CASE STUDY 1: HOW IS AUTOTEX LTD GOING TO MITIGATE NATURE’S CALL?
Autotex Ltd Manufacturing Company was a bustling hub of activity, with workers diligently
producing automotive parts that powered vehicles across the country. The company prided
itself on its state-of-the-art machinery and efficient operations, but as the CEO, John, sat in his
office, he couldn't shake the nagging feeling that they weren't fully prepared for the unforeseen.
John called a meeting with his risk management team to discuss potential perils that could
disrupt their operations. After thorough research and consultation with experts, the team
identified three major risks: floods, earthquakes, and heavy rains creating industrial accidents.
Each peril had the potential to cause catastrophic damage, but the likelihood of each event
varied. The team estimated that a severe flood had a 5% chance of striking in any given year.
For earthquakes, the risk was lower, with only a 1% chance of occurring annually while the
most immediate threat was an industrial accident by heavy rains, with a 10% annual probability.
The identified perils are expected to damage to the production line, warehouse, and
administrative offices as follows
• Production Line: Extensive damage to machinery and equipment.
• Warehouse: Loss of raw materials and finished goods inventory.
• Administrative Offices: Damage to office equipment and records.
Risk Management Team reported the potential losses that these perils can bring to the company
as follows
Production Line:
• Cost of replacing damaged machinery: $8 million
• Repair costs for partially damaged equipment: $2 million
• Installation and testing: $1 million
Warehouse:
• Value of raw materials lost: $5 million
• Value of finished goods lost: $4 million
Administrative Offices:
• Cost of replacing office equipment: $500,000
• Cost of recovering damaged records: $200,000
Expenses for Clearing Up and Removal of Debris
• Cost of debris removal: $1 million
• Environmental cleanup costs: $500,000
Loss of Rent:
• Rent loss due to temporary relocation of administrative offices: $200,000
Loss of Production, Revenue, and Profits:
• Revenue loss due to production halt for 6 months: $25 million
• Profit loss (assuming 20% profit margin): $5 million
Possible Liability Losses for Third-Party Injuries:
• Compensation for injuries to workers: $2 million
• Legal fees and settlements for third-party claims: $1 million
Unfortunately, even before the team could start their preventive measures, On 20 June 2024,
Early Morning, 5:00 AM, the industrial accident took place due to an unanticipated downpour
of rain, and John reached the office concerned on 24th June 2024. He meets his risk management
team and says, "We recently had a major industrial accident at our factory, and it's been a
nightmare. The production line is down, the warehouse is a mess, and the administrative offices
are in shambles. I need the team’s help to compute the Probable Maximum Loss for this
incident and figure out how we can manage these risks better in the future."