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Understanding Inflation in India

The document discusses various aspects of inflation including its types, sources, measurement, economic impacts, and policy measures to control it. It describes creeping, running, and hyper inflation and how aggregate demand and supply can cause inflation. Inflation is measured using the wholesale price index and consumer price index. The Phillips curve shows the relationship between inflation and unemployment, while the long run Phillips curve shows no consistent tradeoff. Monetary, fiscal, and other policies can be used to control inflation.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
8 views21 pages

Understanding Inflation in India

The document discusses various aspects of inflation including its types, sources, measurement, economic impacts, and policy measures to control it. It describes creeping, running, and hyper inflation and how aggregate demand and supply can cause inflation. Inflation is measured using the wholesale price index and consumer price index. The Phillips curve shows the relationship between inflation and unemployment, while the long run Phillips curve shows no consistent tradeoff. Monetary, fiscal, and other policies can be used to control inflation.

Uploaded by

Dolly Parhawk
Copyright
© Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Inflation

Sunil Kumar

Introduction
The fall in inflation rate helped Indian consumers, it had a negative impact on the economy. To minimize this negative impact, the RBI initiated various measures to increase money supply circulation in the economy. These measures aims at boosting aggregate demand.

Sunil Kumar

Types of Inflation

Creeping Inflation:
It leads to small increase in prices.

Running Inflation:
If creeping inflation continues for long period.

Hyper or Galloping Inflation:


When monetary authorities completely lose control over running inflation.

Sunil Kumar

Source of Inflation
Aggregate

Demand Aggregate Supply

Sunil Kumar

Aggregate Demand (AD)


Aggregate demand (AD) refers to collective behavior of all buyers in a market. AD curve has negative slope, because there is negative relation between price and output. The negative slope of AD is due to:

Real balance effect Foreign trade effect Interest rate effect

Sunil Kumar

Aggregate Supply (AS)


Aggregate supply is the real value of output producers are willing to and able to bring to market at alternative price levels. AS curve has upward slope due to:

Profit effect Cost effects

Sunil Kumar

Demand Pull Inflation


The general rise in the price level is because the demand for goods and services exceeds the supply available at existing prices. In this case AD curve shifts upward. It is due to:

The real factors


Increase in government expenditure

The monetary factors


Sunil Kumar 7

Demand Pull Inflation


Y
AS Price Level

P1 P0 AD1

AD0
O Y0 Y2 Y1 X
8

Real OutputSunil Kumar

Cost Push Inflation


Cost push theory of inflation explains the causes of inflation origination from the supply side. Cost push inflation depends on:

Wage push inflation Profit push inflation Supply shock inflation

Sunil Kumar

Cost Push Inflation


Y
AS1 AS0 Price Level P1 P0

AD O Q1 Q0
Sunil Kumar

X
10

Quantity

Measuring of Inflation

Variations in the price level are measured in terms of:

Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Consumer Price Index (CPI)

Sunil Kumar

11

Wholesale Price Index (WPI)

The WPI is an indicator designed to measure the changes in the price level of commodities that flow into the wholesale trade intermediaries. The index is a vital guide in economic analysis and policy formulation. In India, the wholesale pries are used to measure inflation. The Office of the Economic Adviser (OEA) in the Ministry of Industry. The duration is usually one or two week. It will not cover non-commodity producing sector.
Sunil Kumar

12

Calculation of WPI in India


For

each month, the arithmetic average price for each item in the market basket is derived first. The price relative or index for each commodity is then taken by dividing the computed arithmetic average price by the corresponding average base price as: PRi= (Pn i/P0i) x 100
Sunil Kumar 13

Calculation of WPI in India


The

index of the subgroup of the commodities is computed using the following formula: i i PRi= PRij /N The index of the next subgroup of commodities is computed by dividing the aggregate of weighted indices of component item in a subgroup by the total of their corresponding weights as: PRk=(PRjk x Wjk) / Wjk
Sunil Kumar 14

Calculation of WPI in India


The

overall index is computed using the following formula: I = (PRn x Wn) / Wn

Sunil Kumar

15

Consumer Price Index (CPI)


The consumer price index reflects the cost for living of a particular group in the population. CPI is measured on the basis of the changes in the retail prices of selected goods and services. There are several consumer price indices:

CPI-IW (for industrial workers) CPI-AL (for agricultural laborer) CPI-UNME (for urban non-manual employee)
Sunil Kumar 16

The Economic Impact of Inflation

Effect of inflation on the distribution of Income and Wealth


Debtors and Creditors Producers Investors

Effect of Inflation on Production

Sunil Kumar

17

Phillips Curve
The two variables that receive the most attention in macroeconomics are unemployment and inflation. Philips curve indicates the relation between inflation and unemployment rate. The Philips curve indicates a trade- off between inflation and unemployment.

Sunil Kumar

18

Philips Curve A Trade-Off TradeP/P Y

Inflation 5 3 O

X
19

UnemploymentKumar Sunil

Long Run Philips Curve No TradeTrade-Off


P/P Y
Long Run Phillips Curve

Inflation

I3 I2 I1 PC2 PC3 O U2 U1 U3 PC1

X
20

UnemploymentKumar Sunil

Measures to Control Inflation


Monetary Measures Fiscal Measures

Public expenditure Taxation Public borrowing and debt

Other Measures
Price control and rationing Wage policy

Sunil Kumar

21

Common questions

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The types of inflation identified include creeping inflation, running inflation, and hyper or galloping inflation. Creeping inflation involves small price increases, running inflation occurs when creeping inflation continues for a long period, and hyper or galloping inflation arises when monetary authorities lose control over running inflation .

The RBI initiated measures to increase money supply circulation in the economy, aiming to boost aggregate demand. These measures were in response to the negative impact on the economy caused by falling inflation rates .

Monetary measures, including interest rate adjustments and open market operations, serve to manage the money supply and curb inflation by influencing economic activity. However, their effectiveness can vary based on the broader economic environment and accompanying fiscal policies .

The Phillips Curve illustrates an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, suggesting that higher inflation is associated with lower unemployment and vice versa, indicating a trade-off between these two variables in the short run .

Cost-push inflation occurs when increased production costs, such as wage hikes or supply shocks, lead to a decrease in aggregate supply, thus increasing prices. Wage push inflation results from higher labor costs, while supply shock inflation results from unexpected shortages .

Fiscal measures contribute to controlling inflation through public expenditure adjustments, taxation, and public borrowing. These involve reducing government spending and increasing taxes to reduce money flow in the economy, thus lowering demand-driven inflation pressures .

The AD curve has a negative slope due to the real balance effect, foreign trade effect, and interest rate effect. This slope indicates a negative relationship between price and output, implying that as prices decrease, the total output demanded by consumers increases, potentially stimulating economic growth .

Inflation affects the distribution of income and wealth by altering the real value of money. Debtors generally benefit because they repay loans with money that is worth less, while creditors lose. Producers may gain if they can adjust prices faster than costs rise, but investors in long-term fixed-income securities may see losses .

The CPI measures the cost of living based on retail prices of selected goods and services for specific consumer groups, whereas the WPI tracks changes in the price level of commodities at the wholesale level. CPI impacts cost-of-living adjustments and consumer behavior, while WPI influences trade and policy decisions at the macroeconomic level .

The WPI in India is calculated by first deriving the arithmetic average price for each item, then computing the price relative index by dividing the average price by the base price, and subsequently computing the overall index using weighted averages of component items .

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