Food Insecurity Analysis in Asella, Ethiopia
Food Insecurity Analysis in Asella, Ethiopia
BY;Abayneh Alemu
April, 2024
Asella, Ethiopia
ii
Acknowledgement
To begin with I would like to provide my deepest and spatial thanks to God, who
help and guide me in right position. Next, I would also like to extend my thanks to
my advisor Ayantu leta who puts me in the right direction to do me research in the
right way and her polite relation with me. All in all, I have appreciated and
provided my sincere thanks to her. And in addition, I provide my thanks to Arsi
University College of Agriculture and Environmental Science workers specially
Mr. Nigus Tekletsadik who assisted me, as friend and direct me for the good
reference in all the way of my research activity.
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ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
AE Adult Equivalent
iv
Table of contents
Acknowledgement....................................................................................................iii
Table of contents.......................................................................................................v
List of Tables...........................................................................................................vii
List of Figures........................................................................................................viii
ABSTRACT.............................................................................................................ix
1.3 Objective..........................................................................................................5
3.5 Hypothesis......................................................................................................17
5.1 Conclusions....................................................................................................31
5.2 Recommendation............................................................................................32
REFERENCES........................................................................................................33
APPENDEXES........................................................................................................38
vi
List of Tables
vii
List of Figures
Fig1: four dimensions of food security (http:://[Link]
/sites/default/files/What%20is%20Food%[Link]........................................8
viii
ABSTRACT
ix
logit model to test our hypothesis and to reveal the effect of different variables on
house hold food insecurity.
Key words: Binary Logic, Determinant, Food insecurity, Dosha kebele, Rural
x
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
Food insecurity is increasing in the world where 925 million people are
undernourished. Out of them, about 900 million people are living in developing
countries (FAO, 2010). More than 70% of these people live in rural areas and
depend, directly or indirectly, on agriculture for their living. The majority of the
developing countries invest in the agricultural sector due to which these
households are more vulnerable to price instability. The main focus of agricultural
investment remained on exportable crops to generate foreign exchange that forced
countries to rely on continued low international food prices to meet national food
demand (IAASTD, 2016).
The majority of food insecure and hungry people in the global context live in
Asia and the Pacific (16%), Sub-Saharan Africa (30%), and near East and North
Africa (8%), and Latin America and the Caribbean (9%). Among this the
proportion of food insecure and hungry people in Sub-Saharan Africa is showing
fast increment as compared to early 1990s (FAO, 2017).
The gap between food production and consumption in most SSA countries is
induced by the slowdown of the agricultural production growth rates. The major
causes for the slow growth rates of agriculture include various factors such as
unfavorable climatic conditions, undeveloped infrastructures, inappropriate
agricultural policies and predominantly traditional production systems (Mohamed,
1995).
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Most of the world’s poorest countries are in Africa and many of these face
chronic poverty and food insecurity. Agriculture, of which 85-90 percent is rain-
fed in Sub-Saharan Africa, accounts for 35 percent of the region’s gross national
product (GNP), 40 percent of exports and 70 percent of employment Babatunde et
al (2007).
A report on the dynamics of poverty revealed that about 38.7% of the people in
Ethiopia were under the national poverty line in 2004/2005, and the poverty level
in rural areas (39.3%) was slightly higher than that of urban areas (35.1%)
(MoFED,2012).Between 2004/2005 and 2010/2011, the average headcount of
poverty decreased in both urban and rural areas of the country with the national
headcount poverty standing at 29.6% in 2010/[Link] of food
insecurity and malnutrition are prevalent in rural areas, with a population of six to
seven million chronically food insecure, and up to 13 million seasonally food
insecure(Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, 2010).
Several studies in the past have indicated that people of Ethiopia have
experienced long periods of food insecurity which may be ascribed to several
factors which include occasional droughts and also degradation of farm lands.
3
These factors have limited the “physical, social and economic access to
sufficient ,safe and nutritious food necessary to meet the dietary needs and food
preferences for leading an active and healthy life” for majority of the
residents(Gilligan et al, 2008).
According to (WFP, the 2018) Horn of Africa drought left 4.5 million
Ethiopians in need of emergency food assistance. Pastoralist areas in southern and
southeastern Ethiopia were the worst affected. In addition, cereal markets
experienced a supply shock and food prices were rose and resulting in high food
insecurity among poor people. By the beginning of 2012, the overall food security
situation had stabilized thanks to the start of the harvest season and sustained
humanitarian assistance. Still, even the Humanitarian Requirements Document
issued by the government in early 2012 estimates that 3.2 million people will
require relief food assistance from January to June 2012. This number is likely to
increase following the extended dry conditions and erratic start of the rain season.
Both transitory and chronic food insecurity are severe in Ethiopia. Moreover,
food insecurity is one of the defining features of rural poverty affecting millions of
people particularly in moisture- deficit and pastoral areas. Even in years of
adequate rainfall and good harvests, these people remain in need of food assistance
(FDRE, 2001).
