International Trade Theory Analysis
International Trade Theory Analysis
PROGRESS ASSIGNMENT
SUBJECT: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
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Picture 1.2. An article about US tariffs
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Picture 1.3. An article of AsianFin
While the global economy has largely embraced free trade and market
liberalization, the persistence of mercantilist-like policies indicates that the theory's
principles still hold sway in certain contexts. These modern adaptations underscore the
ongoing debate between protectionism and free trade, suggesting that mercantilism,
though outdated in its original form, continues to influence economic policymaking in
the contemporary world.
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Question 2: Is free trade fair? Discuss.
Free trade, the unrestricted exchange of goods and services across international
borders, is often lauded for promoting economic efficiency, innovation, and consumer
benefits. However, the fairness of free trade remains a contentious issue, as its impacts
are unevenly distributed among different countries and within societies.
Proponents argue that free trade has significantly contributed to global poverty
reduction. For example, the World Bank notes that trade has been a powerful driver of
economic development and poverty alleviation, with initiatives like the African
Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) having the potential to lift millions out of
extreme poverty by 2035 (World Bank Group, Trade Has Been a Powerful Driver of
Economic Development and Poverty Reduction, 2023).
Or, between 1995 and 2022, the percentage of individuals in low- and middle-
income countries living in extreme poverty decreased from 40% to under 11%, partly
due to increased trade openness (World Economic Forum, 2024).
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Picture 2.1. A chart illustrates the relationship between Poverty headcount ratio and Exports of goods
Conversely, critics highlight that free trade can exacerbate income inequality and
lead to job losses in certain sectors. A study by the World Economic Forum indicates
that while trade liberalization increases overall incomes, it also tends to widen income
disparities within countries. In developed nations, industries unable to compete with
cheaper imports may decline, resulting in unemployment and wage stagnation for
affected workers.
Moreover, the benefits of free trade are not always equitably shared. In India, for
instance, economic liberalization has led to significant wealth accumulation among the
top 10% of the population, while the bottom 50% have seen minimal gains. Such
disparities raise questions about the inclusivity and fairness of free trade policies (Bharti,
Chancel, Piketty, & Somanchi, 2024).
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Table 2.1. Wealth inequality in India
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Question 3: Unions in developed nations often oppose imports
from low-wage countries and advocate trade barriers
to protect jobs from what they often characterize as
“unfair” import competition. Is such competition “unfair”?
Do you think that this argument is in the best interests of
(a) the unions, (b) the people they represent, and/or
(c) the country as a whole?
In the context of international trade, “unfair” competition refers to trade practices
that, while not necessarily illegal, create significant disadvantages for domestic workers.
This often includes the importation of goods from countries with lower labor standards
and wages, which can lead to job displacement and wage suppression in developed
nations such as the United States. Although such trade may be beneficial from an
economic efficiency standpoint, it can have deep and lasting social consequences for
specific segments of the labor force.
Between 1999 and 2011, increased imports from China were responsible for the
displacement of approximately 2.4 million jobs in the United States. These job losses
were concentrated in the manufacturing sector, where many American workers were
unable to compete with the lower costs of production abroad. The effects of this
displacement were particularly severe in industrial regions, leading to economic decline,
reduced community stability, and long-term unemployment for affected workers.
Beyond job loss, trade with low-wage countries has exerted downward pressure
on wages, particularly for individuals without a college degree. Estimates suggest that
expanded trade reduced the annual earnings of a full-time American worker without a
four-year college degree by about $1,800. This wage suppression has contributed to
growing income inequality and economic insecurity among the working class. Notably,
low-wage workers have borne the brunt of these changes. For each $1,000 increase in
Chinese imports per worker, wage reductions among low-wage earners have been twice
as large as the average decline experienced by the broader labor force (Larsen,
Chetverikov, & Palmer, 2020).
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These challenges have had profound implications for unions, workers, and the
broader national economy. Labor unions, which are dedicated to protecting the wages
and job security of their members, often respond to import competition by advocating
for trade barriers. While these measures may temporarily shield specific industries from
foreign competition, they can also reduce overall economic efficiency by distorting
market incentives and discouraging innovation.
At the national level, the use of trade barriers to protect certain industries comes
with significant economic trade-offs. Tariffs and import restrictions typically lead to
higher consumer prices, as the cost of foreign goods increases. These policies can also
reduce economic efficiency by diverting resources away from globally competitive
sectors to less productive domestic industries. In addition, the risk of retaliatory
measures from trade partners can disrupt exports, strain international relations, and
create broader economic instability.
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Question 4: What are the potential costs of adopting a free trade
regime? Do you think governments should do anything
to reduce these costs? Why?
