Behavioral Economics in Decision Making
Behavioral Economics in Decision Making
DECISION MAKING
MODULE III
According to traditional economics, in an ideal world, people would always make the best decisions based on a careful analysis of the costs
and benefits of each option available to them
Eg : Law of demand says if price falls, buy more. If price of ice-cream falls, consumers may not buy more - they may think of it as spoilt
or poor quality
Wine : People were given same bottles of wine and they scanned their brain to test levels of enjoyment. Higher price - liked wine more.
TRADITIONAL VS BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS
• Do you exercise?
• Do you invest in stocks/ cryptocurrency?
• Do you buy lottery tickets?
• Do you shop on vouchers?
• Do you know how to dispose of plastic bottles?
• Do you know what to do with your paper cups/plates after
use?
• Do you maintain your car limit between 80-90 every time?
By asking questions like these and identifying answers through experiments, the field of behavioral economics considers people as human beings
who are subject to emotion and impulsivity, and who are influenced by their environments and circumstances.
WHEN HUMAN BEINGS FAIL TO ACT THE WAY
ECONOMIC MODELS PREDICT
• Bias 3: Overconfidence
Economic model of rational choice assumes “rational self- interest,” but many people
often engage in acts of generosity and exhibit altruism
• Acts motivated primarily by a concern for the welfare of others
• Donations to charity are the most obvious example
• Economists have tried to include this in the model for example by addition someone
else’s consumption into your utility function.
• Parent’s utility depends on child’s consumption
BIAS 1: GENEROSITY AND
SELFLESSNESS - EXAMPLE
• Imagine you have two glasses of lemonade: one for you and one for your child. In a traditional economic model, you'd
choose how much to drink from each glass based on maximizing your own satisfaction. So, you might drink all your
lemonade first if you love it more.
• But here's where things get interesting: parents often care about their child's happiness too. This is called altruism.
So, in this example, you might share your lemonade with your child, even if it means having less for yourself. Why?
Because seeing your child happy also brings you joy!
• Economists try to capture this behavior by adding a twist to the model. They say your happiness, or utility, doesn't just
depend on how much lemonade you drink, but also on how much your child drinks. It's like combining both glasses into
one big "family happiness" glass.
• Now, you wouldn't just maximize your own enjoyment, but the combined happiness of you and your child. This might
mean sharing the lemonade, even if you prefer it all to yourself. This is similar to real-life situations where parents make
choices that benefit their children, even if it comes at a personal cost.
It's important to remember that this is just a simplified model, and real-life decisions are often more complex.
But it helps us understand why rational, self-interested people can be generous and act in ways that benefit others.
1. Volunteering: Imagine you have free time you could spend relaxing or earning money. Traditionally, the model would predict you'd choose the
option that maximizes your personal gain. However, people often volunteer, which takes time and effort, without direct financial reward. Here,
economists might say your utility function includes the satisfaction you get from helping others, making volunteering a rational choice based on
maximizing combined "self + help" satisfaction.
2. Charitable donations: You have disposable income you could spend on yourself or donate to charity. Traditionally, the model would predict
maximizing personal spending. However, many people donate, sacrificing personal gain for the benefit of others. Here, economists might say your
utility function includes the positive feelings associated with supporting a cause you care about, making donation a rational choice based on
combined "self + cause" satisfaction.
3. Reciprocity: You receive a small gift from a friend. Traditionally, the model might not predict any response since there's no direct personal
gain. However, people often feel inclined to reciprocate, even if the value of the return gift doesn't perfectly match the original. Here, economists
might say your utility function includes the negative feeling of being unfair or indebted, making reciprocation a way to restore balance and
maximize combined "self + fairness" satisfaction.
4. Social norms: Imagine witnessing someone struggling in public. Traditionally, the model might predict avoiding involvement to minimize
personal cost. However, social norms often encourage helping others.
BIAS 2: THE SUNK COST FALLACY
BIAS 2: THE SUNK COST
FALLACY
[Link]
• Individuals believe their skill level and judgment are better than they truly are, or they
expect that outcomes are better for them are more likely to happen then they truly are.
• Numerous studies have shown that humans tend to overestimate positive attributes about
themselves
• In one survey, 93% of college students said they were “better than average” drivers
• On a popular dating website, 73% of individuals describe themselves as having “very good” or “better
than average” physical attractiveness
BIAS 3: OVERCONFIDENCE
Video : [Link]
BIAS 4: SELF-CONTROL
PROBLEMS & HYPERBOLIC
DISCOUNTING
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS AND DECISION MAKING
• Behavioural economics concerns the patterns with which decision making is conducted by agents such as
workers or employers.