4
shortage, frost attack, chronic shortage of cash income, poor farming technologies,
weak extension services, high labor wastage, and poor social and infrastructural
situation have caused the problem of food insecurity. Hence, a combination of
factors has resulted in serious and growing problem of food insecurity in Ethiopia
(Hussein, 2006). These would have cumulative effects on household level food
security status.
Through time, poor and hungry populations become less flexible to stress and
disasters as they rely a great deal on the natural environment and lack the capacity
and the resources required recovering from disasters (Oluoko et al, 2011). For
Ethiopia to achieve middle-income status by 2025 and to found solution for food
insecurity, concentrated and strategic investment and strategic choices in the
agricultural sector are vital. Over 90 percent of agricultural output is driven by
smallholder farmers. Without expanding cultivated land, and given forecast
population growth, the average land holding size in highland areas will be reduced
to 0.7 hectares by 2020, placing further pressure on rural incomes and food
security. Agriculture contributes substantially to the overall Ethiopian economy.
On a nominal GDP of USD 25.6 billion 43 percent was driven by the agricultural
sector; crop production accounts for 29 percent, with livestock at 12 percent,
followed by the forestry sector with 4 percent.
In Ethiopia, the seriousness of food shortage problem varies from one area to
another, depending on the state of the natural resources and the extent of
development of food shortage (Webb etal, 1994) as cited in (Amsalu et al, 2012).
Different factors aggravated the growing problem of food security in this country.
Among the major challenges of food security in Ethiopia are backward agriculture,
unstable weather recurrent drought, pests and disease, population pressure, weak
5
institutional capacity, and inadequate infrastructures and social services (FSB,
2007).
Few case studies have been conducted at household levels and food insecurity
studies at the national level fails to articulate household’s availability and access to
needed food (Hart, 2009).The majority of Ethiopians lives in rural areas tackle
similar challenges in securing sufficient food at household level due to the
topographic and biophysical variation throughout Ethiopia, transitory food
insecurity varies across geographic space and time.
1.3 Objective
The overall objective of the study is to analyze food insecurity and its
determinant in Dosha kebele.
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1.3.2 Specific Objective
7
1.6 Scope and Limitation of the Study
The study would be conducted in Dosha kebele of Tiyo wereda. This study
would focused on identifying food insecurity status, determinants of food
insecurity and coping strategies practiced by food insecure households would also
assessed at different levels at the time of food shortage. This study would be
conducted in only one kebel of Dosha kebele because of lack of budget, time and
other opportunity costs (resource) to accomplish the study. Moreover, the study
deals with a limited number of households and focused on the status and
determinants of food insecurity. Besides to this, the data were collected at one time
period and during the time of enough food is available.
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CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
Since the World Food Conference in 1974 due to food crises and major famines
in the world, the term Food Security was introduced, evolved, developed and
diversified by different researchers. Food security and insecurity are terms used to
describe whether or not households have access to sufficient quality and quantity
of food. Food security issues gained prominence in the 1970s and have since been
given considerable attention. Food security is perceived at the global, national,
household and individual levels. Food security at global level does not guarantee
food security at the national level. Moreover, food security at the national level
does not guarantee food security at the household or even the individual level
(Duffour, 2010).
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Afterwards, worldwide observations of different access to available food within
nations shifted interest and concern from food security from the national to the
household level. At the same time, the unit of analysis shifted from the global and
national level to the household and individual level (Hart, 2009).
Food security is a condition that exists when all people at all times have
sufficient physical and economic access to safe and nutritious food to meet their
dietary needs including food preferences, in order to live a healthy and active life
(USAID,2008, FAO ,1983).
Dimension Definition
Food availability: refers to the physical presence of food which may come from
own production, purchases from internal market or import from overseas. Gregory
et al., (2005) explained that food availability refers to the existence of food stocks
for consumption.
The same source, availability refers to the physical existence of food, be it from
own production or on the markets. On national level food availability is a function
of the combination of domestic food stocks, commercial food imports, food aid,
and domestic food production, as well as the underlying determinants of each of
these factors. Use of the term availability is often confusing, since it can refer to
food supplies available at both the household level and at a more aggregate
(regional or national) level. However, the term is applied most commonly in
reference to food supplies at the regional or national level.
11
Food access: Household food access is the ability to obtain sufficient food of
guaranteed quality and quantity to meet nutritional requirements of all household
members. Here, the food should be at right place at the right time and people
should have economic freedom or purchasing power to buy adequate and nutritious
food. Kuwornu et al, (2011), explained that food access is determined by physical
and financial resources, as well as by social and political factors. Access depends
normally on; income available to the household, the distribution of income within
the household, the price of food, and other factors worth mentioning are
individuals’ access to market, social and institutional entitlement/rights.
