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Econometrics Exam Questions 2024

The document outlines the structure of the STA 3201 Introduction to Econometrics examination for the 2024/2025 academic year, including instructions for answering questions. It consists of four main questions covering topics such as regression models, hypothesis testing, and econometric analysis. Students are required to show their workings and may choose to answer any two questions in addition to the first.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
22 views5 pages

Econometrics Exam Questions 2024

The document outlines the structure of the STA 3201 Introduction to Econometrics examination for the 2024/2025 academic year, including instructions for answering questions. It consists of four main questions covering topics such as regression models, hypothesis testing, and econometric analysis. Students are required to show their workings and may choose to answer any two questions in addition to the first.

Uploaded by

faithmutune339
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

UNIVERSITY EXAMINATIONS: 2024/2025

SCHOOL OF BUSINESS
ORDINARY EXAMINATION FOR THE DEGREE OF BACHELOR OF
COMMERCE
STA 3201: INTRODUCTION TO ECONOMETRICS
DISTANCE LEARNING/WEEKEND
DATE: DECEMBER 2024 TIME: 2 HOURS

Answer Question ONE and Any other TWO


You must show your workings

QUESTION ONE (15 MARKS)

(a) Explain four reasons why it is important to include disturbance term in a regression model
(4 Marks)
(b) With illustration, discuss any three gaps left when econometricians solely relying on theories
to solve economic problems (3 Marks)
(c) The following data relates the expense of a spy (y) against the spy’s number of observations
(x). Use the data below to answer the questions that follow.
X 10 15 12 16 18 19 21 22 35 27

Y 30.1 30.2 30.7 40.3 40.0 50.5 60.7 70.1 70.4 100.6

(i) Compute the estimate for the slope and the constant for simple linear regression model of Y
on X. (6 marks)
(ii) Compute the total sum of squares and the sum of squares due to the error.
(5 Marks)

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(iii) Calculate the coefficient of determination using the sum of square and interpret its meaning.
(2 Marks)
QUESTION TWO (15 MARKS)

a) Explain with illustration the three approaches used in hypothesis testing given an α level of
significance (3 Marks)
b) Nyakach Foods supplies ready prepared potatoes for chips making to a fast-food company in
Nairobi. After an observation of revenue over the past 10 months is shown in the table below
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Revenue 12.2 17.9 25 30 53.4 78.5 86 95 99 110
in “000”

i) Generate a regression model of the form 𝑙𝑛( Revenue) = 𝑏0 + 𝑏1 Month to predict


profits and interpret the slope of the model. (7 marks)
ii) Test the hypothesis 𝐻0 : 𝛽1 = 0, 𝐻1 : 𝛽1 ≠ 0 and comment (5 marks)

QUESTION THREE (15 MARKS)

a) A researchers sought to investigated the determinants of firm stock price for the 51 firms
listed in Nairobi securities exchange from 2007 to 2016. In particular the quest, was to find
if firm characteristics namely, firm value, financial health, leverage, and liquidity have
influence on stock return. A total of 506 was observed. After the analysis using STATA
statistical software, the following output was generated.
Variable Coefficient Robust Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
Firm Value 0.22 0.02 9.53 0.00
Financial Health 0.11 0.02 X 0.00
Liquidity 0.39 Y 13.83 0.00
Leverage 3.19 0.37 8.68 0.00
C -1.37 0.18 -7.61 0.00
R-squared 0.84 Mean dependent variable 2.51
Adjusted R-squared Z S.D. dependent variable 2.22
S.E. of regression 0.89 Sum squared residuals 398.07
F-statistic 657.89 Durbin-Watson statistics 2.14
Prob(F-statistic) 0.00

(a) Write the regression model equation and interpret (5 marks)


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(b) To two decimal places, calculate the values of X, Y and Z (5 marks)
(c) Comment about the coefficient of determinations (2 marks)
(d) Give your comments with regard to test for autocorrelation (3 marks)

QUESTION FOUR (15 MARKS)

a) Express Cobb-Douglas production function given by: 𝑄(𝐿, 𝐾) = 𝛽0 𝐿𝛽1 𝐾𝛽2 𝑒 𝜀 , as linear model
function (where 𝛽0 ,𝛽1 and 𝛽2 are constants, 𝜀 is the error term and e is the natural logarithm

base) (3 Marks)
b) ABC Ltd supplies fertilizer to Lokichogio resident in Machakos county. The data on sales (in
thousands of shillings) made by sales person and the years with the company is as shown here:
Sales 49 45 27 64 19 44 35 24
Years 3 5 2 8 2 6 7 1
The estimated regression equation is
Sales = 20.1 + 4.3 Years
i) Construct a 95% confidence interval for the slope coefficient ( 1 ). (6 marks)

ii) Test for positive autocorrelation using the DW statistic. [Note: D L = 0.86 and DU =
1.23]. (6 marks)

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Common questions

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To compute the total sum of squares, you subtract the mean from each observed value, square the result, and sum it across all observations. The sum of squares due to error involves summing the squared differences between observed and predicted values by the model .

The Durbin-Watson statistic is used to detect the presence of autocorrelation in the residuals of a regression analysis. A value significantly less than 2 suggests positive autocorrelation, whereas a value significantly more than 2 suggests negative autocorrelation .

The coefficient of determination indicates the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variable(s). A high value suggests a strong relationship between the variables .

The Cobb-Douglas production function, Q(L,K) = β0L^β1K^β2 e^ε, can be linearized by taking logarithms, resulting in ln(Q) = ln(β0) + β1ln(L) + β2ln(K) + ε .

The disturbance term accounts for the randomness or unexplained variance in the model. It captures the effect of omitted variables, measurement errors, variations in model predictions, and helps in achieving unbiased estimations of the model coefficients .

Relying solely on economic theories can lead to gaps such as failure to account for real-world complexities, overlooking empirical data that contradicts theoretical predictions, and the inability to specify models that accurately predict outcomes .

Financial health, with a coefficient of 0.11, significantly and positively impacts stock returns, indicating that improvements in financial health lead to higher returns. The effect is statistically significant, reinforcing its importance in stock valuation .

To construct a confidence interval for a slope coefficient, one typically uses the standard error of the estimate, the critical t-value based on the desired confidence level, and the sample size to calculate the margin of error, applying it to the slope estimate .

Hypothesis testing in statistics involves defining null and alternative hypotheses, selecting a significance level (α), calculating the test statistic, and making a decision based on a comparison with critical values or p-values to either reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis .

In a logarithmic regression model, the slope represents the percentage change in the dependent variable for a unit change in the independent variable. It gives a sense of elasticity when using natural logarithms .

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