Libertarians argue for the right to complete freedom of choice of each agent without much (if any)
interferences from outside factors (such as the government or firms).
Paternalism concerns the belief that agents are bound to act irrationally and lose out by making certain
decisions, and so these choices should be made on their behalf.
Libertarianism and the Moral Lean Towards Freedom - Libertarian economists envision a
self-regulating free market where rational agents seek opportunities to maximise their welfare at
the cost of potential risks to health.
LIBERTARIAN PATERNALISM
• Libertarian paternalism is a relatively weak, soft, and nonintrusive type of paternalism, because choices
are not blocked, fenced off, or significantly burdened.
• If people want to smoke cigarettes, eat a lot of candy, choose an unsuitable health care plan, or fail to save
for retirement, libertarian paternalists will not force them to do otherwise—or even make things hard for
them.
• Still, the approach we recommend does count as paternalistic, because in important contexts, private and
public choice architects should not merely track or implement people’s anticipated choices. Rather, they
should attempt to move people in directions that will make their lives better. They should NUDGE.
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE
Choice architecture refers to the design of how choices are presented to individuals, and how
this presentation influences the decisions they make.
Choice architecture is the presentation of full set of choices to the target audience in a way
which can help the nudge architect predict the ways in which the audience would respond
to the nudge without excluding the set of choices.
It goes beyond just offering options and delves into influencing the way people perceive and
evaluate those options.
CHOICE ARCHITECTURE - EXAMPLES
Eg : Imagine a grocery store. The choice architect (in this case, the store manager) decides how products are
arranged.
● Healthy snacks are placed at eye level, near the checkout counters, where people are likely to be more
impulsive and grab a quick snack. Unhealthy snacks might be placed on lower shelves, requiring more effort to
reach, potentially discouraging impulsive purchases.
● User interfaces of websites and apps, where the layout and prominence of buttons and options can influence
user behavior.
● Public policy, where policymakers design programs with specific "defaults" or incentives to encourage desired
actions, such as automatic enrollment in retirement savings plans.
WHAT IS NUDGE
Nudge : The term, is any aspect of the choice architecture that alters people's behaviour in a
predictable way without forbidding any options or significantly changing their economic
incentives.
Nudging for Good : "Nudging for good" is the practice of using subtle interventions to steer
individuals toward positive behaviors and choices that benefit themselves, society, or the
environment.
• To count as a mere nudge, the intervention must be easy and cheap to avoid.
• Nudges are not taxes, fines, subsidies, bans, or mandates.
Putting the fruit at eye level counts as a nudge.
Banning junk food does not.
Nudge is credited mainly to American academics Richard H Thaler and Cass R Sunstein
WHAT IS NUDGE
[Link]
ENFORCED CHANGE vs NUDGE
25
SOME SIMPLER EXAMPLES OF NUDGE(S)
• Nudges avoid invoking an economistic decision frame. They do not affect people's economic
incentives.
• Nudges are human-centered. They attempt to move people in directions that will make their
lives better.
• Nudges are voluntary. They preserve freedom of choice.
29
DURING A BUFFET LUNCH, WHAT DO YOU PICK TO EAT?
DO YOU OPT FOR HEALTHY OPTIONS?
Imagine if the college had slides instead of the staircase?
Would you like
to take the
stairs to class
instead of the
lift?
▪ Furthermore, additional examples of nudges and their benefits appear in various
other areas of life. For instance:
▪ Nudges can prompt people to take better care of their health. For example,
sending people a reminder to schedule a dental check-up doubled the rate of
people who signed up.
▪ Nudges can prompt people to make better financial decisions. For example,
Nudge: How sending students a few personalized text messages helped many of them
Small Changes remember to refile their application for student aid.
Can ▪ Nudges can prompt people to pay better attention to their privacy. For
example, giving social-media users a reminder about who will be the audience for
Significantly content that they intend to post helped those users make better decisions
▪ Nudges can prompt people to make choices that benefit other members of
People’s society. For example, using an opt-out system for organ donations, where people
Choices are automatically registered as organ donors unless they choose otherwise, instead
of an opt-in system, where people have to actively register to become donors,
significantly increased the number of people that are registered as organ donors.
[Link] ▪ Nudges can get people to make choices that are better for the environment.