Food utilization: this refers to ingestion and digestion of adequate and quality
food for maintenance of good health. This means proper biological use of food,
requiring a diet that contains sufficient energy and essential nutrients, as well as
knowledge of food storage, processing, basic nutrition and child care and illness
management (Jrad et al,2010).
Food utilization: proper biological use of food, requiring a diet with sufficient
energy and essential nutrients, potable water and adequate sanitation, as well as
knowledge of food storage, processing, basic nutrition and child care and illness
management (USAID, 2008).
Stability of Food: refers to the continuous supply of adequate food all year
round without shortages (Jrad et al, 2010). To be food secure a population,
household, or individual must have access to adequate food at all times. They
should not be at risk of losing access to food as a consequence of a shock (e.g. an
economic or climatic crisis), or cyclically (e.g. during a particular period of the
year – seasonal food insecurity). The concept of stability can therefore refer to both
the availability and access dimensions of food security.
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2.2 Empirical Review
2.2.1 Determinants of Food Insecurity
Study by Sikwela (2008) in South Africa using logistic regression model showed
that per aggregate production, fertilizer application, cattle ownership and access to
irrigation have negative effect on household food insecurity whereas farm size and
household size have positive effect on household food security.
13
Livestock has positive relation with house hold food security ;on the other hand,
age of the household head and household size have a negative relationship with
food security.
Study by Osei et al (2013) in the Sekyere Afram Plains District of Ghana, Farm
size, off farm income, and credit access were positively and significantly related to
the probability of a household being food secure; marital status and household size
had a negative and significant relationship with food security.
Paul Amaza et al (2009) in the study of Changes in household food security and
poverty status in Nigeria revealed that household size, cost of hired labor,
participation in Promoting Sustainable Agricultural activities and non-agricultural
income have significant positive effects on the food security status of the
household. Household size had a negative effect, indicating that large households
are more likely to be food insecure.
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According to studies conducted in Ethiopia, ownership of livestock, farmland
size, family labor, off farm income, market access, use of improved technology,
education, health, amount of rainfall and distribution, crop diseases, number of
livestock, and family size are identified as major determinants of household food
insecurity (Regassa, 2011; Eden et al, 2009 and Bedeke, 2012).
As studied by Fekadu and Mequanent (2010), age of the household head, size of
land cultivated, use of fertilizer, livestock ownership, soil and water conservation
practices and oxen ownership have negative and significant relationship with
household food insecurity; whereas, education of household head, household size
(AE), and off–farm/non-farm income have a positive significant influence on
household food insecurity.
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CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY
Location: The study area is found in the Oromia regional states, Arsi zone,
Tiyo woreda, specifically Dosha kebele.
Topographically, the area is plain, undulating, valley, mountainous and
water bodies. The elevation of the area ranges from 1893m to 2120m above sea
level with the average rain fall of 1120 mm/yr. The agro ecology is woyna dega
with the average temperature of 200 degree centigrade.
The total population of the kebele is estimated to be 1340 in the year 2013
with this 648 are male and 692 female, and the average family size is 5. All of the
peoples are belongs to the Oromo ethnic group and Afan Oromo and Amharic are
the only language spoken in the area.
Agriculture is the back bone of the economy and it is the main source of job
opportunity for this area. It is takes a greater part as service of income for the
farmers; however, it is unable to meet one of it is most important function, i.e. the
provision of food for the large expanding population. Cereals as wheat, teff, finger
millet, maize and others crop a resource of food and cash income. Not only these
cereal crop use as a cash income; but also khat production is the dominant uses as
the cash income for the households. Livestock production forms an integral part of
almost all farming systems in crop producing areas of the region and they used the
livestock as the complement of farm input and source of cash.
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3.2 Sampling Techniques and Sample Size
A multistage sampling technique was applied for the study, where in first step;
from Asella city and Dosha kebele was selected purposively to analysis food
insecurity issue in the kebele and to know food security status of the kebele.
Then at the second step, a total of two gots are selected by using simple random
sampling. Then Slovin’s sampling formula with 95 percent confidence level had
been used to determine sample respondents.
N =190+250
N =440 households:
n= 440__ = 209
1+440 (0.05) ²
The above formula shows that the actual sample size for this study is 209 but due
to time and budget, we reduced the sample size into 130. A total of 130 households
were selected through two stage probability sampling. Two got were selected
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randomly from the kebele. Thereafter, the required sample size was shared among
those selected gots using probability proportional to size method. Then the sample
households in the got were selected by using systematic random sampling
technique from the two gots.
Purposively
Dosha kebele
Household selected
Both qualitative and quantitative data were collected from primary and
secondary sources to identify important variable that affect household food
security. Thus, primary data were obtained from sample respondents by using
structured questionnaire. Qualitative data were gathered from group discussion.
