Main Topic: Capital Market Reactions to Accounting
Information
1. Introduction to Capital Market Research (CMR)
Definition and scope of CMR
Role of accounting disclosures in capital markets
Focus: Aggregate effects of financial reporting on share prices
2. Market Efficiency and CMR
Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)
o Definition of market efficiency
Forms of Market Efficiency
o Weak form
o Semi-strong form
o Strong form
Implications for Accounting
o How markets use accounting info to predict future earnings
o Value relevance of accounting disclosures
3. The Information Content of Earnings
Concept of unexpected earnings
Relation to abnormal share price movements
Earnings announcement example
4. Earnings/Return Relationship
Total vs. normal vs. abnormal returns
Use of CAPM for expected returns
Calculating abnormal return
5. Results of Capital Market Research (CMR)
Ball and Brown (1968) Study
o Empirical evidence on usefulness of earnings information
o Investors anticipate most of the earnings information
Other Foundational Studies
o Kothari (2001) – Broad review of CMR
o Holthausen & Watts (2001) – Value relevance and standard setting
o Healy & Palepu (2001) – Corporate disclosure and info asymmetry
6. Extensions and Key Findings of CMR
Permanent vs. Temporary Earnings Changes
o Effect on dividend expectations and share price
Cash vs. Accrual Components of Earnings
o Earnings persistence and investor "fixation"
Information Transfer
o Earnings announcements of one firm impacting peer firms
Voluntary Disclosure
o Benefits: analyst following, accuracy, reduced capital cost
Recognition vs. Disclosure in Footnotes
o Market places higher value on recognized items
7. Additional Factors Affecting Market Reactions
Firm Size
o Greater price response for smaller firms
Timing of Price Movements
o Do prices anticipate or react to earnings announcements?
8. Revisiting Market Efficiency Assumptions
Behavioral criticisms of EMH
Evidence of underreaction and overreaction
Earnings drift and emerging research areas
9. Summary and Implications
Interaction of corporate disclosures and share prices
Capital market efficiency as a foundational assumption
Use of accounting information in investment decisions