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Quantitative Research Methods in Economics

The document outlines two courses in the Economics program: Quantitative Methods and Economic Development and Policy in India. The Quantitative Methods course focuses on tools for conducting quantitative research, including causal inference and data analysis using software like R and Python, while the Economic Development course examines economic issues in India, emphasizing contemporary debates and policy-making. Both courses aim to equip students with analytical skills and foundational knowledge for independent research in their respective fields.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
19 views5 pages

Quantitative Research Methods in Economics

The document outlines two courses in the Economics program: Quantitative Methods and Economic Development and Policy in India. The Quantitative Methods course focuses on tools for conducting quantitative research, including causal inference and data analysis using software like R and Python, while the Economic Development course examines economic issues in India, emphasizing contemporary debates and policy-making. Both courses aim to equip students with analytical skills and foundational knowledge for independent research in their respective fields.

Uploaded by

saxenadhuruv05
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

Appendix-62

Resolution No. 7-12

Semester VII Economics (H)

6.19 Quantitative Methods

Duration (per week)


Eligibility
Course title Credits Prerequisite
Practical Criteria
Lecture Tutorial
Quantitative
Methods 4 3 0 1 Class 12th NIL
ECON019

Learning Objectives

• This course will equip students with the necessary tools to conduct quantitative research, with a
strong emphasis on causal inference, regression techniques, time-series analysis and big data
applications.
• Students will also gain hands-on experience with empirical datasets related to India and learn how
to analyse them using accessible software such as R, Python, STATA etc.

Learning outcomes

• Students will be able to analyse data patterns and answer questions about causality in observed data
correlations.
• Students will get a foundation for independent research using the tools taught in the course.

Syllabus

UNIT I: Methods of Causal Inference (15 hours)


Causality vs. Correlation, Potential Outcomes Framework, Randomized Control Trials (RCTs),
Instrumental Variables (IV), Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD), Difference-in-Differences (DiD),
Matching Methods (Propensity Score Matching, Synthetic Controls), Case Studies and Applications

UNIT II: Regression with Panel Data and Binary Dependent Variables (11 hours)
Pooled OLS vs Panel Data Models, Fixed Effects vs Random Effects Models, Linear Probability Model
(LPM) and its Limitations, Logit and Probit Models, High-dimensional and high frequency data and its
applications in economic research.

UNIT III: Analysis of Time-Series Data (10 hours)


Stationarity and Unit Roots, Autoregressive(AR) and Moving Average(MA) Models, ARIMA Models and
Forecasting, Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Impulse Response Functions, Cointegration and Error
Correction Models, Structural Breaks and Policy Impact Analysis

UNIT IV: Data Collection, Textual Data, Network Data and Spatial Data (9 hours)
Primary vs. Secondary Data, Survey Design and Sampling, Understanding Economic and Social Datasets,
Introduction to Unstructured Data, Text as Data: Sentiment Analysis, Topic Modeling, Network Analysis in
Economics, Spatial Data and Geographic Information Systems (GIS), Applications in Development
Economics and Political Economy.

Practical & Lab Sessions: Introduction to a software like R/Python etc (Data Wrangling, Visualization,
Regression Analysis), Working with Large Datasets (Census, NSS, NFHS, Satellite Data, etc.), Empirical
Project: Analyzing a Research Question Using Real Data, Replication of Empirical Papers Using Indian
Data Sources

1
Recommended Readings:

• Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S, Mastering Metrics (2014)


• Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. Mostly Harmless Econometrics, Princeton University Press. (2014)
• Athey & Imbens : Machine Learning Methods that Economists Should Know About (2019)
• Census of India, NSS, NFHS Data
• Chernozhukov, Hansen, Kallus, Splindler and Syrgkanis: Applied Causal Inference Powered by ML
and AI (2025)
• Cunningham, S. Causal inference: The Mixtape (2018)
• Donaldson & Storeygard: The View from Above: Applications of Satellite Data in Economics
(2016)
• Gelman, Hill & Vehtari: Regression and Other Stories (2021)
• Glennerster & Takavarasha: Running Randomized Evaluations (2014)
• Huntington-Klein, N. The effect: An introduction to research design and causality. Chapman and
Hall/CRC (2021)
• Irizarry: Introduction to Data Science with R (2024)
• RBI, IMF, and World Bank Datasets
• Remote Sensing and Satellite Data for Economic Research
• Sargent & Stachurski, A First Course in Quantitative Economics with Python
• Stock & Watson:Introduction to Econometrics (2020)
• Wooldridge: Introductory Econometrics (2019)