Adopting a free trade regime offers numerous benefits, such as increased market
access, greater consumer choice, and enhanced economic efficiency. However, the shift
toward open markets also brings with it several potential costs that can negatively impact
specific industries, workers, and segments of society. These challenges highlight the
importance of carefully balancing trade liberalization with domestic policies that protect
vulnerable groups and promote equitable growth.
One of the most significant costs associated with free trade is job displacement
and industry disruption. Increased competition from foreign producers can lead to the
decline or collapse of certain domestic industries, particularly those unable to compete
with lower-cost imports. For example, the implementation of the North American Free
Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has been linked to job losses in the U.S. manufacturing
sector as production shifted to countries with cheaper labor. Research by economists
David Autor, David Dorn, and Gordon Hanson estimates that between 1999 and 2011,
competition from Chinese imports alone resulted in the loss of up to 2.4 million U.S.
jobs (Wikipedia contributors, Rust Belt, 2025). These losses have had long-lasting
effects on communities that were heavily reliant on manufacturing.
Picture 4.1. The change in total number of manufacturing jobs in metropolitan areas between 1954 - 2002
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paying sectors, such as services. Studies have shown that manufacturing workers who
transition to service jobs often experience wage declines ranging from 6% to 22%
(Wikipedia contributors, Trade Adjustment Assistance, 2025). This downward pressure
on wages exacerbates financial insecurity and limits upward mobility for many workers,
especially those without advanced education or specialized skills.
Free trade can also contribute to growing economic inequality. Although trade
liberalization may increase overall economic output, the resulting gains are not always
shared equally across society. Large corporations and certain high-skilled sectors often
benefit the most, while lower-income workers may struggle with job losses and stagnant
wages. According to the Economic Policy Institute, free trade has played a role in
creating a persistent trade deficit in the United States, leading to the closure of numerous
factories and the loss of millions of jobs in the manufacturing sector (Wikipedia
contributors, Rust Belt, 2025). This imbalance has widened the gap between different
income groups and regions, fueling economic discontent and political tension.
Given these significant costs, governments should take action to reduce the
negative impacts of free trade. Thoughtful policy interventions can help ensure that the
benefits of global trade are more broadly shared and that individuals affected by
economic transitions are supported through meaningful assistance.
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Finally, strengthening social safety nets such as unemployment insurance,
healthcare access, and food assistance programs can provide critical support for
individuals and families facing trade-related disruptions. These protections help cushion
the impact of economic shocks and provide time and resources for workers to pursue
new opportunities.
While free trade has the potential to drive growth, innovation, and consumer
benefits, it also presents significant challenges that must be addressed through proactive
public policy. Job displacement, wage suppression, and economic inequality are real and
measurable consequences of trade liberalization. By implementing targeted support
programs, investing in education, enforcing standards, and maintaining strong social
safety nets, governments can build a more inclusive and resilient economy—one that
fully leverages the advantages of free trade while minimizing its social and economic
costs.
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Question 5: Reread the Country Focus “Is China Manipulating Its
Currency in Pursuit of a Neo-Mercantilist Policy?”
a. Do you think China is pursuing a currency policy that can be
characterized as neo-mercantilist?
b. What should the United States, and other countries, do about
this?
a. Yes, China has at times pursued policies that can be characterized as neo-
mercantilist, especially in the past.
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Chart 5.2. China’s trade surplus hit a record high in 2024
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Overall, while China’s large trade surplus and tightly managed currency regime
reflect characteristics commonly associated with neo-mercantilism, the absence of
recent, consistent evidence of one-sided currency intervention points to a more nuanced
and complex economic strategy. Rather than outright currency manipulation, China’s
policy mix appears to balance export-oriented goals with broader macroeconomic
considerations.
Second, targeted trade policy measures may be warranted when unfair practices
are identified. For instance, the United States recently imposed tariffs of up to 145% on
certain Chinese imports, signaling a willingness to act decisively in defense of domestic
industries (Galani, 2025). Such remedies should be strategically applied to discourage
trade distortions while avoiding broader trade escalation.
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Fourth, nations must strengthen their own domestic economic resilience. This
includes investing in key industries, workforce development, and innovation, all of
which can enhance national competitiveness and reduce reliance on foreign imports. A
more robust and diversified domestic economy is better positioned to withstand external
trade pressures.
Finally, the United States and its partners should pursue diversified trade
partnerships. Expanding trade with a broader array of countries can help mitigate the
risks associated with overdependence on a single trading partner, such as China.
Diversification also promotes economic stability and opens new opportunities for
growth in emerging markets.
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Question 6: Reread the Country Focus “Moving U.S. White-
Collar Jobs Offshore.”
a. Who benefits from the outsourcing of skilled white-collar
jobs to developing nations? Who are the losers?
b. Will developed nations like the United States suffer from the
loss of high-skilled and high-paying jobs?
