Derivatives
Derivatives
Valuing a Derivative Using a One-Period
Binomial Model
LOS a Explain Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
A One-Period Binomial Model
Today 1 year Call Option at 55
$60 $5
up-move
S0 = $50
$42
down-move 0
© Kaplan, Inc. 2
1
LOS a Explain Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Example: Valuing a Call Option
Find stock/call ratio for portfolio that has same value with up-move or
down-move
ValueUP = hSUP – CUP = hSDN – CDN = ValueDN
h(60) – 5 = h(42) – 0 h(60 – 42) = 5 h= 0.278
Hedge ratio is 0.278 shares for each short call
VUP = 0.278(60) – 5 = 11.68 VDN = 0.278(42) = 11.68
© Kaplan, Inc. 3
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Valuing a Call Option
0.278 Stock – Call has a payoff of 11.68 at the end of one year
regardless of the stock price move
With Rf = 3%, V0 = 11.68/1.03 = 11.34
Given V0 = 11.34, we have 0.278(50) – C0 = 11.34
C0 = 2.56 the no-arbitrage price of the call at t = 0
© Kaplan, Inc. 4
2
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Example: Risk-Neutral Pricing
U = up-move factor = 1.15
D = down-move factor = 0.87
U = risk-neutral probability of up-move = 1+ R f – D = 0.715
U–D
D = risk-neutral probability of down-move = 1 – U = 0.285
Rf = 7%; S0 = $30
© Kaplan, Inc. 5
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Example: Risk-Neutral Pricing
One-period binomial tree for stock price
$30 × 1.15 = $34.50
S = $30 up-move
0
$30 × 0.87 = $26.10
Today 1 year
down-move
© Kaplan, Inc. 6
3
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Example: Risk-Neutral Pricing
With an up-move:
Stock increases to $34.50
Payoff to call with $30 strike = $4.50
With a down move:
Stock falls to $26.10
Option will pay $0 (option out-of-the-money)
© Kaplan, Inc. 7
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
Example: Risk-Neutral Pricing
S = $30 × 1.15 = $34.50
π U= 0.715 C = max (0, $34.50 – $30) = $4.50
S0 = $30
π D= 0.285 S = $30 × 0.87 = $26.10
C = max (0, $26.10 – $30) = $0
Today 1 year
© Kaplan, Inc. 8
4
LOS b Describe Valuation Using a One-Period Binomial Model
The Binomial Model
Call value = PV of cash flows (discounted at Rf):
C0 =
$4.50 × 0.715 + $0 × 0.285
1.07
$3.22
= = $ 3.00
1.07
These models can be used to price a variety of derivatives.
© Kaplan, Inc. 9