2
Semester VIII Economics (H)

6.20 Economic Development and Policy in India

Duration (per week)


Course title Eligibility
Credits Prerequisite
& Code Practical/ Criteria
Lecture Tutorial
Practice
Economic
Development
and Policy in 4 3 1 0 Class 12th NIL
India –
ECON020

Learning Objectives

The Learning Objectives of this course are as follows:


• This course will provide an introduction to economic issues related to the Indian economy by
familiarizing them with the research studies on in the area of economic development and policy
in India with an emphasis on contemporary debates.
• In particular, the course will help students to understand the application of economic theory,
and the statistical and econometric techniques that they are taught in other courses.
• The readings provided are indicative. They would depend each year on the nature of current
policy discourse.

Learning outcomes

The Learning outcomes of this course are as follows:


• Students will have ability to explore current policy debates and contribute to policy- making in an
informed way using relevant databases.
• They will also learn how to conduct independent research in these areas.

Syllabus

UNIT I: Development Policy and Experience (10 hours)


Inequalities, health and nutrition, education

UNIT II: Policies and performance in agriculture (15 hours)


Growth; productivity; agrarian structure and technology; pricing, procurement and farm incomes; food
security; agricultural trade.

UNIT III: Policies and performance in industry and services (10 hours)
Growth; productivity; structural changes; diversification; industrial labour

UNIT IV: Globalization, International agreements and climate change (10 hours).

Recommended Readings:
● Kumar, Dharma (2005) ed. CEHI Vol II, revised version, the article on ”The Indian Economy
1970 to 2003”.
● Subramanian, Arvind and Rodrik, Dani (2005). From Hindu Rate of Growth to Productivity
Surge: The Mystery of the Indian Growth Transition IMF Staff Papers Vol 52, No 2.
● Bhattacharjea, Aditya (2022). Industrial Policy in India Since Independence. Indian Economic
Review. Vol.57 pp 567-598.

3
● Lamba, Rohit and A. Subramanian (2020) “Dynamism with Incommensurate Development:
The Distinctive Indian Model” Journal of Economic Perspectives Volume 34, Number 1
(Winter 2020), p.3–30.
● Kumar, M. and Jha, P. (2025). "India After 75 Years of Independence: Reflections on
Development and Persistent Challenges," Agrarian South: Journal of Political Economy, vol.
14(2)
● Aiyar, A., Rahman, A., & Pingali, P. (2021). India’s rural transformation and rising obesity
burden. World Development, 138, 105258.
● Meenakshi, J. V., (2016), “Trends and patterns in the triple burden of malnutrition in India”,
Agricultural Economics, 47(S1), 115-134.
● Kingdon, G.G. (2020). The private schooling phenomenon in India: A review. The Journal of
Development Studies, 56 (10), 1795-1817
● Das, V. K. (2016). Agricultural Productivity Growth In India: An Analysis Accounting For
Different Land Types. The Journal of Developing Areas, 50(2), 349–366.
[Link]
● CHAND, R. (2012). Development Policies and Agricultural Markets. Economic and Political
Weekly, 47(52), 53–63. [Link]
● Ghosh, J. and C.P. Chandrasekhar (2009), The costs of ‘coupling’: the global crisis and
the Indian economy, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Volume 33, Issue 4, July 2009, p. 725–
739.
● Sekhar, C. S. C. & Thapa, N. (2023). Rural market imperfections in India: Revisiting old
debates with new evidence. Development Policy Review, 00, e12708.
[Link]
● Acharya, Rajat (2012), “India’s Trade and Exchange-Rate Policies: Understanding the Bop
Crisis and the Reforms Thereafter” in Ghate, Chetan (ed.), The Oxford Handbook of Indian
Economy, Oxford University Press.
● Dev, M. (2018) Transformation of Indian Agriculture? Growth, Inclusiveness and
Sustainability. Working paper 2018-026, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research,
Mumbai.
● Thakur, A. N. (2023). Public Procurement, Land Ownership and Agricultural Price Variation
Across States: The Case of Paddy Cultivation in India. Agrarian South: Journal of Political
Economy, 12(3), 319-351. [Link]
● Birthal, P. Negi, D. Khan, Md. and Agarwal, S. (2015): Is Indian agriculture be- coming
resilient to droughts? Evidence from rice production systems, Food Policy vol. 56, p. 1-12.
● Nagaraj, R. (2017), Economic Reforms and Manufacturing Sector Growth. Economic and
Political Weekly.
● Mukherjee, Deeparghya (2021) Is India Moving Up the Global Value Chain? A Sectoral Study
of Indian Exports. Economic and Political Weekly, 56(20), 12-15.
● Basu, Deepankar and Das, Debarshi, Profitability in India’s Organized Manufacturing Sector:
The Role of Technology, Distribution and Demand, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Volume
42, Issue 1, January 2018, p. 137–153. [Link]
● Nayyar, Gaurav (2013). Inside the black box of services: evidence from India, Cambridge
Journal of Economics, Volume 37, Issue 1, January 2013, p. 143–170.
● Bhattacharjea, A. (2021), Labour market flexibility in Indian manufacturing: A critical survey
of the literature, International Labour Review, 160(2), 197-217.
● Das, S.; Ghate, C. and Robertson, P. (2015): Remoteness, urbanization and India’s unbalanced
growth, World Development, 66, February 2015, 572-287.
● Jayachandran, Seema (2017). Why are Indian children so short? The Role of Birth order and
Son Preference American Economic Review, September 2017, 17(9):2600- 2629.
● Gangopadhyay, S. Lensink, R. and Yadav, B. (2015): Cash or in-kind transfers? Evidence from
a randomised control trial in Delhi, India, Journal of Development Studies, 51 (6), 660-673.
● Banerjee, Abhijit, and Rohini Somanathan (2007) “The Political Economy of Public Goods:
Some Evidence from India” Journal of Development Economics 82 (2): 287–314.