For example, providing feedback to households about their and their neighbors’
[Link]
electricity usage led people to reduce their energy consumption.
e-theory/
▪ The Ballot Bin is the world’s first customisable voting ashtray
that is proven to cut cigarette litter by up to 73%
Now you can find Ballot Bins in 43 countries around the world,
collecting an estimated 15 million cigarette butts a year.
NUDGES ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES
Advantages: Disadvantages:
● Improved outcomes: Nudges can help individuals make ● Effectiveness: Nudges may not be effective for everyone,
better choices that benefit their health, finances, and especially those with strong pre-existing preferences or
well-being. For example, highlighting healthier food options limited access to information.
in a cafeteria can nudge people towards making healthy ● Unintended consequences: Nudges can sometimes lead
choices. to unintended consequences. For example, a nudge
● Societal benefits: By influencing individual choices, nudges encouraging organ donation might lead people to donate
can have positive impacts on society as a whole. For without fully understanding the implications.
instance, encouraging energy conservation through nudges ● Ethical concerns: The use of nudges raises ethical
can lead to reduced energy consumption. concerns around potential manipulation. It's crucial to
● Informed and empowered choices: In some cases, nudges ensure nudges are transparent, ethical, and respect
can provide valuable information to individuals, enabling individual choice.
them to make more informed and empowered decisions. For
example, displaying calorie information on menus can nudge
people to consider the calorie content of their food choices.
SOME SITUATIONS WHERE NUDGES MAY NOT WORK
1. Complex or high-stakes decisions: Nudges are often designed for situations with relatively simple
choices and low stakes. If individuals are facing complex decisions with significant potential
consequences, a nudge might be easily overlooked or disregarded. Eg : If it’s a very expensive
purchase
2. Strong pre-existing preferences or beliefs: Nudges rely on the idea of subtly influencing people's
decision-making processes. However, if individuals already have strong pre-existing preferences or
deeply held beliefs, a nudge is unlikely to significantly alter their behavior. Eg : A nudge promoting
the benefits of vaccination is unlikely to sway someone who firmly opposes vaccination for
ideological reasons.
“Nudge” interventions are most appropriate in what marketing researchers call “low-involvement”
decisions, i.e., ones that involve little conscious deliberation, and also in high involvement decisions that are
complex or unfamiliar.
IMPORTANT FACTORS CONSIDERED WHILE
CREATING NUDGE
• Choice Architecture : Choice architecture refers to the design of how choices are presented to
individuals, and how this presentation influences the decisions they make.
• Libertarian Paternalism : It refers to approaches that preserve freedom of choice while steering
individuals to behave in a certain way. Given that choices are not restricted, it can be considered a soft and
nonintrusive type of paternalism.
• Physical Environment : The physical environment plays a crucial role in shaping behavior by influencing
individuals' perceptions, emotions, and actions. Factors such as lighting, layout, colors, and signage can
impact decision-making and behavior.
• Surroundings : The immediate surroundings or context in which individuals make decisions can
significantly influence their behavior. This includes social cues, norms, and the presence of others, as well
as environmental factors like noise levels and cleanliness.
HOW ARE WE NUDGED ?
System 1 : Automatic System (Reflexive) : Control day to day thoughts – how much butter to
spread, smiling when you see cute puppy.
• The automatic system is especially prone to bias, in fact it uses bias to speed up decision making.
System 2 : Reflective System : work by creating hypothesis and testing these with prior knowledge.
• Sort between relevant and irrelevant piece of information
[Link] Option : A powerful way to encourage [Link] Norming and Misperceptions : Inform
take-up rates of ‘desirable options’ is to set the people that most others are engaged in certain
desired outcome as the default option. behaviour.
Eg : A powerful influence for decision-making is social
• Double Sided Printing : If the default print norms (aka “peer pressure”). This is most
option is say, double-sided printing) it can powerful when it is as local and specific as
promote environmental protection. possible
• Default Organ Donation : By making organ Eg :
donation the default option at birth with the • Sharing a notice that majority of people in your
option to opt-out, countries like Austria have community pay their taxes on time
significantly increased organ donation rates. This • Home Energy: Homes using more energy than
nudge taps into the human tendency to stick their neighbors reduced consumption after
with the default and reduces the burden of receiving reports comparing their usage to the
actively making a decision. average of those in their building
TYPES OF NUDGE
[Link] : In both rich and poor countries, [Link] Reminders : People tend to have a great deal on
complexity is a serious problem. their minds, and when they do not engage in certain conduct
the reason might be some combination of inertia,
• Programs should be easily navigable, even intuitive.
procrastination, competing obligations, and simple
Eg : forgetfulness.
