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Understanding Sampling Distributions

The document outlines the concept of sampling distribution, emphasizing that the mean of sample means equals the population mean, while the standard deviation of sample means is smaller than that of the population. It includes word problems related to various statistical scenarios, such as children's television watching habits, vehicle ages, meat consumption, transport times, manufacturing processes, and income of information workers. Each problem requires calculating probabilities based on given means and standard deviations, illustrating practical applications of statistics and probability.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views2 pages

Understanding Sampling Distributions

The document outlines the concept of sampling distribution, emphasizing that the mean of sample means equals the population mean, while the standard deviation of sample means is smaller than that of the population. It includes word problems related to various statistical scenarios, such as children's television watching habits, vehicle ages, meat consumption, transport times, manufacturing processes, and income of information workers. Each problem requires calculating probabilities based on given means and standard deviations, illustrating practical applications of statistics and probability.

Uploaded by

Andrew Alingog
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

PAREF Northfield School For Boys

Senior High School Department


1st Semester, AY-2024-25
Statistics and Probability
Activity Sheet

SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION
A sampling distribution of sample means is a distribution using the means computed from all
possible random samples of a specific size taken from a population.

Properties of the Distribution of the Sample Means

1. The mean of the sample means will be the same as the population mean.
2. The standard deviation of the sample means will be smaller than the standard
deviation of the population, and it will be equal to the population standard deviation
divided by the square root of the sample size.

Word Problems
1. Hours That Children Watch Television: A. C. Neilsen reported that children between
the ages of 2 and 5 watch an average of 25 hours of television per week. Assume the
variable is normally distributed and the standard deviation is 3 hours. If 20 children
between the ages of 2 and 5 are randomly selected, find the probability that the mean of
the number of hours they watch television will be greater than 26.3 hours.

2. The average age of a vehicle registered in the United States is 8 years, or 96 months.
Assume the standard deviation is 16 months. If a random sample of 36 vehicles is
selected, find the probability that the mean of their age is between 90 and 100 months.

3. Meat Consumption: The average number of pounds of meat that a person consumes
per year is 218.4 pounds. Assume that the standard deviation is 25 pounds and the
distribution is approximately normal.
a. Find the probability that a person selected at random consumes less than 224
pounds per year.
b. If a sample of 40 individuals is selected, find the probability that the mean of
the sample will be less than 224 pounds per year.
4. Traveling between two campuses of a university in a city via shuttle bus takes, on
average, 28 minutes with a standard deviation of 5 minutes. In a given week, a bus
transported passengers 40 times. What is the probability that the average transport time
was more than 30 minutes? Assume the mean time is measured to the nearest minute.
5. An important manufacturing process produces cylindrical com- ponent parts for the
automotive industry. It is important that the process produce parts having a mean
diameter of 5.0 millimeters. The engineer involved conjectures that the population mean
is 5.0 millimeters. An experiment is conducted in which 100 parts produced by the
process are selected randomly and the diameter measured on each. It is known that the
population standard deviation is σ = 0.1 millimeter. The experiment indicates a sample
average diameter of x ̄ = 5.027 mil- limeters. Does this sample information appear to
support or refute the engineer’s conjecture?
6. The average weekly income of information workers in private industry is $777. If the
standard deviation is $77, what is the probability that a random sample of 50 information
workers will earn, on average, more than $800 per week? Do we need to assume a
normal distribution? Explain.

SUMMARY OF FORMULA AND THEIR USES

Common questions

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First, state the null hypothesis (H0) proposing hypothesis about population mean. Calculate the sample mean and the standard error. Then, determine the Z-score for the sample mean: (sample mean − population mean) / (standard deviation/√sample size). Compare Z-score against critical values from a Z-table corresponding to your confidence level (e.g., ±1.96 for 95%). Reject H0 if Z-score falls outside this range, indicating a statistically significant difference. Otherwise, consider the sample data as supporting the null hypothesis .

To find the probability that a sample mean is less than a specific value, first calculate the standard error: for 40 individuals, with a population standard deviation of 25 pounds, standard error is 25/√40. Given the sample mean of 224 pounds, the Z-score is calculated as (224 - 218.4) / (25/√40). This Z-score can then be used to find the probability from the standard normal distribution table that the sample mean is less than 224 pounds .

To calculate this probability, use the standard normal distribution (Z-score). For example, children watch an average of 25 hours with a standard deviation of 3 hours. For a sample size of 20, the standard error is 3/√20. To find the probability that the sample mean is greater than 26.3 hours, calculate the Z-score: Z = (26.3 - 25) / (3/√20), and use the standard normal distribution table to find the probability corresponding to this Z-value .

Given population mean $777 and population standard deviation $77, for sample size of 50, calculate standard error as 77/√50. For an exceedance of $800: Z = (800 - 777) / (77/√50). Use this Z-score to find the corresponding probability from standard normal distribution tables, denoting the likelihood that the sample mean exceeds $800 per week .

Normality assumptions could be questioned if the underlying distribution of worker incomes is skewed or has outliers, potentially affecting the accuracy of normal approximation. However, the Central Limit Theorem justifies normality due to the large sample size (n=50), which ensures that the sample mean follows a normal distribution, allowing for reliable computation of probabilities such as exceeding an average weekly income of $800 using Z-scores and standard normal tables .

To assess the conjecture that the mean diameter is 5.0 millimeters, compare the sample mean (5.027 mm) to the population mean. Calculate the Z-score: (5.027 - 5.0) / (0.1/√100). If the Z-score falls within a reasonable confidence interval (typically less than ±1.96 for a 95% confidence level), it indicates that the sample mean is not significantly different from the population mean, thus supporting the conjecture. If the Z-score is outside this range, the sample does not support the conjecture .

Increasing the sample size decreases the standard error, which is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample means. For vehicle ages, the population standard deviation is 16 months. For a sample of 36 vehicles, the standard error becomes 16/√36 = 2.67 months. A larger sample makes the sampling distribution narrower, meaning sample means are closer to the population mean, increasing the precision of estimates .

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) posits that the distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large, regardless of the initial distribution. For the income of information workers, even if individual incomes are not normally distributed, the sample mean of a sufficiently large sample (n=50) will be approximately normal. This allows for the use of normal distribution techniques to calculate the probability of the sample mean exceeding $800 per week, using mean, standard deviation, and sample size to determine the standard error .

The properties of the sampling distribution of sample means include: 1) The mean of the sample means is equal to the population mean, ensuring that on average, samples accurately estimate the population parameter. 2) The standard deviation of the sample means, also known as the standard error, is smaller than the standard deviation of the population and is calculated as the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size. This reduction in variability illustrates that larger samples yield more reliable mean estimates .

The assumption of a normal distribution allows the use of Z-scores and standard normal distribution tables to calculate exact probabilities. If transport times are normally distributed with a mean of 28 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes, for a sample size of 40, the assumption ensures that the sampling distribution of the mean is approximately normal, irrespective of the population distribution, due to the Central Limit Theorem. This assumption facilitates accurate probability calculations for determining if the average transport time exceeds 30 minutes .

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