4
● Chakrabarti, Saumya (2013) Interrogating inclusive growth: formal-informal duality,
complementarity, conflict Cambridge Journal of Economics, Volume 37, Issue 6, November
2013, p. 1349–1379.
● Sanga, P. and Shaban, A. (2017): Regional divergence and inequalities in India, Economic
and Political Weekly, 52 (1), January 7, 102-110.
● Suryanarayana, M (2012), Estimating Rural Poverty: Distributional Outcomes, Evaluations,
and Policy Responses in Ghate, Chetan (ed.), The Oxford Handbook of Indian Economy,
Oxford University Press.
● Jayaraj and Subramanian (2010), “Distribution of household wealth in India” in, Jayaraj and
Subramanian (eds.) Poverty, Inequality and Population Oxford University Press.
● Jayaraj and Subramanian (2010) Poverty, Inequality and Population. Oxford University Press.
● Juneja, R., Roy, R., & Gulati, A. (2021). Indian Agriculture@ 75: Past achievements and
future challenges. Indian Public Policy Review, 2(6 (Nov-Dec)), 1-18.
● Jha, P., Verma, S., & Kumar, M. (2021). Contours of food security challenges in neo-liberal
India. In T. Lima & A. Costantino (Eds.), Food security and international relations: Critical
perspectives from the Global South (pp. 25–56). ibidem-Verlag. Brazil.
● Kumar A, Mishra A, Saroj S and Joshi P K (2017) Institutional versus non -institutional credit
to agricultural households in India: Evidence on impact from a national farmers survey.
Economic Systems,VOl 41, Issue 3, September 2017, pp420-432
[Link]
● Minten B, Reardon T, Sutradhar R(2010) Food price and modern retail. World Development
38(12), 1775-1787
● Chandra SR Nuthalapathi, Sutradhar R, Reardon T and Qaim M(2020)Supermarket prices and
farmgate prices in India World Development, pp1-14
● Sutradhar R, Nuthalapati C S R, Bellemare, M(2019)Whither the pin factory? Modern food
supply chains and specialization in India, Agricultural Economics, 50(4), 395-405
● Jayadev, A., & Narayan, A. (2020). The Evolution of India's Industrial Labour Share and Its
Correlates. Development and Change, 51(4), 998-1017.
● Deshpande, A., & Singh, J. (2021). Dropping out, being pushed out or can't get in? Decoding
declining labour force participation of Indian women.
● Chatterjee, E., Desai, S., & Vanneman, R. (2018). Indian Paradox: Rising Education, Declining
Womens’ Employment. Demographic Research, 38, 855.