• Simplification of welfare forms : In many nations, the
benefits of signing up for govt schemes involving education, • A reminder can have a significant impact.
health etc are greatly reduced because of complexity in Eg :
understanding. • Push Notifications : BluSmart could send occasional
Reducing the overall amount of text, highlighting important push notifications reminding users about the
information, and ensuring that key messages are placed environmental benefits of choosing EV taxis, but this
where the eye naturally tracks can help improve decision should be done sparingly to avoid becoming annoying.
making • Reminder by email or SMS for overdue bills and
• Translating CO2 saved into "planting 1,000 trees" simplifies upcoming appointments, taking medicines etc.
the impact and makes it relatable.
TYPES OF NUDGE
5. Subtle Suggestions :
• Subtle suggestions nudges involve indirectly influencing
behavior by subtly prompting desired actions or choices.
Eg :
• Blu Smart EV taxi app showcases a growing community of
eco-conscious riders. They allow users to share their taxi rides
and CO2 saved on social media thus encouraging others also to
switch to electric mobility.
Eg :
● Conduct surveys, interviews, and analyze energy consumption data from different dorms, departments, and buildings.
● Identify specific areas where electricity consumption is high and understand the underlying reasons.
● Consider factors like:
○ Student behavior (leaving lights/electronics on)
○ Inefficient appliances
○ Lack of awareness about energy usage
○ Dorm culture - Lack of motivation
[Link] ( Problem around community) - social psychology
● This stage should involve framing the problem in a way that considers both individual needs and the broader community context.
Eg :
● Defining Community problem: High campus-wide electricity consumption leading to increased costs and environmental impact.
[Link] ( Solutions for user in community) - Social + Cognitive Psychology
• Social psychology helps understand how social norms, group pressure, and social influences can be leveraged in the nudge design.
• Cognitive psychology helps understand how individuals process information, make decisions, and respond to different stimuli.
• Use EAST and different types of nudges here.
Eg : Nudges :
● Social Norming : Displaying real time anonymous comparisons of energy usage among dorm residents to highlight positive
behaviors and encourage conformity to energy-saving norms.
● Changes in physical environment : Deploy smart power strips in dorms to to automatically cut power to electronics left on standby
● Default : Implement opt-out energy programs for students choose to automatically receive energy efficient bulbs for their dorm
unless they explicitly choose not to
● Providing energy-saving tips through targeted messaging to address individual behaviors.
[Link] ( Identify relationship between community problem)- Business + Strategy
Eg :
• Analyze the financial and logistical aspects of implementing energy-saving solutions on campus.
• Analyze the potential savings and how it solves the overall community problem
• Develop a strategic plan outlining the most effective and feasible interventions and how to measure them
• Consider how reducing electricity consumption contributes to the university's sustainability objectives,
reputation, and compliance with regulatory requirements.
[Link] ( Record users behavior) - Experimental Psychology
● Controlled experiments are necessary to measure the effectiveness of the implemented nudge.
● This involves collecting data on how users behave with and without the nudge
Eg :
● Implement the chosen nudges in select buildings or dorms as a pilot program.
● Use smart meters or other methods to measure changes in electricity consumption with and without the
nudges.
● Conduct surveys or interviews to understand student response to the nudges.
[Link] - Change in community and individual behaviour
● The ultimate goal is to see positive changes in both individual behavior and the broader community.
● This may involve scaling up successful nudges or refining unsuccessful ones based on the data collected in
step 5.
● Nudges should nudge, not manipulate and their impact freedom of choice should always be kept in mind
Eg :
● Scale up successful nudges across campus.
● Refine or replace unsuccessful nudges based on user feedback and data analysis.
● Continuously monitor and adapt the program to ensure long-term effectiveness and ethical considerations.
FIVE STEPS TO CREATE A SUCCESSFUL NUDGE
1. Choose your target behaviour 3. Design your nudge
• What is the specific target behaviour you • What is your nudge?
want e.g. change descriptions of food on menus
to change? • What resources will you need?
e.g. reducing red meat consumption on campus e.g. time and creativity to brainstorm new
• Who is your specific target audience? menu descriptions (no cost for printing menus
e.g. first-year students compared to business as usual)
• Whose buy-in do you need in order to implement your nudge?
