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Introduction to Probability and Statistics

The document is an introduction to a course on probabilities and statistics, emphasizing the importance of statistics in data collection, analysis, and interpretation. It outlines the educational background and research interests of Professor Husnain Haider, who teaches the course, and provides details on population versus sample concepts, probability distributions, and real-time applications of statistics. Additionally, it includes contact information and a lecture schedule for the course.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
18 views10 pages

Introduction to Probability and Statistics

The document is an introduction to a course on probabilities and statistics, emphasizing the importance of statistics in data collection, analysis, and interpretation. It outlines the educational background and research interests of Professor Husnain Haider, who teaches the course, and provides details on population versus sample concepts, probability distributions, and real-time applications of statistics. Additionally, it includes contact information and a lecture schedule for the course.

Uploaded by

riyan
Copyright
© All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
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STAT – 328

Probabilities & Statistics

Lecture 1: Introduction

[Link]

Husnain Haider
for-machine-learning/

Professor
Department of Civil Engineering

1
Statistics is a mathematical body of science
that pertains to the collection, analysis,
interpretation or explanation, and presentation
of data, or as a branch of mathematics. Some
consider statistics to be a distinct mathematical
Karl Pearson, a founder of
mathematical statistics science rather than a branch of mathematics.

Carl Friedrich Gauss made major


contributions to probabilistic
methods leading to statistics.

Statistics is the discipline that concerns the collection,


organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data. In
applying statistics to a scientific, industrial, or social problem, it is
conventional to begin with a statistical population or a statistical
model to be studied.

Source:
[Link]
nch%20of%20mathematics. 2
Prof. Husnain Haider
• Educational Background
➢ [Link]. Civil Engineering (with Honours), UET, Lahore, Pakistan
➢ [Link]. Environmental Engineering, UET, Lahore, Pakistan
➢ Ph.D. Environmental Engineering, UET, Lahore, Pakistan
➢ Ph.D. Civil Engineering, UBC Okanagan, Canada
➢ Postdoctoral Fellowship, Civil Engineering, UBC Okanagan, Canada

• Research Interests
➢ Water Quality Modeling of both the manmade and natural systems
➢ Solid and Construction Waste Management
➢ Infrastructure Asset Management
➢ Sustainability
➢ Life Cycle Thinking
➢ Environmental Impact and Risk Assessment
➢ Risk-based Decision Making under Uncertainity

3
I have...
• Work Experience
➢ Design Engineer/ Team Lead, Mott McDonald Group (UK) – 4.5 Year

➢ Assistant Professor, UET Lahore, Pakistan – 8.5 Yeas

➢ Sessional Lecturer/ Teaching Assistant, UBC Okanagan – 2.8 Years

➢ Assistant Professor, Civil Engineering Department, Qassim University


(Buraydah Campus) – 4 years

➢ Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, Qassim University


(Buraydah Campus) – Present Position

4
Contact Information & Lecture Schedule
You can always reach me via:

❑ Email: husnain@[Link]
❑ Telephone: 0500 574640

Day Time Location


Monday 10:00 AM – 11:50 PM Online
Tuesday 1:00 PM – 1:50 PM Online
Wednesday 10:00 AM – 11:50 PM Online

5
Population Vs Sample

Population or Target Population A population consists of all elements—individuals, items,


or objects—whose characteristics are being studied. The population that is being studied is
also called the target population.

Sample A portion of the population selected for study is referred to as a sample.

[Link] 6
Representative and Random Sample

Representative Sample A sample that represents the characteristics of the population as closely
as possible is called a representative sample.

Random Sample A sample drawn in such a way that each element of the population has a
chance of being selected is called a random sample. If all samples of the same size selected from
a population have the same chance of being selected, we call it simple random sampling. Such
a sample is called a simple random sample.

[Link]
[Link] [Link]

7
Probability Distribution

In probability theory and statistics, a probability


distribution is the mathematical function that gives the
probabilities of occurrence of different
possible outcomes for an experiment.
[Link]

Coin Toss Example


For instance, if X is used to denote the outcome of a coin
toss ("the experiment"), then the probability distribution
of X would take the value 0.5 (1 in 2 or 1/2) for X = heads, and
0.5 for X = tails (assuming that the coin is fair).

More commonly, probability distributions are used to


compare the relative occurrence of many different random
values.

[Link]
8
Real time Applications of Statistics

• Engineering

• Medicine

• Banking

• Management

• Social Sciences

9
Some Real time Research Projects
Evaluating the Impact of Transferring Intermittent to
Continuous Water Supply: Probabilistic Water Quality Failure
Potential from Source-to-Tap

Cumulative probability
distributions of hazard quotients
for different age groups in V1: a)
infants

10

Common questions

Powered by AI

A representative sample is critical because it ensures that the sample accurately reflects the population, allowing reliable and valid conclusions to be drawn. If the sample is not representative, results may be biased, reducing their applicability and potentially leading to incorrect decisions .

A population includes all elements of interest in a study, while a sample is a subset of the population. This distinction informs data collection methods, emphasizing that samples need to be well-chosen to make inferences about the population valid and reliable .

Probability distributions help model uncertainties and variability in data across different fields. In engineering, they can predict the reliability of systems or structural performance under varying conditions. In medicine, they assist in understanding patient data variability, modeling disease spread, or responses to treatments .

Statistical models can be used in environmental engineering to analyze water quality, predict pollution levels, assess risks, and optimize waste management strategies. They assist in developing models that simulate natural and manmade systems, helping in decision-making under uncertain conditions .

Probability theory provides the foundational framework for statistical modeling in social sciences by helping establish relationships between variables and predict outcomes. It helps quantify uncertainty, manage data variability, and assess relationships, which are vital components of social research methodologies .

Life cycle thinking uses statistical analysis to evaluate environmental impacts over a product's life span. It allows for data-driven assessments of resource consumption, waste generation, and emissions, facilitating improved sustainability and efficiency .

Carl Friedrich Gauss contributed major probabilistic methods that are foundational to statistics, while Karl Pearson is a founder of mathematical statistics, helping formalize it as a distinct scientific discipline .

A representative sample reflects the characteristics of the broader population closely, ensuring that conclusions drawn are applicable to the entire group. A random sample is selected ensuring each member of the population has an equal chance of being included, which enhances the sample's randomness but not necessarily its representativeness .

Probability distributions quantify the likelihood of different outcomes, applicable in broader datasets for predicting events' probabilities in varied real-world contexts, like financial market movements, quality control processes, and risk assessments .

Statistics provide tools for quantifying uncertainty and evaluating probabilities of different outcomes, enabling informed decision-making. By using statistical data and probabilistic models, decision-makers can assess risks, weigh potential impacts, and make choices that minimize negative outcomes .

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