Common questions

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Structural reforms and globalization have led to increased productivity, diversification, and competition within India's industrial sector, transforming it from a protectionist to a more open and dynamic sector. Empirical evidence indicates that these changes have resulted in accelerated growth, better integration into global value chains, and technology adoption. However, challenges persist in terms of labor market rigidity, regional disparities, and the need for continued policy support to bolster competitiveness and equitable development .

RCTs play a crucial role in validating public policy interventions by providing rigorous evidence on their effectiveness, enabling policymakers to make informed decisions based on empirical findings. In the Indian context, RCTs have been instrumental in areas like health, education, and social welfare. However, limitations include ethical considerations, limited generalizability of results, and the complexity of scaling successful pilots into full-fledged policies that consider local socio-economic variations .

Pricing and procurement policies are critical in stabilizing farmer incomes and ensuring food security in India. Support prices and government procurement serve as safety nets for farmers, protecting them against market volatility. However, these policies can sometimes lead to market distortions, inefficiencies, and fiscal burdens. Balancing these policies to enhance market efficiency, align incentives, and ensure equitable distribution is essential for sustainable agricultural growth and food security .

Inequalities in health, nutrition, and education create significant barriers to human capital development, perpetuating cycles of poverty and limiting economic growth and development outcomes. These disparities necessitate targeted development policies that address the underlying social determinants of inequality. Successful interventions require an integrated approach that aligns educational reforms, nutritional programs, and health innovations to promote equitable access and opportunities, ultimately improving overall socio-economic development prospects .

RCTs enhance the reliability of causal inference by randomly assigning participants to treatment or control groups, which minimizes selection bias and ensures that the groups are comparable on all observed and unobserved characteristics. This randomization allows for a clearer attribution of observed outcomes to the treatment, thus providing a more robust estimate of the causal effect compared to observational studies which may be confounded by hidden variables .

Technology plays a pivotal role in tackling the triple burden of malnutrition (undernutrition, micronutrient deficiencies, and overnutrition) by enhancing food production, facilitating nutritional education, and improving access to dietary supplements. Innovative approaches like biofortification, mobile health applications for nutritional tracking, and digital infrastructure for food distribution can be integrated into current policies. Aligning technology with community-based programs and leveraging public-private partnerships can amplify impact, improve nutritional outcomes, and foster sustainable development .

Fixed effects models focus on examining the relationship between variables within an entity (e.g., a country or company) by removing the effects of time-invariant characteristics, thus capturing the net effect of the variables of interest. In contrast, random effects models assume that the entity-specific effects are random and uncorrelated with the independent variables, benefiting from greater efficiency and utilizing both within-entity and between-entity variations. Choosing between these models can affect interpretations and appropriateness of findings; fixed effects are preferable when entity-specific characteristics are correlated with the independent variables, whereas random effects may be chosen for efficiency when such correlations do not exist .

Text data, such as sentiment analysis and topic modeling, can be used to assess public opinions and policy impacts in economic analysis, thus providing insights into market trends, consumer preferences, and policymaker discourse. Network data can analyze the relationships and interactions between economic agents, revealing the dynamics of trade networks, information dissemination, and social economies. In development and political economy, these methods can identify influential actors, the flow of resources, and the impact of political networks on economic policies, which are crucial for evidence-based decision-making and policy formulation .

Causality refers to a relationship where one event (the cause) leads to another event (the effect), whereas correlation simply indicates a statistical association without implying a cause-effect relationship. The potential outcomes framework aids in addressing these distinctions by defining causal effects in terms of potential outcomes under different scenarios, allowing for conceptual clarity in causal inference. This framework helps evaluate counterfactual claims by comparing what happened with what could have happened under a different set of circumstances, thus enabling researchers to distinguish between mere correlations and genuine causal relationships .

High-frequency and high-dimensional data offer granular insights and the potential for real-time policy analysis and decision-making, enhancing the precision of economic models. However, they pose challenges such as computational complexity, issues of dimensionality in analysis, potential overfitting, and the need for sophisticated data processing techniques like machine learning algorithms. Handling such data requires carefully structured models and robust computational infrastructure to ensure meaningful and reliable analytical outcomes .

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