Secondary data were collected from published and unpublished materials related
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to subject. It was the main source of information because it indicates the past and
the present food security.
The main data were collected for this study include household demographic
characteristics, socio economic characteristics, income source, livestock
ownership, land size and access to credit service.
Income expenditure method was used to measure house hold food security in
the study area. This method included food and non-food expenditure to identify the
house hold that spends more for food by evaluating the collected data from the
respondents from interviewed method.
After the data had been collected from sample respondents by using income
expenditure method, the results obtained was compared with the income of the
house hold that purchase 252kg/head cereal per year. The household who has the
income to purchase 252kg/head per year excluding non-food expenditure were
categorized as food secure and those households whose income purchase less than
252kg/head per year are considered as food insecure.
After food secure and insecure households are identified; the next step was data
analysis. The data were analyzed by Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS)
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version 20.0. SPSS were used to analyze descriptive statistics such as frequencies
and cross tabulation to generate tabulated reports, charts; and to analyze factors
influencing for house hold food insecurity in the study area. T-test; and Chi square
tests were also used to indicate the significance of continuous and discrete
variables on household food security, respectively. Descriptive statistic such as
percentage, mean, minimum, maximum, standard deviation, bar charts, table and
pie charts were used.
I were also used the binary probit regression model to test proposed hypothesis
and to reveal the marginal effect of different variables on house hold food
insecurity. This model used binary or dichotomous variables as its name indicates
like food secured and food insecure in our subject matter.
Mathematical expression of the model
p
Ln 0 1 xi1 2 xi 2 .... k xik u i
1 p (Gujararti, 2004)
Where
ui=error term
In this study the explanatory variables those were included in the model are :
X1 = Age of Household Head (AHH).
X2 = Educational level of house hold head
X3=Family size
X4=Dependency ratio of household
X5 = Land size (LS) in hectare
X6=Use of arm input (1=yes, 0=no)
X7=Only On-farm income activity (Income source of household) (If yes =1,
otherwise= 0)
X8=Livestock ownership
X9= Credit Access (if yes =1, otherwise= 0)
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3.5 Hypothesis
The dependent variable in this study is Household Food Insecurity (HFI) status.
House hold food insecurity was hypothesized to be a function consisting of the
following components.
HFI=f(Age of house hold head, educational level of house hold, family size,
dependency ratio, income source , livestock ownership, use of farm inputs, farm
land size, credit access).
Family size (FS): It is an important variable, which determines the household food
insecurity status in the study area. As the family size increases, the number of
mouths to be fed obviously increases which shares the available food in the
household. Hence, it is hypothesized that family size and food insecurity in the
study area are positively related.
Farm land size (LS): Farm size is the total area of land cultivated to food and
cash crop by households, measured in hectares. Positive relationship has been
established between farm size and improvement in households’ income and food
security (Jayne et al., 2005). The larger the farm size of the household, the higher
22
the expected level of food production. It is, therefore, expected of a household with
a larger farm size to be more food secure than a household with a smaller farm
size, all things being equal. Hence the expected effect on food security is positive.
Livestock ownership (LO): Households who own livestock have good food
security status as well as sustainable farming (Ramakrishna and Assefa,
2002).Negative correlation is expected between livestock ownership and house
hold food insecurity.
Source of house hold Income (IS): This refers to the sum of earnings of
household from off-farm, non-farm and on-farm sources (Babatunde el al., 2007).
According to Arene and Anyaeji (2010), the more household head engage in
gainful employment, the higher he/she earns income and the greater the chances of
being food secure. The income is expected to increase household’s food production
and access to more quantity and quality food. The expected effect on food
insecurity is, therefore, negative.
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Use of farm inputs (chemical fertilizer and high yield variety (HYV)): This
variable refers to use of chemical fertilizer such as DAP, UREA, HYV, pesticide
and herbicide. The amount of farm input (improved inputs) used was converted to
monetary value based on market price during last year farming season. A
household who could have used farm inputs (chemical fertilizer and HYV) was
hypothesized to have negative relation with food insecurity status
(GeneneTsegaye, 2006).
Credit access (CA): Credit serves as a means to boost production and expand
income generating activities (Devereux, 2001). Thus, a household which has
access to credit does initiate investment in farm and non-farm activities and
achieve food security. Thus, it is hypothesized that credit access has negative
relation with household food insecurity.
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CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
This chapter includes all the objectives of the study in relation to different
socio-economic variables. It mainly contains three major sections: food security
status of households, determinants of household food security status and major
coping strategies practiced by food insecure households, and also the
responsiveness of the independent variable for food insecurity of the household.
