MT271 TUTORIAL SHEET 3
1. A certain consultant has written two proposals ready to request for funding. The probability
that either of the proposals will be successful is 0.7, and that both proposals will be
successful is 0.2. There is 0.6 chance that the first proposal will not be successful. Find the
probability that the second proposal will be successful.
2. The probability that a female student studies is 0.7. Given that she studies, the probability is
0.8 that she will pass a course. Given that she does not study, the probability is 0.3 that she
will pass the course. Find the probability that
(a) she will study and pass
(b) she will not study and pass the course
(c) she will pass the course
3. The probability that an executive is promoted to a higher position is 0.625. If he is promoted,
he will go on vacation with a probability of 0.83; however, if he is not promoted, there is a
probability of 0.33 that he will take a vacation.
(a) find the probability that he will go on a vacation
(b) Given that he has gone on a vacation, find the probability that he had been promoted.
4. A box contains five identical items of which three are defective. Suppose that three items are
selected at random.
(a) Obtain the sample space for the experiment.
(b) Find the probability that exactly two items are not defective.
5. A certain system consists of three independent components. The reliabilities of these
components are respectively given by 0.85, 0.56 and 0.93. This system works only if at least
two of its components work. Find the probability that the system will work properly.
6. An engineering firm wants to buy six new machines to increase production of a certain
commodity. The supplier has ten machines in stock of which four are foreign made.
(a) In how many ways can the firm buy those six machines?
(b) If the firm decided to buy four domestic and two foreign made machines. In how
many ways can this selection been done?
7. A four-digit number is written using the digits 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 8. Find the probability that
(a) A number formed is an odd number.
(b) A number formed is greater than 3000.