In recent decades, the promise that free trade uniformly benefits all participating
nations has been called into question by the globalization of both low‑ and high‑skill
employment. During the 1980s and 1990s, manufacturing of textiles, footwear, steel,
and electronics migrated from advanced economies such as the United States to
lower‑wage countries, yet it was widely assumed that high‑wage, knowledge‑intensive
jobs—such as computer design and software development—would remain domestically
anchored. However, major U.S. firms have increasingly outsourced white‑collar
functions to emerging markets, where labor costs are a fraction of domestic rates. For
instance, Bank of America relocated thousands of IT positions to India—where tasks
billed at $100 per hour in the U.S. now command approximately $20 per hour—and
retains Infosys Technologies Ltd. to develop IT applications and process mortgage
applications. Similarly, Wipro Ltd. provides remote radiological interpretation for
Massachusetts General Hospital, and Bangalore‑based engineers earning roughly
$10,000 annually contribute to semiconductor design for Texas Instruments.
Architectural engineering has followed suit: Flour Corp. engages drafters in the
Philippines, Poland, and India to produce detailed facility specifications in collaboration
with high‑earners in the U.S. and U.K., reducing project costs by 15%. Even nascent
technology firms, such as California’s Zoho Corporation, adopt this distributed model
at inception, employing a domestic staff of 20 alongside over 1,000 employees in India.
These trends undermine the assumption that free trade’s gains accrue evenly and pose
significant challenges for the preservation and creation of high‑skill employment in
advanced economies.
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per hour to approximately $20 per hour. Similarly, the firm contracted Infosys
Technologies Ltd. to develop IT applications and handle mortgage processing tasks, and
Wipro Ltd. to conduct remote radiological diagnostics for Massachusetts General
Hospital. These outsourcing arrangements allow firms to expand their operational
capabilities without proportionally increasing expenditure, thereby enhancing
profitability and shareholder value.
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These cases illustrate how the globalization of high-skill work can serve as a
catalyst for economic development in emerging markets while simultaneously
diversifying the global distribution of knowledge-based labor.
6.1.2. Losers
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income stagnation among the middle and upper-middle classes, exacerbating inequality
and reducing consumer purchasing power.
The clustering of white-collar industries in specific regions means that the effects
of offshoring are often concentrated and highly disruptive. As core industries contract
or relocate, local businesses that support these sectors—such as education, housing, and
retail—also suffer. This economic hollowing-out weakens the vitality of metropolitan
and suburban centers alike, leading to social and infrastructural decay.
While some firms claim to reinvest outsourcing savings into domestic research
and development, such reinvestment rarely offsets the loss of high-quality employment.
These investments often target short-term innovation cycles rather than long-term
human capital development. Moreover, the benefits of R&D investments are frequently
captured by a small number of stakeholders, while the costs of job displacement are
borne by entire communities.
6.3. Conclusion
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Question 7: Is there a difference between the transference of
high-paying white collar jobs, such as computer programming
and accounting, to developing nations, and low-paying
blue-collar jobs? If so, what is the difference, and should
government do anything to stop the flow of white-collar jobs
out of the country to countries such as India?
Globalization has reshaped labor markets across both developed and developing
nations, facilitating the relocation of various types of employment in pursuit of cost
efficiencies and competitive advantage. While blue-collar offshoring—defined by the
relocation of low-skilled, labor-intensive manufacturing work—has long been a
hallmark of international trade dynamics, the increasing offshoring of white-collar,
high-skilled roles such as computer programming, accounting, radiology, and
engineering services introduces new complexities. These changes raise pressing
questions about economic resilience, labor market transitions, and the appropriate scope
of government intervention.
This chapter critically examines the distinctions between the offshoring of blue-
collar and white-collar jobs, evaluates their respective economic impacts, and assesses
whether governments should take active measures to prevent the outflow of high-paying
white-collar employment to countries such as India.
7.1. Distinguishing White-Collar and Blue-Collar Offshoring
7.1.1. Nature and Tradability of Tasks
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7.1.2. Scale and Concentration of Labor-Market Shocks
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Blue-collar job losses have historically resulted in substantial wage declines and
long-term unemployment for displaced workers. Replacement opportunities often do not
match previous wage levels, especially for those without access to retraining programs.
Both forms of offshoring provide clear economic benefits at the consumer and
firm levels. Manufacturing offshoring reduces the cost of consumer goods, thus
increasing purchasing power and consumption. Similarly, service offshoring lowers the
cost of software development, IT support, legal processing, and medical diagnostics,
enhancing firm efficiency and broadening consumer choice.
