criterion. Either briefly explain why the method always satisfies
the criterion, or provide a specific example showing that it can be violated.

Hint: In an election with c candidates and v voters, the total number of Borda points
distributed is
vc(c + 1)
v(1 + 2 + 3 + · · · + c) = .
2
Exercise 3: Majority Rule or Hidden Dictatorship? The LED
Method

A voting method is a dictatorship if there exists one voter such that, no matter what the others
prefer, the group outcome always matches that voter’s top choice.
Consider the following modified dicatatorship, which we’ll call Last-Place Elimination with Dictator
Backup (LED):

If any candidate is ranked last by a strict majority of voters, eliminate that candidate
and repeat the process with the remaining candidates. If no candidate is ranked last
by a strict majority, the winner is the top-ranked candidate in the dictator’s preference
list (among the remaining candidates).

Part 1: Basic Application

The table below shows the preferences of 13 voters in an election with four candidates: A, B, C,
and D. Assume that the dictator is a voter who ranks A > B > C > D.

Num. of Votes 4 3 3 2 1
1st A B C D C
2nd B C B B A
3rd C D A A B
4th D A D C D

(a) Determine the winner using the LED method.

(b) Suppose the 3 voters in column 2 (who rank B first) want any candidate but A to win.
Can they alter their ballots-without changing their top choice-to ensure the dictator is never
invoked? If so, how?

(c) Suppose the 3 voters in column 3 (who rank C first) want any candidate but A to win.
Can they alter their ballots-without changing their top choice-to ensure the dictator is never
invoked? If so, how?

Part 2: Fairness Analysis

For each criterion, determine if LED satisfies it. If “Yes” provide an explanation. If “No” provide
a counterexample. Assume the dictator never changes their preferences.

Criterion Satisfied?
Majority
Condorcet
Monotonicity
IIA
continue previous problem
Exercise 4: A New Twist on Ranked Choice

This was on the previous worksheet, but nobody completed part (b). A new part (c) has been added.
The Top-Two IRV is a variant of ranked choice voting in which all candidates except the top
two (based on first-place votes) are eliminated in the first round. The remaining votes are then
transferred according to the rankings on the ballots.

(a) Create an example showing that the Top-Two IRV method can produce a different outcome
than standard IRV.

(b) Evaluate which fairness criteria this method satisfies. For each of the four criteria (Majority,
Condorcet, Monotonicity, IIA), either give a brief explanation of why the method satisfies it
or provide a counterexample showing that it does not.

(c) Construct an example where a group of voters could manipulate the election by insincerely
ranking a weaker candidate first to ensure their true favorite advances to the final round.

(d) Is Top-Two IRV more or less susceptible to strategic voting than standard IRV? Explain your
reasoning.

Common questions

Powered by AI

The LED method operates by first eliminating any candidate ranked last by a strict majority of voters. If no candidate meets this condition, the dictator component is invoked, and the winner is determined by the top-ranked candidate in the dictator's preference list. To prevent the dictator element from being invoked, it is crucial that no candidate is unanimously ranked last by a strict majority, allowing normal elimination processes to determine the winner without resorting to the dictator's choice. Voters can alter their lower preferences to increase the possibility of a broader consensus before reaching the dictator's decision .

The LED method can satisfy the Majority Criterion if no candidate is ranked last by a strict majority of voters, thereby giving the group a chance to elect the majority's top candidate through the dictator's preference. However, it fails the Condorcet Criterion as the elimination process may ignore candidate pairwise comparisons. Monotonicity is violated because altering a ballot in favor of one candidate can cause their elimination if it changes the rankings unfavorably. The IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) criterion is also not satisfied as the presence or absence of certain candidates can affect the elimination process, thus influencing the dictator's choice .

The Top-Two IRV method is more vulnerable to strategic voting than standard IRV. By only allowing the top two candidates in terms of first-place votes to advance, there is a higher incentive for voters to insincerely rank a weaker candidate first to ensure that the top two candidates better reflect their strategic preferences rather than their sincere preferences. This susceptibility arises because the early elimination process can dramatically alter final results, more so than in standard IRV where all preferences are more thoroughly considered through gradual elimination .

The most important fairness criteria to consider when designing a voting method include the Majority Criterion and the Condorcet Criterion. The Majority Criterion ensures that if a candidate is preferred by more than half of the voters, that candidate should win. This criterion is important because it aligns with democratic principles where the choice of the majority should prevail. The Condorcet Criterion, on the other hand, states that if there exists a candidate who would win over every other candidate in a head-to-head comparison, then that candidate should be the winner. This is prioritized in contexts where ensuring the broadest acceptability and preference is crucial, such as in elections where maintaining social harmony and legitimacy is important .

The IIA (Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives) criterion is violated when the introduction or removal of a non-winning candidate affects the outcome of the election. For example, under certain methods like Borda Count, if candidate C, who is not a potential winner, enters the race, the redistribution of lower-preference votes might affect who wins between the remaining frontrunners. This violation occurs because the relative ranking of the primary candidates shifts, influenced by candidates who themselves had no chance of winning, thereby impacting the final decision .

Yes, strategic manipulation can occur under the Top-Two IRV system. Voters can exploit it by insincerely ranking a weaker candidate first in hopes that their true favorite will face this weaker candidate in the final round, increasing their chances of winning. This strategy can advance a voter's real preference to the final round, where the outcome could be more favorable to their preferred candidate compared to if the two strongest candidates had advanced .

The Top-Two IRV voting method differs from the standard IRV by eliminating all candidates except the top two based on first-place votes in the first round. The remaining votes are then transferred according to voters' subsequent preferences. This change can lead to different outcomes, as a candidate who might have been eliminated in standard IRV could advance in Top-Two IRV if they are among the initial top two, potentially altering the final winner .

The Borda Count method poses challenges in satisfying the criterion that a 'least liked' candidate, one ranked last by a majority, does not win. The method assigns points based on rankings, meaning a candidate consistently ranked in middle positions can accumulate enough points to win, even if they are the least liked by a substantial subset of the electorate. This violation occurs because the method averages preferences rather than reflecting top or bottom outright disapproval .

Altering ballots in the LED method affects which candidates are ranked last and subsequently eliminated. Voters can prevent the invocation of the dictator's choice by strategically ranking less competitive candidates last, thereby ensuring that no candidate is universally last among a strict majority. This can avoid triggering the dictator rule. By changing lower preference orders, coalition-like tactics can promote more favorable outcomes without affecting their top choice, effectively using their influence to shape the candidate pool in view of sustaining a strategic consensus .

In an approval voting system, voters can use preference schedules to identify which candidates receive broader acceptance across various voter groups by noting which candidates appear frequently in positive approvals. By aligning their approvals with widely endorsed candidates, voters can promote a broadly satisfactory outcome, potentially forming consensus candidates more likely to appeal to a larger segment of the electorate, even when individual top preferences vary significantly. This approach helps navigate elections with multiple viable candidates by focusing on general acceptability .

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