It has been used household income and the amount they outlay to purchase the
food per head to measure household food insecurity in the study area. To identify
food secured and food insecured households, I did the following activities: I
collected the income, total and nonfood expenditure of the household from my
respondents after that I computed the food expenditure of the household by using
compute variables in SPSS. Then, I were identified the general price in current
price in the market in the time of survey for the most dominant crop in the study
area what they produced, and then I divided the amount of food expenditure of
each household by general price to get the amount of cereal they able to purchase
per household per year. But, I needed the amount of cereal per head per year to
identified the household whether food insecure or not, so the needed amount of
cereal per head per year was computed by dividing the amount of cereal per
household per year to family size. As a result, as shown from table 4.1, my survey
resulted as, 60 (46.2 %) and 70 (53.8 %) respondents were identified as food
secure and food insecure respectively. This means, from our 130 sample
25
respondents 60 (46.2 %) have been incomes that enable to purchase above and 252
kg/head/year, whereas 70 (53.8 %) of my respondent have not been incomes that
enables to purchase 252 kg/head/year.
Frequency Percent
food
60 46.2
secure
food
70 53.8
insecure
Total 130 100.0
age of
22.00 72.00 46.7385 1.09950 12.53618 157.156
household
Family size 2.00 9.00 4.9769 .14174 1.61613 2.612
dependency
.00 2.50 .8162 .05422 .61822 .382
ratio
land size .00 3.00 1.3691 .06756 .77027 .593
26
livestock
.00 9.15 3.3893 .14495 1.65267 2.731
ownership
27
FSHH 2.63***
DRH 4.97 ( 1.62 ) -1.13 4.36 (1.74 ) 0.27
LSHH 4.24***
LOHH 0.82 ( 0.62) -0.47 0.56 ( 0.65) 0.10
4.72***
1.37 ( 0.77) 0.20 1.38 ( .77 ) 0.14
-0.138 (NS)
3.13 (1.58) 1.90 3.49 ( 1.33 ) 0.24
2.413(NS)
` Source: own survey (2016)
From the result in Table above, the minimum and maximum age of the food
insecure households were 22 and 72 years respectively; on the other hand, 22 and
70 years for food secure households respectively. The mean ages of the food
insecure respondents were 49.35 and the food secured respondent also 43.68 years
with standard deviation of 12.9 years for food insecure and 11.43 years for food
secure households. This result indicates that the food secured households are
relatively younger than the food insecure households. The standard deviation of the
food insecure households were relatively higher than food secure households, this
indicates that relatively more inactive (the age > 64 ) households were
concentrated in households those were considered as food insecure.
I intended to analyze whether there is significant difference due to family size
between food secure and food insecure households. The minimum and maximum
family size was 2 and 9 for food insecure households respectively; whereas, the
minimum and maximum family size for food secure households were 2 and 7 in
number respectively. The mean number of family size of food insecure households
was 5.5 with standard deviation of 1.74 and for food secure households 4.36 and
28
1.2, respectively (see table 4. 2). The independent t-test shows that there is a
significant difference between food insecure and food secure households due to
the number of family size at p=0.00 significant level.
The result in Table 4.2 above indicates that the minimum and maximum number
of dependent ratio for food insecure households were 0 and 2.5 with mean and
standard deviation of 1.0 and 0.65, respectively. For the case of food secure
households the minimum and maximum dependents were 0 and 2 with mean 0.56
and standard deviation 0.45, respectively. The independent t-test between the food
insecure and the food secured households shows significant difference in the
presence of dependent members with in the family at p value of <0.05 significant
levels. The presence of dependent members within the household is challenging for
household food security because those inactive age groups don’t have contribution
for income generation. Simply, their role is creating high demand for food and non
food items within the household. As a result, dependency ratio is factor for
household food security.
Table 4.2 reveals the situation of distribution of land holdings in the study area.
The land holding of the sample respondents ranges from 0 to 3 hectare for food
insecure households and 0 to 2.8 hectare for food secure households. The average
land size owned by food insecure households were 1.36 hectare with standard
deviation of 0.77 hectare; whereas, 1.37 hectare with standard deviation of 0.76
hectare for food secure households. From the table, I observe that maximum land
holding from sample respondents found in food insecurity situation. This indicates
that, even if the household holds the large land size they could not attain their food
secure status. Because, beside of land size there were another factors those were
affect the productivity of land like, use of farm input, educational level and off
farm activity of households The independent t-test shows there is no a significant
29
difference between the mean size of land holding with the food insecure and the
food secured households at p value of 0.846 significance level.
The maximum number of livestock ownership in TLU for food insecure and
food secure households were 5.63 and 9.18 respectively (see table 4.2). The
average number of livestock owned by food insecure household was 2.83 and 3.48
for food insecure households in TLU. Mostly the farmers those have been involved
in mango and chat production; as a result, they didn’t have livestock for
cultivation because of shortage of land, use of hand tools (such as hoe, ) and their
own labor force and by daily laborer for their farm activity. But the household who
have been land and involved in cereal production have livestock’s used as
complementary for farm their farm activity and as source of cash to purchase farm
inputs (like, fertilizer, herbicide, pesticide and improved seeds)..