For instance, U.S. hospitals that outsource radiological analysis to firms in India
can provide faster diagnostics at a lower cost. Tech companies that hire software
engineers in Bangalore or Eastern Europe benefit from high-quality labor at a fraction
of U.S. wage levels, contributing to faster product development and competitive pricing
(Atkins, Gilroy, & Seiler, 2019).
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7.2. Should Governments Intervene to Restrict White-Collar Offshoring?
7.2.1. Existing Policy Landscape
The decentralized and virtual nature of service work makes enforcement difficult
and raises concerns about damaging the global competitiveness of domestic firms. In an
era where firms rely on flexible international labor models, blunt restrictions could
backfire, reducing productivity and deterring investment.
• Increased Operating Costs: Firms would face higher labor expenses, reducing
their capacity to innovate and scale.
• Diminished Efficiency Gains: Restricting access to global talent may undercut
potential efficiency improvements and productivity growth.
• Deterioration of Trade Terms: A widespread shift toward service offshoring
could alter the U.S.'s terms of trade. If productivity gains in export sectors are
eroded by overseas competition, national income may decline even if firm-level
performance improves.
• Retaliatory Risks: Other countries may respond with countermeasures,
hampering the flow of U.S. services and goods abroad (Feenstra, California,
Davis, & NBER, 2016).
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Rather than imposing restrictive barriers, governments can adopt proactive,
adaptive policies that help workers transition and maintain national competitiveness.
Key strategies include:
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The offshoring of white-collar jobs differs fundamentally from blue-collar
offshoring in terms of task tradability, labor market impact, and potential policy
responses. While blue-collar job losses tend to produce acute, regionally concentrated
disruptions, white-collar offshoring brings more subtle, dispersed effects across the
labor force.
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Question 8: Drawing upon the new trade theory and Porter’s
theory of national competitive advantage, outline the case for
government policies that would build national competitive
advantage in biotechnology. What kinds of policies would you
recommend that the government adopt? Are these policies at
variance with the basic free trade philosophy?
The biotechnology sector, as a knowledge-intensive and innovation-driven
industry, has become a focal point for national economic strategies seeking to enhance
competitiveness in the global economy. Drawing upon New Trade Theory and Porter’s
Theory of National Competitive Advantage, this report outlines the rationale for
government interventions that promote a national edge in biotechnology. It further
evaluates whether such policies align with or contradict the principles of free trade.
Economies of Scale: The sector incurs exceptionally high fixed costs related to
research and development (R&D), clinical trials, and regulatory compliance.
Concentrating production and innovation domestically allows firms to reduce average
costs and compete globally.
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First-Mover Advantage: Early investment in emerging subfields—such as
mRNA vaccines or CRISPR-based gene editing—can yield durable intellectual property
rights and establish industry standards, creating significant barriers for latecomers.
“The drop-off in firm counts as we move down the list. From Italy to Ireland and
beyond, a picture of a highly stratified global biotech sector. Smaller economies, such
as Latvia and Estonia, while making the list, demonstrate the challenges faced by
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emerging markets in cultivating a significant biotech presence. These disparities may be
influenced by various factors, including the size of the economy, research and
development funding, government support, and the maturity of the biotech ecosystem.”
(Adam, 2024).
Introduce generous R&D tax credits and translational research grants to offset
high upfront costs in clinical development. Create public–private consortia for
“moonshot” initiatives in synthetic biology and precision medicine to pool risks and
enhance collaboration (OECD Science, 2019).
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8.2.2. Human Capital Development
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8.2.4. Intellectual Property and Regulatory Reform
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Offer export facilitation services for biotech firms targeting high-growth
regions. Provide time-limited tariff relief on imported laboratory and manufacturing
equipment to help domestic firms scale.
Critics of industrial policy often argue that such interventions distort market
efficiency and contradict the principles of free trade. However, when designed with care,
the proposed biotechnology policies are compatible with a dynamic interpretation of
free trade, for several reasons:
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Question 9: The world’s poorest countries are at a competitive
disadvantage in every sector of their economies. They have little
to export; they have no capital; their land is of poor quality;
they often have too many people given available work
opportunities; and they are poorly educated. Free trade cannot
possibly be in the interests of such nations. Discuss.
The assertion that free trade cannot benefit the world's poorest countries stems
from the observation that these nations often lack the infrastructure, capital, and skilled
labor necessary to compete in global markets. However, this perspective overlooks the
potential of free trade to catalyze economic development and poverty reduction when
accompanied by supportive policies and international cooperation.
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distribution of trade gains and protecting vulnerable industries, the potential benefits of
free trade for developing nations are significant.
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TABLE OF FIGURES
Chart 5.1. Trade balance of China ................................................................................. 12
Chart 5.2. China’s trade surplus hit a record high in 2024 ............................................ 13
Chart 5.3. China Foreign Exchange Reverses ............................................................... 13