2. Understand your context e.g. campus catering manager
• What individual influences on behaviour
might be barriers or drivers?
4. Test the effectiveness of your nudge
e.g. students lack cooking skills and • What behavioural outcome will you measure?
e.g. number of meat dishes sold per day in
experience planning grocery shopping
cafeteria for the whole term
• What social influences on behaviour might
• What is your comparison to know if your nudge worked?
be barriers or drivers? e.g. record sales of meat dishes for a term
e.g. social norms of eating meat before the nudge, or record in another
• What material influences on behaviour cafeteria without the nudge
might be barriers or drivers?
e.g. contract with catering company
5. Reflect and redesign
• What are the touchpoints where you could • How could you improve your nudge?
intervene to change behaviour? e.g. next time redesign the menu to feature
e.g. campus cafeterias plant-based dishes more prominently
STEPS TO CREATE A NUDGE Some more detail on creation
of nudge
Example:
Target behavior: Encouraging office workers to bring reusable coffee mugs instead of using disposable cups.
Specific audience: Employees in an office building.
2. UNDERSTAND YOUR CONTEXT
a) Factors affecting behavior:Eg : Convenience of using disposable cups provided in the office kitchen, lack of awareness about
environmental impact, busy work schedules.
b) Barriers to behavior change: Eg : Lack of personal ownership of reusable mugs, perception of inconvenience in carrying
mugs to work.
c) Drivers of behavior change: Eg : Sustainability initiatives by the company, and washing facilities, social pressure from
colleagues.
d) Touchpoints for intervention: Office kitchen, coffee stations, company-wide communications.
e) Reassess and finalize target: Confirm that encouraging reusable mug usage aligns with the company's sustainability goals and
is feasible within the office
• Desk Arrangement: Open office plans or designated collaboration areas can nudge employees towards more team
interaction and collaboration.
• Healthy Snacks: By placing healthier snacks in more accessible locations in the office pantry or replacing coke with
water in vending machines, companies can nudge employees towards healthier eating habits.
• Sustainability: Placing recycling bins next to printers can nudge employees to think twice before printing
unnecessarily and promote recycling of paper.
• Attendance and Punctuality: Visual charts displaying team attendance or software notifications reminding about
upcoming meetings can nudge punctuality.
• Learning and Development: Offering "lunch and learn" sessions or highlighting available online courses can nudge
employees to engage in continuous learning.
• Feedback Culture: Establishing regular check-ins or providing platforms for peer feedback can nudge a culture of
continuous feedback and improvement.
EXAMPLES OF COMPANIES NUDGE APPROACH IN
PRO-ENVIRONMENTAL BEHAVIOR
Water Reduction:
• Green Default: Seventh Generation laundry detergent comes in a concentrated formula, requiring less water per wash. This
sets the eco-friendly option as the default, nudging consumers towards a sustainable choice.
• Direct Reminder: Many showerheads have a built-in timer that beeps or changes color after a certain time, reminding users to
shorten their showers.
Water Recycling
• Provision of Information: Levi Strauss & Co. communicate their use of water recycling systems in their manufacturing
facilities through informative labels on products or their website. This transparency educates consumers about their sustainable
practices.
Sustainable Consumption
• Social Norming: Patagonia showcases customer stories and photos of repaired or reused Patagonia gear on their website,
highlighting the social norm of responsible consumption.
• Provision of Feedback: The Body Shop's refill program displays the amount of plastic saved with each refill purchase,
providing customers with immediate feedback on their environmental impact.
SOME MORE EXAMPLES
Energy Consumption
• Green Default: Nest Labs' smart thermostats come with pre-programmed energy-saving settings as the default, nudging users
towards efficient energy use unless they specifically change it.
• Direct Reminder: Some utility companies send personalized reports comparing a household's energy usage to similar homes,
prompting awareness and encouraging potential adjustments towards lower consumption.
Water Conservation
Hotels may display signs in bathrooms with water-saving tips or facts about the environmental impact of long showers, gently
nudging guests towards water conservation.
Sustainable Travel
• Provision of Information: [Link] highlights eco-friendly accommodation options with sustainability certifications,
allowing travelers to make informed choices based on environmental impact.
• Social Norming: Travel blogs or social media campaigns may showcase responsible travel practices like using public
transportation or choosing eco-lodges, influencing traveler behavior through social norms.
• Carbon Offsetting Programs: Airlines like Air France offer carbon offsetting options during booking, allowing travelers to
mitigate their environmental impact by contributing to projects like tree planting.