As the survey result indicated that 81(62.3%) households were male headed;
whereas, 49(37.7%) were female headed households. Among male headed
households 44(54.32%) and 37 (45.67%) were found to be food insecure and food
secure, respectively; on the other hand, 23 (46.9%) and 26(53.07%) were food
secure and food insecure from female headed households, respectively. The
Pearson χ2-square test of association shows that there is no a significant difference
between the sex compositions and the food security status.
30
Food insecurity of Total Chi-
household square
food food
secure insecure
0. 19
sex of Female 23 26 49
(NS)
household
Male 37 44 81
Total 60 70 130
From 130 households interviewed, 33.07 % (43) households were illiterate and
66.92 % (87) were literate (Primary 48(36.9%), secondary 16(12.3%) and informal
23(17.7%). The Pearson χ2-square test of association shows that there is a
significant difference between the educational statuses of the household heads and
the food security status of the households at p<0.05 significant level.
31
17.80
Illiterate 11 32 43
(Ns)
primary( grade1
Educational level 29 19 48
_8)
of hh
secondary and
12 4 16
above
Informal 8 15 23
Total 60 70 130
32
food food
secure insecure
farm input No 3 63 66 93.39***
use Yes 57 7 64
Total 60 70 130
The survey result revealed that 71(54.6%) household from respondents involved
in off farm activity further than on farm activity, but 59 (45.4%) of household
involved in on farm activity for their livelihood. There is significance difference in
involving in off farm activity between food secure and in secure activity at <0.05 p
value.
33
Credit plays an important role for household food security. Among 130
households, 65(50%) were users credit access; whereas, 65(50%) were not used of
credit access. Among the users of credit access, 53 (88.33 %) and 12 (17.14%)
household were found food secure and food insecure, respectively. In the other
hand, from non users of credit access 58(82.85%) and 7(11.66%) households were
found as food insecure and food secure, respectively. The Pearson χ2-square test of
association showed that there is a significant difference between the users and non-
users of credit access in the food security status. The household, who obtained
credit access, could be productive because as the collected data indicated that they
used for purchase of farm input, to pay tax and debt, to purchase livestock, for
petty trade and household consumption. This increase and diversify the income of
households from different sources. It also saved the livestock to be sold at the time
of food shortage and increase farm output obtained from agriculture because of
farm input application. Unless the credit is used for productive activity, the needs
of the household towards food security cannot be achieved because some
household heads used the credit for other non-productive activity.
34
food food
secure insecure
Credit service No 7 58 65
of hh Yes 53 12 65 65.49***
Total 60 70 130
This measured or done by using probit model and the result of this model in the
survey is as follows with brief and short explanation.
| Standard Prob.
FOOINS Coefficient Error z |z|>Z*
--------+-------------------------------------------------------------
|
Constant| 1.64247 1.76386 .93 .3518
AHH| .01251 .03738 .33 .7379
INFORMAL| 1.54985 1.09524 1.42 .1570
PRIMARY| .04198 .94734 .04 .9647
HAABOVE| .35070 1.33074 .26 .7921
FS| .41080 .30855 1.33 .1831
DR| -.17519 .67647 -.26 .7957
LS| -.66963 .59149 -1.13 .2576
UFI| -2.69731*** .76095 -3.54 .0004
35
ISHH| -1.82294** .92180 1.98 .0480
LOHH| -.41480* .22339 -1.86 .0633
CS| -2.31260*** .80494 -2.87 .0041
--------+-------------------------------------------------------------
Note: ***, **, * ==>Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.
Source: Own Survey (2016).
The interpretation for the above survey result with enough explanation is as
follows. As I have seen from the above table from nine variables what I have used
only four were found that significantly affect the food insecurity of the household.
These are use of farm input, livestock ownership in TLU, income source of
household, and credit access were significantly affect at less than 0.1 p value and
the following explanation were focused in those significant variables .As I depicted
in the above table the coefficient of use of farm input is negatively related with
food insecurity statistically significant at 0.01 p value. This means the household
who used farm input (pesticide, herbicide & fertilizer) could increase his
production and productivity of crop production and improve the food security
status of his family. Therefore, other things being constant when the household
increase the use of farm input by one unit the household being food insecure is
decreased by 2.69 coefficients.
The coefficient of income source of household (off farm activity) in the above
table is negative. So, income source (off farm activity) of household is negatively
related with food insecurity statistically significant at 0.05 p value. Evolving off
farm activity makes the household to diversify the income source and to minimize
the risks and uncertainties of crop production; thereby the household who involved
in off farm activity could maintain the food security rather than not involved.
