Economics
Economic Growth
Growth Accounting and Influencing Factors
Growth Accounting Relations
Cobb-Douglas: Y TK L(1 )
long-term growth
The growth accounting equation: rate of capital
Y T K L
Growth rate in
potential GDP
Y
T
K
1
L
Growth rate of total factor elasticities long-term growth
productivity (technology) rate of labor
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1
Growth Accounting Relations
The labor productivity growth accounting equation:
Growth rate in potential GDP = long-term growth rate of labor
force + long-term growth rate in labor productivity
Includes capital
deepening and
changes in total
factor productivity
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Example: Growth Accounting
Following information is available for Azikland:
Variable Long-Term Forecast
Labor force growth rate 1.5%
Cost of labor/total factor cost 60%
Growth rate of capital 3%
Growth of total factor productivity 2%
Calculate the growth rate in potential GDP.
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Solution: Growth Accounting
Growth rate of potential GDP:
T K L
1
T K L
2%+(0.4 3%)+(0.6 1.5%)
= 4.1%
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Impact of Natural Resources
Ownership of natural resources is not important as long as
there is access (via trade).
Ownership of natural resources may actually hinder
growth:
1. Dutch disease: Ownership of natural resources pushes
up the value of domestic currency to the detriment of
other industries.
2. Other industries may be neglected.
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Labor Supply
Labor supply factors
1. Demographics: Aging of population
2. Participation: Labor force/working age population
3. Immigration: Can be used to overcome declining labor
force
4. Average hours worked: Cultural factors, labor
regulations, and taxation
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Capital and Technology
Human capital: Qualitative measure of knowledge
and skills
Physical capital: ICT and non-ICT
Technological development
Includes investment in physical and human capital
Public infrastructure
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