36
The coefficient of livestock ownership in TLU is negatively related statistically
significant at p<0.1 significant level. Household food insecurity and number of
livestock in TLU owned is negatively related. As the data I obtained from
household interview, sale of livestock is the dominant coping strategy of food
insecure households to cope the problem food shortage and also they sale their
livestock for purchasing farm input (pesticide, herbicide & fertilizer) as well as for
repay their credit. This reduces the sale of crop produce for that purpose livestock
is an important source of income generation and used as complementary in crop
production. The probability of being food insecure is decreased by 0.041 when the
household own one more livestock in TLU by keeping other variables constant.
The coefficient of credit access in the result was negatively related with food
insecurity of household statistically significant at < 0.05 p value. This means, when
the household uses the credit access, who can be involved in off farm and nonfarm
activity and as a result diversify his income source and minimize the food shortage
problem of his family. In addition to that, the household can purchase the farm
input and increase the crop production even if the household have small cultivate
land. Thus, other things being constant when the farmer uses one more credit
access his food insecurity decreased by 2.31 coefficients.
37
AHH| .00071 .00213 .33 .7383
INFORMAL| .09961 .07422 1.34 .1796
PRIMARY| .00240 .05431 .04 .9648
HAABOVE| .02034 .07860 .26 .7958
FS| .02340 .01713 1.37 .1718
DR| .00998 .03833 -.26 .7946
LS| -.03815 .03324 -1.15 .2511
UFI| -.33256*** .12617 -2.64 .0084
ISHH| .11858** .05687 2.08 .0371
LOHH| -.02363* .01212 -1.95 .0513
CS| -.23046*** .08307 -2.77 .0055
--------+--------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: ***, **, * ==>Significance at 1%, 5%, 10% level.
Source: own survey (2016)
As I have discussed in the above table, from the result of the Probit model our
dependant (food insecurity) variable was significantly affected by the following
explanatory (independent) variables.
Use of farm Input: when the farmer uses one more farm input (pesticide,
herbicide and fertilizer) the food insecurity of household affected (decrease) by 23
percent but other things being constant.
Income Source of Household: Household income source affects food insecurity
negatively at 5 percent probability level. Thus, when the farmer involves in one
more off farm activity the food insecurity decreases by 11.8 percent but other
things being constant.
Livestock Ownership of Household: This also affects food insecurity negatively
at < 0.1 p value. Thus, when the farmer have one more livestock in TlU the
38
household’s food insecurity decreases by 2 percent, but other things being
constant.
Credit Access: The use of credit access is also negatively affecting the food
insecurity of household. Therefore, other things being constant when the house
hold uses credit access his food insecurity decrease by 23 percent.
Coping strategy is a strategy in which the people use during food shortage.
Various coping strategies were analyzed that enabled households to cope food
shortage. Those identified coping strategies were ranked based on the household
choice during interview. The coping strategy in which food insecure households
followed were classified in to two stages with three choices for each at the time of
household interview. These are at the initial stage of food shortage and at the
severe stage of food shortage with first choice, second choice and third choice for
each stage. From the interviewed result, the following coping strategies were
identified from households. These are; sale of small ruminants (like sheep),
borrowing grains & cash from relatives, and selling chat and purchase cereals for
food are their strategies used by households at the initial stage of food shortage.
They also followed different coping strategies when the problem of food shortage
is severe. Among the strategies, sales of large ruminants (like cattle), selling
equines, and reduce size of the meal were identified as the major coping strategy
practiced by food insecure households at sever stage. According to the information
obtained from respondents who were included in our studies in Dosha Kebele the
following coping strategies were practiced in addition to the above coping
strategies. These are; daily laborer, and sale of cash crops especially mango and
39
chat, consuming crop surplus rather than selling at market, selling more livestock’s
than usual ,ate seasonal food and they are outside the social obligation (like,
Mahiber and Teskar) are the major coping mechanismed by households. These are;
coping strategies obtained from household interview were presented in the
following chart for simplification. The table below presents range of coping
strategies chosen by the household as 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, at the initial stage and at
severe stage.
Total 70 100.0
Source: own survey (2016)
40
Strategies Frequency Percent (%) Cumulative
percent
1st, Sale large ruminants 27 38.57 38.57
2nd, Sale of equines 23 32.8 71.4
3rd, Reduce size of mill 20 28.57 100
Total 70 100
5.1 Conclusions
Food insecurity is the most crucial and persistent problem facing millions of rural
households in Ethiopia. Even though the country has considerable agricultural
potential, more than half of its rural households are unable to feed themselves
throughout the year and yet food availability in the country is largely determined
by domestic staple food production by subsistence agriculture. The objective of
this finding was that assessment of food insecurity status, determinants of
household food insecurity, measure the marginal effect of the explanatory variable
41
and coping strategies practiced by food insecure households. Household income
and expenditure for food with binary probit model were used to address the
objective of this study.
This study has shown that more than half of the respondent 70 (53.8%) of
households in the study area ( Dosha Kebele) were food insecure during the period
of the survey.
Age of the household head, educational status, family size, land size, dependency
ratio, farm input use , credit access, on farm income and livestock ownership in
TLU were included in the model.
Consistent with a priori expectation and findings from previous studies, land size,
use of farm input, off-farm income activity (income source of household) and
credit access were found to significantly influence household food insecurity in the
study area negatively. However, household’s size, dependency ratio, and age of
household head were found to influence food insecurity positively at the household
level. Contrary to a priori expectation, educational level of the household head was
found to be statistically insignificant in explaining the food insecurity situation at
the household level.
Two stage copying strategy (initial and severe stage) were identified in the study
area for food insecure households. Those are; sale of small ruminant & poultry,
sale chat & purchase cereal for food, and borrow grain & cash from relatives are at
initial stage and, sale of large ruminants, sale of equines, and reduce the size of
mill are at sever stage in order.
5.2 Recommendation
In the light of the findings from the study, I recommended the following;
42
1. Efforts to improve access to credit by farmers and the promotion of off-farm
activities as alternative livelihood options should be pursued by both local and
central government structures in Ethiopia to improve the household food security
situation in rural Kebele. Policies that will make micro-credit from government
and non-governmental agencies accessible to rural farmers will go a long way in
addressing their resource acquisition constraints and eventually improving
household food insecurity level in the country.
2. As family size and food insecurity are positively related serious attention has to
be given to limit the increasing population in the study area. This can be achieved
by creating sufficient awareness to household family planning through extension
service in the rural [Link], the ever-shrinking productive resources
in the study area coupled with increasing population would hamper any
development intervention from achieving its objectives.
3. As the survey result indicated, even though there is off farm activity movement
in the study area and it have been significance effect on household food insecurity
it is not enough to eradicate the food shortage problem in the area. Therefore, the
government should be facilitating by providing the financial and technical support
in the area. As a result the farmers should diversify their income source through
involved in different activities.
43
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APPENDEXES
50
Interviewing questionnaire prepared for determinants of rural household food
security in Dosha Kebele
1. Name of household head: _______________
2. Kebele
3. Age of HHH: _______
4. Sex of household head: [Link] [Link]
[Link] is your Educational status?
1. Can not read and write
2. Primary(grade1-6)
3. Junior(grade 7-8)
4. Secondary and above
5. Informal education
6. Marital status: [Link] [Link] 3. Divorced [Link]
7 Total number of family size ____
51
8
9
Asset possession of households
10. Do you have your own land for cropping and capture? 1= yes 2 =no
52
Crop Yiel Did you sale the crop Amount of
d last production season? income
1. Yes 2. No obtained
Chat
Bean
Pea
Others
Total
53
9 Bull
10 Heifer
11 Other (Specify)
Total
Source of household Income
17. What are your major sources of household income? (Rank if the response is
multiple answers).
1. On- farm [Link] -farm [Link]- farm
18. Have you earn income from the following sources? Indicate in the table below
No Income source Yes No Monthly Annual
income in income in
Birr Birr
1 Farm income
1.1 Sale of crop produce
2. Off farm
2.1 Daily laborer in
agriculture,labour
3 Non-farm
3.1 Hand craft
3.2 Construction work
54
No Income source Yes No Monthly Annual
income in income in
Birr Birr
3.3 Sale of Charcoal and Fire
wood
( collection)
3.4 Petty trade
3.5 Sale of local
drink(tella,areke,&tej) and
food(kolo,bread)
3.6 Weaving
4. Remittance
5. Other
6 Total
29. Household Expenditure
55
seed
6.3 Purchase of chemicals
6.4 Farm labor
6.5 Purchase of farm tools
6.6 AI service
6.7 Tax for the land
6.8 Veterinary service
6.9 Other farm expenditures
7 Food expenditures
7.1 Purchase of cereals
7.2 Purchase of oil
7.3 Purchase of small
ruminants ( for
household consumption)
7.4 Purchase of poultry ….
7.5 Purchase of fruit,
vegetable,
coffee,onion,tea,chat...
7.6 Purchase of sugar, salt….
8 Others
Total Non-food expenditure
expenditure Food expenditure
20. Have you received credit service from lenders? 1. Yes 2. No
21. If yes for question 20 for what purpose did you spend? Justify
56
2. HH consumption
3. To pays tax and debts
4. Purchase of livestock
5. Other(specify) ___________
22. If you say no for 20 why 1. No access to credit 2. High interest rate 3. Fear of
inability to pay 4. Lack of awareness 5. Other (Specify)________________
57
1 ____________ 8. Ate less preferred food
2 ____________ [Link] of agricultural tools
At severe stage 3 ____________ [Link] discontinue from school
of a food 4 ____________ [Link] laboring
shortage 5 ____________ [Link] in petty trade
13. Others, specify (Daily laborer)
58